Severe Thunderstorm Warning 57, NWS Morristown, TN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
251 PM EDT MON JUN 8 2015

.SHORT TERM...(TONIGHT AND TUESDAY)...CONVECTION ON-GOING...ISOLATED
OVER THE AREA NOW...AND MUCH MORE COVERAGE TO THE WEST THAT WILL BE
MOVING INTO THE AREA LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND INTO TONIGHT.  CHANCES
OF SEVERE STORMS STILL EXPECTED...BETTER SEVERE PARAMETERS STILL
WEST OF OUR AREA NOW...BUT EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO THE AREA AS UPPER
DYNAMICS INCREASE AND AS THE FRONT GETS CLOSER WEST TO EAST LATE
THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.  LOOKS LIKE DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE THE
MAIN THREAT.  BY MIDNIGHT MUCH OF THE LINE OF STORMS WILL BE RACING
EAST OF THE AREA...LEAVING THE AREA WITH SHOWERS DIMINISHING.  FOR
TUESDAY...MINIMAL CHANCES OF AFTERNOON CONVECTION...KEEPING SOME
LIGHT POPS IN AND JUST MENTIONING SHOWERS FOR NOW.  GUIDANCE
TEMPERATURES LOOK GOOD OVERALL FOR THIS PERIOD.

.LONG TERM...(TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY)...UPPER TROUGH AXIS EAST
OF THE FORECAST AREA SHOULD BE FOLLOWED BY RELATIVELY DRIER AIR. THE
WEAK SURFACE FRONT WILL BE DRAPED OVER NORTHERN GEORGIA. THE FRONT
WILL WAVER BACK NORTH LATER IN THE DAY ON WEDNESDAY. FOR MOST
AREAS...IT WILL BE DRY. HOWEVER THE SOUTHERN TENNESSEE VALLEY WILL
HAVE A CHANCE FOR AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AS THAT
BOUNDARY MOVES NORTHWARD.

BY THURSDAY...DIURNAL RAIN CHANCES MOVE NORTHWARD AS MOIST SOUTHERLY
FLOW RETURNS. THIS PATTERN PERSISTS INTO THE WEEKEND WITH NO MAJOR
FOCUS. MOST PLACES COULD USE THE RAINFALL. THE FORECAST AREA IS ALSO
LOCATED ON THE FRINGE OF THE UPPER HIGH...WHICH IS USUALLY A
FAVORABLE AREA FOR THESE SHOWERS AND STORMS.

LOOK FOR HIGH TEMPERATURES TO GENERALLY BE IN THE 80S WITH A FEW
LOCATIONS REACHING THE 90S ON THURSDAY...SUNDAY AND MONDAY. LOW
TEMPERATURES WILL BE IN THE 60S AND 70S. THESE NUMBERS FALL WITHIN
THE SEASONAL NORMS FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
CHATTANOOGA AIRPORT, TN             68  88  67  89 /  60  20  10  10
KNOXVILLE MCGHEE TYSON AIRPORT, TN  65  85  65  88 /  80  20  10  10
OAK RIDGE, TN                       67  87  65  88 /  80  20  10  10
TRI CITIES AIRPORT, TN              63  84  60  86 /  80  20  10  10

&&

.MRX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...NONE.
TN...NONE.
VA...NONE.
&&

GM/AC

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
358 PM EDT MON JUN 8 2015

NCZ060-061-TNZ012>018-035>047-067>074-081>087-098>102-VAZ001-002-
005-006-008-092000-
CHEROKEE-CLAY-SCOTT TN-CAMPBELL-CLAIBORNE-HANCOCK-HAWKINS-
SULLIVAN-JOHNSON-MORGAN-ANDERSON-UNION-GRAINGER-HAMBLEN-
NORTHWEST COCKE-COCKE SMOKY MOUNTAINS-NORTHWEST GREENE-
SOUTHEAST GREENE-WASHINGTON TN-UNICOI-NORTHWEST CARTER-
SOUTHEAST CARTER-ROANE-LOUDON-KNOX-JEFFERSON-NW BLOUNT-
BLOUNT SMOKY MOUNTAINS-NORTH SEVIER-SEVIER SMOKY MOUNTAINS-
SEQUATCHIE-BLEDSOE-RHEA-MEIGS-MCMINN-NORTHWEST MONROE-
SOUTHEAST MONROE-MARION-HAMILTON-BRADLEY-WEST POLK-EAST POLK-LEE-
WISE-SCOTT-RUSSELL-WASHINGTON-
358 PM EDT MON JUN 8 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST NORTH
CAROLINA...EAST TENNESSEE AND SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE
AFTERNOON AND INTO TONIGHT. SEVERE STORMS WILL MAINLY BE ISOLATED
THIS AFTERNOON...BUT BETTER CHANCES OF SEVERE STORMS EXIST THIS
EVENING AND TONIGHT AS AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE AND COLD FRONT
APPROACH THE REGION. THE MAIN THREAT FROM THE STORMS WILL BE
DAMAGING WINDS...WITH LARGE HAIL POSSIBLE FROM SOME OF THE STRONGER
STORMS. ISOLATED FLOODING IS POSSIBLE IN SOME AREAS...BUT STORMS
WILL BE MOVING QUICKLY...THEREBY REDUCING THE CHANCES OF FLOODING.
ALTHOUGH THE CHANCES OF TORNADOES IS VERY LOW FOR THIS
EVENT...LOCALIZED CONDITIONS COULD PRODUCE A BRIEF TORNADO.

IN GENERAL...CONDITIONS FOR STRONGER STORMS ARE MORE FAVORABLE IN
THE WESTERN AND NORTHWESTERN AREAS...ON THE PLATEAU...WITH AREAS IN
THE EASTERN COUNTIES...ALONG THE NORTH CAROLINA STATE LINE...NOT
QUITE AS FAVORABLE...BUT THESE AREAS COULD STILL GET SEVERE STORMS.

MOST OF THE STORMS WILL MOVE EAST OF THE AREA BY ABOUT 2AM TUESDAY
MORNING...WITH ONLY SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS THEREAFTER.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NECESSARY THIS AFTERNOON AND INTO TONIGHT.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
408 PM EDT MON JUN 8 2015

TNZ081-082-098-099-082100-
BLEDSOE TN-MARION TN-HAMILTON TN-SEQUATCHIE TN-
408 PM EDT MON JUN 8 2015

SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR BLEDSOE...MARION...HAMILTON...AND
SEQUATCHIE COUNTIES UNTIL 500 PM EDT/400 PM CDT/...

AT 407 PM EDT /307 PM CDT/...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG
THUNDERSTORM NEAR WHITWELL...OR 7 MILES SOUTHWEST OF DUNLAP...MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

HALF INCH HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS
STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
DUNLAP...SODDY-DAISY...WHITWELL...POWELLS CROSSROADS...BRAYTON...FLAT
TOP MOUNTAIN...PALIO...NORTH CHICKAMAUGA CREEK GORGE...GRIFFITH
CREEK...SALE CREEK...CARTWRIGHT...MOWBRAY MOUNTAIN AND LONE OAK.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 15 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE
SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.

&&

LAT...LON 3517 8549 3531 8560 3532 8556 3534 8554
      3536 8551 3539 8549 3559 8518 3552 8513
      3549 8514 3547 8512 3546 8514 3545 8511
      3544 8511 3543 8510 3544 8507 3536 8501
TIME...MOT...LOC 2007Z 238DEG 21KT 3529 8548

DH

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SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
455 PM EDT MON JUN 8 2015

TNZ036>038-069-082145-
KNOX TN-ANDERSON TN-GRAINGER TN-UNION TN-
455 PM EDT MON JUN 8 2015

SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR KNOX...ANDERSON...GRAINGER...AND
UNION COUNTIES UNTIL 545 PM EDT...

AT 455 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A LINE OF STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM NEAR MAYNARDVILLE TO NEAR
CLINTON...AND MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH.

HALF INCH HAIL AND WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THESE STORMS.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
KNOXVILLE...OAK RIDGE...CLINTON...ALCOA...MAYNARDVILLE...RUTLEDGE...
FARRAGUT...LOUISVILLE...PLAINVIEW...HALLS...BLAINE...NORRIS...
LUTTRELL...SHARPS CHAPEL...ANDERSONVILLE...NORRIS LAKE...ROSE HILL...
KARNS...KIMBERLIN HEIGHTS AND BEARDEN.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 15 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE
SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.

&&

LAT...LON 3590 8427 3595 8430 3640 8387 3639 8376
      3634 8373 3633 8366 3637 8359 3635 8337
      3618 8354 3614 8364 3610 8363 3612 8367
      3608 8367 3609 8371 3597 8365 3584 8385
      3588 8400 3583 8406 3585 8414 3579 8416
TIME...MOT...LOC 2055Z 280DEG 21KT 3633 8384 3602 8413

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
500 PM EDT MON JUN 08 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0430 PM     TSTM WND DMG     KINGSTON                35.87N 84.51W
06/08/2015                   ROANE              TN   911 CALL CENTER

            COUPLE TREES DOWN.

&&