Special Weather Statement, NWS Mobile, AL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
341 PM CDT MON JUN 22 2015

.SHORT TERM...(TONIGHT AND TUESDAY)...UPPER RIDGING WILL BUILD
EASTWARD OUT OF THE SOUTHERN PLAINS INTO THE AREA THROUGH TUESDAY.
THIS WILL MAINTAIN THE HOT AND MOSTLY DRY CONDITIONS ACROSS THE
AREA. HIGHS WILL AGAIN BE IN THE MID/UPPER 90S. COASTAL LOCATIONS
WILL BE IN THE LOW/MID 90S. THE COMBINATION OF THE HEAT AND HIGH
HUMIDITY WILL CREATE HEAT INDEX VALUES OF 103-107 ACROSS THE AREA
DURING THE AFTERNOON. ENOUGH MIXING IS EXPECTED DURING THE AFTERNOON
TO KEEP HEAT INDEX VALUES JUST BELOW ADVISORY CRITERIA...BUT THAT
WILL BE SOMETHING TO WATCH FOR TUESDAY. ISOLATED TO SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS
AND GRADUALLY DISSIPATE DURING THE EVENING. FREQUENT
LIGHTNING...GUSTY WINDS AND VERY HEAVY RAIN ARE THE PRIMARY THREATS.
/13

THIS AFTERNOON'S WET MICROBURST RISK IS MODERATE

(TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT)...THE FORECAST AREA LIES
UNDER THE EASTERN EDGE OF THE RIDGE TO THE WEST. DEEP LAYER MOISTURE
WILL CONTINUE TO BLANKET THE AREA WITH PWATS CLIMBING TO AS HIGH AS
2.O INCHES DURING THE AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO TREND
WARMER THEN CLIMATOLOGICAL NORMS. DAY TIME HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL
CLIMB PRIMARILY INTO THE LOW TO UPPER 90S. EXPECT A SEA BREEZE TO
DEVELOP ALONG THE COAST WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON TRIGGERING ISOLATED TO
SCATTERED CONVECTION WHICH WILL DISSIPATE BY EARLY EVENING. /08 JW

.LONG TERM...(THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY)...A LITTLE RELIEF IN THE HOT
DAYTIME TEMPERATURES SHOULD ARRIVE THURSDAY AS THE RIDGE STARTS TO
BREAK DOWN AND A STEADY ONSHORE FLOW DEVELOPS. PWATS REMAIN IN THE
2 INCH RANGE AND FALLING HTS ALOFT SHOULD LEAD TO AN INCREASE IN
AFTERNOON CONVECTION. A LONGWAVE TROUGH SLOWLY ESTABLISHES ITSELF
OVER THE REGION BY THE WEEKEND AND THE TREND OF AFTERNOON CONVECTION
DISSIPATING BY EARLY EVENING SHOULD CONTINUE UNTIL SATURDAY NIGHT
WHEN A MAJOR UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IS PROJECTED TO DRIVE A COLD FRONT
INTO THE AREA FROM THE WEST...TRIGGERING NOCTURNAL SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. THE WEAKENING FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL THEN LIKELY STALL
OVER THE NORTHERN GULF COAST COUPLING WITH THE SEA BREEZE DURING THE
DAY TO AID CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT AND THEN MOVING WITH THE LAND
BREEZE OVERNIGHT OFF THE COAST. DAYTIME HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL TREND
A LITTLE ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH THE WORK WEEK AND THEN A LITTLE BELOW
NORMAL OVER THE WEEKEND AND MONDAY. /08 JW

&&

.AVIATION...18Z ISSUANCE...VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE
NEXT 24 HOURS. ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL
DEVELOP DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS WITH LOCALIZED MVFR/IFR
CONDITIONS POSSIBLE IN AND AROUND STORMS. /13

&&

.MARINE...A WEAK SURFACE RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN OVER THE
NORTHERN GULF OF MEXICO THROUGHOUT THE WEEK. WINDS WILL PRIMARILY BE
LIGHT AND FROM THE SOUTHWEST...OCCASIONALLY TURNING TO THE WEST TO
NORTHWEST DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. WINDS AND SEAS WILL BE HIGHER
OVER THE NEAR SHORE WATERS DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EARLY
EVENING HOURS DUE TO AFTERNOON AND LOCAL SEABREEZE EFFECTS. /13

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MOBILE      75  96  75  95  74 /  20  30  20  30  20
PENSACOLA   78  94  77  94  76 /  20  30  20  30  20
DESTIN      80  91  82  91  80 /  20  20  20  30  20
EVERGREEN   73  98  73  97  73 /  20  20  20  30  20
WAYNESBORO  73  98  72  96  72 /  20  30  20  30  20
CAMDEN      73  98  73  96  72 /  05  20  20  30  20
CRESTVIEW   74  98  75  97  74 /  20  30  20  30  20

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...NONE.
FL...NONE.
MS...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
230 PM CDT MON JUN 22 2015

ALZ051>060-261>266-FLZ201>206-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-231045-
CHOCTAW-WASHINGTON-CLARKE-WILCOX-MONROE-CONECUH-BUTLER-CRENSHAW-
ESCAMBIA-COVINGTON-MOBILE INLAND-BALDWIN INLAND-MOBILE CENTRAL-
BALDWIN CENTRAL-MOBILE COASTAL-BALDWIN COASTAL-ESCAMBIA INLAND-
ESCAMBIA COASTAL-SANTA ROSA INLAND-SANTA ROSA COASTAL-
OKALOOSA INLAND-OKALOOSA COASTAL-WAYNE-PERRY-GREENE-STONE-GEORGE-
230 PM CDT MON JUN 22 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
ALABAMA...SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...NORTHWEST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST
MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...REST OF TODAY AND TONIGHT

A FEW STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON WITH GUSTY
STRAIGHT LINE WINDS...FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING AND BRIEF
PERIODS OF HEAVY LOCALIZED RAINFALL.

HEAT INDEX VALUES WILL CLIMB TO BETWEEN 103 AND 108 DEGREES THIS
AFTERNOON.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

AFTERNOON HEAT INDEX VALUES WILL CLIMB TO BETWEEN 103 AND 108
DEGREES THROUGH MIDWEEK...DECREASING SLIGHTLY TO BETWEEN 97 AND 102
DEGREES THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK.

ISOLATED TO SCATTERED AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING SHOWERS AND
THUDNERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK. THE
STORMS WILL PRODUCE GUSTY WINDS...FREQUENT LIGHTNING AND BRIEF HEAVY
RAIN.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

ACTIVATION OF SKYWARN SEVERE STORM SPOTTER NETWORKS IS NOT EXPECTED
THROUGH SUNDAY.

GMZ630>635-650-655-670-675-231045-
NORTHERN MOBILE BAY-SOUTHERN MOBILE BAY-MISSISSIPPI SOUND-
PERDIDO BAY-PENSACOLA BAY SYSTEM-CHOCTAWHATCHEE BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
230 PM CDT MON JUN 22 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE COASTAL
WATERS OF ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...REST OF TODAY AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
540 PM CDT MON JUN 22 2015

ALZ263-222315-
MOBILE CENTRAL AL-
540 PM CDT MON JUN 22 2015

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT WESTERN MOBILE COUNTY UNTIL 615
PM CDT...

AT 540 PM CDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR REGIONAL
AIRPORT IN WEST MOBILE...MOVING WEST AT 5 MPH.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
MOBILE...              TILLMANS CORNER...     THEODORE...
MIDTOWN MOBILE...      REGIONAL AIRPORT IN WEST MOBILE...
NORTHEASTERN GRAND BAY...                     I10 AND I65...
I65 AND US 45...

THE PRIMARY THREATS FROM THIS STORM ARE WIND GUSTS UP TO 55 MPH.
WINDS THIS STRONG COULD BLOW OFF TREE LIMBS AND ALSO BLOW AROUND
SMALL UNSECURED OBJECTS. SEEK SHELTER UNTIL THIS STORM HAS PASSED.

FREQUENT LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. IF OUTDOORS...STAY
AWAY FROM ISOLATED HIGH OBJECTS SUCH AS TREES. MOVE INDOORS IF
POSSIBLE. STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS AND DOORS. AVOID USING WIRED
TELEPHONES DIRECTLY CONNECTED TO OUTSIDE PHONE LINES.

LAT...LON 3050 8840 3070 8841 3078 8812 3061 8805
      3059 8806 3058 8806 3058 8807 3057 8809
      3056 8808 3054 8808
TIME...MOT...LOC 2240Z 083DEG 6KT 3063 8824

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
555 PM CDT MON JUN 22 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0545 PM     HAIL             3 SSE REGIONAL AIRPORT  30.64N 88.22W
06/22/2015  E0.88 INCH       MOBILE             AL   PUBLIC

            PUBLIC REPORT OF NICKEL SIZE HAIL AT INTERSECTION OF
            SCHILLINGER AND COTTAGE HILL ROADS IN WEST MOBILE.

&&

GENEJ

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