Special Weather Statement, NWS Mobile, AL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
345 PM CDT SUN JUN 21 2015

.SHORT TERM (TONIGHT AND MONDAY)...UPPER RIDGING ACROSS THE AREA
WILL CONTINUE TO WEAKEN SOME AND SHIFT EASTWARD THROUGH MONDAY AS A
SHORTWAVE MOVES ACROSS THE UPPER MIDWEST. THIS IS EVIDENCED BY
INCREASED SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ON RADAR THIS AFTERNOON.
AN ISOLATED SEVERE STORM IS POSSIBLE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON WITH
DAMAGING WINDS THE PRIMARY THREAT IN ADDITIONS TO FREQUENT LIGHTNING
AND VERY HEAVY RAIN. THE WET MICROBURST RISK REMAINS HIGH. THE
STORMS WILL DISSIPATE THIS EVENING WITH THE LOSS OF HEATING. VERY
MUGGY CONDITIONS CONTINUE OVERNIGHT WITH LOWS IN THE MID/UPPER 70S
INLAND TO AROUND 80 ALONG THE COAST. THE AREA WILL BE BETWEEN A
BUILDING UPPER RIDGE TO THE WEST AND THE WESTERN ATLANTIC RIDGE ON
MONDAY. THIS COMBINED WITH PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES AROUND 2 INCHES
AND HIGHS IN THE MID/UPPER 90S WILL LEAD TO THE DEVELOPMENT OF
ISOLATED TO SCATTERED AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. SOME OF THE THUNDERSTORMS WILL AGAIN BE STRONG IN THE
AFTERNOON HOURS WITH GUSTY WINDS...FREQUENT LIGHTNING AND LOCALLY
HEAVY RAIN. /13

THIS AFTERNOON'S WET MICROBURST RISK IS HIGH

MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...THE FORECAST AREA WAFFLES FROM
BEING PRIMARILY UNDER THE NEUTRAL POINT OR COL AREA BETWEEN A STRONG
RIDGE TO THE EAST CENTERED OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN ATLANTIC AND ANOTHER
OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN UNITED STATES MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH PERHAPS
TUESDAY TO FALLING UNDER THE EASTERN EDGE OF THE RIDGE TO THE WEST.
DEEP LAYER MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE TO BLANKET THE AREA WITH PWATS
CLIMBING TO AROUND 2.O INCHES DURING THE AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURES ARE
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO TREND A LITTLE WARMER THEN CLIMATOLOGICAL
NORMS. DAY TIME HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL CLIMB INTO THE LOW TO MID 90S.
EXPECT A SEA BREEZE TO DEVELOP ALONG THE COAST EACH AFTERNOON
TRIGGERING ISOLATED TO SCATTERED CONVECTION INTO THE EARLY EVENING AS
IT PUSHES NORTHWARD. ISOLATED CONVECTION IS ALSO POSSIBLE OVER THE
MARINE AREA OVERNIGHT AS A LAND BREEZE AIDED BY THE WEAK NWLY FLOW
ALOFT DEVELOPS LATE EACH NIGHT AND PUSHES SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE GULF
WATERS. /08 JW

.LONG TERM...[FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY]...PERHAPS A LITTLE RELIEF IN THE
TEMPERATURES ARRIVES BY THE END OF THE WORK WEEK. SPECTRAL MODELS
CONTINUE TO SHOW THE TWO HIGH PRESSURE RIDGES ON EITHER SIDE OF US
GETTING DEPRESSED TO THE SOUTH AS A LONGWAVE TROUGH DEVELOPS OVERHEAD
WITH OUR REGION ON THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY. ONLY MINOR SHORTWAVE
TROUGH ENERGY IS CURRENTLY PROJECTED TO IMPACT THE AREA THROUGH THE
WEEKEND SO DON'T EXPECT ANY WIDESPREAD CONVECTIVE OUTBREAKS. MORE
LIKELY WELL SEE A SLIGHT UP TICK IN THE AFTERNOON CONVECTION...AND
AGAIN SLIGHTLY COOLER DAYTIME TEMPERATURES. /08 JW

&&

.AVIATION...18Z ISSUANCE...VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH MOST
OF THE PERIOD. A BRIEF PERIOD OF MVFR CONDITIONS IS POSSIBLE IN AND
AROUND ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS DURING THE
AFTERNOON. /13

&&

.MARINE....A BROAD RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS POSITIONED OVER
THE GULF THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. A LIGHT TO MODERATE AND
MAINLY SOUTHWEST FLOW CONTINUES THROUGH MUCH OF THE PERIOD WITH
LITTLE CHANGE IN SEAS. STORMS THAT DO DEVELOP LOOK TO BE ISOLATED IN
COVERAGE.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MOBILE      76  94  75  94  74 /  20  30  20  30  20
PENSACOLA   79  92  78  93  77 /  20  30  20  20  20
DESTIN      80  91  83  91  83 /  20  30  20  20  20
EVERGREEN   74  97  73  98  73 /  20  30  20  30  10
WAYNESBORO  74  97  73  98  73 /  20  20  20  20  10
CAMDEN      74  97  73  98  72 /  20  20  20  20  10
CRESTVIEW   75  95  75  98  75 /  20  30  20  30  20

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...NONE.
FL...NONE.
MS...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
1030 AM CDT SUN JUN 21 2015

ALZ051>060-261>266-FLZ201>206-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-221115-
CHOCTAW-WASHINGTON-CLARKE-WILCOX-MONROE-CONECUH-BUTLER-CRENSHAW-
ESCAMBIA-COVINGTON-MOBILE INLAND-BALDWIN INLAND-MOBILE CENTRAL-
BALDWIN CENTRAL-MOBILE COASTAL-BALDWIN COASTAL-ESCAMBIA INLAND-
ESCAMBIA COASTAL-SANTA ROSA INLAND-SANTA ROSA COASTAL-
OKALOOSA INLAND-OKALOOSA COASTAL-WAYNE-PERRY-GREENE-STONE-GEORGE-
1030 AM CDT SUN JUN 21 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
ALABAMA...SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...NORTHWEST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST
MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...REST OF TODAY AND TONIGHT

SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON. A
FEW STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON WITH GUSTY
STRAIGHT LINE WINDS...FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING AND BRIEF
PERIODS OF HEAVY LOCALIZED RAINFALL.

HEAT INDEX VALUES WILL CLIMB TO BETWEEN 100 AND 105 DEGREES THIS
AFTERNOON.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CAN BE EXPECTED EACH
AFTERNOON. THE STRONGER THUDNERSTORMS WILL PRODUCE GUSTY
WINDS...FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING AND VERY HEAVY RAIN.

AFTERNOON HEAT INDEX VALUES WILL CLIMB TO BETWEEN 100 AND 106
DEGREES SUNDAY THROUGH MIDWEEK...DECREASING SLIGHTLY TO BETWEEN 97
AND 102 DEGREES THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

ACTIVATION OF SKYWARN SEVERE STORM SPOTTER NETWORKS IS NOT EXPECTED
THROUGH SATURDAY.

GMZ630>635-650-655-670-675-221115-
NORTHERN MOBILE BAY-SOUTHERN MOBILE BAY-MISSISSIPPI SOUND-
PERDIDO BAY-PENSACOLA BAY SYSTEM-CHOCTAWHATCHEE BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
1030 AM CDT SUN JUN 21 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE COASTAL
WATERS OF ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...REST OF TODAY AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
505 PM CDT SUN JUN 21 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0428 PM     TSTM WND DMG     1 NNE SAND HILL         31.35N 88.76W
06/21/2015                   GREENE             MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            TREE AND POWERLINE DOWN AT THE INTERSECTION OF HIGHWAY 42
            AND HIGHWAY 63.

&&

JC

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
507 PM CDT SUN JUN 21 2015

ALZ052-MSZ075-076-079-212300-
WASHINGTON AL-GEORGE MS-PERRY MS-GREENE MS-
507 PM CDT SUN JUN 21 2015

...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT SOUTHWESTERN
WASHINGTON...GEORGE...SOUTHEASTERN GREENE AND SOUTHEASTERN PERRY
COUNTIES UNTIL 600 PM CDT...

AT 506 PM CDT...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WAS LOCATED ALONG A
LINE EXTENDING FROM 9 MILES WEST OF FRUITDALE TO 8 MILES WEST OF
LEAKESVILLE TO NEAR MCLAIN...AND MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
LUCEDALE...            LEAKESVILLE...         MCLAIN...

THE PRIMARY THREATS FROM THESE STORMS ARE WIND GUSTS UP TO 55 MPH.
WINDS THIS STRONG COULD BLOW OFF TREE LIMBS AND ALSO BLOW AROUND
SMALL UNSECURED OBJECTS. SEEK SHELTER UNTIL THESE STORMS HAVE PASSED.

STAY TUNED FOR FURTHER UPDATES FROM YOUR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
MOBILE.

LAT...LON 3108 8894 3118 8872 3136 8857 3133 8847
      3115 8832 3111 8833 3111 8843 3075 8841
      3074 8842 3073 8880
TIME...MOT...LOC 2206Z 332DEG 20KT 3132 8856 3113 8869 3106 8884

BUTTS

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
517 PM CDT SUN JUN 21 2015

ALZ261-263-212315-
MOBILE INLAND AL-MOBILE CENTRAL AL-
517 PM CDT SUN JUN 21 2015

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT INLAND AND CENTRAL
MOBILE COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST ALABAMA UNTIL 615 PM CDT...

AT 516 PM CDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED OVER CREOLA...
MOVING SOUTH AT 5 MPH.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
MOBILE...              PRICHARD...            SARALAND...
SATSUMA...             CHICKASAW...           CREOLA...
DOWNTOWN MOBILE...     AXIS...                I65 AND AL 158...
I65 AND I165...        I65 AND US 43...       I65 AND US 45...

THE PRIMARY THREATS FROM THIS STORM ARE WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH.
WINDS THIS STRONG COULD BLOW OFF TREE LIMBS AND ALSO BLOW AROUND
SMALL UNSECURED OBJECTS. SEEK SHELTER UNTIL THIS STORM HAS PASSED.

SMALL HAIL IS ALSO POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

FREQUENT LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. IF OUTDOORS...STAY
AWAY FROM ISOLATED HIGH OBJECTS SUCH AS TREES. MOVE INDOORS IF
POSSIBLE. STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS AND DOORS. AVOID USING WIRED
TELEPHONES DIRECTLY CONNECTED TO OUTSIDE PHONE LINES.

LAT...LON 3069 8803 3075 8804 3069 8804 3071 8820
      3098 8811 3095 8790 3088 8799 3083 8794
      3081 8799 3076 8802 3072 8801 3075 8800
      3075 8799 3068 8800 3074 8803 3068 8801
      3068 8802
TIME...MOT...LOC 2216Z 008DEG 6KT 3090 8802

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
551 PM CDT SUN JUN 21 2015

FLZ203-212345-
SANTA ROSA INLAND FL-
551 PM CDT SUN JUN 21 2015

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT SANTA ROSA COUNTY UNTIL 645 PM
CDT...

AT 550 PM CDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED OVER POINT BAKER...
OR NEAR MILTON. THE STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEARLY STATIONARY.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
MILTON...              PACE...                WHITING FIELD...
ROEVILLE...            PEA RIDGE...           POINT BAKER...

THE PRIMARY THREATS FROM THIS STORM ARE WIND GUSTS UP TO 55 MPH.
WINDS THIS STRONG COULD BLOW OFF TREE LIMBS AND ALSO BLOW AROUND
SMALL UNSECURED OBJECTS. SEEK SHELTER UNTIL THIS STORM HAS PASSED.

FREQUENT LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. IF OUTDOORS...STAY
AWAY FROM ISOLATED HIGH OBJECTS SUCH AS TREES. MOVE INDOORS IF
POSSIBLE. STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS AND DOORS. AVOID USING WIRED
TELEPHONES DIRECTLY CONNECTED TO OUTSIDE PHONE LINES.

LAT...LON 3059 8716 3077 8728 3086 8699 3065 8695
      3063 8701 3062 8701 3062 8708 3061 8707
      3058 8715
TIME...MOT...LOC 2250Z 159DEG 3KT 3069 8708

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
622 PM CDT SUN JUN 21 2015

ALZ263-220015-
MOBILE CENTRAL AL-
622 PM CDT SUN JUN 21 2015

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT CENTRAL MOBILE COUNTY IN
SOUTHWEST ALABAMA UNTIL 715 PM CDT...

AT 621 PM CDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED OVER MOBILE. THE
STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEARLY STATIONARY.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
MOBILE...              PRICHARD...            CHICKASAW...
MIDTOWN MOBILE...      DOWNTOWN MOBILE...     I65 AND I165...
I10 AND I65...         I65 AND US 45...

THE PRIMARY THREATS FROM THIS STORM ARE WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH.
WINDS THIS STRONG COULD BLOW OFF TREE LIMBS AND ALSO BLOW AROUND
SMALL UNSECURED OBJECTS. SEEK SHELTER UNTIL THIS STORM HAS PASSED.

LAT...LON 3059 8819 3079 8821 3077 8802 3073 8803
      3067 8802 3070 8803 3075 8804 3074 8805
      3066 8803 3066 8804 3065 8805 3066 8805
      3064 8806 3061 8806 3060 8811 3062 8811
      3060 8812
TIME...MOT...LOC 2321Z 357DEG 2KT 3070 8813

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
807 PM CDT SUN JUN 21 2015

FLZ202-204-220200-
ESCAMBIA COASTAL FL-SANTA ROSA COASTAL FL-
807 PM CDT SUN JUN 21 2015

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT SOUTHERN ESCAMBIA COUNTY UNTIL
900 PM CDT...

AT 806 PM CDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED OVER FERRY PASS...
MOVING SOUTHWEST AT 5 MPH.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
PENSACOLA...           GONZALEZ...            FERRY PASS...
PENSACOLA INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT...            MYRTLE GROVE...
GOULDING...            ENSLEY...              BRENT...
BELLVIEW...            WEST PENSACOLA...

THE PRIMARY THREATS FROM THIS STORM ARE HEAVY RAINFALL AND WIND
GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH. WINDS THIS STRONG COULD BLOW OFF TREE LIMBS AND
ALSO BLOW AROUND SMALL UNSECURED OBJECTS. SEEK SHELTER UNTIL THIS
STORM HAS PASSED.

FREQUENT LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. IF OUTDOORS...STAY
AWAY FROM ISOLATED HIGH OBJECTS SUCH AS TREES. MOVE INDOORS IF
POSSIBLE. STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS AND DOORS. AVOID USING WIRED
TELEPHONES DIRECTLY CONNECTED TO OUTSIDE PHONE LINES.

STAY TUNED FOR FURTHER UPDATES FROM YOUR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
MOBILE.

LAT...LON 3052 8745 3062 8723 3054 8713 3057 8717
      3057 8718 3053 8719 3052 8718 3053 8710
      3049 8716 3052 8710 3049 8707 3049 8715
      3042 8718 3038 8731 3037 8727 3033 8728
      3032 8724 3032 8726 3031 8727
TIME...MOT...LOC 0106Z 051DEG 5KT 3052 8720

BUTTS