Severe Thunderstorm Warning 27, NWS Milwaukee, WI

035 
WWUS53 KMKX 131005
SVSMKX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
505 AM CDT MON JUL 13 2015

WIC079-089-117-131030-
/O.CON.KMKX.SV.W.0027.000000T0000Z-150713T1030Z/
SHEBOYGAN WI-OZAUKEE WI-MILWAUKEE WI-
505 AM CDT MON JUL 13 2015

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 530 AM CDT
FOR SOUTHEASTERN SHEBOYGAN...OZAUKEE AND MILWAUKEE COUNTIES...

AT 504 AM CDT...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM NEAR RANDOM LAKE TO GRAFTON TO BROOKFIELD...MOVING
EAST AT 70 MPH. THESE STORMS HAVE A HISTORY OF PRODUCING WIND DAMAGE.

HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS. 

SOURCE...TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTERS. 

IMPACT...EXPECT DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
MILWAUKEE...WEST ALLIS...WAUWATOSA...GREENFIELD...OAK CREEK...
MEQUON...SOUTH MILWAUKEE...CUDAHY...WHITEFISH BAY...GREENDALE...BROWN
DEER...GRAFTON...CEDARBURG...PORT WASHINGTON...ST. FRANCIS...
PLYMOUTH...SHEBOYGAN FALLS...HALES CORNERS...FOX POINT AND SAUKVILLE.

PEOPLE ATTENDING BASTILLE DAYS IN MILWAUKEE SHOULD SEEK SAFE SHELTER
IMMEDIATELY!

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

LAT...LON 4343 8783 4337 8788 4326 8791 4316 8788
      4314 8790 4302 8790 4297 8785 4285 8784
      4286 8807 4333 8806 4337 8806 4337 8804
      4373 8802 4372 8776
TIME...MOT...LOC 1004Z 264DEG 63KT 4356 8801 4331 8794 4308 8811 

HAIL...<.75IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

SPM

062 
WWUS53 KMKX 131014
SVSMKX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
514 AM CDT MON JUL 13 2015

WIC079-089-117-131030-
/O.CON.KMKX.SV.W.0027.000000T0000Z-150713T1030Z/
SHEBOYGAN WI-OZAUKEE WI-MILWAUKEE WI-
514 AM CDT MON JUL 13 2015

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 530 AM CDT
FOR SOUTHEASTERN SHEBOYGAN...OZAUKEE AND MILWAUKEE COUNTIES...

AT 513 AM CDT...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM CEDAR GROVE TO 7 MILES SOUTHEAST OF PORT WASHINGTON TO
WHITEFISH BAY...MOVING EAST AT 70 MPH.

HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS. 

SOURCE...TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTERS. 

IMPACT...EXPECT DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
MILWAUKEE...WEST ALLIS...WAUWATOSA...GREENFIELD...OAK CREEK...
MEQUON...SOUTH MILWAUKEE...CUDAHY...WHITEFISH BAY...GREENDALE...BROWN
DEER...GRAFTON...CEDARBURG...PORT WASHINGTON...ST. FRANCIS...
PLYMOUTH...SHEBOYGAN FALLS...HALES CORNERS...FOX POINT AND SAUKVILLE.

PEOPLE ATTENDING BASTILLE DAYS IN MILWAUKEE SHOULD SEEK SAFE SHELTER
IMMEDIATELY!

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THIS IS A DANGEROUS SITUATION. SEEK SHELTER NOW INSIDE A STURDY 
STRUCTURE AND STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.
 
&&

LAT...LON 4343 8783 4337 8788 4326 8791 4316 8788
      4314 8790 4302 8790 4297 8785 4285 8784
      4286 8807 4333 8806 4337 8806 4337 8804
      4373 8802 4372 8776
TIME...MOT...LOC 1013Z 264DEG 63KT 4357 8781 4332 8774 4310 8792 

HAIL...<.75IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

SPM

923 
WWUS53 KMKX 131022
SVSMKX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
522 AM CDT MON JUL 13 2015

WIC079-089-117-131030-
/O.CON.KMKX.SV.W.0027.000000T0000Z-150713T1030Z/
SHEBOYGAN WI-OZAUKEE WI-MILWAUKEE WI-
522 AM CDT MON JUL 13 2015

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 530 AM CDT
FOR SOUTHEASTERN SHEBOYGAN...OZAUKEE AND MILWAUKEE COUNTIES...

AT 522 AM CDT...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM 8 MILES EAST OF OOSTBURG TO 15 MILES EAST OF PORT
WASHINGTON TO 7 MILES EAST OF WHITEFISH BAY...MOVING EAST AT 70 MPH.

HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...EXPECT DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
MILWAUKEE...WEST ALLIS...WAUWATOSA...GREENFIELD...OAK CREEK...
MEQUON...SOUTH MILWAUKEE...CUDAHY...WHITEFISH BAY...GREENDALE...BROWN
DEER...GRAFTON...CEDARBURG...PORT WASHINGTON...ST. FRANCIS...
PLYMOUTH...SHEBOYGAN FALLS...HALES CORNERS...FOX POINT AND SAUKVILLE.

PEOPLE ATTENDING BASTILLE DAYS IN MILWAUKEE SHOULD SEEK SAFE SHELTER
IMMEDIATELY!

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

LAT...LON 4343 8783 4337 8788 4326 8791 4316 8788
      4314 8790 4302 8790 4297 8785 4285 8784
      4286 8807 4333 8806 4337 8806 4337 8804
      4373 8802 4372 8776
TIME...MOT...LOC 1022Z 264DEG 63KT 4358 8763 4333 8756 4311 8774 

HAIL...<.75IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

SPM

553 
WWUS53 KMKX 131029
SVSMKX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
529 AM CDT MON JUL 13 2015

WIC079-089-117-131039-
/O.EXP.KMKX.SV.W.0027.000000T0000Z-150713T1030Z/
SHEBOYGAN WI-OZAUKEE WI-MILWAUKEE WI-
529 AM CDT MON JUL 13 2015

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN SHEBOYGAN...
OZAUKEE AND MILWAUKEE COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT 530 AM CDT...

THE STORMS WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAVE MOVED OUT OF THE WARNED 
AREA. THEREFORE THE WARNING WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 AM CDT FOR
SOUTHEASTERN WISCONSIN.

LAT...LON 4343 8783 4337 8788 4326 8791 4316 8788
      4314 8790 4302 8790 4297 8785 4285 8784
      4286 8807 4333 8806 4337 8806 4337 8804
      4373 8802 4372 8776
TIME...MOT...LOC 1028Z 264DEG 63KT 4358 8763 4333 8756 4311 8774 

$$

SPM

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
253 AM CDT MON JUL 13 2015

.TODAY AND TONIGHT...FORECAST CONFIDENCE MEDIUM.

THE MORNING CONVECTION SHOULD MOVE OUT OF SOUTHEAST WISCONSIN BY MID
MORNING...POSSIBLY SOONER. IT LOOKS LIKE THE REST OF THE MORNING AND
POSSIBLY THROUGH ABOUT MID AFTERNOON MAY BE DRY. I/LL GO DRY FOR A
FEW HOURS IN THE WAKE OF THE MORNING STORMS...BUT INCREASE POPS
AGAIN TOWARD NOON.  THIS BIG SYSTEM WILL LAY OUT A STABLE AIRMASS
THAT WILL TAKE TIME TO MIX OUT AND RECOVER.  DEW POINTS WILL REMAIN
VERY ELEVATED IN THE LOWER TO MID 70S. WE SHOULD THEN SEE A MORE OR
LESS UNCAPPED AIRMASS DEVELOP WITH CAPE CLIMBING TO NEAR 3000J/KG
LATER THIS AFTERNOON. THIS IS AT A TIME WE HAVE A SURFACE TROF
APPROACHING FROM THE WEST...COUPLED WITH STRONG WESTERLIES ALOFT
ASSOCIATED WITH A SERIES OF MID LEVEL SHORT WAVES TRACKING THROUGH A
ZONAL TO NORTHWEST FLOW.  DEEP LAYER SHEAR OFF THE NAM SHOWS 40-
50KTS IN THE LATE AFTERNOON/EVENING. SPC HAS KEPT THE ENTIRE AREA IN
A SLIGHT RISK WITH THE ENHANCED AREA ACROSS THE FAR SOUTH/SOUTHWEST.
THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER DAY 1 DISCUSSION COVERS THE REGIONAL
DETAILS WELL. WE ARE ON THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE EXPECTED
REDEVELOPMENT THIS AFTERNOON WITH THE BIG FOCUS SOUTH ACROSS
ILLINOIS INTO THE OHIO VALLEY. IT/S ENTIRELY POSSIBLE THAT THE
REDEVELOPMENT WILL OCCUR JUST TO OUR SOUTH AND WE MAY ESCAPE THE BAD
STUFF.  THE THREAT FOR STORMS WILL LINGER INTO THE EVENING WITH
DRIER WEATHER MOVING IN AFTER MIDNIGHT.

.TUESDAY - CONFIDENCE...MEDIUM
500 MILLIBAR SHORTWAVE TROUGH PROGGD TO SLIDE SOUTHEAST THROUGH
THE AREA. IN ADDITION...850/925 BOUNDARY WILL DROPPING INTO THE
AREA SHIFTING WINDS TO THE NORTHEAST ESPECIALLY NEAR LAKE
MICHIGAN. THE NAM HAS COME AROUND TO BE MORE IN LINE WITH THE
GFS/ECMWF WITH REGARDS TO THIS WIND SHIFT WITH POTENTIALLY GUSTY
NNE WINDS ESP NEAR THE LAKE IN THE AFTERNOON AFTER THE FROPA. WILL
KEEP THE CHANCE POPS GOING FOR POPS UP SHRA/TSRA WITH GFS BUFKIT
SHOWING SOME CAPE VALUES PUSHING 1000 J/KG.

.TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT - CONFIDENCE...MEDIUM
MODELS SHOW HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING IN WITH NE-E FLOW AND COOLER
AIRMASS. LEFT A SMALL POP FOR INLAND AREAS DURING THE EVENING TO
ACCOUNT FOR ANY LINGERING SHRA FROM ANY AFTERNOON DEVELOPMENT. 500
MILLIBAR HEIGHTS WILL BE BUILDING INTO WEDNESDAY. MODELS HAVE
BACKED OFF ON PRECIP DEVELOPMENT FOR THE CWA DURG THE AFTN. NOT
SEEING THE SUSPICIOUS VORTS EITHER SO THIS LENDS A BIT MORE
CONFIDENCE TO KEEPING THINGS ON THE DRY SIDE. THE GEM AND ECMWF
APPEAR TO HAVE AN OVERALL BETTER HANDLE ON THE VORT PATTERN
HEADING INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHT. SO GOING WITH COOLER AND DRIER
CONDITIONS WITH THE HIGH DOMINATING. ACTUALLY LOOKS NOW THAT THE
ANTICYCLONIC LOW LEVEL FLOW AND FEED OF DRY AIR WILL KEEP MUCH IF
NOT ALL OF THE CWA DRY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT. MAY HAVE A SMALL
POP IN THE FAR WEST LATER IN THE NIGHT.

.THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT - CONFIDENCE...MEDIUM
MID LEVEL RIDGE AXIS SHIFTS INTO THE EASTERN LAKES. ALL MODELS
SHOW A 500 MILLIBAR SHORTWAVE AFFECTING THE AREA THURSDAY
AFTERNOON/EVENING. DECENT WAA AND INFLUENCE OF 850 JET BECOMES
MORE OF A FACTOR THURSDAY NIGHT. MODEL QPF PROGS SHOW MORE
CONSENSUS FOR THE THURSDAY NIGHT PERIOD RATHER THAN THURSDAY
AFTERNOON. THERE IS ALSO A WEAK 250 JETLET PROGGD TO ENHANCE UPPER
DIVERGENCE A BIT THURSDAY NIGHT. GFS CAPES ARE NOT AS HIGH AS
PRIOR RUNS.

.FRIDAY - CONFIDENCE...LOW
THE ECMWF BRINGS IN WEAK SURFACE RIDGING AND BUILDING 500 HEIGHTS
AND SUBSEQUENT DRIER CONDITIONS. MEANWHILE THE GFS AND GEM STILL
SHOW LINGERING SURFACE/850 TROUGH AND ANOTHER 500 MILLIBAR SHORTWAVE.
WILL KEEP THE SUPERBLEND POPS IN PLACE FOR NOW.

.SATURDAY AND SUNDAY - CONFIDENCE...MEDIUM
GFS/ECMWF SHOW 588/591DM RIDGE BUILDING UP BRIEFLY ACROSS THE
AREA. EXPECTING A WARM AND HUMID PERIOD WITH 925 TEMPS INTO THE
MID 20S CELSIUS. SHORTWAVE ENERGY PROGGD TO COLLAPSE THE RIDGE
RIDING AROUND THE RIDGE MAY BRING SOME STORMS INTO SRN WI SATURDAY
NIGHT OR SUNDAY.

&&

.AVIATION/12Z TAFS/...LOOK FOR THE EARLY MORNING STRONG THUNDERSTORMS
TO MOVE OFF TO THE SOUTH AND EAST BY ABOUT 13-14Z...EARLIER AT KMSN.
MVFR AND SOME IFR CONDITIONS WILL BE AROUND THROUGH ABOUT THEN...THEN
CONDITIONS IMPROVE TO VFR LEVELS BY ABOUT MID AFTERNOON AND WILL
LIKELY CONTINUE THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE TAF PERIOD. WE ARE
EXPECTING REDEVELOPMENT OF SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS LATER THIS
AFTERNOON AND INTO THE EVENING. AS ALWAYS...BRIEF MVFR CONDITIONS
ARE POSSIBLE IN AND AROUND THUNDERSTORMS.

&&

.MKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WI...NONE.
LM...NONE.
&&

TODAY/TONIGHT AND AVIATION/MARINE...DAVIS
TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...COLLAR

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
420 AM CDT MON JUL 13 2015

WIZ046-047-051-052-056>060-062>072-140930-
MARQUETTE-GREEN LAKE-FOND DU LAC-SHEBOYGAN-SAUK-COLUMBIA-DODGE-
WASHINGTON-OZAUKEE-IOWA-DANE-JEFFERSON-WAUKESHA-MILWAUKEE-
LAFAYETTE-GREEN-ROCK-WALWORTH-RACINE-KENOSHA-
420 AM CDT MON JUL 13 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EAST CENTRAL
WISCONSIN...SOUTH CENTRAL WISCONSIN AND SOUTHEAST WISCONSIN.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL EXIT THE AREA BY AROUND 8 AM
THIS MORNING. MORE STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE
THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THE ENTIRE AREA IS IN A SLIGHT RISK
FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH THE AFTERNOON STORMS WITH AN AREA OF
ENHANCED RISK SOUTH OF MADISON. HAIL...STRONG WINDS AND A FEW
TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE.

THE HEAT INDEX WILL APPROACH 95 OVER MOST AREAS TODAY...EXCLUDING
THOSE COUNTIES CLOSE TO LAKE MICHIGAN.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH TUESDAY...WITH
THUNDERSTORMS CHANCES RETURNING OFF AND ON FOR THURSDAY THROUGH
SUNDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL BE NEEDED TODAY.

LMZ643>646-140930-
SHEBOYGAN TO PORT WASHINGTON WI-
PORT WASHINGTON TO NORTH POINT LIGHT WI-
NORTH POINT LIGHT TO WIND POINT WI-
WIND POINT WI TO WINTHROP HARBOR IL-
420 AM CDT MON JUL 13 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE MICHIGAN.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL EXIT THE AREA BY AROUND 8 AM
THIS MORNING. MORE STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE
THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THE ENTIRE AREA IS IN A SLIGHT RISK
FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH THE AFTERNOON STORMS. HAIL...STRONG
WINDS AND A FEW TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE.

MARINERS SHOULD ALSO BE PREPARED FOR AREAS OF FOG AS VERY MOIST
AIR CONTINUES TO MOVE INTO THE REGION.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH TUESDAY...WITH
THUNDERSTORMS CHANCES RETURNING OFF AND ON FOR THURSDAY THROUGH
SUNDAY.

DAVIS

WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MKX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
413 AM CDT MON JUL 13 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0405 AM     TSTM WND DMG     COLUMBUS                43.34N 89.01W
07/13/2015                   COLUMBIA           WI   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            MULTIPLE TREES DOWN

&&

BHERZOG

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
425 AM CDT MON JUL 13 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0415 AM     TSTM WND DMG     MOUNT HOREB             43.01N 89.74W
07/13/2015                   DANE               WI   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            MANY TREES DOWN, AT LEAST ONE ON A HOUSE AND ONE ON
            POWERLINES. RELAYED VIA TWITTER.

&&

BHERZOG

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
435 AM CDT MON JUL 13 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0405 AM     TSTM WND GST     SUN PRAIRIE             43.18N 89.23W
07/13/2015  M64 MPH          DANE               WI   PUBLIC

            WIND SPEED MEASURED VIA HOME WEATHER STATION. RELAYED VIA
            FACEBOOK.

&&

BHERZOG

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
439 AM CDT MON JUL 13 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0405 AM     TSTM WND GST     BELLEVILLE              42.86N 89.54W
07/13/2015  M74 MPH          DANE               WI   TRAINED SPOTTER

            MEASURED ON A HOME WEATHER STATION.

&&

BHERZOG

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
448 AM CDT MON JUL 13 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0315 AM     TSTM WND GST     HARRISVILLE             43.88N 89.41W
07/13/2015  E55 MPH          MARQUETTE          WI   PUBLIC

            RELAYED VIA FACEBOOK.

&&

BHERZOG

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
450 AM CDT MON JUL 13 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0400 AM     TSTM WND GST     DE FOREST               43.25N 89.35W
07/13/2015  E55 MPH          DANE               WI   TRAINED SPOTTER

            RELAYED VIA FACEBOOK.

&&

BHERZOG