Severe Thunderstorm Warning 22, NWS Milwaukee, WI

960 
WWUS53 KMKX 130804
SVSMKX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
304 AM CDT MON JUL 13 2015

WIC021-077-111-130845-
/O.CON.KMKX.SV.W.0022.000000T0000Z-150713T0845Z/
SAUK WI-COLUMBIA WI-MARQUETTE WI-
304 AM CDT MON JUL 13 2015

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 345 AM CDT
FOR NORTHERN SAUK...NORTHWESTERN COLUMBIA AND MARQUETTE COUNTIES...

AT 303 AM CDT...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM NEAR PLAINFIELD TO 10 MILES SOUTHEAST OF ADAMS TO
HILLSBORO...MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH.

HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND DAMAGE TO 
         ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
REEDSBURG...WISCONSIN DELLS...LAKE DELTON...MONTELLO...WESTFIELD...
LAWRENCE...PACKWAUKEE...NORTH FREEDOM...OXFORD...ENDEAVOR...
NESHKORO...LA VALLE...ROCK SPRINGS...IRONTON...SPRINGFIELD CORNERS...
BRIGGSVILLE...GLEN OAK...HARRISVILLE AND ROCKY ARBOR STATE PARK.

PEOPLE ATTENDING THE MARQUETTE COUNTY FAIR SHOULD SEEK SAFE SHELTER
IMMEDIATELY!

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

LAT...LON 4364 8928 4346 8989 4351 9019 4356 9020
      4356 9031 4364 9031 4364 8960 4398 8960
      4398 8922
TIME...MOT...LOC 0803Z 274DEG 35KT 4415 8956 4384 8969 4363 9033 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

SPM

152 
WWUS53 KMKX 130818
SVSMKX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
318 AM CDT MON JUL 13 2015

WIC021-077-111-130845-
/O.CON.KMKX.SV.W.0022.000000T0000Z-150713T0845Z/
SAUK WI-COLUMBIA WI-MARQUETTE WI-
318 AM CDT MON JUL 13 2015

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 345 AM CDT
FOR NORTHERN SAUK...NORTHWESTERN COLUMBIA AND MARQUETTE COUNTIES...

AT 317 AM CDT...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM 6 MILES NORTHWEST OF WAUTOMA TO 7 MILES SOUTH OF
WESTFIELD TO NEAR WONEWOC...MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH.

HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND DAMAGE TO 
         ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
REEDSBURG...WISCONSIN DELLS...LAKE DELTON...MONTELLO...WESTFIELD...
LAWRENCE...PACKWAUKEE...NORTH FREEDOM...OXFORD...ENDEAVOR...
NESHKORO...LA VALLE...ROCK SPRINGS...IRONTON...SPRINGFIELD CORNERS...
BRIGGSVILLE...GLEN OAK...HARRISVILLE AND ROCKY ARBOR STATE PARK.

PEOPLE ATTENDING THE MARQUETTE COUNTY FAIR SHOULD SEEK SAFE SHELTER
IMMEDIATELY!

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

LAT...LON 4364 8928 4346 8989 4351 9019 4356 9020
      4356 9031 4364 9031 4364 8960 4398 8960
      4398 8922
TIME...MOT...LOC 0817Z 285DEG 34KT 4413 8937 4378 8952 4362 9014 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

SPM

995 
WWUS53 KMKX 130831
SVSMKX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
331 AM CDT MON JUL 13 2015

WIC021-077-111-130845-
/O.CON.KMKX.SV.W.0022.000000T0000Z-150713T0845Z/
SAUK WI-COLUMBIA WI-MARQUETTE WI-
331 AM CDT MON JUL 13 2015

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 345 AM CDT
FOR NORTHEASTERN SAUK...NORTHWESTERN COLUMBIA AND CENTRAL MARQUETTE
COUNTIES...

AT 330 AM CDT...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM NEAR WAUTOMA TO NEAR MONTELLO TO NEAR REEDSBURG...
MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH.

HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND DAMAGE TO 
         ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
REEDSBURG...WISCONSIN DELLS...LAKE DELTON...MONTELLO...PACKWAUKEE...
ENDEAVOR...NESHKORO...LA VALLE...BRIGGSVILLE...GLEN OAK AND ROCKY
ARBOR STATE PARK.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

LAT...LON 4347 8985 4357 9016 4364 8991 4364 8960
      4373 8960 4377 8945 4398 8936 4398 8922
      4364 8928
TIME...MOT...LOC 0830Z 285DEG 34KT 4411 8924 4376 8939 4359 9001 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

SPM

770 
WWUS53 KMKX 130845
SVSMKX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
345 AM CDT MON JUL 13 2015

WIC021-077-111-130852-
/O.EXP.KMKX.SV.W.0022.000000T0000Z-150713T0845Z/
SAUK WI-COLUMBIA WI-MARQUETTE WI-
345 AM CDT MON JUL 13 2015

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN SAUK...
NORTHWESTERN COLUMBIA AND CENTRAL MARQUETTE COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT
345 AM CDT...
    
THE STORMS WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAVE MOVED OUT OF THE AREA. 
THEREFORE THE WARNING WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE. HOWEVER...WIND 
GUSTS OF 30 TO 45 MPH ARE STILL POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

LAT...LON 4347 8985 4357 9016 4364 8991 4364 8960
      4373 8960 4377 8945 4398 8936 4398 8922
      4364 8928
TIME...MOT...LOC 0841Z 274DEG 35KT 4411 8924 4376 8939 4359 9001 

$$

SPM

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
932 PM CDT SUN JUL 12 2015

.UPDATE...STILL EXPECT UPSTREAM SEVERE/NEAR SEVERE CONVECTION OVER
CENTRAL MN TO TAKE A TURN SOUTHEAST AND MOVE ALONG INSTABILITY
GRADIENT DRAPED ACROSS SE MN/ERN IA/WRN WI. UPSTREAM SHORT WAVE
TROF OVER WRN MN AND INCREASING UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE FROM LEFT
EXIT REGION OF UPPER JET SHOULD CARRY CONVECTION ACROSS MUCH OF
SRN WI LATE TONIGHT INTO EARLY MON. THINKING HRRR AND NAMNEST HAVE
BETTER HANDLE ON CONVECTION AS NAM HAD GOOD HANDLE ON CONVECTIVE
INTIATION LOCATION WITH REGARDS TO MOISTURE FLUX CONVERGENCE INTO
WEST CENTRAL MN LATE IN THE AFTN. WRF-ARW AND WRF-NMM TOO FAR
NORTH WITH ON-GOING CONVECTION AND LIKELY TO BE TOO SLOW. WILL
CONTINUE TO FOCUS ON PERIOD FROM 09Z THROUGH 13Z. NOT RULING OUT
ISOLD TO SCT ACTIVITY DEVELOPING AHEAD OF MAIN LINE DUE TO
INCREASING LOW LEVEL THETA-E ADVECTION AS WELL.

&&

.AVIATION/06Z TAFS/...INCREASING LOW LEVEL AND MOISTURE
CONVERGENCE LIKELY TO CAUSE AREAS OF STRATUS TO PERSIST THROUGH
THE NIGHT. LATEST 11-3.9 MICRON IMAGERY SHOWING SOME INCREASE IN
WRN CWA. CIG HEIGHTS FLIRTING WITH 3K FEET SO WL LIKELY HAVE TO
HAVE SOME MVFR CIGS PRIOR TO UPSTREAM CONVECTION AFFECTING TAF
SITES...ESTIMATED MAINLY BETWEEN 09Z AND 13Z.

&&

.MARINE...LATEST MODIS ESTIMATE OF LAKE SURFACE TEMP MEASURED
TEMPS IN THE 63 TO 66 RANGE OFFSHORE. WITH HIGHER DEWPOINT AIR
EXPECTED TO SPREAD IN LATER TONIGHT AND MONDAY...EXPECTED PATCHY
FOG TO TRANSITION TO MORE WIDESPREAD FOG LATE TONIGHT OR MONDAY.
EXPECTED SHOWERS AND STORMS LATE TONIGHT LIKELY TO REDUCE THE FOG
FOR A TIME BUT MORE LIKELY TO DEVELOP MONDAY MORNING.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 423 PM CDT SUN JUL 12 2015/

SHORT TERM...

TONIGHT AND MONDAY MORNING... FORECAST CONFIDENCE MEDIUM.

THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING THIS AFTERNOON OVER EASTERN ND/ WESTERN MN
WILL EXPAND INTO BOWING LINE SEGMENTS AND EVENTUALLY CROSS SOUTHERN
WI...PROBABLY BETWEEN 4 AM AND 8 AM. THERE IS STILL SOME MINOR MODEL
VARIABILITY MEANING THERE IS STILL SOME UNCERTAINTY ABOUT WHERE THE
STRONGEST STORMS WILL TRACK. SPC IS FAVORING THE TRACK WHERE THE
STORMS DIVE SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE TWIN CITIES AND SOUTHWEST WI...
CLOSEST TO THE INSTABILITY GRADIENT. THIS IS A MORE COMMON
OCCURRENCE WITH STORMS. THE OTHER POSSIBILITY IS THAT THE BULK OF
THE STORMS COULD TRACK DUE EAST WITH THE NORTHERN EDGE OF THE MID
LEVEL SHORTWAVE AND CROSS CENTRAL WI.

BOTH SCENARIOS IMPACT SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST WI WITH
THUNDERSTORMS OVERNIGHT INTO MONDAY MORNING... SO INCREASED THE POPS
AND KEPT THE MENTION OF CHANCE FOR SEVERE STORMS WITH DAMAGING WIND.
ELEVATED CAPE WILL BE OVER 4000 J/KG WITH MODERATE BULK SHEAR TO
SUPPORT A PERSISTENT DAMAGING WIND THREAT.

MANY OF THE MODELS DELAY THE SYSTEM REACHING SOUTHERN WI UNTIL 09Z
OR LATER. THEY ARE ALSO SHOWING CONVECTION DEVELOPING AHEAD OF THE
MAIN STORM COMPLEX DUE TO LOW LEVEL WARM AIR ADVECTION. KEPT CHANCE
OF THUNDERSTORMS OUT AHEAD OF THE MAIN LINE FOR THE FORECAST. THERE
IS A HAIL THREAT FOR ANY ORGANIZED STORMS THAT DEVELOP.

MONDAY AFTERNOON... FORECAST CONFIDENCE MEDIUM.

WE ARE KEEPING OUR EYES ON THE POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE WEATHER MONDAY
AFTERNOON IN SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST WI. THE 12Z NAM AND GFS ARE
SHOWING HIGH CAPE WITH THE SURFACE WARM FRONT IN THE VICINITY. IF
CONVECTION CAN DEVELOP... STORMS SHOULD BE SUPERCELLULAR AND QUICKLY
EVOLVE INTO BOWING LINE SEGMENTS. SOME OF THE MESO MODELS DEVELOP
THE STORMS IN CENTRAL WI BUT THE SYNOPTIC MODELS SHOW DEVELOPMENT IN
SOUTHEAST WI.

SPC UPGRADED THE SOUTH HALF OF THE MKX AREA TO AN ENHANCED RISK FOR
THIS EVENT. THE SEVERE POTENTIAL WILL BE HIGHLY DEPENDENT ON HOW THE
CONVECTION EVOLVES OVERNIGHT INTO MONDAY MORNING. STAY TUNED.

MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY...FORECAST CONFIDENCE MEDIUM

THERE WILL BE A CHANCE OF ONGOING THUNDERSTORMS MAINLY SOUTHEAST
EARLY DURING THE EVENING. MIXED LAYER CAPE ON THE GFS WILL STILL
BE AROUND 2200 JOULES/KG WITH ZERO TO 6 KM SHEAR AROUND 35 KNOTS.
THE NAM DIMINISHES THE THUNDERSTORM CHANCES SOONER...BEING MAINLY
SOUTH OVER NORTHERN ILLINOIS BY MONDAY EVENING.

THE MID LEVELS DRY BY MID EVENING AS LOW AND MID LEVELS WINDS
BECOME WEST.

THE UPPER FLOW BECOMES MORE NORTHWEST AFTER A WEAK UPPER LEVEL
SHORTWAVE EXITING THE SOUTHEAST EARLY TUESDAY MORNING...ALONG WITH
A WEAKENING 85 KNOT 250 MB JET ACROSS ILLINOIS THAT SAGS A BIT
SOUTH.

THE GFS SHARPENS THE 700 MB MID LEVEL SHORTWAVE AFTER IT EXITS THE
SOUTHEAST EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. THE 700 MB RH DRIES TUESDAY BUT
850 MB LEVELS REMAIN MOIST WITH 850 MB DEWPOINTS NEAR 16 CELSIUS
WITH SURFACE DEW POINTS IN THE UPPER 60S.

A BACKDOOR COLD FRONT SHOULD REACH EAST SECTIONS AND SPREAD INLAND
DUE TO THE COOLER AIR OVER LAKE MICHIGAN.

AFTERNOON CAPES RANGE FROM 1200 NORTHEAST TO 2000 JOULES/KG.
LOW LEVEL LAPSE RATES ARE STEEP...AND THERE IS ONLY A MINIMAL
CAP. THE GFS NAM AND 00Z ECMWF SHOW LIGHT TO MODERATE
PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS. A STRONG TRIGGER IS LACKING...BUT SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS ARE A POSSIBILITY TUESDAY.

TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...FORECAST CONFIDENCE MEDIUM

THE MID/UPPER LEVEL RIDGE PUSHES INTO THE UPPER MISSISSIPPI
VALLEY. THE 700 MB FLOW IS FROM THE NORTHWEST BUT AS THE 850 MB
RIDGE MOVES TOWARD LAKE MICHIGAN...A LIGHT SOUTH FLOW BEGINS
TOWARD EVENING.

HIGH PRESSURE WILL EXTEND ACROSS THE NORTHERN GREAT LAKES TUESDAY
NIGHT THEN MOVE TOWARD THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.
LOW DEWPOINTS IN THE 50S...AND EVEN SOME MID 40S NORTH AREAS WILL
BEGIN TO RISE DURING THE AFTERNOON...OVER INLAND AREAS.

LONG TERM...

THURSDAY AND FRIDAY...FORECAST CONFIDENCE MEDIUM

THE GFS AND 00Z ECMWF HAVE A FAIRLY ZONAL FLOW WITH ONE OR TWO
WEAK SHORTWAVES MOVING ACROSS WISCONSIN AS A STRONG TROUGH DROPS
INTO THE NORTHWEST U.S.

AS THE SURFACE HIGH OVER THE UPPER GREAT LAKES RECEDES TO
THE EAST...A RETURN FLOW RESULTS IN A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND THURSDAY NIGHT ON THE GFS AND 00Z
ECMWF...AS A SURFACE TROUGH MOVES ACROSS SOUTHERN WISCONSIN.

SATURDAY...FORECAST CONFIDENCE MEDIUM

BOTH THE GFS AND ECMWF PUSH A MID LEVEL TROUGH INTO THE NORTHERN
ROCKIES AND NORTHERN PLAINS. THE ECMWF IS A LITTLE QUICKER WITH A
STRONGER DOWNSTREAM SHORTWAVE LINGERING NORTH OF THE EASTERN
GREAT LAKES.

A SURFACE TROUGH MOVES ACROSS THE AREA WITH A CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS AGAIN LATER SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT.

SUNDAY...FORECAST CONFIDENCE MEDIUM

THE 00Z ECMWF CUTS OFF A LOW OFF THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST WITH THE
MAIN TROUGH MOVING ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL CANADA. THE GFS HAS MORE
OF A TROUGH OVER THE NORTHERN ROCKIES.

AVIATION/00Z TAFS/...

THE MOIST BOUNDARY LAYER IS KEEPING CLOUD BASES IN THE MVFR RANGE
FROM 2 TO 3 KFT THIS AFTERNOON. I AM EXPECTING A PERIOD OF MOSTLY
CLEAR SKIES IN SOUTHERN WI AFTER SUNSET THIS EVENING.

VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED UNTIL STORMS ARRIVE AFTER ABOUT 08 OR 09Z
MONDAY. WE ARE EXPECTING A LINE OF STRONG STORMS TO TRACK OUT OF MN
AND HEAD SOUTHEAST THROUGH SOUTHERN WI EARLY MONDAY MORNING. THIS IS
MAINLY A STRAIGHT-LINE WIND EVENT AND WE COULD SEE DAMAGING WIND
WITH THE LINE. ANY OF THE HEAVIER STORMS WILL HAVE MVFR AND IFR
CONDITIONS AT LEAST FOR A TIME.  THERE COULD BE SOME ISOLATED STORMS
AHEAD OF THE MAIN LINE TONIGHT AFTER MIDNIGHT.

DEPENDING ON HOW QUICKLY OUR ATMOSPHERE CAN RECOVER DURING THE DAY
MONDAY... ANOTHER ROUND OF THUNDERSTORMS IS POSSIBLE MONDAY
AFTERNOON/EVENING AND THESE COULD BE SEVERE.

MARINE...

AREAS OF FOG DEVELOPED OVER PORTIONS OF THE NEARSHORE WATERS...
APPARENT ON WEBCAMS AND SOMEWHAT ON VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY.
VISIBILITY WILL BE 1 MILE OR LESS AT TIMES. THE CHANCE FOR FOG WILL
PERSIST THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT WITH WARM AND MOIST AIR OVER THE REGION.

&&

.MKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WI...NONE.
LM...NONE.
&&

UPDATE...MBK

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
323 PM CDT SUN JUL 12 2015

WIZ046-047-051-052-056>060-062>072-132030-
MARQUETTE-GREEN LAKE-FOND DU LAC-SHEBOYGAN-SAUK-COLUMBIA-DODGE-
WASHINGTON-OZAUKEE-IOWA-DANE-JEFFERSON-WAUKESHA-MILWAUKEE-
LAFAYETTE-GREEN-ROCK-WALWORTH-RACINE-KENOSHA-
323 PM CDT SUN JUL 12 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EAST CENTRAL
WISCONSIN...SOUTH CENTRAL WISCONSIN AND SOUTHEAST WISCONSIN.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING MAINLY STRAIGHT-LINE
WIND DAMAGE IS POSSIBLE LATE TONIGHT. THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER
HAS ALL OF SOUTHERN WISCONSIN IN A SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS...AND A GREATER...ENHANCED AREA WEST OF A MONTELLO
TO MADISON TO JANESVILLE LINE. THE FAVORED WINDOW FOR THE SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS IS EXPECTED MAINLY AFTER 2 AM.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS SOUTH OF A
SPRING GREEN TO PORTAGE TO CEDARBURG LINE ON MONDAY. THERE IS A
SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE STORMS TO THE NORTH.

THUNDERSTORMS MAY BE EXITING SOUTHERN WISCONSIN MONDAY MORNING.
ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE DURING THE AFTERNOON WITH
THE RISK OF DAMAGING WINDS LARGE HAIL AND EVEN A TORNADO
POSSIBILITY.

HEAT INDEX VALUES MAY APPROACH 95...ESPECIALLY WEST AND SOUTH OF
MADISON MONDAY AFTERNOON.

THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH TUESDAY...WITH
THUNDERSTORMS CHANCES RETURNING OFF AND ON FOR WEDNESDAY NIGHT
THROUGH SUNDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED LATE TONIGHT AND AGAIN MONDAY
AFTERNOON.

LMZ643>646-132030-
SHEBOYGAN TO PORT WASHINGTON WI-
PORT WASHINGTON TO NORTH POINT LIGHT WI-
NORTH POINT LIGHT TO WIND POINT WI-
WIND POINT WI TO WINTHROP HARBOR IL-
323 PM CDT SUN JUL 12 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE MICHIGAN.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING HIGH WINDS IS POSSIBLE
DURING THE EARLY MORNING HOURS.

MARINERS SHOULD ALSO BE PREPARED FOR AREAS OF FOG AS VERY MOIST
AIR CONTINUES TO MOVE INTO THE REGION.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS SOUTH OF PORT
WASHINGTON. THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE STORMS TO THE NORTH.

THUNDERSTORMS MAY BE EXITING THE LAKE MICHIGAN SHORE AREA MONDAY MORNING.
ADDITIONAL SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE DURING THE AFTERNOON.

THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH TUESDAY...WITH
THUNDERSTORMS CHANCES RETURNING OFF AND ON FOR WEDNESDAY NIGHT
THROUGH SUNDAY.

HENTZ/MBK

WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MKX

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
153 AM CDT MON JUL 13 2015

WIZ046-047-051-056>058-062>064-067-130815-
JEFFERSON-SAUK-FOND DU LAC-LAFAYETTE-IOWA-GREEN
LAKE-COLUMBIA-DODGE-MARQUETTE-DANE-
153 AM CDT MON JUL 13 2015

...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT IOWA...SAUK...
COLUMBIA...GREEN LAKE...NORTHWESTERN JEFFERSON...MARQUETTE...DODGE...
DANE...NORTHERN LAFAYETTE AND WESTERN FOND DU LAC COUNTIES...

AT 151 AM CDT...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WAS ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM 13 MILES EAST OF MEDFORD TO 11 MILES EAST OF MILLSTON
TO NEAR RUSHFORD...AND MOVING SOUTHEAST AT ABOUT 35 MPH.

WINDS OF 30 TO 40 MPH AND DIME SIZE HAIL ARE POSSIBLE WITH THESE
STORMS.

THESE STORMS WILL BE NEAR...
  PORTAGE AROUND 250 AM CDT.
  PARDEEVILLE AROUND 255 AM CDT.
  RIO AROUND 300 AM CDT.
  CAMBRIA AROUND 305 AM CDT.
  FALL RIVER AROUND 310 AM CDT.
  COLUMBUS AND DODGEVILLE AROUND 315 AM CDT.

OTHER LOCATIONS IMPACTED BY THESE STORMS INCLUDE EAST BRISTOL...MOUNT
VERNON...PINE BLUFF...OXFORD...FOX LAKE...MERRIMAC...ENDEAVOR...
PLAIN...BURNETT AND MINNESOTA JUNCTION.

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS...AND MAY
CAUSE LOCALIZED FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 15 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE
SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.

THESE STORMS MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO AND
TV STATIONS...AS WELL AS LOCAL CABLE TV OUTLETS...FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

LAT...LON 4390 8888 4389 8841 4394 8840 4394 8836
      4320 8867 4280 9012 4299 9043 4320 9043
      4321 9029 4317 9019 4355 9019 4356 9031
      4364 9031 4364 8960 4398 8960 4398 8889
TIME...MOT...LOC 0651Z 307DEG 59KT 4509 9008 4420 9042 4385 9171

MBK

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
232 AM CDT MON JUL 13 2015

WIZ046-047-051-056>058-062-063-130830-
SAUK-FOND DU LAC-IOWA-GREEN LAKE-COLUMBIA-DODGE-MARQUETTE-DANE-
232 AM CDT MON JUL 13 2015

...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT NORTHERN IOWA...SAUK...
COLUMBIA...GREEN LAKE...MARQUETTE...NORTHWESTERN DODGE...NORTHERN
DANE AND WEST CENTRAL FOND DU LAC COUNTIES...

AT 232 AM CDT...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WAS ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM NEAR RIB MOUNTAIN TO NEAR NEW LISBON TO NEAR SPRING
GROVE...AND MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 35 MPH.

WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
EASTERN MADISON...SUN PRAIRIE...MIDDLETON...WAUNAKEE...BARABOO...
PORTAGE...REEDSBURG...RIPON...WINDSOR...BERLIN...COLUMBUS...PRAIRIE
DU SAC...SAUK CITY...WISCONSIN DELLS...LAKE WISCONSIN...DEFOREST...
CROSS PLAINS...LODI...LAKE DELTON AND POYNETTE.

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS...AND MAY
CAUSE LOCALIZED FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 15 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE
SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.

THESE STORMS MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO AND
TV STATIONS...AS WELL AS LOCAL CABLE TV OUTLETS...FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

LAT...LON 4390 8889 4389 8879 4319 8912 4294 9043
      4320 9043 4321 9029 4317 9019 4355 9019
      4356 9031 4364 9031 4364 8960 4398 8960
      4398 8889
TIME...MOT...LOC 0732Z 312DEG 49KT 4491 8963 4385 9011 4357 9156

MBK