Gale Warning 33, NWS Milwaukee, WI

148 
WHUS73 KMKX 231036
MWWMKX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
436 AM CST WED DEC 23 2015

...BREEZY SOUTH WINDS TODAY WITH GALE FORCE GUSTS TONIGHT...

BREEZY SOUTHERLY WINDS AND HIGH WAVES ARE EXPECTED TODAY AND
EARLY EVENING BEFORE A STRONG COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE SHIFTS THE
WINDS TO THE SOUTHWEST AND WEST LATE THIS EVENING. AREAS OF FOG
WILL PREVAIL BEFORE THE COLD FRONT ARRIVES WITH SOME DENSE FOG
THIS MORNING. GALE FORCE WIND GUSTS WILL THEN OCCUR WITH THE
WESTERLY FLOW LATE THIS EVENING AND DURING THE OVERNIGHT. WINDS
AND WAVES WILL SUBSIDE THURSDAY MORNING.

LMZ643>646-231845-
/O.NEW.KMKX.MF.Y.0019.151223T1036Z-151223T1800Z/
/O.CON.KMKX.SC.Y.0115.000000T0000Z-151224T0200Z/
/O.CON.KMKX.GL.W.0033.151224T0200Z-151224T1200Z/
SHEBOYGAN TO PORT WASHINGTON WI-
PORT WASHINGTON TO NORTH POINT LIGHT WI-
NORTH POINT LIGHT TO WIND POINT WI-
WIND POINT WI TO WINTHROP HARBOR IL-
436 AM CST WED DEC 23 2015

...DENSE FOG ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CST TODAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM CST THIS
EVENING...
...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 AM
CST THURSDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN HAS ISSUED A
DENSE FOG ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CST TODAY. 

* WINDS: SOUTHERLY WINDS 15 TO 25 KNOTS TODAY INTO THE EARLY 
  EVENING WITH GUSTS TO 30 KNOTS...VEERING SOUTHWEST TO WEST 30 
  KNOTS GUSTING TO 40 TO 45 KNOTS BY LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. 

* WAVES: 3 TO 6 FEET BUILDING TO 4 TO 8 FEET THIS AFTERNOON AND 
  TONIGHT. WAVES SUBSIDING THURSDAY MORNING.

* VISIBILITY: LESS THAN 1 MILE. DENSE FOG WILL PREVAIL THIS
  MORNING AS MOIST AIR FLOWS OVER THE RELATIVELY COLD WATERS OF
  LAKE MICHIGAN. WIDESPREAD RAINFALL THIS AFTERNOON SHOULD THIN
  OUT SOME OF THE FOG.



PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 23 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES GREATER THAN 4 FEET ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...
ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID
NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

A DENSE FOG ADVISORY MEANS VISIBILITIES WILL FREQUENTLY BE
REDUCED TO LESS THAN ONE MILE. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...
ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID
NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. 

&&

$$


WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MKX

409 
WHUS73 KMKX 231531
MWWMKX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
931 AM CST WED DEC 23 2015

...BREEZY SOUTH WINDS TODAY WITH GALE FORCE GUSTS TONIGHT...

BREEZY SOUTHERLY WINDS AND HIGH WAVES ARE EXPECTED TODAY AND
EARLY EVENING BEFORE A STRONG COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE SHIFTS THE
WINDS TO THE SOUTHWEST AND WEST LATE THIS EVENING. AREAS OF FOG
WILL PREVAIL BEFORE THE COLD FRONT ARRIVES WITH SOME DENSE FOG
THIS MORNING. GALE FORCE WIND GUSTS WILL THEN OCCUR WITH THE
WESTERLY FLOW LATE THIS EVENING AND DURING THE OVERNIGHT. WINDS
AND WAVES WILL SUBSIDE THURSDAY MORNING.

LMZ643>646-232345-
/O.CON.KMKX.MF.Y.0019.000000T0000Z-151223T1800Z/
/O.CON.KMKX.SC.Y.0115.000000T0000Z-151224T0200Z/
/O.CON.KMKX.GL.W.0033.151224T0200Z-151224T1200Z/
SHEBOYGAN TO PORT WASHINGTON WI-
PORT WASHINGTON TO NORTH POINT LIGHT WI-
NORTH POINT LIGHT TO WIND POINT WI-
WIND POINT WI TO WINTHROP HARBOR IL-
931 AM CST WED DEC 23 2015

...DENSE FOG ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CST TODAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM CST THIS
EVENING...
...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 AM
CST THURSDAY...

* WINDS: SOUTHERLY WINDS 15 TO 25 KNOTS TODAY INTO THE EARLY
  EVENING WITH GUSTS TO 30 KNOTS...VEERING SOUTHWEST TO WEST 25 TO
  30 KNOTS GUSTING TO 40 TO 45 KNOTS BY LATE EVENING AND
  OVERNIGHT.

* WAVES: 3 TO 6 FEET BUILDING TO 4 TO 8 FEET THIS AFTERNOON AND 
  TONIGHT. WAVES SUBSIDING THURSDAY MORNING. 

* VISIBILITY: LESS THAN 1 MILE. DENSE FOG WILL PREVAIL THIS 
  MORNING AS MOIST AIR FLOWS OVER THE RELATIVELY COLD WATERS OF 
  LAKE MICHIGAN. WIDESPREAD RAINFALL THIS AFTERNOON SHOULD THIN 
  OUT SOME OF THE FOG. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 23 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES GREATER THAN 4 FEET ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...
ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID
NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

A DENSE FOG ADVISORY MEANS VISIBILITIES WILL FREQUENTLY BE
REDUCED TO LESS THAN ONE MILE. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...
ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID
NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$


WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MKX

519 
WHUS73 KMKX 231757
MWWMKX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
1157 AM CST WED DEC 23 2015

...BREEZY SOUTH WINDS TODAY WITH GALE FORCE GUSTS TONIGHT...

BREEZY SOUTHERLY WINDS AND HIGH WAVES ARE EXPECTED TODAY AND
EARLY EVENING BEFORE A STRONG COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE SHIFTS THE
WINDS TO THE SOUTHWEST AND WEST LATE THIS EVENING. AREAS OF FOG
WILL PREVAIL BEFORE THE COLD FRONT ARRIVES WITH SOME DENSE FOG
CONTINUING INTO THE AFTERNOON. GALE FORCE WIND GUSTS WILL THEN
OCCUR WITH THE WESTERLY FLOW LATE THIS EVENING AND DURING THE
OVERNIGHT. WINDS AND WAVES WILL SUBSIDE THURSDAY MORNING.

LMZ643>646-240200-
/O.EXT.KMKX.MF.Y.0019.000000T0000Z-151224T0000Z/
/O.CON.KMKX.SC.Y.0115.000000T0000Z-151224T0200Z/
/O.CON.KMKX.GL.W.0033.151224T0200Z-151224T1200Z/
SHEBOYGAN TO PORT WASHINGTON WI-
PORT WASHINGTON TO NORTH POINT LIGHT WI-
NORTH POINT LIGHT TO WIND POINT WI-
WIND POINT WI TO WINTHROP HARBOR IL-
1157 AM CST WED DEC 23 2015

...DENSE FOG ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM CST THIS
EVENING...
...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 AM
CST THURSDAY...

THE DENSE FOG ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS
EVENING. 

* WINDS: SOUTHERLY WINDS 15 TO 25 KNOTS TODAY INTO THE EARLY 
  EVENING WITH GUSTS TO 30 KNOTS...VEERING SOUTHWEST TO WEST 25 
  TO 30 KNOTS GUSTING TO 40 TO 45 KNOTS BY LATE EVENING AND 
  OVERNIGHT. 

* WAVES: 3 TO 6 FEET BUILDING TO 4 TO 8 FEET THIS AFTERNOON AND 
  TONIGHT. WAVES SUBSIDING THURSDAY MORNING. 

* VISIBILITY: LESS THAN 1 MILE. DENSE FOG WILL PREVAIL INTO THE
  AFTERNOON AS MOIST AIR FLOWS OVER THE RELATIVELY COLD WATERS OF
  LAKE MICHIGAN.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 23 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES GREATER THAN 4 FEET ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...
ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID
NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

A DENSE FOG ADVISORY MEANS VISIBILITIES WILL FREQUENTLY BE
REDUCED TO LESS THAN ONE MILE. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...
ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID
NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
DDV

WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MKX

034 
WHUS73 KMKX 232109
MWWMKX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
309 PM CST WED DEC 23 2015

...GALE FORCE WIND GUSTS TONIGHT...

BREEZY SOUTHERLY WINDS AND HIGH WAVES WILL CONTINUE INTO EARLY
EVENING BEFORE A STRONG COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE SHIFTS THE WINDS TO
THE SOUTHWEST AND WEST LATE THIS EVENING. GALE FORCE WIND GUSTS
WILL THEN OCCUR WITH THE WESTERLY FLOW LATE THIS EVENING AND
DURING THE OVERNIGHT. WINDS AND WAVES WILL SUBSIDE THURSDAY
MORNING.

VISIBILITIES HAVE IMPROVED THIS AFTERNOON AS WINDS HAVE BECOME
SOUTHERLY. THESE IMPROVED CONDITIONS SHOULD GENERALLY PERSIST...SO
THE DENSE FOG ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

LMZ643>646-240515-
/O.CAN.KMKX.MF.Y.0019.000000T0000Z-151224T0000Z/
/O.CON.KMKX.SC.Y.0115.000000T0000Z-151224T0200Z/
/O.EXT.KMKX.GL.W.0033.151224T0200Z-151224T1500Z/
SHEBOYGAN TO PORT WASHINGTON WI-
PORT WASHINGTON TO NORTH POINT LIGHT WI-
NORTH POINT LIGHT TO WIND POINT WI-
WIND POINT WI TO WINTHROP HARBOR IL-
309 PM CST WED DEC 23 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM CST THIS
EVENING...
...GALE WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 9 AM CST
THURSDAY...
...DENSE FOG ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN HAS CANCELLED
THE DENSE FOG ADVISORY. THE GALE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM
8 PM THIS EVENING TO 9 AM CST THURSDAY. 

* WINDS: SOUTHERLY WINDS 15 TO 25 KNOTS INTO THE EARLY EVENING
  WITH GUSTS TO 30 KNOTS...VEERING SOUTHWEST TO WEST 25 TO 30
  KNOTS GUSTING TO 40 TO 45 KNOTS LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.

* WAVES: 4 TO 8 FEET...SLOWLY SUBSIDING THROUGH THE DAY THURSDAY.

* VISIBILITY: GREATER THAN 1 MILE AND LIKELY TO STAY THAT WAY
  THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THIS LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 23 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES GREATER THAN 4 FEET ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...
ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID
NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
DDV

WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MKX

747 
WHUS73 KMKX 240308
MWWMKX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
908 PM CST WED DEC 23 2015

...GALE FORCE WINDS TONIGHT...

STRONG LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE TO NORTH OF LAKE SUPERIOR TONIGHT.
A STRONG COLD FRONTAL WILL BRING STRONG GALE FORCE WEST WINDS.
WINDS AND WAVES WILL SUBSIDE THURSDAY MORNING AS THE STRONG LOW
PUSHES NORTHEAST.


LMZ643>646-241115-
/O.CON.KMKX.GL.W.0033.000000T0000Z-151224T1500Z/
SHEBOYGAN TO PORT WASHINGTON WI-
PORT WASHINGTON TO NORTH POINT LIGHT WI-
NORTH POINT LIGHT TO WIND POINT WI-
WIND POINT WI TO WINTHROP HARBOR IL-
908 PM CST WED DEC 23 2015

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM CST THURSDAY...

* WINDS: WEST 25 TO 30 KNOTS GUSTING TO 40 TO 45 KNOTS OVERNIGHT.

* WAVES: 4 TO 8 FEET...SLOWLY SUBSIDING THROUGH THE DAY THURSDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
HENTZ

WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MKX

335 
WHUS73 KMKX 240916
MWWMKX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
316 AM CST THU DEC 24 2015

...WESTERLY GALE FORCE WIND GUSTS THIS MORNING...

STRONG LOW PRESSURE OVER LAKE SUPERIOR WILL MOVE NORTH INTO CANADA
THIS MORNING. THE WESTERLY GALE FORCE WIND GUSTS WILL WEAKEN
THROUGH THE MORNING WITH LIGHT WINDS AND LOW WAVE HEIGHTS FOR THE
AFTERNOON. 

LMZ643>646-241500-
/O.CON.KMKX.GL.W.0033.000000T0000Z-151224T1500Z/
SHEBOYGAN TO PORT WASHINGTON WI-
PORT WASHINGTON TO NORTH POINT LIGHT WI-
NORTH POINT LIGHT TO WIND POINT WI-
WIND POINT WI TO WINTHROP HARBOR IL-
316 AM CST THU DEC 24 2015

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM CST THIS MORNING...

* WINDS: WEST 25 TO 30 KNOTS GUSTING TO 35 TO 40 KNOTS EARLY THIS
  MORNING...SUBSIDING TO 10 TO 15 KNOTS BY AFTERNOON. 

* WAVES: 3 TO 6 FEET EARLY SUBSIDING TO 1 TO 3 FEET BY NOON. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MKX

MG

820 
WHUS73 KMKX 241450
MWWMKX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
850 AM CST THU DEC 24 2015

...GUSTY WEST WINDS RAPIDLY DIMINISHING THIS MORNING...

.A RAPIDLY WEAKENING PRESSURE GRADIENT IN THE WAKE OF DEPARTING
LOW PRESSURE WILL RESULT IN DIMINISHING GUSTY WEST WINDS THIS
MORNING. WIND GUSTS WILL FALL BELOW 22 KNOTS BY EARLY AFTERNOON. 

HENCE THE GALE WARNING WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 9 AM CST THIS
MORNING. 

LMZ643>646-241600-
/O.EXP.KMKX.GL.W.0033.000000T0000Z-151224T1500Z/
SHEBOYGAN TO PORT WASHINGTON WI-
PORT WASHINGTON TO NORTH POINT LIGHT WI-
NORTH POINT LIGHT TO WIND POINT WI-
WIND POINT WI TO WINTHROP HARBOR IL-
850 AM CST THU DEC 24 2015

...GALE WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 9 AM CST THIS MORNING...

THE GALE WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 9 AM CST THIS MORNING. 

WEST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 KNOTS WILL DECREASE TO 10 TO 20 KNOTS BY
EARLY AFTERNOON.

$$
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MKX

KAVINSKY

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
917 PM CST TUE DEC 22 2015

.UPDATE...

PARAMETERS ON NAM SHARP FORECAST SOUNDINGS AT KENOSHA AND EVEN
INTO MILWAUKEE JANESVILLE AND WAUKESHA REACH INTO THE MARGINAL
SEVERE CATEGORY LATE AFTERNOON/EARLY IN THE EVENING WEDNESDAY WITH
A STRONG VEERING WIND PROFILE. PARCELS BECOME ALMOST SURFACE BASED
WITH CAPES NEAR 500 JOULES/KG. LATER GFS SOUNDINGS WILL LIKELY BE
LESS AGGRESSIVE...BUT STILL THE SEVERE POTENTIAL OVER THE FAR
SOUTHEAST ON THE 00Z NAM HAS INCREASED A LITTLE FROM EARLIER.

&&

.AVIATION/06Z TAFS/...

IFR/LIFR CIGS TONIGHT AS LOW PRESSURE APPROACHES. WILL SEE THE
LOW CIGS PERSIST THROUGH WEDNESDAY AS THE LOW BRINGS WIDESPREAD
RAINFALL. COULD BE A FEW RUMBLES OF THUNDER TOMORROW...MAINLY IN
THE AFTERNOON...ESPECIALLY FAR SOUTHEAST.

WATCHING THE POSSIBILITY FOR A PERIOD OF LOW LEVEL WIND SHEAR LATER
TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY AS A STRONG LOW LEVEL JET MOVES THROUGH.
STRONGEST WINDS ALOFT HOLD OFF UNTIL THE DAYTIME HOURS TOMORROW.

&&

MARINE...

SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL INCREASE THIS EVENING AHEAD OF APPROACHING LOW
PRESSURE. GUSTS TO 25 KNOTS BY LATE EVENING. SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT. WINDS WILL STAY NEAR ADVISORY CRITERIA
THROUGH THE DAY WEDNESDAY...BACKING SOUTH BY EARLY EVENING...THEN
SOUTHWEST TO WEST BY MID/LATE EVENING BEHIND THE DEPARTING LOW.
WINDS WILL ALSO INCREASE BEHIND THE LOW...WITH GUSTS TO 35 KNOTS
POSSIBLE FOR A TIME. A GALE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM 03Z WED
EVENING THROUGH 12Z EARLY THU MORNING.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 333 PM CST TUE DEC 22 2015/

TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...FORECAST CONFIDENCE...HIGH

A MILD AND VERY MOIST AIRMASS FOR THIS TIME OF THE YEAR WILL PUSH
INTO SOUTHERN WISCONSIN TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY. PRECIPITABLE WATER
VALUES WILL INCREASE TO 1 TO 1.25 INCHES BY THE NOON HOUR TOMORROW.
TEMPERATURES WILL WARM OVERNIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY...REACH THE 50S BY
AFTERNOON. MIGHT BREAK THE RECORD HIGH IN MILWAUKEE...WITH THE
CURRENT FORECAST 1 DEGREE HIGHER THAN THE RECORD. THE RECORD IS
WARMER FOR MADISON...SO PROBABLY NOT GOING TO HAPPEN THERE.

LOOKS MAINLY DRY TONIGHT...THOUGH MAY SEE SOME LIGHT RAIN IN THE
WEST BY MORNING. COULD BE A LITTLE DRIZZLE ELSEWHERE LATER IN THE
NIGHT...BUT MOIST LAYER IS PRETTY SHALLOW. WIDESPREAD SHOWERS WILL
THEN MOVE IN SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST FROM MID TO LATE WEDNESDAY
MORNING. LOOKS LIKE ENOUGH INSTABILITY FOR SOME THUNDER IN THE
AFTERNOON...PARTICULARLY ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST FORECAST AREA.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURS...FORECAST CONFIDENCE...HIGH

LOW PRESSURE WILL LIFT NORTH OUT OF WISCONSIN WED NIGHT. LIGHT
RAIN WILL CONTINUE THROUGH AROUND MIDNIGHT. COOLER AIR WILL THEN
MOVE IN BEHIND THIS SYSTEM. GFS INDICATES SOME LIGHT RAIN BRUSHING
SOUTHERN WI ON THURSDAY WITH A SHORTWAVE APPROACHING FROM THE
SOUTHWEST. OTHERS ARE DRY SO WILL GO WITH CONSENSUS.

THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY...FORECAST CONFIDENCE...HIGH

HIGH PRESSURE WILL DOMINATE THE REGION BRINGING QUIET WEATHER.
SOUTHWEST FLOW AT THE MID LEVELS WILL CONTINUE AND TEMPERATURES WILL
REMAIN ABOVE AVERAGE.

SATURDAY AND SUNDAY...FORECAST CONFIDENCE...MEDIUM

NEXT CHANCE FOR PRECIP IS SATURDAY ASSOCIATED WITH MID LEVEL
SHORTWAVE AND LOW TO MID LEVEL FRONTOGENESIS MOVING ACROSS THE
NORTHERN HALF OF THE STATE. MODELS INDICATE THE SOUTHERN EXTENT OF
PRECIP WILL BRUSH SOUTHERN WI. COULD SEE SOME FLAKES EARLY SATURDAY
IN THE NORTHWEST CWA BUT MAJORITY OF ANY PRECIP WOULD BE LIGHT
RAIN. HIGH PRESSURE WILL THEN WORK ITS WAY INTO THE REGION ON
SUNDAY KEEPING A STALLED FRONTAL BOUNDARY WITH SIGNIFICANT
MOISTURE WELL TO OUR SOUTH.

MONDAY AND TUESDAY...FORECAST CONFIDENCE...MEDIUM

MODELS DIVERGE AT THIS POINT WITH THE GFS SHOWING APPROACHING LOW
PRESSURE WITH PRECIP STARTING ON MONDAY WHILE THE ECMWF IS SLOWER
BRINGING THIS SYSTEM THROUGH ON TUESDAY. PRECIP WOULD BE RAIN
ACROSS SOUTHEAST WI WITH A PUSH OF WARMER AIR AHEAD OF THE PRECIP.
COULD SEE SOME LIGHT SNOW OR A MIX IN THE NORTHWEST CWA.

WEEK 2 FORECAST FROM CPC INDICATES A 60 PERCENT CHANCE OF ABOVE
AVERAGE TEMPERATURES FROM DEC 30 - JAN 5.

AVIATION/00Z TAFS/...

STILL LOOKS LIKE A PERIOD OF VFR CIGS POSSIBLE THIS EVENING INTO
EARLY TONIGHT...WITH LOW CIGS LIKELY RETURNING BY LATER TONIGHT AS
LOW PRESSURE APPROACHES. WILL SEE THE LOW CIGS PERSIST THROUGH
WEDNESDAY AS THE LOW BRINGS WIDESPREAD RAINFALL. COULD BE A FEW
RUMBLES OF THUNDER TOMORROW...MAINLY IN THE AFTERNOON.

WATCHING THE POSSIBILITY FOR A PERIOD OF LOW LEVEL WIND SHEAR LATER
TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY AS A STRONG LOW LEVEL JET MOVES THROUGH.
STRONGEST WINDS ALOFT HOLD OFF UNTIL THE DAYTIME HOURS TOMORROW...SO
MAY BE ENOUGH WIND AT THE SURFACE TO LEAVE MENTION OUT OF TAFS.

MARINE...

SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL INCREASE THIS EVENING AHEAD OF APPROACHING LOW
PRESSURE. GUSTS TO 25 KNOTS ARE POSSIBLE BY LATE EVENING. WILL THUS
ISSUE A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY BEGINNING AT 04Z. WINDS WILL STAY NEAR
ADVISORY CRITERIA THROUGH THE DAY WEDNESDAY...BACKING SOUTH BY EARLY
EVENING...THEN SOUTHWEST TO WEST BY MID/LATE EVENING BEHIND THE
DEPARTING LOW. WINDS WILL ALSO INCREASE BEHIND THE LOW...WITH GUSTS
TO 35 KNOTS POSSIBLE FOR A TIME. OPTED TO GO WITH A GALE WATCH FROM
03Z WED EVENING THROUGH 12Z EARLY THU MORNING.

&&

.MKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WI...NONE.
LM...GALE WATCH FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT
     FOR LMZ643>646.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 9 PM CST WEDNESDAY FOR LMZ643>646.

&&

UPDATE...HENTZ
TONIGHT/WEDNESDAY AND AVIATION/MARINE...DDV
WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY...MARQUARDT

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
920 PM CST TUE DEC 22 2015

WIZ046-047-051-052-056>060-062>072-240330-
MARQUETTE-GREEN LAKE-FOND DU LAC-SHEBOYGAN-SAUK-COLUMBIA-DODGE-
WASHINGTON-OZAUKEE-IOWA-DANE-JEFFERSON-WAUKESHA-MILWAUKEE-
LAFAYETTE-GREEN-ROCK-WALWORTH-RACINE-KENOSHA-
920 PM CST TUE DEC 22 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EAST CENTRAL
WISCONSIN...SOUTH CENTRAL WISCONSIN AND SOUTHEAST WISCONSIN.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

THERE IS A CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS OVER PARTS OF SOUTHERN
WISCONSIN WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.

RAINFALL WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT MAY PUSH A FEW RIVERS
ACROSS SOUTHERN WISCONSIN BACK INTO MINOR FLOOD STAGE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

LMZ643>646-240330-
SHEBOYGAN TO PORT WASHINGTON WI-
PORT WASHINGTON TO NORTH POINT LIGHT WI-
NORTH POINT LIGHT TO WIND POINT WI-
WIND POINT WI TO WINTHROP HARBOR IL-
920 PM CST TUE DEC 22 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE MICHIGAN.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR GUSTY SOUTHEAST WINDS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY THROUGH
WEDNESDAY EVENING. BREEZY SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL BECOME SOUTH WEDNESDAY
EVENING...THEN SOUTHWEST TO WEST WEDNESDAY NIGHT AFTER THE
PASSAGE OF A COLD FRONT. GUSTS TO GALE FORCE ARE POSSIBLE
WEDNESDAY EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. A GALE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM
LATE WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY MORNING. HIGH WAVES ON
WEDNESDAY WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE THURSDAY.

ANOTHER SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MAY BE NEEDED THIS WEEKEND AND EARLY
NEXT WEEK DUE TO BRISK EAST TO NORTHEAST WINDS AND BUILDING
WAVES.

HENTZ

WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MKX