Alert archive / Tennessee / River Flood Advisories in 2015
River Flood Advisory 21, NWS Memphis, TN
NWS Memphis, TN issued this river flood advisory at Apr 9, 2015, 1:10 PM CDT for Dyer County, Lake County, Lauderdale County, Tennessee; Mississippi County, Arkansas; Pemiscot County, Missouri. It took effect at Apr 14, 2015, 1:00 AM CDT. It was in force for 39 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Apr 9, 2015, 1:10 PM CDT (18:10 UTC)
- In effect from
- Apr 14, 2015, 1:00 AM CDT
- Expired
- Apr 15, 2015, 4:03 PM CDT
- In force
- 39 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Memphis, TN
- Area
- Storm-based polygon
Counties Mississippi County, AR, Pemiscot County, MO, Dyer County, TN, Lake County, TN, Lauderdale County, TN
The radar
The Memphis radar (KNQA), 81 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:12 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The river
Written for the forecast point Mississippi River at Caruthersville (CRTM7).
- Action stage
- 29 ft
- Minor stage
- 32 ft
- Moderate stage
- 41 ft
- Major stage
- 43 ft
This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests
Stage from the USGS instantaneous record, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
787
WGUS84 KMEG 091810
FLSMEG
FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
110 PM CDT THU APR 9 2015
...The National Weather Service in Memphis TN has issued a Flood
Advisory for the Mississippi River...
Mississippi River at Caruthersville affecting Mississippi...
Pemiscot...Dyer...Lake and Lauderdale Counties
Mississippi River at Osceola affecting Mississippi...Lauderdale
and Tipton Counties
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
The next River Statement will be issued tonight or sooner if conditions
warrant.
For graphical river and flood information...please go to
www.weather.gov and click near Memphis on the map. Then select Rivers
and Lakes AHPS under current conditions.
Do not drive through flooded areas...turn around don't drown.
Stay tuned to your weather radio and your local news media for the
latest river information.
&&
ARC093-MOC155-TNC045-095-097-101810-
/O.NEW.KMEG.FL.Y.0021.150414T1100Z-150413T2103Z/
/CRTM7.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
110 PM CDT THU APR 9 2015
The National Weather Service in Memphis TN has issued a
* Flood Advisory for
the Mississippi River at Caruthersville
* from Tuesday April 14 until Monday April 13.
* At 12 PM Thursday the stage was 26.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 32.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise to near 32.5 feet Tuesday April 14.
* At 33.0 feet...In Tennessee, Barr Road in Chickasaw National Forest
is flooding, cutting off evacuations from the Wardlews Pocket Area.
In Arkansas, docks useed by the steele plant at Hickman are mostly
flooded. Numerous roads and fields inside the levee between Gayoso
and Kennedy, Missouri are covered.
&&
LAT...LON 3623 8977 3623 8948 3606 8950 3595 8948
3582 8956 3582 8985
$$
ARC093-TNC097-167-101810-
/O.NEW.KMEG.FL.Y.0022.150415T0325Z-150413T2103Z/
/OSGA4.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
110 PM CDT THU APR 9 2015
The National Weather Service in Memphis TN has issued a
* Flood Advisory for
the Mississippi River at Osceola
* from Tuesday April 14 until Monday April 13.
* At 12 PM Thursday the stage was 21.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 28.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise to near 28.5 feet Wednesday April
15.
* At 29.0 feet...In Arkansas, water is going over the north side of
Craighead Point. Pumphouse area for the power plant south of
Osceola is flooded. In Tennessee, Lauderdale County Road 924
begins to flood and isolate a house on Island 34.
&&
LAT...LON 3582 8996 3582 8956 3560 8979 3539 8995
3539 9025
$$13 follow-up statements
187
WGUS84 KMEG 091821
FLSMEG
FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
121 PM CDT THU APR 9 2015
...The Flood Advisory has been corrected for the Mississippi River...
Mississippi River at Caruthersville affecting Mississippi...
Pemiscot...Dyer...Lake and Lauderdale Counties
Mississippi River at Osceola affecting Mississippi...Lauderdale
and Tipton Counties
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
The next River Statement will be issued tonight or sooner if conditions
warrant.
For graphical river and flood information...please go to
www.weather.gov and click near Memphis on the map. Then select Rivers
and Lakes AHPS under current conditions.
Do not drive through flooded areas...turn around don't drown.
Stay tuned to your weather radio and your local news media for the
latest river information.
&&
ARC093-MOC155-TNC045-095-097-101821-
/O.CON.KMEG.FL.Y.0021.150414T1100Z-150415T2103Z/
/CRTM7.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
121 PM CDT THU APR 9 2015
The Flood Advisory continues for
the Mississippi River at Caruthersville
* until Wednesday April 15.
* At 01 PM Thursday the stage was 26.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 32.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise to near 32.5 feet Tuesday April 14.
* At 33.0 feet...In Tennessee, Barr Road in Chickasaw National Forest
is flooding, cutting off evacuations from the Wardlews Pocket Area.
In Arkansas, docks useed by the steele plant at Hickman are mostly
flooded. Numerous roads and fields inside the levee between Gayoso
and Kennedy, Missouri are covered.
&&
LAT...LON 3623 8977 3623 8948 3606 8950 3595 8948
3582 8956 3582 8985
$$
ARC093-TNC097-167-101820-
/O.CON.KMEG.FL.Y.0022.150415T0325Z-150415T2103Z/
/OSGA4.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
121 PM CDT THU APR 9 2015
The Flood Advisory continues for
the Mississippi River at Osceola
* until Wednesday April 15.
* At 01 PM Thursday the stage was 21.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 28.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise to near 28.5 feet Wednesday April
15.
* At 29.0 feet...In Arkansas, water is going over the north side of
Craighead Point. Pumphouse area for the power plant south of
Osceola is flooded. In Tennessee, Lauderdale County Road 924
begins to flood and isolate a house on Island 34.
&&
LAT...LON 3582 8996 3582 8956 3560 8979 3539 8995
3539 9025
$$491
WGUS84 KMEG 100248
FLSMEG
FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
948 PM CDT THU APR 9 2015
...The Flood Advisory continues for the Mississippi River...
Mississippi River at Caruthersville affecting Mississippi...
Pemiscot...Dyer...Lake and Lauderdale Counties
Mississippi River at Osceola affecting Mississippi...Lauderdale
and Tipton Counties
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
The next River Statement will be issued Friday morning or sooner if conditions
warrant.
For graphical river and flood information...please go to
www.weather.gov and click near Memphis on the map. Then select Rivers
and Lakes AHPS under current conditions.
Do not drive through flooded areas...turn around don't drown.
Stay tuned to your weather radio and your local news media for the
latest river information.
&&
ARC093-MOC155-TNC045-095-097-110248-
/O.CON.KMEG.FL.Y.0021.150414T1200Z-150415T2103Z/
/CRTM7.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
948 PM CDT THU APR 9 2015
The Flood Advisory continues for
the Mississippi River at Caruthersville
* until Wednesday April 15.
* At 09 PM Thursday the stage was 27.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 32.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise to near 32.5 feet Tuesday April 14.
* At 33.0 feet...In Tennessee, Barr Road in Chickasaw National Forest
is flooding, cutting off evacuations from the Wardlews Pocket Area.
In Arkansas, docks useed by the steele plant at Hickman are mostly
flooded. Numerous roads and fields inside the levee between Gayoso
and Kennedy, Missouri are covered.
&&
LAT...LON 3623 8977 3623 8948 3606 8950 3595 8948
3582 8956 3582 8985
$$
ARC093-TNC097-167-110248-
/O.CON.KMEG.FL.Y.0022.150415T0325Z-150415T2103Z/
/OSGA4.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
948 PM CDT THU APR 9 2015
The Flood Advisory continues for
the Mississippi River at Osceola
* until Wednesday April 15.
* At 09 PM Thursday the stage was 21.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 28.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise to near 28.5 feet Wednesday April
15.
* At 29.0 feet...In Arkansas, water is going over the north side of
Craighead Point. Pumphouse area for the power plant south of
Osceola is flooded. In Tennessee, Lauderdale County Road 924
begins to flood and isolate a house on Island 34.
&&
LAT...LON 3582 8996 3582 8956 3560 8979 3539 8995
3539 9025
$$385
WGUS84 KMEG 101735
FLSMEG
FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
1235 PM CDT FRI APR 10 2015
...The Flood Advisory continues for the Mississippi River...
Mississippi River at Caruthersville affecting Mississippi...
Pemiscot...Dyer...Lake and Lauderdale Counties
Mississippi River at Osceola affecting Mississippi...Lauderdale
and Tipton Counties
...The National Weather Service in Memphis TN has issued a Flood
Advisory for the Mississippi River...
Mississippi River at Tiptonville affecting New Madrid...Pemiscot
and Lake Counties
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
The next River Statement will be issued tonight or sooner if conditions
warrant.
For graphical river and flood information...please go to
www.weather.gov and click near Memphis on the map. Then select Rivers
and Lakes AHPS under current conditions.
Do not drive through flooded areas...turn around don't drown.
Stay tuned to your weather radio and your local news media for the
latest river information.
&&
MOC143-155-TNC095-111735-
/O.NEW.KMEG.FL.Y.0023.150410T1735Z-150414T2035Z/
/TPTT1.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
1235 PM CDT FRI APR 10 2015
The National Weather Service in Memphis TN has issued a
* Flood Advisory for
the Mississippi River at Tiptonville
* from Friday April 10 until Tuesday April 14.
* At 12 PM Friday the stage was 29.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 37.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise to near 35.0 feet Tuesday April 14.
* At 35.0 feet...In Tennessee, a large section of Lake County,
Tennessee Road 79 is flooded near the levee. Most fields and
pastures south of Stewart, Missouri are covered by flood water.
&&
LAT...LON 3650 8957 3650 8938 3623 8948 3623 8977
$$
ARC093-MOC155-TNC045-095-097-111735-
/O.CON.KMEG.FL.Y.0021.150414T0700Z-150415T2103Z/
/CRTM7.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
1235 PM CDT FRI APR 10 2015
The Flood Advisory continues for
the Mississippi River at Caruthersville
* until Wednesday April 15.
* At 12 PM Friday the stage was 27.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 32.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise to near 32.5 feet Tuesday April 14.
* At 33.0 feet...In Tennessee, Barr Road in Chickasaw National Forest
is flooding, cutting off evacuations from the Wardlews Pocket Area.
In Arkansas, docks useed by the steele plant at Hickman are mostly
flooded. Numerous roads and fields inside the levee between Gayoso
and Kennedy, Missouri are covered.
&&
LAT...LON 3623 8977 3623 8948 3606 8950 3595 8948
3582 8956 3582 8985
$$
ARC093-TNC097-167-111735-
/O.CON.KMEG.FL.Y.0022.150414T2000Z-150415T2103Z/
/OSGA4.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
1235 PM CDT FRI APR 10 2015
The Flood Advisory continues for
the Mississippi River at Osceola
* until Wednesday April 15.
* At 12 PM Friday the stage was 22.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 28.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise to near 28.5 feet Wednesday April
15.
* At 29.0 feet...In Arkansas, water is going over the north side of
Craighead Point. Pumphouse area for the power plant south of
Osceola is flooded. In Tennessee, Lauderdale County Road 924
begins to flood and isolate a house on Island 34.
&&
LAT...LON 3582 8996 3582 8956 3560 8979 3539 8995
3539 9025
$$533
WGUS84 KMEG 110220
FLSMEG
FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
920 PM CDT FRI APR 10 2015
...The Flood Advisory continues for the Mississippi River...
Mississippi River at Tiptonville affecting New Madrid...Pemiscot
and Lake Counties
Mississippi River at Caruthersville affecting Mississippi...
Pemiscot...Dyer...Lake and Lauderdale Counties
Mississippi River at Osceola affecting Mississippi...Lauderdale
and Tipton Counties
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
The next River Statement will be issued Saturday morning or sooner if conditions
warrant.
For graphical river and flood information...please go to
www.weather.gov and click near Memphis on the map. Then select Rivers
and Lakes AHPS under current conditions.
Do not drive through flooded areas...turn around don't drown.
Stay tuned to your weather radio and your local news media for the
latest river information.
&&
MOC143-155-TNC095-120220-
/O.CON.KMEG.FL.Y.0023.000000T0000Z-150414T2035Z/
/TPTT1.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
920 PM CDT FRI APR 10 2015
The Flood Advisory continues for
the Mississippi River at Tiptonville
* until Tuesday April 14.
* At 09 PM Friday the stage was 30.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 37.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise to near 35.0 feet Tuesday April 14.
* At 35.0 feet...In Tennessee, a large section of Lake County,
Tennessee Road 79 is flooded near the levee. Most fields and
pastures south of Stewart, Missouri are covered by flood water.
&&
LAT...LON 3650 8957 3650 8938 3623 8948 3623 8977
$$
ARC093-MOC155-TNC045-095-097-120219-
/O.CON.KMEG.FL.Y.0021.150414T0600Z-150415T2103Z/
/CRTM7.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
920 PM CDT FRI APR 10 2015
The Flood Advisory continues for
the Mississippi River at Caruthersville
* until Wednesday April 15.
* At 09 PM Friday the stage was 28.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 32.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise to near 32.5 feet Tuesday April 14.
* At 33.0 feet...In Tennessee, Barr Road in Chickasaw National Forest
is flooding, cutting off evacuations from the Wardlews Pocket Area.
In Arkansas, docks useed by the steele plant at Hickman are mostly
flooded. Numerous roads and fields inside the levee between Gayoso
and Kennedy, Missouri are covered.
&&
LAT...LON 3623 8977 3623 8948 3606 8950 3595 8948
3582 8956 3582 8985
$$
ARC093-TNC097-167-120219-
/O.CON.KMEG.FL.Y.0022.150415T0000Z-150415T2103Z/
/OSGA4.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
920 PM CDT FRI APR 10 2015
The Flood Advisory continues for
the Mississippi River at Osceola
* until Wednesday April 15.
* At 09 PM Friday the stage was 22.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 28.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise to near 28.5 feet Wednesday April
15.
* At 29.0 feet...In Arkansas, water is going over the north side of
Craighead Point. Pumphouse area for the power plant south of
Osceola is flooded. In Tennessee, Lauderdale County Road 924
begins to flood and isolate a house on Island 34.
&&
LAT...LON 3582 8996 3582 8956 3560 8979 3539 8995
3539 9025
$$840
WGUS84 KMEG 111700
FLSMEG
FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
1200 PM CDT SAT APR 11 2015
...The Flood Advisory continues for the Mississippi River...
Mississippi River at Tiptonville affecting New Madrid...Pemiscot
and Lake Counties
Mississippi River at Caruthersville affecting Mississippi...
Pemiscot...Dyer...Lake and Lauderdale Counties
Mississippi River at Osceola affecting Mississippi...Lauderdale
and Tipton Counties
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
The next River Statement will be issued tonight or sooner if conditions
warrant.
For graphical river and flood information...please go to
www.weather.gov and click near Memphis on the map. Then select Rivers
and Lakes AHPS under current conditions.
Do not drive through flooded areas...turn around don't drown.
Stay tuned to your weather radio and your local news media for the
latest river information.
&&
MOC143-155-TNC095-121700-
/O.CON.KMEG.FL.Y.0023.000000T0000Z-150414T2035Z/
/TPTT1.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
1200 PM CDT SAT APR 11 2015
The Flood Advisory continues for
the Mississippi River at Tiptonville
* until Tuesday April 14.
* At 11 AM Saturday the stage was 31.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 37.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise to near 33.5 feet Monday April 13.
* At 35.0 feet...In Tennessee, a large section of Lake County,
Tennessee Road 79 is flooded near the levee. Most fields and
pastures south of Stewart, Missouri are covered by flood water.
&&
LAT...LON 3650 8957 3650 8938 3623 8948 3623 8977
$$
ARC093-MOC155-TNC045-095-097-121700-
/O.CON.KMEG.FL.Y.0021.000000T0000Z-150415T2103Z/
/CRTM7.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
1200 PM CDT SAT APR 11 2015
The Flood Advisory continues for
the Mississippi River at Caruthersville
* until Wednesday April 15.
* At 11 AM Saturday the stage was 28.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 32.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise to near 31.5 feet Tuesday April 14.
* At 33.0 feet...In Tennessee, Barr Road in Chickasaw National Forest
is flooding, cutting off evacuations from the Wardlews Pocket Area.
In Arkansas, docks useed by the steele plant at Hickman are mostly
flooded. Numerous roads and fields inside the levee between Gayoso
and Kennedy, Missouri are covered.
&&
LAT...LON 3623 8977 3623 8948 3606 8950 3595 8948
3582 8956 3582 8985
$$
ARC093-TNC097-167-121700-
/O.CON.KMEG.FL.Y.0022.000000T0000Z-150415T2103Z/
/OSGA4.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
1200 PM CDT SAT APR 11 2015
The Flood Advisory continues for
the Mississippi River at Osceola
* until Wednesday April 15.
* At 11 AM Saturday the stage was 23.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 28.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise to near 27.0 feet Tuesday April 14.
* At 29.0 feet...In Arkansas, water is going over the north side of
Craighead Point. Pumphouse area for the power plant south of
Osceola is flooded. In Tennessee, Lauderdale County Road 924
begins to flood and isolate a house on Island 34.
&&
LAT...LON 3582 8996 3582 8956 3560 8979 3539 8995
3539 9025
$$565
WGUS84 KMEG 120156
FLSMEG
FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
856 PM CDT SAT APR 11 2015
...The Flood Advisory continues for the Mississippi River...
Mississippi River at Tiptonville affecting New Madrid...Pemiscot
and Lake Counties
Mississippi River at Caruthersville affecting Mississippi...
Pemiscot...Dyer...Lake and Lauderdale Counties
Mississippi River at Osceola affecting Mississippi...Lauderdale
and Tipton Counties
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
The next River Statement will be issued Sunday morning.
For graphical river and flood information...please go to
www.weather.gov and click near Memphis on the map. Then select Rivers
and Lakes AHPS under current conditions.
Do not drive through flooded areas...turn around don't drown.
Stay tuned to your weather radio and your local news media for the
latest river information.
&&
MOC143-155-TNC095-130156-
/O.CON.KMEG.FL.Y.0023.000000T0000Z-150414T2035Z/
/TPTT1.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
856 PM CDT SAT APR 11 2015
The Flood Advisory continues for
the Mississippi River at Tiptonville
* until Tuesday April 14.
* At 8 PM Saturday the stage was 31.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 37.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise to near 33.5 feet Tuesday April 14.
* At 34.0 feet...Fields are flooding east of Point Pleasant,
Missouri.
&&
LAT...LON 3650 8957 3650 8938 3623 8948 3623 8977
$$
ARC093-MOC155-TNC045-095-097-130155-
/O.CON.KMEG.FL.Y.0021.000000T0000Z-150415T2103Z/
/CRTM7.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
856 PM CDT SAT APR 11 2015
The Flood Advisory continues for
the Mississippi River at Caruthersville
* until Wednesday April 15.
* At 8 PM Saturday the stage was 29.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 32.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise to near 31.5 feet Tuesday April 14.
* At 32.0 feet...In Missouri, docks of the steele mill near Hickman
are flooding. In Tennessee, Mississippi River overbank flooding is
occurring across Highway 88 just north of Dee Webb Road. Extensive
amounts of Chickasaw National Wildlife Refuge are flooded. Sloughs
at the west end of Barr Road are beginning to back up into fields.
&&
LAT...LON 3623 8977 3623 8948 3606 8950 3595 8948
3582 8956 3582 8985
$$
ARC093-TNC097-167-130155-
/O.CON.KMEG.FL.Y.0022.000000T0000Z-150415T2103Z/
/OSGA4.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
856 PM CDT SAT APR 11 2015
The Flood Advisory continues for
the Mississippi River at Osceola
* until Wednesday April 15.
* At 8 PM Saturday the stage was 23.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 28.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise to near 27.0 feet Wednesday April
15.
* At 27.0 feet...In Arkansas, high water interfers with grain barge
loading at the terminal at Osceola. Backwater is touching most of
the levee just north of Osceola on north past Mississippi County
Arkansas Road 330 in the Barfield Point vicinity. Mississippi
County, Arkansas Road 430 is flooded across from Tellier Island. In
Tennessee, Crutcher Lake Road is flooded north of Cold Creek. The
Mississippi Rover is over its banks northeast of Open Lake.
Backwater has reached Bee Lake.
&&
LAT...LON 3582 8996 3582 8956 3560 8979 3539 8995
3539 9025
$$988
WGUS84 KMEG 121702
FLSMEG
FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
1202 PM CDT SUN APR 12 2015
...The Flood Advisory continues for the Mississippi River...
Mississippi River at Caruthersville affecting Mississippi...
Pemiscot...Dyer...Lake and Lauderdale Counties
Mississippi River at Osceola affecting Mississippi...Lauderdale
and Tipton Counties
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
The next River Statement will be issued tonight or sooner if conditions
warrant.
For graphical river and flood information...please go to
www.weather.gov and click near Memphis on the map. Then select Rivers
and Lakes AHPS under current conditions.
Do not drive through flooded areas...turn around don't drown.
Stay tuned to your weather radio and your local news media for the
latest river information.
&&
ARC093-MOC155-TNC045-095-097-131702-
/O.CON.KMEG.FL.Y.0021.000000T0000Z-150415T2103Z/
/CRTM7.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
1202 PM CDT SUN APR 12 2015
The Flood Advisory continues for
the Mississippi River at Caruthersville
* until Wednesday April 15.
* At 11 AM Sunday the stage was 29.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 32.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise to near 31.0 feet Tuesday April 14.
* At 31.0 feet...In Arkansas, road and field flooding is widespread
at Cottonwood Point. Access roads off Arkansas Road 362 are
flooding. In Tennessee, grain shipping facility south of Heloise is
mostly under water. Dee Webb Road and Watkins Road are flooding,
along with Brady Ridge Road. Barr Road north of Wardlow Pocket Area
is being covered.
&&
LAT...LON 3623 8977 3623 8948 3606 8950 3595 8948
3582 8956 3582 8985
$$
ARC093-TNC097-167-131701-
/O.CON.KMEG.FL.Y.0022.000000T0000Z-150415T2103Z/
/OSGA4.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
1202 PM CDT SUN APR 12 2015
The Flood Advisory continues for
the Mississippi River at Osceola
* until Wednesday April 15.
* At 11 AM Sunday the stage was 24.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 28.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise to near 26.5 feet Wednesday April
15.
* At 27.0 feet...In Arkansas, high water interfers with grain barge
loading at the terminal at Osceola. Backwater is touching most of
the levee just north of Osceola on north past Mississippi County
Arkansas Road 330 in the Barfield Point vicinity. Mississippi
County, Arkansas Road 430 is flooded across from Tellier Island. In
Tennessee, Crutcher Lake Road is flooded north of Cold Creek. The
Mississippi Rover is over its banks northeast of Open Lake.
Backwater has reached Bee Lake.
&&
LAT...LON 3582 8996 3582 8956 3560 8979 3539 8995
3539 9025
$$216
WGUS84 KMEG 130200
FLSMEG
FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
900 PM CDT SUN APR 12 2015
...The Flood Advisory continues for the Mississippi River...
Mississippi River at Caruthersville affecting Mississippi...
Pemiscot...Dyer...Lake and Lauderdale Counties
Mississippi River at Osceola affecting Mississippi...Lauderdale
and Tipton Counties
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
The next River Statement will be issued [...] or sooner if conditions
warrant.
For graphical river and flood information...please go to
www.weather.gov and click near Memphis on the map. Then select Rivers
and Lakes AHPS under current conditions.
Do not drive through flooded areas...turn around don't drown.
Stay tuned to your weather radio and your local news media for the
latest river information.
&&
ARC093-MOC155-TNC045-095-097-140200-
/O.CON.KMEG.FL.Y.0021.000000T0000Z-150415T2103Z/
/CRTM7.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
900 PM CDT SUN APR 12 2015
The Flood Advisory continues for
the Mississippi River at Caruthersville
* until Wednesday April 15.
* At 8 PM Sunday the stage was 29.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 32.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise to near 31.0 feet Tuesday April 14.
* At 31.0 feet...In Arkansas, road and field flooding is widespread
at Cottonwood Point. Access roads off Arkansas Road 362 are
flooding. In Tennessee, grain shipping facility south of Heloise is
mostly under water. Dee Webb Road and Watkins Road are flooding,
along with Brady Ridge Road. Barr Road north of Wardlow Pocket Area
is being covered.
&&
LAT...LON 3623 8977 3623 8948 3606 8950 3595 8948
3582 8956 3582 8985
$$
ARC093-TNC097-167-140200-
/O.CON.KMEG.FL.Y.0022.000000T0000Z-150415T2103Z/
/OSGA4.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
900 PM CDT SUN APR 12 2015
The Flood Advisory continues for
the Mississippi River at Osceola
* until Wednesday April 15.
* At 8 PM Sunday the stage was 24.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 28.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise to near 26.5 feet Wednesday April
15.
* At 27.0 feet...In Arkansas, high water interfers with grain barge
loading at the terminal at Osceola. Backwater is touching most of
the levee just north of Osceola on north past Mississippi County
Arkansas Road 330 in the Barfield Point vicinity. Mississippi
County, Arkansas Road 430 is flooded across from Tellier Island. In
Tennessee, Crutcher Lake Road is flooded north of Cold Creek. The
Mississippi Rover is over its banks northeast of Open Lake.
Backwater has reached Bee Lake.
&&
LAT...LON 3582 8996 3582 8956 3560 8979 3539 8995
3539 9025
$$311
WGUS84 KMEG 131738
FLSMEG
FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
1238 PM CDT MON APR 13 2015
...The Flood Advisory continues for the Mississippi River...
Mississippi River at Caruthersville affecting Mississippi...
Pemiscot...Dyer...Lake and Lauderdale Counties
Mississippi River at Osceola affecting Mississippi...Lauderdale
and Tipton Counties
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
The next River Statement will be issued tonight or sooner if conditions
warrant.
For graphical river and flood information...please go to
www.weather.gov and click near Memphis on the map. Then select Rivers
and Lakes AHPS under current conditions.
Do not drive through flooded areas...turn around don't drown.
Stay tuned to your weather radio and your local news media for the
latest river information.
&&
ARC093-MOC155-TNC045-095-097-141738-
/O.CON.KMEG.FL.Y.0021.000000T0000Z-150415T2103Z/
/CRTM7.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
1238 PM CDT MON APR 13 2015
The Flood Advisory continues for
the Mississippi River at Caruthersville
* until Wednesday April 15.
* At 12 PM Monday the stage was 30.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 32.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise to near 30.5 feet Tuesday April 14.
* At 31.0 feet...In Arkansas, road and field flooding is widespread
at Cottonwood Point. Access roads off Arkansas Road 362 are
flooding. In Tennessee, grain shipping facility south of Heloise is
mostly under water. Dee Webb Road and Watkins Road are flooding,
along with Brady Ridge Road. Barr Road north of Wardlow Pocket Area
is being covered.
&&
LAT...LON 3623 8977 3623 8948 3606 8950 3595 8948
3582 8956 3582 8985
$$
ARC093-TNC097-167-141737-
/O.CON.KMEG.FL.Y.0022.000000T0000Z-150415T2103Z/
/OSGA4.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
1238 PM CDT MON APR 13 2015
The Flood Advisory continues for
the Mississippi River at Osceola
* until Wednesday April 15.
* At 12 PM Monday the stage was 25.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 28.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise to near 26.0 feet Tuesday April 14.
* At 26.0 feet...In Tennessee, Crutcher Lake Road is flooding near
Cold Creek. Cold creek is going over its south bank onto resort
lots just east of Crutcher Lake Road. Water from the Lower Forked
Deer River is backing into Open Lake. Cold Creek is now flowing
south out of Open Lake. Jones slough is about to back north over
Grammer Road. Adams Slough has flooded Sam Taylor Road. Many
sloughs are beginning to flood fields. Brandywine Camp begins to go
under water.
&&
LAT...LON 3582 8996 3582 8956 3560 8979 3539 8995
3539 9025
$$652
WGUS84 KMEG 140156
FLSMEG
FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
856 PM CDT MON APR 13 2015
...The Flood Advisory continues for the Mississippi River...
Mississippi River at Caruthersville affecting Mississippi...
Pemiscot...Dyer...Lake and Lauderdale Counties
Mississippi River at Osceola affecting Mississippi...Lauderdale
and Tipton Counties
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
The next River Statement will be issued Tuesday morning or sooner if
conditions warrant.
For graphical river and flood information...please go to
www.weather.gov and click near Memphis on the map. Then select Rivers
and Lakes AHPS under current conditions.
Do not drive through flooded areas...turn around don't drown.
Stay tuned to your weather radio and your local news media for the
latest river information.
&&
ARC093-MOC155-TNC045-095-097-150156-
/O.CON.KMEG.FL.Y.0021.000000T0000Z-150415T2103Z/
/CRTM7.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
856 PM CDT MON APR 13 2015
The Flood Advisory continues for
the Mississippi River at Caruthersville
* until Wednesday April 15.
* At 8 PM Monday the stage was 30.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 32.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise to near 30.5 feet Tuesday April 14.
* At 31.0 feet...In Arkansas, road and field flooding is widespread
at Cottonwood Point. Access roads off Arkansas Road 362 are
flooding. In Tennessee, grain shipping facility south of Heloise is
mostly under water. Dee Webb Road and Watkins Road are flooding,
along with Brady Ridge Road. Barr Road north of Wardlow Pocket Area
is being covered.
&&
LAT...LON 3623 8977 3623 8948 3606 8950 3595 8948
3582 8956 3582 8985
$$
ARC093-TNC097-167-150155-
/O.CON.KMEG.FL.Y.0022.000000T0000Z-150415T2103Z/
/OSGA4.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
856 PM CDT MON APR 13 2015
The Flood Advisory continues for
the Mississippi River at Osceola
* until Wednesday April 15.
* At 8 PM Monday the stage was 25.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 28.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise to near 26.0 feet Wednesday April
15.
* At 26.0 feet...In Tennessee, Crutcher Lake Road is flooding near
Cold Creek. Cold creek is going over its south bank onto resort
lots just east of Crutcher Lake Road. Water from the Lower Forked
Deer River is backing into Open Lake. Cold Creek is now flowing
south out of Open Lake. Jones slough is about to back north over
Grammer Road. Adams Slough has flooded Sam Taylor Road. Many
sloughs are beginning to flood fields. Brandywine Camp begins to go
under water.
&&
LAT...LON 3582 8996 3582 8956 3560 8979 3539 8995
3539 9025
$$318
WGUS84 KMEG 141613
FLSMEG
FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
1113 AM CDT TUE APR 14 2015
...The Flood Advisory continues for the Mississippi River...
Mississippi River at Caruthersville affecting Mississippi...
Pemiscot...Dyer...Lake and Lauderdale Counties
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
The next River Statement will be issued Tuesday afternoon or sooner if conditions
warrant.
For graphical river and flood information...please go to
www.weather.gov and click near Memphis on the map. Then select Rivers
and Lakes AHPS under current conditions.
Do not drive through flooded areas...turn around don't drown.
Stay tuned to your weather radio and your local news media for the
latest river information.
&&
ARC093-MOC155-TNC045-095-097-151613-
/O.CON.KMEG.FL.Y.0021.000000T0000Z-150415T2103Z/
/CRTM7.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
1113 AM CDT TUE APR 14 2015
The Flood Advisory continues for
the Mississippi River at Caruthersville
* until Wednesday April 15.
* At 11 AM Tuesday the stage was 30.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 32.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise to near 31.0 feet Friday April 17.
* At 31.0 feet...In Arkansas, road and field flooding is widespread
at Cottonwood Point. Access roads off Arkansas Road 362 are
flooding. In Tennessee, grain shipping facility south of Heloise is
mostly under water. Dee Webb Road and Watkins Road are flooding,
along with Brady Ridge Road. Barr Road north of Wardlow Pocket Area
is being covered.
&&
LAT...LON 3623 8977 3623 8948 3606 8950 3595 8948
3582 8956 3582 8985
$$295
WGUS84 KMEG 150223
FLSMEG
FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
923 PM CDT TUE APR 14 2015
...The Flood Advisory continues for the Mississippi River...
Mississippi River at Caruthersville affecting Mississippi...
Pemiscot...Dyer...Lake and Lauderdale Counties
Mississippi River at Osceola affecting Mississippi...Lauderdale
and Tipton Counties
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
The next River Statement will be issued Wednesday or sooner if conditions
warrant.
For graphical river and flood information...please go to
www.weather.gov and click near Memphis on the map. Then select Rivers
and Lakes AHPS under current conditions.
Do not drive through flooded areas...turn around don't drown.
Stay tuned to your weather radio and your local news media for the
latest river information.
&&
ARC093-MOC155-TNC045-095-097-152103-
/O.CON.KMEG.FL.Y.0021.000000T0000Z-150415T2103Z/
/CRTM7.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
923 PM CDT TUE APR 14 2015
The Flood Advisory continues for
the Mississippi River at Caruthersville
* until Wednesday April 15.
* At 9 PM Tuesday the stage was 30.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 32.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise to near 31.0 feet Friday April 17.
* At 31.0 feet...In Arkansas, road and field flooding is widespread
at Cottonwood Point. Access roads off Arkansas Road 362 are
flooding. In Tennessee, grain shipping facility south of Heloise is
mostly under water. Dee Webb Road and Watkins Road are flooding,
along with Brady Ridge Road. Barr Road north of Wardlow Pocket Area
is being covered.
&&
LAT...LON 3623 8977 3623 8948 3606 8950 3595 8948
3582 8956 3582 8985
$$
ARC093-TNC097-167-160223-
/O.CON.KMEG.FL.Y.0022.000000T0000Z-150418T1203Z/
/OSGA4.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
923 PM CDT TUE APR 14 2015
The Flood Advisory continues for
the Mississippi River at Osceola
* until Saturday April 18.
* At 9 PM Tuesday the stage was 26.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 28.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise to near 26.7 feet Saturday April 18.
* At 27.0 feet...In Arkansas, high water interferes with grain barge
loading at the terminal at Osceola. Backwater is touching most of
the levee just north of Osceola on north past Mississippi County
Arkansas Road 330 in the Barfield Point vicinity. Mississippi
County, Arkansas Road 430 is flooded across from Tellier Island. In
Tennessee, Crutcher Lake Road is flooded north of Cold Creek. The
Mississippi River is over its banks northeast of Open Lake.
Backwater has reached Bee Lake.
&&
LAT...LON 3582 8996 3582 8956 3560 8979 3539 8995
3539 9025
$$169
WGUS84 KMEG 151848
FLSMEG
FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
148 PM CDT WED APR 15 2015
...The Flood Advisory continues for the Mississippi River...
Mississippi River at Caruthersville affecting Mississippi...
Pemiscot...Dyer...Lake and Lauderdale Counties
Mississippi River at Osceola affecting Mississippi...Lauderdale
and Tipton Counties
Mississippi River at Tunica Riverpark affecting Lee and Tunica
Counties
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
The next River Statement will be issued later today or sooner if conditions
warrant.
For graphical river and flood information...please go to
www.weather.gov and click near Memphis on the map. Then select Rivers
and Lakes AHPS under current conditions.
Do not drive through flooded areas...turn around don't drown.
Stay tuned to your weather radio and your local news media for the
latest river information.
&&
ARC093-MOC155-TNC045-095-097-152103-
/O.CON.KMEG.FL.Y.0021.000000T0000Z-150415T2103Z/
/CRTM7.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
148 PM CDT WED APR 15 2015
The Flood Advisory continues for
the Mississippi River at Caruthersville
* until Wednesday April 15.
* At 01 PM Wednesday the stage was 30.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 32.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise to near 31.5 feet Monday April 20.
* At 32.0 feet...In Missouri, docks of the steele mill near Hickman
are flooding. In Tennessee, Mississippi River overbank flooding is
occurring across Highway 88 just north of Dee Webb Road. Extensive
amounts of Chickasaw National Wildlife Refuge are flooded. Sloughs
at the west end of Barr Road are beginning to back up into fields.
&&
LAT...LON 3623 8977 3623 8948 3606 8950 3595 8948
3582 8956 3582 8985
$$
ARC093-TNC097-167-161847-
/O.CON.KMEG.FL.Y.0022.000000T0000Z-150418T1203Z/
/OSGA4.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
148 PM CDT WED APR 15 2015
The Flood Advisory continues for
the Mississippi River at Osceola
* until Saturday April 18.
* At 01 PM Wednesday the stage was 26.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 28.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise to near 27.0 feet Monday April 20.
* At 27.0 feet...In Arkansas, high water interferes with grain barge
loading at the terminal at Osceola. Backwater is touching most of
the levee just north of Osceola on north past Mississippi County
Arkansas Road 330 in the Barfield Point vicinity. Mississippi
County, Arkansas Road 430 is flooded across from Tellier Island. In
Tennessee, Crutcher Lake Road is flooded north of Cold Creek. The
Mississippi River is over its banks northeast of Open Lake.
Backwater has reached Bee Lake.
&&
LAT...LON 3582 8996 3582 8956 3560 8979 3539 8995
3539 9025
$$
ARC077-MSC143-161847-
/O.CON.KMEG.FL.Y.0025.000000T0000Z-150419T0520Z/
/TRPM6.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
148 PM CDT WED APR 15 2015
The Flood Advisory continues for
the Mississippi River at Tunica Riverpark
* until Sunday April 19.
* At 12 PM Wednesday the stage was 37.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 41.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise to near 38.5 feet Wednesday April
22.
* At 39.0 feet...Casinos are open and unaffected. In Mississippi,
river is touching the levee at many places near Mhoon Landing. Road
to Stubb's Island is closed. Fields are flooding inside the levee
west of Seabrook Road. Water has reached the outlet of McKinney
Bayou Pumping Station.
&&
LAT...LON 3491 9062 3491 9022 3480 9034 3450 9051
3455 9059 3476 9074
$$What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this river flood advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Memphis, TN wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood advisory went out at Apr 9, 12:56 PM CDT, 14 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Apr 9, 12:56 PM CDT, 14 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
1256 PM CDT THU APR 9 2015
.DISCUSSION...
UPDATED FOR 18Z AVIATION DISCUSSION
&&
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1001 AM CDT THU APR 9 2015/
UPDATE...
SOME ISOLATED TO SCATTERED MORNING SHRAS CONTINUE ACROSS PORTIONS
OF THE MIDSOUTH. MAIN FOCUS FOR PRECIPITATION CHANCES WILL BE
LATE THIS AFTERNOON WHEN THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP
ACROSS SOUTHERN ARKANSAS AHEAD OF WHERE A POSSIBLE SECONDARY SFC
LOW WILL DEVELOP. THE THUNDERSTORMS WILL PUSH NORTHEASTWARD INTO
THE MISSISSIPPI DELTA BETWEEN 4-8 PM CDT. HAVE PUSHED BACK CHANCES
FOR LIKELY POPS UNTIL LATE THIS AFTERNOON. OTHERWISE...REST OF THE
FORECAST LOOKS GOOD.
KRM
DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 447 AM CDT THU APR 9 2015/
CURRENTLY...AS OF 4AM...
TEMPERATURES ARE RUNNING VERY MILD THIS MORNING WITH READINGS
MAINLY IN THE LOWER 70S ACROSS THE REGION. LATEST WSR-88D RADAR
RETURNS INDICATE A BROAD AREA OF LIGHT TO MODERATE RAIN SHOWERS
MOVING FROM SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST AND INTO NORTHEAST ARKANSAS.
WINDS JUST WEST OF THE AREA ARE BEGINNING TO GUST TO AROUND 20 MPH
OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST.
LATEST WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS A POTENT POSITIVELY TILTED
SHORTWAVE TROUGH MOVING ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS THIS MORNING
WITH A 996MB SURFACE LOW LOCATED NEAR THE OKLAHOMA PANHANDLE. THIS
TROUGH IS EXPECTED TO TAKE ON A NEGATIVE TILT THIS AFTERNOON AND
THE SURFACE WILL DEEPEN AS IT TRAVERSES NORTHEAST FROM OKLAHOMA
TO NEAR CHICAGO ILLINOIS BY EARLY EVENING. AS FOR OUR
AREA...THE ATTENDANT COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE LOWER
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY BY LATE EVENING.
SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY...
MAIN CONCERN CONTINUES TO BE THE EVOLUTION OF THE SEVERE WEATHER
THREAT FOR THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENTUALLY TONIGHT. SHORT TERM HI-
RES MODEL DATA AS WELL AS MODEL SOUNDINGS SUGGEST THAT THE
ATMOSPHERE WILL DESTABILIZE BY THIS AFTERNOON AND SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP BY LUNCHTIME ACROSS THE FA. SOME OF
THESE SURFACE-BASED STORMS COULD BECOME SUPERCELLULAR DUE TO
AMPLE INSTABILITY OF 1500 J/KG OF SBCAPE AND BULK SHEAR AROUND 40
KTS. DEPENDING ON THE TIMING...COVERAGE...AND INTENSITY OF THESE
STORMS...THE THREAT OF STRONG STORMS FOR LATER COULD POTENTIALLY
BE LIMITED DUE TO THE AIRMASS BEING OVERWORKED.
AS FOR TIMING OF THE COLD FRONT TONIGHT...MODEL GUIDANCE IS STILL
A LITTLE SHAKY WITH THE GFS MOVING THE FRONT THROUGH QUICKEST.
OPTED FOR A SLIGHTLY SLOWER FROPA...AS THE ATTENDANT LOW AND
UPPER LEVEL ENERGY DEPART TO THE NORTH FAIRLY QUICKLY. STORM MODE
COULD START AS A FEW BROKEN LINE SEGMENTS BUT SHOULD QUICKLY
CONGEAL INTO A QLCS...AS FORCING WILL BE STRONGEST RIGHT ALONG THE
FRONT. DAMAGING WINDS...LARGE HAIL...AND EVEN A FEW ISOLATED
TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE. THE LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE
INTO NORTHEAST ARKANSAS AROUND 8PM...AND BE INTO MEMPHIS METRO
AROUND MIDNIGHT...AND INTO TUPELO AREA BY 4AM OR SO. THE FRONT IS
EXPECTED TO BE FULLY OUT OF THE AREA BY EARLY FRIDAY MORNING.
BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON...SKIES WILL QUICKLY CLEAR AS A 1020MB
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE MOVES IN. COOLER AND DRIER AIR WILL FILTER
IN BEHIND THE FRONT AND TEMPERATURES WILL TOP OUT IN THE UPPER
60S AND LOWER 70S. A COOL BUT SEASONAL OVERNIGHT IS EXPECTED WITH
READINGS IN THE 40S AND 50S.
SATURDAY CONTINUES TO LOOK LIKE A PERFECT SPRING DAY WITH HIGHS
IN THE LOW TO MID 70S AND ABUNDANTLY SUNNY SKIES. PLEASE ENJOY IT
WHILE IT LASTS.
LONG TERM...SUNDAY THROUGH NEXT WEEK...
A UNSETTLED WEATHER PATTERN WILL BEGIN SUNDAY AND CONTINUE THROUGH
AT LEAST NEXT THURSDAY. MODEL GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO INDICATE A
CUTOFF LOW MOVING ACROSS THE DESERT SOUTHWEST AND SENDING AT
LEAST A FEW DISTURBANCES THROUGH THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY.
RAIN AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE EVERY DAY AS A RESULT.
WPC QPF TOTALS FOR NEXT WEEK ARE AROUND THREE INCHES WHICH SEEMS
REASONABLE GIVEN THE HUMID AIRMASS OVER THE REGION.
AC3
&&
.AVIATION...
18Z TAF CYCLE
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON
WELL AHEAD OF A STRONG COLD FRONT. EXPECT MAINLY VFR CONDITIONS
THIS AFTERNOON OUTSIDE ANY SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. STRONG AND
GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL OCCUR ACROSS MUCH OF THE REGION.
WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL OCCUR ALONG AND AHEAD
OF A STRONG COLD FRONT TONIGHT. OCNL IFR CONDS EXPECTED IN THE
HEAVIER SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. THE COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO
MOVE THROUGH KJBR AROUND 10/04Z...KMEM 10/06Z...KMKL 10/07Z AND
KTUP 10/08Z. GUSTY WINDS WILL BECOME NW BEHIND THE FRONT AND
GRADUALLY DIMINISH. POST FRONTAL CLOUDS AND PRECIP WILL GIVE WAY
TO VFR CONDS FROM THE NORTHWEST BEGINNING LATE TONIGHT AT
KJBR...SPREADING TO KTUP BY MID MORNING ON FRI.
SJM
&&
.MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR CLAY-CRAIGHEAD-
CRITTENDEN-CROSS-GREENE-LAWRENCE-LEE AR-MISSISSIPPI-
PHILLIPS-POINSETT-RANDOLPH-ST. FRANCIS.
MO...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR DUNKLIN-PEMISCOT.
MS...NONE.
TN...NONE.
&&Hazardous weather outlook, Apr 9, 11:52 AM CDT, 1 hour 18 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN 1152 AM CDT THU APR 9 2015 ARZ008-009-017-018-026>028-035-036-048-049-058-MOZ113-115- MSZ001>017-020>024-TNZ001>004-019>022-048>055-088>092-101900- ALCORN-BENTON MS-BENTON TN-CALHOUN-CARROLL-CHESTER-CHICKASAW-CLAY- COAHOMA-CRAIGHEAD-CRITTENDEN-CROCKETT-CROSS-DESOTO-DECATUR- DUNKLIN-DYER-FAYETTE-GIBSON-GREENE-HARDEMAN-HARDIN-HAYWOOD- HENDERSON-HENRY-ITAWAMBA-LAFAYETTE-LAKE-LAUDERDALE-LAWRENCE- LEE AR-LEE MS-MADISON-MARSHALL-MCNAIRY-MISSISSIPPI-MONROE-OBION- PANOLA-PEMISCOT-PHILLIPS-POINSETT-PONTOTOC-PRENTISS-QUITMAN- RANDOLPH-SHELBY-ST. FRANCIS-TALLAHATCHIE-TATE-TIPPAH-TIPTON- TISHOMINGO-TUNICA-UNION-WEAKLEY-YALOBUSHA- 1152 AM CDT THU APR 9 2015 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EAST ARKANSAS... THE MISSOURI BOOTHEEL...NORTH MISSISSIPPI...AND WEST TENNESSEE. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT AN ENHANCED RISK FOR SEVERE WEATHER EXISTS FOR EASTERN ARKANSAS...THE MISSOURI BOOTHEEL...MUCH OF WEST TENNESSEE AND NORTHWEST MISSISSIPPI LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY MORNING AS A STRONG COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY. A SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE STORMS EXISTS FOR NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI AND AREAS IN WEST TENNESSEE NEAR THE TENNESSEE RIVER. ISOLATED SUPERCELLS WILL BEGIN DEVELOPING ACROSS SOUTHERN ARKANSAS DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS. THESE STORMS WILL TRACK NORTHEAST INTO EAST ARKANSAS...THE MISSOURI BOOTHEEL...EXTREME WEST TENNESSEE AND NORTHWEST MISSISSIPPI FROM THE LATE AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING HOURS. DAMAGING WINDS...LARGE HAIL AND AN ISOLATED TORNADO WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS. IN ADDITION...A SQUALL LINE ASSOCIATED WITH THE COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN PUSHING INTO NORTHEAST ARKANSAS BY THE LATER EVENING HOURS. THIS LINE WILL PUSH EAST AFFECTING THE ENTIRE MIDSOUTH DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL WILL BE THE MAIN THREAT FROM THESE STORMS. LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING WILL ALSO POSSIBLE. IN ADDITION...A WIND ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR AREAS ALONG AND WEST OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING. REFER TO THE LATEST PRODUCT FOR DETAILS. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT.
The office that day
Everything else NWS Memphis, TN issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 1:10 PM CDT | River Flood Advisory | MEG | Lauderdale, Tipton | 9 days |
| Apr 9, 3:40 AM CDT | Wind Advisory | MEG | Clay, Craighead, Crittenden, Cross, Greene, Lawrence and 6 more | 15 hr |
| Apr 9, 6:21 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Craighead, Greene, Lawrence | 39 min |
| Apr 9, 6:59 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Clay, Greene | 23 min |
Nearby
River Flood Advisories in Tennessee, 2015River Flood Advisories in Arkansas, 2015River Flood Advisories in Missouri, 2015Every river flood advisory in 2015
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.