Alert archive / Texas / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2015
Severe Thunderstorm Warning 63, NWS Midland/Odessa, TX
NWS Midland/Odessa, TX issued this severe thunderstorm warning at May 8, 2015, 4:19 PM CDT for 4 counties in Texas. It was in force for 41 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- May 8, 2015, 4:19 PM CDT (21:19 UTC)
- Expired
- May 8, 2015, 5:00 PM CDT
- In force
- 41 min
- Issued by
- NWS Midland/Odessa, TX
- Area
- Storm-based polygon
- Hail
- 1.0 in
- Wind
- 60.0 mph
Counties Glasscock County, TX, Midland County, TX, Reagan County, TX, Upton County, TX
The radar
The Midland/Odessa radar (KMAF), 54 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:19 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
Did it verify
Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.
Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.
The watch it was issued in
The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.
| Issued | Product | Office | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 8, 3:50 PM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | 8 hr |
The nearest sounding before it
Midland Regional, TX (KMAF), launched 12:00Z, 9.3 hours before the alert went out and 55 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 2610 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -13 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 678 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 57 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 282 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 327 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 5.2
- Supercell composite
- 17.7
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
188
WUUS54 KMAF 082119
SVRMAF
TXC173-329-383-461-082200-
/O.NEW.KMAF.SV.W.0063.150508T2119Z-150508T2200Z/
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
419 PM CDT FRI MAY 8 2015
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIDLAND HAS ISSUED A
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
SOUTHWESTERN GLASSCOCK COUNTY IN WEST TEXAS...
SOUTHEASTERN MIDLAND COUNTY IN WEST TEXAS...
NORTHWESTERN REAGAN COUNTY IN WEST TEXAS...
NORTHEASTERN UPTON COUNTY IN WEST TEXAS...
* UNTIL 500 PM CDT
* AT 415 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 11 MILES SOUTH OF
MIDKIFF...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH.
HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND QUARTER TO GOLFBALL SIZE HAIL.
SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED.
IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND DAMAGE TO
ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES.
* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
MIDKIFF...NORTH REAGAN FIRE STATION...BIGBY CORNER AND SAINT
LAWRENCE.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMAIN ALERT FOR A POSSIBLE TORNADO! TORNADOES CAN DEVELOP QUICKLY
FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. IF YOU SPOT A TORNADO GO AT ONCE INTO THE
BASEMENT OR SMALL CENTRAL ROOM IN A STURDY STRUCTURE.
FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.
PREPARE IMMEDIATELY FOR LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS. PEOPLE OUTSIDE
SHOULD MOVE TO A SHELTER...INSIDE A STRONG BUILDING AND AWAY FROM
WINDOWS.
&&
LAT...LON 3190 10182 3179 10143 3147 10151 3136 10183
3145 10203
TIME...MOT...LOC 2118Z 207DEG 30KT 3150 10187
HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
$$
AH1 follow-up statement
016
WWUS54 KMAF 082142
SVSMAF
SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
442 PM CDT FRI MAY 8 2015
TXC329-461-082152-
/O.CAN.KMAF.SV.W.0063.000000T0000Z-150508T2200Z/
MIDLAND TX-UPTON TX-
442 PM CDT FRI MAY 8 2015
...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN UPTON AND
SOUTHEASTERN MIDLAND COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...
THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS MOVED OUT OF THE WARNED
AREA.
LAT...LON 3152 10150 3153 10177 3189 10177 3179 10143
TIME...MOT...LOC 2142Z 220DEG 35KT 3169 10167
$$
TXC173-383-082200-
/O.CON.KMAF.SV.W.0063.000000T0000Z-150508T2200Z/
GLASSCOCK TX-REAGAN TX-
442 PM CDT FRI MAY 8 2015
...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR NORTHWESTERN
REAGAN AND SOUTHWESTERN GLASSCOCK COUNTIES UNTIL 500 PM CDT...
AT 439 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR BIGBY
CORNER...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH.
HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL.
SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED.
IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND DAMAGE TO
ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES.
LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
BIGBY CORNER AND SAINT LAWRENCE.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMAIN ALERT FOR A POSSIBLE TORNADO! TORNADOES CAN DEVELOP QUICKLY
FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. IF YOU SPOT A TORNADO GO AT ONCE INTO THE
BASEMENT OR SMALL CENTRAL ROOM IN A STURDY STRUCTURE.
FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.
PREPARE IMMEDIATELY FOR LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS. PEOPLE OUTSIDE
SHOULD MOVE TO A SHELTER...INSIDE A STRONG BUILDING AND AWAY FROM
WINDOWS.
&&
LAT...LON 3152 10150 3153 10177 3189 10177 3179 10143
TIME...MOT...LOC 2142Z 220DEG 35KT 3169 10167
HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
$$
AHWhat forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Midland/Odessa, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at May 8, 4:09 PM CDT, 10 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, May 8, 4:09 PM CDT, 10 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
409 PM CDT Fri May 8 2015
.UPDATE...
See updated public discussion below.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Updated grids to add Tornado Watch # 145 until midnight cdt for much
of the Permian Basin. Increased pops across the Permian Basin for
the remainder of the afternoon and added severe wording to fit
the watch. Increased QPF grids as well.
Updated zones to be sent.
12
&&
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 255 PM CDT Fri May 8 2015/
DISCUSSION...
The special 18Z MAF upper air sounding is showing a pretty strong
cap which no doubt is what is keeping convection suppressed at
this time. This sounding modified for the expected afternoon high
temperature shows there may be a brief window to break through
the cap this afternoon, so will not cancel the watch in the
northern Permian Basin early. If anything does develop it will
likely be along a weak dryline forming in the northwestern Permian
Basin which is showing up on visible satellite as a line of
enhanced cumulus.
Saturday an upper low in the desert southwest will move east into
the Rockies increasing westerly flow and pushing the dryline
farther east so the only PoPs will be in the extreme southeastern
Permian Basin and lower Trans Pecos. Some of the stronger mid
level westerlies will mix into the higher elevations of the
Guadalupe Mountains where a High Wind Watch remains in effect.
The upper low will move into the north central plains early Monday
sending a weak cold front into the area. Dry air both ahead and
behind the front will allow overnight temperatures to drop below
normal for this time of year Sunday and Monday morning. In fact
Monday will be pleasant all day with a cool start to the morning
and highs forecast to be around 10 degrees below normal.
Tuesday surface high pressure will slide east with return
southeasterly flow bringing a return of moisture and warmer temps.
Models are in pretty good agreement that an upper trough will move
across the southwestern U.S. and combined with the increasing
moisture will give a good chance for showers and thunderstorms
areawide. Rain chances diminish after this trough passes on
Wednesday but backed flow aloft will keep rain chances in the
forecast through the end of next week.
Hennig
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
ANDREWS TX 62 83 53 81 / 30 10 10 0
BIG SPRING TX 67 86 57 82 / 40 20 10 10
CARLSBAD NM 55 81 49 80 / 10 0 0 0
DRYDEN TX 66 96 66 86 / 20 10 30 10
FORT STOCKTON TX 61 90 57 84 / 20 0 10 10
GUADALUPE PASS TX 52 70 49 74 / 0 0 0 0
HOBBS NM 54 78 49 78 / 20 0 10 0
MARFA TX 49 81 47 78 / 10 0 0 0
MIDLAND INTL AIRPORT TX 65 87 56 83 / 30 10 10 0
ODESSA TX 64 87 56 83 / 30 10 10 0
WINK TX 59 87 53 84 / 20 0 10 0
&&
.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...HIGH WIND WATCH from Saturday morning through Saturday evening
FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES... Guadalupe Mountains of Eddy
County.
TX...HIGH WIND WATCH from Saturday morning through Saturday evening
FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES... Guadalupe Mountains.
&&
27/10
Follow us on Facebook and Twitter at:
http://facebook.com/NWSMidland
http://twitter.com/NWSMidland
Check us out on the internet at:
http://weather.gov/midlandHazardous weather outlook, May 8, 2:30 PM CDT, 1 hour 49 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX 230 PM CDT FRI MAY 8 2015 NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-057>063-067>070-074-075- 079>082-258-091930- GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF EDDY COUNTY-EDDY COUNTY PLAINS- NORTHERN LEA COUNTY-CENTRAL LEA COUNTY-SOUTHERN LEA COUNTY-GAINES- DAWSON-BORDEN-SCURRY-ANDREWS-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL- VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS- LOVING-WINKLER-ECTOR-MIDLAND-GLASSCOCK-WARD-CRANE-UPTON-REAGAN- DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA-PECOS-PRESIDIO VALLEY-MARFA PLATEAU- BIG BEND AREA-TERRELL-GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS- 230 PM CDT FRI MAY 8 2015 /130 PM MDT FRI MAY 8 2015/ THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO...SOUTHWEST TEXAS AND WEST TEXAS. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH TONIGHT...MAINLY OVER THE WESTERN LOW ROLLING PLAINS AND NORTHERN PERMIAN BASIN THROUGH EARLY EVENING. ANY STORMS THAT DO DEVELOP COULD QUICKLY BECOME SEVERE AND A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THIS AFTERNOON FOR THESE AREAS. THE MAIN THREATS INCLUDE LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...ISOLATED TORNADOES AND BRIEF HEAVY RAINFALL. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY STRONG WEST WINDS MAY DEVELOP ACROSS THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAIN RANGE SATURDAY AND A HIGH WIND WATCH IS IN EFFECT. THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE SATURDAY NIGHT...MAINLY OVER THE LOWER TRANS PECOS. ONE OR TWO STORMS COULD BE STRONG TO SEVERE...CAPABLE OF PRODUCING HAIL AND STRONG WINDS. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING. THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES... AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN MIDLAND CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT /LOWER CASE/ HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MIDLAND
In the hours before
Special weather statement, May 8, 3:41 PM CDT, 38 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
341 PM CDT FRI MAY 8 2015
TXZ069-082115-
UPTON-
341 PM CDT FRI MAY 8 2015
...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR STRONG THUNDERSTORM AFFECTING
UPTON COUNTY UNTIL 415 PM CDT...
A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 8 MILES WEST OF RANKIN AT 341 PM
CDT...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
IN ADDITION TO HAIL AND STRONG WINDS... DEADLY CLOUD TO GROUND
LIGHTNING CAN BE EXPECTED. REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER... YOU
ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE STRUCK BY LIGHTNING. SEEK SAFE SHELTER NOW.
A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 500 PM CDT FRIDAY AFTERNOON
FOR WEST TEXAS.
&&
LAT...LON 3122 10184 3108 10198 3108 10202 3117 10224
3151 10202 3150 10185 3136 10179
TIME...MOT...LOC 2041Z 213DEG 26KT 3121 10206Special weather statement, May 8, 4:13 PM CDT, 6 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX 413 PM CDT FRI MAY 8 2015 TXZ062-063-069-070-082145- GLASSCOCK-MIDLAND-REAGAN-UPTON- 413 PM CDT FRI MAY 8 2015 ...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR A STRONG THUNDERSTORM AFFECTING NORTHEASTERN UPTON...NORTHWESTERN REAGAN...SOUTHEASTERN MIDLAND AND SOUTHWESTERN GLASSCOCK COUNTIES UNTIL 445 PM CDT... A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 14 MILES SOUTH OF MIDKIFF AT 413 PM CDT...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... IN ADDITION TO HAIL AND STRONG WINDS... DEADLY CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING CAN BE EXPECTED. REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER... YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE STRUCK BY LIGHTNING. SEEK SAFE SHELTER NOW. A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT SATURDAY MORNING FOR SOUTHWESTERN TEXAS. && LAT...LON 3180 10192 3171 10156 3134 10179 3141 10204 TIME...MOT...LOC 2113Z 205DEG 28KT 3146 10190
The office that day
Everything else NWS Midland/Odessa, TX issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 8, 4:27 AM CDT | High Wind Watch | MAF | 24 hr | |
| May 8, 3:41 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | MAF | Upton | 34 min |
| May 8, 4:13 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | MAF | Upton | 32 min |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Texas, 2015Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2015
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.