Alert archive / Texas / River Flood Warnings in 2015
River Flood Warning 9, NWS Midland/Odessa, TX
NWS Midland/Odessa, TX issued this river flood warning at Jul 7, 2015, 9:19 AM CDT for Mitchell County, Scurry County, Texas. It took effect at Jul 7, 2015, 12:26 PM CDT. It was in force for 19 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Jul 7, 2015, 9:19 AM CDT (14:19 UTC)
- In effect from
- Jul 7, 2015, 12:26 PM CDT
- Expired
- Jul 8, 2015, 7:23 AM CDT
- In force
- 19 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Midland/Odessa, TX
- Area
- Storm-based polygon
- Flood severity
- Minor
Counties Mitchell County, TX, Scurry County, TX
The radar
The Lubbock radar (KLBB), 124 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 14:20 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The river
Written for the forecast point Deep Creek 1 mile W of Dunn (DEET2). The gauge peaked at 20.23 ft at Jul 7, 2015, 11:00 PM CDT.
- Action stage
- 13 ft
- Minor stage
- 14 ft
- Moderate stage
- 20 ft
- Major stage
- 26 ft
This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests
Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 08120500, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
030
WGUS44 KMAF 071419
FLWMAF
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
919 AM CDT TUE JUL 7 2015
...The National Weather Service in Midland has issued a flood warning
for the following rivers in Texas...
Colorado River near Ira 4SW, below J. B. Thomas affecting Mitchell
and Scurry Counties
Colorado River at Colorado City 1WSW affecting Mitchell County
Deep Creek near Deep Creek Dunn 1W affecting Mitchell and Scurry
Counties
Heavy rainfall has lead to river levels of the Colorado River to enter
flood stage in parts of Mitchell and Scurry County. Deep Creek and the
Colorado River at Ira are forecast to crest around 11-14 ft this afternoon.
The Colorado River at Colorado City is forecast to crest around 18-21 ft
overnight from routed and local flow.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Motorists are urged to heed flood warnings, and exercise caution if
traveling through this area. Vehicle-related fatalities are the
number one source of flood fatalities in West Texas and New Mexico.
If you encounter a flooded stretch of roadway, do not attempt to
cross it. You and your vehicle could be swept downstream in rushing
floodwaters. Turn around, don't drown!
River levels are high. Ranchers and farmers should move livestock
and machinery out of flood-prone areas if time permits.
Keep in mind that any additional rainfall across the area could
significantly change the present forecast stage.
Additional information is available at: www.weather.gov/midland
The next statement will be issued later this evening.
&&
TXC335-415-080619-
/O.NEW.KMAF.FL.W.0007.150707T1419Z-150710T0424Z/
/IRAT2.1.ER.000000T0000Z.150707T1800Z.150708T1624Z.NO/
919 AM CDT TUE JUL 7 2015
The National Weather Service in has issued a
* Flood Warning for
the Colorado River near Ira 4SW, below J. B. Thomas.
* until Thursday evening, or until the warning is cancelled.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet (2.4 meters).
This crest compares to a previous crest of 16.4 feet (5.0 meters) on
Aug 14 1972.
&&
Below are the latest river stages and forecasts (feet):
Bf Fld Observed Forecast
Location Stg Stg Stage Day Time Wed Thu Fri Sat
7AM 7AM 7AM 7AM
Ira 4SW, below 8.0 8.0 9.3 Tue 7 AM 9.1 4.9 3.6 3.1
Below are the latest river stages and forecasts (meters):
Bf Fld Observed Forecast
Location Stg Stg Stage Day Time Wed Thu Fri Sat
7AM 7AM 7AM 7AM
Ira 4SW, below 2.4 2.4 2.8 Tue 7 AM 2.8 1.5 1.1 0.9
&&
LAT...LON 3252 10118 3267 10108 3262 10099 3255 10085 3238 10099
$$
TXC335-080619-
/O.NEW.KMAF.FL.W.0008.150707T2051Z-150709T1405Z/
/CDCT2.1.ER.150707T2051Z.150708T0600Z.150709T0205Z.NO/
919 AM CDT TUE JUL 7 2015
The National Weather Service in has issued a
* Flood Warning for
the Colorado River at Colorado City 1WSW.
* from this afternoon to Thursday morning, or until the warning is
cancelled.
* At 8AM Tuesday the stage was 6.9 feet (2.1 meters).
* flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet (4.6 meters).
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by late this afternoon and
continue to rise to near 18.7 feet (5.7 meters) by after midnight
tomorrow. The river will fall below flood stage by tomorrow late
evening.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet (6.1 meters), Moderate flooding begins.
Ranchers need to move livestock away from the floodplain. Trees
and brush along the riverbanks in Colorado City will be inundated.
A few farm buildings may be threatened by rising waters.
This crest compares to a previous crest of 19.7 feet (6.0 meters) on
Jun 13 1967.
&&
Below are the latest river stages and forecasts (feet):
Bf Fld Observed Forecast
Location Stg Stg Stage Day Time Wed Thu Fri Sat
7AM 7AM 7AM 7AM
Colorado City 8.0 15.0 6.9 Tue 8 AM 18.5 11.9 8.5 6.6
Below are the latest river stages and forecasts (meters):
Bf Fld Observed Forecast
Location Stg Stg Stage Day Time Wed Thu Fri Sat
7AM 7AM 7AM 7AM
Colorado City 2.4 4.6 2.1 Tue 8 AM 5.6 3.6 2.6 2.0
&&
LAT...LON 3238 10099 3255 10085 3243 10081 3209 10067 3209 10088
$$
TXC335-415-080619-
/O.NEW.KMAF.FL.W.0009.150707T1726Z-150708T1223Z/
/DEET2.1.ER.150707T1726Z.150707T1800Z.150708T0023Z.NO/
919 AM CDT TUE JUL 7 2015
The National Weather Service in has issued a
* Flood Warning for
the Deep Creek near Deep Creek Dunn 1W.
* from this afternoon to Wednesday morning, or until the warning is
cancelled.
* At 8AM Tuesday the stage was 6.7 feet (2.0 meters).
* flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 14.0 feet (4.3 meters).
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by this afternoon and continue to
rise to near 14.9 feet (4.5 meters) by this afternoon. The river
will fall below flood stage by this evening.
* Impact...At 14.0 feet (4.3 meters), Low water channel banks
overflow. No damage is expected.
This crest compares to a previous crest of 13.2 feet (4.0 meters) on
Jun 17 2015.
&&
Below are the latest river stages and forecasts (feet):
Bf Fld Observed Forecast
Location Stg Stg Stage Day Time Wed Thu Fri Sat
7AM 7AM 7AM 7AM
Deep Creek Dun 14.0 14.0 6.7 Tue 8 AM 5.3 3.4 3.3 3.2
Below are the latest river stages and forecasts (meters):
Bf Fld Observed Forecast
Location Stg Stg Stage Day Time Wed Thu Fri Sat
7AM 7AM 7AM 7AM
Deep Creek Dun 4.3 4.3 2.0 Tue 8 AM 1.6 1.0 1.0 1.0
&&
LAT...LON 3291 10119 3300 10109 3270 10077 3248 10085 3257 10098
$$4 follow-up statements
351
WGUS84 KMAF 071959
FLSMAF
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
259 PM CDT TUE JUL 7 2015
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...
Colorado River near Ira 4SW, below J. B. Thomas affecting Mitchell
and Scurry Counties
Colorado River at Colorado City 1WSW affecting Mitchell County
Deep Creek near Deep Creek Dunn 1W affecting Mitchell and Scurry
Counties
Continued rainfall has kept the river levels of the Colorado River raised.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Motorists are urged to heed flood warnings, and exercise caution if
traveling through this area. Vehicle-related fatalities are the
number one source of flood fatalities in West Texas and New Mexico.
If you encounter a flooded stretch of roadway, do not attempt to
cross it. You and your vehicle could be swept downstream in rushing
floodwaters. Turn around, don't drown!
River levels are high. Ranchers and farmers should move livestock
and machinery out of flood-prone areas if time permits.
Keep in mind that any additional rainfall across the area could
significantly change the present forecast stage.
Additional information is available at: www.weather.gov/midland
The next statement will be issued
&&
TXC335-415-081159-
/O.EXT.KMAF.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-150710T0150Z/
/IRAT2.1.ER.000000T0000Z.150708T0000Z.150708T1350Z.NO/
259 PM CDT TUE JUL 7 2015
The Flood Warning continues for
the Colorado River near Ira 4SW, below J. B. Thomas.
* until Thursday evening, or until the warning is cancelled.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet (2.4 meters).
This crest compares to a previous crest of 16.4 feet (5.0 meters) on
Aug 14 1972.
&&
Below are the latest river stages and forecasts (feet):
Bf Fld Observed Forecast
Location Stg Stg Stage Day Time Wed Thu Fri Sat
7AM 7AM 7AM 7AM
Ira 4SW, below 8.0 8.0 M M 8.8 4.6 3.5 3.0
Below are the latest river stages and forecasts (meters):
Bf Fld Observed Forecast
Location Stg Stg Stage Day Time Wed Thu Fri Sat
7AM 7AM 7AM 7AM
Ira 4SW, below 2.4 2.4 M M 2.7 1.4 1.1 0.9
&&
LAT...LON 3252 10118 3267 10108 3262 10099 3255 10085 3238 10099
$$
TXC335-081159-
/O.EXT.KMAF.FL.W.0008.150708T0212Z-150709T1550Z/
/CDCT2.1.ER.150708T0212Z.150708T1200Z.150709T0350Z.NO/
259 PM CDT TUE JUL 7 2015
...Flood Warning extended until Thursday morning...The Flood Warning
continues for
the Colorado River at Colorado City 1WSW.
* from this evening to Thursday morning, or until the warning is
cancelled.
* At 2PM Tuesday the stage was 8.1 feet (2.5 meters).
* flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet (4.6 meters).
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by tonight and continue to rise
to near 19.1 feet (5.8 meters) by tomorrow morning. The river will
fall below flood stage by tomorrow late evening.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet (6.1 meters), Moderate flooding begins.
Ranchers need to move livestock away from the floodplain. Trees
and brush along the riverbanks in Colorado City will be inundated.
A few farm buildings may be threatened by rising waters.
This crest compares to a previous crest of 15.9 feet (4.8 meters) on
Apr 15 2015.
&&
Below are the latest river stages and forecasts (feet):
Bf Fld Observed Forecast
Location Stg Stg Stage Day Time Wed Thu Fri Sat
7AM 7AM 7AM 7AM
Colorado City 8.0 15.0 8.1 Tue 2 PM 19.1 12.0 7.7 5.7
Below are the latest river stages and forecasts (meters):
Bf Fld Observed Forecast
Location Stg Stg Stage Day Time Wed Thu Fri Sat
7AM 7AM 7AM 7AM
Colorado City 2.4 4.6 2.5 Tue 2 PM 5.8 3.7 2.3 1.7
&&
LAT...LON 3238 10099 3255 10085 3243 10081 3209 10067 3209 10088
$$
TXC335-415-081159-
/O.EXT.KMAF.FL.W.0009.000000T0000Z-150708T1651Z/
/DEET2.1.ER.150707T1631Z.150708T0000Z.150708T0451Z.NO/
259 PM CDT TUE JUL 7 2015
...Flood Warning extended until Wednesday morning...The Flood Warning
continues for
the Deep Creek near Deep Creek Dunn 1W.
* until Wednesday morning, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 2PM Tuesday the stage was 16.6 feet (5.1 meters).
* flooding is occurring and flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 14.0 feet (4.3 meters).
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 17.4 feet (5.3
meters) by this evening. The river will fall below flood stage
tonight.
This crest compares to a previous crest of 13.2 feet (4.0 meters) on
Jun 17 2015.
&&
Below are the latest river stages and forecasts (feet):
Bf Fld Observed Forecast
Location Stg Stg Stage Day Time Wed Thu Fri Sat
7AM 7AM 7AM 7AM
Deep Creek Dun 14.0 14.0 16.6 Tue 2 PM 8.0 4.8 3.9 3.7
Below are the latest river stages and forecasts (meters):
Bf Fld Observed Forecast
Location Stg Stg Stage Day Time Wed Thu Fri Sat
7AM 7AM 7AM 7AM
Deep Creek Dun 4.3 4.3 5.1 Tue 2 PM 2.4 1.5 1.2 1.1
&&
LAT...LON 3291 10119 3300 10109 3270 10077 3248 10085 3257 10098
$$534
WGUS44 KMAF 080145
FLWMAF
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
845 PM CDT TUE JUL 7 2015
...Forecast flooding changed from Minor to Moderate severity for the
following rivers in Texas...
Deep Creek near Deep Creek Dunn 1W affecting Mitchell and Scurry
Counties
.Heavy rain has increased river flows in the warned area.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Motorists are urged to heed flood warnings, and exercise caution if
traveling through this area. Vehicle-related fatalities are the
number one source of flood fatalities in West Texas and New Mexico.
If you encounter a flooded stretch of roadway, do not attempt to
cross it. You and your vehicle could be swept downstream in rushing
floodwaters. Turn around, don't drown!
River levels are high. Ranchers and farmers should move livestock
and machinery out of flood-prone areas if time permits.
Keep in mind that any additional rainfall across the area could
significantly change the present forecast stage.
Additional information is available at: www.weather.gov/midland
The next statement will be issued Wednesday morning.
&&
TXC335-415-081745-
/O.EXT.KMAF.FL.W.0009.000000T0000Z-150709T0242Z/
/DEET2.2.ER.150707T1631Z.150708T0300Z.150708T1442Z.NO/
845 PM CDT TUE JUL 7 2015
...Forecast flooding increased from Minor to Moderate severity...
The Flood Warning continues for the Deep Creek near Deep Creek Dunn 1W.
* until Wednesday evening, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 8PM Tuesday the stage was 19.7 feet (6.0 meters).
* flooding is occurring and flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 14.0 feet (4.3 meters).
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 20.5 feet (6.2
meters) by tonight. The river will fall below flood stage tomorrow
late morning.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet (6.1 meters), Farm and ranch land flood.
Damage to fences occurs. Equipment and cattle are threatened, and
should be move to higher ground.
This crest compares to a previous crest of 17.7 feet (5.4 meters) on
Mar 5 2004.
&&
Below are the latest river stages and forecasts (feet):
Bf Fld Observed Forecast
Location Stg Stg Stage Day Time Wed Thu Fri Sat
7AM 7AM 7AM 7AM
Deep Creek Dun 14.0 14.0 19.7 Tue 8 PM 5.0 4.0 3.5 3.4
Below are the latest river stages and forecasts (meters):
Bf Fld Observed Forecast
Location Stg Stg Stage Day Time Wed Thu Fri Sat
7AM 7AM 7AM 7AM
Deep Creek Dun 4.3 4.3 6.0 Tue 8 PM 1.5 1.2 1.1 1.0
&&
LAT...LON 3291 10119 3300 10109 3270 10077 3248 10085 3257 10098
$$115
WGUS84 KMAF 080147
FLSMAF
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
847 PM CDT TUE JUL 7 2015
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...
Colorado River near Ira 4SW, below J. B. Thomas affecting Mitchell
and Scurry Counties
Colorado River at Colorado City 1WSW affecting Mitchell County
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Texas..
Deep Creek near Deep Creek Dunn 1W affecting Mitchell and Scurry
Counties
.Heavy rain has increased river flow in the warned areas.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Motorists are urged to heed flood warnings, and exercise caution if
traveling through this area. Vehicle-related fatalities are the
number one source of flood fatalities in West Texas and New Mexico.
If you encounter a flooded stretch of roadway, do not attempt to
cross it. You and your vehicle could be swept downstream in rushing
floodwaters. Turn around, don't drown!
River levels are high. Ranchers and farmers should move livestock
and machinery out of flood-prone areas if time permits.
Keep in mind that any additional rainfall across the area could
significantly change the present forecast stage.
Additional information is available at: www.weather.gov/midland
The next statement will be issued by Wednesday morning.
&&
TXC335-415-081747-
/O.EXT.KMAF.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-150709T2338Z/
/IRAT2.1.ER.000000T0000Z.150708T0600Z.150708T1138Z.NO/
847 PM CDT TUE JUL 7 2015
The Flood Warning continues for
the Colorado River near Ira 4SW, below J. B. Thomas.
* until Thursday evening, or until the warning is cancelled.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet (2.4 meters).
&&
Below are the latest river stages and forecasts (feet):
Bf Fld Observed Forecast
Location Stg Stg Stage Day Time Wed Thu Fri Sat
7AM 7AM 7AM 7AM
Ira 4SW, below 8.0 8.0 M M 4.5 3.4 3.0 2.7
Below are the latest river stages and forecasts (meters):
Bf Fld Observed Forecast
Location Stg Stg Stage Day Time Wed Thu Fri Sat
7AM 7AM 7AM 7AM
Ira 4SW, below 2.4 2.4 M M 1.4 1.0 0.9 0.8
&&
LAT...LON 3252 10118 3267 10108 3262 10099 3255 10085 3238 10099
$$
TXC335-081747-
/O.EXT.KMAF.FL.W.0008.150708T0736Z-150710T0748Z/
/CDCT2.1.ER.150708T0736Z.150709T0000Z.150709T1948Z.NO/
847 PM CDT TUE JUL 7 2015
...Flood Warning extended until late Thursday night...The Flood
Warning continues for
the Colorado River at Colorado City 1WSW.
* from late tonight to late Thursday night, or until the warning is
cancelled.
* At 8PM Tuesday the stage was 11.6 feet (3.5 meters).
* flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet (4.6 meters).
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by after midnight tomorrow and
continue to rise to near 19.6 feet (6.0 meters) by tomorrow
evening. The river will fall below flood stage by Thursday early
afternoon.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet (6.1 meters), Moderate flooding begins.
Ranchers need to move livestock away from the floodplain. Trees
and brush along the riverbanks in Colorado City will be inundated.
A few farm buildings may be threatened by rising waters.
This crest compares to a previous crest of 15.9 feet (4.8 meters) on
Apr 15 2015.
&&
Below are the latest river stages and forecasts (feet):
Bf Fld Observed Forecast
Location Stg Stg Stage Day Time Wed Thu Fri Sat
7AM 7AM 7AM 7AM
Colorado City 8.0 15.0 11.6 Tue 8 PM 17.5 10.7 7.0 5.0
Below are the latest river stages and forecasts (meters):
Bf Fld Observed Forecast
Location Stg Stg Stage Day Time Wed Thu Fri Sat
7AM 7AM 7AM 7AM
Colorado City 2.4 4.6 3.5 Tue 8 PM 5.3 3.3 2.1 1.5
&&
LAT...LON 3238 10099 3255 10085 3243 10081 3209 10067 3209 10088
$$
TXC335-415-081747-
/O.CON.KMAF.FL.W.0009.000000T0000Z-150709T0242Z/
/DEET2.2.ER.150707T1631Z.150708T0300Z.150708T1442Z.NO/
847 PM CDT TUE JUL 7 2015
The Flood Warning continues for
the Deep Creek near Deep Creek Dunn 1W.
* until Wednesday evening, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 8PM Tuesday the stage was 19.7 feet (6.0 meters).
* flooding is occurring and flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 14.0 feet (4.3 meters).
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 20.5 feet (6.2
meters) by tonight. The river will fall below flood stage tomorrow
late morning.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet (6.1 meters), Farm and ranch land flood.
Damage to fences occurs. Equipment and cattle are threatened, and
should be move to higher ground.
This crest compares to a previous crest of 17.0 feet (5.2 meters) on
Sep 21 2014.
&&
Below are the latest river stages and forecasts (feet):
Bf Fld Observed Forecast
Location Stg Stg Stage Day Time Wed Thu Fri Sat
7AM 7AM 7AM 7AM
Deep Creek Dun 14.0 14.0 19.7 Tue 8 PM 5.0 4.0 3.5 3.4
Below are the latest river stages and forecasts (meters):
Bf Fld Observed Forecast
Location Stg Stg Stage Day Time Wed Thu Fri Sat
7AM 7AM 7AM 7AM
Deep Creek Dun 4.3 4.3 6.0 Tue 8 PM 1.5 1.2 1.1 1.0
&&
LAT...LON 3291 10119 3300 10109 3270 10077 3248 10085 3257 10098
$$738
WGUS84 KMAF 080843
FLSMAF
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
343 AM CDT WED JUL 8 2015
...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in
Texas...
Colorado River near Ira 4SW, below J. B. Thomas affecting Mitchell
and Scurry Counties
Deep Creek near Deep Creek Dunn 1W affecting Mitchell and Scurry
Counties
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...
Colorado River at Colorado City 1WSW affecting Mitchell County
.Recent rains in the northeastern Permian Basin have caused significant
rises in area creeks and rivers. Fortunately Deep Creek near Dunn is
subsiding and is no longer in flood stage. And while the Colorado River
near Ira, below J. B. Thomas is subsiding below flood stage...it remains
above flood stage near Colorado City and is expected to stay in flood
until Thursday morning. Caution is urged at all low water crossings
through Friday.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Motorists are urged to heed flood warnings, and exercise caution if
traveling through this area. Vehicle-related fatalities are the
number one source of flood fatalities in West Texas and New Mexico.
If you encounter a flooded stretch of roadway, do not attempt to
cross it. You and your vehicle could be swept downstream in rushing
floodwaters. Turn around, don't drown!
River levels are high. Ranchers and farmers should move livestock
and machinery out of flood-prone areas if time permits.
Keep in mind that any additional rainfall across the area could
significantly change the present forecast stage.
Additional information is available at: www.weather.gov/midland
The next statement will be issued later this morning.
&&
TXC335-415-080913-
/O.CAN.KMAF.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-150709T2338Z/
/IRAT2.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
343 AM CDT WED JUL 8 2015
The Flood Warning is cancelled for
the Colorado River near Ira 4SW, below J. B. Thomas.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet (2.4 meters).
* Impact...At 8.0 feet (2.4 meters), the river reaches minor flood
stage, and the initial low water channel overflows. However, water
remains within the main channel. No significant flood damage is
expected.
&&
Below are the latest river stages and forecasts (feet):
Bf Fld Observed Forecast
Location Stg Stg Stage Day Time Wed Wed Thu Thu
1PM 7PM 1AM 7AM
Ira 4SW, below 8.0 8.0 M M 5.3 4.9 4.7 4.3
Below are the latest river stages and forecasts (meters):
Bf Fld Observed Forecast
Location Stg Stg Stage Day Time Wed Wed Thu Thu
1PM 7PM 1AM 7AM
Ira 4SW, below 2.4 2.4 M M 1.6 1.5 1.4 1.3
&&
LAT...LON 3252 10118 3267 10108 3262 10099 3255 10085 3238 10099
$$
TXC335-090043-
/O.EXT.KMAF.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-150710T0536Z/
/CDCT2.1.ER.150708T2248Z.150709T1200Z.150709T1736Z.NO/
343 AM CDT WED JUL 8 2015
The Flood Warning continues for
the Colorado River at Colorado City 1WSW.
* until late Thursday night, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 3AM Wednesday the stage was 12.9 feet (3.9 meters).
* flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet (4.6 meters).
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by late this afternoon and
continue to rise to near 16.4 feet (5.0 meters) by tomorrow
morning. The river will fall below flood stage by tomorrow early
afternoon.
This crest compares to a previous crest of 15.9 feet (4.8 meters) on
Apr 15 2015.
&&
Below are the latest river stages and forecasts (feet):
Bf Fld Observed Forecast
Location Stg Stg Stage Day Time Wed Wed Thu Thu
1PM 7PM 1AM 7AM
Colorado City 8.0 15.0 12.9 Wed 3 AM 13.8 15.3 16.3 16.4
Below are the latest river stages and forecasts (meters):
Bf Fld Observed Forecast
Location Stg Stg Stage Day Time Wed Wed Thu Thu
1PM 7PM 1AM 7AM
Colorado City 2.4 4.6 3.9 Wed 3 AM 4.2 4.7 5.0 5.0
&&
LAT...LON 3238 10099 3255 10085 3243 10081 3209 10067 3209 10088
$$
TXC335-415-080913-
/O.CAN.KMAF.FL.W.0009.000000T0000Z-150709T0242Z/
/DEET2.2.ER.150707T1631Z.150708T0330Z.150708T0719Z.NO/
343 AM CDT WED JUL 8 2015
The Flood Warning is cancelled for
the Deep Creek near Deep Creek Dunn 1W.
* At 3AM Wednesday the stage was 10.8 feet (3.3 meters).
* Fell below flood stage at 2:19 AM Wednesday.
* Flood stage is 14.0 feet (4.3 meters).
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to 4.7 feet (1.4 meters)
by tomorrow morning.
This crest compares to a previous crest of 13.2 feet (4.0 meters) on
Jun 17 2015.
&&
Below are the latest river stages and forecasts (feet):
Bf Fld Observed Forecast
Location Stg Stg Stage Day Time Wed Wed Thu Thu
1PM 7PM 1AM 7AM
Deep Creek Dun 14.0 14.0 10.8 Wed 3 AM 6.2 5.2 5.0 4.7
Below are the latest river stages and forecasts (meters):
Bf Fld Observed Forecast
Location Stg Stg Stage Day Time Wed Wed Thu Thu
1PM 7PM 1AM 7AM
Deep Creek Dun 4.3 4.3 3.3 Wed 3 AM 1.9 1.6 1.5 1.4
&&
LAT...LON 3291 10119 3300 10109 3270 10077 3248 10085 3257 10098
$$What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Midland/Odessa, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Jul 7, 6:26 AM CDT, 2 hours 53 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jul 7, 6:26 AM CDT, 2 hours 53 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
626 AM CDT TUE JUL 7 2015
.AVIATION...
12Z TAF ISSUANCE...
Main aviation concerns for the next 24 hours is
low cigs affecting terminals this morning and thunderstorm activity
this afternoon. A large area of showers and thunderstorms continue
to move east of the terminals this morning. Still have a few showers
affecting PEQ and FST however this activity will move east of the
sites over the next few hours. The cold front has sagged a little
further south, resulting in northerly winds at all but FST.
According to model guidance, this front will stall near MAF and FST
this afternoon and will likely serve as the main focus for showers
and thunderstorms later today. Highest confidence for TSRA is at MAF
and FST and decided to include mention late this afternoon through
late tonight. Heavy rainfall will be the main threat and may result
in brief periods of low visibility. Low cigs have been difficult to
track and forecast overnight due to the thunderstorm activity. For
now, will continue to carry MVFR at CNM and IFR at HOB through at
least late morning and continue to monitor trends for amendments.
&&
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 435 AM CDT TUE JUL 7 2015/
DISCUSSION...
Current radar is showing an area of moderate to heavy rain in the
northeastern Permian Basin and western low rolling plains.
Rainfall amounts of 1 to 2 inches have been observed on Texas
Tech mesonet sites in Borden and Scurry Counties which is already
above flash flood guidance. This rain is focused along a weak
cold front that is bisecting the Permian Basin from NE-SW and
where the most widespread rainfall will occur today will depend
on the position of this feature. Additional showers are being
supported by a very slow moving upper level trough moving across
west Texas. Precipitable water values are well above normal so
storms will be proficient rain producers and thus have issued a
Flash Flood Watch for the flooding threat. The greatest flood
potential will be in the eastern portion of the watch area but
with PWATs approaching 2 inches any storm could produce flash
flooding so decided to make the watch large enough to include most
of the CWA except those areas farthest from the upper trough.
Most of the rain is expected today and tomorrow, then will
diminish and shift to the Guadalupe Mountains later this week and
end altogether by the weekend as an upper level high retrogrades
from the southeastern U.S. over into the Central Plains. Well
below normal temperatures today will climb through the next seven
days as subsidence from the upper high increases. GFS and ECMWF
extended MOS guidance are showing highs approaching 100 degrees
early next week but this seems a bit too high. In drought years
deep easterly flow on the southern periphery of the high could
advect hot and dry air in from central Texas but this year there
has been plenty of moisture available so highs in this regime
should hold to the mid 90s.
Hennig
&&
.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...FLASH FLOOD WATCH through this evening FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES...
Central Lea County...Eddy County Plains...Guadalupe
Mountains NP/Lincoln NF/LNZ...Guadalupe Mountains of Eddy
County...Northern Lea County...Southeast Plains/BLM
Roswell/LNZ...Southern Lea County.
TX...FLASH FLOOD WATCH through late tonight FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES...
Andrews...Borden...Crane...Dawson...Ector...Gaines...
Glasscock...Guadalupe Mountains...Howard...Loving...
Martin...Midland...Mitchell...Pecos...Reagan...Reeves
County and Upper Trans Pecos...Scurry...Upton...Ward...
Winkler.
&&
27Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 7, 4:00 AM CDT, 5 hours 19 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX 400 AM CDT TUE JUL 7 2015 NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-057>063-067>070-074-075- 079>082-258-080900- GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF EDDY COUNTY-EDDY COUNTY PLAINS- NORTHERN LEA COUNTY-CENTRAL LEA COUNTY-SOUTHERN LEA COUNTY-GAINES- DAWSON-BORDEN-SCURRY-ANDREWS-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL- VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS- LOVING-WINKLER-ECTOR-MIDLAND-GLASSCOCK-WARD-CRANE-UPTON-REAGAN- DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA-PECOS-PRESIDIO VALLEY-MARFA PLATEAU- BIG BEND AREA-TERRELL-GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS- 400 AM CDT TUE JUL 7 2015 /300 AM MDT TUE JUL 7 2015/ THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO...SOUTHWEST TEXAS AND WEST TEXAS. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TODAY ACROSS SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO AND WEST TEXAS. HEAVY RAINFALL AND LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING WILL BE THE MAIN THREAT... ESPECIALLY OVER AREAS ALONG AND EAST OF THE PECOS RIVER VALLEY. AS A RESULT...A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THESE AREAS THROUGH LATE TONIGHT. IN ADDITION...SOME OF THE STRONGER STORMS COULD ALSO PRODUCE GUSTY WINDS TO 50 MPH AND FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING STRIKES. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL PERSIST INTO WEDNESDAY AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLASH FLOODING WILL CONTINUE TO BE THE MAIN CONCERN. IN ADDITION SOME OF THE STRONGER STORMS COULD ALSO PRODUCE GUSTY WINDS TO 50 MPH AND FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING STRIKES. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED. THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES... AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN MIDLAND CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT /LOWER CASE/ HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MIDLAND
In the hours before
Local storm report, Jul 7, 7:34 AM CDT, 1 hour 45 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
734 AM CDT TUE JUL 07 2015
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0605 PM TSTM WND DMG 2 SSE LEES 32.05N 101.48W
07/06/2015 GLASSCOCK TX LAW ENFORCEMENT
10 POWER POLES SNAPPED NEAR DRUMRIGHT ROAD AND HWY 33.
&&
ANDREW.ARNOLDLocal storm report, Jul 7, 7:38 AM CDT, 1 hour 41 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
738 AM CDT TUE JUL 07 2015
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0712 AM FLASH FLOOD SNYDER 32.71N 100.92W
07/07/2015 SCURRY TX EMERGENCY MNGR
HWY 180 CLOSED IN THE TOWN OF SNYDER BETWEEN AVE M AND
AVE Q WITH 2 FEET OF WATER OVER THE ROAD.
&&
ANDREW.ARNOLDThe office that day
Everything else NWS Midland/Odessa, TX issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 7, 2:48 AM CDT | Areal Flood Advisory | MAF | Borden, Dawson, Scurry | 4 hr |
| Jul 7, 3:40 AM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | MAF | Borden, Scurry | 3 hr |
| Jul 7, 3:46 AM CDT | Flash Flood Watch | MAF | Andrews, Borden, Crane, Dawson, Ector, Gaines and 12 more | 11 hr |
| Jul 7, 4:05 AM CDT | Areal Flood Advisory | MAF | Howard, Mitchell | 4 hr |
| Jul 7, 6:43 AM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | MAF | Borden, Scurry | 3 hr |
| Jul 7, 9:19 AM CDT | River Flood Warning | MAF | Mitchell, Scurry | 62 hr |
| Jul 7, 9:19 AM CDT | River Flood Warning | MAF | Mitchell | 71 hr |
| Jul 7, 9:36 AM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | MAF | Borden, Howard, Mitchell, Scurry | 4 hr |
| Jul 7, 10:39 AM CDT | Areal Flood Advisory | MAF | Howard | 3 hr |
| Jul 7, 1:22 PM CDT | Areal Flood Advisory | MAF | Glasscock, Reagan | 113 min |
| Jul 7, 2:57 PM CDT | Flash Flood Watch | MAF | Borden, Glasscock, Howard, Mitchell, Reagan, Scurry | 6 hr |
| Jul 7, 5:12 PM CDT | Areal Flood Advisory | MAF | Terrell | 3 hr |
| Jul 7, 5:51 PM CDT | Areal Flood Advisory | MAF | Pecos, Terrell | 3 hr |
| Jul 7, 5:55 PM CDT | Areal Flood Advisory | MAF | Terrell | 3 hr |
| Jul 7, 6:32 PM CDT | Areal Flood Advisory | MAF | Brewster | 3 hr |
Nearby
River Flood Warnings in Texas, 2015Every river flood warning in 2015
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.