Alert archive / Arkansas / Special Weather Statements in 2015

Special Weather Statement, NWS Little Rock, AR

August 31, 2015Van Buren County, Arkansas

NWS Little Rock, AR issued this special weather statement at Aug 31, 2015, 3:21 PM CDT for Van Buren County, Arkansas. It was in force for 24 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Aug 31, 2015, 3:21 PM CDT (20:21 UTC)
Expired: Aug 31, 2015, 3:45 PM CDT
In force: 24 min
Issued by: NWS Little Rock, AR

County Van Buren County, AR

The radar

The Little Rock radar (KLZK), 65 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:25 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

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What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Little Rock, AR wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at Aug 31, 2:55 PM CDT, 26 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Aug 31, 2:55 PM CDT, 26 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
255 PM CDT MON AUG 31 2015

.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT
AN UPPER TROUGH CONTINUES OVER THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON. MODELS
INDICATE THIS BECOMES A CUTOFF LOW NEAR THE GULF COAST
WEDNESDAY...WITH AN UPPER HIGH OVER THE FLORIDA COAST. THE
INVERTED TROUGH BUILDS OVER THE CENTRAL U.S. THURSDAY.

MOISTURE IS VERY LIMITED WITH THIS LOW THROUGH THE PERIOD. AFTER
BEING DRY TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WILL RETURN FOR WEDNESDAY AS A SHORTWAVE ROTATES
AROUND THE LOW...WITH ADDITIONAL MOISTURE. WILL ALSO KEEP THE
SLIGHT CHANCE POPS FOR THURSDAY. ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES ARE
EXPECTED THROUGH THE SHORT TERM PERIOD IN THE 90S.

&&

.LONG TERM...FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY
UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE IS SET TO STRENGTHEN ACROSS THE
AREA DURING THE EXTENDED TERM...BRINGING A RETURN TO PREDOMINANTLY
DRY WEATHER AND ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES. RAIN CHANCES NOT LOOKING
TOO LIKELY UNTIL PERHAPS MONDAY AT THE EARLIEST...WHERE I HAVE PUT
IN SOME SLIGHT CHANCES FOR THUNDERSTORMS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BATESVILLE AR     70  90  70  92 /  10  10  10  10
CAMDEN AR         69  94  70  94 /  10  10  10  20
HARRISON AR       68  90  68  90 /  10  10  10  10
HOT SPRINGS AR    70  93  71  94 /  10  10  10  10
LITTLE ROCK   AR  71  93  71  94 /  10  10  10  10
MONTICELLO AR     70  95  71  94 /  10  10  10  20
MOUNT IDA AR      69  92  70  91 /  10  10  10  10
MOUNTAIN HOME AR  68  90  68  90 /  10  10  10  10
NEWPORT AR        70  91  70  93 /  10  10  10  10
PINE BLUFF AR     70  94  71  94 /  10  10  10  10
RUSSELLVILLE AR   70  93  70  92 /  10  10  10  10
SEARCY AR         70  92  70  94 /  10  10  10  10
STUTTGART AR      70  93  71  94 /  10  10  10  10
&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...51 / LONG TERM...53

Hazardous weather outlook, Aug 31, 5:00 AM CDT, 10 hours 21 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
500 AM CDT MON AUG 31 2015

ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-011000-
BOONE-MARION-BAXTER-FULTON-SHARP-NEWTON-SEARCY-STONE-IZARD-
INDEPENDENCE-JOHNSON-POPE-VAN BUREN-CLEBURNE-JACKSON-LOGAN-CONWAY-
FAULKNER-WHITE-WOODRUFF-SCOTT-YELL-PERRY-POLK-MONTGOMERY-GARLAND-
SALINE-PULASKI-LONOKE-PRAIRIE-MONROE-PIKE-CLARK-HOT SPRING-GRANT-
JEFFERSON-ARKANSAS-DALLAS-CLEVELAND-LINCOLN-DESHA-OUACHITA-CALHOUN-
BRADLEY-DREW-
500 AM CDT MON AUG 31 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR A LARGE PART OF ARKANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

WHILE IT WILL BE MOSTLY DRY TODAY...A FEW SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
MAY DEVELOP DURING THE HEAT OF THE AFTERNOON.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

DRY WEATHER IS IN THE FORECAST MUCH OF THIS WEEK...WITH DROUGHT
CONDITIONS SLOWLY WORSENING IN SOUTHERN SECTIONS OF THE STATE. ANY
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE ISOLATED.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

&&

VISIT NWS LITTLE ROCK ON THE WEB. GO TO HTTP://WEATHER.GOV AND
CLICK ON CENTRAL ARKANSAS.

46

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Aug 31, 3:16 PM CDT, 5 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
316 PM CDT MON AUG 31 2015

ARZ022-031-038-039-312100-
CONWAY AR-PERRY AR-YELL AR-POPE AR-
316 PM CDT MON AUG 31 2015

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHEASTERN YELL...NORTH CENTRAL
PERRY...SOUTHEASTERN POPE AND SOUTHWESTERN CONWAY COUNTIES UNTIL 400
PM CDT...

AT 316 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR
CARDEN BOTTOMS...OR 13 MILES SOUTHEAST OF RUSSELLVILLE...MOVING NORTH
AT 20 MPH.

HALF INCH HAIL AND WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
RUSSELLVILLE...ATKINS...POTTSVILLE...PETIT JEAN STATE PARK...GALLA
CREEK WMA...CARDEN BOTTOMS...CASA...PONTOON...LAKEVIEW IN YELL COUNTY
AND HOLLA BEND.

LAT...LON 3503 9294 3502 9311 3525 9315 3526 9290
TIME...MOT...LOC 2016Z 177DEG 16KT 3510 9304

224

Special weather statement, Aug 31, 3:21 PM CDT, 0 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
321 PM CDT MON AUG 31 2015

ARZ023-031-032-312045-
VAN BUREN AR-CONWAY AR-FAULKNER AR-
321 PM CDT MON AUG 31 2015

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN VAN BUREN...NORTH
CENTRAL FAULKNER AND NORTHEASTERN CONWAY COUNTIES UNTIL 345 PM CDT...

AT 321 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A LINE OF STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM NEAR CHOCTAW TO TWIN
GROVES...AND MOVING NORTH AT 10 MPH.

HALF INCH HAIL AND WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THESE STORMS.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
GUY...DAMASCUS...TWIN GROVES...MALLET TOWN...WHIPPLE...BEE BRANCH...
SOUTHSIDE IN VAN BUREN COUNTY AND MARTINVILLE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS...AND MAY
LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.

&&

LAT...LON 3550 9237 3548 9248 3527 9251 3529 9232
TIME...MOT...LOC 2021Z 189DEG 10KT 3547 9241 3534 9245

57

The office that day

Everything else NWS Little Rock, AR issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Aug 30, 7:58 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	LZK	Polk	32 min
Aug 31, 2:19 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LZK	Saline	26 min
Aug 31, 3:02 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	LZK	Boone	3 hr
Aug 31, 3:16 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	LZK	Perry	44 min
Aug 31, 3:24 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LZK	Yell	36 min
Aug 31, 3:30 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LZK	Saline	15 min
Aug 31, 3:37 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	LZK	Independence	23 min
Aug 31, 3:40 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	LZK	Yell	35 min
Aug 31, 3:49 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LZK	Conway, Faulkner, Van Buren	26 min
Aug 31, 4:12 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	LZK	Van Buren	33 min
Aug 31, 4:24 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	LZK	Izard	36 min
Aug 31, 4:43 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	LZK	Searcy	32 min
Aug 31, 5:00 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LZK	Scott	30 min
Aug 31, 5:16 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	LZK	Bradley	29 min
Aug 31, 6:15 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	LZK	Scott	30 min

Nearby

Special Weather Statements in Arkansas, 2015 Every special weather statement in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.