Severe Thunderstorm Warning 332, NWS Little Rock, AR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
255 PM CDT MON AUG 31 2015

.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT
AN UPPER TROUGH CONTINUES OVER THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON. MODELS
INDICATE THIS BECOMES A CUTOFF LOW NEAR THE GULF COAST
WEDNESDAY...WITH AN UPPER HIGH OVER THE FLORIDA COAST. THE
INVERTED TROUGH BUILDS OVER THE CENTRAL U.S. THURSDAY.

MOISTURE IS VERY LIMITED WITH THIS LOW THROUGH THE PERIOD. AFTER
BEING DRY TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WILL RETURN FOR WEDNESDAY AS A SHORTWAVE ROTATES
AROUND THE LOW...WITH ADDITIONAL MOISTURE. WILL ALSO KEEP THE
SLIGHT CHANCE POPS FOR THURSDAY. ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES ARE
EXPECTED THROUGH THE SHORT TERM PERIOD IN THE 90S.

&&

.LONG TERM...FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY
UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE IS SET TO STRENGTHEN ACROSS THE
AREA DURING THE EXTENDED TERM...BRINGING A RETURN TO PREDOMINANTLY
DRY WEATHER AND ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES. RAIN CHANCES NOT LOOKING
TOO LIKELY UNTIL PERHAPS MONDAY AT THE EARLIEST...WHERE I HAVE PUT
IN SOME SLIGHT CHANCES FOR THUNDERSTORMS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BATESVILLE AR     70  90  70  92 /  10  10  10  10
CAMDEN AR         69  94  70  94 /  10  10  10  20
HARRISON AR       68  90  68  90 /  10  10  10  10
HOT SPRINGS AR    70  93  71  94 /  10  10  10  10
LITTLE ROCK   AR  71  93  71  94 /  10  10  10  10
MONTICELLO AR     70  95  71  94 /  10  10  10  20
MOUNT IDA AR      69  92  70  91 /  10  10  10  10
MOUNTAIN HOME AR  68  90  68  90 /  10  10  10  10
NEWPORT AR        70  91  70  93 /  10  10  10  10
PINE BLUFF AR     70  94  71  94 /  10  10  10  10
RUSSELLVILLE AR   70  93  70  92 /  10  10  10  10
SEARCY AR         70  92  70  94 /  10  10  10  10
STUTTGART AR      70  93  71  94 /  10  10  10  10
&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...51 / LONG TERM...53

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
500 AM CDT MON AUG 31 2015

ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-011000-
BOONE-MARION-BAXTER-FULTON-SHARP-NEWTON-SEARCY-STONE-IZARD-
INDEPENDENCE-JOHNSON-POPE-VAN BUREN-CLEBURNE-JACKSON-LOGAN-CONWAY-
FAULKNER-WHITE-WOODRUFF-SCOTT-YELL-PERRY-POLK-MONTGOMERY-GARLAND-
SALINE-PULASKI-LONOKE-PRAIRIE-MONROE-PIKE-CLARK-HOT SPRING-GRANT-
JEFFERSON-ARKANSAS-DALLAS-CLEVELAND-LINCOLN-DESHA-OUACHITA-CALHOUN-
BRADLEY-DREW-
500 AM CDT MON AUG 31 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR A LARGE PART OF ARKANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

WHILE IT WILL BE MOSTLY DRY TODAY...A FEW SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
MAY DEVELOP DURING THE HEAT OF THE AFTERNOON.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

DRY WEATHER IS IN THE FORECAST MUCH OF THIS WEEK...WITH DROUGHT
CONDITIONS SLOWLY WORSENING IN SOUTHERN SECTIONS OF THE STATE. ANY
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE ISOLATED.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

&&

VISIT NWS LITTLE ROCK ON THE WEB. GO TO HTTP://WEATHER.GOV AND
CLICK ON CENTRAL ARKANSAS.

46

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
337 PM CDT MON AUG 31 2015

ARZ016-024-312100-
INDEPENDENCE AR-CLEBURNE AR-
337 PM CDT MON AUG 31 2015

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHWESTERN INDEPENDENCE AND
NORTHEASTERN CLEBURNE COUNTIES UNTIL 400 PM CDT...

AT 337 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR
CONCORD...OR 12 MILES SOUTHWEST OF BATESVILLE...MOVING WEST AT 10
MPH.

HALF INCH HAIL AND WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
CONCORD...ALMOND AND HUTCHINSON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.

&&

LAT...LON 3569 9164 3556 9167 3560 9189 3570 9185
TIME...MOT...LOC 2037Z 104DEG 10KT 3563 9176

57

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
340 PM CDT MON AUG 31 2015

ARZ038-312115-
YELL AR-
340 PM CDT MON AUG 31 2015

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR CENTRAL YELL COUNTY UNTIL 415 PM
CDT...

AT 340 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR
DANVILLE. THIS STORM WAS NEARLY STATIONARY.

HALF INCH HAIL AND WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
DANVILLE...BELLEVILLE...CORINTH AND MACEDONIA IN YELL COUNTY.

LAT...LON 3507 9332 3499 9336 3496 9343 3499 9351
      3509 9344
TIME...MOT...LOC 2040Z 331DEG 1KT 3500 9343

57

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