Alert archive / Missouri / River Flood Warnings in 2015
River Flood Warning 224, NWS St. Louis, MO
NWS St. Louis, MO issued this river flood warning at Dec 25, 2015, 7:31 PM CST for Reynolds County, Missouri. It took effect at Dec 26, 2015, 7:36 PM CST. It was in force for 4 days.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Dec 25, 2015, 7:31 PM CST (01:31 UTC)
- In effect from
- Dec 26, 2015, 7:36 PM CST
- Expired
- Dec 30, 2015, 7:25 PM CST
- In force
- 4 days
- Issued by
- NWS St. Louis, MO
- Area
- Storm-based polygon
- Flood severity
- Moderate
County Reynolds County, MO
The radar
The St Louis radar (KLSX), 150 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 01:36 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The river
Written for the forecast point Black River near Annapolis (ANNM7). The gauge peaked at 19.77 ft at Dec 28, 2015, 8:00 PM CST.
- Action stage
- 6 ft
- Minor stage
- 8 ft
- Moderate stage
- 15 ft
- Major stage
- 25 ft
This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests
Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 07061500, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
992
WGUS43 KLSX 260131
FLWLSX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
731 PM CST FRI DEC 25 2015
...The National Weather Service in St. Louis has issued a flood
warning for the following river in Missouri...
Black River near Annapolis
.This flood warning is based on expected heavy rainfall this weekend...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Safety message: Never drive cars, trucks, or sport utility vehicles
through flooded areas. The water may be too deep to allow for safe
passage.
This product, along with additional weather and stream information,
is available at http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lsx.
&&
MOC179-270131-
/O.NEW.KLSX.FL.W.0224.151227T0136Z-151230T0900Z/
/ANNM7.2.ER.151227T0136Z.151227T1800Z.151229T0900Z.NO/
731 PM CST FRI DEC 25 2015
The National Weather Service in St. Louis has issued a
* Flood Warning for
the Black River near Annapolis
* At 7:15 PM Friday the stage was 6.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage tomorrow evening
and continue to rise to near 21.0 feet by early Sunday afternoon.
The river will fall below flood stage by Tuesday morning.
* Impact: At 21.0 feet...Highway 21 at Circle Drive in Lesterville
begins flooding.
* Impact: At 20.5 feet...One house on Cirle Drive in Lesterville will
flood near this height.
* Impact: At 17.0 feet...When the Black River gets to this level, the
Highway 21 bridge upstream in Lesterville on the East Fork of the
Black River will start flooding about 6 to 8 hours earlier.
* Impact: At 14.0 feet...Flooding begins along County Road 146
Champion Springs Road...the road leading to the gage.
* Impact: At 9.0 feet...County Road 372 will begin flooding near this
height.
* Impact: At 8.0 feet...Annapolis Road on the east bank of the Black
River south of Lesterville begins flooding close to this height.
This is the only road directly connecting Annapolis and
Lesterville.
&&
Fld Latest 7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION Stg Obs Stg 12/26 12/27 12/28 12/29 12/30
Black River
Annapolis 8.0 6.20 5.7 17.0 13.1 7.8 6.5
&&
LAT...LON 3743 9087 3745 9078 3724 9074 3724 9079
$$11 follow-up statements
737
WGUS83 KLSX 261329
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
729 AM CST SAT DEC 26 2015
...The flood warning continues for the following river in Missouri...
Black River near Annapolis
.This Flood Warning is a result of 4 to 5 inches of precipitation
forecast in the next 48 hours...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Rainfall heavier than currently forecast could cause river levels to
rise even higher than predicted. The National Weather Service will
monitor this situation and issue follow up statements as conditions or
forecasts change.
Safety message: Never drive cars, trucks, or sport utility vehicles
through flooded areas. The water may be too deep to allow for safe
passage.
This product, along with additional weather and stream information,
is available at http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lsx.
&&
MOC179-271329-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0224.151227T0827Z-151230T2230Z/
/ANNM7.2.ER.151227T0827Z.151228T1200Z.151229T2230Z.NO/
729 AM CST SAT DEC 26 2015
The Flood Warning continues for
the Black River near Annapolis
* from tonight to Wednesday.
* At 6:15 AM Saturday the stage was 5.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage tonight...crest near 21.0
feet Monday morning and fall below flood stage by Tuesday evening.
* Impact: At 21.0 feet...Highway 21 at Circle Drive in Lesterville begins
flooding.
* Impact: At 20.5 feet...One house on Circle Drive in Lesterville will flood
near this height.
* Impact: At 17.0 feet...When the Black River gets to this level, the Highway
21 bridge upstream in Lesterville on the East Fork of the Black River will
start flooding about 6 to 8 hours earlier.
* Impact: At 14.0 feet...Flooding begins along County Road 146 Champion Springs
Road...the road leading to the gage.
* Impact: At 9.0 feet...County Road 372 will begin flooding near this height.
* Impact: At 8.0 feet...Annapolis Road on the east bank of the Black River south
of Lesterville begins flooding close to this height. This is the only road
directly connecting Annapolis and Lesterville.
&&
Fld Latest 7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION Stg Obs Stg 12/27 12/28 12/29 12/30 12/31
Black River
Annapolis 8.0 5.88 9.3 21.0 9.2 7.2 6.1
&&
LAT...LON 3743 9087 3745 9078 3724 9074 3724 9079
$$534
WGUS83 KLSX 270120
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
719 PM CST SAT DEC 26 2015
...The flood warning continues for the following river in Missouri...
Black River near Annapolis
.This flood warning is based on 4.00 inches of rain falling across the
basin through Monday...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Safety message: Never drive cars, trucks, or sport utility vehicles
through flooded areas. The water may be too deep to allow for safe
passage.
This product, along with additional weather and stream information,
is available at http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lsx.
&&
MOC179-280119-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0224.151227T0832Z-151231T0600Z/
/ANNM7.2.ER.151227T0832Z.151228T1800Z.151230T0600Z.NO/
719 PM CST SAT DEC 26 2015
The Flood Warning continues for
the Black River near Annapolis
* At 6:15 PM Saturday the stage was 5.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage after midnight
and continue to rise to near 21.0 feet by early Monday afternoon.
The river will fall below flood stage by early Wednesday morning.
* Impact: At 21.0 feet...Highway 21 at Circle Drive in Lesterville
begins flooding.
* Impact: At 20.5 feet...One house on Cirle Drive in Lesterville will
flood near this height.
* Impact: At 17.0 feet...When the Black River gets to this level, the
Highway 21 bridge upstream in Lesterville on the East Fork of the
Black River will start flooding about 6 to 8 hours earlier.
* Impact: At 14.0 feet...Flooding begins along County Road 146
Champion Springs Road...the road leading to the gage.
* Impact: At 9.0 feet...County Road 372 will begin flooding near this
height.
* Impact: At 8.0 feet...Annapolis Road on the east bank of the Black
River south of Lesterville begins flooding close to this height.
This is the only road directly connecting Annapolis and
Lesterville.
&&
Fld Latest 7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION Stg Obs Stg 12/27 12/28 12/29 12/30 12/31
Black River
Annapolis 8.0 5.73 9.5 20.1 11.8 7.6 6.4
&&
LAT...LON 3743 9087 3745 9078 3724 9074 3724 9079
$$508
WGUS83 KLSX 271512
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
912 AM CST SUN DEC 27 2015
...The flood warning continues for the following river in Missouri...
Black River near Annapolis
.This Flood Warning is a result of 1 to 3 inches of precipitation the
past 24 hours and 2 to 4 inches forecast in the next 48 hours...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Rainfall heavier than currently forecast could cause river levels to rise
even higher than predicted. The National Weather Service will monitor this
developing situation and issue follow up statements as conditions or forecasts
change.
Safety message: Never drive cars, trucks, or sport utility vehicles
through flooded areas. The water may be too deep to allow for safe
passage.
This product, along with additional weather and stream information,
is available at http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lsx.
&&
MOC179-281512-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0224.000000T0000Z-151231T1923Z/
/ANNM7.2.ER.151227T1100Z.151229T0000Z.151230T1923Z.NO/
912 AM CST SUN DEC 27 2015
The Flood Warning continues for
the Black River near Annapolis
* until Thursday.
* At 8:15 AM Sunday the stage was 9.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to crest near 21.0 feet Monday evening.
* Impact: At 21.0 feet...Highway 21 at Circle Drive in Lesterville begins
flooding.
* Impact: At 20.5 feet...One house on Cirle Drive in Lesterville will
flood near this height.
* Impact: At 17.0 feet...When the Black River gets to this level, the
Highway 21 bridge upstream in Lesterville on the East Fork of the
Black River will start flooding about 6 to 8 hours earlier.
* Impact: At 14.0 feet...Flooding begins along County Road 146 Champion
Springs Road...the road leading to the gage.
* Impact: At 9.0 feet...County Road 372 will begin flooding near this height.
* Impact: At 8.0 feet...Annapolis Road on the east bank of the Black
River south of Lesterville begins flooding close to this height.
This is the only road directly connecting Annapolis and Lesterville.
* Impact: At 5.0 feet...Near this height, Peola Road begins flooding
along the west bank of the Black River south of Lesterville.
&&
Fld Latest 7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION Stg Obs Stg 12/28 12/29 12/30 12/31 01/01
Black River
Annapolis 8.0 9.29 14.7 16.5 8.8 6.4 5.6
&&
LAT...LON 3743 9087 3745 9078 3724 9074 3724 9079
$$948
WGUS83 KLSX 280229
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
829 PM CST SUN DEC 27 2015
...The Flood Warning continues for the following river in Missouri...
Black River near Annapolis
.This Flood Warning is a result of 2.00 to 3.00 inches of observed rainfall
and up to an additional 2.00 inches of rain is expected through Monday...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Safety message: Never drive cars, trucks, or sport utility vehicles
through flooded areas. The water may be too deep to allow for safe
passage.
This product, along with additional weather and stream information,
is available at http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lsx.
&&
MOC179-290229-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0224.000000T0000Z-160101T1500Z/
/ANNM7.2.ER.151227T1100Z.151229T0000Z.151231T1500Z.NO/
829 PM CST SUN DEC 27 2015
The Flood Warning continues for
the Black River near Annapolis
* At 7:15 PM Sunday the stage was 10.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to continue rising to near 21.0 feet by
tomorrow evening. The river will fall below flood stage late
Thursday morning.
* Impact: At 21.0 feet...Highway 21 at Circle Drive in Lesterville
begins flooding.
* Impact: At 20.5 feet...One house on Cirle Drive in Lesterville will
flood near this height.
* Impact: At 17.0 feet...When the Black River gets to this level, the
Highway 21 bridge upstream in Lesterville on the East Fork of the
Black River will start flooding about 6 to 8 hours earlier.
* Impact: At 14.0 feet...Flooding begins along County Road 146
Champion Springs Road...the road leading to the gage.
* Impact: At 9.0 feet...County Road 372 will begin flooding near this
height.
&&
Fld Latest 7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION Stg Obs Stg 12/28 12/29 12/30 12/31 01/01
Black River
Annapolis 8.0 10.33 13.2 16.2 10.0 8.1 7.2
&&
LAT...LON 3743 9087 3745 9078 3724 9074 3724 9079
$$415
WGUS83 KLSX 281452
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
852 AM CST MON DEC 28 2015
...The Flood Warning continues for the following river in Missouri...
Black River near Annapolis
.This Flood Warning is a result of 3.00 to 4.00 inches of observed rainfall
and an additional inch of rain is expected today...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Safety message: Never drive cars, trucks, or sport utility vehicles
through flooded areas. The water may be too deep to allow for safe
passage.
This product, along with additional weather and stream information,
is available at http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lsx.
&&
MOC179-291452-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0224.000000T0000Z-151231T0515Z/
/ANNM7.2.ER.151227T1100Z.151229T0000Z.151230T0515Z.NO/
852 AM CST MON DEC 28 2015
The Flood Warning continues for
the Black River near Annapolis
* At 8:15 AM Monday the stage was 14.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to continue rising to near 21.0 feet by this
evening. The river will fall below flood stage late tomorrow evening.
* Impact: At 21.0 feet...Highway 21 at Circle Drive in Lesterville
begins flooding.
* Impact: At 20.5 feet...One house on Cirle Drive in Lesterville will
flood near this height.
* Impact: At 17.0 feet...When the Black River gets to this level, the
Highway 21 bridge upstream in Lesterville on the East Fork of the
Black River will start flooding about 6 to 8 hours earlier.
* Impact: At 14.0 feet...Flooding begins along County Road 146
Champion Springs Road...the road leading to the gage.
&&
Fld Latest 7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION Stg Obs Stg 12/29 12/30 12/31 01/01 01/02
Black River
Annapolis 8.0 14.63 12.4 7.7 6.8 6.1 5.6
&&
LAT...LON 3743 9087 3745 9078 3724 9074 3724 9079
$$737
WGUS83 KLSX 290131
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
731 PM CST MON DEC 28 2015
...The flood warning continues for the following river in Missouri...
The Black River
...Annapolis
.This Flood Warning is a result of excessive heavy rainfall...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Heavy rains can cause river levels to rise even higher than predicted.
The National Weather Service will monitor this situation and issue follow
up statements as conditions or forecasts change.
Safety message: Never drive any vehicle through flooded areas.
The water may be too deep to allow for safe passage.
This product, along with additional weather and stream information,
is available at http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lsx.
&&
MOC179-300131-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0224.000000T0000Z-160101T0600Z/
/ANNM7.2.ER.151227T1100Z.151229T0600Z.151231T0600Z.NO/
731 PM CST MON DEC 28 2015
The Flood Warning continues for
the Black River near Annapolis.
* At 6:16 PM Monday the stage was 19.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* The water level will rise to near 21.0 feet by after midnight tomorrow.
The water level will fall below flood stage Thursday morning.
* Impact: At 21.0 feet...Highway 21 at Circle Drive in Lesterville
begins flooding.
* Impact: At 20.5 feet...One house on Cirle Drive in Lesterville will flood.
&&
Fld Latest 7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION Stg Obs Stg 12/29 12/30 12/31 01/01 01/02
Black River
Annapolis 8.0 19.61 18.7 10.0 7.6 6.6 5.9
&&
LAT...LON 3743 9087 3745 9078 3724 9074 3724 9079
$$652
WGUS83 KLSX 290646
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
1246 AM CST TUE DEC 29 2015
...The flood warning continues for the following river in Missouri...
Black River near Annapolis
.This Flood Warning is a result of 4 to 6 inches of precipitation
the past 72 hours...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
The National Weather Service will monitor this developing situation
and issue follow up statements as conditions or forecasts change.
Safety message: Never drive cars, trucks, or sport utility vehicles
through flooded areas. The water may be too deep to allow for safe
passage.
This product, along with additional weather and stream information,
is available at http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lsx.
&&
MOC179-300646-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0224.000000T0000Z-160101T1000Z/
/ANNM7.2.ER.151227T1100Z.151229T0145Z.151231T1000Z.NO/
1246 AM CST TUE DEC 29 2015
The Flood Warning continues for
the Black River near Annapolis
* until Thursday.
* At 12:15 AM Tuesday the stage was 18.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to fall below flood stage Thursday morning.
&&
Fld Latest 7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION Stg Obs Stg 12/30 12/31 01/01 01/02 01/03
Black River
Annapolis 8.0 18.69 10.0 7.9 6.9 6.0
&&
LAT...LON 3743 9087 3745 9078 3724 9074 3724 9079
$$696
WGUS83 KLSX 291431
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
831 AM CST TUE DEC 29 2015
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in
Missouri...
Black River near Annapolis affecting Reynolds County
.This Flood Warning is a result of 3 to 6 inches of rainfall over
the weekend...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Heavy rains could cause river levels to rise even higher than
predicted. The National Weather Service will monitor this developing
situation and issue follow up statements as conditions or forecasts
change.
Safety message: Never drive cars, trucks, or sport utility vehicles
through flooded areas. The water may be too deep to allow for safe
passage.
This product, along with additional weather and stream information,
is available at http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lsx.
&&
MOC179-301431-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0224.000000T0000Z-160101T0430Z/
/ANNM7.2.ER.151227T1100Z.151229T0145Z.151231T0430Z.NO/
831 AM CST TUE DEC 29 2015
The Flood Warning continues for
the Black River near Annapolis
* until Thursday evening.
* At 7:15 AM Tuesday the stage was 14.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to continue falling to below flood stage by
tomorrow late evening.
* Impact: At 14.0 feet...Flooding begins along County Road 146
Champion Springs Road...the road leading to the gage.
* Impact: At 9.0 feet...County Road 372 will begin flooding near this
height.
* Impact: At 8.0 feet...Annapolis Road on the east bank of the Black
River south of Lesterville begins flooding close to this height.
This is the only road directly connecting Annapolis and
Lesterville.
* Impact: At 5.0 feet...Near this height, Peola Road begins flooding
along the west bank of the Black River south of Lesterville.
&&
Fld Latest 7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION Stg Obs Stg 12/30 12/31 01/01 01/02 01/03
Black River
Annapolis 8.0 14.02 9.1 7.6 6.3 5.2 4.8
&&
LAT...LON 3743 9087 3745 9078 3724 9074 3724 9079
$$684
WGUS83 KLSX 300139
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
739 PM CST TUE DEC 29 2015
...The flood warning continues for the following river in Missouri...
The Black River
...Annapolis
.This Flood Warning is a result of the last record setting rainfall...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
The National Weather Service will monitor this situation and issue follow
up statements as conditions or forecasts change.
Safety message: Never drive any vehicle through flooded areas.
The water may be too deep to allow for safe passage.
This product, along with additional weather and stream information,
is available at http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lsx.
&&
MOC179-310139-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0224.000000T0000Z-160101T0300Z/
/ANNM7.2.ER.151227T1100Z.151229T0145Z.151231T0300Z.NO/
739 PM CST TUE DEC 29 2015
The Flood Warning continues for
the Black River near Annapolis.
* At 7:15 PM Tuesday the stage was 9.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The water level will fall below flood stage by tomorrow late evening.
* Impact: At 9.0 feet...Co. Rd. 372 will begin flooding near this height.
* Impact: At 8.0 feet...Annapolis Road on the east bank of the Black
River south of Lesterville begins flooding close to this height.
This is the only road directly connecting Annapolis and Lesterville.
&&
Fld Latest 7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION Stg Obs Stg 12/30 12/31 01/01 01/02 01/03
Black River
Annapolis 8.0 9.89 8.9 7.5 6.4 5.3 4.8
&&
LAT...LON 3743 9087 3745 9078 3724 9074 3724 9079
$$020
WGUS83 KLSX 301316
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
716 AM CST WED DEC 30 2015
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in
Missouri...
Black River near Annapolis affecting Reynolds County
.This Flood Warning is a result of excessive rainfall over the
previous weekend...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Heavy rains could cause river levels to rise even higher than
predicted. The National Weather Service will monitor this developing
situation and issue follow up statements as conditions or forecasts
change.
Safety message: Never drive cars, trucks, or sport utility vehicles
through flooded areas. The water may be too deep to allow for safe
passage.
This product, along with additional weather and stream information,
is available at http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lsx.
&&
MOC179-311316-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0224.000000T0000Z-151231T2230Z/
/ANNM7.2.ER.151227T1100Z.151229T0145Z.151230T2230Z.NO/
716 AM CST WED DEC 30 2015
The Flood Warning continues for
the Black River near Annapolis
* until Thursday afternoon.
* At 6:15 AM Wednesday the stage was 8.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to continue falling to below flood stage by
late this afternoon.
* Impact: At 9.0 feet...County Road 372 will begin flooding near this
height.
* Impact: At 8.0 feet...Annapolis Road on the east bank of the Black
River south of Lesterville begins flooding close to this height.
This is the only road directly connecting Annapolis and
Lesterville.
* Impact: At 5.0 feet...Near this height, Peola Road begins flooding
along the west bank of the Black River south of Lesterville.
&&
Fld Latest 7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION Stg Obs Stg 12/31 01/01 01/02 01/03 01/04
Black River
Annapolis 8.0 8.58 7.3 6.3 5.5 4.8 4.6
&&
LAT...LON 3743 9087 3745 9078 3724 9074 3724 9079
$$965
WGUS83 KLSX 310125
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
725 PM CST WED DEC 30 2015
...The flood warning is cancelled for the following river in Missouri...
The Black River near
...Annapolis
THE FLOOD WARNING FOR THIS POINT HAS BEEN CANCELLED.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
The National Weather Service will monitor this situation and issue follow
up statements as conditions or forecasts change.
Safety message: Never drive any vehicle through flooded areas.
The water may be too deep to allow for safe passage.
This product, along with additional weather and stream information,
is available at http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lsx.
&&
MOC179-310155-
/O.CAN.KLSX.FL.W.0224.000000T0000Z-151231T2230Z/
/ANNM7.2.ER.151227T1100Z.151229T0145Z.151230T2130Z.NO/
725 PM CST WED DEC 30 2015
The Flood Warning is cancelled for
the Black River near Annapolis.
* At 6:15 PM Wednesday the stage was 7.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* The water level fell below flood stage at 3:30 PM Wednesday.
* The water level will fall to 6.3 feet by Friday morning.
&&
Fld Latest 7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION Stg Obs Stg 12/31 01/01 01/02 01/03 01/04
Black River
Annapolis 8.0 7.86 7.3 6.3 5.5 4.8 4.6
&&
LAT...LON 3743 9087 3745 9078 3724 9074 3724 9079
$$What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS St. Louis, MO wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Dec 25, 6:32 PM CST, 59 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Dec 25, 6:32 PM CST, 59 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED AVIATION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
632 PM CST FRI DEC 25 2015
.SHORT TERM: (Through Late Tonight)
Issued at 335 PM CST Fri Dec 25 2015
Currently experiencing the calm before the storm across the CWA
with high pressure to our north bringing tranquil conditions and
above average temperatures. Main activity at this time is the
frontal boundary draped from the TN Valley into lower MS Valley.
All indications are that fall heights and surface pressure tonight
across the high Plains along with the eastward retreat of the
surface high to our north will allow for a sizable response in
the atmosphere. Low level flow above the boundary layer is
forecast to veer and strengthen, with a veering 30-40+ kt south-
southwesterly LLJ transporting anomalously deep moisture northward
into the area while the surface boundary gradually retreats
northward as well. Precipitation should develop in response
although it appears to be delayed until overnight. The best threat
appears to be after 08-09z when elevated showers and thunderstorms
are expected primarily south of I-70 across southern MO into SW
IL.
Glass
.LONG TERM: (Saturday through Next Friday)
Issued at 335 PM CST Fri Dec 25 2015
...Very Serious-High Impact and Potentially Historic Heavy Rain/Flood
Event Likely Saturday Afternoon into Monday...
High Points...
Confidence is growing and high at this point in time that a very
serious high-impact and potentially historic heavy rain/flood
event will occur in the Saturday night into Monday. This event
will feature life-threatening flash flooding on creeks/streams and
poor drainage areas, and major to historic flooding on area
rivers. The Meramec River is a huge concern.
Widespread area average storm total rainfall is now forecast in the
5-8 inch range across the southeast half of the CWA. The Bullseye
for heaviest rainfall would be late Saturday afternoon and Saturday
night with embedded convection/high rainfall rates and training,
however this will also be a prolonged event lasting well into
Monday. A flash flood watch is already in place and we have now
expanded it northward some to account for greater northward spread
of significant precipitation during the event.
Discussion...
The rapid evolution and expansion of a wide wsw-ene oriented band
of rain and thunderstorms is expected on Saturday along and north
of the lifting frontal zone. This will be in response to strong
deep layer ascent associated with a 40+ s/swly LLJ, disturbances
with the SW flow aloft and divergence aloft within the entrance
region of an anticyclonically curved ULJ. All the models have a
strong signal just differ some on the boundary location. Prefer
a blend of the GFS/ECMWF with this aspect and QPF placement with
the front near the I-44 corridor in MO and I-70 in IL at 00z
Sunday, feeling the NAM is too far north lifting the boundary
into cooler air.
The worst of this prolonged event appears to have a bullseye on
late Saturday afternoon into Saturday night. PWs are forecast to
exceed 1.5 inches which is 5 standard deviations above normal!
Strong deep layer ascent is focused in a broad region along and
north of the surface front resulting from frontogenesis, low level
MCON/lift, upper level disturbances and the ULJ entrance region.
This focused elongated forcing and flow aloft parallel to the
frontal zone favors training with elevated instability supporting
embedded convection. Along and south of the frontal zone there
could also be a few severe storms Saturday afternoon and evening.
The front then sags southeastward late Saturday night and this
will shift some of the focus of the axis of heaviest rainfall on
Sunday to the southeast third of the CWA. Finally late Sunday into
Monday will be the last aspect of the event as a strong closed upper
low and the associated vertically stacked system lifts north/northeast
through the MS Valley. This will lead a renewed northward spread
in rain, although rates appear lower with this round. While there
are differences in the system track, the most favored is a
western track which would largely keep any wintry precipitation at
bay to the west, with some chance of snow Monday night across
northeast and central MO in the cyclonic flow/CAA in the wake of
the departing system.
Glass
&&
.AVIATION: (For the 00z TAFs through 00z Saturday Evening)
Issued at 617 PM CST Fri Dec 25 2015
VFR for the first 0-6 hours until MVFR clouds spread across the
area ahead of an approaching low pressure system. This system will
bring a prolonged period of rain and reduced cigs/vsbys to all
TAF sites. Moderate rain and IFR cigs are expected after 12-15z.
Embedded thunderstorms are also possible, especially after 26/18z.
Kanofsky
&&
.LSX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES:
MO...Flash Flood Watch from Saturday afternoon through Monday
afternoon FOR Audrain MO-Boone MO-Callaway MO-Cole MO-
Crawford MO-Franklin MO-Gasconade MO-Iron MO-Jefferson MO-
Lincoln MO-Madison MO-Moniteau MO-Monroe MO-Montgomery MO-
Osage MO-Pike MO-Ralls MO-Reynolds MO-St. Charles MO-St.
Francois MO-St. Louis City MO-St. Louis MO-Ste. Genevieve
MO-Warren MO-Washington MO.
IL...Flash Flood Watch from Saturday afternoon through Monday
afternoon FOR Bond IL-Calhoun IL-Clinton IL-Fayette IL-
Greene IL-Jersey IL-Macoupin IL-Madison IL-Marion IL-Monroe
IL-Montgomery IL-Pike IL-Randolph IL-St. Clair IL-
Washington IL.
&&
WFO LSXHazardous weather outlook, Dec 25, 4:01 PM CST, 3 hours 30 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO 401 PM CST FRI DEC 25 2015 ILZ058>060-064-065-069-070-074-079-095>102-MOZ018-019-026-027- 034>036-041-042-047>052-059>065-072>075-084-085-099-261130- GREENE IL-MACOUPIN IL-MONTGOMERY IL-BOND IL-FAYETTE IL-CLINTON IL- MARION IL-WASHINGTON IL-RANDOLPH IL-ADAMS IL-BROWN IL-PIKE IL- CALHOUN IL-JERSEY IL-MADISON IL-ST. CLAIR IL-MONROE IL-KNOX MO- LEWIS MO-SHELBY MO-MARION MO-MONROE MO-RALLS MO-PIKE MO-BOONE MO- AUDRAIN MO-MONITEAU MO-COLE MO-OSAGE MO-CALLAWAY MO-MONTGOMERY MO- LINCOLN MO-GASCONADE MO-WARREN MO-ST. CHARLES MO-FRANKLIN MO- ST. LOUIS MO-ST. LOUIS CITY MO-JEFFERSON MO-CRAWFORD MO- WASHINGTON MO-ST. FRANCOIS MO-STE. GENEVIEVE MO-IRON MO- MADISON MO-REYNOLDS MO- 401 PM CST FRI DEC 25 2015 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN AND CENTRAL MISSOURI AS WELL AS WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ILLINOIS. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED LATE TONIGHT ACROSS PARTS OF SOUTHEAST MISSOURI AND SOUTHWEST ILLINOIS. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY VERY SERIOUS AND POTENTIALLY HISTORIC HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLOOD EVENT LIKELY SATURDAY AFTERNOON INTO MONDAY. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR MOST OF THE REGION. A PROLONGED PERIOD OF HEAVY RAINFALL WITH EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS IS EXPECTED SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON. WIDESPREAD RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 8 INCHES ARE LIKELY ALONG AND SOUTH OF JEFFERSON CITY MISSOURI TO CARLINVILLE ILLINOIS LINE, WITH AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES NORTH OF THIS LINE. THIS HEAVY RAINFALL WILL LIKELY RESULT IN LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODING OF LOW LYING OR POOR DRAINAGE AREAS...AND SMALLER CREEKS AND STREAMS. FLOODING OF MOST RIVERS IS EXPECTED WITH MAJOR AND POSSIBLY HISTORIC FLOODING ON SOME RIVERS ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST HALF OF MISSOURI AND SOUTHWEST ILLINOIS. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED THROUGH TONIGHT. SPOTTERS SHOULD GEAR UP FOR THE UPCOMING HEAVY RAIN EVENT AND ARE ASKED TO RELAY RAINFALL AMOUNTS EXCEEDING 2 INCHES AND ANY FLOODING. GLASS
The office that day
Everything else NWS St. Louis, MO issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 25, 9:15 PM CST | River Flood Warning | LSX | Saint Charles | 4 days |
| Dec 26, 9:21 AM CST | River Flood Warning | LSX | Osage | 6 days |
| Dec 26, 9:21 AM CST | River Flood Warning | LSX | Cole | 4 days |
| Dec 26, 9:42 AM CST | River Flood Warning | LSX | Osage | 4 days |
| Dec 26, 11:00 AM CST | River Flood Warning | LSX | Lincoln | 4 days |
| Dec 26, 1:40 PM CST | River Flood Warning | LSX | Callaway, Osage | 7 days |
| Dec 26, 1:40 PM CST | River Flood Warning | LSX | Gasconade, Montgomery | 9 days |
| Dec 26, 1:40 PM CST | River Flood Warning | LSX | Gasconade, Montgomery | 7 days |
| Dec 26, 1:40 PM CST | River Flood Warning | LSX | Franklin, Warren | 7 days |
| Dec 26, 1:40 PM CST | River Flood Warning | LSX | Saint Charles, Saint Louis | 8 days |
| Dec 26, 2:41 PM CST | Flash Flood Warning | LSX | Cole, Crawford, Franklin, Gasconade, Jefferson, Montgomery and 6 more | 13 hr |
Nearby
River Flood Warnings in Missouri, 2015Every river flood warning in 2015
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.