Alert archive / Missouri / River Flood Warnings in 2015

River Flood Warning 185, NWS St. Louis, MO

December 14, 2015Lewis County, Missouri

NWS St. Louis, MO issued this river flood warning at Dec 14, 2015, 1:52 AM CST for Lewis County, Missouri. It took effect at Dec 14, 2015, 10:53 AM CST. It was in force for 4 days.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Dec 14, 2015, 1:52 AM CST (07:52 UTC)
In effect from
Dec 14, 2015, 10:53 AM CST
Expired
Dec 18, 2015, 6:36 AM CST
In force
4 days
Issued by
NWS St. Louis, MO
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
Moderate

County Lewis County, MO

The radar

The St Louis radar (KLSX), 172 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 07:54 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point North Fabius River near Ewing (EWNM7).

Action stage
9 ft
Minor stage
11 ft
Moderate stage
17 ft
Major stage
20 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 05497150, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

907 
WGUS43 KLSX 140752
FLWLSX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
152 AM CST MON DEC 14 2015

...The National Weather Service in St. Louis has issued a flood 
warning for the following rivers in Missouri... 

  North Fabius River near Ewing affecting Lewis County

  Middle Fabius River near Ewing affecting Lewis County

  South Fabius River near Taylor affecting Marion County

  North River at Palmyra affecting Marion County

.This Flood Warning is a result of 1 to 3 inches of precipitation 
over the past 24 hours and 0.25 inches forecast in the next 24 
hours...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Heavy rains could cause river levels to rise even higher than 
predicted.  The National Weather Service will monitor this developing
situation and issue follow up statements as conditions or forecasts 
change.

Safety message:  Never drive cars, trucks, or sport utility vehicles 
through flooded areas.  The water may be too deep to allow for safe 
passage.

This product, along with additional weather and stream information, 
is available at http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lsx.

&&

MOC111-150752-
/O.NEW.KLSX.FL.W.0185.151214T1930Z-151218T1236Z/
/EWNM7.2.ER.151214T1930Z.151216T0000Z.151217T1236Z.NO/
152 AM CST MON DEC 14 2015

The National Weather Service in St. Louis has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  the North Fabius River near Ewing
* from this afternoon to Friday morning.
* At  1:30 AM Monday the stage was 8.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage by this afternoon 
  and continue to rise to near 14.7 feet by tomorrow evening. The 
  river will fall below flood stage by Thursday morning.
* Impact:  At 15.0 feet...State Highway E west of Williamstown begins 
  to flood.
* Impact:  At 14.0 feet...Left bank begins to flood near Monticello.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     12/15  12/16  12/17  12/18  12/19

North Fabius River
  Ewing           11.0    8.79       9.7   13.8   14.3   11.1    7.4


&&


LAT...LON 4012 9175 4014 9169 3995 9152 3991 9154




$$

MOC111-150751-
/O.NEW.KLSX.FL.W.0186.151214T0752Z-151217T2116Z/
/EWMM7.1.ER.151214T0716Z.151215T1200Z.151216T2116Z.UU/
152 AM CST MON DEC 14 2015

The National Weather Service in St. Louis has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  the Middle Fabius River near Ewing
* until Thursday afternoon.
* At  1:30 AM Monday the stage was 12.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to continue rising to near 16.0 feet by 
  tomorrow morning. The river will fall below flood stage Wednesday 
  afternoon.
* Impact:  At 15.7 feet...Right bank overflows upstream of bridge near
  the gage.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     12/15  12/16  12/17  12/18  12/19

Middle Fabius River
  Ewing           12.0   12.21      13.8   16.0   13.7    9.5    6.4


&&


LAT...LON 4010 9179 4012 9175 3995 9158 3994 9162




$$

MOC127-150751-
/O.NEW.KLSX.FL.W.0187.151214T1636Z-151217T0400Z/
/TAYM7.1.ER.151214T1636Z.151215T1200Z.151216T0400Z.NO/
152 AM CST MON DEC 14 2015

The National Weather Service in St. Louis has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  the South Fabius River near Taylor
* from this morning to Wednesday evening.
* At  1:30 AM Monday the stage was 7.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.5 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage by late this 
  morning and continue to rise to near 11.3 feet by tomorrow morning.
  The river will fall below flood stage by tomorrow late evening.
* Impact:  At 11.0 feet...Both banks begin to overflow low level 
  farmlands.
* Impact:  At 10.5 feet...County Road 117 northwest of Philadelphia 
  floods.
* Impact:  At 10.2 feet...The river begins flooding the right bank 
  just downstream of the County Road 319 bridge at the gage.
* Impact:  At 10.1 feet...Marion County Road 310 begins flooding just 
  west of the east end of the road, the intersection with County Road
  365.
* Impact:  At 9.5 feet...Flood Stage.  Minor flooding begins.


&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     12/15  12/16  12/17  12/18  12/19

South Fabius River
  Taylor           9.5    7.83       8.5   11.3    8.2    5.2    3.4


&&


LAT...LON 3993 9160 3990 9152 3984 9160 3984 9172
      3989 9176                       



$$

MOC127-150751-
/O.NEW.KLSX.FL.W.0188.151214T1200Z-151216T1254Z/
/PALM7.1.ER.151214T1200Z.151215T0000Z.151215T1254Z.NO/
152 AM CST MON DEC 14 2015

The National Weather Service in St. Louis has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  the North River at Palmyra
* from this morning to Wednesday morning.
* At  1:30 AM Monday the stage was 12.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage by this morning and
  continue to rise to near 15.9 feet by this evening. The river will 
  fall below flood stage by tomorrow morning.
* Impact:  At 16.0 feet...Left bank begins to flood near the gage.
* Impact:  At 14.0 feet...Marion County Rd 341 north of Palmyra 
  inundated. Significant agricultural land flooding...right bank.
* Impact:  At 13.5 feet...County Road 333, east of Palmyra, begins to 
  flood.
* Impact:  At 13.0 feet...FLOOD STAGE.  Minor flooding begins.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     12/15  12/16  12/17  12/18  12/19

North River
  Palmyra         13.0   12.33      13.0   13.3    7.4    5.8    5.3


&&


LAT...LON 3984 9150 3981 9150 3976 9170 3979 9170




$$
5 follow-up statements
726 
WGUS83 KLSX 141706
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
1106 AM CST MON DEC 14 2015

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in 
Missouri...
 
  North Fabius River near Ewing affecting Lewis County 

  Middle Fabius River near Ewing affecting Lewis County 

  South Fabius River near Taylor affecting Marion County 

  Mid Fork Salt River near Holliday affecting Monroe County 

.This Flood Warning is a result of 1 to 2 inches of precipitation the 
past 24 hours and .10 inch forecast in the next 24 hours...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Heavy rains could cause river levels to rise even higher than 
predicted.  The National Weather Service will monitor this developing
situation and issue follow up statements as conditions or forecasts 
change.

Safety message:  Never drive cars, trucks, or sport utility vehicles 
through flooded areas.  The water may be too deep to allow for safe 
passage.

This product, along with additional weather and stream information, 
is available at http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lsx.

&&

MOC111-151706-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0185.151214T1653Z-151217T2236Z/
/EWNM7.2.ER.151214T1140Z.151215T1200Z.151216T2236Z.NO/
1106 AM CST MON DEC 14 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  the North Fabius River near Ewing
* from this morning to Thursday afternoon.
* At 10:30 AM Monday the stage was 13.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to crest near 15.5 feet by 
  tomorrow morning. The river will fall below flood stage Wednesday 
  afternoon.
* Impact:  At 16.0 feet...Lewis County Road 532 (or 230th Street) will
  be flooded at this height.
* Impact:  At 15.0 feet...State Highway E west of Williamstown begins 
  to flood.
* Impact:  At 14.0 feet...Left bank begins to flood near Monticello.


&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     12/15  12/16  12/17  12/18  12/19

North Fabius River
  Ewing           11.0   13.17             15.5   13.3    8.6    6.3


&&


LAT...LON 4012 9175 4014 9169 3995 9152 3991 9154




$$

MOC111-151705-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0186.000000T0000Z-151217T2215Z/
/EWMM7.1.ER.151214T0716Z.151215T1200Z.151216T2215Z.UU/
1106 AM CST MON DEC 14 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Middle Fabius River near Ewing
* until Thursday afternoon.
* At 10:30 AM Monday the stage was 14.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to crest near 16.0 feet by 
  tomorrow morning. The river will fall below flood stage Wednesday 
  afternoon.
* Impact:  At 15.7 feet...Right bank overflows upstream of bridge near
  the gage.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     12/15  12/16  12/17  12/18  12/19

Middle Fabius River
  Ewing           12.0   14.76             16.0   14.9    7.7    5.3


&&


LAT...LON 4010 9179 4012 9175 3995 9158 3994 9162




$$

MOC127-151705-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0187.000000T0000Z-151217T0640Z/
/TAYM7.1.ER.151214T0952Z.151215T0600Z.151216T0640Z.NO/
1106 AM CST MON DEC 14 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  the South Fabius River near Taylor
* until late Wednesday night.
* At  9:30 AM Monday the stage was 11.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.5 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to crest near 11.5 feet by after
  midnight tomorrow. The river will fall below flood stage early 
  Wednesday morning.
* Impact:  At 11.0 feet...Both banks begin to overflow low level 
  farmlands.
* Impact:  At 10.5 feet...County Road 117 northwest of Philadelphia 
  floods.
* Impact:  At 10.2 feet...The river begins flooding the right bank 
  just downstream of the County Road 319 bridge at the gage.
* Impact:  At 10.1 feet...Marion County Road 310 begins flooding just 
  west of the east end of the road, the intersection with County Road
  365.
* Impact:  At 9.5 feet...Flood Stage.  Minor flooding begins.


&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     12/15  12/16  12/17  12/18  12/19

South Fabius River
  Taylor           9.5   11.01             11.3    8.7    5.5    3.5


&&


LAT...LON 3993 9160 3990 9152 3984 9160 3984 9172
      3989 9176                       



$$

MOC137-151705-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0184.000000T0000Z-151217T1915Z/
/PMZM7.1.ER.151214T0428Z.151215T0000Z.151216T1715Z.UU/
1106 AM CST MON DEC 14 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Mid Fork Salt River near Holliday
* until Thursday afternoon.
* At 10:30 AM Monday the stage was 18.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to crest near 19.0 feet by this 
  evening. The river will fall below flood stage late Wednesday 
  morning.
* Impact:  At 19.0 feet...Wastewater lift station begins flooding at 
  about this height.  Water was 16 ft deep in July 2008.
* Impact:  At 18.1 feet...Water exits the left bank downstream of the 
  State Highway A bridge.  Adjacent fields begin to flood.
* Impact:  At 17.5 feet...Water exits the right bank downstream of the
  State Highway A bridge.
* Impact:  At 14.7 feet...Water begins leaving the banks at the State 
  Highway A bridge north of Holliday.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     12/15  12/16  12/17  12/18  12/19

Salt River
  Holliday        17.0   18.82             19.0   17.7    9.9    7.8


&&


LAT...LON 3957 9229 3959 9225 3950 9197 3947 9199
      3952 9221                       



$$
058 
WGUS83 KLSX 150241
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
841 PM CST MON DEC 14 2015

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in 
Missouri...
 
 
  Cuivre River near Troy 

  North Fabius River near Ewing  

  Middle Fabius River near Ewing  

  South Fabius River near Taylor  

  Mid Fork Salt River near Holliday 
  

.This Flood Warning is a result of 1 to 3 inches of rainfall this past
weekend...


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Heavy rains could cause river levels to rise even higher than 
predicted.  The National Weather Service will monitor this developing
situation and issue follow up statements as conditions or forecasts 
change.

Safety message:  Never drive cars, trucks, or sport utility vehicles 
through flooded areas.  The water may be too deep to allow for safe 
passage.

This product, along with additional weather and stream information, 
is available at http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lsx.

&&

MOC111-160241-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0185.000000T0000Z-151217T2209Z/
/EWNM7.2.ER.151214T1140Z.151215T1200Z.151216T2209Z.NO/
841 PM CST MON DEC 14 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The North Fabius River near Ewing
* Until Wednesday afternoon.
* At 7:30 PM Monday the stage was 14.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to crest near 15.5 feet Tuesday morning.
* Impact:  At 15.0 feet...State Highway E west of Williamstown begins 
  to flood.


&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     12/15  12/16  12/17  12/18  12/19

North Fabius River
  Ewing           11.0   14.27      15.5   13.2    8.5    6.2    5.4


&&


LAT...LON 4012 9175 4014 9169 3995 9152 3991 9154




$$

MOC113-160240-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0189.000000T0000Z-151216T0408Z/
/TRYM7.1.ER.000000T0000Z.151214T2115Z.151215T0408Z.NO/
841 PM CST MON DEC 14 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Cuivre River near Troy
* Until late tonight.
* At 8:00 PM Monday the stage was 21.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 21.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* The river is forecast to fall below flood stage late tonight.


&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     12/15  12/16  12/17  12/18  12/19

Cuivre River
  Troy            21.0   21.81      17.4    9.8    8.2    7.8    7.6


&&


LAT...LON 3901 9100 3903 9095 3895 9089 3893 9090




$$

MOC111-160240-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0186.000000T0000Z-151217T2154Z/
/EWMM7.1.ER.151214T0716Z.151216T0000Z.151216T2154Z.UU/
841 PM CST MON DEC 14 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Middle Fabius River near Ewing
* Until Wednesday afternoon.
* At 8:16 PM Monday the stage was 14.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to crest near 15.2 feet Tuesday evening.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     12/15  12/16  12/17  12/18  12/19

Middle Fabius River
  Ewing           12.0   14.56      14.4   14.8    7.6    5.2    4.7


&&


LAT...LON 4010 9179 4012 9175 3995 9158 3994 9162




$$

MOC127-160240-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0187.000000T0000Z-151217T0600Z/
/TAYM7.1.ER.151214T0952Z.151215T0030Z.151216T0600Z.NO/
841 PM CST MON DEC 14 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The South Fabius River near Taylor
* Until late Tuesday night.
* At 7:30 PM Monday the stage was 11.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.5 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river recently crested near 11.2 feet earlier this evening
  and is forecast to fall back below flood stage late Tuesday night.


&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     12/15  12/16  12/17  12/18  12/19

South Fabius River
  Taylor           9.5   11.12      11.1    8.5    5.5    3.5    3.1


&&


LAT...LON 3993 9160 3990 9152 3984 9160 3984 9172
      3989 9176                       



$$

MOC137-160240-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0184.000000T0000Z-151217T2000Z/
/PMZM7.1.ER.151214T0428Z.151214T1445Z.151216T1800Z.UU/
841 PM CST MON DEC 14 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Mid Fork Salt River near Holliday
* Until Thursday afternoon.
* At 8:00 PM Monday the stage was 18.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to have a secondary crest near 18.3 feet
  late Tuesday afternoon.


&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     12/15  12/16  12/17  12/18  12/19

Salt River
  Holliday        17.0   18.15      18.1   17.8   10.0    7.9    6.9


&&


LAT...LON 3957 9229 3959 9225 3950 9197 3947 9199
      3952 9221                       



$$
676 
WGUS83 KLSX 151506
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
906 AM CST TUE DEC 15 2015

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Missouri...
 
  Middle Fabius River near Ewing affecting Lewis County 

  South Fabius River near Taylor affecting Marion County 

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Missouri..
  North Fabius River near Ewing affecting Lewis County 

  Mid Fork Salt River near Holliday affecting Monroe County 

.This Flood Warning is a result of 1 to 2 inches of precipitation last  
weekend...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Heavy rains could cause river levels to rise even higher than 
predicted.  The National Weather Service will monitor this developing
situation and issue follow up statements as conditions or forecasts 
change.

Safety message:  Never drive cars, trucks, or sport utility vehicles 
through flooded areas.  The water may be too deep to allow for safe 
passage.

This product, along with additional weather and stream information, 
is available at http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lsx.

&&

MOC111-161506-
/O.CON.KLSX.FL.W.0185.000000T0000Z-151217T2209Z/
/EWNM7.2.ER.151214T1140Z.151215T1800Z.151216T2209Z.NO/
906 AM CST TUE DEC 15 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  the North Fabius River near Ewing
* until Thursday afternoon.
* At  8:30 AM Tuesday the stage was 15.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to crest near 15.4 feet by this 
  afternoon. The river will fall below flood stage tomorrow 
  afternoon.
* Impact:  At 16.0 feet...Lewis County Road 532 (or 230th Street) will
  be flooded at this height.
* Impact:  At 15.0 feet...State Highway E west of Williamstown begins 
  to flood.



&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     12/16  12/17  12/18  12/19  12/20

North Fabius River
  Ewing           11.0   15.29      13.1    8.5    6.2    5.4    5.1


&&


LAT...LON 4012 9175 4014 9169 3995 9152 3991 9154




$$

MOC111-161505-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0186.000000T0000Z-151217T2210Z/
/EWMM7.1.ER.151214T0716Z.151216T0000Z.151216T2210Z.UU/
906 AM CST TUE DEC 15 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Middle Fabius River near Ewing
* until Thursday afternoon.
* At  8:30 AM Tuesday the stage was 14.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to crest near 15.3 feet by this 
  evening. The river will fall below flood stage tomorrow afternoon.
* Impact:  At 15.7 feet...Right bank overflows upstream of bridge near
  the gage.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     12/16  12/17  12/18  12/19  12/20

Middle Fabius River
  Ewing           12.0   14.52      14.9    7.7    5.3    4.8    4.6


&&


LAT...LON 4010 9179 4012 9175 3995 9158 3994 9162




$$

MOC127-161505-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0187.000000T0000Z-151217T0234Z/
/TAYM7.1.ER.151214T0952Z.151215T0030Z.151216T0234Z.NO/
906 AM CST TUE DEC 15 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  the South Fabius River near Taylor
* until Wednesday evening.
* At  8:30 AM Tuesday the stage was 10.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.5 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to continue falling to below flood stage by 
  this evening.
* Impact:  At 11.0 feet...Both banks begin to overflow low level 
  farmlands.
* Impact:  At 10.5 feet...County Road 117 northwest of Philadelphia 
  floods.
* Impact:  At 10.2 feet...The river begins flooding the right bank 
  just downstream of the County Road 319 bridge at the gage.
* Impact:  At 10.1 feet...Marion County Road 310 begins flooding just 
  west of the east end of the road, the intersection with County Road
  365.



&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     12/16  12/17  12/18  12/19  12/20

South Fabius River
  Taylor           9.5   10.11       8.3    5.3    3.5    3.1    3.0


&&


LAT...LON 3993 9160 3990 9152 3984 9160 3984 9172
      3989 9176                       



$$

MOC137-161505-
/O.CON.KLSX.FL.W.0184.000000T0000Z-151217T2000Z/
/PMZM7.1.ER.151214T0428Z.151214T1445Z.151216T1800Z.UU/
906 AM CST TUE DEC 15 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Mid Fork Salt River near Holliday
* until Thursday afternoon.
* At  8:30 AM Tuesday the stage was 18.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to crest near 18.5 feet by this 
  afternoon. The river will fall below flood stage tomorrow early 
  afternoon.
* Impact:  At 18.1 feet...Water exits the left bank downstream of the 
  State Highway A bridge.  Adjacent fields begin to flood.
* Impact:  At 17.5 feet...Water exits the right bank downstream of the
  State Highway A bridge.
* Impact:  At 14.7 feet...Water begins leaving the banks at the State 
  Highway A bridge north of Holliday.


&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     12/16  12/17  12/18  12/19  12/20

Salt River
  Holliday        17.0   18.39      17.8   10.1    7.9    6.9    6.4


&&


LAT...LON 3957 9229 3959 9225 3950 9197 3947 9199
      3952 9221                       



$$
497 
WGUS83 KLSX 160144
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
744 PM CST TUE DEC 15 2015

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in 
Missouri...

 
  North Fabius River near Ewing 
 
  Middle Fabius River near Ewing 

  South Fabius River near Taylor 

  Mid Fork Salt River near Holliday


.This Flood Warning is a result of 1-3 inches of rainfall this past
weekend...


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Heavy rains could cause river levels to rise even higher than 
predicted.  The National Weather Service will monitor this developing
situation and issue follow up statements as conditions or forecasts 
change.

Safety message:  Never drive cars, trucks, or sport utility vehicles 
through flooded areas.  The water may be too deep to allow for safe 
passage.

This product, along with additional weather and stream information, 
is available at http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lsx.

&&

MOC111-170144-
/O.CON.KLSX.FL.W.0185.000000T0000Z-151217T2209Z/
/EWNM7.2.ER.151214T1140Z.151215T2200Z.151216T2209Z.NO/
744 PM CST TUE DEC 15 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The North Fabius River near Ewing
* Until Wednesday afternoon.
* At 6:30 PM Tuesday the stage was 15.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* The river recently crested near 15.6 feet earlier this afternoon and is
  forecast to fall back below flood stage Wednesday afternoon.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     12/16  12/17  12/18  12/19  12/20

North Fabius River
  Ewing           11.0   15.30      13.1    8.5    6.2    5.4    5.1


&&


LAT...LON 4012 9175 4014 9169 3995 9152 3991 9154




$$

MOC111-170143-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0186.000000T0000Z-151217T2221Z/
/EWMM7.1.ER.151214T0716Z.151216T0600Z.151216T2221Z.UU/
744 PM CST TUE DEC 15 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Middle Fabius River near Ewing
* Until Wednesday afternoon.
* At 6:30 PM Tuesday the stage was 14.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to crest near 15.0 feet overnight tonight before
  falling back below flood stage Wednesday afternoon.
&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     12/16  12/17  12/18  12/19  12/20

Middle Fabius River
  Ewing           12.0   14.84      14.7    7.6    5.3    4.8    4.5


&&


LAT...LON 4010 9179 4012 9175 3995 9158 3994 9162




$$

MOC127-170143-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0187.000000T0000Z-151217T0748Z/
/TAYM7.1.ER.151214T0952Z.151215T0030Z.151216T0748Z.NO/
744 PM CST TUE DEC 15 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The South Fabius River near Taylor
* Until late tonight.
* At 6:30 PM Tuesday the stage was 10.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.5 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to fall back below flood stage overnight tonight.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     12/16  12/17  12/18  12/19  12/20

South Fabius River
  Taylor           9.5   10.16       8.8    5.6    3.5    3.1    3.0


&&


LAT...LON 3993 9160 3990 9152 3984 9160 3984 9172
      3989 9176                       



$$

MOC137-170143-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0184.000000T0000Z-151217T1800Z/
/PMZM7.1.ER.151214T0428Z.151214T1445Z.151216T1600Z.UU/
744 PM CST TUE DEC 15 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Mid Fork Salt River near Holliday
* Until Wednesday afternoon.
* At 7:30 PM Tuesday the stage was 18.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to fall back below flood stage early Wednesday
  afternoon.


&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     12/16  12/17  12/18  12/19  12/20

Salt River
  Holliday        17.0   18.10      17.4   10.1    7.9    6.9    6.4


&&


LAT...LON 3957 9229 3959 9225 3950 9197 3947 9199
      3952 9221                       



$$
509 
WGUS83 KLSX 161141
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
541 AM CST WED DEC 16 2015

...The flood warning is cancelled for the following river in Missouri...


  North Fabius River near Ewing
  

.This will be the last statement for this event...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message:  Never drive cars, trucks, or sport utility vehicles 
through flooded areas.  The water may be too deep to allow for safe 
passage.

This product, along with additional weather and stream information, 
is available at http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lsx.

&&

MOC111-161211-
/O.CAN.KLSX.FL.W.0185.000000T0000Z-151217T2209Z/
/EWNM7.2.ER.151214T1140Z.151215T2200Z.151216T0932Z.NO/
541 AM CST WED DEC 16 2015

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  the North Fabius River near Ewing.
* At 4:30 AM Wednesday the stage was 10.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* The river fell below flood stage at 3:30 AM Wednesday.
* The river is forecast to continue falling to near feet by this weekend.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     12/17  12/18  12/19  12/20  12/21

North Fabius River
  Ewing           11.0   10.59      10.4    7.2    6.0    5.3    5.0

&&

LAT...LON 4012 9175 4014 9169 3995 9152 3991 9154

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS St. Louis, MO wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Dec 13, 8:40 PM CST, 5 hours 12 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Dec 13, 8:40 PM CST, 5 hours 12 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
840 PM CST SUN DEC 13 2015

.UPDATE:
Issued at 838 PM CST Sun Dec 13 2015

Fine line on radar of enhanced reflectivities marching east toward
the Mississippi River marks a wind shift from the southeast to
the southwest. Rain extends all the way back into southwest
Missouri, with a good batch of showers event further west into
Oklahoma. Have increased PoPs tomorrow morning to account for this
lingering shower activity. Rainfall totals so far range from 1.5
inches across parts of central Missouri to trace amounts in south
central Illinois.

CVKING

&&

.SHORT TERM:  (Through Late Tonight)
Issued at 309 PM CST Sun Dec 13 2015

Expect rain to continue over the area this evening as strong mid
level ascent ahead of upper low currently over the central Plains
will be found over strong low level moisture convergence.  70kt low
level jet continues to bring plenty of Gulf moisture with the RAP
depicting PWATs now near 1.8 inches this afternoon.  Latest runs of
the CAMS show that the steady rain will cover much of the CWA this
evening before diminishing from southwest to northeast after
midnight as the moisture convergence axis shifts eastward.

Some of the momentum of the low level jet will likely also transport
downward to the surface tonight causing windy conditions.  While it
does not appear at this time we will reach advisory criteria,
sustained southerly winds of 15-30 mph with higher gusts will be
possible.

Britt

.LONG TERM:  (Monday through Next Sunday)
Issued at 309 PM CST Sun Dec 13 2015

(Monday-Wednesday)

ECMWF and NAM are in good agreement that a negatively tilted trough
will rotate around the base of the upper low on Monday morning. This
should bring an end to the showers once it moves through our area
and subsidence develops in behind the trough.  Upper low will
quickly move off into the Great Lakes late Monday and Monday night
as a shortwave ridge moves across the area early on Tuesday. Still
looks like there will be a strong upper low move from the central
high Plains into the upper Midwest at midweek which will cause a
cold front to move across the area on Wednesday.  Available moisture
and forcing ahead of this front still looks limited, so will only
maintain low chances of rain Tuesday night and Wednesday.

Temperatures will remain or fall slightly on Monday with the clouds
and cold air advection.  Highs on Tuesday will warm back up closer
to the warmer GFS MOS temperatures before they fall on Wednesday
behind the cold front.

(Thursday-Sunday)

ECMWF and GFS Ensemble Mean are in pretty good agreement that
longwave trough will move across Missouri and Illinois on Friday
before upper flow begins to become more zonal next weekend.  While
there is no QPF depicted in the models, the cyclonic curvature would
suggest there should be at least partly cloudy skies on Friday
before subsidence sets in over the weekend.  GEFS mean and ECMWF
850mb temps are still going down into the -5 to -15 range by Friday
night which means it will finally feel like December.

Britt

&&

.AVIATION:  (For the 00z TAFs through 00z Monday Evening)
Issued at 554 PM CST Sun Dec 13 2015

Expect RA to continue thru the night. After the RA shield passes
NE of the terminal, expect an area of SHRA to move thru the region
late tonight and into Mon morning. Expect mainly low MVFR
conditions within the main RA shield, but some pockets of IFR are
possible. With sunset, these pockets may expand, but will need to
monitor trends. Also expect winds to pick up late tonight and thru
Mon morning. Going wind forecast may not be high enuf, but will
wait for more guidance tonight. Expect MVFR cigs to persist thru
Mon, perhaps becoming VFR Mon evening.

Tilly

&&

.LSX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES:
MO...NONE.
IL...NONE.
&&

WFO LSX
Hazardous weather outlook, Dec 13, 3:36 PM CST, 10 hours 16 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
336 PM CST SUN DEC 13 2015

ILZ058>060-064-065-069-070-074-079-095>102-MOZ018-019-026-027-
034>036-041-042-047>052-059>065-072>075-084-085-099-141200-
GREENE IL-MACOUPIN IL-MONTGOMERY IL-BOND IL-FAYETTE IL-CLINTON IL-
MARION IL-WASHINGTON IL-RANDOLPH IL-ADAMS IL-BROWN IL-PIKE IL-
CALHOUN IL-JERSEY IL-MADISON IL-ST. CLAIR IL-MONROE IL-KNOX MO-
LEWIS MO-SHELBY MO-MARION MO-MONROE MO-RALLS MO-PIKE MO-BOONE MO-
AUDRAIN MO-MONITEAU MO-COLE MO-OSAGE MO-CALLAWAY MO-MONTGOMERY MO-
LINCOLN MO-GASCONADE MO-WARREN MO-ST. CHARLES MO-FRANKLIN MO-
ST. LOUIS MO-ST. LOUIS CITY MO-JEFFERSON MO-CRAWFORD MO-
WASHINGTON MO-ST. FRANCOIS MO-STE. GENEVIEVE MO-IRON MO-
MADISON MO-REYNOLDS MO-
336 PM CST SUN DEC 13 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN AND
CENTRAL MISSOURI AS WELL AS WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ILLINOIS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED TONIGHT.

BRITT

The office that day

Everything else NWS St. Louis, MO issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Dec 13, 10:50 PM CSTRiver Flood WarningLSXMonroe63 hr
Dec 14, 1:52 AM CSTRiver Flood WarningLSXLewis4 days
Dec 14, 1:52 AM CSTRiver Flood WarningLSXMarion68 hr
Dec 14, 1:52 AM CSTRiver Flood WarningLSXMarion53 hr
Dec 14, 7:25 AM CSTRiver Flood WarningLSXLincoln35 hr
Dec 14, 8:27 AM CSTRiver Flood WarningLSXCole46 hr
Dec 14, 12:20 PM CSTRiver Flood WarningLSXBoone, Callaway, Cole, Moniteau6 days
Dec 14, 12:20 PM CSTRiver Flood WarningLSXCallaway, Osage7 days
Dec 14, 12:20 PM CSTRiver Flood WarningLSXGasconade, Montgomery7 days
Dec 14, 1:19 PM CSTRiver Flood WarningLSXLewis19 days
Dec 14, 1:19 PM CSTRiver Flood WarningLSXMarion19 days
Dec 14, 1:19 PM CSTRiver Flood WarningLSXMarion18 days
Dec 14, 1:19 PM CSTRiver Flood WarningLSXMarion21 days
Dec 14, 1:19 PM CSTRiver Flood WarningLSXRalls20 days
Dec 14, 1:19 PM CSTRiver Flood WarningLSXPike21 days
Dec 14, 1:19 PM CSTRiver Flood WarningLSXPike22 days
Dec 14, 1:19 PM CSTRiver Flood WarningLSXLincoln23 days
Dec 14, 1:19 PM CSTRiver Flood WarningLSXSaint Charles31 days
Dec 14, 1:25 PM CSTRiver Flood WarningLSXSaint Charles30 days
Dec 14, 1:25 PM CSTRiver Flood WarningLSXPerry, Sainte Genevieve33 days

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Missouri, 2015Every river flood warning in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.