Severe Thunderstorm Warning 296, NWS Jacksonville, FL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
906 PM EDT SAT AUG 22 2015

.UPDATE...
ISOLATED TO SCATTERED ACTIVITY HAS DIMINISHED ACROSS NORTHEAST
FLORIDA HAS DIMINISHED. FURTHER NORTH...A CLUSTER OF STORMS THAT
DEVELOPED LATE IN THE AFTN ACROSS SOUTH CAROLINA/GEORGIA CLOSE
TO A DECAYING SURFACE FRONT HAVE MOVED SOUTH INTO SE GEORGIA
PRODUCING STRONG WINDS. THIS CLUSTER WILL BEGIN TO WEAKEN OVER
THE NEXT HOUR OR TWO AS IT APPROACHED NE FLORIDA. WILL INCLUDE
SCATTERED TSTMS OVER NE FLORIDA LATE THIS EVENING FOR THIS
POTENTIAL. LOWS IN THE MID 70S WILL GENERALLY PREVAIL.

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR WILL PREVAIL FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. WILL USE VCTS FOR SSI
FOR THE NEXT HOUR OR SO WITH MOST OF THE ACTIVITY REMAINING TO
THE WEST.

&&

.MARINE...
ONSHORE WINDS 5 TO 10 KNOTS WILL PREVAIL FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

RIP CURRENTS: LOW RISK.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMG  75  93  74  95 /  10  50  30  30
SSI  78  88  78  91 /  40  20  30  20
JAX  75  92  75  93 /  40  40  30  30
SGJ  77  89  76  90 /  10  20  30  30
GNV  75  93  74  94 /  30  50  40  30
OCF  75  93  74  94 /  30  50  30  40

&&

.JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
GA...NONE.
AM...NONE.
&&

ALLEN/SHULER/GUILLET

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
958 AM EDT SAT AUG 22 2015

AMZ450-452-454-470-472-474-FLZ020>025-030>033-035>038-040-124-125-
GAZ132>136-149>154-162>166-230845-
COASTAL WATERS FROM ALTAMAHA SOUND TO FERNANDINA BEACH FL OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM FERNANDINA BEACH TO ST. AUGUSTINE FL OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM ST. AUGUSTINE TO FLAGLER BEACH FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM ALTAMAHA SOUND GA TO FERNANDINA BEACH FL FROM 20 TO
60 NM-
WATERS FROM FERNANDINA BEACH TO ST. AUGUSTINE FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM ST. AUGUSTINE TO FLAGLER BEACH FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
HAMILTON-SUWANNEE-COLUMBIA-BAKER-INLAND NASSAU-INLAND DUVAL-UNION-
BRADFORD-CLAY-ST. JOHNS-GILCHRIST-ALACHUA-PUTNAM-FLAGLER-MARION-
COASTAL NASSAU-COASTAL DUVAL-COFFEE-JEFF DAVIS-BACON-APPLING-
WAYNE-ATKINSON-WARE-PIERCE-BRANTLEY-INLAND GLYNN-COASTAL GLYNN-
ECHOLS-CLINCH-CHARLTON-INLAND CAMDEN-COASTAL CAMDEN-
958 AM EDT SAT AUG 22 2015

...STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND
EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST FLORIDA...
SOUTHEAST GEORGIA AND THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...

WIDELY SCATTERED AFTERNOON AND EVENING THUNDERSTORMS ARE
EXPECTED...MOSTLY AT INLAND LOCATIONS. A FEW STRONG THUNDERSTORMS
ARE POSSIBLE...MOSTLY ALONG THE INTERSTATE 75 CORRIDOR DURING THE
LATE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING HOURS. STRONGER ACTIVITY WILL BE
CAPABLE OF PRODUCING GUSTY WINDS...FREQUENT LIGHTNING...AND
LOCALIZED FLOODING DUE TO EXPECTED SLOW MOVEMENT OF THUNDERSTORMS.

HEAT INDEX VALUES WILL PEAK AT 102-107 DEGREES THIS AFTERNOON.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...
SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS AFTERNOON AND EVENING THUNDERSTORMS ARE
EXPECTED ON SUNDAY. STRONG TO LOCALLY SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE
POSSIBLE...WITH DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING STRIKES
BEING THE PRIMARY THREATS AS ACTIVITY MOVES GENERALLY
SOUTHEASTWARD AT 10-15 MPH.

A FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL STALL OVER OUR REGION NEXT WEEK...CREATING
SCATTERED MAINLY AFTERNOON AND EVENING THUNDERSTORMS. STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE EACH DAY...MAINLY OVER NORTHEAST
AND NORTH CENTRAL FLORIDA AND COASTAL SOUTHEAST GEORGIA. STRONGER
ACTIVITY WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING GUSTY WINDS AND FREQUENT
LIGHTNING STRIKES.

LONG PERIOD SWELLS FROM DISTANT HURRICANE DANNY MAY REACH OUR
COASTAL WATERS TOWARDS MIDWEEK...WHICH WOULD INCREASE THE THREAT
FOR RIP CURRENTS AT AREA BEACHES.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED TODAY.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
IN JACKSONVILLE WEBSITE ON THE INTERNET AT WEATHER.GOV/JAX.

PLW

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
515 PM EDT SAT AUG 22 2015

FLZ040-222145-
MARION FL-
515 PM EDT SAT AUG 22 2015

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHWESTERN MARION COUNTY UNTIL
545 PM EDT...

AT 514 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM OVER
RAINBOW LAKES ESTATES...MOVING SOUTH AT 10 MPH.

HAIL UP TO NICKEL SIZE IN DIAMETER AND GUSTY WINDS OF 45 TO 55 MPH
CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG WITH POSSIBLE MINOR DAMAGE.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
RAINBOW LAKES ESTATES...DUNNELLON AND ROMEO.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REPORT DAMAGE TO THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY OR YOUR COUNTY
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT.

LAT...LON 2900 8236 2900 8237 2901 8240 2902 8240
      2901 8242 2902 8242 2905 8246 2905 8249
      2904 8250 2904 8253 2922 8253 2922 8229
      2897 8230
TIME...MOT...LOC 2114Z 039DEG 10KT 2916 8247

ALLEN

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
735 PM EDT SAT AUG 22 2015

GAZ136-152>154-230015-
INLAND GLYNN GA-WAYNE GA-BRANTLEY GA-COASTAL GLYNN GA-
735 PM EDT SAT AUG 22 2015

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR GLYNN...NORTHEASTERN BRANTLEY AND
SOUTHEASTERN WAYNE COUNTIES UNTIL 815 PM EDT...

AT 734 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM OVER
COX...OR 9 MILES SOUTH OF TIBET...MOVING SOUTH AT 15 MPH.

HAIL UP TO NICKEL SIZE IN DIAMETER AND GUSTY WINDS OF 45 TO 55 MPH
CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG WITH POSSIBLE MINOR DAMAGE.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
BRUNSWICK...GARDI...DOCK JUNCTION...WAYNESVILLE...EVERETT...
THALMANN...COUNTRY CLUB ESTATES...ATKINSON...MOUNT PLEASANT AND BOYS
ESTATE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REPORT DAMAGE TO THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY OR YOUR COUNTY
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT.

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD
TO FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS.

THIS STORM MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO AND
TV STATIONS...AS WELL AS LOCAL CABLE TV OUTLETS...FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

&&

LAT...LON 3122 8144 3112 8146 3113 8150 3122 8156
      3117 8153 3114 8153 3115 8154 3114 8154
      3122 8191 3158 8185 3155 8167 3150 8165
      3147 8161 3140 8158 3133 8147 3133 8143
      3131 8144 3129 8140
TIME...MOT...LOC 2334Z 015DEG 13KT 3147 8160

ALLEN

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