Severe Thunderstorm Warning 407, NWS Jackson, MS

716 
WWUS54 KJAN 252154
SVSJAN

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
354 PM CST FRI DEC 25 2015

MSC103-105-159-252230-
/O.CON.KJAN.SV.W.0407.000000T0000Z-151225T2230Z/
OKTIBBEHA MS-NOXUBEE MS-WINSTON MS-
354 PM CST FRI DEC 25 2015

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 430 PM CST
FOR SOUTHEASTERN OKTIBBEHA...NORTHWESTERN NOXUBEE AND NORTHEASTERN
WINSTON COUNTIES...

AT 354 PM CST...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED OVER BETHEDEN...OR
11 MILES NORTHEAST OF LOUISVILLE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 50 MPH.

HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...EXPECT DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES. 

THIS SEVERE STORM WILL BE NEAR...
  OKTOC AROUND 405 PM CST.
  SESSUMS AROUND 415 PM CST.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

LAT...LON 3315 8868 3307 8889 3324 8903 3348 8868
TIME...MOT...LOC 2154Z 230DEG 44KT 3323 8890 

HAIL...<.75IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

CME

715 
WWUS54 KJAN 252204
SVSJAN

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
404 PM CST FRI DEC 25 2015

MSC103-105-159-252214-
/O.CAN.KJAN.SV.W.0407.000000T0000Z-151225T2230Z/
OKTIBBEHA MS-NOXUBEE MS-WINSTON MS-
404 PM CST FRI DEC 25 2015

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN OKTIBBEHA...
NORTHWESTERN NOXUBEE AND NORTHEASTERN WINSTON COUNTIES IS
CANCELLED...
                
THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS WEAKENED BELOW SEVERE
LIMITS...AND NO LONGER POSE AN IMMEDIATE THREAT TO LIFE OR PROPERTY.
THEREFORE THE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

LAT...LON 3315 8868 3307 8889 3324 8903 3348 8868
TIME...MOT...LOC 2201Z 230DEG 44KT 3331 8879 

$$

CME

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
955 AM CST DEC 25 2015

.UPDATE...LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY WAS PICKING UP A LARGE UPPER
TROUGH OVER THE WESTERN CONUS...WHICH WAS RESULTING IN DEEP SOUTH-
SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW OVER THE REGION. THE CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY WAS
BEING ENHANCED BY A LOW AMPLITUDE IMPULSE CROSSING THE MIDSOUTH
REGION. THE DEEP SOUTHERLY FLOW WAS BRINGING IN STRONG MOISTURE
TRANSPORT WITH ANOMALOUS PWATS IN THIS TROPICAL AIRMASS AROUND 1.8
INCHES. THIS HAS RESULTED IN SOME FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS IN THE DELTA
THIS MORNING. A COLD FRONTAL BOUNDARY WAS NOTED ACROSS THE DELTA
REGION WITH TEMPS IN THE LOW TO MID 70S. AREA SNDGS AND MESOANALYSIS
SHOWED DECENT INSTABILITY, STRONG DEEP SHEAR, AND HELICITY ACROSS
THE REGION. ALSO UPPER DIVERGENCE WAS ENHANCING THE RAINS ACROSS THE
NORTH. AREA RADARS HAD PICKED UP SOME STRONG STORMS IN THE NORTH
ALONG WITH A FEW SEVERE STORMS THIS MORNING. CELLS WERE ROTATING
PRETTY GOOD. SHORT RANGE CONVECTIVE ALLOWING GUIDANCE SHOWS A BUSY
DAY ACROSS THE REGION. WITH FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT ACROSS THE
NORTH WPC IS HIGHLIGHTING THE NORTH FOR SOME HEAVY RAINFALL
POTENTIAL THROUGH TONIGHT. SO WITH THIS IN MIND WILL MAKE NO MAJOR
CHANGES TO TODAYS FORECAST./17/

.AVIATION...FOR NOW WILL MAINTAIN VFR CONDITIONS AT MOST SITES. RAIN
WILL BE SCATTERED FOR JAN/HKS THROUGH THE MORNING MAY ADD SOME VCTS
AND TEMPO GROUPS. STORMS WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE ACROSS GREENVILLE FOR
THE NEXT FEW HOURS WITH HEAVY RAIN AND SOME FOG REDUCING VISIBILITY.
WILL MAINTAIN MVFR CONDITIONS. EXPECTING SIMILAR CONDITIONS TO
DEVELOP AT GWO BY NOON. EXPECTING RAIN TO END ACROSS THE AREA BEFORE
MIDNIGHT. HOWEVER...LOW STRATUS AND SOME FOG WILL LIKELY LEAD TO
MVFR CONDITIONS ACROSS THE AREA FROM 3 TO 15Z TOMORROW./7/

./PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...457 AM CST FRI DEC 25 2015

.SHORT TERM...

CHRISTMAS MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING...

ANOTHER STORMY DAY IS ON TAP FOR TODAY AS LARGE SCALE SW ISENTROPIC
ASCENT AND STRONG LOW/DEEP LAYER ARE STILL IN THE REGION. WV IMAGERY
INDICATES S/WV THAT WILL BRING OUR CHANCES FOR ACTIVE WEATHER
PATTERN IS MOVING INTO ERN TX/WRN LA AND WILL CONTINUE TO PROPAGATE
TOWARDS THE REGION. UPPER AIR ANALYSIS INDICATES THE UPPER RIDGE
OVER THE WRN ATLANTIC IS STRENGTHENING AND BUILDING W...HELPING TO
INCREASE H5 HEIGHTS IN OUR AREA. LOW LEVEL SRLY FLOW WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. EXPECT A WARM AND HUMID CHRISTMAS AFTERNOON
ACROSS THE REGION.

RIGHT NOW SOME SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE ONGOING ACROSS MOST OF THE AREA
WHILE RIGHT ALONG THE WARM FRONTAL BOUNDARY IN THE DELTA EFFICIENT
LIFT/MOISTURE TRANSPORT IS ONGOING AND WILL CONTINUE. ENSEMBLE
SITUATIONAL AWARENESS TABLE IS INDICATING ANOMALOUS MOISTURE...PER
THE NAEFS/GEFS...MOVING THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON ESPECIALLY IN N/NE
MS. WOULD NOT RULE OUT SOME LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING IN AREAS WHERE
STORMS CAN TRAIN AND MORE EFFICIENT RAINFALL RATES OCCUR. ALSO
EXPANDED THE POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE STORMS TODAY AS 30-40KTS 0-3KM
BULK SHEAR AND AGAIN 1500-2000 J/KG OF MLCAPE. THIS WITH EFFICIENT
LAPSE RATES APPROACHING 6.5-7.0 DEG C/KM WILL PROMOTE STRONG
UPDRAFTS AND POTENTIAL FOR DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL. A LOT OF THE HI-
RES ARW/NMM/ARW INDICATE THERE COULD BE SOME OF THE ACTIVITY IN THE
N TO GRADUALLY MOVE E AND SOME ORGANIZED BOWS TO DEVELOP. THUS THIS
AREA COULD SEE THE BEST CHANCE FOR SEVERE WEATHER WITH SOME
SOME THREAT EXTENDING FURTHER S. ANOTHER THING TO NOTE IS WITH NEAR
RECORD LOW LEVEL TEMPS...EXPECT ANOTHER NEAR OR ABOVE RECORD HIGHS
TODAY. MODELS SEEM TO BE STRUGGLING SOMEWHAT WITH LOW LEVEL BOUNDARY
LAYER TEMPS...WHICH SEEMED TO BE THE CASE YESTERDAY WHERE WARM AND
HUMID BOUNDARY LAYER OUTWEIGHED ANY HEIGHT RISES THAT WERE
OCCURRING...WHICH LED TO SEVERE STORMS AND SOME WERE VERY EFFICIENT
HAIL PRODUCERS. WITH CLOCKWISE CURVING HODOGRAPHS AND MID/DEEP LAYER
SHEAR IN PLACE...COULD NOT RULE OUT A TORNADO BUT SEEING SURGES IN
HI-RES GUIDANCE AND FLOW SOMEWHAT PARALLEL TO BOUNDARY...EXPECT
WINDS/HAIL AND FLASH FLOODING TO BE MORE LIKELY. FLASH FLOODING COULD
DEFINITELY BE A CONCERN TODAY IN AS HI-RES NSSL WRF INDICATES SOME
PRETTY HIGH TOTALS IN N/NE MS AS MOISTURE FEEDS IN FROM THE S.

EXPECT ANOTHER HUMID NIGHT TONIGHT AS LOWS WILL NOT BE MUCH
DIFFERENT THAN THIS MORNING. RAIN CHANCES WILL SLOWLY LESSEN TONIGHT
BUT WITH MOISTURE STILL LINGERING AROUND...COULD NOT RULE OUT SOME
SHOWERS AND STORMS IN THE AREA OVERNIGHT. HEIGHTS WILL BE SOMEWHAT
STABLE TO POSSIBLY RISING SOME AND LOW/MID LEVEL TEMPS WILL BE
WARMING INTO TOMORROW SO EXPECT ANOTHER WARM AND POSSIBLY RECORD DAY
IN STORE AGAIN SATURDAY. LUCKILY STORM CHANCES WILL BE LESSENING AS
WARMING MID LEVEL TEMPS WILL LESSEN LAPSE RATES AND OVERALL
INSTABILITY. STILL AGAIN COULD NOT RULE OUT SOME STORMS MAYBE STRONG
BUT EXPECT ANY COVERAGE TO NOT BE NEARLY AS MUCH AS ON FRIDAY.

STRONG 597DM H5 UPPER RIDGE OVER THE ATLANTIC WILL SLOWLY FLATTEN
AND BUILD BACK NW AS THE LONGWAVE TROUGH OVER THE WRN CONUS
GRADUALLY BECOMES CUT OFF AS A STRONG UPPER JET CUTS OFF THE FLOW TO
THE DEVELOPING UPPER LOW TO THE S. THIS WILL HELP DEVELOP A CUTOFF
LOW OVER THE FAR SRN PLAINS SAT NIGHT INTO SUNDAY MORNING WHICH WILL
GRADUALLY INCREASE ISENTROPIC LIFT BACK AGAIN AND BEGIN SOME HEIGHT
FALLS IN THE AREA BEGINNING SUNDAY. THIS WILL HELP DEVELOP A LOW IN
SRN/CENTRAL TX AND STRONG BAROCLINIC ZONE TO OUR W WITH EXTREMELY
EFFICIENT RAINFALL RATES DUE TO ANOMALOUS MOISTURE AND FLOODING
ISSUES LIKELY IN THE OZARKS. OUR AREA WILL GRADUALLY BRING IN MORE
RAIN CHANCES IN THE WEST. WITH LESS LAPSE RATES...EXPECT SOME LIGHT
SHOWERS AND SOME THUNDERSTORMS IN OUR NW WITH SHOWERS ELSEWHERE. /DC/

.LONG TERM...SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...MAIN FOCUS IN THE LONG TERM
REMAINS THE POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE STORMS SUNDAY INTO MONDAY. SUNDAY
MORNING A LARGE CLOSED LOW WILL BE NEAR THE TEXAS BIG BEND REGION
WITH AN ASSOCIATED SURFACE LOW NEAR THE TEXAS/MEXICO BORDER. OUR CWA
WILL HAVE A SLIGHTLY DRIER AIRMASS EAST OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER BUT
PWATS WL POOL AROUND 1.80IN WEST OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER AHEAD OF
THE APPROACHING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM. BUFR SOUNDINGS INDICATE A
FAIRLY FORMIDABLE CAP OVER OUR CWA INTO THE EARLY AFTERNOON
WHICH SHOULD  LIMIT CONVECTION AND HELP TEMPERATURES WARM WELL ABOVE
NORMAL AGAIN. MOST SITES SHOULD REACH THE UPPER 70S. RAIN CHANCES
WILL INCREASE OVER OUR WEST SUNDAY AFTERNOON AS THE CLOSED LOW MOVES
EAST OVER CENTRAL TEXAS. A FEW STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS WILL BE
POSSIBLE OVER OUR WESTERN MOST ZONES BUT THE MAIN TIMING FOR SEVERE
STORMS IS EXPECTED SUNDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY MONDAY MORNING. THE
CLOSED LOW AND ITS ASSOCIATED SURFACE LOW ARE EXPECTED TO MOVE
NORTHEAST TO THE ARKLATEX REGION BY MONDAY MORNING THEN CONTINUE
NORTHEAST TO THE MIS MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY BY MONDAY EVENING.
THIS WILL SEND A STRONG COLD FRONT ACROSS OUR CWA SUNDAY NIGHT INTO
MONDAY MORNING. A SQUALL LINE IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP NEAR OR JUST
AHEAD OF THE APPROACHING COLD FRONT AND ENCOUNTER AN ENVIRONMENT
WITH MLCAPES AT LEAST 500-1000J/KG...0-6KM BULK SHEAR OF 45-50KTS
AND 0-3KM SREH AROUND 300M2/S2. DAMAGING WINDS LOOK TO BE THE
PRIMARY THREAT WITH A FEW TORNADOES AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL
POSSIBLE AS WELL. MODEL CONSENSUS SUGGESTS THE SEVERE WEATHER
POTENTIAL WILL END A LITTLE FASTER MONDAY THAN THE THINKING LAST
NIGHT. DRY SLOTTING SHOULD END MOST OF THE SIGNIFICANT RAIN BY NOON
MONDAY BUT LIGHT PCPN WL REMAIN POSSIBLE UNTIL THE CLOSED LOW MOVES
A LITTLE FARTHER NORTH MONDAY EVENING. COOLER AND MUCH DRIER AIR IS
EXPECTED TO BE BACK OVER OUR CWA TUESDAY. TUESDAY MORNING LOWS WILL
BE BACK IN THE 40S WITH HIGHS TUESDAY MOSTLY IN THE 50S. TUESDAY
WILL BE DRY AS THE CLOSED LOW SYSTEM TRACKS FARTHER NORTHEAST OF OUR
CWA BUT OUR WINDS ALOFT WILL BACK TO THE SOUTHWEST AHEAD OF A SECOND
CLOSED LOW SWINGING OVER THE DESERT SOUTHWEST. THE GFS AND ECMWF
ARE IN A LITTLE BETTER AGREEMENT AND OPEN THE LOW AND SWINGS A TROUGH
ACROSS THE CENTRAL CONUS WEDNESDAY. MOISTURE RETURN WILL BE
LIMITED WITH THIS TROUGH BUT BOTH MODELS GENERATE LIGHT QPF ACROSS
OUR REGION WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT. THURSDAY WILL BE COOL AND
DRY ACROSS OUR REGION. /22/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
JACKSON       80  70  80  69 /  53  43  22  23
MERIDIAN      79  69  78  68 /  37  35  23  26
VICKSBURG     80  69  81  69 /  60  45  23  23
HATTIESBURG   81  69  79  68 /  32  25  24  28
NATCHEZ       80  70  81  71 /  51  40  21  23
GREENVILLE    77  66  79  67 /  82  57  32  36
GREENWOOD     79  69  80  70 /  81  60  28  22

&&

.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...NONE.
LA...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

17/DC/22/7

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
235 PM CST FRI DEC 25 2015

ARZ074-075-LAZ007-MSZ018-019-025-026-034-262045-
ASHLEY-CHICOT-MOREHOUSE-BOLIVAR-SUNFLOWER-LEFLORE-GRENADA-
WASHINGTON-
235 PM CST FRI DEC 25 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE ARKLAMISS
DELTA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT AND SATURDAY

FLOODING
THREAT...ELEVATED
TIMING...THROUGH THIS EVENING

PERIODS OF HEAVY RAINFALL WILL RESULT IN FLASH FLOODING ACROSS PARTS
OF THE AREA. STORM TOTALS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER
AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 5 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE.

(WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=3)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 60
MPH AND A FEW TORNADOES ARE EXPECTED SUNDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY MONDAY.
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WHICH MAY RESULT IN FLASH FLOODING IS ALSO
POSSIBLE DURING THIS TIME PERIOD.

(WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=2)

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS MAY BE NEEDED FOR PORTIONS OF THE REGION SUNDAY
NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY.

MSZ027>033-035>039-262045-
CARROLL-MONTGOMERY-WEBSTER-CLAY-LOWNDES-CHOCTAW-OKTIBBEHA-
HUMPHREYS-HOLMES-ATTALA-WINSTON-NOXUBEE-
235 PM CST FRI DEC 25 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH CENTRAL AND NORTHEASTERN
PORTIONS OF CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT AND SATURDAY

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...LIMITED
TIMING...THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THIS AFTERNOON

FLOODING
THREAT...ELEVATED
TIMING...THROUGH THIS EVENING

SCATTERED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF
THE AFTERNOON. THE MAIN THREAT WITH THESE STORMS WILL BE DAMAGING
WIND GUSTS. PERIODS OF HEAVY RAINFALL WILL RESULT IN FLASH FLOODING
ACROSS PARTS OF THE AREA. STORM TOTALS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES WITH LOCALLY
HIGHER AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 5 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE.

(WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=1)
(WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=3)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 60
MPH AND A FEW TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE SUNDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY MONDAY.
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WHICH MAY RESULT IN FLASH FLOODING IS ALSO
POSSIBLE DURING THIS TIME PERIOD.

(WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=2)

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS MAY BE NEEDED FOR PORTIONS OF THE REGION REMAINDER
OF THE AFTERNOON AND SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY.

LAZ008-009-015-016-023>026-MSZ040>064-262045-
WEST CARROLL-EAST CARROLL-RICHLAND-MADISON LA-FRANKLIN LA-
CATAHOULA-TENSAS-CONCORDIA-ISSAQUENA-SHARKEY-YAZOO-MADISON MS-
LEAKE-NESHOBA-KEMPER-WARREN-HINDS-RANKIN-SCOTT-NEWTON-LAUDERDALE-
CLAIBORNE-COPIAH-SIMPSON-SMITH-JASPER-CLARKE-JEFFERSON-ADAMS-
FRANKLIN MS-LINCOLN-LAWRENCE-JEFFERSON DAVIS-
235 PM CST FRI DEC 25 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST
LOUISIANA AND CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT AND SATURDAY

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...LIMITED
TIMING...THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THIS AFTERNOON

FLOODING
THREAT...LIMITED
TIMING...THROUGH THIS EVENING

SCATTERED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF
THE AFTERNOON. THE MAIN THREAT WITH THESE STORMS WILL BE DAMAGING
WIND GUSTS. PERIODS OF HEAVY RAINFALL MAY RESULT IN LOCALIZED FLASH
FLOODING ACROSS THE AREA. STORM TOTALS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES WITH LOCALLY
HIGHER AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE.

(WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=1)
(WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=3)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 60
MPH AND A FEW TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE SUNDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY MONDAY,
ESPECIALLY ACROSS NORTHEAST LOUISIANA AND WEST MISSISSIPPI. LOCALLY
HEAVY RAINFALL WHICH MAY RESULT IN FLASH FLOODING IS ALSO POSSIBLE
DURING THIS TIME PERIOD.

(WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=2)

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS MAY BE NEEDED FOR PORTIONS OF THE REGION REMAINDER
OF THE AFTERNOON AND SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY.

MSZ065-262045-
COVINGTON-
235 PM CST FRI DEC 25 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR COVINGTON COUNTY.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT AND SATURDAY

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...LIMITED
TIMING...THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THIS AFTERNOON

FLOODING
THREAT...LIMITED
TIMING...THROUGH THIS EVENING

SCATTERED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF
THE AFTERNOON. THE MAIN THREAT WITH THESE STORMS WILL BE DAMAGING
WIND GUSTS. PERIODS OF HEAVY RAINFALL MAY RESULT IN LOCALIZED FLASH
FLOODING ACROSS THE AREA. STORM TOTALS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES WITH LOCALLY
HIGHER AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE.

(WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=1)
(WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=3)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 60
MPH AND A FEW TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE SUNDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY MONDAY.
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WHICH MAY RESULT IN FLASH FLOODING IS ALSO
POSSIBLE DURING THIS TIME PERIOD.

(WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=2)

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS MAY BE NEEDED FOR PORTIONS OF THE REGION SUNDAY
NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY.

MSZ066-072>074-262045-
JONES-MARION-LAMAR-FORREST-
235 PM CST FRI DEC 25 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
MISSISSIPPI...AND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT AND SATURDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 60
MPH AND A FEW TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE SUNDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY MONDAY.
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WHICH MAY RESULT IN FLASH FLOODING IS ALSO
POSSIBLE DURING THIS TIME PERIOD.

(WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=2)

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS MAY BE NEEDED FOR PORTIONS OF THE REGION SUNDAY
NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY.

DL

&&

...HAZARD LEGEND...

*FLOODING*
EXTREME...CONFIDENT IN SIGNIFICANT FLOODING.
SIGNIFICANT...SIGNIFICANT FLOODING POSSIBLE.
ELEVATED...CONFIDENT IN FLOODING.
LIMITED...FLOODING POSSIBLE.

*SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS*
EXTREME...CONFIDENT IN SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH WIND GUSTS OF
 75 MPH OR GREATER AND/OR 2 INCH DIAMETER OR LARGER HAIL.
SIGNIFICANT...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE WITH WIND GUSTS OF
 75 MPH OR GREATER AND/OR 2 INCH DIAMETER OR LARGER HAIL.
ELEVATED...CONFIDENT IN SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH WINDS GUSTS OF
 60 MPH OR GREATER AND/OR 1 INCH DIAMETER OR LARGER HAIL.
LIMITED...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE WITH WIND GUSTS OF 60
 MPH OR GREATER AND/OR 1 INCH DIAMETER OR LARGER HAIL.

...USEFUL WEATHER WEB PAGES (URLS)...

NWS JAN HOME PAGE...
   WWW.WEATHER.GOV/JAN
STAY AWARE, STAY SAFE NWS JAN BRIEFING PAGE...
   WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/JAN/?N=SAFE
FIND NWS JAN ON FACEBOOK...
   WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSJACKSONMS
FOLLOW NWS JAN ON TWITTER...
   @NWSJACKSONMS

...ADDITIONAL URLS FOR SEVERE WEATHER ISSUES...

STORM PREDICTION CENTER (SPC)...
   WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/
SPC...MESO ANALYSIS...
   WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/EXPER/MESOANALYSIS/NEW/#
SPC...DAY 1 THROUGH 3 OUTLOOKS...
   WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/PRODUCTS/OUTLOOK/
SPC...STORM REPORTS...
   WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/CLIMO/
NWS JAN CURRENT SVR/TOR WATCHES...
   WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/RTIMAGES/JAN/WATCH/TOASVA.PNG

   PLEASE CONVERT ALL WEB ADDRESSES TO LOWER CASE BEFORE ENTERING!

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
105 PM CST FRI DEC 25 2015

MSZ037-251930-
ATTALA MS-
105 PM CST FRI DEC 25 2015

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT SOUTHEASTERN ATTALA COUNTY UNTIL
130 PM CST...

AT 104 PM CST...METEOROLOGISTS WERE TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM
NEAR SMYRNA...OR NEAR KOSCIUSKO...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH.

HALF INCH HAIL AND WINDS IN EXCESS OF 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

THIS STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  ZAMA AROUND 115 PM CST.

OTHER LOCATIONS IMPACTED BY THIS STORM INCLUDE ETHEL AND MCCOOL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.

HIGH WINDS CAN BRING DOWN TREES AND LARGE LIMBS RESULTING IN SERIOUS
INJURY OR PROPERTY DAMAGE. EXERCISE EXTREME CAUTION WHEN OUTDOORS
DURING SUCH STRONG WINDS...AND BE ESPECIALLY AWARE OF OLDER TREES.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 15 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE
SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.

THIS STORM MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO AND
TV STATIONS...AS WELL AS LOCAL CABLE TV OUTLETS...FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

&&

LAT...LON 3298 8932 3293 8942 3293 8960 3302 8967
      3326 8932
TIME...MOT...LOC 1904Z 235DEG 31KT 3300 8954

BYB

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
152 PM CST FRI DEC 25 2015

MSZ048-049-252015-
HINDS MS-RANKIN MS-
152 PM CST FRI DEC 25 2015

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT SOUTHWESTERN RANKIN AND
SOUTHEASTERN HINDS COUNTIES UNTIL 215 PM CST...

AT 152 PM CST...METEOROLOGISTS WERE TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM
NEAR TERRY...OR 7 MILES NORTH OF CRYSTAL SPRINGS...MOVING NORTHEAST
AT 30 MPH.

WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

THIS STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  TERRY AROUND 200 PM CST.
  JACKSON AROUND 205 PM CST.
  BYRAM AND WHITES AROUND 210 PM CST.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.

&&

LAT...LON 3213 9046 3227 9032 3210 9010 3205 9022
      3205 9044
TIME...MOT...LOC 1952Z 236DEG 26KT 3210 9037

CME

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
235 PM CST FRI DEC 25 2015

MSZ036-037-042-043-252100-
ATTALA MS-HOLMES MS-MADISON MS-YAZOO MS-
235 PM CST FRI DEC 25 2015

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT EAST CENTRAL YAZOO...
SOUTHWESTERN ATTALA...NORTHEASTERN MADISON AND SOUTH CENTRAL HOLMES
COUNTIES UNTIL 300 PM CST...

AT 235 PM CST...METEOROLOGISTS WERE TRACKING A LINE OF STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM NEAR PICKENS TO NEAR WAY...
AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH.

WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR...
  NEWPORT AROUND 250 PM CST.
  PICKENS AROUND 255 PM CST.
  CAMERON AROUND 300 PM CST.

OTHER LOCATIONS IMPACTED BY THESE STORMS INCLUDE SALLIS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS...AND MAY
LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.

&&

LAT...LON 3306 8968 3275 8984 3267 9023 3285 9020
TIME...MOT...LOC 2035Z 233DEG 30KT 3290 8990 3276 9011

CME

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
301 PM CST FRI DEC 25 2015

MSZ036-037-252130-
ATTALA MS-HOLMES MS-
301 PM CST FRI DEC 25 2015

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT NORTHWESTERN ATTALA AND EAST
CENTRAL HOLMES COUNTIES UNTIL 330 PM CST...

AT 301 PM CST...METEOROLOGISTS WERE TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM
NEAR MCMILLAN...OR NEAR DURANT...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH.

WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

THIS STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  DURANT AROUND 305 PM CST.
  BOWLING GREEN AROUND 310 PM CST.
  POSSUMNECK AROUND 315 PM CST.

OTHER LOCATIONS IMPACTED BY THIS STORM INCLUDE WEST.

LAT...LON 3320 8965 3301 8984 3303 9008 3324 8993
      3324 8984 3321 8974
TIME...MOT...LOC 2101Z 214DEG 37KT 3305 8993

CME

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
319 PM CST FRI DEC 25 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0234 PM     TSTM WND DMG     3 NW COLUMBUS           33.53N 88.44W
12/25/2015                   LOWNDES            MS   911 CALL CENTER

            DOWNED POWER LINES ON THE NORTH SIDE OF COLUMBUS

&&

DL

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
340 PM CST FRI DEC 25 2015

MSZ050-051-055>057-252215-
JASPER MS-SIMPSON MS-NEWTON MS-SMITH MS-SCOTT MS-
340 PM CST FRI DEC 25 2015

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT SOUTHWESTERN NEWTON...
SOUTHEASTERN SCOTT...EAST CENTRAL SIMPSON...NORTHWESTERN JASPER AND
CENTRAL SMITH COUNTIES UNTIL 415 PM CST...

AT 340 PM CST...METEOROLOGISTS WERE TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM
NEAR BURNS...OR 16 MILES SOUTH OF FOREST...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 40
MPH.

HALF INCH HAIL AND WINDS IN EXCESS OF 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

THIS STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  PINEVILLE AROUND 345 PM CST.
  ROBERTS AROUND 405 PM CST.
  LAWRENCE AROUND 410 PM CST.

OTHER LOCATIONS IMPACTED BY THIS STORM INCLUDE LOUIN...MONTROSE AND
SYLVARENA.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.

&&

LAT...LON 3188 8973 3215 8961 3238 8924 3199 8913
TIME...MOT...LOC 2140Z 241DEG 34KT 3211 8948

GRG