Alert archive / Mississippi / River Flood Warnings in 2015
River Flood Warning 80, NWS Jackson, MS
NWS Jackson, MS issued this river flood warning at Dec 26, 2015, 10:33 AM CST for Clay County, Mississippi. It took effect at Dec 27, 2015, 9:30 AM CST. It was in force for 3 days.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Dec 26, 2015, 10:33 AM CST (16:33 UTC)
- In effect from
- Dec 27, 2015, 9:30 AM CST
- Expired
- Dec 30, 2015, 10:26 AM CST
- In force
- 3 days
- Issued by
- NWS Jackson, MS
- Area
- Storm-based polygon
- Flood severity
- Minor
County Clay County, MS
The radar
The Columbus AFB radar (KGWX), 46 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 16:33 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The river
Written for the forecast point Tibbee Creek near Tibbee (TBBM6).
- Action stage
- 20 ft
- Minor stage
- 23 ft
- Moderate stage
- 28 ft
- Major stage
- 30 ft
This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests
Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 02441000, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
896
WGUS44 KJAN 261633
FLWJAN
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
1033 AM CST SAT DEC 26 2015
...The National Weather Service in Jackson has issued a Flood Warning
for the following rivers in Mississippi...
Tibbee Creek Near Tibbee affecting Clay County
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't
drown!
Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is
forecast to occur. Routine 12 hours of forecast rainfall is used for
most sites. Routine 48 hours of forecast rainfall is used on Tibbee
Creek...Luxapallila Creek...Noxubee River...and the Tombigbee River.
Additional information is available at:
http://ahps.srh.noaa.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=jan
The next regularly scheduled update is expected tonight between 8 and
10 PM.
&&
MSC025-272233-
/O.NEW.KJAN.FL.W.0080.151227T2200Z-151229T0300Z/
/TBBM6.1.ER.151227T2200Z.151228T0600Z.151228T2100Z.NO/
1033 AM CST SAT DEC 26 2015
The National Weather Service in Jackson has issued a
* Flood Warning for
The Tibbee Creek Near Tibbee
* from Sunday afternoon to Monday evening.
* At 9:30 AM Saturday the stage was 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 23.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage by tomorrow
afternoon and will continue to rise to near 23.8 feet by early
Monday morning.
* Impact...At 23.5 feet...Flood water is covering the gravel road
south of West Point that leads to the Tibbee Creek bridge near
Tibbee.
* Impact...At 23.0 feet...Flooding in low areas on the left bank is
occurring.
&&
Flood Observed Forecast 7 AM Crest
Location Stg Stg Day Time Sun Mon Tue Crest Time Date
Tibbee Creek
Tibbee 23 15.0 Sat 09 AM 20.9 23.6 20.5 23.8 12 AM 12/28
&&
LAT...LON 3352 8851 3352 8863 3356 8880 3365 8871
3359 8861 3357 8853
$$10 follow-up statements
940
WGUS84 KJAN 270119
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
719 PM CST SAT DEC 26 2015
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Mississippi...
Tibbee Creek Near Tibbee affecting Clay County
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't
drown!
Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is
forecast to occur. Routine 12 hours of forecast rainfall is used for
most sites. Routine 48 hours of forecast rainfall is used on Tibbee
Creek...Luxapallila Creek...Noxubee River...and the Tombigbee River.
The next regularly scheduled update is expected between 8 and 10 AM.
&&
MSC025-280719-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0080.151227T2230Z-151229T1500Z/
/TBBM6.1.ER.151227T2230Z.151228T0600Z.151229T0900Z.NO/
719 PM CST SAT DEC 26 2015
...Flood Warning extended until Tuesday morning...
The Flood Warning continues for
The Tibbee Creek Near Tibbee
* from Sunday afternoon to Tuesday morning.
* At 6:30 PM Saturday the stage was 16.4 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 23.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage by tomorrow
afternoon and will continue to rise to near 23.8 feet by early
Monday morning.
* Impact...At 23.5 feet...Flood water is covering the gravel road
south of West Point that leads to the Tibbee Creek bridge near
Tibbee.
* Impact...At 23.0 feet...Flooding in low areas on the left bank is
occurring.
&&
Flood Observed Forecast 7 AM Crest
Location Stg Stg Day Time Sun Mon Tue Crest Time Date
Tibbee Creek
Tibbee 23 16.4 Sat 06 PM 20.9 23.6 22.9 23.8 12 AM 12/28
&&
LAT...LON 3352 8851 3352 8863 3356 8880 3365 8871
3359 8861 3357 8853
$$653
WGUS84 KJAN 271534
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
934 AM CST SUN DEC 27 2015
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in
Mississippi...
Tibbee Creek Near Tibbee affecting Clay County
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't
drown!
Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is
forecast to occur. Routine 12 hours of forecast rainfall is used for
most sites. Routine 48 hours of forecast rainfall is used on Tibbee
Creek...Luxapallila Creek...Noxubee River...and the Tombigbee River.
Additional information is available at:
http://ahps.srh.noaa.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=jan
The next regularly scheduled update is expected tonight between 8 and
10 PM.
&&
MSC025-282134-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0080.151227T1530Z-151229T1500Z/
/TBBM6.1.ER.151227T1239Z.151228T0600Z.151229T0900Z.NO/
934 AM CST SUN DEC 27 2015
The Flood Warning continues for
The Tibbee Creek Near Tibbee
* from this morning to Tuesday morning.
* At 8:30 AM Sunday the stage was 23.7 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 23.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 23.8 feet just
after midnight tonight.
* Impact...At 23.5 feet...Flood water is covering the gravel road
south of West Point that leads to the Tibbee Creek bridge near
Tibbee.
&&
Flood Observed Forecast 7 AM Crest
Location Stg Stg Day Time Mon Tue Wed Crest Time Date
Tibbee Creek
Tibbee 23 23.7 Sun 08 AM 23.6 22.9 21.6 23.8 12 AM 12/28
&&
LAT...LON 3352 8851 3352 8863 3356 8880 3365 8871
3359 8861 3357 8853
$$685
WGUS44 KJAN 271538
FLWJAN
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
938 AM CST SUN DEC 27 2015
Tibbee Creek Near Tibbee affecting Clay County
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't
drown!
Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is
forecast to occur. Routine 12 hours of forecast rainfall is used for
most sites. Routine 48 hours of forecast rainfall is used on Tibbee
Creek...Luxapallila Creek...Noxubee River...and the Tombigbee River.
Additional information is available at:
http://ahps.srh.noaa.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=jan
The next regularly scheduled update is expected tonight between 8 and
10 PM.
&&
MSC025-282138-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0080.000000T0000Z-151230T0300Z/
/TBBM6.1.ER.151227T1239Z.151228T0600Z.151229T2100Z.NO/
938 AM CST SUN DEC 27 2015
The Flood Warning continues for
The Tibbee Creek Near Tibbee.
* until Tuesday evening.
* At 8:30 AM Sunday the stage was 23.7 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 23.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 26.5 feet just
after midnight.
* Impact...At 23.5 feet...Flood water is covering the gravel road
south of West Point that leads to the Tibbee Creek bridge near
Tibbee.
&&
Flood Observed Forecast 7 AM Crest
Location Stg Stg Day Time Mon Tue Wed Crest Time Date
Tibbee Creek
Tibbee 23 23.7 Sun 08 AM 25.9 23.6 21.9 26.5 12 AM 12/28
&&
LAT...LON 3352 8851 3352 8863 3356 8880 3365 8871
3359 8861 3357 8853
$$357
WGUS84 KJAN 271541
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
941 AM CST SUN DEC 27 2015
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in
Mississippi..
Tibbee Creek Near Tibbee affecting Clay County
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't
drown!
Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is
forecast to occur. Routine 12 hours of forecast rainfall is used for
most sites. Routine 48 hours of forecast rainfall is used on Tibbee
Creek...Luxapallila Creek...Noxubee River...and the Tombigbee River.
Additional information is available at:
http://ahps.srh.noaa.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=jan
The next regularly scheduled update is expected tonight between 8 and
10 PM.
&&
MSC025-282141-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0080.000000T0000Z-151230T0300Z/
/TBBM6.1.ER.151227T1239Z.151228T0600Z.151229T2100Z.NO/
941 AM CST SUN DEC 27 2015
The Flood Warning continues for
The Tibbee Creek Near Tibbee
* until Tuesday evening.
* At 8:30 AM Sunday the stage was 23.7 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 23.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 26.5 feet just
after midnight tonight.
* Impact...At 26.0 feet...Low land and agriculture land near the creek
is flooded.
* Impact...At 23.5 feet...Flood water is covering the gravel road
south of West Point that leads to the Tibbee Creek bridge near
Tibbee.
&&
Flood Observed Forecast 7 AM Crest
Location Stg Stg Day Time Mon Tue Wed Crest Time Date
Tibbee Creek
Tibbee 23 23.7 Sun 08 AM 25.9 23.6 21.9 26.5 12 AM 12/28
&&
LAT...LON 3352 8851 3352 8863 3356 8880 3365 8871
3359 8861 3357 8853
$$007
WGUS84 KJAN 280146
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
746 PM CST SUN DEC 27 2015
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Mississippi...
Tibbee Creek Near Tibbee affecting Clay County
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't
drown!
Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is
forecast to occur. Routine 12 hours of forecast rainfall is used for
most sites. Routine 48 hours of forecast rainfall is used on Tibbee
Creek...Luxapallila Creek...Noxubee River...and the Tombigbee River.
The next regularly scheduled update is expected between 8 and 10 AM.
&&
MSC025-290746-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0080.000000T0000Z-151230T0142Z/
/TBBM6.1.ER.151227T1239Z.151228T0130Z.151229T1942Z.NO/
746 PM CST SUN DEC 27 2015
The Flood Warning continues for
The Tibbee Creek Near Tibbee
* until Tuesday evening.
* At 7:30 PM Sunday the stage was 27.1 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 23.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue falling and will fall below
flood stage by early Tuesday afternoon.
* Impact...At 26.0 feet...Low land and agriculture land near the creek
is flooded.
* Impact...At 23.5 feet...Flood water is covering the gravel road
south of West Point that leads to the Tibbee Creek bridge near
Tibbee.
* Impact...At 23.0 feet...Flooding in low areas on the left bank is
occurring.
&&
Flood Observed Forecast 7 AM Crest
Location Stg Stg Day Time Mon Tue Wed Crest Time Date
Tibbee Creek
Tibbee 23 27.1 Sun 07 PM 26.2 23.7 21.9 Falling
&&
LAT...LON 3352 8851 3352 8863 3356 8880 3365 8871
3359 8861 3357 8853
$$639
WGUS84 KJAN 281602
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
1002 AM CST MON DEC 28 2015
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in
Mississippi...
Tibbee Creek Near Tibbee affecting Clay County
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't
drown!
Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is
forecast to occur. Routine 12 hours of forecast rainfall is used for
most sites. Routine 48 hours of forecast rainfall is used on Tibbee
Creek...Luxapallila Creek...Noxubee River...and the Tombigbee River.
Additional information is available at:
http://ahps.srh.noaa.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=jan
The next regularly scheduled update is expected tonight between 8 and
10 PM.
&&
MSC025-292202-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0080.000000T0000Z-151231T2100Z/
/TBBM6.1.ER.151227T1239Z.151228T0445Z.151231T1500Z.NO/
1002 AM CST MON DEC 28 2015
...Flood Warning extended until Thursday afternoon...
The Flood Warning continues for
The Tibbee Creek Near Tibbee
* until Thursday afternoon.
* At 9:30 AM Monday the stage was 26.9 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 23.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue falling to below flood stage
by late Thursday morning.
* Impact...At 26.0 feet...Low land and agriculture land near the creek
is flooded.
* Impact...At 23.5 feet...Flood water is covering the gravel road
south of West Point that leads to the Tibbee Creek bridge near
Tibbee.
&&
Flood Observed Forecast 7 AM Crest
Location Stg Stg Day Time Tue Wed Thu Crest Time Date
Tibbee Creek
Tibbee 23 26.9 Mon 09 AM 25.2 25.2 23.1 Falling
&&
LAT...LON 3352 8851 3352 8863 3356 8880 3365 8871
3359 8861 3357 8853
$$512
WGUS84 KJAN 290335
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
935 PM CST MON DEC 28 2015
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in
Mississippi...
Tibbee Creek Near Tibbee affecting Clay County
Luxapallila Creek Near Columbus affecting Lowndes County
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't
drown!
Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is
forecast to occur. Routine 12 hours of forecast rainfall is used for
most sites. Routine 48 hours of forecast rainfall is used on Tibbee
Creek...Luxapallila Creek...Noxubee River...and the Tombigbee River.
The next regularly scheduled update is expected between 8 and 10 AM.
&&
MSC025-300935-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0080.000000T0000Z-151231T1912Z/
/TBBM6.1.ER.151227T1239Z.151228T0445Z.151231T1312Z.NO/
935 PM CST MON DEC 28 2015
The Flood Warning continues for
The Tibbee Creek Near Tibbee
* until Thursday afternoon.
* At 8:30 PM Monday the stage was 26.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 23.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue falling and will fall below
flood stage by Thursday morning.
* Impact...At 26.0 feet...Low land and agriculture land near the creek
is flooded.
* Impact...At 23.5 feet...Flood water is covering the gravel road
south of West Point that leads to the Tibbee Creek bridge near
Tibbee.
* Impact...At 23.0 feet...Flooding in low areas on the left bank is
occurring.
&&
Flood Observed Forecast 7 AM Crest
Location Stg Stg Day Time Tue Wed Thu Crest Time Date
Tibbee Creek
Tibbee 23 26.0 Mon 08 PM 25.4 25.6 23.1 Falling
&&
LAT...LON 3352 8851 3352 8863 3356 8880 3365 8871
3359 8861 3357 8853
$$
MSC087-291200-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0085.000000T0000Z-151229T1200Z/
/CLUM6.1.ER.151228T0900Z.151228T2000Z.151229T0600Z.NO/
935 PM CST MON DEC 28 2015
The Flood Warning continues for
The Luxapallila Creek Near Columbus
* until Tuesday morning.
* At 9:00 PM Monday the stage was 15.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue falling and will fall below
flood stage by just after midnight tonight.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet...Overbank flooding is occurring in the steens
area.
* Impact...At 14.0 feet...Overbank flooding begins in low lying areas
north of columbus.
&&
Flood Observed Forecast 7 AM Crest
Location Stg Stg Day Time Tue Wed Thu Crest Time Date
Luxapallila Creek
Columbus 15 15.3 Mon 09 PM 14.0 10.6 10.4 Falling
&&
LAT...LON 3349 8843 3356 8840 3364 8826 3350 8828
3350 8836 3345 8842
$$251
WGUS84 KJAN 291816
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
1216 PM CST TUE DEC 29 2015
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in
Mississippi...
Tibbee Creek Near Tibbee affecting Clay County
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't
drown!
Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is
forecast to occur. Routine 48 hours of forecast rainfall is used on
Tibbee Creek...Luxapallila Creek...Noxubee River...and the Tombigbee
River.
Additional information is available at:
http://ahps.srh.noaa.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=jan
The next regularly scheduled update is expected tonight between 8 and
10 PM.
&&
MSC025-310016-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0080.000000T0000Z-151231T2100Z/
/TBBM6.1.ER.151227T1239Z.151228T0445Z.151231T1500Z.NO/
1216 PM CST TUE DEC 29 2015
...Flood Warning extended until Thursday afternoon...
The Flood Warning continues for
The Tibbee Creek Near Tibbee
* until Thursday afternoon.
* At 11:30 AM Tuesday the stage was 24.7 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 23.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 25.6 feet by just
after midnight tonight.
&&
Flood Observed Forecast 7 AM Crest
Location Stg Stg Day Time Wed Thu Fri Crest Time Date
Tibbee Creek
Tibbee 23 24.7 Tue 11 AM 25.5 23.3 19.4 25.6 12 AM 12/30
&&
LAT...LON 3352 8851 3352 8863 3356 8880 3365 8871
3359 8861 3357 8853
$$432
WGUS84 KJAN 300307
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
907 PM CST TUE DEC 29 2015
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in
Mississippi...
Tibbee Creek Near Tibbee affecting Clay County
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't
drown!
Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is
forecast to occur. Routine 12 hours of forecast rainfall is used for
most sites. Routine 48 hours of forecast rainfall is used on Tibbee
Creek...Luxapallila Creek...Noxubee River...and the Tombigbee River.
The next regularly scheduled update is expected between 8 and 10 AM.
&&
MSC025-310200-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0080.000000T0000Z-151231T0200Z/
/TBBM6.1.ER.151227T1239Z.151228T0445Z.151230T2000Z.NO/
907 PM CST TUE DEC 29 2015
The Flood Warning continues for
The Tibbee Creek Near Tibbee
* until Wednesday evening.
* At 8:30 PM Tuesday the stage was 23.8 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 23.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue falling and will fall below
flood stage by early tomorrow afternoon.
* Impact...At 23.5 feet...Flood water is covering the gravel road
south of West Point that leads to the Tibbee Creek bridge near
Tibbee.
* Impact...At 23.0 feet...Flooding in low areas on the left bank is
occurring.
&&
Flood Observed Forecast 7 AM Crest
Location Stg Stg Day Time Wed Thu Fri Crest Time Date
Tibbee Creek
Tibbee 23 23.8 Tue 08 PM 23.3 22.2 19.4 Falling
&&
LAT...LON 3352 8851 3352 8863 3356 8880 3365 8871
3359 8861 3357 8853
$$173
WGUS84 KJAN 301626
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
1026 AM CST WED DEC 30 2015
...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers
in Mississippi...
Tibbee Creek Near Tibbee affecting Clay County
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't
drown!
Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is
forecast to occur. Routine 12 hours of forecast rainfall is used for
most sites. Routine 48 hours of forecast rainfall is used on Tibbee
Creek...Luxapallila Creek...Noxubee River...and the Tombigbee River.
Additional information is available at:
http://ahps.srh.noaa.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=jan
The next regularly scheduled update is expected tonight between 8 and
10 PM.
&&
MSC025-301656-
/O.CAN.KJAN.FL.W.0080.000000T0000Z-151231T0200Z/
/TBBM6.1.ER.151227T1239Z.151228T0445Z.151230T1046Z.NO/
1026 AM CST WED DEC 30 2015
The Flood Warning is cancelled for
The Tibbee Creek Near Tibbee.
* At 9:30 AM Wednesday the stage was 22.5 feet.
* The river fell below flood stage at 4:46 AM Wednesday.
* Flood stage is 23.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to 18.6 feet by tomorrow
morning.
&&
Flood Observed Forecast 7 AM Crest
Location Stg Stg Day Time Thu Fri Sat Crest Time Date
Tibbee Creek
Tibbee 23 22.5 Wed 09 AM 18.6 16.6 14.1 Falling
&&
LAT...LON 3352 8851 3352 8863 3356 8880 3365 8871
3359 8861 3357 8853
$$What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Jackson, MS wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Dec 26, 10:03 AM CST, 30 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Dec 26, 10:03 AM CST, 30 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS 1000 AM CST DEC 26 2015 .UPDATE...LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY AND 12Z UPPER PLOTS SHOWS AN UPPER TROUGH AXIS NEAR THE FOUR CORNERS REGION WITH A LOW TO MID LEVEL CLOSED LOW. THIS FEATURE WAS BRINGING DEEP S-SW FLOW OVER THE ARKLAMISS REGION. OUR MILD TROPICAL AIRMASS CONTINUED OVER THE REGION WITH READINGS IN THE LOWER TO MIDDLE 70S WITH 60S TO LOWER 70S DEWPOINTS. AREA 12Z SNDGS SHOWED A MIDLEVEL CAP ACROSS THE REGION...WHICH WILL HINDER OUR SHOWER CHANCES FOR TODAY. WE MAY GET A FEW WARM ADVECTION CONVECTIVE SHOWERS. SHORT TERM CONVECTIVE ALLOWING GUIDANCE SHOWS A RATHER QUIET DAY ACROSS THE REGION. SO WITH THIS IN MIND WILL KEEP CURRENT LOW POPS ACROSS THE AREA. WILL KEEP CURRENT HIGHS FROM THE UPPER 70S TO THE LOWER 80S...WHICH SPELLS ANOTHER DAY OF SOME POSSIBLE RECORD BREAKING HIGHS. .CLIMATE...CURRENT RECORDS FOR TODAY GREENVILLE...76 IN 1922 GREENWOOD....75 IN 2008 VICKSBURG....81 IN 1982 JACKSON......78 IN 1971 MERIDIAN.....77 IN 1982 HATTIESBURG..81 IN 1964 && .AVIATION...CONDITIONS WERE IMPROVING AT MOST SITES WITH GENERALLY SCATTERED LOW CLOUDS BELOW 3000 FEET. RAIN CHANCES WERE SMALL ACROSS THE AREA...SO WILL LEAVE RAIN OUT OF THE FORECAST. WINDS WERE STILL EXPECTED TO INCREASE WITH A FEW LOCATIONS GUSTING TO NEAR 20. WILL BRING IN FOG/STRATUS AGAIN TONIGHT. LOOKS LIKE MOST AREAS WILL HAVE VFR CONDITIONS FROM 18Z-6Z. && ./PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...509 AM CST SAT DEC 26 2015 ...ACTIVE AND WARM PATTERN PERSISTS THROUGH THE SHORT TERM... .SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...THE STALLED FRONTAL BOUNDARY WHICH HELPED PERSIST LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE AREA INTO THE EVENING HOURS IS FINALLY LIFTING BACK TO OUR NORTH...RAPIDLY FOCUSING SHOWERS AND STORMS TO THE NORTH AS WELL. THAT SAID...A SOUTHERLY TROPICAL MOISTURE FEED WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TOMORROW WHICH COULD INTERMITTENTLY INSTIGATE ISOLATED CONVECTION ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH MIDDAY TOMORROW. MOST OF THIS ACTIVITY SHOULD BE QUITE TRIVIAL...BUT IN SOUTHERN AND FAR EASTERN ZONES TODAY INTO THIS EVENING THERE IS SOME POTENTIAL FOR A FEW VERY ISOLATED AND LOCALIZED POCKETS OF ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAIN. FOR NOW THE RISK FOR CREATING ISSUES IS CONSIDERING VERY MARGINAL AND THUS WILL BE LEFT OUT OF THE HWO. OTHERWISE FOR TODAY...EXPECT LOWS TO LOWER STRATUS CLOUDS AROUND AND ANY SUNNY BREAKS DURING THE MIDDAY TO AFTERNOON HOURS WILL HAVE A TENDENCY TO FILL IN WITH LOTS OF CU RELATIVELY QUICKLY. BUT DESPITE THE LIMITED INSOLATION TEMPERATURES WILL BE ABLE TO MAKE IT TO 80 DEGREES IN SOME AREAS (WHICH IS NOT A GREAT FEAT CONSIDERING MANY SPOTS WILL BE STARTING OFF THIS MORNING IN THE LOWER 70S). NEEDLESS TO SAY...A FEW RECORD HIGHS COULD BE TIED OR SET. TONIGHT WILL BE EXTREMELY WARM AND MUGGY AS WELL WITH LOWS RANGING FROM THE UPPER 60S TO AROUND 70 DEGREES. AFTER THE BRIEF RESPITE...EXPECT WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND STORMS TO RETURN LATE SUNDAY INTO SUNDAY NIGHT. MOST AREAS (AT LEAST EAST OF THE MS RIVER) WILL STILL MANAGE TO SNEAK OUT ANOTHER WARM AND BREEZY (YET RATHER UNEVENTFUL) LARGE PORTION OF THE DAY...BUT A SIGNIFICANT PROGRESSIVE UPPER LOW WILL BE HEADING OUR WAY FROM THE BIG BEND OF TX BY AFTERNOON. THERE STILL REMAINS SOME TIMING AND LOCATION DIFFERENCES WITH REGARD TO THE MOVEMENT OF THIS UPPER LOW...BUT THE BIG PICTURE CONSENSUS IS PRETTY HIGH. HEIGHT FALLS ASSOCIATED WITH THE INCOMING UPPER LOW (AND LIFT ALSO TIED TO THE STRENGTHENING SURFACE LOW NEAR THE ARKLATEX) SHOULD START TO INSTIGATE SHOWERS AND AT LEAST A FEW STORMS OVER CENTRAL AND WESTERN ZONES IN THE AFTERNOON TO EARLY EVENING. CURRENT INDICATIONS ARE THAT THIS PRE- FRONTAL ACTIVITY SHOULD NOT HAVE ALL THE INGREDIENTS NECESSARY TO PRODUCE SEVERE WEATHER. HOWEVER...THAT CANNOT BE SAID FOR A SQUALL LINE EXPECTED TO BLAST INTO THE REGION FROM THE WEST IN THE EVENING AND INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. PRECEDING THAT FEATURE SHOULD BE AN ENVIRONMENT CONTAINING 500-1000 J/KG OF MLCAPE AND PLENTY OF DEEP AND LOW LEVEL SHEAR TO BE CONCERNED ABOUT FOR DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND EMBEDDED TORNADOES. CURRENTLY THIS SEVERE WEATHER RISK IS EXPECTED TO BE GREATEST IN WESTERN ZONES AND LINES UP WELL WITH THE PREVIOUSLY INTRODUCED ELEVATED RISK OF SEVERE STORMS IN THOSE AREAS. FORTUNATELY...ALTHOUGH SOME HEAVY RAIN IS EXPECTED WITH THIS ACTIVITY...THE RELATIVELY QUICK SYSTEM MOVEMENT SHOULD HELP LIMIT THE POTENTIAL FOR ADDITIONAL FLOODING PROBLEMS IN OUR NECK OF THE WOODS. AS MENTIONED ABOVE...DETAILS OF TIMING REMAIN A LITTLE UNCERTAIN REGARDING THIS POTENTIAL EVENT...AND IT IS POSSIBLE ACTIVE WEATHER MAY HOLD OFF AFFECTING PORTIONS OF EASTERN MS UNTIL AFTER DAYBREAK MONDAY. ANOTHER UNCERTAINTY THAT REMAINS IS WHETHER SIGNIFICANT SEVERE WEATHER WILL MANIFEST IN AT LEAST WESTERN ZONES AS SOME INGREDIENTS NECESSARY TO PRODUCE A DAMAGING DERECHO WILL BE IN PLACE. OWING TO THIS UNCERTAINTY WE WILL REFRAIN FROM ADVERTISING SIGNIFICANT SEVERE WEATHER IN THE HWO AT THIS TIME...BUT STILL MAY HAVE TO INCLUDE IT IN FUTURE UPDATES. /BB/ MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY... AS DISCUSSED ABOVE...GENERAL CONSENSUS IS THAT THE SQUALL LINE MAY BE ON-GOING OVER PORTIONS OF THE ARKLAMISS MONDAY MORNING...AND WE HAVE THUS FOLLOWED HIGHER GUIDANCE POPS. EXPECT THE COLD FRONT AND ASSOCIATED SQUALL LINE TO PUSH EAST OF THE AREA MONDAY AFTERNOON... AND THIS "SHOULD" BE FOLLOWED BY DRIER WEATHER AND MORE SEASONABLE TEMPERATURES AS WE GO THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK. HOWEVER...WITH THE BAROCLINIC ZONE HANGING UP JUST TO OUR SOUTHEAST... IT IS POSSIBLE THAT THE NEXT WAVE PASSING ALONG THE FRONT IN THE DISTURBED SOUTHWEST FLOW MAY YIELD SUFFICIENT WARM ADVECTION TO BRING ANOTHER ROUND OF SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL PER LATEST GEFS/ECENS...AND THE INTRUDING WARM SECTOR COULD POTENTIALLY RAISE TEMPERATURES TO ABOVE NORMAL ONE MORE TIME BEFORE A SHARPER PATTERN CHANGE DEVELOPS LATE IN THE WEEK. EXPECT MUCH COOLER TEMPERATURES LATE WEEK AS A STEADY INFLUX OF POLAR AIR DEVELOPS. THERE MAY ALSO BE A ROUND OF WEAK ISENTROPIC LIFT AND LIGHT PRECIPITATION AS WE APPROACH NEW YEARS DAY. /EC/ && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... JACKSON 80 69 79 58 / 17 16 37 94 MERIDIAN 78 67 77 65 / 29 17 27 72 VICKSBURG 82 69 80 54 / 14 15 37 100 HATTIESBURG 79 69 79 64 / 28 18 33 87 NATCHEZ 82 70 80 53 / 16 19 40 100 GREENVILLE 79 68 78 55 / 18 22 52 100 GREENWOOD 80 69 78 58 / 17 18 39 96 && .JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... MS...NONE. LA...NONE. AR...NONE. && 17/BB/EC/
Hazardous weather outlook, Dec 26, 5:57 AM CST, 4 hours 36 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS 557 AM CST SAT DEC 26 2015 ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-015-016-023>026-MSZ018-019-025>066-072>074- 271200- ASHLEY-CHICOT-MOREHOUSE-WEST CARROLL-EAST CARROLL-RICHLAND- MADISON LA-FRANKLIN LA-CATAHOULA-TENSAS-CONCORDIA-BOLIVAR- SUNFLOWER-LEFLORE-GRENADA-CARROLL-MONTGOMERY-WEBSTER-CLAY-LOWNDES- CHOCTAW-OKTIBBEHA-WASHINGTON-HUMPHREYS-HOLMES-ATTALA-WINSTON- NOXUBEE-ISSAQUENA-SHARKEY-YAZOO-MADISON MS-LEAKE-NESHOBA-KEMPER- WARREN-HINDS-RANKIN-SCOTT-NEWTON-LAUDERDALE-CLAIBORNE-COPIAH- SIMPSON-SMITH-JASPER-CLARKE-JEFFERSON-ADAMS-FRANKLIN MS-LINCOLN- LAWRENCE-JEFFERSON DAVIS-COVINGTON-JONES-MARION-LAMAR-FORREST- 557 AM CST SAT DEC 26 2015 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN ARKANSAS...NORTHEASTERN LOUISIANA...AND MUCH OF CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 60 MPH AND A FEW TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH EARLY MONDAY. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WHICH MAY RESULT IN FLASH FLOODING IS ALSO POSSIBLE DURING THIS TIME PERIOD. CONFIDENCE OF SEVERE WEATHER IS HIGHEST WEST OF THE INTERSTATE 55 CORRIDOR...MAINLY SUNDAY NIGHT. (WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=2) .SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT... THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER OPERATIONS MAY BE NEEDED FOR PORTIONS OF THE REGION SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MIDDAY MONDAY. 50 && ...HAZARD LEGEND... NO SHORT TERM HAZARDS EXPECTED. ...USEFUL WEATHER WEB PAGES (URLS)... NWS JAN HOME PAGE... WWW.WEATHER.GOV/JAN STAY AWARE, STAY SAFE NWS JAN BRIEFING PAGE... WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/JAN/?N=SAFE FIND NWS JAN ON FACEBOOK... WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSJACKSONMS FOLLOW NWS JAN ON TWITTER... @NWSJACKSONMS PLEASE CONVERT ALL WEB ADDRESSES TO LOWER CASE BEFORE ENTERING!
The office that day
Everything else NWS Jackson, MS issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 25, 6:14 PM CST | Special Weather Statement | JAN | Adams | 31 min |
| Dec 25, 6:41 PM CST | Special Weather Statement | JAN | Jefferson | 34 min |
| Dec 25, 9:48 PM CST | Special Weather Statement | JAN | Warren | 27 min |
| Dec 25, 10:23 PM CST | Special Weather Statement | JAN | Warren | 52 min |
| Dec 26, 12:46 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Issaquena | 29 min |
| Dec 26, 1:07 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Washington | 38 min |
| Dec 26, 8:02 AM CST | River Flood Warning | JAN | Attala, Holmes | 7 days |
| Dec 26, 12:09 PM CST | River Flood Warning | JAN | Sunflower | 8 days |
Nearby
River Flood Warnings in Mississippi, 2015Every river flood warning in 2015
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.