Flash Flood Watch 5, NWS Indianapolis, IN

Bartholomew County, IN, Boone County, IN, Brown County, IN, Carroll County, IN, Clay County, IN, Clinton County, IN, Daviess County, IN, Decatur County, IN, Delaware County, IN, Fountain County, IN, Greene County, IN, Hamilton County, IN, Hancock County, IN, Hendricks County, IN, Henry County, IN, Howard County, IN, Jackson County, IN, Jennings County, IN, Johnson County, IN, Knox County, IN, Lawrence County, IN, Madison County, IN, Marion County, IN, Martin County, IN, Monroe County, IN, Montgomery County, IN, Morgan County, IN, Owen County, IN, Parke County, IN, Putnam County, IN, Randolph County, IN, Rush County, IN, Shelby County, IN, Sullivan County, IN, Tippecanoe County, IN, Tipton County, IN, Vermillion County, IN, Vigo County, IN, Warren County, IN

213 
WGUS63 KIND 130134
FFAIND

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
934 PM EDT SUN JUL 12 2015

...FLASH FLOODING POSSIBLE EARLY MONDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY
NIGHT...

.ADDITIONAL ROUNDS OF STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED
TO DEVELOP EARLY MONDAY MORNING THROUGH LATE MONDAY NIGHT WITH
THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL AMOUNTS. WIDESPREAD
RAINFALL OF 2 TO 5 INCHES HAS OCCURRED IN THE LAST SIX DAYS...WITH
POCKETS AS HIGH AS NEARLY 9 INCHES OF RAINFALL. ADDITIONAL
SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL WILL BE LIKELY TO CAUSE FLASH FLOODING IN
THESE AREAS.

INZ021-028>031-035>049-051>057-060>065-067>072-131000-
/O.CON.KIND.FF.A.0005.150713T0900Z-150714T0900Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CARROLL-WARREN-TIPPECANOE-CLINTON-HOWARD-FOUNTAIN-MONTGOMERY-
BOONE-TIPTON-HAMILTON-MADISON-DELAWARE-RANDOLPH-VERMILLION-PARKE-
PUTNAM-HENDRICKS-MARION-HANCOCK-HENRY-VIGO-CLAY-OWEN-MORGAN-
JOHNSON-SHELBY-RUSH-SULLIVAN-GREENE-MONROE-BROWN-BARTHOLOMEW-
DECATUR-KNOX-DAVIESS-MARTIN-LAWRENCE-JACKSON-JENNINGS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LAFAYETTE...FRANKFORT...KOKOMO...
CRAWFORDSVILLE...ANDERSON...MUNCIE...INDIANAPOLIS...TERRE HAUTE...
SHELBYVILLE...BLOOMINGTON...COLUMBUS...VINCENNES...BEDFORD...
SEYMOUR
934 PM EDT SUN JUL 12 2015

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM EDT MONDAY
THROUGH LATE MONDAY NIGHT...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* A PORTION OF INDIANA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS... 
  BARTHOLOMEW...BOONE...BROWN...CARROLL...CLAY...CLINTON... 
  DAVIESS...DECATUR...DELAWARE...FOUNTAIN...GREENE...HAMILTON... 
  HANCOCK...HENDRICKS...HENRY...HOWARD...JACKSON...JENNINGS... 
  JOHNSON...KNOX...LAWRENCE...MADISON...MARION...MARTIN... 
  MONROE...MONTGOMERY...MORGAN...OWEN...PARKE...PUTNAM... 
  RANDOLPH...RUSH...SHELBY...SULLIVAN...TIPPECANOE...TIPTON... 
  VERMILLION...VIGO AND WARREN. 

* FROM 5 AM EDT MONDAY THROUGH LATE MONDAY NIGHT

* WIDESPREAD SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL HAS OCCURRED OVER THE LAST SIX 
  DAYS...WITH ADDITIONAL SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL POSSIBLE TONIGHT 
  INTO MONDAY NIGHT. AREAS RECEIVING SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL WILL 
  BE LIKELY TO EXPERIENCE FLASH FLOODING. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$

327 
WGUS63 KIND 130846
FFAIND

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
446 AM EDT MON JUL 13 2015

...FLASH FLOODING POSSIBLE THROUGH TONIGHT...

.ADDITIONAL ROUNDS OF STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED
TO DEVELOP THIS MORNING THROUGH LATE TONIGHT WITH THE POTENTIAL TO
PRODUCE SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL AMOUNTS. WIDESPREAD RAINFALL OF 2 TO
5 INCHES HAS OCCURRED IN THE LAST SIX DAYS... WITH POCKETS AS HIGH
AS NEARLY 9 INCHES OF RAINFALL. ADDITIONAL SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL
WILL BE LIKELY TO CAUSE FLASH FLOODING IN THESE AREAS.

INZ021-028>031-035>049-051>057-060>065-067>072-131700-
/O.CON.KIND.FF.A.0005.150713T0900Z-150714T0900Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CARROLL-WARREN-TIPPECANOE-CLINTON-HOWARD-FOUNTAIN-MONTGOMERY-
BOONE-TIPTON-HAMILTON-MADISON-DELAWARE-RANDOLPH-VERMILLION-PARKE-
PUTNAM-HENDRICKS-MARION-HANCOCK-HENRY-VIGO-CLAY-OWEN-MORGAN-
JOHNSON-SHELBY-RUSH-SULLIVAN-GREENE-MONROE-BROWN-BARTHOLOMEW-
DECATUR-KNOX-DAVIESS-MARTIN-LAWRENCE-JACKSON-JENNINGS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LAFAYETTE...FRANKFORT...KOKOMO...
CRAWFORDSVILLE...ANDERSON...MUNCIE...INDIANAPOLIS...TERRE HAUTE...
SHELBYVILLE...BLOOMINGTON...COLUMBUS...VINCENNES...BEDFORD...
SEYMOUR
446 AM EDT MON JUL 13 2015

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* A PORTION OF INDIANA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS... 
  BARTHOLOMEW...BOONE...BROWN...CARROLL...CLAY...CLINTON... 
  DAVIESS...DECATUR...DELAWARE...FOUNTAIN...GREENE...HAMILTON... 
  HANCOCK...HENDRICKS...HENRY...HOWARD...JACKSON...JENNINGS... 
  JOHNSON...KNOX...LAWRENCE...MADISON...MARION...MARTIN... 
  MONROE...MONTGOMERY...MORGAN...OWEN...PARKE...PUTNAM... 
  RANDOLPH...RUSH...SHELBY...SULLIVAN...TIPPECANOE...TIPTON... 
  VERMILLION...VIGO AND WARREN. 

* THROUGH LATE TONIGHT

* WIDESPREAD SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL HAS OCCURRED OVER THE LAST SIX 
  DAYS...WITH ADDITIONAL SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL POSSIBLE TONIGHT 
  INTO MONDAY NIGHT. AREAS RECEIVING SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL WILL 
  BE LIKELY TO EXPERIENCE FLASH FLOODING. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$

661 
WGUS63 KIND 131419
FFAIND

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
1019 AM EDT MON JUL 13 2015

...FLASH FLOODING POSSIBLE THROUGH TONIGHT...

.ADDITIONAL ROUNDS OF STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED
TO DEVELOP THIS MORNING THROUGH LATE TONIGHT WITH THE POTENTIAL
TO PRODUCE SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL AMOUNTS. WIDESPREAD RAINFALL OF
2 TO 5 INCHES HAS OCCURRED IN THE LAST SIX DAYS... WITH POCKETS
AS HIGH AS NEARLY 9 INCHES OF RAINFALL. ADDITIONAL SIGNIFICANT
RAINFALL WILL BE LIKELY TO CAUSE FLASH FLOODING IN THESE AREAS.

INZ021-028>031-035>049-051>057-060>065-067>072-132230-
/O.CON.KIND.FF.A.0005.000000T0000Z-150714T0900Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CARROLL-WARREN-TIPPECANOE-CLINTON-HOWARD-FOUNTAIN-MONTGOMERY-
BOONE-TIPTON-HAMILTON-MADISON-DELAWARE-RANDOLPH-VERMILLION-PARKE-
PUTNAM-HENDRICKS-MARION-HANCOCK-HENRY-VIGO-CLAY-OWEN-MORGAN-
JOHNSON-SHELBY-RUSH-SULLIVAN-GREENE-MONROE-BROWN-BARTHOLOMEW-
DECATUR-KNOX-DAVIESS-MARTIN-LAWRENCE-JACKSON-JENNINGS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LAFAYETTE...FRANKFORT...KOKOMO...
CRAWFORDSVILLE...ANDERSON...MUNCIE...INDIANAPOLIS...TERRE HAUTE...
SHELBYVILLE...BLOOMINGTON...COLUMBUS...VINCENNES...BEDFORD...
SEYMOUR
1019 AM EDT MON JUL 13 2015

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* A PORTION OF INDIANA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS... 
  BARTHOLOMEW...BOONE...BROWN...CARROLL...CLAY...CLINTON... 
  DAVIESS...DECATUR...DELAWARE...FOUNTAIN...GREENE...HAMILTON... 
  HANCOCK...HENDRICKS...HENRY...HOWARD...JACKSON...JENNINGS... 
  JOHNSON...KNOX...LAWRENCE...MADISON...MARION...MARTIN... 
  MONROE...MONTGOMERY...MORGAN...OWEN...PARKE...PUTNAM... 
  RANDOLPH...RUSH...SHELBY...SULLIVAN...TIPPECANOE...TIPTON... 
  VERMILLION...VIGO AND WARREN. 

* THROUGH LATE TONIGHT

* WIDESPREAD SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL HAS OCCURRED OVER THE LAST SIX 
  DAYS...WITH ADDITIONAL SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL POSSIBLE TONIGHT 
  INTO MONDAY NIGHT. AREAS RECEIVING SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL WILL 
  BE LIKELY TO EXPERIENCE FLASH FLOODING. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$

141 
WGUS63 KIND 131947
FFAIND

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
347 PM EDT MON JUL 13 2015

...FLASH FLOODING POSSIBLE THROUGH TONIGHT...

.ADDITIONAL ROUNDS OF STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED
TO DEVELOP THROUGH LATE TONIGHT WITH THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE
SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL AMOUNTS. WIDESPREAD RAINFALL OF 2 TO 5 INCHES
HAS OCCURRED IN THE LAST SIX DAYS... WITH POCKETS AS HIGH AS
NEARLY 9 INCHES OF RAINFALL. ADDITIONAL SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL WILL
BE LIKELY TO CAUSE FLASH FLOODING IN THESE AREAS.

INZ021-028>031-035>049-051>057-060>065-067>072-140400-
/O.CAN.KIND.FF.A.0005.000000T0000Z-150714T0900Z/
/O.NEW.KIND.FF.A.0006.150713T2000Z-150714T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CARROLL-WARREN-TIPPECANOE-CLINTON-HOWARD-FOUNTAIN-MONTGOMERY-
BOONE-TIPTON-HAMILTON-MADISON-DELAWARE-RANDOLPH-VERMILLION-PARKE-
PUTNAM-HENDRICKS-MARION-HANCOCK-HENRY-VIGO-CLAY-OWEN-MORGAN-
JOHNSON-SHELBY-RUSH-SULLIVAN-GREENE-MONROE-BROWN-BARTHOLOMEW-
DECATUR-KNOX-DAVIESS-MARTIN-LAWRENCE-JACKSON-JENNINGS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LAFAYETTE...FRANKFORT...KOKOMO...
CRAWFORDSVILLE...ANDERSON...MUNCIE...INDIANAPOLIS...TERRE HAUTE...
SHELBYVILLE...BLOOMINGTON...COLUMBUS...VINCENNES...BEDFORD...
SEYMOUR
347 PM EDT MON JUL 13 2015

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN INDIANAPOLIS HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR A PORTION OF INDIANA...INCLUDING THE 
  FOLLOWING AREAS...BARTHOLOMEW...BOONE...BROWN...CARROLL... 
  CLAY...CLINTON...DAVIESS...DECATUR...DELAWARE...FOUNTAIN... 
  GREENE...HAMILTON...HANCOCK...HENDRICKS...HENRY...HOWARD... 
  JACKSON...JENNINGS...JOHNSON...KNOX...LAWRENCE...MADISON... 
  MARION...MARTIN...MONROE...MONTGOMERY...MORGAN...OWEN... 
  PARKE...PUTNAM...RANDOLPH...RUSH...SHELBY...SULLIVAN... 
  TIPPECANOE...TIPTON...VERMILLION...VIGO AND WARREN. 

* THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING

* WIDESPREAD SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL HAS OCCURRED OVER THE LAST SIX
  DAYS...WITH ADDITIONAL SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL POSSIBLE TONIGHT.
  AREAS RECEIVING SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL WILL BE LIKELY TO
  EXPERIENCE FLASH FLOODING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$

NIELD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
250 PM EDT SUN JUL 12 2015

.UPDATE...
THE LONG TERM AND AVIATION SECTIONS HAVE BEEN UPDATED BELOW.

&&

.SYNOPSIS...
ISSUED AT 348 AM EDT SUN JUL 12 2015

UPPER WAVES IN NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT...A WARM FRONT IN THE AREA AND
INCREASINGLY WARM...MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIR WILL COMBINE TO TRIGGER
NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY. SOME OF THESE STORMS
COULD PRODUCE HEAVY RAINFALL AND SOME SEVERE WEATHER. ADDITIONAL
THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE AT TIMES THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF NEXT
WEEK AS WELL.

IT WILL BE WARMER AND NOTICEABLY MORE HUMID THROUGH TUESDAY WITH
SEASONABLE AFTERNOON HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO LOWER 90S. AFTER
THAT...IT WILL NOT BE QUITE AS WARM MIDWEEK BUT WILL AGAIN WARM TO
THE MID 80S TO LOWER 90S FOR NEXT WEEKEND.

&&

.NEAR TERM /TODAY/...
ISSUED AT 1024 AM EDT SUN JUL 12 2015

LOWERED POPS TO SLIGHT CHANCE THE REST OF THE DAY AS LATEST
NUMERICAL GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO SUGGEST THAT STORM DEVELOPMENT
SHOULD BE ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED AT BEST. PREVIOUS
DISCUSSIONS FOLLOW.

ISSUED AT 620 AM EDT SUN JUL 12 2015

LOWERED POPS THE NEXT FEW HOURS AS MAIN AREA OF STORMS WAS MOVING
OUT OF OUR SOUTHEASTERN COUNTIES. LEFT GOOD CHANCE POPS IN THIS
AFTERNOON AS CONVECTIVE TEMPERATURES WERE ONLY IN THE UPPER
70S...AND STATIONARY FRONT IS STILL AROUND ALONG WITH ANY CONVECTIVE
MESOSCALE BOUNDARIES.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION FOLLOWS...
ISSUED AT 348 AM EDT SUN JUL 12 2015

POPS AND QPF WILL BE THE MAIN ISSUE FOR THE NEAR TERM AND BEYOND.

EARLY THIS MORNING...A STATIONARY FRONT EXTENDED SOUTHEAST TO
NORTHWEST FROM THE UPPER MIDWEST TO SOUTHWESTERN INDIANA AS A WEAK
UPPER WAVES WAS MOVING ACROSS THE LOWER GREAT LAKES. UPPER DOME OF
HIGH PRESSURE HAS RETROGRADED WEST TO THE SOUTHERN PLAINS WITH
NORTHWEST FLOW ON THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE RIDGE AND ACROSS
CENTRAL INDIANA. RADAR WAS SHOWING A CONVECTIVE COMPLEX ACROSS OUR
COUNTIES...NORTHWEST OF INDIANAPOLIS. IN ADDITION...STORMS WERE
MOVING SOUTHEAST ACROSS NORTHWESTERN MISSOURI AND EAST CENTRAL
ILLINOIS...ALONG AND NORTHEAST OF THE FRONT AND ALONG A SHARP
INSTABILITY GRADIENT. SURFACE BASED CAPES SOUTH OF THE FRONT WERE
1500 J/KG OR HIGHER AND DROP OFF QUICKLY NORTHEASTWARD.

LATEST HIGH RES RAPID REFRESH REFLECTIVITY PROGS WERE SHOWING THE
NORTHERN AREA OF CONVECTION MOVING EAST OF CENTRAL INDIANA BY 12Z.
MEANWHILE...IT HAD STORMS LINGERING ACROSS OUR SOUTHWESTERN COUNTIES
CLOSER TO THE FRONT. THIS SEEMS REASONABLE. ALTHOUGH IT DOES NOT
LOOK LIKE THERE WILL BE MUCH IN THE WAY OF UPPER FORCING
TODAY...WARM FRONT...LEFT OVER CONVECTIVE BOUNDARIES AND
DIFFERENTIAL HEATING BOUNDARIES IN CLOUD FREE AND CLOUDIER
AREAS...SHOULD ALL ALLOW SOME AFTERNOON RE-DEVELOPMENT. WILL START
OFF WITH MORNING CHANCE POPS TO COVER ANY LINGERING
THUNDERSTORMS...AND THEN CHANCE AFTERNOON POPS TO COVER DAYTIME
HEATING ONES. PRIMARY THREAT SHOULD BE HEAVY RAIN...ESPECIALLY
ACROSS OUR SOUTHWESTERN COUNTIES...CLOSER TO THE FRONT AND WHERE
PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES WILL BE APPROACHING 2 INCHES.
HOWEVER...WILL ALSO HAVE TO WATCH OUR NORTHERN COUNTIES...WHERE THE
HEAVIEST RAINFALL TOTALS HAVE BEEN THIS EVENING. EARLY THIS
AM...DUAL POL ESTIMATED 2 PLUS INCH 3 HOUR RAINFALL AMOUNTS ALONG A
CORRIDOR FROM AROUND ATTICA TO LINDEN.

SO...IT LOOKS LIKE THE HEAVIEST RAINS WILL BE OVER BY
DAYBREAK. ALSO...FLASH FLOOD GUIDANCE IS MOSTLY OVER 2 INCHES AN
HOUR AND AROUND 2.2 TO 2.7 INCHES FOR 3 HOURS. THESE AMOUNTS ARE
WELL BELOW 6 HOUR WPC QPF TODAY. NOT TO SAY THAT THERE WILL NOT BE
SOME LINGERING AREAL FLOODING THIS MORNING OVER OUR NORTHERN
COUNTIES AND ISOLATED NEW FLOODING IN AFTERNOON STORMS...HOWEVER
WEIGHING ALL FACTORS...PREFER TO NOT GO WITH A FLASH FLOOD OR FLOOD
WATCH AT THIS TIME.

20 KNOT LOW LEVEL FLOW...MID LEVEL FLOW TO AROUND 30 KNOTS MAY BE
ENOUGH WHEN COMBINED WITH THE INSTABILITY /MIXED LAYER CAPES OVER
3000 J/KG/ FOR SOME STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND
TONIGHT PER THE SPC DAY1 OUTLOOK. THE OUTLOOK HAS A SLIGHT RISK OVER
OUR ALL BUT OUR FAR NORTHWESTERN COUNTIES...WHERE A MARGINAL RISK IS
IN EFFECT.

LOW LEVEL WARM ADVECTION MAY BE ENOUGH FOR TEMPERATURES TO TOP OUT
IN THE MID 80S NORTHEAST TO THE LOWER 90S SOUTHWEST...ESPECIALLY IF
A FEW BREAKS OPEN UP IN THE CU WHICH LOOK POSSIBLE IN THE AFTERNOON.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/...
ISSUED AT 348 AM EDT SUN JUL 12 2015

THE SHORT TERM FOCUS WILL CONTINUE TO BE ON TIMING AND COVERAGE OF
THUNDERSTORMS AND HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL...BUT EVEN MORESO THEN
TODAY...WILL BE ON SEVERE POTENTIAL MONDAY AS INCREASING MID AND
UPPER FLOW COMBINED WITH STRONG TO EXTREME INSTABILITY...SHOULD OPEN
UP THE POTENTIAL FOR ONE OR MORE ROUNDS OF SEVERE WEATHER WITH THE
POTENTIAL FOR DAMAGING WINDS...LARGE HAIL AND EVEN TORNADOES. WITH
THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL EXPECTED TO BE MONDAY AFTERNOON INTO MONDAY
NIGHT...WHEN THE GREATEST LIFT IS EXPECTED...AND WPC QPF BELOW 1 AND
3 HOUR FLASH FLOOD GUIDANCE...WILL NOT BE ISSUING ANY FLASH FLOOD
WATCHES AT THIS POINT...BUT WILL GO LIKELY POPS ALL BUT SOUTHWEST
COUNTIES MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT. BEST CHANCES OF SEVERE STORMS
LOOKS TO BE IN THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING WHEN MODEL INSTABILITY
PROGS SUGGEST MIXED LAYER CAPES TO 4000 J/KG ARE POSSIBLE. THIS
INSTABILITY COMBINED WITH LEFTOVER CONVECTIVE BOUNDARIES AND MORE
THAN SUFFICIENT WIND SHEAR FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR...SUPPORTS DAY2 SPC
MODERATE RISK. DAY 3 OUTLOOK ALSO LEAVES ALL BUT OUR FAR NORTH IN
MARGINAL RISK FOR DAY3 WITH A COLD FRONT SET TO MOVE THROUGH FROM
THE NORTHWEST.

00Z SUPERBLEND TEMPERATURES LOOK GOOD AND WILL DEPEND A LOT ON HOW
MANY BREAKS OCCUR IN THE CLOUD COVER.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...
ISSUED AT 250 PM EDT SUN JUL 12 2015

DEEP UPPER TROUGH OVER EASTERN CANADA WILL LIFT OUT LATE THIS WEEK
AND ALLOW THE RIDGE AXIS TO SHIFT EAST MORE INTO THE CENTRAL U.S.
THIS SHOULD SERVE TO FLATTEN THE UPPER FLOW AND POTENTIALLY GIVE
THE OHIO VALLEY A BREAK FROM THE ACTIVE NORTHWEST FLOW REGIME
THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK. DESPITE THE EXPANSION OF THE RIDGE
TOWARDS THE REGION...SOME OMINOUS SIGNS PRESENT IN EXTENDED
GUIDANCE AT A REESTABLISHING OF THE NORTHWEST FLOW PATTERN NEXT
WEEKEND AS THE RIDGE ONCE AGAIN RETROGRADES.

HAVE PULLED BACK TO DRY TO SCHC POPS FOR MUCH OF THE FORECAST AREA
WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY...BUT BRING BETTER CHANCES FOR
STORMS BACK INTO CENTRAL INDIANA NEXT WEEKEND FOR REASONS
MENTIONED ABOVE. SURGE OF HIGHER 850MB TEMPS TO 22-24C RISE INTO
THE REGION FRIDAY INTO THE WEEKEND WHICH WOULD SUPPORT WIDESPREAD
90S FOR HIGHS. HESITANT TO BE THIS AGGRESSIVE WITH TEMPS
CONSIDERING THE POTENTIAL RESUMPTION OF NORTHWEST FLOW OVER THE
WEEKEND AND UNCERTAIN IMPACTS FROM CONVECTION AND ASSOCIATED CLOUD
DEBRIS. ADDITIONALLY...SOIL MOISTURE IS SATURATED AND WILL LIKELY
HAVE SOME FORM OF A NEGATIVE IMPACT ON DAYTIME TEMPS. HELD LOWER
90S TO JUST FAR SOUTHERN COUNTIES AND LOWER WABASH VALLEY WITH 80S
ELSEWHERE.

SHOULD ALSO MENTION THAT IF THIS PATTERN COMES TO PASS NEXT
WEEKEND...CENTRAL INDIANA WOULD BE RIGHT BACK IN THE FAVORED SPOT
FOR SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING RAINS.

&&

.AVIATION /DISCUSSION FOR 121800Z TAF ISSUANCE/...
ISSUED AT 250 PM EDT SUN JUL 12 2015

RESTRICTIONS POSSIBLE LATE TONIGHT AND MONDAY MORNING WITHIN
CONVECTION...OTHERWISE VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED.

CENTRAL INDIANA GETTING A WELL DESERVED BREATHER FROM EARLIER
CONVECTION THIS MORNING. AS CRIER AIR AND SUBSIDENCE HAS DEVELOPED
BEHIND THE MORNING STORMS. WITH INCREASING INSTABILITY...ISOLATED
CONVECTION CANNOT BE RULED OUT FOR THE REST OF THE AFTERNOON AND
EVENING...BUT NOT ANTICIPATING WIDESPREAD CONVECTION WITH LITTLE
TO NO FORCING ALOFT. SC/CU SHOULD GRADUALLY MIX UP TO VFR LEVELS
THROUGH THE REST OF THE DAY.

FOCUS WILL TURN TO THE EXPECTED DEVELOPMENT OF A CONVECTIVE
CLUSTER IN THE UPPER MIDWEST THIS EVENING...WHICH SHOULD TRACK
INTO THE REGION FROM THE NORTHWEST VERY LATE TONIGHT INTO EARLY
MONDAY. TIMING REMAINS UNCERTAIN...SO GOING WITH A VCTS MENTION AT
ALL SITES GENERAL 07-08Z AND ON THROUGH MIDDAY MONDAY. THIS STORM
COMPLEX WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE SEVERE WEATHER AND
ANOTHER ROUND OF HEAVY RAINFALL WHICH WILL CAUSE RESTRICTIONS AT
THE TERMINALS. MONDAY LOOKING QUITE ACTIVE WITH YET ANOTHER STORM
CLUSTER SET TO IMPACT THE REGION LATE DAY. LIGHT/VARIABLE FLOW
OVERNIGHT SHOULD TRANSITION TO S/SW ON MONDAY.

&&

.IND WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...MK
NEAR TERM...MK/NIELD
SHORT TERM...MK
LONG TERM....RYAN
AVIATION...RYAN

VISIT US AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/IND

FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK...TWITTER AND YOUTUBE AT:
WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSINDIANAPOLIS
WWW.TWITTER.COM/NWSINDIANAPOLIS
WWW.YOUTUBE.COM/NWSINDIANAPOLIS

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
536 AM EDT SUN JUL 12 2015

INZ021-028>031-035>049-051>057-060>065-067>072-131000-
CARROLL-WARREN-TIPPECANOE-CLINTON-HOWARD-FOUNTAIN-MONTGOMERY-
BOONE-TIPTON-HAMILTON-MADISON-DELAWARE-RANDOLPH-VERMILLION-PARKE-
PUTNAM-HENDRICKS-MARION-HANCOCK-HENRY-VIGO-CLAY-OWEN-MORGAN-
JOHNSON-SHELBY-RUSH-SULLIVAN-GREENE-MONROE-BROWN-BARTHOLOMEW-
DECATUR-KNOX-DAVIESS-MARTIN-LAWRENCE-JACKSON-JENNINGS-
536 AM EDT SUN JUL 12 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL INDIANA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

OUTLOOK: THUNDERSTORMS...AND FLOODING NEAR RIVERS CAN BE
EXPECTED. DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL ARE ALSO POSSIBLE.

HAZARDS: HEAVY RAIN...DAMAGING WINDS...LARGE HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS
IN THUNDERSTORMS. PROBLEMS ASSOCIATED WITH HIGH WATER IN FLOODING.

TIMING: RIVER FLOODING ONGOING. BEST CHANCE OF SEVERE STORMS THIS
AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

DISCUSSION: A STATIONARY FRONT AND UPPER WAVES IN NORTHWEST FLOW
WILL INTERACT WITH AN INCREASING WARM...MOIST AND UNSTABLE
ATMOSPHERE RESULTING IN SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

OUTLOOK: THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS ALL OR PARTS OF
CENTRAL INDIANA TODAY THROUGH NEXT WEEKEND. SEVERE IS POSSIBLE
TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY. WITH THE GREATEST RISK FOR WIDESPREAD
SEVERE WEATHER MONDAY. A MODERATE RISK IS IN EFFECT FOR MONDAY AND
MONDAY NIGHT. DAMAGING WINDS...HEAVY RAINFALL PRODUCING FLOODING
AND PROLIFIC LIGHTNING WILL BE MAIN THREATS FROM THESE STORM
COMPLEXES. A FEW TORNADOES AND LARGE HAIL WILL ALSO BE
POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY ON MONDAY.

THE HEAT INDEX WILL RISE INTO THE UPPER 90S TO AROUND 100 DEGREES
IN THE LOWER WABASH VALLEY TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

DISCUSSION: A PAIR OF FRONTAL SYSTEMS ALONG WITH UPPER WAVES OF
LOW PRESSURE AROUND A SOUTHERN PLAINS DOME OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL
INTERACT WITH A WARM...MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIRMASS AND RESULT IN AN
UNSETTLED PERIOD THROUGH NEXT WEEKEND.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED AT VARIOUS TIMES TODAY THROUGH
TUESDAY.

&&

MORE INFORMATION...ALONG WITH OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND
CLIMATE INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND...AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/IND (ALL
LOWERCASE)

KOCH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
953 AM EDT SUN JUL 12 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0900 AM     FLASH FLOOD      5 E NASHVILLE           39.20N  86.14W
07/12/2015                   BROWN              IN   PUBLIC

            SMALL PORTION OF BROWN HILL ROAD WASHED OUT

&&

MDR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
956 AM EDT SUN JUL 12 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0955 AM     HEAVY RAIN       1 S CASTLETON           39.89N  86.05W
07/12/2015  M2.63 INCH       MARION             IN   BROADCAST MEDIA

            NEAR INTERSECTION OF 75TH STREET AND BINFORD BOULEVARD

0955 AM     HEAVY RAIN       2 E CARMEL              39.97N  86.07W
07/12/2015  M2.30 INCH       HAMILTON           IN   AMATEUR RADIO

&&

MDR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
1106 AM EDT SUN JUL 12 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0215 AM     HEAVY RAIN       7 NE INDIANAPOLIS       39.85N  86.05W
07/12/2015  M2.07 INCH       MARION             IN   PUBLIC

            2.07 INCHES IN LAST HOUR

0345 AM     TSTM WND DMG     PRINCES LAKES           39.35N  86.11W
07/12/2015                   JOHNSON            IN   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            LAW ENFORECEMENT REPORTED TREES DOWN NEAR PRINCESS
            LAKE...BOTH IN JOHNSON AND BROWN COUNTIES. TIME
            ESTIMATED BASED ON RADAR.

0430 AM     FLASH FLOOD      4 S DANVILLE            39.70N  86.52W
07/12/2015                   HENDRICKS          IN   EMERGENCY MNGR

            SEVERAL ROADS CLOSED AROUND THE COUNTY FOR FLOODING.
            ALSO WHITE LICK CREEK IS ABOUT A FOOT OUT OF ITS BANKS

0510 AM     FLASH FLOOD      MOORESVILLE             39.62N  86.37W
07/12/2015                   MORGAN             IN   BROADCAST MEDIA

            WATER RESCUES AND HOME EVACUATIONS IN MOORESVILLE DUE
            TO FLOODING RELAYED VIA BROADCAST MEDIA TWITTER. TIME
            UNKNOWN.

0519 AM     HEAVY RAIN       GEIST RESERVOIR         39.91N  85.98W
07/12/2015  E3.00 INCH       MARION             IN   BROADCAST MEDIA

            OVER 3 INCHES OF RAINFALL REPORTED BY PUBLIC AND
            RELAYED BY BROADCAST MEDIA

0603 AM     HEAVY RAIN       RUSHVILLE               39.61N  85.45W
07/12/2015  M1.75 INCH       RUSH               IN   TRAINED SPOTTER

0643 AM     HEAVY RAIN       5 W GREENWOOD           39.62N  86.21W
07/12/2015  M2.20 INCH       JOHNSON            IN   TRAINED SPOTTER

            IN CENTER GROVE AREA

0719 AM     HEAVY RAIN       1 N FISHERS             39.97N  86.02W
07/12/2015  M2.50 INCH       HAMILTON           IN   PUBLIC

0800 AM     HEAVY RAIN       INDIANAPOLIS INT'L AIRP 39.72N  86.29W
07/12/2015  M1.49 INCH       MARION             IN   NWS OFFICE

            SINCE MIDNIGHT

0800 AM     HEAVY RAIN       2 S CASTLETON           39.88N  86.05W
07/12/2015  M3.20 INCH       MARION             IN   CO-OP OBSERVER

0810 AM     HEAVY RAIN       FISHERS                 39.95N  86.02W
07/12/2015  M2.15 INCH       HAMILTON           IN   BROADCAST MEDIA

            FROM KELLY GREENE AT WTHR-TV

0816 AM     HEAVY RAIN       MOORESVILLE             39.62N  86.37W
07/12/2015  M5.14 INCH       MORGAN             IN   PUBLIC

            RAIN FELL WITHIN A THREE HOUR PERIOD OVERNIGHT

0900 AM     HEAVY RAIN       GREENWOOD               39.62N  86.11W
07/12/2015  M1.38 INCH       JOHNSON            IN   PUBLIC

0900 AM     FLASH FLOOD      5 E NASHVILLE           39.20N  86.14W
07/12/2015                   BROWN              IN   PUBLIC

            SMALL PORTION OF BROWN HILL ROAD WASHED OUT

0955 AM     HEAVY RAIN       1 S CASTLETON           39.89N  86.05W
07/12/2015  M2.63 INCH       MARION             IN   BROADCAST MEDIA

            NEAR INTERSECTION OF 75TH STREET AND BINFORD BOULEVARD

0955 AM     HEAVY RAIN       2 E CARMEL              39.97N  86.07W
07/12/2015  M2.30 INCH       HAMILTON           IN   AMATEUR RADIO

&&

MDR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
255 PM EDT SUN JUL 12 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0345 AM     TORNADO          2 SW TRAFALGAR          39.39N  86.18W
07/12/2015                   JOHNSON            IN   NWS STORM SURVEY

            WIDESPREAD TREE DAMAGE FROM SAMARIA ALONG STATE ROUTE
            135 TO PRINCES LAKES. TEN HOMES SUSTAINED DAMAGE FROM
            TREES FALLING ON THEM. PRELIMINARY ANALYSIS SUGGEST WIND
            SPEEDS CONSISTENT WITH A HIGH END EF-0 TORNADO.

0700 AM     FLASH FLOOD      DANVILLE                39.76N  86.52W
07/12/2015                   HENDRICKS          IN   EMERGENCY MNGR

            4 TO 5 ROADS WASHED OUT WITH NUMEROUS ROADS FLOODED
            COUNTYWIDE.

&&

MDR