Flash Flood Warning 31, NWS Indianapolis, IN

216 
WGUS73 KIND 140955
FFSIND

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
555 AM EDT TUE JUL 14 2015

INC135-141130-
/O.CON.KIND.FF.W.0031.000000T0000Z-150714T1130Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
RANDOLPH-
555 AM EDT TUE JUL 14 2015

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR NORTHEASTERN RANDOLPH
COUNTY UNTIL 730 AM EDT...

AT 555 AM EDT...LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT OFFICIALS REPORTED THAT FLASH 
FLOODING CONTINUED ACROSS THE WARNED AREA.

FLOODING IS EXPECTED TO OCCUR OVER MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF NORTHEASTERN 
RANDOLPH COUNTY...INCLUDING THE TOWN OF UNION CITY.

THIS INCLUDES THE FOLLOWING STREAMS AND DRAINAGES...
MISSISSINEWA RIVER...HARSHMAN CREEK...HOOVER RUN...LITTLE
MISSISSINEWA RIVER...JORDON CREEK AND MILLER CREEK.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS
SAFELY.

A FLASH FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLASH FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. IF YOU ARE IN THE WARNING AREA...MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND
IMMEDIATELY. RESIDENTS LIVING ALONG STREAMS AND CREEKS SHOULD TAKE
IMMEDIATE PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO
CROSS SWIFTLY FLOWING WATERS OR WATERS OF UNKNOWN DEPTH BY FOOT OR BY
AUTOMOBILE.

&&

LAT...LON 4031 8494 4031 8492 4032 8481 4031 8480
      4017 8481

$$

RYAN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
1200 AM EDT TUE JUL 14 2015

.UPDATE...
THE AVIATION SECTION HAS BEEN UPDATED BELOW.

&&

.SYNOPSIS...
ISSUED AT 400 PM EDT MON JUL 13 2015

ONE OR MORE ADDITIONAL ROUNDS OF THUNDERSTORMS...SOME SEVERE WITH
HEAVY RAIN AND DAMAGING WINDS...WILL BE POSSIBLE TONIGHT WITH A
CHANCE FOR MORE THUNDERSTORMS AGAIN ON TUESDAY INTO TUESDAY
EVENING. A BRIEF BREAK FROM THE RECENT WET WEATHER IS EXPECTED MID
WEEK BEFORE STORM CHANCES RETURN TO THE FORECAST THURSDAY NIGHT
THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

&&

.NEAR TERM /REST OF TONIGHT/...
ISSUED AT 945 PM EDT MON JUL 13 2015

2ND ROUND OF THUNDERSTORMS FINALLY HAS FINALLY GOT GOING AS IT HAS
PUSHED INTO OUR AREA. LAPS SHOWS CAPES IN EXCESS OF 5,500 J/KG OVER
WESTERN SECTIONS WHILE FAR EASTERN SECTIONS WERE 1,000 J/KG OR
LESS.  EXPECT NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS NEXT SEVERAL HOURS AS WARM
ADVECTION OCCURS AND WEAK SURFACE TROUGH MOVES EAST ACROSS OUR
AREA.  WILL CONTINUE LIKELY POPS MOST AREAS THROUGH 06Z TO 07Z.  HER
MODELS INDICATE WEATHER SHOULD QUIET DOWN AFTER THAT.  A TORNADO
WATCH IS IN EFFECT THROUGH 07Z AND MOST OF THE HEAVY RAIN SHOULD
OCCUR TO ABOUT 07Z AS WELL.   TEMPERATURES ARE ON TRACK AND ONLY
MINOR CHANGES MADE TO GRIDS.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
ISSUED AT 400 PM EDT MON JUL 13 2015

WITH THE MAIN COLD FRONT AND UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM TOMORROW...STORMS
WILL AGAIN BE A THREAT AND AREA HAS BEEN OUTLOOKED DAY 2. WHILE
THIS THREAT WILL BE QUITE A BIT MORE CONDITIONAL...AT LEAST
SCATTERED STORMS SHOULD DEVELOP AND A FEW COULD BECOME SEVERE IN A
CONDITIONALLY SUPPORTIVE ENVIRONMENT...HIGHLY DEPENDENT ON HOW
OVERNIGHT AND MORNING CONVECTION EVOLVES.

BEYOND TUESDAY EVENING A WELCOME IF ALL TOO BRIEF DRY SPELL CAN BE
EXPECTED WITH SOMEWHAT COOLER AND MORE COMFORTABLE AIR IN PLACE.
CONSENSUS NUMBERS APPEARED A BIT TOO COOL AND WERE BUMPED UP A BIT.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
ISSUED AT 251 PM EDT MON JUL 13 2015

A MORE ZONAL FLOW AND THE RIDGE ATTEMPTING TO EXPAND INTO THE OHIO
VALLEY SHOULD TREND TOWARDS LOWER CONVECTIVE CHANCES FOR THE END
OF THE WEEK. FLATTENED RIDGE SHOULD SHIFT BACK WEST INTO THE HIGH
PLAINS BY EARLY NEXT WEEK...PROMPTING A RESUMPTION OF THE MORE
ACTIVE PATTERN EXPERIENCED OF LATE AS THE REGION RETURNS TO A
FAMILIAR SPOT...IN NORTHWEST FLOW ON THE PERIPHERY OF THE RIDGE.
THIS SHOULD ONCE AGAIN PLACE CENTRAL INDIANA IN A MORE FAVORED
AREA FOR IMPACTS FROM CONVECTIVE CLUSTERS...ESPECIALLY SUNDAY AND
MONDAY.

CONTINUED TREND OF UNDERCUTTING HIGH TEMPS OVER THE WEEKEND INTO
EARLY NEXT WEEK DUE TO UNCERTAINTIES FROM CONVECTIVE TIMING AND
ASSOCIATED CLOUD DEBRIS. WILL MAINTAIN UPPER 80S FOR MOST
AREAS...BUT COULD SEE HIGHS INTO THE LOWER 90S OVER FAR SOUTHERN
COUNTIES.

&&

.AVIATION /DISCUSSION FOR THE 140600Z TAFS/...
ISSUED AT 1200 AM EDT TUE JUL 14 2015

SEVERAL CONVECTIVE CLUSTERS CONTINUE OVER PARTS OF THE AREA...WITH
COVERAGE GENERALLY DIMINISHING WITH TIME. AS 850MB JET OF 25-30 KTS
SAGS SOUTH WITH TIME...EXPECTING THE CONVECTIVE THREAT TO DO SO AS
WELL. APPEARS CONVECTIVE THREAT WILL DIMINISH BY 140800Z IN THE
VICINITY OF KIND/KHUF/KBMG. BRIEF IFR VISIBILITY RESTRICTIONS AND
GUSTY/SHIFTING WINDS IN AND NEAR THE CONVECTION.

POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR SOME CEILINGS AROUND 010 TO DEVELOP TOWARDS
DAYBREAK ON TUESDAY...BUT CONFIDENCE IN THIS IS LOW.

OUTSIDE OF CONVECTIVE AREAS...SURFACE WINDS 220-250 DEGREES AT 6-9
KTS OVERNIGHT EXPECTED TO VEER AROUND TO 260-290 DEGREES AT 10-14
KTS BY LATE MORNING TUESDAY.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
ISSUED AT 945 PM EDT MON JUL 13 2015

.UPDATE...WILL CONTINUE FLASH FLOOD WATCH OVERNIGHT. EXPECT HEAVIEST
RAIN TO OCCUR BETWEEN NOW AND AROUND 07Z WITH SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS DIMINISHING SOME AFTER THAT.  STORMS ARE MOVING
RAPIDLY AND THIS MAY LESSEN FLOOD THREAT A LITTLE...BUT NOT NOT
ENOUGH TO MAKE ANY CHANGES TO HEADLINES AS AIRMASS IS VERY MOIST AND
IT WILL NOT TAKE MUCH RAIN TO CAUSE FLOODING.

PREVIOUS HYDROLOGY DISCUSSION FOLLOWS...
HYDROLOGIC SITUATION WAS AGAIN WORSENED SLIGHTLY BY A WIDESPREAD
RAINFALL OF AROUND AN INCH GIVE OR TAKE AS THE LINE MOVED THROUGH
THE AREA THIS MORNING. MANY AREAS RAPIDLY DEVELOPED MINOR
FLOODING. A MORE SUSTAINED AND HEAVIER RAINFALL...WHICH REMAINS
POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT...COULD SIGNIFICANTLY AND RAPIDLY EXACERBATE
THE SITUATION OWING TO 2 TO AS MUCH AS NEARLY 10 INCHES OF RAIN
THAT HAS OCCURRED OVER THE LAST SIX DAYS. OWING TO SOME
UNCERTAINTY AS TO HOW QUICKLY STORMS MAY EXIT THE AREA TUESDAY
MORNING...HAVE EXTENDED THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH 12Z. MID
SHIFT MAY ELECT FURTHER EXTENSION IF IT BECOMES APPARENT THAT
ADDITIONAL RAINFALL FROM POTENTIAL STORMS TOMORROW MAY ALSO CAUSE
PROBLEMS.

&&

.IND WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING FOR INZ021-028>031-
035>049-051>057-060>065-067>072.

&&

SYNOPSIS...NIELD
NEAR TERM...JH
SHORT TERM...NIELD
LONG TERM...RYAN
AVIATION...JAS
HYDROLOGY...NIELD/JH

VISIT US AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/IND

FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK...TWITTER AND YOUTUBE AT:
WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSINDIANAPOLIS
WWW.TWITTER.COM/NWSINDIANAPOLIS
WWW.YOUTUBE.COM/NWSINDIANAPOLIS

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
736 PM EDT MON JUL 13 2015

INZ021-028>031-035>049-051>057-060>065-067>072-142345-
CARROLL-WARREN-TIPPECANOE-CLINTON-HOWARD-FOUNTAIN-MONTGOMERY-
BOONE-TIPTON-HAMILTON-MADISON-DELAWARE-RANDOLPH-VERMILLION-PARKE-
PUTNAM-HENDRICKS-MARION-HANCOCK-HENRY-VIGO-CLAY-OWEN-MORGAN-
JOHNSON-SHELBY-RUSH-SULLIVAN-GREENE-MONROE-BROWN-BARTHOLOMEW-
DECATUR-KNOX-DAVIESS-MARTIN-LAWRENCE-JACKSON-JENNINGS-
736 PM EDT MON JUL 13 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL INDIANA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

OUTLOOK: WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK POSSIBLE TONIGHT WITH
DAMAGING WINDS...LARGE HAIL AND A FEW TORNADOES POSSIBLE AS WELL
AS HEAVY RAIN AND FLASH FLOODING. THE HEAT WILL ALSO AN ISSUE WITH
AFTERNOON HEAT INDICES IN THE LOWER TO MID 90S OVER WESTERN
SECTIONS THIS EVENING.

RIVER FLOODING WILL ALSO CONTINUE.

HAZARDS: DAMAGING WINDS...LARGE HAIL AND ISOLATED TORNADOES. HEAVY
RAIN...FLOODING AND FREQUENT DEADLY CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING.
HIGH HEAT INDICES.

TIMING: SEVERE WEATHER AND FLASH FLOODING ANYTIME...BUT BEST
CHANCE WILL BE LATE EVENING TO A FEW HOURS AFTER MIDNIGHT.  THE
HEAT THIS AFTERNOON EARLY THIS EVENING.

DISCUSSION: A STATIONARY FRONT AND UPPER WAVES IN NORTHWEST FLOW
WILL INTERACT WITH AN INCREASING WARM...MOIST AND UNSTABLE
ATMOSPHERE AND RESULT IN NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS...SOME OF WHICH
COULD BE SEVERE AND OR PRODUCE HEAVY RAIN.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

OUTLOOK: THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE AGAIN ON TUESDAY AND
EARLY TUESDAY EVENING. A FEW SEVERE STORMS ARE POSSIBLE TUESDAY
ALONG WITH HEAVY RAIN AND FLOODING...BUT WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER
IS NOT EXPECTED.

THE HEAT INDEX WILL RISE INTO THE UPPER 90S TO 100 DEGREES OR MORE
IN THE LOWER WABASH VALLEY TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

FLOODING ALONG AREA RIVERS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THIS WEEK.

DISCUSSION: FRONTAL SYSTEMS ALONG WITH UPPER WAVES OF LOW
PRESSURE AROUND A SOUTHERN PLAINS DOME OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL
INTERACT WITH A WARM...MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIR MASS AND RESULT
IN AN UNSETTLED PERIOD THROUGH TUESDAY AND AGAIN STARTING LATE
THIS WEEK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED AT TIMES TONIGHT AND TUESDAY.

&&

MORE INFORMATION...ALONG WITH OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND
CLIMATE INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND...AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/IND (ALL
LOWERCASE)

JH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
1145 PM EDT MON JUL 13 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1134 PM     HAIL             INDIANAPOLIS INT'L AIRP 39.72N  86.29W
07/13/2015  E0.75 INCH       MARION             IN   ASOS

            HAIL FELL FROM 1134 TO 1140 PM EDT.

&&

BHH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
1150 PM EDT MON JUL 13 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1053 PM     TSTM WND DMG     COLUMBUS                39.21N  85.91W
07/13/2015                   BARTHOLOMEW        IN   PUBLIC

            TREE ON TOP OF HOUSE...BELIEVED TO BE A DIFFERENT HOUSE
            THAN PREVIOUS REPORT OF SAME IN COLUMBUS. TIME ESTIMATED
            FROM EARLIER REPORT. REPORT RELAYED BY MEDIA.

&&

BHH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
1219 AM EDT TUE JUL 14 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1022 PM     TSTM WND GST     MARTINSVILLE            39.42N  86.42W
07/13/2015  E60 MPH          MORGAN             IN   PUBLIC

&&

BHH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
1220 AM EDT TUE JUL 14 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1210 AM     HEAVY RAIN       2 S CASTLETON           39.88N  86.05W
07/14/2015  M1.24 INCH       MARION             IN   CO-OP OBSERVER

            24 HOUR DAILY TOTAL

&&

JAS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
1222 AM EDT TUE JUL 14 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1002 PM     TSTM WND DMG     MARTINSVILLE            39.42N  86.42W
07/13/2015                   MORGAN             IN   TRAINED SPOTTER

            POWER LINES AND NUMEROUS TREES DOWN. TIME ESTIMATED
            FROM RADAR AND GENERAL RECOLLECTION OF TIME BY SPOTTER.

&&

BHH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
1238 AM EDT TUE JUL 14 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0930 PM     TSTM WND DMG     3 NW COATESVILLE        39.72N  86.71W
07/13/2015                   PUTNAM             IN   EMERGENCY MNGR

            NUMEROUS TREES AND POWER POLES DOWN. TIME ESTIMATED.

&&

JAS