Severe Thunderstorm Warning 114, NWS Lincoln, IL

052 
WWUS53 KILX 140005
SVSILX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
705 PM CDT MON JUL 13 2015

ILC017-140012-
/O.CAN.KILX.SV.W.0114.000000T0000Z-150714T0030Z/
CASS-
705 PM CDT MON JUL 13 2015

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHWESTERN CASS COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...

THE STORMS WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAVE MOVED OUT OF THE WARNED 
AREA THEREFORE THE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM CDT FOR WEST CENTRAL
ILLINOIS.

LAT...LON 3981 9059 3983 9057 3980 9000 3952 8992
      3952 9056 3953 9058 3956 9057 3969 9065
TIME...MOT...LOC 0002Z 291DEG 59KT 3975 9046 3964 9045 3959 9059 

$$

ILC137-171-140030-
/O.CON.KILX.SV.W.0114.000000T0000Z-150714T0030Z/
MORGAN-SCOTT-
705 PM CDT MON JUL 13 2015

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 730 PM CDT
FOR MORGAN AND SCOTT COUNTIES...

AT 702 PM CDT...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM NEAR CHAPIN TO WINCHESTER TO 8 MILES WEST OF ALSEY...
MOVING EAST AT 70 MPH.

HAZARD...70 MPH WIND GUSTS. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...EXPECT CONSIDERABLE TREE DAMAGE. DAMAGE IS LIKELY TO MOBILE 
         HOMES...ROOFS AND OUTBUILDINGS. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
JACKSONVILLE...WINCHESTER...ALEXANDER...WAVERLY...BLUFFS...
FRANKLIN...MURRAYVILLE...CHAPIN...WOODSON...MANCHESTER...ALSEY...
JACKSONVILLE MUNICIPAL AIRPORT...SOUTH JACKSONVILLE...CONCORD...
GLASGOW...NAPLES...LYNNVILLE...EXETER AND LAKE JACKSONVILLE.

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 72 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 43 AND 79.
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMAIN ALERT FOR A POSSIBLE TORNADO! TORNADOES CAN DEVELOP QUICKLY
FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. IF YOU SPOT A TORNADO GO AT ONCE INTO THE
BASEMENT OR SMALL CENTRAL ROOM IN A STURDY STRUCTURE.

THIS IS AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS SITUATION. THESE STORMS ARE PRODUCING 
WIDESPREAD WIND DAMAGE ACROSS ADAMS COUNTY AND NORTHEAST PIKE 
COUNTY. SEEK SHELTER NOW INSIDE A STURDY STRUCTURE AND STAY AWAY 
FROM WINDOWS.

&&

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM CDT FOR WEST CENTRAL
ILLINOIS.

LAT...LON 3981 9059 3983 9057 3980 9000 3952 8992
      3952 9056 3953 9058 3956 9057 3969 9065
TIME...MOT...LOC 0002Z 291DEG 59KT 3975 9046 3964 9045 3959 9059 

TORNADO...POSSIBLE
HAIL...<.75IN
WIND...70MPH
 
$$

MILLER

961 
WWUS53 KILX 140019
SVSILX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
719 PM CDT MON JUL 13 2015

ILC137-171-140030-
/O.CON.KILX.SV.W.0114.000000T0000Z-150714T0030Z/
MORGAN-SCOTT-
719 PM CDT MON JUL 13 2015

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 730 PM CDT
FOR SOUTHERN MORGAN AND SCOTT COUNTIES...

AT 718 PM CDT...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM JACKSONVILLE TO 4 MILES SOUTHEAST OF MURRAYVILLE TO
NEAR MANCHESTER...MOVING EAST AT 65 MPH.

HAZARD...70 MPH WIND GUSTS. 

SOURCE...TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTERS. 

IMPACT...EXPECT CONSIDERABLE TREE DAMAGE. DAMAGE IS LIKELY TO MOBILE 
         HOMES...ROOFS AND OUTBUILDINGS. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
JACKSONVILLE...WINCHESTER...ALEXANDER...WAVERLY...FRANKLIN...
MURRAYVILLE...CHAPIN...WOODSON...MANCHESTER...ALSEY...SOUTH
JACKSONVILLE...GLASGOW...LYNNVILLE...EXETER AND LAKE JACKSONVILLE.

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 72 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 48 AND 71.
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMAIN ALERT FOR A POSSIBLE TORNADO! TORNADOES CAN DEVELOP QUICKLY
FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. IF YOU SPOT A TORNADO GO AT ONCE INTO THE
BASEMENT OR SMALL CENTRAL ROOM IN A STURDY STRUCTURE.

THIS IS A DANGEROUS SITUATION. THESE STORMS ARE PRODUCING WIDESPREAD 
WIND DAMAGE ACROSS SCOTT COUNTY AND MORGAN COUNTY...INCLUDING THE 
CITIES OF WINCHESTER...MURRAYVILLE AND JACKSONVILLE. SEEK SHELTER 
NOW INSIDE A STURDY STRUCTURE AND STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.
 
&&

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM CDT FOR WEST CENTRAL
ILLINOIS.

LAT...LON 3980 9050 3971 8998 3952 8992 3952 9056
      3953 9058 3966 9053
TIME...MOT...LOC 0018Z 291DEG 56KT 3971 9023 3956 9018 3951 9032 

TORNADO...POSSIBLE
HAIL...<.75IN
WIND...70MPH
 
$$

MILLER

152 
WWUS53 KILX 140034
SVSILX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
734 PM CDT MON JUL 13 2015

ILC137-171-140043-
/O.EXP.KILX.SV.W.0114.000000T0000Z-150714T0030Z/
MORGAN-SCOTT-
734 PM CDT MON JUL 13 2015

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHERN MORGAN AND SCOTT
COUNTIES HAS EXPIRED...
    
THE STORMS WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAVE WEAKENED BELOW SEVERE
LIMITS...AND EXITED THE WARNED AREA. THEREFORE THE WARNING HAS BEEN
ALLOWED TO EXPIRE.  HOWEVER GUSTY WINDS ARE STILL POSSIBLE WITH 
LINGERING THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH 745 PM.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM CDT FOR WEST CENTRAL
ILLINOIS.

LAT...LON 3980 9050 3971 8998 3952 8992 3952 9056
      3953 9058 3966 9053
TIME...MOT...LOC 0030Z 292DEG 56KT 3971 9023 3956 9018 3951 9032 

$$

MILLER

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
314 PM CDT MON JUL 13 2015

.SHORT TERM...(TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 300 PM CDT MON JUL 13 2015

RATHER STRONG SHORTWAVE FOR THE MIDDLE OF JULY OVER THE NORTHERN
PLAINS THIS AFTERNOON WILL HELP TO RE-IGNITE SEVERE STORMS ACROSS
THE REGION AS WE HEAD THROUGH THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS.
AN EXTREMELY UNSTABLE AIR MASS IS IN PLACE THANKS TO SURFACE DEW
POINTS IN SOME AREAS IN THE LOWER 80S WITH EFFECTIVE SHEAR VALUES OF
60-70 KTS OVER CENTRAL ILLINOIS. ALL MODES OF SEVERE WEATHER ARE
ANTICIPATED IN THIS VERY UNSTABLE ATMOSPHERE WITH DISCRETE CELLS
EXPECTED TO DEVELOP INITIALLY AND TRACK SOUTHEAST. AN OUTFLOW
BOUNDARY FROM THIS MORNING'S STORM COMPLEX WAS LOCATED OVER CENTRAL
ILLINOIS AND IF STORMS INTERACT WITH THAT BOUNDARY THE POTENTIAL FOR
TORNADOES WILL INCREASE. OVERALL, WE STILL ARE THINKING ANY DISCRETE
STORMS SHOULD QUICKLY CONGEAL INTO A SEVERE QLCS LATER THIS EVENING
INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. SEVERAL OF THE HI-RES CONVECTIVE ALLOWING
MODELS SUGGEST THE PRIMARY AREA IT WOULD TRACK WOULD BE OVER THE
EASTERN HALF OF THE FORECAST AREA...WHERE THE CAP IS FORECAST TO BE
THE WEAKEST LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. AS A RESULT...WE WILL
CONTINUE TO CARRY THE HIGHEST POPS OVER EAST CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST
ILLINOIS FOR TONIGHT. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL IS EXPECTED OVER EASTERN
IL AS WELL TONIGHT...IN ADDITION TO THE RAINS THEY RECEIVED THIS
MORNING...AS A RESULT...WE WILL HOLD ON TO THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH
UNTIL 12Z TUESDAY ACROSS THE EAST.

&&

.LONG TERM...(TUESDAY THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 300 PM CDT MON JUL 13 2015

UPPER TROF FORECAST TO ROTATE ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES TUESDAY AND
COUPLED WITH AN UNSTABLE AIR MASS AND SURFACE TROF APPROACHING FROM
THE NORTH...WILL CONTINUE TO CARRY WIDELY SCATTERED TO SCATTERED
POPS MAINLY ACROSS THE EASTERN HALF OF THE FORECAST AREA FOR
TOMORROW...MAINLY IN THE AFTERNOON. THE SHORTWAVE TROF WILL THEN
SHIFT OFF TO OUR EAST BY LATE TOMORROW EVENING...WITH LINGERING
SLIGHT CHANCE POPS FOR THE EAST...FOLLOWED BY LITTLE IF ANY THREAT
FOR RAIN LATE TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING ALONG WITH A
SLIGHTLY COOLER AIR MASS. AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES WILL DROP BACK
INTO THE 80S FOR WED AND THURSDAY. THE NEXT SHORTWAVE FOR OUR AREA
WILL APPROACH LATER ON THURSDAY INTO THURSDAY NIGHT BRINGING AN
INCREASING THREAT FOR SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS TO THE REGION.

AFTER THAT...LONGER RANGE MODELS ATTEMPT TO AMPLIFY THE UPPER
RIDGE ACROSS THE CENTER OF THE NATION AS A TROF ENTERS THE PACIFIC
NORTHWEST. THIS SHOULD RESULT IN A RETURN TO THE VERY WARM TO HOT
WEATHER FOR THE WEEKEND WITH AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES BACK INTO THE
UPPER 80S TO LOWER 90S. NEXT CHANCE FOR SCATTERED STORMS LOOKS TO
BE LATER SATURDAY OR SUNDAY AS A RIDGE TOPPING SHORTWAVE TRACKS TO
OUR NORTH ALLOWING A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY TO APPROACH OUR FORECAST
AREA.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z TUESDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 1236 PM CDT MON JUL 13 2015
THUNDERSTORMS THIS MORNING PRODUCED AN OUTFLOW BOUNDARY THAT IS
DRAPED ACROSS THE STATE AND WILL POTENTIALLY PROVIDE FOCUS FOR
AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT LATER THIS EVENING. HIGH RES
MODELS HAVING A HARD TIME WITH THE GENESIS OF THE SECOND ROUND OF
THUNDERSTORMS...WITH TIMING AS WELL AS WITH COVERAGE DUE TO
CONVECTIVE INHIBITION. AS A RESULT, THE FORECAST HAS A MAJOR TIME
FRAME UNDER VCTS FOR THIS EVENING...AND WILL POTENTIALLY BE INTO
THE OVERNIGHT HOURS IF/WHEN SOME CONSENSUS IS REACHED.

ADDITIONAL CONCERN FOR THE OVERNIGHT HOURS, PARTICULARLY EVEN IF
IT DOES NOT RAIN..DEWPOINTS ARE IN THE MID TO UPPER 70S ACROSS THE
AREA AND IF THIS DOES NOT MIX OUT...THERE WILL BE A LOT OF
MOISTURE FOR FOG DEVELOPMENT. HOWEVER, WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO STAY
UP A BIT, AND POTENTIALLY COUNTER ANY DENSE FOG DEVELOPMENT. HAVE
STARTED A TREND TO MENTION THE LOSS OF VIS.

&&

.ILX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING FOR ILZ038-043>046-
053>057-061>063-066>068-071>073.

HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 8 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR ILZ027>031-036>038-
040>045-047>056-061-062-066.

&&

SHORT TERM...SMITH
LONG TERM...SMITH
AVIATION...HJS

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
320 PM CDT MON JUL 13 2015

ILZ027>031-036-037-040>042-047>052-141100-
CASS-CHRISTIAN-FULTON-KNOX-LOGAN-MARSHALL-MASON-MENARD-MORGAN-
PEORIA-SANGAMON-SCHUYLER-SCOTT-STARK-TAZEWELL-WOODFORD-
320 PM CDT MON JUL 13 2015

...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM CDT THIS EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
ILLINOIS...NORTH CENTRAL ILLINOIS AND WEST CENTRAL ILLINOIS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

A SUBSTANTIAL RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL RE-DEVELOP IN
THE AFTERNOON TO EVENING. DAMAGING WINDS...LARGE HAIL...AND
TORNADOES WILL ALL BE POSSIBLE WITH THE STRONGER STORMS. THE
THREAT SHOULD TRANSITION INTO A MORE WIDESPREAD DAMAGING WIND
EVENT WITH THE THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.

MAXIMUM HEAT INDEX VALUES WILL RANGE FROM 105 TO 108 DEGREES AND A
HEAT ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 P.M.

MODERATE TO MAJOR FLOODING WILL CONTINUE ON THE ILLINOIS
RIVER...WHILE MINOR FLOODING CONTINUES ON PORTIONS OF THE SPOON
RIVER AND SALT CREEK.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ON THURSDAY...BUT THESE ARE
CURRENTLY NOT EXPECTED TO BE SEVERE.

HEAT INDICES AROUND 100 OR GREATER WILL RETURN FOR FRIDAY AND
SATURDAY.

MODERATE TO MAJOR FLOODING WILL CONTINUE ON THE ILLINOIS RIVER.
MINOR FLOODING ON THE SPOON RIVER AND SALT CREEK WILL SUBSIDE
OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS...BUT WILL PERSIST ALONG THE WESTERN END OF
THE SANGAMON RIVER MUCH OF THE WEEK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED TODAY...WITH THE BEST CHANCES
LATE AFTERNOON THROUGH EVENING.

ILZ038-043>045-053>056-061-062-066-141100-
CHAMPAIGN-COLES-CUMBERLAND-DE WITT-DOUGLAS-EFFINGHAM-MACON-MCLEAN-
MOULTRIE-PIATT-SHELBY-
320 PM CDT MON JUL 13 2015

...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM CDT THIS EVENING...
...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
ILLINOIS...EAST CENTRAL ILLINOIS AND SOUTH CENTRAL ILLINOIS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT. A
SUBSTANTIAL RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL RE-DEVELOP IN THE
AFTERNOON TO EVENING. DAMAGING WINDS...LARGE HAIL...AND TORNADOES
WILL ALL BE POSSIBLE WITH THE STRONGER STORMS. THE THREAT SHOULD
TRANSITION INTO A MORE WIDESPREAD DAMAGING WIND EVENT WITH THE
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.

MAXIMUM HEAT INDEX VALUES WILL RANGE FROM 105 TO 108 DEGREES AND A
HEAT ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 P.M.

MINOR FLOODING WILL CONTINUE ALONG THE EAST END OF THE SANGAMON
RIVER.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ON THURSDAY...BUT THESE ARE
CURRENTLY NOT EXPECTED TO BE SEVERE.

HEAT INDICES AROUND 100 OR GREATER WILL RETURN FOR FRIDAY AND
SATURDAY.

MINOR FLOODING ALONG THE EAST END OF THE SANGAMON RIVER IS
EXPECTED TO SUBSIDE EARLY THIS WEEK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED TODAY...WITH THE BEST CHANCES
LATE AFTERNOON THROUGH EVENING.

ILZ046-057-063-067-068-071>073-141100-
CLARK-CLAY-CRAWFORD-EDGAR-JASPER-LAWRENCE-RICHLAND-VERMILION-
320 PM CDT MON JUL 13 2015

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EAST CENTRAL
ILLINOIS...SOUTH CENTRAL ILLINOIS AND SOUTHEAST ILLINOIS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT. A
SUBSTANTIAL RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL RE-DEVELOP IN THE
AFTERNOON TO EVENING. DAMAGING WINDS...LARGE HAIL...AND TORNADOES
WILL ALL BE POSSIBLE WITH THE STRONGER STORMS. THE THREAT SHOULD
TRANSITION INTO A MORE WIDESPREAD DAMAGING WIND EVENT WITH THE
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ON THURSDAY...BUT THESE ARE
CURRENTLY NOT EXPECTED TO BE SEVERE.

HEAT INDICES AROUND 100 OR GREATER WILL RETURN FOR FRIDAY AND
SATURDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED TODAY...WITH THE BEST CHANCES
LATE AFTERNOON THROUGH EVENING.

HJS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
142 PM CDT MON JUL 13 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0915 AM     HAIL             2 SE CASTLETON          41.10N 89.67W
07/13/2015  M1.00 INCH       STARK              IL   TRAINED SPOTTER

0920 AM     TSTM WND DMG     HOOPESTON               40.47N 87.67W
07/13/2015                   VERMILION          IL   EMERGENCY MNGR

            LARGE TREE LIMBS DOWN AND A SHED DAMAGED BY WIND

0945 AM     TSTM WND DMG     4 W BISMARCK            40.27N 87.68W
07/13/2015                   VERMILION          IL   EMERGENCY MNGR

            TREE AND POWER LINES DOWN 2650 N

0949 AM     TSTM WND DMG     DANVILLE                40.14N 87.62W
07/13/2015                   VERMILION          IL   EMERGENCY MNGR

            TREE DOWN ACROSS RAILROAD TRACKS AT 3RD STREET

1020 AM     TSTM WND DMG     CATLIN                  40.07N 87.71W
07/13/2015                   VERMILION          IL   EMERGENCY MNGR

            TREE AND POWER LINES DOWN ON DOUGLAS ST.

&&

25