Severe Thunderstorm Warning 94, NWS Wichita, KS

593 
WWUS53 KICT 072311
SVSICT

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
611 PM CDT THU MAY 7 2015

KSC159-072330-
/O.CON.KICT.SV.W.0094.000000T0000Z-150507T2330Z/
RICE KS-
611 PM CDT THU MAY 7 2015

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 630 PM CDT
FOR NORTHWESTERN RICE COUNTY...

AT 610 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR CHASE...OR 9
MILES NORTHWEST OF LYONS...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL. 

SOURCE...LAW ENFORCEMENT REPORTED HALF DOLLAR SIZE HAIL 5 MILES 
NORTHWEST OF THE TOWN OF RAYMOND.

IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND DAMAGE TO 
         ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
LYONS...CHASE...BUSHTON...RAYMOND...FREDERICK AND SILICA. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

LAT...LON 3852 9848 3852 9819 3831 9815 3826 9848
TIME...MOT...LOC 2310Z 235DEG 19KT 3844 9834 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

JAKUB

543 
WWUS53 KICT 072323
SVSICT

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
623 PM CDT THU MAY 7 2015

KSC159-072332-
/O.EXP.KICT.SV.W.0094.000000T0000Z-150507T2330Z/
RICE KS-
623 PM CDT THU MAY 7 2015

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHWESTERN RICE COUNTY WILL
EXPIRE AT 630 PM CDT...
                
THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS WEAKENED BELOW SEVERE
LIMITS...AND NO LONGER POSE AN IMMEDIATE THREAT TO LIFE OR PROPERTY.
THEREFORE THE WARNING WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE.  HOWEVER SMALL HAIL
IS STILL POSSIBLE WITH THIS THUNDERSTORM.

LAT...LON 3852 9848 3852 9819 3831 9815 3826 9848
TIME...MOT...LOC 2321Z 235DEG 19KT 3844 9834 

$$

JAKUB

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
338 PM CDT THU MAY 7 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
ISSUED AT 334 PM CDT THU MAY 7 2015

SYNOPSIS...MID-AFTERNOON ANALYSIS INDICATES A COLD FRONT ORIENTED
NORTHEAST-SOUTHWEST...BISECTING CENTRAL KS...WITH A PRE-FRONTAL
CONVERGENCE ZONE A BIT FURTHER SOUTH OF THIS FEATURE. SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS HAVE BEGUN TO ERUPT ALONG THESE FEATURES. FURTHER
SOUTH...A LARGE THUNDERSTORM COMPLEX IS CURRENTLY PROGRESSING ACROSS
WESTERN OKLAHOMA. NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ARE PRESENT IN THE UPPER
LEVEL...WITH JUST MINOR/SUBTLE RIPPLES PROGRESSING NORTHEAST OVER
THE REGION.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 334 PM CDT THU MAY 7 2015

ACTIVE PATTERN THUNDERSTORM-WISE SLATED THIS EVENING THROUGH THE
WEEKEND. MUCH QUIETER AND COOLER WEATHER EXPECTED NEXT WEEK.

WHILE SCATTERED STRONG/SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED THIS
AFTERNOON-EVENING...AM NOT EXPECTING AN OUTBREAK OR WIDESPREAD
HIGH- END SEVERE WEATHER. MAIN REASONS BEING: 1) LACK OF QUALITY
DEEP LOW- LEVEL MOISTURE AND WIDESPREAD CLOUDS...PARTLY DUE TO
WESTERN OK THUNDERSTORM COMPLEX. 2) MARGINAL DEEP LAYER SHEAR AND
WEAK LOW- LEVEL SHEAR. HOWEVER...MODEST HEATING AND STEEP MID-
LEVEL LAPSE RATES HAVE CONTRIBUTED TO MLCAPES AROUND 2000
J/KG...SO SOME OCCURRENCES OF QUARTER-GOLFBALL SIZE HAIL AND
DAMAGING WINDS ARE POSSIBLE. WHILE A BRIEF/WEAK TORNADO CAN NEVER
BE RULED OUT WITH SEVERE STORMS...MUCH WEAKER LOW-LEVEL SHEAR
COMPARED TO YESTERDAY WILL LIKELY PREVENT MUCH OF A TORNADO
THREAT...OTHER THAN SOME BRIEF LANDSPOUTS OVER CENTRAL KS.
INCREASING LOW-LEVEL JET/MOISTURE TRANSPORT WILL FAVOR UPSCALE
DEVELOPMENT THROUGH EASTERN KS OVERNIGHT. STORM MERGERS/TRAINING
CELLS WILL FAVOR LOCALLY VERY HEAVY RAINFALL THROUGH TONIGHT.

THE POTENTIAL FOR WIDESPREAD HIGHER-END SEVERE WEATHER APPEARS
MOST LIKELY DURING THE AFTERNOON-EVENING OF FRIDAY AND SATURDAY.
AMONG OTHER THINGS...THIS IS SUPPORTED BY THE CIPS ANALOGS. FRIDAY
THREAT IS CONTINGENT ON HOW FAR SOUTH THE CONVECTIVE
OUTFLOW/SYNOPTIC FRONT GETS TONIGHT. LATEST GUIDANCE SUGGESTS THIS
BOUNDARY WILL SET-UP SOMEWHERE ACROSS SOUTHERN KS/NORTHERN OK BY
PEAK HEATING. GIVEN RICH LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE...THERE ARE SOME
CONCERNS ON EXTENSIVE CLOUD COVER HAMPERING DESTABILIZATION.
NONETHELESS...IF THIS HURDLE IS OVERCOME...SUBTLE SHORTWAVE ALOFT
APPROACHING FROM THE SOUTHWEST WILL LIKELY INITIATE CONVECTION BY
MID-AFTERNOON OVER THE HIGH PLAINS. STRENGTHENING DEEP LAYER SHEAR
VALUES WILL SUPPORT SUPERCELLS IN THE VICINITY OF THIS EAST-WEST
BOUNDARY...AS WELL AS FURTHER WEST/SOUTHWEST IN VICINITY OF THE
DRYLINE OVER SOUTHWEST KS AND WESTERN OK.
FURTHERMORE...STRENGTHENING LOW-LEVEL SHEAR VALUES WILL SUPPORT
THE POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED TORNADOES...A FEW OF WHICH MAY BE
STRONG. THINKING THE HIGHEST POTENTIAL FOR HIGHER-END SEVERE
WEATHER WILL BE SOUTH-CENTRAL KS AND POINTS SOUTH AND WEST.
WIDESPREAD STORMS WITH LOCALLY VERY HEAVY RAIN SHOULD SPREAD EAST
ACROSS THE REGION FRIDAY NIGHT.

THE POTENT SOUTHWEST CONUS TROUGH WILL EJECT NORTHEAST OVER THE
PLAINS SATURDAY...ATOP AN INCREASING MOIST/UNSTABLE WARM SECTOR.
GUIDANCE IS IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH PLACEMENT AND TIMING OF
SYNOPTIC FEATURES...WITH A SHARPENING DRYLINE EXPECTED OVER
WESTERN PORTIONS OF KS/OK. STRONG FORCING...STRONG INSTABILITY AND
STRENGTHENING LOW AND DEEP LAYER SHEAR WILL FAVOR A HIGH-END
OUTBREAK OF SEVERE WEATHER ACROSS THE CENTRAL/SOUTHERN
PLAINS...ESPECIALLY SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH EVENING. HIGHEST
THREAT CURRENTLY LOOKS GENERALLY ALONG/WEST OF THE FLINT HILLS.
DEGREE OF LOW-LEVEL SHEAR AND INSTABILITY SHOULD FAVOR A HANDFUL
OF STRONG/LONG-TRACKED TORNADOES ACROSS THE REGION...ALONG WITH
VERY LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS.

PLEASE STAY TUNED...AS FRIDAY AND ESPECIALLY SATURDAY HAS THE
POTENTIAL TO BE A LIFE-THREATENING...HIGH-IMPACT SEVERE WEATHER
DAY.

FURTHERMORE...WITH WET ANTECEDENT CONDITIONS AND EXPECTED
MULTIPLE ROUNDS OF STORMS...HOISTED A FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH
SATURDAY NIGHT.

ADK

.LONG TERM...(MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 334 PM CDT THU MAY 7 2015

MUCH QUIETER WEATHER EXPECTED NEXT WEEK...WITH SEASONABLY COOL
TEMPERATURES STARTING OUT THE WEEK. COULD SEE PRECIPITATION
CHANCES INCREASING BY MID-WEEK...BUT NOTHING MAJOR EXPECTED DUE TO
MARGINAL MOISTURE/INSTABILITY AND WEAK FORCING.

ADK

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z FRIDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 1232 PM CDT THU MAY 7 2015

TRANSIENT MVFR CIGS MAY IMPROVE TO VFR THROUGH 21-22Z UNTIL DEEP
MOIST CONVECTION REDEVELOPS ALONG THE SFC TROUGH AXIS. INITIAL
STORMS MAY LINGER INTO THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT HOURS WHERE
FLIGHT CATEGORIES WILL LIKELY BE REDUCED. BREEZY SOUTHERLY WINDS
WILL BECOME NORTHEAST BEHIND A COLD FRONT WHICH MAY APPROACH THE
HWY 54 CORRIDOR BEFORE STALLING.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
ISSUED AT 334 PM CDT THU MAY 7 2015

WITH WET ANTECEDENT CONDITIONS AND EXPECTED MULTIPLE ROUNDS OF
STORMS...HOISTED A FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT.
WHILE RIVER FLOODING IN NOT IMMEDIATELY LIKELY...COULD SEE MODEST
RISES ON AREA STREAM/RIVERS. PLEASE STAY TUNED FOR ANY FLOOD/FLASH
FLOOD WARNINGS THAT MAY BE ISSUED OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.

ADK

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
WICHITA-KICT    62  79  63  76 /  70  50  70  70
HUTCHINSON      59  75  61  76 /  70  50  70  70
NEWTON          60  76  61  76 /  70  50  70  70
ELDORADO        61  77  62  76 /  70  60  70  60
WINFIELD-KWLD   62  79  63  76 /  70  50  70  70
RUSSELL         56  70  57  74 /  60  40  60  70
GREAT BEND      56  72  58  73 /  60  50  60  70
SALINA          58  73  61  77 /  60  50  60  60
MCPHERSON       59  75  61  75 /  70  50  70  70
COFFEYVILLE     64  80  65  79 /  70  60  70  50
CHANUTE         63  79  64  79 /  70  60  70  50
IOLA            63  78  63  78 /  70  60  70  50
PARSONS-KPPF    64  80  64  79 /  70  60  70  50

&&

.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING FOR KSZ032-033-047>053-
067>072-082-083-091>096-098>100.

&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
450 PM CDT THU MAY 7 2015

KSZ032-033-047>053-067>072-082-083-091>096-098>100-082200-
RUSSELL-LINCOLN-BARTON-ELLSWORTH-SALINE-RICE-MCPHERSON-MARION-CHASE-
RENO-HARVEY-BUTLER-GREENWOOD-WOODSON-ALLEN-KINGMAN-SEDGWICK-HARPER-
SUMNER-COWLEY-ELK-WILSON-NEOSHO-CHAUTAUQUA-MONTGOMERY-LABETTE-
450 PM CDT THU MAY 7 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL KANSAS...
SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS AND SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH THE EVENING
ACROSS THE AREA. WHILE THE RISK FOR WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER IS
LOW...A HANDFUL OF STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF HALF-DOLLAR SIZE HAIL
AND 60 MPH WINDS. ADDITIONALLY...VERY HEAVY RAINFALL AND LOCALIZED
FLOODING WILL BE A CONCERN. PLEASE REFER TO THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH
FOR DETAILS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CHANCES RAMP UP FOR FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND
EVENING. THE THREAT FOR HIGH-END SEVERE WEATHER IS GREATEST OVER
SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF SOUTH-CENTRAL KANSAS...MAINLY SOUTH TO
SOUTHWEST OF A LINE EXTENDING FROM KINGMAN TO WICHITA TO SEDAN.
VERY LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS ARE THE MAIN CONCERNS...ALONG
WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR A FEW TORNADOES. A STRONG TORNADO IS
POSSIBLE. FURTHERMORE...AREAS OF HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLOODING WILL
REMAIN POSSIBLE THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT.

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT SHOULD CONTINUE TO INCREASE FOR
SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. A SIGNIFICANT OUTBREAK OF SEVERE
WEATHER APPEARS INCREASINGLY LIKELY...ESPECIALLY WEST OF THE FLINT
HILLS. THE MAIN THREATS WILL BE STRONG...LONG-LIVED
TORNADOES...VERY LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS.

PLEASE REMAIN APPRISED OF THE WEATHER SITUATION FRIDAY AND
ESPECIALLY SATURDAY...DUE TO THE POTENTIAL FOR THIS
SIGNIFICANT...LIFE-THREATENING SEVERE WEATHER.

THERE IS CHANCE OF SEVERE STORMS INTO EASTERN AND SOUTHEAST
KANSAS SUNDAY AFTERNOON. LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS ARE THE
MAIN CONCERNS...BUT A BRIEF TORNADO IS ALSO POSSIBLE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

STORM SPOTTERS WILL BE NEEDED ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH AT LEAST
SATURDAY EVENING.

&&

FOR A GRAPHICAL VERSION OF THIS INFORMATION...SEE OUR
WEBPAGE AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/WICHITA/HWO/

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
503 PM CDT THU MAY 7 2015

KSZ047-072230-
BARTON KS-
503 PM CDT THU MAY 7 2015

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WICHITA HAS ISSUED A

* SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR...
  SOUTHERN BARTON COUNTY IN CENTRAL KANSAS...

* UNTIL 530 PM CDT

* AT 500 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS WERE
  TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR GREAT BEND...MOVING NORTHEAST
  AT 10 MPH.

HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF NICKELS...AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE
POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  GREAT BEND...PAWNEE ROCK AND GREAT BEND AIRPORT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THESE STORMS MAY PRODUCE PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS. LISTEN FOR
LATER STATEMENTS OR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS...SHOULD THE RISK FOR
MINOR LOW-LAND FLOODING BECOME MORE IMMINENT.

&&

LAT...LON 3841 9902 3841 9859 3826 9875 3826 9902
TIME...MOT...LOC 2200Z 237DEG 11KT 3832 9885

DARMOFAL

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
517 PM CDT THU MAY 7 2015

KSZ033-072245-
LINCOLN KS-
517 PM CDT THU MAY 7 2015

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WICHITA HAS ISSUED A

* SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR...
  NORTHEASTERN LINCOLN COUNTY IN CENTRAL KANSAS...

* UNTIL 545 PM CDT

* AT 515 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS WERE
  TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR LINCOLN...MOVING NORTHEAST AT
  25 MPH.

HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF DIMES...AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE
POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  LINCOLN AND BARNARD.

LAT...LON 3922 9811 3920 9793 3917 9793 3898 9816
      3906 9836 3922 9828
TIME...MOT...LOC 2215Z 226DEG 23KT 3905 9821

DARMOFAL

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
523 PM CDT THU MAY 7 2015

KSZ049-072300-
SALINE KS-
523 PM CDT THU MAY 7 2015

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WICHITA HAS ISSUED A

* SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR...
  NORTHERN SALINE COUNTY IN CENTRAL KANSAS...

* UNTIL 600 PM CDT

* AT 522 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS WERE
  TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR SALINA...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20
  MPH.

HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF DIMES...AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE
POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  SALINA...NEW CAMBRIA AND SALINA AIRPORT.

LAT...LON 3896 9741 3876 9760 3878 9781 3896 9780
TIME...MOT...LOC 2222Z 212DEG 18KT 3882 9768

DARMOFAL

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
526 PM CDT THU MAY 07 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0524 PM     HAIL             SALINA                  38.82N 97.62W
05/07/2015  M0.88 INCH       SALINE             KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

            TRAINED SPOTTER REPORTED DIME TO NICKEL SIZE HAIL.

&&

JMR

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
531 PM CDT THU MAY 7 2015

KSZ032-072300-
RUSSELL KS-
531 PM CDT THU MAY 7 2015

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WICHITA HAS ISSUED A

* SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR...
  WEST CENTRAL RUSSELL COUNTY IN CENTRAL KANSAS...

* UNTIL 600 PM CDT

* AT 529 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS WERE
  TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR GORHAM...MOVING NORTHEAST AT
  15 MPH.

HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF NICKELS...AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE
POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  RUSSELL AND GORHAM.

LAT...LON 3878 9903 3892 9904 3909 9903 3892 9874
TIME...MOT...LOC 2229Z 225DEG 11KT 3885 9903

DARMOFAL

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
546 PM CDT THU MAY 7 2015

KSZ047-050-072315-
BARTON KS-RICE KS-
546 PM CDT THU MAY 7 2015

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WICHITA HAS ISSUED A

* SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR...
  SOUTHEASTERN BARTON COUNTY IN CENTRAL KANSAS...
  NORTHWESTERN RICE COUNTY IN CENTRAL KANSAS...

* UNTIL 615 PM CDT

* AT 543 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS WERE
  TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR ELLINWOOD...MOVING NORTHEAST AT
  25 MPH.

HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF NICKELS...AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE
POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  ELLINWOOD...CHASE...BUSHTON AND SILICA.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THESE STORMS MAY PRODUCE PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS. LISTEN FOR
LATER STATEMENTS OR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS...SHOULD THE RISK FOR
MINOR LOW-LAND FLOODING BECOME MORE IMMINENT.

&&

LAT...LON 3852 9842 3852 9840 3836 9822 3827 9850
      3836 9861
TIME...MOT...LOC 2243Z 235DEG 20KT 3837 9849

DARMOFAL