Alert archive / South Carolina / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2015

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 66, NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC

June 9, 2015Transylvania County, North Carolina; Greenville County, Pickens County, South Carolina

NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jun 9, 2015, 5:56 PM EDT for Transylvania County, North Carolina; Greenville County, Pickens County, South Carolina. It was in force for 49 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jun 9, 2015, 5:56 PM EDT (21:56 UTC)
Expired
Jun 9, 2015, 6:45 PM EDT
In force
49 min
Issued by
NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC
Area
Storm-based polygon

Counties Transylvania County, NC, Greenville County, SC, Pickens County, SC

The radar

The Greer radar (KGSP), 59 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:55 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Peachtre/Fal Fld, GA (KFFC), launched 12:00Z, 9.9 hours before the alert went out and 242 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Peachtre/Fal Fld, GA at 12:00Z on 2015-06-09Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1411 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Peachtre/Fal Fld, GA at 12:00Z on 2015-06-09The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 26 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1411 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-49 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
861 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
17 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
26 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
41 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

606 
WUUS52 KGSP 092156
SVRGSP
NCC175-SCC045-077-092245-
/O.NEW.KGSP.SV.W.0066.150609T2156Z-150609T2245Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
556 PM EDT TUE JUN 9 2015

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  SOUTHEASTERN TRANSYLVANIA COUNTY IN WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA...
  NORTHERN PICKENS COUNTY IN UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA...
  NORTHWESTERN GREENVILLE COUNTY IN UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA...

* UNTIL 645 PM EDT

* AT 556 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM
  CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS
  OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 12 MILES SOUTH OF BREVARD...OR
  NEAR TABLE ROCK STATE PARK...AND MOVING WEST AT 10 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  ROSMAN...TABLE ROCK STATE PARK...JOCASSEE GORGES...CAESARS HEAD
  STATE PARK...PUMPKINTOWN...NINE TIMES...CEDAR MOUNTAIN...SUNSET...
  ROCKY BOTTOM AND SASSAFRAS MOUNTAIN.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THIS STORM IS CAPABLE OF BLOWING DOWN SCATTERED TREES AND POWER
LINES. BRIEF LARGE HAIL MAY ALSO OCCUR. SEEK SHELTER INSIDE AN
INTERIOR ROOM.

PLEASE REPORT DAMAGING WINDS...HAIL...OR FLOODING TO THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE SPARTANBURG BY CALLING TOLL FREE...1...
800...2 6 7...8 1 0 1...OR BY POSTING ON OUR FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET
IT USING HASHTAG NWSGSP. YOUR MESSAGE SHOULD DESCRIBE THE EVENT AND
THE SPECIFIC LOCATION WHERE IT OCCURRED.

&&

LAT...LON 3513 8295 3517 8262 3500 8255 3487 8285
      3504 8291 3505 8290 3505 8292
TIME...MOT...LOC 2156Z 071DEG 8KT 3506 8268 

$$

07
2 follow-up statements
699 
WWUS52 KGSP 092227
SVSGSP

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
627 PM EDT TUE JUN 9 2015

NCC175-SCC045-077-092245-
/O.CON.KGSP.SV.W.0066.000000T0000Z-150609T2245Z/
TRANSYLVANIA NC-PICKENS SC-GREENVILLE SC-
627 PM EDT TUE JUN 9 2015

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 645 PM EDT
FOR SOUTHEASTERN TRANSYLVANIA...NORTHERN PICKENS AND NORTHWESTERN
GREENVILLE COUNTIES...

AT 627 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE
OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60
MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 11 MILES NORTH OF PICKENS...OR NEAR TABLE
ROCK STATE PARK...MOVING WEST AT 10 MPH.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
ROSMAN...TABLE ROCK STATE PARK...JOCASSEE GORGES...CAESARS HEAD STATE
PARK...PUMPKINTOWN...NINE TIMES...CEDAR MOUNTAIN...SUNSET...ROCKY
BOTTOM AND SASSAFRAS MOUNTAIN.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THIS STORM IS CAPABLE OF BLOWING DOWN SCATTERED TREES AND POWER
LINES. BRIEF LARGE HAIL MAY ALSO OCCUR. SEEK SHELTER INSIDE AN
INTERIOR ROOM.

PLEASE REPORT DAMAGING WINDS...HAIL...OR FLOODING TO THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE SPARTANBURG BY CALLING TOLL FREE...1...
800...2 6 7...8 1 0 1...OR BY POSTING ON OUR FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET
IT USING HASHTAG NWSGSP. YOUR MESSAGE SHOULD DESCRIBE THE EVENT AND
THE SPECIFIC LOCATION WHERE IT OCCURRED.

&&

LAT...LON 3513 8295 3517 8262 3500 8255 3487 8285
      3504 8291 3505 8290 3505 8292
TIME...MOT...LOC 2227Z 082DEG 7KT 3505 8272 

$$

07
769 
WWUS52 KGSP 092238
SVSGSP

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
638 PM EDT TUE JUN 9 2015

NCC175-SCC045-077-092248-
/O.EXP.KGSP.SV.W.0066.000000T0000Z-150609T2245Z/
TRANSYLVANIA NC-PICKENS SC-GREENVILLE SC-
638 PM EDT TUE JUN 9 2015

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN TRANSYLVANIA...
NORTHERN PICKENS AND NORTHWESTERN GREENVILLE COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT
645 PM EDT...
    
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS WEAKENED. 
THEREFORE THE WARNING WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE.

LAT...LON 3513 8295 3517 8262 3500 8255 3487 8285
      3504 8291 3505 8290 3505 8292
TIME...MOT...LOC 2234Z 071DEG 8KT 3505 8272 

$$

07

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jun 9, 2:50 PM EDT, 3 hours 6 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 9, 2:50 PM EDT, 3 hours 6 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
250 PM EDT TUE JUN 9 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE JUST SOUTH OF OUR AREA TONIGHT AND THEN
DISSIPATE ON WEDNESDAY. AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL GRADUALLY BUILD
OVER OUR REGION FOR THE REST OF THE WEEK.  THE RIDGE WILL BE WELL
ESTABLISHED BY LATE WEEKEND AND WE EXPECT HOT TEMPERATURES GOING
INTO NEXT WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
AS OF 230 PM...THE REGION REMAINS UNDER CYCLONIC UPPER FLOW THIS
AFTN...BRISK ENOUGH THAT A LEE TROUGH HAS DEVELOPED OVER THE
PIEDMONT. HOWEVER THE BETTER DYNAMIC FORCING ASSOC WITH THE EMBEDDED
VORT MAX HAS NOW SET UP SOUTH AND EAST OF THE CWFA. A NEARLY
STATIONARY FRONTAL BOUNDARY REMAINS INVOF THE OHIO RIVER...THIS
BOUNDARY SEPARATING THE SUBTROPICAL AIRMASS OVER THE SOUTHEAST FROM
SOMEWHAT DRIER CONTINENTAL AIR OVER THE MIDWEST.

A DEWPOINT GRADIENT DOES EXIST ACRS THE UPSTATE...WHERE THE MORE
NORTHERLY FLOW BEHIND THE TROUGH HAS NOT YET REACHED. WITH MRNG
STRATUS AND CIRRUS BANDS HAVING DEPARTED...DIURNAL DESTABILIZATION
HAS GOTTEN UNDERWAY ACRS THE AREA...WITH CONGESTED CUMULUS SEEN OVER
THE BALSAMS AND SRN BLUE RIDGE ESCARPMENT...AND CLUSTERED TSTMS SEEN
OVER THE CSRA TO OUR SOUTH WITHIN THE MORE JUICY DEWPOINTS THERE.
OVERALL FORCING REMAINS RATHER WEAK AND IT APPEARS THE BEST
CONVECTIVE COVERAGE THIS AFTN WILL BE NEAR THE LEE TROUGH AXIS.
MAINTAINED SCT THUNDER IN THE LOWER PIEDMONT ZONES AND MAINLY ISOLD
MENTION ELSEWHERE. HIGH TEMPS LOOK TO BE ON TRACK. AS FAR AS THREATS
THIS AFTN...THE GREATEST THREAT FOR SEVERE APPEARS TO BE ALONG OUR
SRN FRINGE WHERE THE CAPE VALUES ARE MUCH HIGHER. HOWEVER PROFILES
ARE DRIER FURTHER NORTH IN THE CWFA...IMPLYING ENHANCED POTENTIAL
FOR DOWNBURSTS. SHEAR IS GENERALLY UNDER 20 KT ACRS THE AREA.

TONIGHT THE DIURNALLY DRIVEN CONVECTION SHOULD DIMINISH WITH THE
LOSS OF HEATING...BUT THE DEWPOINT GRADIENT AND/OR LEE TROUGH WILL
REMAIN LOCKED UP OVER SC. SOME GUIDANCE...MAINLY THE NAM...CONTINUES
TO FIRE ELEVATED CONVECTION OVER THIS BOUNDARY WELL INTO THE NIGHT.
HOWEVER AN INSPECTION OF ITS SOUNDINGS PUT THIS IN QUESTION. THERE
IS MUCH BETTER CONSENSUS FOR A NOCTURNAL LULL ANYWAY. THE BOUNDARY
HOWEVER MAY ENABLE LINGERING MOISTURE TO DEVELOP INTO A STRATUS
LAYER OVER PARTS OF THE UPSTATE AND CLT METRO AREA. MIN TEMPS ARE
EXPECTED TO BE SIMILAR TO THOSE THIS MRNG...A FEW DEGREES ABOVE
CLIMO.

ON WEDNESDAY...UPPER TROUGH CONTINUES TO LIFT AS THE SUBTROPICAL
RIDGE BEGINS TO DOMINATE THE PATTERN. LIGHT SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL
RESUME ACRS THE CWFA. POP DISTRIBUTION SHOULD RETURN TO A MORE
CLIMATOLOGICAL PATTERN HIGHLIGHTING THE SRN ESCARPMENT REGION.
INSTABILITY WILL BE MORE LIMITED...WITH BOTH THE GFS AND NAM
BECOMING UNSTABLE OVER MOST OF THE AREA. PROFILES WILL HAVE DRIED
OUT EVEN MORE...AND SHEAR WILL BE YET WEAKER DUE TO THE LOSS OF THE
UPPER GRADIENT. ISOLATED MICROBURSTS ARE LIKELY...IF NOT
SEVERE...WITH ANY CELLS THAT FIRE. MAX TEMPS WILL BE A CATEGORY OR
TWO ABOVE NORMAL.

&&

.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
AS OF 215 PM TUESDAY...ON THURSDAY...SHORT RANGE MODELS GENERALLY
AGREE THAT THE SOUTHEAST WILL REMAIN UNDER A BROAD H5 TROUGH. BOTH
THE NAM AND GFS INDICATE THAT LIGHT SOUTH WINDS WILL TRANSPORT
MOISTURE FROM THE GULF AND ATLANTIC AREAS...ESPECIALLY DURING THE
DAYLIGHT HOURS ON THURSDAY. THE GFS FORECAST SOUNDINGS INDICATE THAT
PW VALUES WILL INCREASE FROM 1.3 AT SUNRISE TO AROUND 1.6 BY THE
LATE AFTERNOON. AS A RESULT...I WILL FORECAST INCREASING CLOUD COVER
FROM THE SOUTH AFTER 12Z. FORECAST HIGHS WILL REMAIN SLIGHTLY COOLER
OVER THE UPPER SAVANNAH RIVER VALLEY DUE TO THE EARLY ONSET OF
BROKEN OVERCAST SKY COVER. I WILL FORECAST HIGHS FROM THE UPPER 80S
NEAR THE SC/GA LINE TO LOWER 90S ACROSS THE CHARLOTTE METRO
AREA...MOUNTAINS REMAINING IN THE LOW TO MID 80S. IT APPEARS THAT
SBCAPE VALUES WILL PEAK BETWEEN 1000-1500 DURING THE HEAT OF THE
AFTERNOON. HOWEVER...AREAS ACROSS THE I-77 CORRIDOR MAY SEE LOW
LEVEL CIN REMAIN THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. THEREFORE I WILL FAVOR THE
MOUNTAIN AREAS FOR POPS...INDICATING LOW LIKELY VALUES ACROSS THE
RIDGES. BY THE LATE AFTERNOON SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
SHOULD DRIFT OVER THE FOOTHILLS...SUPPORTING POPS AROUND 30 PERCENT.

ON FRIDAY...THE NAM INDICATES A VERY WEAK MID LEVEL LOW / TROUGH
WILL DRIFT ACROSS THE UPSTATE OF SC DURING THE EARLY MORNING HOURS.
AS A RESULT...MODEL INDICATES A BAND OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
LIFTING NORTH ACROSS THE UPSTATE DURING THE PRE-DAWN HOURS...THE GFS
AND ECMWF REMAIN GENERALLY DRY DURING THIS TIME. I WILL BLEND THE
WETTER NAM WITH THE GFS AND ECMWF...INDICATING SLIGHT CHANCE POPS.
BY THE AFTERNOON HOURS MID LEVEL HEIGHTS ARE FORECAST TO RISE AS THE
CENTER OF A SUB-TROPICAL LOW APPROACHES THE ATLANTIC COAST OF
FLORIDA. FORECAST SOUNDINGS INDICATE LESS INSTABILITY ACROSS THE
FOOTHILLS AND PIEDMONT COMPARED TO THURSDAY. THE ENVIROMENT ACROSS
THE MOUNTAINS APPEARS GENERALLY UNCHANGED FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON.
THEREFORE I WILL LIMIT POPS ALONG AND EAST OF I-85 TO A SLIGHT
CHANCE. MOUNTAIN ZONES SHOULD SEE SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS DURING THE
AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING HOURS. OVERALL TEMPERATURES WILL RANGE 2-
4 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
AS OF 200 PM EDT TUESDAY...THE MEDIUM RANGE FCST PERIOD STARTS AT
00Z SATURDAY. AT THE SURFACE...BERMUDA HIGH PRESSURE WITH A
SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AT 500MB. THE MEDIUM RANGE MODELS ARE IN GOOD
AGREEMENT THAT THIS RIDGE WILL BECOME WELL ESTABLISHED BY LATE IN
THE WEEKEND AND CONTINUE INTO THE FIRST HALF OF NEXT WEEK.  500MB
HEIGHTS WILL HAVE AN ANTICYCLONE CLOSED CENTER OF AT LEAST 592. THIS
PATTERN WILL FAVOR RIDGE TOP CONVECTION WITH VERY LITTLE MOVEMENT.
AS SHOWERS AND STORMS DEVELOP...THEY WILL TEND TO RAIN THEMSELVES
OUT NEAR WHERE THEY FORMED. NOT MUCH CONVECTION OVER THE PIEDMONT.
HOWEVER...THE ECMWF IS TRENDING A BIT TOWARD RETROGRADING THE RIDGE
TO THE WEST WHICH MAY BRING CONVECTION AROUND THE TOP OF THE RIDGE
TO SPILL SE INTO THE CAROLINAS. ALSO...IF SOME VERSION OF A LEE
TROUGH WERE TO DEVELOP TOWARD MID WEEK...THIS WOULD HELP IN PIEDMONT
CONVECTION.  TEMPERATURES WILL BE WELL ABOVE NORMAL AND PERHAPS TEN
DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL WITH PIEDMONT HIGHS IN THE MID 90S NEXT WEEK.
IT IS POSSIBLE SOME PIEDMONT LOCATIONS COULD REACH UPPER 90S ON
TUESDAY.

&&

.AVIATION /19Z TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
AT KCLT...STRATOCU WILL FORM NEAR MVFR THRESHOLD BUT LIKELY LIFT TO
ABOUT 040 BEFORE FORMING A CIG. CONVECTION MAY DEEPEN INTO TSRA
ESPECIALLY ON ACCOUNT OF LEE TROUGH OVER THE PIEDMONT. BRIEF TEMPO
TO COVER THE CHANCE...BUT ACTIVITY IS PROGGED TO PROPAGATE SEWD AND
OUT OF THE AREA BY LATE AFTN. TONIGHT PLENTIFUL LOW LEVEL MOISTURE
WILL STILL BE PRESENT. THE UPPER HEIGHT GRADIENT WEAKENS BUT THE
AREA REMAINS UNDER CYCLONIC FLOW...AND A LINGERING BOUNDARY OR
TROUGH IS EXPECTED INVOF INTERSTATE 85. SOME GUIDANCE SHOWS LOW VFR
OR MVFR STRATUS DEVELOPING ALONG THAT BOUNDARY. HINTED AT THIS WITH
SCT LAYERS NEAR DAWN. WINDS WILL INITIALLY FAVOR WSW THIS AFTN...BUT
THE LEE TROF COULD BRING THEM CLOSER TO SW AT TIMES. NEARLY CALM
WINDS OVERNIGHT...COMING UP FROM THE SW AGAIN WED.

ELSEWHERE...WHILE DEEP CONVECTION THIS AFTN SHOULD BE MOST
WIDESPREAD OVER UPSTATE SC...A SMALL CHANCE EXISTS ACRS ALL SITES
AND ESP NEAR THE SRN FACING BLUE RIDGE. VCTS USED AS NEEDED TO COVER
LOW POPS. OTHERWISE MAINLY LOW VFR CU OR STRATOCU WILL BE SEEN WITH
LIGHT WLY TO SWLY BREEZES /NWLY AT KAVL/. TONIGHT LIGHT FOG IS
EXPECTED AROUND THE AREA WITH RESTRICTIVE CIGS NOT TOTALLY OUT OF
THE QUESTION OVER THE UPSTATE...WHERE A WEAK BOUNDARY OR TROUGH WILL
PERSIST. LOW VFR CU SHOULD POP OUT WED MRNG BUT PRECIP CHANCES ARE
TOO LOW TO MENTION UNTIL AFTER 18Z. WINDS WILL BE SOMEWHAT VRB EARLY
IN THE DAY...BUT WILL GENERALLY PREVAIL SOUTHERLY BY LATE MRNG.

OUTLOOK...HIGH PRESSURE RIDGING WILL REDEVELOP OVER THE SOUTHEAST
THROUGH LATE WEEK IN A TYPICAL SUMMERTIME PATTERN. ISOLD AFTN TSRA
ARE STILL POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY OVER THE MTNS. EACH MRNG SOME
RESTRICTIONS MAY OCCUR PARTICULARLY WHERE HEAVY RAIN FELL IN TSRA
THE PREVIOUS DAY.

CONFIDENCE TABLE...

            00-06Z        06-12Z        12-18Z        18-00Z
KCLT       HIGH 100%     HIGH  95%     HIGH  93%     HIGH 100%
KGSP       HIGH 100%     HIGH  97%     HIGH  99%     HIGH 100%
KAVL       MED   77%     MED   72%     HIGH  81%     HIGH 100%
KHKY       HIGH  88%     HIGH  88%     HIGH  85%     HIGH 100%
KGMU       HIGH 100%     HIGH  97%     HIGH  99%     HIGH 100%
KAND       HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     HIGH  88%     HIGH 100%

THE PERCENTAGE REFLECTS THE NUMBER OF GUIDANCE MEMBERS AGREEING
WITH THE SCHEDULED TAF ISSUANCE FLIGHT RULE CATEGORY. COMPLETE HOURLY
EXPERIMENTAL AVIATION FORECAST CONSISTENCY TABLES AND ENSEMBLE FORECASTS
ARE AVAILABLE AT THE FOLLOWING LINK: (MUST BE LOWER CASE)

WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GSP/AVIATION_TABLES

&&

.GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GA...NONE.
NC...NONE.
SC...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...DEO
NEAR TERM...WIMBERLEY
SHORT TERM...NED/HOY
LONG TERM...DEO
AVIATION...WIMBERLEY
Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 9, 3:18 PM EDT, 2 hours 38 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
318 PM EDT TUE JUN 9 2015

GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029-NCZ051-052-058-059-062>065-068>072-082-
507>510-SCZ001>014-019-101930-
RABUN-HABERSHAM-STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-GRAHAM-
NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA-HENDERSON-
CLEVELAND-LINCOLN-GASTON-MECKLENBURG-CABARRUS-UNION-
RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS-GREATER RUTHERFORD-POLK MOUNTAINS-EASTERN POLK-
OCONEE MOUNTAINS-PICKENS MOUNTAINS-GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS-
GREATER OCONEE-GREATER PICKENS-GREATER GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG-
CHEROKEE-YORK-ANDERSON-ABBEVILLE-LAURENS-CHESTER-GREENWOOD-
318 PM EDT TUE JUN 9 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST GEORGIA...PIEDMONT
NORTH CAROLINA...WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO
DEVELOP ACROSS THE WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS EAST ACROSS
THE UPSTATE OF SOUTH CAROLINA THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING. SOME OF
THESE THUNDERSTORMS COULD BE STRONG TO SEVERE WITH DAMAGING WIND
GUSTS...LARGE HAIL...AND HEAVY RAINFALL BEING THE PRIMARY THREATS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

..WEDNESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..THURSDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..FRIDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..SATURDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..SUNDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..MONDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

NONE.

NCZ033-035>037-048>050-053-056-057-501>506-101930-
AVERY-ALEXANDER-IREDELL-DAVIE-MADISON-YANCEY-MITCHELL-BUNCOMBE-
CATAWBA-ROWAN-CALDWELL MOUNTAINS-GREATER CALDWELL-BURKE MOUNTAINS-
GREATER BURKE-MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS-EASTERN MCDOWELL-
318 PM EDT TUE JUN 9 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PIEDMONT NORTH CAROLINA AND
WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

..WEDNESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..THURSDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..FRIDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..SATURDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..SUNDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..MONDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

NONE.

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jun 9, 4:32 PM EDT, 1 hour 24 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
432 PM EDT TUE JUN 9 2015

SCZ011-092100-
ABBEVILLE SC-
432 PM EDT TUE JUN 9 2015

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT PORTIONS OF CENTRAL ABBEVILLE
COUNTY UNTIL 500 PM EDT...

AT 432 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 10
MILES NORTHWEST OF ABBEVILLE...OR 4 MILES SOUTHEAST OF LAKE
SECESSION. THIS STORM WAS NEARLY STATIONARY.

PEA SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS
STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
ABBEVILLE...CALHOUN FALLS...LAKE SECESSION...LOWNDESVILLE...LAKE
RUSSELL AND ANTREVILLE.

LAT...LON 3425 8267 3427 8266 3434 8248 3418 8232
      3405 8261
TIME...MOT...LOC 2032Z 332DEG 4KT 3424 8254

07
Special weather statement, Jun 9, 4:55 PM EDT, 1 hour 1 minute before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
455 PM EDT TUE JUN 9 2015

NCZ068-SCZ008-009-092130-
CLEVELAND NC-YORK SC-CHEROKEE SC-
455 PM EDT TUE JUN 9 2015

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
CLEVELAND...WEST CENTRAL YORK AND CENTRAL CHEROKEE COUNTIES UNTIL 530
PM EDT...

AT 455 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 5
MILES NORTHEAST OF GAFFNEY...OR 4 MILES WEST OF BLACKSBURG...MOVING
SOUTHEAST AT 15 MPH.

PEA SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS
STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
GAFFNEY...BLACKSBURG...HICKORY GROVE...EARL...SMYRNA...PATTERSON
SPRINGS...PRIME OUTLET MALL...KINGS CREEK...DRAYTONVILLE AND CHEROKEE
FALLS.

LAT...LON 3515 8173 3524 8153 3500 8133 3488 8163
TIME...MOT...LOC 2055Z 334DEG 14KT 3514 8160

07
Special weather statement, Jun 9, 5:00 PM EDT, 56 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
500 PM EDT TUE JUN 9 2015

SCZ007-092130-
SPARTANBURG SC-
500 PM EDT TUE JUN 9 2015

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT PORTIONS OF CENTRAL SPARTANBURG
COUNTY UNTIL 530 PM EDT...

AT 500 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 8
MILES NORTHWEST OF SPARTANBURG...OR NEAR INMAN...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT
15 MPH.

PEA SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS
STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
SPARTANBURG...BOILING SPRINGS...LYMAN...WELLFORD...INMAN...ROEBUCK...
USC UPSTATE...MOORE...CROFT STATE PARK AND CEDAR SPRINGS.

LAT...LON 3503 8217 3511 8197 3487 8177 3475 8207
TIME...MOT...LOC 2100Z 334DEG 14KT 3502 8205

07
Special weather statement, Jun 9, 5:13 PM EDT, 43 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
513 PM EDT TUE JUN 9 2015

SCZ002-003-005-006-010-092145-
GREATER PICKENS SC-PICKENS MOUNTAINS SC-GREATER GREENVILLE SC-
GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS SC-ANDERSON SC-
513 PM EDT TUE JUN 9 2015

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT PORTIONS OF NORTHEASTERN
PICKENS...CENTRAL GREENVILLE AND NORTH CENTRAL ANDERSON COUNTIES
UNTIL 545 PM EDT...

AT 513 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 12
MILES NORTHWEST OF GREENVILLE DOWNTOWN...OR NEAR SLATER-MARIETTA...
MOVING SOUTH AT 20 MPH.

PEA SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS
STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
GREENVILLE DOWNTOWN...EASLEY...MAULDIN...GREENVILLE EASTSIDE...
BEREA...WELCOME...POWDERVILLE...TRAVELERS REST...SLATER-MARIETTA AND
FURMAN UNIVERSITY.

LAT...LON 3506 8261 3508 8240 3477 8231 3475 8264
TIME...MOT...LOC 2113Z 355DEG 17KT 3500 8250

07
Special weather statement, Jun 9, 5:41 PM EDT, 15 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
541 PM EDT TUE JUN 9 2015

NCZ064-SCZ002-003-092215-
TRANSYLVANIA NC-PICKENS MOUNTAINS SC-GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS SC-
541 PM EDT TUE JUN 9 2015

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
TRANSYLVANIA...NORTH CENTRAL PICKENS AND NORTHWESTERN GREENVILLE
COUNTIES UNTIL 615 PM EDT...

AT 540 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 11
MILES SOUTHEAST OF BREVARD...OR NEAR CAESARS HEAD STATE PARK...MOVING
NORTHWEST AT 15 MPH.

PEA SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS
STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
BREVARD...ROSMAN...DUPONT STATE FOREST...TABLE ROCK STATE PARK...
JONES GAP STATE PARK...CAESARS HEAD STATE PARK...LOOKING GLASS...
PUMPKINTOWN...CEDAR MOUNTAIN AND CLEVELAND.

LAT...LON 3535 8272 3521 8260 3519 8260 3515 8259
      3515 8255 3508 8249 3496 8266 3517 8296
TIME...MOT...LOC 2140Z 138DEG 12KT 3508 8264

07
Special weather statement, Jun 9, 5:48 PM EDT, 8 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
548 PM EDT TUE JUN 9 2015

GAZ010-SCZ001-092215-
RABUN GA-OCONEE MOUNTAINS SC-
548 PM EDT TUE JUN 9 2015

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT PORTIONS OF CENTRAL RABUN AND
WEST CENTRAL OCONEE COUNTIES UNTIL 615 PM EDT...

AT 548 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 9
MILES EAST OF CLAYTON...OR 8 MILES WEST OF OCONEE STATE PARK...MOVING
SOUTHWEST AT 5 MPH.

PEA SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS
STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
TALLULAH GORGE STATE PARK...LAKEMONT...LAKE RABUN...TALLULAH FALLS...
LONG CREEK AND MOUNTAIN REST.

LAT...LON 3494 8329 3485 8310 3463 8319 3471 8335
      3473 8338 3473 8340 3477 8347
TIME...MOT...LOC 2148Z 030DEG 6KT 3483 8324

07

The office that day

Everything else NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 8, 8:43 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGSPGaston, Lincoln32 min
Jun 8, 8:53 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGSPHaywood37 min
Jun 8, 9:11 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGSPMacon34 min
Jun 8, 9:15 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGSPBuncombe30 min
Jun 8, 9:34 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGSPJackson, Macon, Transylvania41 min
Jun 8, 9:48 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGSPTransylvania27 min
Jun 8, 10:05 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGSPHenderson, Polk, Transylvania40 min
Jun 8, 10:17 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGSPCabarrus, Mecklenburg28 min
Jun 8, 10:44 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGSPPolk31 min
Jun 8, 11:07 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGSPAlexander, Catawba, Cleveland, Rutherford23 min
Jun 8, 11:17 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGSPCleveland28 min
Jun 8, 11:29 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGSPAlexander, Catawba, Cleveland, Gaston, Iredell, Lincoln31 min
Jun 8, 11:43 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGSPCleveland, Gaston32 min
Jun 8, 11:54 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGSPDavie, Iredell, Rowan36 min
Jun 9, 12:27 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGSPMecklenburg, Union48 min
Jun 9, 5:41 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGSPTransylvania34 min
Jun 9, 4:27 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGSPSpartanburg33 min
Jun 9, 4:32 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGSPAbbeville28 min
Jun 9, 4:55 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGSPCherokee35 min
Jun 9, 5:00 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGSPSpartanburg30 min
Jun 9, 5:13 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGSPGreenville32 min
Jun 9, 5:23 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGSPSpartanburg52 min
Jun 9, 6:00 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGSPGreenville, Pickens45 min
Jun 9, 6:09 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGSPGreenville36 min
Jun 9, 6:19 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGSPAnderson, Greenville41 min
Jun 9, 6:22 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGSPYork23 min
Jun 9, 6:35 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGSPUnion25 min
Jun 9, 6:48 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGSPUnion27 min
Jun 9, 6:54 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGSPGreenville, Laurens, Spartanburg51 min
Jun 9, 6:59 PM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryGSPGreenville, Laurens, Spartanburg2 hr
Jun 9, 7:07 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGSPGreenville38 min
Jun 9, 7:08 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGSPChester52 min
Jun 9, 7:17 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGSPPickens28 min
Jun 9, 7:40 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGSPAnderson, Greenville50 min
Jun 9, 7:45 PM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryGSPYork60 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in South Carolina, 2015Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in North Carolina, 2015Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.