Alert archive / South Carolina / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2015

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 64, NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC

June 8, 2015Greenville County, Oconee County, Pickens County, South Carolina; Henderson County, Polk County, Transylvania County, North Carolina

NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jun 8, 2015, 10:05 PM EDT for Greenville County, Oconee County, Pickens County, South Carolina; Henderson County, Polk County, Transylvania County, North Carolina. It was in force for 40 min. 2 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued
Jun 8, 2015, 10:05 PM EDT (02:05 UTC)
Expired
Jun 8, 2015, 10:45 PM EDT
In force
40 min
Issued by
NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC
Area
Storm-based polygon

Counties Henderson County, NC, Polk County, NC, Transylvania County, NC, Greenville County, SC, Oconee County, SC, Pickens County, SC

The radar

The Greer radar (KGSP), 40 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 02:05 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

TimeReportWhereRemark
Jun 8, 10:25 PM EDTTSTM WND DMGCedar Mountain, NCPOWER LINES AND FEW TREES DOWN IN CEDAR MOUNTAIN
Jun 8, 10:25 PM EDTTSTM WND DMGLittle River, NCTREE DOWN IN LITTLE RIVER

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

Did it verify

Verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow matched 2 storm reports to this severe thunderstorm warning; the first came 20 minutes after it went out.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC (KGSO), launched 00:00Z, 2.1 hours before the alert went out and 251 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC at 00:00Z on 2015-06-09Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 418 joules per kilogram.LCLEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC at 00:00Z on 2015-06-09The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 77 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
418 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-3 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1380 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
28 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
77 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
140 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.1
Supercell composite
1.2

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

718 
WUUS52 KGSP 090205
SVRGSP
NCC089-149-175-SCC045-073-077-090245-
/O.NEW.KGSP.SV.W.0064.150609T0205Z-150609T0245Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1005 PM EDT MON JUN 8 2015

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  TRANSYLVANIA COUNTY IN WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA...
  WESTERN POLK COUNTY IN WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA...
  SOUTHERN HENDERSON COUNTY IN WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA...
  NORTHEASTERN OCONEE COUNTY IN UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA...
  PICKENS COUNTY IN UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA...
  NORTHWESTERN GREENVILLE COUNTY IN UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA...

* UNTIL 1045 PM EDT

* AT 1004 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A LINE OF SEVERE
  THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60
  MPH. THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 4 MILES
  WEST OF BREVARD TO 3 MILES NORTHWEST OF WALHALLA...AND MOVING EAST
  AT 35 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  EASLEY...HENDERSONVILLE...BREVARD...WALHALLA...PICKENS...
  COLUMBUS...BEREA...TRAVELERS REST...LIBERTY AND FLAT ROCK.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THESE STORMS ARE CAPABLE OF BLOWING DOWN SCATTERED TREES AND POWER
LINES. BRIEF LARGE HAIL MAY ALSO OCCUR. SEEK SHELTER INSIDE AN
INTERIOR ROOM.

PLEASE REPORT DAMAGING WINDS...HAIL...OR FLOODING TO THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE SPARTANBURG BY CALLING TOLL FREE...1...
800...2 6 7...8 1 0 1...OR BY POSTING ON OUR FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET
IT USING HASHTAG NWSGSP. YOUR MESSAGE SHOULD DESCRIBE THE EVENT AND
THE SPECIFIC LOCATION WHERE IT OCCURRED.

&&

LAT...LON 3474 8321 3529 8282 3540 8226 3539 8226
      3540 8224 3540 8218 3541 8217 3541 8216
      3540 8213 3537 8210 3482 8249 3476 8261
TIME...MOT...LOC 0204Z 261DEG 32KT 3524 8280 3482 8311 

$$

07
1 follow-up statement
709 
WWUS52 KGSP 090232
SVSGSP

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1032 PM EDT MON JUN 8 2015

NCC089-149-175-SCC045-073-077-090245-
/O.CON.KGSP.SV.W.0064.000000T0000Z-150609T0245Z/
TRANSYLVANIA NC-POLK NC-HENDERSON NC-OCONEE SC-PICKENS SC-
GREENVILLE SC-
1032 PM EDT MON JUN 8 2015

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1045 PM EDT
FOR TRANSYLVANIA...WESTERN POLK...SOUTHERN HENDERSON...NORTHEASTERN
OCONEE...PICKENS AND NORTHWESTERN GREENVILLE COUNTIES...

AT 1032 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A LINE OF SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60
MPH. THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 4 MILES
SOUTHWEST OF HENDERSONVILLE TO 6 MILES WEST OF PICKENS...MOVING EAST
AT 35 MPH.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
EASLEY...HENDERSONVILLE...BREVARD...WALHALLA...PICKENS...COLUMBUS...
BEREA...TRAVELERS REST...LIBERTY AND FLAT ROCK.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THESE STORMS ARE CAPABLE OF BLOWING DOWN SCATTERED TREES AND POWER
LINES. BRIEF LARGE HAIL MAY ALSO OCCUR. SEEK SHELTER INSIDE AN
INTERIOR ROOM.

PLEASE REPORT DAMAGING WINDS...HAIL...OR FLOODING TO THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE SPARTANBURG BY CALLING TOLL FREE...1...
800...2 6 7...8 1 0 1...OR BY POSTING ON OUR FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET
IT USING HASHTAG NWSGSP. YOUR MESSAGE SHOULD DESCRIBE THE EVENT AND
THE SPECIFIC LOCATION WHERE IT OCCURRED.

&&

LAT...LON 3474 8321 3529 8282 3540 8226 3539 8226
      3540 8224 3540 8218 3541 8217 3541 8216
      3540 8213 3537 8210 3482 8249 3476 8261
TIME...MOT...LOC 0232Z 261DEG 32KT 3528 8252 3486 8283 

$$

07

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jun 8, 8:17 PM EDT, 1 hour 48 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 8, 8:17 PM EDT, 1 hour 48 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
817 PM EDT MON JUN 8 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
A COLD FRONT CROSS THE REGION FROM THE NORTHWEST TUESDAY EVENING.
SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS BACK IN FOR THE REST OF THE
WEEK...RESULTING IN DAILY SCATTERED AFTERNOON AND EVENING
THUNDERSTORMS AND ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY/...
AS OF 8 PM...AFTER A BRIEF UPTICK IN CONVECTIVE COVERAGE ACROSS THE
FOOTHILLS AND SOUTHERN ESCARPMENT AREA...THAT ACTIVITY IS BEGINNING
TO DIMINISH IN TERMS OF COVERAGE AND INTENSITY AS IT PUSHES INTO THE
PIEDMONT. MEANWHILE...TENN VALLEY/SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN CONVECTION...
WHILE QUITE WIDESPREAD...HAS ALSO BEEN DIMINISHING IN INTENSITY.
LIKELY TO CATEGORICAL POPS WILL BE CARRIED ACROSS MUCH OF THE MTNS
AND NC FHILLS FOR THE NEXT FEW HOURS...WITH POPS GRADUALLY
INCREASING TOWARD THE HIGH END OF CHANCE ACROSS THE UPPER SAVANNAH
RIVER VALLEY/UPSTATE SC BY LATE EVENING...AS AREA OF CONVECTION
ACROSS NORTH GA DRAWS NEARER. ACTIVITY IS WELL DEVELOPED ENOUGH THAT
MUCH OF THE WESTERN HALF OF THE AREA WILL PROBABLY SEE AT LEAST A
LITTLE RAIN...BUT WITH THE RACE AGAINST A COOLING BOUNDARY LAYER
WELL UNDERWAY...AND WEAK ENVIRONMENTAL SHEAR THAT WILL MAKE IT
DIFFICULT TO SUSTAIN ORGANIZATION... THE OVERALL TREND IN INTENSITY
AND COVERAGE IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN IN THE NEGATIVE. THEREFORE...THE
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT WILL REMAIN LOW...WHILE THERE COULD BE AN
EMERGING HYDRO CONCERN...ESP IF AREAS THAT HAVE SEEN HEAVY RAIN NEAR
THE BLUE RIDGE TODAY SEE ANOTHER ROUND LATER TONIGHT.

AS OF 430 PM...CONVECTION REMAINS RATHER TAME IN TERMS OF INTENSITY
AND COVERAGE THUS FAR THIS AFTERNOON. BEST COVERAGE OVER THE PAST
COUPLE OF HOURS HAS BEEN ACROSS THE SC PIEDMONT...WITHIN AXIS OF
2000+ SBCAPE. HOWEVER...THE OUTFLOW FROM THIS ACTIVITY HAS BEEN AN
UNDERPERFORMER AS IT/S MOVED FARTHER NORTH INTO THE I-85 CORRIDOR.
MEANWHILE...COVERAGE ACROSS MUCH OF THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST
AREAS HAS BEEN WIDELY SCATTERED. MEANWHILE...WIDESPREAD ACTIVITY
PERSISTS ACROSS THE TENN VALLEY/CUMBERLAND PLATEAU WITHIN BETTER
FORCED/PRE-FRONTAL ENVIRONMENT. DESPITE THE APPROACH OF ANOMALOUSLY
STRONG UPPER TROUGH...SHEAR REMAINS QUITE WEAK ACROSS MUCH OF THE
SOUTHEAST...WITH THE BEST 0-6KM BULK SHEAR PROFILES STILL OVER THE
OHIO VALLEY AND MID-MISS VALLEY. THIS CERTAINLY IS REFLECTED NICELY
ON REGIONAL 88DS...WHICH REVEAL DECIDEDLY BETTER ORGANIZATION OF
THE ACTIVITY ACROSS NE TENN AND EASTERN KENTUCKY. MEANWHILE...
ALTHOUGH FLOW HAS IMPROVED THROUGH A DEEP LAYER ACROSS OUR FORECAST
AREA...UNIDIRECTIONAL PROFILES ARE YIELDING NON-EXISTENT LOW LEVEL
SHEAR. OVERALL...IT DOESN/T APPEAR THAT THERE WILL BE MUCH OF AN
OPPORTUNITY FOR ANY LOCALIZED UPSCALE ORGANIZATION ACROSS OUR AREA
THIS AFTERNOON. THUS...THE SEVERE POTENTIAL WILL BE LIMITED TO
PERHAPS A FEW PULSE STORMS. SOME UPTICK IN THE POTENTIAL FOR
SOMEWHAT ORGANIZED/LOCALIZED SEVERE STORMS WILL OCCUR EARLY THIS
EVENING...MAINLY ACROSS OUR NW ZONES...AS THE EAST TENN ACTIVITY
PUSHES INTO WESTERN NC...JUST IN TIME FOR INSTABILITY TO BEGIN ITS
NOCTURNAL WANE.

AS OF 215 PM...A LARGE UPPER TROF WILL CROSS THE GREAT LAKES AND
OHIO VALLEY TONIGHT. AN ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT WAS ANALYZED BACK OVER
THE GREAT LAKES TO THE MIDWEST. A COUPLE OF LINES OF PRE-FRONTAL
CONVECTION HAS FIRED ACRS THE CENTRAL APPALACHIANS AND TN VALLEY.
THIS ACTIVITY WILL PROPAGATE EAST TOWARD THE NC MTNS THIS EVENING.
THE HIGH-RES MODELS SEEM TO BE TRENDING TOWARD THE BULLISH NAM ON
BRINGING AN MCS INTO THE MTNS EARLY THIS EVENING...THEN GRADUALLY
WEAKENING THE LINE AS IT CROSSES THE MTNS...WITH SOME
DEBRIS/DECAYING SHOWERS TO THE PIEDMONT BEFORE DAYBREAK TUESDAY. IN
THE MEANTIME...THE CWFA IS ALREADY UNSTABLE...WITH SCATTERED TO
NUMEROUS SHWRS AND A FEW GARDEN VARIETY TSTMS DEVELOPING. THE LATEST
SPC MESOANALYSIS PAGE SHOWS 1500-2500 J/KG OF SBCAPE WITH ABOUT
600-800 J/KG OF DCAPE. SO A COUPLE OF MARGINALLY SEVERE STORMS IS
POSSIBLE THIS AFTN. OTHERWISE...THE BETTER CHC FOR SEVERE WX WILL BE
WITH THE MCS ALONG THE TN/NC BORDER THIS EVENING. POPS REFLECT THIS
THINKING...WITH SOLID CHC TO LIKELY THIS AFTN...THEN CATEGORICAL
ALONG THE TN BORDER TO CHC ALONG AND SOUTHEAST OF I-85 THIS EVENING.
TEMPS WILL BE ABOVE NORMAL MAINLY IN THE 60S OVERNIGHT.

TUESDAY...THE COLD FRONT WILL PUSH INTO THE NC MTNS BY
MIDDAY...ALLOWING THE PIEDMONT TO REMAIN MOIST AND UNSTABLE FOR AFTN
HEATING. THE GFS HAS SBCAPE REACH INTO THE 2000 J/KG RANGE...BUT THE
12Z NAM NOW MIXES OUT THE DEWPTS WITH AN INCREASING DOWNSLOPE
WESTERLY FLOW...SUCH THAT ONLY A FEW POCKETS OF 1000-1500 J/KG ARE
SEEN IN OUR AREA. THE FCST SNDGS ALSO SHOW INCREASING CIN...AS
DOWNSLOPE WARMS THE 850 MB TEMPS. SO THINK THERE WILL ONLY BE ISOLD
TO WIDELY SCATTERED CONVECTION...MAINLY ALONG AND SOUTH OF I-85.
GIVEN THE POTENTIAL CAPE...ANY STORMS THAT DEVELOP MAY BE
SEVERE...WITH HAIL AND WIND BEING POTENTIAL THREATS. TEMPS WILL BE
NEAR OR SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL...DESPITE THE UPPER TROF OVER THE AREA.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
AS OF 2 PM EDT MONDAY...THE FIRST PORTION OF THE SHORT TERM
WILL BE RATHER QUIET AS THE WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY AND ANY ASSOCIATED
CONVECTION SLIPS SOUTH THE AREA INTO THE SC MIDLANDS TUE EVENING PER
THE GFS SOLUTION. HIGH WEAK PRESSURE IS EXPECTED TO BUILD OVER THE
AREA TUE NIGHT INTO WED WITH CONVECTIVE CHANCES SUPPRESSED FOR MUCH
OF WEDNESDAY. HOWEVER...BOTH THE 12Z NAM AND GFS FORECAST WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON CAPES OVER THE MOUNTAINS TO RECOVER TO NEAR OR ABOVE
1000J/KG WHICH WOULD SUPPORT ISOLATED/SCT THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE
HIGH TERRAIN. THIS ACTIVITY SHOULD FADE QUICKLY WEDNESDAY EVENING.
ON THURSDAY...DIURNALLY DRIVEN ISOLATED/SCT CONVECTION IS EXPECTED
ACROSS MOST OF THE FORECAST AREA WITH WEAK SOUTHERLY FLOW AND
MODESTLY UNSTABLE AIRMASS. TEMPS ARE EXPECTED TO BE NEAR CLIMO ON
WED... WARMING A COUPLE DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL ON THU.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
AS OF 145 PM EDT MONDAY...THE MEDIUM RANGE WILL FEATURE A BUILDING
UPPER ANTICYCLONE OVER SE STATES WHICH WILL ALLOW THE SUBTROPICAL
SURFACE HIGH TO BUILD WESTWARD ACROSS THE AREA. THIS DEEP LAYER
RIDGING LOOKS TO PREVAIL THROUGH THE PERIOD. THE OPERATIONAL GFS AND
EC HINT THAT A BACKDOOR FRONT MIGHT MAKE A RUN AT THE AREA EARLY
NEXT WEEK...BUT WPC KEEPS THE BOUNDARY WELL NORTH OF THE AREA WHICH
LOOKS REASONABLE. HENCE WITH THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE REMAINING IN
PLACE...IT WILL WORK TO KEEP CONVECTION RELATIVELY SUPPRESSED ACROSS
THE SOUTHEAST U.S. THE BEST CHANCES FOR DIURNALLY DRIVEN CONVECTION
WILL BE OVER THE MOUNTAINS WHERE DIFFERENTIAL HEATING AFFECTS WILL
BE MOST PRONOUNCED. THE FCST WILL FEATURE DIURNAL TSRA OVER THE
REGION EACH AFTERNOON WITH THE HIGHEST POPS RESIDING OVER MOUNTAINS.
WITH THE DEEP LAYER RIDGING...TEMPS ARE EXPECTED TO BE VERY WARM
WITH MAX TEMPS A CATEGORY OR TWO ABOVE CLIMO.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
AT KCLT...THE MOST IMMEDIATE NEAR TERM CONCERN IS THE CHANCES FOR
CONVECTION THIS EVENING. SCATTERED ACTIVITY ACROSS THE FOOTHILLS WAS
FINALLY BEGINNING TO MOVE...AFTER BEING ANCHORED NEAR THE BLUE RIDGE
FOR THE PAST COUPLE HOURS. MEAN WINDS HAVE BEEN CARRYING CELLS OFF
TO THE E/NE TODAY...AND THIS MAY PUT THESE CELLS IN THE VCNY OF THE
TERMINAL BY AROUND 02Z. SINCE THE OVERALL TREND IN COVERAGE AND
INTENSITY IS DOWN ACROSS THE WESTERN CAROLINAS...OPTED TO ADVERTISE
A VCSH BEGINNING AT 02Z. CERTAINLY CANNOT RULE OUT A TS...BUT THE
PROBABILITY APPEARS LOW ATTM. ATTENTION THEN WILL TURN TO WIDESPREAD
ACTIVITY ACROSS THE TENN VALLEY. THIS ACTIVITY MAY HAVE ENOUGH
SUPPORT TO SURVIVE THE TRIP ACROSS THE MTNS AND UPSTATE SC...AND
WOULD LIKELY ARRIVE AT KCLT AFTER ABOUT 06Z IF IT DOES SO. ADDED A
TEMPO FOR SHRA FROM 06-09Z TO ACCOUNT FOR THIS. AGAIN...TS CANNOT BE
RULED OUT...BUT IT/S NOT AT ALL LIKELY. OTHERWISE...CIG/VISBY
RESTRICTIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE AGAIN TOWARD DAYBREAK...BUT MAY BE
LARGELY CONTINGENT UPON IF/HOW MUCH RAIN FALLS AT THE TERMINAL LATER
TONIGHT. SINCE THAT IS QUITE UNCERTAIN...OPTED FOR A SCT015 MENTION
TOWARD DAYBREAK. ADDITIONAL CONVECTION COULD DEVELOP TUE
AFTERNOON...BUT CURRENT INDICATIONS ARE THAT DRIER AIR WILL LEAD TO
VERY SPARSE COVERAGE.

ELSEWHERE...CONVECTION WILL BE POSSIBLE JUST ABOUT ANYWHERE OVER THE
NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS...ALTHOUGH COVERAGE SHOULD REMAIN SPARSE ENOUGH
SUCH THAT VCSH SHOULD SUFFICE AT MOST TERMINALS (KHKY BEING THE
EXCEPTION...WHERE TEMPOS HAVE BEEN INCLUDED THIS EVENING).
OTHERWISE...CONVECTIVE CHANCES ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE TOWARD
MIDNIGHT AND FOR A COUPLE OF HOURS THEREAFTER...AS WIDESPREAD
ACTIVITY ACROSS THE TENN VALLEY MOVES INTO THE CAROLINAS. TEMPOS FOR
TSRA HAVE BEEN CARRIED AT ALL TERMINALS DURING THIS TIME FRAME.
CIG/VISBY RESTRICTIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE AGAIN TOWARD DAYBREAK...BUT
MAY BE LARGELY CONTINGENT UPON IF/HOW MUCH RAIN FALLS AT THE
TERMINALS LATER TONIGHT. SINCE THAT IS QUITE UNCERTAIN...GENERALLY
OPTED FOR A VFR FORECAST TOWARD DAYBREAK...EXCEPT FOR MVFR
CONDITIONS AT KAVL. ADDITIONAL CONVECTION COULD DEVELOP TUE
AFTERNOON...BUT CURRENT INDICATIONS ARE THAT DRIER AIR WILL LEAD TO
VERY SPARSE COVERAGE.

OUTLOOK...A COLD FRONT FRONT MAY STALL JUST SE OF THE AREA
WEDNESDAY...WITH CONTINUED DIURNAL ISOLD TO SCT TSTM CHANCES THROUGH
MID WEEK. HIGH PRESSURE RIDGING WILL REDEVELOP THROUGH LATE
WEEK...BUT WITH ISOLD AFTN TSRA STILL POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY OVER THE
MTNS.

CONFIDENCE TABLE...

            00-06Z        06-12Z        12-18Z        18-00Z
KCLT       HIGH 100%     HIGH  95%     HIGH  93%     HIGH 100%
KGSP       HIGH 100%     HIGH  97%     HIGH  99%     HIGH 100%
KAVL       MED   77%     MED   72%     HIGH  81%     HIGH 100%
KHKY       HIGH  88%     HIGH  88%     HIGH  85%     HIGH 100%
KGMU       HIGH 100%     HIGH  97%     HIGH  99%     HIGH 100%
KAND       HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     HIGH  88%     HIGH 100%

THE PERCENTAGE REFLECTS THE NUMBER OF GUIDANCE MEMBERS AGREEING
WITH THE SCHEDULED TAF ISSUANCE FLIGHT RULE CATEGORY. COMPLETE HOURLY
EXPERIMENTAL AVIATION FORECAST CONSISTENCY TABLES AND ENSEMBLE FORECASTS
ARE AVAILABLE AT THE FOLLOWING LINK: (MUST BE LOWER CASE)

WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GSP/AVIATION_TABLES

&&

.GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GA...NONE.
NC...NONE.
SC...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...ARK
NEAR TERM...ARK/JDL
SHORT TERM...LG
LONG TERM...LG
AVIATION...JDL
Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 8, 3:55 PM EDT, 6 hours 10 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
355 PM EDT MON JUN 8 2015

GAZ010-017-NCZ033-035-048>053-058-059-062>065-501>510-092000-
RABUN-HABERSHAM-AVERY-ALEXANDER-MADISON-YANCEY-MITCHELL-SWAIN-
HAYWOOD-BUNCOMBE-GRAHAM-NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON-
TRANSYLVANIA-HENDERSON-CALDWELL MOUNTAINS-GREATER CALDWELL-
BURKE MOUNTAINS-GREATER BURKE-MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS-EASTERN MCDOWELL-
RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS-GREATER RUTHERFORD-POLK MOUNTAINS-EASTERN POLK-
355 PM EDT MON JUN 8 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST GEORGIA AND WESTERN
NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND
EVENING HOURS ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS AND FOOTHILLS OF NORTH CAROLINA
AND EXTREME NORTHEAST GEORGIA. CLOUD- TO-GROUND LIGHTNING...GUSTY
WINDS...AND HEAVY DOWNPOURS WILL BE THE MAIN THREATS FROM MOST OF
THE STORMS. A FEW OF THE STRONGER STORMS COULD PRODUCE DAMAGING
WIND GUSTS AND LARGE HAIL THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY THIS EVENING.

LATER THIS EVENING...STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS MAY APPROACH
THE NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS FROM THE NORTHWEST. IF THE STORMS
DEVELOP AS EXPECTED...DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND LARGE HAIL WOULD BE
THE MAIN THREATS. THE STORMS WILL MOST LIKELY WEAKEN AS THEY
CROSS THE NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS THROUGH DAYBREAK ON TUESDAY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

..TUESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..WEDNESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..THURSDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..FRIDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..SATURDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..SUNDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

NONE.

GAZ018-026-028-029-NCZ036-037-056-057-068>072-082-SCZ001>014-019-
092000-
STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT-IREDELL-DAVIE-CATAWBA-ROWAN-CLEVELAND-
LINCOLN-GASTON-MECKLENBURG-CABARRUS-UNION-OCONEE MOUNTAINS-
PICKENS MOUNTAINS-GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS-GREATER OCONEE-
GREATER PICKENS-GREATER GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG-CHEROKEE-YORK-
ANDERSON-ABBEVILLE-LAURENS-CHESTER-GREENWOOD-
355 PM EDT MON JUN 8 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST GEORGIA...PIEDMONT
NORTH CAROLINA AND UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE PIEDMONT OF THE
CAROLINAS AND EXTREME NORTHEAST GEORGIA. CLOUD- TO-GROUND
LIGHTNING...GUSTY WINDS...AND HEAVY DOWNPOURS WILL BE THE MAIN
THREATS FROM MOST OF THE STORMS. A FEW OF THE STRONGER STORMS
COULD PRODUCE DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND LARGE HAIL THIS AFTERNOON
AND EARLY THIS EVENING. ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE
DURING THE PRE-DAWN HOURS ON TUESDAY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

..TUESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..WEDNESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..THURSDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..FRIDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..SATURDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..SUNDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

NONE.

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jun 8, 8:53 PM EDT, 1 hour 12 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
853 PM EDT MON JUN 8 2015

NCZ052-053-059-064-090130-
BUNCOMBE NC-TRANSYLVANIA NC-HAYWOOD NC-NORTHERN JACKSON NC-
853 PM EDT MON JUN 8 2015

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT PORTIONS OF NORTHEASTERN
JACKSON...NORTH CENTRAL TRANSYLVANIA...SOUTHWESTERN BUNCOMBE AND
SOUTHEASTERN HAYWOOD COUNTIES UNTIL 930 PM EDT...

AT 853 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR
WAYNESVILLE...MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH.

WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
WAYNESVILLE...CANTON...LAKE JUNALUSKA...CLYDE...MAGGIE VALLEY...
BALSAM...B.R. PARKWAY...BALSAM GAP TO BLACK BALSAM AREA...BLACK
BALSAM AREA...GRAVEYARD FIELDS AND B.R. PARKWAY...BLACK BALSAM TO
MOUNT PISGAH.

LAT...LON 3545 8270 3542 8274 3538 8270 3530 8271
      3536 8313 3555 8311 3557 8269
TIME...MOT...LOC 0053Z 274DEG 21KT 3546 8303

07
Special weather statement, Jun 8, 9:11 PM EDT, 54 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
911 PM EDT MON JUN 8 2015

GAZ010-NCZ062-063-090145-
RABUN GA-SOUTHERN JACKSON NC-MACON NC-
911 PM EDT MON JUN 8 2015

...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT PORTIONS OF RABUN...
SOUTHEASTERN JACKSON AND MACON COUNTIES UNTIL 945 PM EDT...

AT 910 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A LINE OF STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 5 MILES WEST OF FRANKLIN TO
7 MILES SOUTHEAST OF BLAIRSVILLE...AND MOVING EAST AT 45 MPH.

WIND GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
FRANKLIN...CLAYTON...HIGHLANDS...MOUNTAIN CITY...TIGER...DILLARD...
SKY VALLEY...CASHIERS...MOCCASIN CREEK STATE PARK AND BLACK ROCK
MOUNTAIN STATE PARK.

LAT...LON 3488 8366 3492 8360 3494 8360 3495 8355
      3499 8355 3500 8348 3500 8352 3502 8352
      3510 8360 3523 8348 3527 8331 3523 8328
      3524 8323 3523 8322 3529 8292 3524 8292
      3479 8337 3478 8356 3482 8359 3483 8366
TIME...MOT...LOC 0110Z 259DEG 38KT 3519 8349 3482 8384

07
Special weather statement, Jun 8, 9:15 PM EDT, 50 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
915 PM EDT MON JUN 8 2015

NCZ052-053-065-090145-
BUNCOMBE NC-HENDERSON NC-HAYWOOD NC-
915 PM EDT MON JUN 8 2015

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN BUNCOMBE...
EAST CENTRAL HAYWOOD AND NORTHERN HENDERSON COUNTIES UNTIL 945 PM
EDT...

AT 915 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 9
MILES SOUTHWEST OF WEST ASHEVILLE...OR 4 MILES WEST OF ENKA...MOVING
EAST AT 30 MPH.

PEA SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS
STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
WEST ASHEVILLE...EAST ASHEVILLE...NORTH ASHEVILLE...DOWNTOWN
ASHEVILLE...ARDEN...ASHEVILLE AIRPORT...SKYLAND...BLACK MOUNTAIN...
FLETCHER AND SWANNANOA.

LAT...LON 3545 8285 3562 8279 3565 8232 3536 8236
TIME...MOT...LOC 0115Z 284DEG 27KT 3552 8273

07
Local storm report, Jun 8, 9:23 PM EDT, 42 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
923 PM EDT MON JUN 08 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0730 PM     NON-TSTM WND DMG E DYSARTSVILLE          35.60N 81.87W
06/08/2015                   MCDOWELL           NC   EMERGENCY MNGR

            MCDOWELL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT REPORTED TREES DOWN AND A
            PARTIAL ROOF TORN OFF A BARN NEAR DYSARTSVILLE. TIME HAS
            BEEN ESTIMATED

&&

LVISIN
Special weather statement, Jun 8, 9:48 PM EDT, 17 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
948 PM EDT MON JUN 8 2015

NCZ052-059-063-064-090215-
SOUTHERN JACKSON NC-TRANSYLVANIA NC-HAYWOOD NC-NORTHERN JACKSON NC-
948 PM EDT MON JUN 8 2015

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT PORTIONS OF EAST CENTRAL
JACKSON...CENTRAL TRANSYLVANIA AND SOUTHEASTERN HAYWOOD COUNTIES
UNTIL 1015 PM EDT...

AT 948 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 14
MILES WEST OF BREVARD...OR 8 MILES SOUTHWEST OF BLACK BALSAM AREA...
MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.

WIND GUSTS UP TO 55 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
BREVARD...DUPONT STATE FOREST...LOOKING GLASS...BLACK BALSAM AREA...
GRAVEYARD FIELDS...MOUNT PISGAH...B.R. PARKWAY...BALSAM GAP TO BLACK
BALSAM AREA...B.R. PARKWAY...BLACK BALSAM TO MOUNT PISGAH...PENROSE
AND BALSAM GROVE.

LAT...LON 3534 8307 3542 8274 3530 8262 3529 8262
      3529 8261 3526 8262 3526 8260 3519 8260
      3515 8309
TIME...MOT...LOC 0148Z 276DEG 26KT 3525 8299

07
Local storm report, Jun 8, 10:05 PM EDT, 0 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1005 PM EDT MON JUN 08 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0940 PM     TSTM WND DMG     HIGHLANDS               35.05N 83.20W
06/08/2015                   MACON              NC   EMERGENCY MNGR

            MULTIPLE TREES DOWN

&&

LVISIN

The office that day

Everything else NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 8, 9:34 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGSPOconee, Pickens41 min
Jun 8, 10:44 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGSPGreenville, Pickens31 min
Jun 8, 11:17 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGSPCherokee, Spartanburg28 min
Jun 8, 11:43 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGSPCherokee, Laurens, Union, York32 min
Jun 9, 4:27 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGSPSpartanburg33 min
Jun 9, 4:32 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGSPAbbeville28 min
Jun 9, 4:55 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGSPCherokee35 min
Jun 9, 5:00 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGSPSpartanburg30 min
Jun 9, 5:13 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGSPGreenville32 min
Jun 9, 5:23 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGSPSpartanburg52 min
Jun 9, 5:56 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGSPGreenville, Pickens49 min
Jun 9, 6:00 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGSPGreenville, Pickens45 min
Jun 9, 6:09 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGSPGreenville36 min
Jun 9, 6:19 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGSPAnderson, Greenville41 min
Jun 9, 6:22 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGSPYork23 min
Jun 9, 6:35 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGSPUnion25 min
Jun 9, 6:48 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGSPUnion27 min
Jun 9, 6:54 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGSPGreenville, Laurens, Spartanburg51 min
Jun 9, 6:59 PM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryGSPGreenville, Laurens, Spartanburg2 hr
Jun 9, 7:07 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGSPGreenville38 min
Jun 9, 7:08 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGSPChester52 min
Jun 9, 7:17 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGSPPickens28 min
Jun 9, 7:40 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGSPAnderson, Greenville50 min
Jun 9, 7:45 PM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryGSPYork60 min
Jun 8, 8:43 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGSPGaston, Lincoln32 min
Jun 8, 8:53 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGSPHaywood37 min
Jun 8, 9:11 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGSPMacon34 min
Jun 8, 9:15 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGSPBuncombe30 min
Jun 8, 9:48 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGSPTransylvania27 min
Jun 8, 10:17 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGSPCabarrus, Mecklenburg28 min
Jun 8, 11:07 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGSPAlexander, Catawba, Cleveland, Rutherford23 min
Jun 8, 11:29 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGSPAlexander, Catawba, Cleveland, Gaston, Iredell, Lincoln31 min
Jun 8, 11:54 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGSPDavie, Iredell, Rowan36 min
Jun 9, 12:27 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGSPMecklenburg, Union48 min
Jun 9, 5:41 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGSPTransylvania34 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in South Carolina, 2015Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in North Carolina, 2015Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.