Alert archive / North Carolina / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2015

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 52, NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC

June 2, 2015Cabarrus County, Mecklenburg County, Union County, North Carolina

NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jun 2, 2015, 2:36 PM EDT for Cabarrus County, Mecklenburg County, Union County, North Carolina. It was in force for 39 min. 2 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued
Jun 2, 2015, 2:36 PM EDT (18:36 UTC)
Expired
Jun 2, 2015, 3:15 PM EDT
In force
39 min
Issued by
NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC
Area
Storm-based polygon

Counties Cabarrus County, NC, Mecklenburg County, NC, Union County, NC

The radar

The Columbia radar (KCAE), 143 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:36 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

TimeReportWhereRemark
Jun 2, 2:42 PM EDTTSTM WND DMG4 E Pineville, NCAT LEAST 2 POWER LINES DOWN IN THE AREA AS STORM PASSED OVER. A SPOTTER NEARBY REPORTED VERY STRONG WIND THAT BLEW DOWN LOTS OF SMALL LIMBS AND TWIGS.
Jun 2, 2:50 PM EDTHAIL 0.255 Se Charlotte, NCPEA HAIL REPORTED

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

Did it verify

Verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow matched one storm report to this severe thunderstorm warning; the first came 6 minutes after it went out.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC (KGSO), launched 12:00Z, 6.6 hours before the alert went out and 120 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC at 12:00Z on 2015-06-02Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 103 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC at 12:00Z on 2015-06-02The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 8 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
103 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-48 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
881 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
21 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
8 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
3 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

341 
WUUS52 KGSP 021836
SVRGSP
NCC025-119-179-021915-
/O.NEW.KGSP.SV.W.0052.150602T1836Z-150602T1915Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
236 PM EDT TUE JUN 2 2015

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  SOUTHEASTERN MECKLENBURG COUNTY IN THE PIEDMONT OF NORTH
  CAROLINA...
  NORTHERN UNION COUNTY IN THE PIEDMONT OF NORTH CAROLINA...
  SOUTH CENTRAL CABARRUS COUNTY IN THE PIEDMONT OF NORTH CAROLINA...

* UNTIL 315 PM EDT

* AT 235 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM
  CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS
  OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 10 MILES SOUTHEAST OF UPTOWN 
  CHARLOTTE...OR OVER THE ARBORETUM...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  MATTHEWS...MINT HILL...INDIAN TRAIL...WEDDINGTON...STALLINGS...
  UNIONVILLE...PINEVILLE...WESLEY CHAPEL...LAKE PARK AND HEMBY
  BRIDGE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THIS STORM IS CAPABLE OF BLOWING DOWN SCATTERED TREES AND POWER
LINES. BRIEF LARGE HAIL MAY ALSO OCCUR. SEEK SHELTER INSIDE AN
INTERIOR ROOM.

THIS STORM IS ALSO PRODUCING EXTREMELY HEAVY RAINFALL. FLOODING OF
DRAINAGE DITCHES AND LOW LYING AREAS MAY OCCUR. DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH
AREAS WHERE WATER IS FLOWING OVER THE ROAD.

PLEASE REPORT DAMAGING WINDS...HAIL...OR FLOODING TO THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE SPARTANBURG BY CALLING TOLL FREE...1...
800...2 6 7...8 1 0 1...OR BY POSTING ON OUR FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET
IT USING HASHTAG NWSGSP. YOUR MESSAGE SHOULD DESCRIBE THE EVENT AND
THE SPECIFIC LOCATION WHERE IT OCCURRED.

&&

LAT...LON 3496 8081 3503 8086 3511 8092 3535 8051
      3526 8045 3519 8051 3518 8050 3518 8048
      3517 8047 3516 8044 3517 8042 3516 8041
      3517 8038 3510 8034
TIME...MOT...LOC 1835Z 244DEG 26KT 3509 8076 

$$

HG
2 follow-up statements
786 
WWUS52 KGSP 021859
SVSGSP

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
259 PM EDT TUE JUN 2 2015

NCC025-119-179-021915-
/O.CON.KGSP.SV.W.0052.000000T0000Z-150602T1915Z/
MECKLENBURG NC-UNION NC-CABARRUS NC-
259 PM EDT TUE JUN 2 2015

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 315 PM EDT
FOR SOUTHEASTERN MECKLENBURG...NORTHERN UNION AND SOUTH CENTRAL
CABARRUS COUNTIES...

AT 259 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE
OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60
MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 11 MILES SOUTH OF UPTOWN CHARLOTTE...OR
OVER THE ARBORETUM...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 15 MPH.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
MATTHEWS...MINT HILL...INDIAN TRAIL...WEDDINGTON...STALLINGS...
UNIONVILLE...WESLEY CHAPEL...LAKE PARK...HEMBY BRIDGE AND SOUTH
CHARLOTTE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THIS STORM IS CAPABLE OF BLOWING DOWN SCATTERED TREES AND POWER
LINES. BRIEF LARGE HAIL MAY ALSO OCCUR. SEEK SHELTER INSIDE AN
INTERIOR ROOM.

THIS STORM IS ALSO PRODUCING EXTREMELY HEAVY RAINFALL. FLOODING OF
DRAINAGE DITCHES AND LOW LYING AREAS MAY OCCUR. DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH
AREAS WHERE WATER IS FLOWING OVER THE ROAD.

PLEASE REPORT DAMAGING WINDS...HAIL...OR FLOODING TO THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE SPARTANBURG BY CALLING TOLL FREE...1...
800...2 6 7...8 1 0 1...OR BY POSTING ON OUR FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET
IT USING HASHTAG NWSGSP. YOUR MESSAGE SHOULD DESCRIBE THE EVENT AND
THE SPECIFIC LOCATION WHERE IT OCCURRED.

&&

LAT...LON 3496 8081 3517 8081 3535 8051 3526 8045
      3519 8051 3518 8050 3518 8048 3517 8047
      3516 8044 3517 8042 3516 8041 3517 8038
      3510 8034
TIME...MOT...LOC 1859Z 243DEG 14KT 3507 8079 

$$

HG
732 
WWUS52 KGSP 021906
SVSGSP

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
306 PM EDT TUE JUN 2 2015

NCC025-119-179-021916-
/O.EXP.KGSP.SV.W.0052.000000T0000Z-150602T1915Z/
MECKLENBURG NC-UNION NC-CABARRUS NC-
306 PM EDT TUE JUN 2 2015

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN MECKLENBURG...
NORTHERN UNION AND SOUTH CENTRAL CABARRUS COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT 315
PM EDT...
                
THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING IS WEAKENING BELOW SEVERE 
LIMITS...AND NO LONGER POSES AN IMMEDIATE THREAT TO LIFE OR 
PROPERTY. THEREFORE THE WARNING WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE.

LAT...LON 3496 8081 3517 8081 3535 8051 3526 8045
      3519 8051 3518 8050 3518 8048 3517 8047
      3516 8044 3517 8042 3516 8041 3517 8038
      3510 8034
TIME...MOT...LOC 1902Z 244DEG 26KT 3507 8079 

$$

HG

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jun 2, 2:07 PM EDT, 29 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 2, 2:07 PM EDT, 29 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
207 PM EDT TUE JUN 2 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE WILL GRADUALLY DRIFT ACROSS THE
SOUTHEASTERN STATES THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE WORK WEEK...WHILE
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD DOWN FROM THE NORTH WEDNESDAY. THIS
PATTERN WILL HELP ENHANCE LIFT AND MOISTURE RETURN INTO THE
AREA...CREATING ELEVATED CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...AND
KEEPING TEMPERATURES A FEW DEGREES BELOW NORMAL.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
AS OF 150 PM...THE UPPER LOW SPINNING ACRS THE TN VALLEY AND
SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS IS ENHANCING CONVECTION ACRS THE CWFA...WHICH
IS NOW MODERATELY UNSTABLE. SO EXPECT LIKELY TO CATEGORICAL COVERAGE
OF CONVECTION THRU THE AFTN AND EARLY EVENING. THE LATEST CAMS SHOW
MARGINAL ORGANIZATION OF ACTIVITY AS IT PUSHES OFF THE BLUE RIDGE
AND ACRS THE PIEDMONT. SO A SMALL SEVERE WIND/HAIL THREAT WILL
CONTINUE. ALSO...SOME CELLS HAVE HAD A TENDENCY TO TRAIN...SO
LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN AND ISOLD FLOODING IS ALSO A THREAT. TEMPS ARE
CREEPING INTO THE LOWER 80S ACRS THE PIEDMONT AND MID TO UPR 70S IN
THE MTNS.

TONIGHT...THE UPPER LOW IS FCST TO STALL OVER THE SOUTHERN
APPALACHIANS...KEEPING OUR AREA UNDER WEAK BUT PERSISTENT Q-VECTOR
CONVERGENCE. MEANWHILE...A 1025 MB SFC HIGH WILL SETTLE ACRS NEW
ENGLAND...NOSING A WEDGE-LIKE ISOBAR CONFIGURATION BY DAYBREAK
WEDNESDAY. GUIDANCE ALSO SHOWS A WEAK WAVE DEVELOPING ALONG THE
WEDGE FRONT OVER THE CWFA...ENHANCING AN EASTERLY LLVL WIND ACRS THE
NC PIEDMONT. THESE FEATURES WILL LIKELY KEEP AT LEAST A CHC OF
LINGERING SHWRS OVERNIGHT...WITH AN ISOLD EMBEDDED TSTM OR TWO
POSSIBLE. THE OVERALL FORCING DOESN/T LOOK TOO THREATENING FOR HEAVY
RAIN...BUT AN ISOLD THREAT WILL LINGER OVERNIGHT. THERE WILL ALSO BE
SOME PATCHY FOG OUT THERE GIVEN THE WET GROUND. TEMPS WILL BE HELD A
COUPLE CATEGORIES ABOVE NORMAL UNDER THE CLOUD COVER AND MOIST AIR
MASS.

WEDNESDAY...GUIDANCE IN DECENT AGREEMENT THAT THE LOW WILL ONLY INCH
SLIGHTLY EAST THRU THE DAY...KEEPING OUR AREA UNDER THE PVA SIDE OF
THE SYSTEM. MEANWHILE...WIDESPREAD LOW STRATUS IS EXPECTED TO
DEVELOP ACRS MOST OF THE CWFA ATOP THE WEAK WEDGE. THIS CLOUD COVER
SHUD SCATTER OUT ACCORDING TO THE GUIDANCE...AS IT DOESN/T LOOK LIKE
TRUE COLD AIR DAMMING. HOWEVER WEAK EASTERLY UPSLOPE FLOW WILL
PERSIST LONGEST ACRS THE I-40 CORRIDOR...SO THEY MAY STAY CLOUDY AND
MORE STABLE. THE REST OF THE AREA IS PROGGED TO BECOME WEAK TO
MODERATELY UNSTABLE WITH ANOTHER ROUND OF SHOT-GUN CONVECTION. THERE
IS LESS SHEAR AND INSTBY IN THE FCST SOUNDINGS THAN TUESDAY/S...SO
EXPECT A SMALLER SEVERE THREAT. STORMS MAY BE
SLOW-MOVING...HOWEVER...SO A HEAVY RAIN AND ISOLD FLOODING THREAT
WILL CONTINUE. TEMPS WILL BE HELD BELOW NORMAL UNDER THE
CLOUDS...WITH ABOUT A 10 DEG GRADIENT FROM NORTH TO SOUTH.

&&

.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
AS OF 300 AM TUE...CLOSED UPPER LOW WILL SLOWLY BEGIN TO FILL AS IT
CROSSES THE CWFA WED AND THU. HIGH PRESSURE OVER NEW ENGLAND WILL
BRIEFLY TAKE ON A CAD-LIKE CONFIGURATION...THE WEDGE STRENGTHENING
THRU WED AND SEEMINGLY PEAKING WED NIGHT. HOWEVER THE MAIN DRIVER FOR
PRECIP WED AND EVEN WED EVENING IS STILL EXPECTED TO BE DIURNAL
INSTABILITY. LOW LEVEL FLOW IS EASTERLY BUT NOT VERY STRONG...AND IT
IS NOT UNTIL WED NIGHT THAT PROFILES REFLECT ENOUGH LOW LEVEL
SATURATION IN THE WEDGE TO EXPECT STRATIFORM RAIN. HOWEVER THE UPPER
LOW AFFORDS GOOD LAPSE RATES...AND IT IS MAINLY FOR THIS REASON POPS
ARE IN LIKELY RANGE ACRS MOST OF THE AREA WED. WITH THE PATTERN
BEGINNING TO BREAK DOWN THU...POPS ARE SOMEWHAT LOWER WITH THE WEAKER
UPSLOPE COMPONENT. A NOTABLE MOISTURE PLUME IS SEEN TO OUR EAST ON
NAM/GFS PROGS...WITH PWAT VALUES ABOVE NORMAL IN THE CWFA BUT NOT
EXCEPTIONAL. DESPITE THIS ABUNDANT MOISTURE WILL STILL BE AVAILABLE
AND HEAVY RAIN MAY BE A CONCERN AT TIMES. ON WED 0-6KM BULK SHEAR
WILL BE SOMEWHAT ATYPICAL FOR OUR AREA IN JUNE...20 TO 30 KT. THIS
AND THE ABOVE AVERAGE BUOYANCY HAS PROMPTED THE INCLUSION OF MAINLY
OUR SC/GA ZONES IN THE MARGINAL RISK AREA ON THE SPC DAY 2 OUTLOOK.

MAX TEMPS WILL BE BELOW CLIMO BOTH WED AND THU...ESPECIALLY OVER WRN
NC WHERE MANY AREAS WILL ONLY SEE HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINS WILL BE
NEAR NORMAL.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
AS OF 230 AM TUE...THE UPPER LOW OVER THE CWFA DRIFTS EASTWARD
FRIDAY...AND AN AMPLIFYING NRN STREAM TROUGH QUICKLY PHASES WITH IT.
AS THE SAME TROUGH MOVES INTO NEW ENGLAND IT SHOULD HELP ERODE WHAT/S
LEFT OF THE WEDGE...WHICH WILL BE LOSING STRENGTH ANYWAY GIVEN THE
DEPARTURE OF THE PARENT HIGH. THOUGH FLOW WILL BE NWLY AND
DOWNSLOPING...SUFFICIENT SBCAPE VALUES ARE PROGGED FOR MODEST POPS.

CONFIDENCE BECOMES A BIT LOWER GOING INTO SATURDAY AS MODEL SOLUTIONS
BEGIN TO DIVERGE. A SHORTWAVE EXITING THE OHIO VALLEY WILL APPROACH
OUR AREA. THE EC IS FASTER THAN THE GFS WITH THIS FEATURE AND BRINGS
IT IN FAST ENOUGH TO ACTUALLY REINFORCE THE SHORTWAVE REMAINING OVER
THE CAROLINAS FROM EARLIER IN THE WEEK...TURNING IT INTO ANOTHER
NEARLY STATIONARY UPPER LOW OVERHEAD. BOTH MODELS DO FEATURE A BROAD
SFC HIGH BUILDING IN BEHIND THAT NORTHERN STREAM TROUGH. THIS PUSHES
A COLD FRONT AT LEAST AS FAR SOUTH AS KY/VA BY SUNDAY. EASTERLY FLOW
ACCORDINGLY RESUMES INTO OUR AREA. EC DEPICTS MORE MOISTURE ALONG THE
BOUNDARY...AND LOWER HEIGHTS OVER OUR CWFA ON ACCOUNT OF THE MERGED
UPPER LOW SITTING ATOP IT. THE GFS PATTERN FOR SUNDAY IS MUCH MORE
LIKE CAD THOUGH THE EC/S INTERACTING BOUNDARY AND UPPER LOW WOULD
PRODUCE SIMILAR EFFECTS FOR US. BOTH MODELS BREAK DOWN THESE PATTERNS
LATE SUNDAY AND EARLY MONDAY AS HEIGHTS FALL TO OUR NORTH AND
WEST...AND A COLD FRONT SUBSEQUENTLY MOVES IN.

POPS WILL CONTINUE TO REFLECT SOME DIURNAL VARIATION BUT THE PATTERN
WILL SUPPORT SOME DEGREE OF NOCTURNAL CONVECTION. ABOVE CLIMO POPS
ARE EXPECTED EACH DAY WITH THE BEST CHANCE EXPECTED SATURDAY. TEMPS
WARM SLIGHTLY FRIDAY TO SATURDAY...REACHING NEAR CLIMO
VALUES...BEFORE DIPPING AGAIN SUNDAY ON THE COOL SIDE OF THE BOUNDARY
/OR WITHIN THE WEDGE/. SLIGHTLY WARMER TEMPS RETURN MONDAY.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
AT KCLT...CONVECTION IS DEVELOPING ACROSS THE AREA THANKS TO
MODERATE INSTBY AND AN UPPER LOW PROVIDING LIFT. COVERAGE SHUD
CONTINUE TO EXPAND TO NUMEROUS TO WIDESPREAD BY EARLY EVENING...THEN
START TO WANE. A CLUSTER OF TSTMS ARE SLOWLY DRIFTING NW TOWARD
KCLT. HAVE GONE WITH A TEMPO FOR THE FIRST FOUR HOURS OF THE 18Z
TAF. FROM THERE...EXPECT CONVECTION OFF THE BLUE RIDGE TO HOLD
TOGETHER AS IT CROSSES THE PIEDMONT THIS EVENING...SO WILL GO WITH
PREVAILING TSRA. OVERNIGHT...THERE WILL BE PLENTY OF MID AND HIGH
CLOUDS LEFT OVER FROM THE CONVECTION. THEN HIGH PRES WILL BUILD
SOUTHWARD INTO THE NC PIEDMONT BEFORE DAYBREAK...RESULTING IN LIGHT
EASTERLY FLOW AND STRATUS DEVELOPMENT. CIGS WILL LIKELY BE IFR...BUT
SOME GUIDANCE HAS IT AT MVFR. THE CLOUDS WILL BEGIN TO LIFT...BUT
SLOWLY...LATE WEDNESDAY MORNING. WINDS WILL FAVOR A SOUTH DIRECTION
THIS AFTN/EVE...THEN SHIFT OUT OF THE NE OVERNIGHT...AND INCREASE TO
5-8 KTS.

ELSEWHERE...AS WITH KCLT ABOVE...THE MAIN CHALLENGE IS HOW TO HANDLE
INCREASING CONVECTION ACROSS THE AREA. KAVL WILL LIKELY BE DIRECTLY
IMPACTED BY TSRA AT START OF TAF. THE OTHER SITES WILL ALSO AT SOME
POINT BETWEEN ABOUT 18-22Z. FROM THERE...GUIDANCE HAS CONVECTION
SLIDE EAST ACRS THE PIEDMONT...RESULTING IN A PERIOD OF PREVAILING
TSRA. CONVECTION SHUD DIMINISH LATE EVENING THRU THE OVERNIGHT. SOME
LINGERING SHRA AND ISOLD TSRA CANNOT BE RULED OUT OVERNIGHT...BUT
CONFIDENCE IS TOO LOW TO KEEP A MENTION. BEFORE DAYBREAK...GUIDANCE
SHOWS STRATUS DEVELOPING...ESP ACRS NC...AS HIGH PRES SURGES FROM
THE NORTH...SWITCHING THE LOW LVL FLOW OUT OF THE EAST. IFR TO MVFR
CIGS ARE EXPECTED...WITH HIGHEST CONFIDENCE AT KHKY AND KAVL. THE
STRATUS WILL BEGIN TO SCATTER AND LIFT TOWARD END OF 18Z TAF PERIOD.

OUTLOOK...A MID LEVEL LOW WILL LINGER OVER THE AREA THRU AT LEAST
THURSDAY...WITH DEEP MOISTURE. SO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
ARE EXPECTED EACH AFTERNOON AND EVENING. MORNING STRATUS AND FOG
WILL ALSO REMAIN A POSSIBILITY...ESPECIALLY OVER WET GROUND...THRU
AT LEAST FRIDAY.

CONFIDENCE TABLE...

            18-24Z        00-06Z        06-12Z        12-18Z
KCLT       HIGH  85%     HIGH  93%     MED   77%     HIGH  92%
KGSP       HIGH  92%     MED   79%     HIGH  85%     HIGH  91%
KAVL       MED   64%     HIGH 100%     HIGH  84%     HIGH  81%
KHKY       HIGH  80%     MED   76%     MED   77%     HIGH  89%
KGMU       HIGH  92%     MED   79%     HIGH  94%     HIGH  88%
KAND       HIGH 100%     HIGH  84%     HIGH  89%     HIGH  88%

THE PERCENTAGE REFLECTS THE NUMBER OF GUIDANCE MEMBERS AGREEING
WITH THE SCHEDULED TAF ISSUANCE FLIGHT RULE CATEGORY. COMPLETE HOURLY
EXPERIMENTAL AVIATION FORECAST CONSISTENCY TABLES AND ENSEMBLE FORECASTS
ARE AVAILABLE AT THE FOLLOWING LINK: (MUST BE LOWER CASE)

WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GSP/AVIATION_TABLES

&&

.GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GA...NONE.
NC...NONE.
SC...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...WIMBERLEY
NEAR TERM...ARK
SHORT TERM...WIMBERLEY
LONG TERM...WIMBERLEY
AVIATION...ARK
Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 2, 4:11 AM EDT, 10 hours 25 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
411 AM EDT TUE JUN 2 2015

GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029-NCZ033-035>037-048>053-056>059-062>065-
068>072-082-501>510-SCZ001>014-019-030815-
RABUN-HABERSHAM-STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT-AVERY-ALEXANDER-
IREDELL-DAVIE-MADISON-YANCEY-MITCHELL-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-BUNCOMBE-CATAWBA-
ROWAN-GRAHAM-NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA-
HENDERSON-CLEVELAND-LINCOLN-GASTON-MECKLENBURG-CABARRUS-UNION-
CALDWELL MOUNTAINS-GREATER CALDWELL-BURKE MOUNTAINS-GREATER BURKE-
MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS-EASTERN MCDOWELL-RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS-
GREATER RUTHERFORD-POLK MOUNTAINS-EASTERN POLK-OCONEE MOUNTAINS-
PICKENS MOUNTAINS-GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS-GREATER OCONEE-
GREATER PICKENS-GREATER GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG-CHEROKEE-YORK-
ANDERSON-ABBEVILLE-LAURENS-CHESTER-GREENWOOD-
411 AM EDT TUE JUN 2 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST GEORGIA...PIEDMONT
NORTH CAROLINA...WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

A NEARLY STATIONARY FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL REMAIN IN PLACE ACROSS
THE WESTERN CAROLINAS TODAY...BENEATH AN AREA OF UPPER LEVEL LOW
PRESSURE. TOGETHER THESE FEATURES WILL DRIVE THE DEVELOPMENT OF
NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. THE GREATEST COVERAGE IS
EXPECTED IN THE MID TO LATE AFTERNOON. CONDITIONS WILL BE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERAL STORMS TO PRODUCE LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING
WINDS...PARTICULARLY EAST OF THE BLUE RIDGE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

..WEDNESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..THURSDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..FRIDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..SATURDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..SUNDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..MONDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTERS ARE REQUESTED TO FORWARD ANY REPORTS OF LARGE
HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...TORNADOES OR FLASH FLOODING TO OUR OFFICE.

WIMBERLEY

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jun 2, 1:18 PM EDT, 1 hour 18 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
118 PM EDT TUE JUN 2 2015

SCZ009-013-014-021745-
CHESTER SC-YORK SC-UNION SC-
118 PM EDT TUE JUN 2 2015

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT PORTIONS OF NORTHEASTERN
UNION...SOUTHWESTERN YORK AND NORTHWESTERN CHESTER COUNTIES UNTIL 145
PM EDT...

AT 117 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR
UNION...OR OVER MONARCH MILL...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 15 MPH.

HALF INCH HAIL...WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH AND VERY HEAVY RAINFALL
RATES OF 1 TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
UNION...MONARCH MILL...LOCKHART...BULLOCK CREEK...SANTUC AND
ADAMSBURG.

THIS STORM MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO AND
TV STATIONS...AS WELL AS LOCAL CABLE TV OUTLETS...FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

LAT...LON 3470 8166 3488 8157 3487 8156 3487 8154
      3488 8153 3487 8153 3488 8152 3487 8149
      3484 8146 3490 8148 3492 8147 3481 8126
      3461 8148
TIME...MOT...LOC 1717Z 212DEG 11KT 3469 8155

HG
Special weather statement, Jun 2, 1:55 PM EDT, 41 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
155 PM EDT TUE JUN 2 2015

SCZ009-021830-
YORK SC-
155 PM EDT TUE JUN 2 2015

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT PORTIONS OF EASTERN YORK COUNTY
UNTIL 230 PM EDT...

AT 154 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR
ROCK HILL...OR OVER NEWPORT...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 15 MPH.

PEA SIZE HAIL...WIND GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH...AND VERY HEAVY RAINFALL
RATES UP TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
ROCK HILL...YORK...FORT MILL...TEGA CAY...NEWPORT...TOWN OF LAKE
WYLIE...CAROWINDS AND LESSLIE.

LAT...LON 3484 8111 3499 8123 3513 8105 3511 8103
      3509 8106 3506 8106 3504 8104 3511 8093
      3508 8091 3503 8090 3501 8091 3499 8089
      3497 8089 3496 8087 3494 8087
TIME...MOT...LOC 1754Z 235DEG 15KT 3496 8110

HG
Special weather statement, Jun 2, 1:58 PM EDT, 38 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
158 PM EDT TUE JUN 2 2015

NCZ053-064-065-021830-
BUNCOMBE NC-TRANSYLVANIA NC-HENDERSON NC-
158 PM EDT TUE JUN 2 2015

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT PORTIONS OF NORTHEASTERN
TRANSYLVANIA...SOUTH CENTRAL BUNCOMBE AND NORTHWESTERN HENDERSON
COUNTIES UNTIL 230 PM EDT...

AT 158 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 7
MILES NORTHEAST OF BREVARD...OR NEAR ETOWAH...MOVING NORTHEAST AT
20 MPH.

PEA SIZE HAIL...WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH...AND VERY HEAVY RAINFALL
RATES UP TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
WEST ASHEVILLE...DOWNTOWN ASHEVILLE...EAST ASHEVILLE...BREVARD...
ARDEN...ASHEVILLE AIRPORT...SKYLAND...MILLS RIVER...FLETCHER AND
ETOWAH.

LAT...LON 3548 8234 3522 8263 3532 8281 3541 8276
      3541 8275 3542 8275 3563 8261
TIME...MOT...LOC 1758Z 214DEG 21KT 3533 8267

HG
Special weather statement, Jun 2, 2:21 PM EDT, 15 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
221 PM EDT TUE JUN 2 2015

SCZ013-014-021845-
CHESTER SC-UNION SC-
221 PM EDT TUE JUN 2 2015

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT PORTIONS OF EAST CENTRAL UNION
AND WESTERN CHESTER COUNTIES UNTIL 245 PM EDT...

AT 221 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 8
MILES SOUTHEAST OF UNION...OR 5 MILES NORTH OF CARLISLE...MOVING EAST
AT 15 MPH.

PEA SIZE HAIL...WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH...AND VERY HEAVY RAINFALL
RATES UP TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.
FLOODING OF LOW LYING AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS COULD RESULT FROM THE
HEAVY RAINFALL.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
MONARCH MILL...CARLISLE...CHESTER STATE PARK...LOCKHART...LEEDS AND
SANTUC.

LAT...LON 3472 8161 3482 8140 3482 8130 3461 8121
      3456 8153
TIME...MOT...LOC 1821Z 249DEG 11KT 3467 8149

HG
Special weather statement, Jun 2, 2:24 PM EDT, 12 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
224 PM EDT TUE JUN 2 2015

NCZ071-082-SCZ009-021900-
UNION NC-MECKLENBURG NC-YORK SC-
224 PM EDT TUE JUN 2 2015

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN
MECKLENBURG...NORTHWESTERN UNION AND EAST CENTRAL YORK COUNTIES UNTIL
300 PM EDT...

AT 224 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 7
MILES NORTHEAST OF ROCK HILL...OR OVER FORT MILL...MOVING NORTHEAST
AT 20 MPH.

HALF INCH HAIL...WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH...AND VERY HEAVY RAINFALL
RATES UP TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
ROCK HILL...MONROE...MATTHEWS...INDIAN TRAIL...WEDDINGTON...FORT
MILL...STALLINGS...PINEVILLE...TEGA CAY AND WESLEY CHAPEL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FREQUENT LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. IF OUTDOORS...TRY TO
GET INDOORS OR INTO A HARD TOPPED VEHICLE. OTHERWISE...STAY AWAY FROM
OPEN AREAS AND ISOLATED HIGH OBJECTS SUCH AS TREES. WHEN INDOORS...
STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS AND DOORS AND AVOID USING WIRED ELECTRONIC
DEVICES. TRY TO UNPLUG UNNECESSARY APPLIANCES BEFORE THE STORM
APPROACHES.

&&

LAT...LON 3502 8058 3495 8080 3508 8091 3503 8090
      3501 8091 3499 8089 3497 8088 3496 8087
      3493 8087 3490 8095 3505 8106 3525 8074
TIME...MOT...LOC 1824Z 240DEG 18KT 3502 8093

HG
Local storm report, Jun 2, 2:25 PM EDT, 11 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
225 PM EDT TUE JUN 02 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0223 PM     HAIL             MILLS RIVER             35.39N 82.57W
06/02/2015  E0.75 INCH       HENDERSON          NC   PUBLIC

            DIME TO PENNY SIZED HAIL

&&

RWH

The office that day

Everything else NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 1, 9:05 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGSPLincoln25 min
Jun 1, 9:41 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGSPLincoln34 min
Jun 2, 12:23 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGSPAvery37 min
Jun 2, 12:55 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGSPTransylvania35 min
Jun 2, 1:14 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGSPTransylvania31 min
Jun 2, 1:58 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGSPHenderson32 min
Jun 2, 2:05 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGSPBuncombe, Henderson, Transylvania40 min
Jun 2, 2:24 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGSPMecklenburg36 min
Jun 2, 2:50 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGSPHenderson40 min
Jun 2, 2:54 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGSPTransylvania36 min
Jun 2, 3:02 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGSPAvery28 min
Jun 2, 3:15 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGSPUnion30 min
Jun 2, 3:19 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGSPJackson26 min
Jun 2, 3:27 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGSPMcDowell33 min
Jun 2, 4:38 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGSPAlexander37 min
Jun 2, 5:16 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGSPRutherford29 min
Jun 2, 5:29 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningGSPAlexander3 hr
Jun 2, 5:33 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGSPPolk, Rutherford42 min
Jun 2, 5:39 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGSPAlexander, Catawba36 min
Jun 2, 5:49 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGSPAlexander, Catawba, Iredell41 min
Jun 2, 6:03 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGSPCleveland42 min
Jun 2, 6:36 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGSPDavie, Iredell, Rowan54 min
Jun 2, 6:55 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGSPSwain65 min
Jun 2, 7:29 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGSPDavie31 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in North Carolina, 2015Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.