Severe Thunderstorm Warning 171, NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1105 AM EDT TUE JUL 14 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
AN UPPER LEVEL TROF WILL KEEP OUR WEATHER UNSETTLED TODAY...WITH
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE OVER PARTS OF THE REGION. A COLD FRONT
IS EXPECTED TO MOVE THROUGH TONIGHT AND EARLY WEDNESDAY. AFTER THE
FRONT PASSES...AN UPPER HIGH WILL DRY OUT THE FORECAST AREA FOR
THE MIDDLE TO LATE PART OF THE WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
AS OF 1045 AM EDT TUESDAY...EARLIER MCS LINE HAS DIMINISHED AS IT
ENCOUNTERED MORE STABLE AIR...WHILE FURTHER WEST CONVECTION
CONTINUES ON THANKS TO AN INCREASING CAPE GRADIENT AS EVIDENT ON THE
LATEST SPC MESO ANALYSIS.  ALTHOUGH EXPECTING CURRENT WESTERN NC MTN
ACTIVITY TO WEAKEN/DIMINISH...IT COULD SURVIVE FOR A FEW HOURS
THANKS TO THE UNTOUCHED ENVIRONMENT ITS MOVING INTO.  BEYOND
THAT...FOCUS SHIFTS TO ANY AFTERNOON CONVECTION...AND THE NEXT ROUND
OF MCS ACTIVITY TONIGHT ASSOCIATED WITH THE PASSING UPPER SHORTWAVE
AND WEAK FRONT.  LATEST NAM...WHICH TURNED OUT TO BE THE BEST AT HANDLING
THE LAST 12 HOURS...INDICATES A RATHER QUIET DAY TODAY AHEAD OF SOME
MODEST DESTABILIZATION LATE THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING.  EXPECTING SOME
ISOLATED CONVECTION ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST GA AND THE WESTERN
UPSTATE NOT ASSOCIATED WITH ANY MCS ACTIVITY...THEN AROUND MIDNIGHT
A STRONG/SEVERE MCS WITH PERHAPS SOME DISCRETE CELLS OUT AHEAD WILL
MOVE INTO THE NORTHERN NC MTNS/FOOTHILLS.  FROM THERE THE NAM SHOWS
A WEAKENING TREND OVER THE EASTERN TIER OF THE FCST AREA...WITH SOME
SUSTAINMENT OVER THE WEST.  STILL SOME UNCERTAINTY THUS FURTHER
ANALYSIS OF NEWER HIGHRES GUID IS WARRANTED.  AS FOR THE
FCST...TWEAKED POPS/TEMPS/DEWS TO ACCOUNT FOR CURRENT COVERAGE AND
LATEST THOUGHTS FOR THE OVERNIGHT.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...

THERE REMAINS SOME UNCERTAINTY WITH THE FCST TODAY AS THE EVENTUAL
EVOLUTION AND SPEED OF THE UPSTREAM MCS IS NOT WELL AGREED UPON BY
THE VARIOUS OP NOR HIRES MODEL SOLNS. BASED ON THE LATEST RAD/SAT
TRENDS AND TIGHTENING MLVL HEIGHT FIELD WILL GO WITH A SOMEWHAT
FASTER SOLN THAN THE PREVIOUS FCST AND THE LATEST OP MODEL RUNS.

MCS ACTIVITY SHOULD REACH THE WRN ZONES ARND 13/14Z AND PROPAGATE
QUICKLY SOUTHEAST...DEVELOPING A WEAK COLD POOL OVER THE
UPSTATE AND ERN PIEDMONT BY 16Z. PERHAPS EXITING THE CWFA BY 18Z.
THIS IS ONE SCENARIO. ANOTHER PROBABLE SITUATION WOULD HAVE THE MCS
MESO HIGH SRN BNDRY SETTING UP A BNDRY ACROSS THE SRN MTNS SE ACROSS
NE GA AND TOWARD THE WRN UPSTATE WHERE LATER AFTERNOON CONVECTION
DEVELOPS IN A MORE UNSTABLE ENVIRON. SO...POPS HAVE BEEN ADJ UP TO
HIGH LIKELY ACROSS THE WRN MTNS AND HAVE BEEN CAPPED AT HIGH CHANCE
NON/MTNS. THIS MCS AND THE WRN BNDRY DEVELOPMENT WILL BE CAPABLE OF
PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS AND HIGH RAINFALL RATES. WITHIN THE HIGHER
CAPE VALUES...0-6 KM SHEAR LEVELS WILL REACH ARND 35 KTS...ENUF FOR
THE POTENTIAL OF BNDRY INDUCED ISOL TOR DEVELOPMENT. THERE WILL BE
SOME AFTERNOON ATMOS RECOVERY EAST OF 1-26 AFTER THE MCS PUSHES EAST
THIS MORNING...HOWEVER STRONG STORMS SHOULD BE LIMITED BY A MLVL
CLOUDS AND A PRONOUNCED POCKET OF DNVA MOVING IN FROM THE NW. MAX
TEMPS WILL ONCE AGAIN REACH THE M90S NON/MTNS BUT COULD BE HAMPERED
A BIT BY ULVL CLOUDS AND CONV DEBRIS.

THERE LOOKS TO BE GOOD CAPE ADV INTO ERN TN LATER IN THE AFTERNOON
WHICH SHOULD SPAWN STRONG/SEVERE MULTICELL STORMS AFFECTING THE NC
MTNS AND FHILLS LATE AFTERNOON/EVENING...PUSHING EAST THROUGH THE
OVERNIGHT. THESE WILL BE AIDED BY A STRONG H5 S/W DIGGING SOUTH.
THUS..POPS WERE KEPT IN THE HIGHER CHANCE RANGE WEST THOUGH MOST OF
THE TONIGHT PERIOD. MIN TEMPS WILL DROP TO OR JUST ABOVE SEASONAL
LEVELS.

&&

.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
AS OF 215 AM TUESDAY...THE MIDDLE PART OF THE WEEK LOOKS RELATIVELY
QUIET. THE MAIN SHORT WAVE WILL PROBABLY BE MOVING EAST OF THE FCST
AREA AROUND DAYBREAK ON WEDNESDAY...WHICH WILL HAVE MOST LIKELY
DRIVEN THE COLD FRONT TO OUR S AND E BY THAT TIME. A CHANCE POP WILL
BE RETAINED OVER THE MTNS NEAR THE TN BORDER FOR LEFTOVER UPSLOPE
SHOWERS...AND OVER THE SRN ZONES/LAKELANDS WHERE THE FRONT MIGHT
LINGER IF THE TIMING IS OFF...OTHERWISE THE DAY SHOULD BE
CONSIDERABLY LESS BUSY. TEMPS WILL BE A BIT ABOVE NORMAL AS
DOWNSLOPE FLOW DEVELOPS IN THE AFTERNOON.

FROM THAT POINT ONWARD...AS THE UPPER ANTICYCLONE MIGRATES FROM THE
SRN PLAINS TO THE MS DELTA REGION AND NOSES INTO OUR REGION...WE
SHOULD REMAIN DRY. THE MODELS SHOW VERY LITTLE IN THE WAY OF UPPER
FORCING AND POOR INSTABILITY OWING TO THE RETURN OF WARMER AIR
ALOFT. CANNOT RULE OUT AN ISOLATED SHOWER NEAR THE BALSAMS ON
THURSDAY AFTERNOON...BUT THAT WOULD BE ABOUT IT. TEMPS SHOULD START
TO CLIMB HIGHER ABOVE NORMAL AS WELL...BUT NOT ENUF TO WORRY ABOUT A
HEAT ADVISORY.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
AS OF 3 AM TUESDAY...THE MEDIUM RANGE LOOKS LIKE A RETURN TO TYPICAL
SUMMERTIME HEAT AND DIURNAL CONVECTION CHANCES AS THE UPPER
ANTICYCLONE INITIALLY OVER THE MS DELTA REGION MIGRATES BACK TO THE
WEST. AS THAT HAPPENS...THE CONVECTIVE ENVIRONMENT SHOULD BECOME
MORE FAVORABLE HEADING INTO THE WEEKEND...WITH STORMS GENERALLY
DEVELOPING EITHER OVER THE MOUNTAINS DUE TO DIFFERENTIAL HEATING...
OR OVER THE PIEDMONT WHERE A LEE TROF SHOULD BE PRESENT. THE MODELS
SUGGEST THAT ANY UPPER FORCING AND MCS TRACK SHOULD REMAIN TO THE
N...SO IT LOOKS LIKE A PURELY DIURNAL CONVECTION SITUATION. TEMPS
WILL PROBABLY BE A CATEGORY OR SO ABOVE NORMAL EACH DAY. THE
PREVIOUS FCST HAD A DECENT HANDLE ON THE SITUATION...SO VERY FEW
CHANGES WERE MADE WITH THE NEW PACKAGE...MAINLY JUST A FINE TUNE ON
SOME OF THE PRECIP CHANCES.

&&

.AVIATION /15Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
AT KCLT...VFR CONDS THROUGH THE PERIOD OUTSIDE AFTERNOON
CONVEC...HOWEVER THERE COULD BE SOME MVFR VSBY ARND DAYBREAK AS
TDD/S ARE RUNNING ARND 3 F CURRENTLY AND PREVIOUS LIGHT PRECIP AT
THE TERMINAL. CIGS WILL REMAIN MID TO HIGH LEVEL WITH SCT CU AND LOW
END GUSTS DEVELOPING EARLY AFTERNOON. PROB30 TSTM AFT 21Z STILL
LOOKS REASONABLE. WIND DIR MAY BE TRICKY WITH OUTFLOWS POSSIBLY
INTRODUCED LATE EVENING BEHIND MCS. FOR NOW WILL COUNT ON SYNOPTIC
FLOW LIGHT NW/LY BEFORE 19Z...THEN BACKING SW/LY AS LEE TROF
DEVELOPS.

ELSEWHERE...KAVL WILL SEE SOME IFR/LIFR CONDS ARND DAYBREAK IN
FAIRLY MOIST SFC LAYER FROM EARLIER PRECIP. GOOD MIXING THIS
AFTERNOON WILL ALLOW LOW TO MODERATE GUSTS MOST SITES ALIGNED SW/LY
NON/MTNS AND UPVALLEY AT KAVL. PROB30 ALL SITES BY LATER AFTERNOON
AS CONVEC COULD DEVELOP ALONG PREVIOUS MCS OUTFLOWS AND WITHIN A
DEVELOPING BROAD LEE TROF. TEMPO MVFR/IFR CONDS IN
SHRA/TSTMS...OTHERWISE VFR MID TO HIGH CLOUDS.

OUTLOOK...THE WEATHER PATTERN WILL BE MORE FAVORABLE FOR MAINLY
AFTERNOON/EVENING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THRU MIDWEEK.
HOWEVER...THERE COULD BE SOME ORGANIZED THUNDERSTORMS THAT MOVE
ACROSS THE REGION LATE TUESDAY NIGHT. LOW CLOUDS AND FOG COULD ALSO
DEVELOP IN THE MORNING AT PLACES THAT HAVE SHOWER ACTIVITY THE DAY
BEFORE...AND IN MTN AND RIVER VALLEYS.

CONFIDENCE TABLE...

            15-21Z        21-03Z        03-09Z        09-12Z
KCLT       HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%
KGSP       HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%
KAVL       HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     HIGH  94%
KHKY       HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     MED   72%
KGMU       HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%
KAND       HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     HIGH  94%

THE PERCENTAGE REFLECTS THE NUMBER OF GUIDANCE MEMBERS AGREEING
WITH THE SCHEDULED TAF ISSUANCE FLIGHT RULE CATEGORY. COMPLETE HOURLY
EXPERIMENTAL AVIATION FORECAST CONSISTENCY TABLES AND ENSEMBLE FORECASTS
ARE AVAILABLE AT THE FOLLOWING LINK: (MUST BE LOWER CASE)

WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GSP/AVIATION_TABLES

&&

.GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GA...NONE.
NC...NONE.
SC...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...PM
NEAR TERM...CDG/SBK
SHORT TERM...PM
LONG TERM...PM
AVIATION...SBK

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
502 AM EDT TUE JUL 14 2015

NCZ033-048>053-058-059-062>065-501-503-505-150915-
AVERY-MADISON-YANCEY-MITCHELL-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-BUNCOMBE-GRAHAM-
NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA-HENDERSON-
CALDWELL MOUNTAINS-BURKE MOUNTAINS-MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS-
502 AM EDT TUE JUL 14 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE MOUNTAINS OF NORTH
CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL REACH THE NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS
AROUND DAYBREAK AND WILL PUSH SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS THROUGH
MID MORNING. FREQUENT CLOUD-TO-GROUND LIGHTNING...TORRENTIAL
DOWNPOURS...AND GUSTY WINDS WILL BE THE MAIN THREATS. SOME FLOODING
OF POOR DRAINAGE AREAS WILL BE POSSIBLE. AFTER THE FIRST WAVE OF
STORMS MOVES THROUGH...THE ATMOSPHERE IS EXPECTED TO DESTABILIZE
AGAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. ANOTHER ROUND OF STRONG TO SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS IS POSSIBLE LATER IN THE AFTERNOON AND INTO THE
EVENING. SOME OF THE STORMS MAY CONTAIN DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND
LARGE HAIL. A THIRD ROUND OF THUNDERSTORMS IS ALSO POSSIBLE LATE
TONIGHT AND EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING AS A COLD FRONT MOVES ACROSS THE
REGION.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

..WEDNESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..THURSDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..FRIDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..SATURDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..SUNDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..MONDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTERS ARE REQUESTED TO FORWARD ANY REPORTS OF LARGE
HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...TORNADOES OR FLASH FLOODING TO OUR OFFICE.

NCZ035>037-056-057-068>072-082-502-504-506>510-SCZ008-009-014-150915-
ALEXANDER-IREDELL-DAVIE-CATAWBA-ROWAN-CLEVELAND-LINCOLN-GASTON-
MECKLENBURG-CABARRUS-UNION-GREATER CALDWELL-GREATER BURKE-
EASTERN MCDOWELL-RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS-GREATER RUTHERFORD-
POLK MOUNTAINS-EASTERN POLK-CHEROKEE-YORK-CHESTER-
502 AM EDT TUE JUL 14 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE FOOTHILLS AND WESTERN PIEDMONT
NORTH CAROLINA...INCLUDING THE CHARLOTTE METRO AREA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

A BROKEN BAND OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS OF
NORTH CAROLINA EARLY THIS MORNING AND MAY MOVE OUT ACROSS THE
FOOTHILLS AND WESTERN PIEDMONT OF NORTH CAROLINA DURING THE MIDDLE
PART OF THE MORNING. THE TIMING OF THIS BAND OF STORMS DOES NOT
FAVOR MUCH IN THE WAY OF STRENGTHENING EAST OF THE BLUE RIDGE...AS
THE ATMOSPHERE WILL NOT BE ABLE TO WARM UP AND DESTABILIZE BEFORE
IT MOVES THROUGH. AT THIS POINT...THE MAIN THREATS APPEAR TO BE
CLOUD-TO-GROUND LIGHTNING AND HEAVY RAIN. AFTER THE MORNING
ACTIVITY MOVES OFF TO THE EAST...IT MAY TAKE SEVERAL HOURS FOR THE
ATMOSPHERE TO DESTABILIZE AGAIN OWING TO LINGERING CLOUD COVER. IF
THE CLOUDS THIN EARLY ENOUGH IN THE DAY...BY MID AFTERNOON...WE
MAY DESTABILIZE ENOUGH TO SUPPORT REDEVELOPMENT OF STRONG TO
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE AREA EAST OF THE MOUNTAINS THROUGH
THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS. DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND
LARGE HAIL WOULD BE THE MAIN THREATS. A THIRD ROUND OF STORMS WILL
BE POSSIBLE LATE TONIGHT AND EARLY WEDNESDAY AS A COLD FRONT
PUSHES ACROSS THE REGION.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

..WEDNESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..THURSDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..FRIDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..SATURDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..SUNDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..MONDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTERS ARE REQUESTED TO FORWARD ANY REPORTS OF LARGE
HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...TORNADOES OR FLASH FLOODING TO OUR OFFICE.

GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029-SCZ001>007-010>013-019-150915-
RABUN-HABERSHAM-STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT-OCONEE MOUNTAINS-
PICKENS MOUNTAINS-GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS-GREATER OCONEE-
GREATER PICKENS-GREATER GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG-ANDERSON-ABBEVILLE-
LAURENS-UNION-GREENWOOD-
502 AM EDT TUE JUL 14 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST GEORGIA AND UPSTATE
SOUTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

A FEW THUNDERSTORMS MAY DEVELOP AND MOVE ACROSS NORTHEAST GEORGIA
AND THE UPSTATE OF SOUTH CAROLINA THIS MORNING...WITH GUSTY
WINDS...BRIEF HEAVY DOWNPOURS...AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING. THE
ATMOSPHERE IS EXPECTED TO BECOME MODERATELY UNSTABLE BY THIS
AFTERNOON ACROSS THE AREA ALONG AND WEST OF INTERSTATE 26...WHICH
WILL SUPPORT THE DEVELOPMENT OF STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND INTO THE EVENING. DAMAGING WIND GUSTS
AND LARGE HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE. IN ADDITION...THERE WILL BE
ENOUGH WIND SHEAR IN THE LOWER PART OF THE ATMOSPHERE SUCH THAT A
BRIEF TORNADO CANNOT BE RULED OUT. ANOTHER ROUND OF THUNDERSTORMS
WILL BE POSSIBLE LATE TONIGHT AND EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING AS A
COLD FRONT PUSHES ACROSS THE REGION.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

..WEDNESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..THURSDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..FRIDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..SATURDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..SUNDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..MONDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTERS ARE REQUESTED TO FORWARD ANY REPORTS OF LARGE
HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...TORNADOES OR FLASH FLOODING TO OUR OFFICE.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1130 AM EDT TUE JUL 14 2015

NCZ058-141545-
GRAHAM NC-
1130 AM EDT TUE JUL 14 2015

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT PORTIONS OF SOUTHWESTERN GRAHAM
COUNTY UNTIL 1145 AM EDT...

AT 1129 AM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 8
MILES WEST OF ROBBINSVILLE...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 30 MPH.

DIME SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS
STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
ROBBINSVILLE...TOWN OF SANTEETLAH AND LAKE SANTEETLAH.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

GUSTY WINDS CAN BLOW DOWN TREES THAT ARE DEAD...OR THAT HAVE WEAKENED
ROOT SYSTEMS. OUTDOOR FURNITURE AND SIMILAR ITEMS CAN BE TOSSED
AROUND IF NOT ANCHORED. SEEK SHELTER INDOORS.

DIME TO NICKEL SIZE HAIL CAN CAUSE CONSIDERABLE DAMAGE TO VEHICLES.
CONSIDER MOVING VEHICLES TO A COVERED STORAGE AREA BEFORE THE STORM
ARRIVES.

&&

LAT...LON 3533 8403 3541 8393 3525 8372 3524 8376
      3526 8379 3525 8385 3524 8389 3524 8390
      3522 8395 3522 8397 3524 8401 3527 8401
      3529 8403 3531 8402 3531 8404
TIME...MOT...LOC 1529Z 317DEG 25KT 3530 8395

RWH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1145 AM EDT TUE JUL 14 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0754 AM     TSTM WND DMG     5 SSE ASHEVILLE         35.51N 82.52W
07/14/2015                   BUNCOMBE           NC   BROADCAST MEDIA

            TREES DOWN ON SWEETEN CREEK DRIVE.

&&

CGANT

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1146 AM EDT TUE JUL 14 2015

NCZ062-141615-
MACON NC-
1146 AM EDT TUE JUL 14 2015

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT PORTIONS OF CENTRAL MACON COUNTY
UNTIL 1215 PM EDT...

AT 1146 AM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 8
MILES NORTHEAST OF ANDREWS...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 45 MPH.

DIME SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS
STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
NANTAHALA LAKE...SCALY MOUNTAIN...AQUONE...WAYAH BALD...RAINBOW
SPRINGS...KYLE AND OTTO.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

GUSTY WINDS CAN BLOW DOWN TREES THAT ARE DEAD...OR THAT HAVE WEAKENED
ROOT SYSTEMS. OUTDOOR FURNITURE AND SIMILAR ITEMS CAN BE TOSSED
AROUND IF NOT ANCHORED. SEEK SHELTER INDOORS.

DIME TO NICKEL SIZE HAIL CAN CAUSE CONSIDERABLE DAMAGE TO VEHICLES.
CONSIDER MOVING VEHICLES TO A COVERED STORAGE AREA BEFORE THE STORM
ARRIVES.

&&

LAT...LON 3519 8371 3520 8373 3523 8369 3527 8369
      3529 8358 3500 8320 3500 8352 3502 8352
      3504 8356 3507 8357 3511 8362 3513 8362
      3512 8364 3514 8364 3514 8365 3515 8365
      3515 8374
TIME...MOT...LOC 1546Z 315DEG 38KT 3525 8368

RWH

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1252 PM EDT TUE JUL 14 2015

GAZ017-018-026-SCZ001-004-005-141730-
FRANKLIN GA-STEPHENS GA-HABERSHAM GA-GREATER PICKENS SC-
GREATER OCONEE SC-OCONEE MOUNTAINS SC-
1252 PM EDT TUE JUL 14 2015

...A CLUSTER OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT PORTIONS OF STEPHENS...
HABERSHAM...NORTHERN FRANKLIN...OCONEE AND SOUTHERN PICKENS COUNTIES
UNTIL 130 PM EDT...

AT 1252 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THE LEADING EDGE OF A
CLUSTER OF THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 4 MILES
NORTHWEST OF WALHALLA TO 5 MILES NORTHEAST OF TOCCOA TO 3 MILES
SOUTHWEST OF CLARKESVILLE...AND MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 35 MPH.

DIME SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THESE STORMS.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
CLEMSON...TOCCOA...SENECA...WALHALLA...CLARKESVILLE...CARNESVILLE...
CENTRAL...CORNELIA...LIBERTY AND WESTMINSTER.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

GUSTY WINDS CAN BLOW DOWN TREES THAT ARE DEAD...OR THAT HAVE WEAKENED
ROOT SYSTEMS. OUTDOOR FURNITURE AND SIMILAR ITEMS CAN BE TOSSED
AROUND IF NOT ANCHORED. SEEK SHELTER INDOORS.

DIME TO NICKEL SIZE HAIL CAN CAUSE CONSIDERABLE DAMAGE TO VEHICLES.
CONSIDER MOVING VEHICLES TO A COVERED STORAGE AREA BEFORE THE STORM
ARRIVES.

&&

LAT...LON 3473 8352 3475 8343 3472 8335 3482 8331
      3482 8327 3487 8325 3492 8314 3486 8290
      3481 8290 3484 8283 3478 8258 3467 8279
      3447 8300 3449 8305 3438 8310 3435 8324
      3442 8338 3446 8340 3454 8363 3460 8364
TIME...MOT...LOC 1652Z 293DEG 33KT 3482 8312 3464 8325 3457 8355

RWH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
124 PM EDT TUE JUL 14 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0755 AM     TSTM WND DMG     FAIRVIEW                35.52N 82.40W
07/14/2015                   BUNCOMBE           NC   FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

            MULTIPLE TREES AND POWER LINES DOWN.

&&

JMP

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
128 PM EDT TUE JUL 14 2015

GAZ018-026-028-029-SCZ004-010-011-141800-
FRANKLIN GA-HART GA-STEPHENS GA-ELBERT GA-GREATER OCONEE SC-
ABBEVILLE SC-ANDERSON SC-
128 PM EDT TUE JUL 14 2015

...A CLUSTER OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT PORTIONS OF HART...
ELBERT...SOUTHERN STEPHENS...FRANKLIN...SOUTHEASTERN OCONEE...
SOUTHERN ABBEVILLE AND SOUTHWESTERN ANDERSON COUNTIES UNTIL 200 PM
EDT...

AT 128 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THE LEADING EDGE OF A CLUSTER
OF THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 11 MILES SOUTH OF
CLEMSON TO 4 MILES WEST OF HARTWELL TO 7 MILES NORTHWEST OF
CARNESVILLE...AND MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 15 MPH.

DIME SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THESE STORMS.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
ELBERTON...HARTWELL...CARNESVILLE...ABBEVILLE...ROYSTON...CALHOUN
FALLS...REED CREEK...LAVONIA...GUMLOG AND IVA.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

GUSTY WINDS CAN BLOW DOWN TREES THAT ARE DEAD...OR THAT HAVE WEAKENED
ROOT SYSTEMS. OUTDOOR FURNITURE AND SIMILAR ITEMS CAN BE TOSSED
AROUND IF NOT ANCHORED. SEEK SHELTER INDOORS.

DIME TO NICKEL SIZE HAIL CAN CAUSE CONSIDERABLE DAMAGE TO VEHICLES.
CONSIDER MOVING VEHICLES TO A COVERED STORAGE AREA BEFORE THE STORM
ARRIVES.

&&

LAT...LON 3398 8286 3401 8294 3417 8310 3423 8308
      3427 8312 3424 8317 3426 8330 3423 8335
      3426 8334 3433 8339 3443 8338 3446 8340
      3448 8346 3463 8286 3408 8230 3406 8236
      3407 8253 3401 8260 3399 8258 3398 8260
TIME...MOT...LOC 1728Z 328DEG 12KT 3452 8288 3436 8302 3442 8335

RWH