Severe Thunderstorm Warning 162, NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC

320 
WWUS52 KGSP 140036
SVSGSP

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
836 PM EDT MON JUL 13 2015

NCC003-023-027-035-097-111-161-140046-
/O.EXP.KGSP.SV.W.0162.000000T0000Z-150714T0045Z/
CALDWELL NC-BURKE NC-RUTHERFORD NC-CATAWBA NC-IREDELL NC-MCDOWELL NC-
ALEXANDER NC-
836 PM EDT MON JUL 13 2015

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN CALDWELL...
BURKE...NORTHEASTERN RUTHERFORD...WESTERN CATAWBA...NORTHWESTERN
IREDELL...SOUTHERN MCDOWELL AND ALEXANDER COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT 845
PM EDT...
    
THE LINE OF STORMS WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAVE MOVED OUT OF THE
AREA. THEREFORE THE WARNING WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE.

LAT...LON 3605 8076 3556 8143 3556 8166 3558 8169
      3554 8170 3552 8199 3569 8225 3579 8168
      3602 8134 3600 8133 3603 8127 3603 8107
      3606 8098
TIME...MOT...LOC 0035Z 317DEG 22KT 3624 8111 3582 8172 3559 8272 

$$

LANE

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
756 PM EDT MON JUL 13 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH...MULTIPLE IMPULSES
WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA RESULTING IN GOOD CHANCES OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS DAILY THROUGH THE FIRST HALF OF THE WEEK. A LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM AND STRONG FRONT WILL PASS THROUGH THE REGION
TUESDAY...WITH STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS POSSIBLE. AFTER THE FRONT
PASSES...AN UPPER HIGH WILL DRY OUT THE FORECAST AREA FOR THE SECOND
HALF OF THE WORK WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY/...
AS OF 745 PM...ANOTHER SEVERE TSTM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE
REST OF THE CWFA...EXCEPT FOR HABERSHAM TO ELBERT IN NE GA. THE LINE
OF STORMS IS WEAKENING AS IT CROSSES THE MTNS...WHILE A FEW SINGLE
CELLS ARE DEVELOPING ACRS THE PIEDMONT THAT HAVE BEEN STRONG TO
SEVERE. GRIDS HAVE BEEN UPDATED TO REFLECT THE NEW WATCH.

AS OF 445 PM...UPDATED THE FORECAST TO ACCOUNT FOR AN APPROACHING
BOWING MCS. WITH COLLABORATION WITH SPC...A SEVERE TSTM WATCH HAS
BEEN ISSUED FOR THE I-40 CORRIDOR AND NORTH (SEE WCNGSP FOR MORE
DETAILS)...UNTIL 10 PM EDT. I HAVE INCREASED POPS TO CATEGORICAL TO
LIKELY ALONG THIS CORRIDOR. MAIN THREAT LOOKS TO BE DAMAGING WINDS
AND HEAVY RAIN. CONFIDENCE ON HOW THE MCS WILL EVOLVE AS IT CROSSES
THE APPALACHIANS IS STILL LOW. THE LATEST SPC MESOANALYSIS PAGE
SHOWS MUCAPE OF AROUND 1500-2000 J/KG EAST OF THE MTNS. THIS WILL
LIKELY BEGIN DECREASING AROUND SUNSET. SHEAR ALSO IS WEAKER ONCE YOU
GET TO THE I-77 CORRIDOR...WITH EFFECTIVE SHEAR ONLY 20-25 KTS. I
WILL KEEP A CHC POP SOUTH OF I-85 AND LIKELY FROM ABOUT KGSP TO KCLT
AND NORTH...AS THE CONVECTION IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN FROM N TO S THIS
EVENING.

AS OF 245 PM EDT MONDAY...BROAD UPPER ANTICYCLONE CONTINUES TO
ROTATE ATOP THE SOUTHERN PLAINS WHILE A TROF AXIS DIGS ACROSS THE
UPPER MIDWEST AND GREAT LAKES REGION.  AT THE SURFACE...AN
INCREASINGLY UNSTABLE AND MODERATELY SHEARED AIRMASS OVER THE OH/TN
VALLEYS ARE EXPECTED TO SUPPORT CONTINUED DEVELOPMENT/PROPAGATION OF
AN ONGOING MCS.  CLOSE TO HOME...LATEST SPC MESO ANALYSIS PLACES
UPWARDS OF 2-3K J/KG SBCAPE ATOP THE NORTHEAST GA AND THE WESTERN
CAROLINAS...WITH A 1.5K J/KG DCAPE MAXIMA CENTERED OVER THE
UPSTATE.  FORTUNATELY...NOT MUCH IN THE WAY OF TRIGGERING IS PRESENT
OVER THESE ZONES THUS THE FCST ONLY FEATURES ISOLATED/SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.  THAT SAID...ANY STORMS THAT DO DEVELOP
WILL LIKELY GROW TO STRONG/SEVERE LIMITS WITH LARGE HAIL AND
MICROBURSTS BEING THE PRIMARY FOCUS.

BEYOND THAT THE FCST SHIFTS FOCUS TO THE PROPAGATION OF UPSTREAM
SEVERE MCS ACTIVITY.  MOST GUIDANCE NOW FAVORS THE POTENTIAL FOR TWO
MCS TRACKS...THE FIRST COMING INTO THE PICTURE TONIGHT...AND THE
SECOND AROUND EARLY MORNING TUESDAY.  SPC CONTINUES TO HIGHLIGHT THE
WESTERN NC HIGH TERRAIN IN THE SLIGHT RISK FOR THE AFORE MENTIONED
NIGHTTIME MCS WHERE DAMAGING STRAIGHT LINE WINDS WILL BE FAVORED.
MODELS AGREE BETTER...HOWEVER STILL NOT AT A CONSENSUS AS TO HOW FAR
EAST ANY SURVIVING CONVECTION WILL STRETCH.  NEVERTHELESS...ENOUGH
INSTABILITY WILL BE PRESENT FOR SUSTAINMENT AS THE LIKELY BROKEN
LINE SLIDES INTO/THROUGH THE MTNS.  THEREFORE POPS THIS EVENING
FEATURE LIKELY LEVELS OVER THE HIGH TERRAIN...EASTWARD INTO THE I40
CORRIDOR OF WESTERN NC.  FURTHER SOUTHEAST THE POPS DROP OFF TO HIGH
END CHANCE LEVELS.  THE SECOND POSSIBLE LINE OF CONVECTION WILL BE
GENERALLY 4-5 HOURS BEHIND THE FIRST...HOWEVER CONFIDENCE IN THE
TRACK REMAINS LOW DUE TO THE AMOUNT OF REMAINING INSTABILITY PRESENT
BEHIND THE FIRST MCS.  THINK THE MOST FAVORED TRACK WILL BE JUST TO
THE WEST OVER THE GREAT VALLEY WHERE THE MOST UNSTABLE AIRMASS WITH
LIKELY RESIDE.  THUS...POPS OVERNIGHT WILL TAPER OVER THE EAST WHERE
SLIGHT CHANCES ARE FAVORED...INCREASING WESTWARD TO LOW END LIKELY
POPS ALONG THE TN LINE.

THE FCST FOR TUESDAY LOOKS TO DEPEND HIGHLY ON THE TRACK OF THE
ABOVE MENTIONED SECOND MCS AS THE ATMOSPHERE WILL LIKELY SUFFER DUE
DO EITHER ITS CONVECTION...OR CONVECTIVE DEBRIS.  HIRES GUIDANCE
DOES INDICATE SOME LINGERING ACTIVITY LIKELY IN THE FORM OF SHOWERS
ALONG AND JUST SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 85 BY LATE MORNING...WITH THE NC
ZONES BEING CONVECTION FREE.  ANOTHER MORE POTENT MCS TRACK IS
PROGGED BEYOND THE PERIOD AND WILL BE AIDED BY THE PROGRESSION OF
THE PRIMARY UPPER SHORTWAVE.  CONDITIONS WILL BECOME INCREASINGLY
FAVORABLE FOR STRONG/SEVERE CONVECTION ON TUESDAY...HOWEVER SHOULD
REMAIN CAPPED FOR THE MOST PART.  THUS...ONLY CHANCE POPS ARE
CARRIED OVER THE ENTIRE REGION ON TUESDAY AFTERNOON.  SPC HAS PLACED
THE VAST MAJORITY OF THE FCST IN THE ENHANCED RISK FOR SEVERE
WEATHER ON TUESDAY DUE TO THE UNSTABLE/SHEARED AIRMASS.
TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE PERIOD WILL REMAIN AT OR JUST ABOVE NORMAL
FOR MOST LOCATIONS.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
OF 215 PM MONDAY...MAIN ACTION IN THE SHORT TERM WILL BE TUE
NIGHT WHEN A RATHER RARE JULY COLD FRONT ARRIVES BEING DRIVEN BY A
VIGOROUS SHORT WAVE SWINGING SE FROM THE THE GREAT LAKES. IT
REMAINS TO BE SEEN HOW MUCH CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT WILL OCCUR TUE
NIGHT. THE 12Z GFS IS RATHER MUTED IN ITS QPF RESPONSE TUE NIGHT AS
IT LIMITS CONVECTION MAINLY TO THE MOUNTAINS AND EASTERN PIEDMONT.
THIS IS NOT AN UNUSUAL SCENARIO WITH DEEP LAYER NW FLOW IN PLACE.
THE NAM ON THE OTHER HAND IS MUCH MORE BULLISH IN BRINGING A BROKEN
LINE OF CONVECTION ACROSS THE AREA WITH THE FRONT. WITH THE UPPER
SUPPORT AND UNSTABLE AIRMASS IN PLACE...WILL LEAN MORE TOWARD THE
NAM SOLUTION. HOWEVER...EXPECT THE BEST COVERAGE WILL INDEED BE OVER
THE MOUNTAINS WITH PERHAPS JUST SCT CONVECTIVE CELLS SURVIVING EAST
OF THE MOUNTAINS. SEVERE STORMS WILL REMAIN A THREAT AS WIND SHEAR
REMAINS ELEVATED.

AFTER THE BKN-SCT CONVECTIVE LINE CROSSES...THE MAIN SHORTWAVE
TROUGH AXIS WILL SWING EAST OF THE AREA EARLY WED. SOME LINGERING
UPSLOPE SHOWERS MAY OCCUR ALONG THE TN LINE ON WED...AND SOME
CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE OVER THE SOUTHERN PIEDMONT IN THE
AFTERNOON NEAR THE TROUGH AXIS. OTHERWISE...WED SHOULD BE DRY THANKS
TO THE NW FLOW AND RESULTANT LOWER RH'S. MAX TEMPS WILL BE ABOUT
A CATEGORY ABOVE CLIMO THANKS TO DOWNSLOPE. DRY HIGH PRESSURE WILL
RIDGE INTO THE AREA WED NIGHT AND CONTINUE TO CONTROL THE WEATHER
THROUGH THURSDAY AS IT MOVES EASTWARD. MAX TEMPS WILL LOWER TO NEAR
CLIMO VALUES ON THU AS SFC WINDS VEER TO THE NE/E.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
OF 2 PM MONDAY...THE GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN FAIRLY GOOD AGREEMENT
THAT THE UPPER ANTICYCLONE CENTERED OVER THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI
VALLEY WILL REMAIN ESSENTIALLY IN PLACE. THIS PUTS THE SOUTHERN
APPALACHIANS AND THE WESTERN CAROLINAS ON THE EASTERN FRINGE OF THIS
SYSTEM PLACING THE MAIN SHORT WAVE TRACK BE EAST OF THE FORECAST
AREA.

EARLY IN THE PERIOD...DRY HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE NE STATES WILL
CONTINUE TO RIDGE INTO THE AREA THROUGH FRIDAY WHICH SHOULD PRODUCE
GENERALLY QUIET WEATHER AND AND TEMPS A LITTLE ABOVE CLIMO THROUGH
FRIDAY NIGHT. BY SATURDAY...THE HIGH IS FORECAST TO MOVE EASTWARD
INTO THE ATLANTIC WITH MOISTURE INCREASING OVER THE SE STATES. IN
ITS WAKE...A WEAK RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE IS FORECAST TO DEVELOP
GENERALLY CENTERED ALONG THE APPALACHIANS WITH A LEE TROUGH THROUGH
THE CENTRAL CAROLINAS INTO GA. THIS SET UP IS FORECAST TO HOLD
THROUGH MONDAY AND SUGGESTS A MAINLY DIURNAL MODE TO THE CONVECTION
WHICH COMMENCES ON SATURDAY AND CONTINUES INTO THE FIRST PART OF
NEXT WEEK. WITH THE NW FLOW ALOFT...THE MOUNTAIN CONVECTION
DEVELOPING DURING THE AFTERNOON WOULD ADVECT INTO THE FOOTHILLS AND
PIEDMONT DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS. LOW LEVEL
THICKNESS SUPPORTS MAX TEMPS AT LEAST A CATEGORY ABOVE CLIMO.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
AT KCLT...THE MAIN CONCERN NEXT 3-4 HOURS WILL BE CONVECTION. FIRST
WITH SCATTERED DISCRETE CELLS DEVELOPING NEAR THE TERMINAL.
SECOND...A WEAKENING LINE OF STORMS TRYING TO CROSS THE NC MTNS.
CONFIDENCE IS MODERATE THAT THE LINE WILL AT LEAST REACH KCLT AS A
DECAYING BLOB OF PRECIP WITH A WIND SHIFT TO THE NORTH/NORTHWEST.
WILL TEMPO IN A COUPLE HOURS OF IMPACT AROUND THE TERMINAL FROM
01-03Z. OVERNIGHT...EXPECT THINGS TO WIND DOWN WITH MAINLY JUST MID
AND HIGH CLOUDS AND LIGHT WINDS. THERE IS A SMALL CHANCE OF SOME FOG
AROUND DAYBREAK...IF HEAVY RAIN FALLS AND WINDS CAN GO CALM. WILL
LEAVE OUT VSBY RESTRICTIONS WITH THE 00Z TAFS. ON TUESDAY...GUIDANCE
SHOWS ANOTHER ROUND OF CONVECTION WILL LIKELY DEVELOP TO OUR NORTH
AND ORGANIZE INTO ANOTHER COMPLEX...PUSHING INTO NC IN THE EVENING.
THERE MAY BE SOME ISOLATED TO SCATTERED STORMS AHEAD OF THE LINE
DURING THE AFTN HOURS...SO WILL ADD A PROB30 STARTING AT 21Z.

ELSEWHERE...SIMILAR TO KCLT ABOVE. KAVL AND KHKY HAVE BEST CHC OF
STRONG IMPACTS FROM A LINE OF STORMS JUST TO THEIR NORTH AT TIME OF
00Z TAF ISSUANCE. THE LINE IS WEAKENING...AND MAY NOT SURVIVE TO THE
UPSTATE SITES. HOWEVER...THERE IS ENUF INSTBY FOR ISOLATED TO
SCATTERED STORMS POPPING UP AHEAD OF THAT LINE. SO WILL INCLUDE VCTS
WITH TEMPOS AT KGMU/KGSP. STRONGER IMPACT WORDING FOR KAVL AND KHKY.
AFTER THE STORMS DISSIPATE LATER THIS EVENING...EXPECT MAINLY JUST
LEFTOVER MID AND HIGH CLOUDS. STORMS UPSTREAM ACRS IL/IN WILL
APPROACH FROM THE NORTHWEST OVERNIGHT...BUT CONFIDENCE IN THEIR
SURVIVING TO ANY OF THE TAF SITES IS LOW. THERE MAY BE SOME PATCHY
FOG WHERE HEAVY RAIN FALLS AND WINDS CAN REMAIN LIGHT. THE BEST CHC
LOOKS TO BE AT KAVL...WHERE I WILL PUT AN MVFR VSBY BEFORE DAYBREAK.
ON TUESDAY...ANOTHER ROUND OF STORMS IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP TO OUR
NORTH AND TRACK INTO THE AREA IN THE EVENING. AHEAD OF THOSE
STORMS...ISOLATED TO SCATTERED STORMS MAY DEVELOP IN THE AFTN. SO
WILL HAVE PROB30 AT ALL SITES STARTING AROUND 21Z. THERE WILL BE
BETTER WIND GUST POTENTIAL DURING THE AFTN...MAINLY OUT OF THE SW.
THEN...OF COURSE ERRATIC GUSTY WINDS WITHIN ANY TSRA.

OUTLOOK...THE WEATHER PATTERN WILL BE MORE FAVORABLE FOR MAINLY
AFTERNOON/EVENING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THRU MIDWEEK.
HOWEVER...THERE COULD BE SOME ORGANIZED THUNDERSTORMS THAT MOVE
ACROSS THE REGION LATE TUESDAY NIGHT. LOW CLOUDS AND FOG COULD ALSO
DEVELOP IN THE MORNING AT PLACES THAT HAVE SHOWER ACTIVITY THE DAY
BEFORE...AND IN MTN AND RIVER VALLEYS.

CONFIDENCE TABLE...

            00-06Z        06-12Z        12-18Z        18-00Z
KCLT       HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%
KGSP       HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%
KAVL       HIGH  92%     HIGH  94%     HIGH  97%     HIGH 100%
KHKY       HIGH 100%     HIGH  97%     HIGH  97%     HIGH 100%
KGMU       HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%
KAND       HIGH 100%     HIGH  94%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%

THE PERCENTAGE REFLECTS THE NUMBER OF GUIDANCE MEMBERS AGREEING
WITH THE SCHEDULED TAF ISSUANCE FLIGHT RULE CATEGORY. COMPLETE HOURLY
EXPERIMENTAL AVIATION FORECAST CONSISTENCY TABLES AND ENSEMBLE FORECASTS
ARE AVAILABLE AT THE FOLLOWING LINK: (MUST BE LOWER CASE)

WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GSP/AVIATION_TABLES

&&

.GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GA...NONE.
NC...NONE.
SC...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...CSH
NEAR TERM...ARK/CDG
SHORT TERM...LG
LONG TERM...LG
AVIATION...ARK

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
712 PM EDT MON JUL 13 2015

GAZ010-NCZ051-058-059-062>065-142315-
RABUN-SWAIN-GRAHAM-NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON-
TRANSYLVANIA-HENDERSON-
712 PM EDT MON JUL 13 2015

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 415 IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EDT TUESDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST GEORGIA AND WESTERN
NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH.

THUNDERSTORM COMPLEXES EMANATING FROM THE OHIO VALLEY WILL MOVE
SOUTHEAST OVERNIGHT. ONE COMPLEX HAS ARRIVED THIS EVENING AND A
SECOND IS POSSIBLE EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. SOME OF THE STORMS WILL
BE SEVERE WITH DAMAGING WIND AND LARGE HAIL.THE STORMS WILL ALSO
CONTAIN FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING AND VERY HEAVY
DOWNPOURS. SOME FLOODING CONCERNS ARE POSSIBLE IN POOR DRAINAGE
AREAS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

..TUESDAY...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE. ALL MODES OF SEVERE
WEATHER APPEAR TO BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS ON TUESDAY AND
TUESDAY NIGHT INCLUDING DAMAGING WIND...LARGE HAIL AND POSSIBLE
TORNADOES.
..WEDNESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..THURSDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..FRIDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..SATURDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..SUNDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTERS ARE REQUESTED TO FORWARD ANY REPORTS OF LARGE
HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...TORNADOES OR FLASH FLOODING TO OUR OFFICE.

NCZ033-048>050-052-053-142315-
AVERY-MADISON-YANCEY-MITCHELL-HAYWOOD-BUNCOMBE-
712 PM EDT MON JUL 13 2015

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 412 IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH.

THUNDERSTORM COMPLEXES EMANATING FROM THE OHIO VALLEY WILL MOVE
SOUTHEAST OVERNIGHT. ONE COMPLEX HAS ARRIVED THIS EVENING AND A
SECOND IS POSSIBLE EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. SOME OF THE STORMS WILL
BE SEVERE WITH DAMAGING WIND AND LARGE HAIL.THE STORMS WILL ALSO
CONTAIN FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING AND VERY HEAVY
DOWNPOURS. SOME FLOODING CONCERNS ARE POSSIBLE IN POOR DRAINAGE
AREAS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

..TUESDAY...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE. ALL MODES OF SEVERE
WEATHER APPEAR TO BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS ON TUESDAY AND
TUESDAY NIGHT INCLUDING DAMAGING WIND...LARGE HAIL AND POSSIBLE
TORNADOES.
..WEDNESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..THURSDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..FRIDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..SATURDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..SUNDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTERS ARE REQUESTED TO FORWARD ANY REPORTS OF LARGE
HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...TORNADOES OR FLASH FLOODING TO OUR OFFICE.

GAZ017-142315-
HABERSHAM-
712 PM EDT MON JUL 13 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST GEORGIA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

THUNDERSTORM COMPLEXES EMANATING FROM THE OHIO VALLEY WILL MOVE
SOUTHEAST OVERNIGHT. ONE COMPLEX WILL ARRIVE THIS EVENING AND A
SECOND IS POSSIBLE EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. SOME OF THE STORMS MAY
BE SEVERE WITH DAMAGING WIND AND LARGE HAIL...ESPECIALLY NEAR THE
TENNESSEE BORDER. THE STORMS WILL ALSO CONTAIN FREQUENT CLOUD TO
GROUND LIGHTNING AND VERY HEAVY DOWNPOURS. SOME FLOODING CONCERNS
ARE POSSIBLE IN POOR DRAINAGE AREAS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

..TUESDAY...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE. ALL MODES OF SEVERE
WEATHER APPEAR TO BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS ON TUESDAY AND
TUESDAY NIGHT INCLUDING DAMAGING WIND...LARGE HAIL AND POSSIBLE
TORNADOES.
..WEDNESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..THURSDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..FRIDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..SATURDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..SUNDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTERS ARE REQUESTED TO FORWARD ANY REPORTS OF LARGE
HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...TORNADOES OR FLASH FLOODING TO OUR OFFICE.

NCZ057-068>072-082-507>510-SCZ001>014-019-142315-
ROWAN-CLEVELAND-LINCOLN-GASTON-MECKLENBURG-CABARRUS-UNION-
RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS-GREATER RUTHERFORD-POLK MOUNTAINS-EASTERN POLK-
OCONEE MOUNTAINS-PICKENS MOUNTAINS-GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS-
GREATER OCONEE-GREATER PICKENS-GREATER GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG-
CHEROKEE-YORK-ANDERSON-ABBEVILLE-LAURENS-CHESTER-GREENWOOD-
712 PM EDT MON JUL 13 2015

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 415 IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EDT TUESDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PIEDMONT NORTH
CAROLINA...WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH.

THUNDERSTORM COMPLEXES MOVING OUT THE MOUNTAINS OVERNIGHT MAY
CONTAIN DAMAGING WINDS,LARGE HAIL AND FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND
LIGHTNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

..TUESDAY...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE. ALL MODES OF SEVERE
WEATHER APPEAR TO BE POSSIBLE TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT ACROSS
THE WESTERN CAROLINAS AND NORTHEAST GEORGIA INCLUDING DAMAGING
WIND...LARGE HAIL AND THE POSSIBILITY OF TORNADOES.
..WEDNESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..THURSDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..FRIDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..SATURDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..SUNDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTERS ARE REQUESTED TO FORWARD ANY REPORTS OF LARGE
HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...TORNADOES OR FLASH FLOODING TO OUR OFFICE.

NCZ035>037-056-501>506-142315-
ALEXANDER-IREDELL-DAVIE-CATAWBA-CALDWELL MOUNTAINS-GREATER CALDWELL-
BURKE MOUNTAINS-GREATER BURKE-MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS-EASTERN MCDOWELL-
712 PM EDT MON JUL 13 2015

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 412 IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PIEDMONT NORTH CAROLINA AND
WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH.

THUNDERSTORM COMPLEXES EMANATING FROM THE OHIO VALLEY WILL MOVE
SOUTHEAST OVERNIGHT. ONE COMPLEX HAS ARRIVED THIS EVENING AND A
SECOND IS POSSIBLE EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. SOME OF THE STORMS WILL
BE SEVERE WITH DAMAGING WIND AND LARGE HAIL.THE STORMS WILL ALSO
CONTAIN FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING AND VERY HEAVY
DOWNPOURS. SOME FLOODING CONCERNS ARE POSSIBLE IN POOR DRAINAGE
AREAS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

..TUESDAY...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE. ALL MODES OF SEVERE
WEATHER APPEAR TO BE POSSIBLE TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT ACROSS
THE WESTERN CAROLINAS AND NORTHEAST GEORGIA INCLUDING DAMAGING
WIND...LARGE HAIL AND THE POSSIBILITY OF TORNADOES.
..WEDNESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..THURSDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..FRIDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..SATURDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..SUNDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTERS ARE REQUESTED TO FORWARD ANY REPORTS OF LARGE
HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...TORNADOES OR FLASH FLOODING TO OUR OFFICE.

GAZ018-026-028-029-142315-
STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT-
712 PM EDT MON JUL 13 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST GEORGIA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

THUNDERSTORM COMPLEXES MOVING OUT THE MOUNTAINS OVERNIGHT MAY
CAUSE DAMAGING WINDS, LARGE HAIL AND FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND
LIGHTNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

..TUESDAY...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE. ALL MODES OF SEVERE
WEATHER APPEAR TO BE POSSIBLE TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT ACROSS
THE WESTERN CAROLINAS AND NORTHEAST GEORGIA INCLUDING DAMAGING
WIND...LARGE HAIL AND THE POSSIBILITY OF TORNADOES.
..WEDNESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..THURSDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..FRIDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..SATURDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..SUNDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTERS ARE REQUESTED TO FORWARD ANY REPORTS OF LARGE
HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...TORNADOES OR FLASH FLOODING TO OUR OFFICE.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
728 PM EDT MON JUL 13 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0725 PM     HAIL             SPARTANBURG             34.94N 81.93W
07/13/2015  E0.50 INCH       SPARTANBURG        SC   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

LG

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
733 PM EDT MON JUL 13 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0725 PM     TSTM WND DMG     3 NNW HOT SPRINGS       35.93N 82.84W
07/13/2015                   MADISON            NC   TRAINED SPOTTER

            MULTIPLE TREES BLOWN DOWN

&&

LG

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
734 PM EDT MON JUL 13 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0723 PM     HAIL             SPARTANBURG             34.94N 81.93W
07/13/2015  E1.00 INCH       SPARTANBURG        SC   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

LG

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
745 PM EDT MON JUL 13 2015

NCZ071-SCZ009-140015-
MECKLENBURG NC-YORK SC-
745 PM EDT MON JUL 13 2015

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT PORTIONS OF SOUTHWESTERN
MECKLENBURG AND SOUTHEASTERN YORK COUNTIES UNTIL 815 PM EDT...

AT 743 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 5
MILES NORTH OF ROCK HILL...AND ANOTHER NEAR PINEVILLE. THE STORMS WERE
MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 15 MPH.

PEA SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THESE
STORMS.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
ROCK HILL...FORT MILL...PINEVILLE...TEGA CAY...LESSLIE...CAROWINDS...
SOUTHWEST CHARLOTTE AND SOUTH CHARLOTTE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

LAKE WYLIE IS IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM. CLOUD TO GROUND
LIGHTNING AND GUSTY WINDS WILL CREATE DANGEROUS BOATING CONDITIONS.
MOVE TO SHORE IMMEDIATELY.

&&

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 100 AM EDT FOR
MUCH OF NORTH CAROLINA AND SOUTH CAROLINA.

LAT...LON 3503 8080 3500 8084 3508 8091 3507 8091
      3503 8090 3501 8091 3499 8089 3497 8089
      3496 8087 3492 8086 3484 8098 3503 8108
      3514 8091 3503 8078
TIME...MOT...LOC 2343Z 313DEG 12KT 3502 8102

LANE

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
750 PM EDT MON JUL 13 2015

SCZ007-140015-
SPARTANBURG SC-
750 PM EDT MON JUL 13 2015

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT PORTIONS OF NORTHWESTERN
SPARTANBURG COUNTY UNTIL 815 PM EDT...

AT 750 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 11
MILES SOUTHEAST OF COLUMBUS...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 15 MPH.

PEA SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS
STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
INMAN...CAMPOBELLO...LAKE BOWEN...BOILING SPRINGS SC AND FINGERVILLE.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 100 AM EDT FOR
UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA.

LAT...LON 3513 8220 3518 8214 3512 8188 3497 8212
TIME...MOT...LOC 2350Z 306DEG 12KT 3510 8211

LANE

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
753 PM EDT MON JUL 13 2015

NCZ071-140015-
MECKLENBURG NC-
753 PM EDT MON JUL 13 2015

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT PORTIONS OF NORTHWESTERN
MECKLENBURG COUNTY UNTIL 815 PM EDT...

AT 751 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 5
MILES NORTHWEST OF HUNTERSVILLE...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
HUNTERSVILLE...CORNELIUS...DAVIDSON...NORTHEAST CHARLOTTE...NORTHWEST
CHARLOTTE...LAKE NORMAN AND CROFT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

LAKE NORMAN IS IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM. CLOUD TO GROUND
LIGHTNING AND GUSTY WINDS WILL CREATE DANGEROUS BOATING CONDITIONS.
MOVE TO SHORE IMMEDIATELY.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 100 AM EDT.

&&

LAT...LON 3530 8096 3535 8097 3536 8092 3538 8096
      3537 8097 3539 8097 3539 8095 3543 8096
      3545 8094 3549 8094 3551 8091 3551 8081
      3548 8078 3542 8075 3540 8077 3538 8074
TIME...MOT...LOC 2351Z 318DEG 18KT 3548 8089

LANE