Alert archive / North Carolina / Flash Flood Warnings in 2015
Flash Flood Warning 15, NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC
NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC issued this flash flood warning at Jul 13, 2015, 10:11 AM EDT for Buncombe County, North Carolina. It was in force for 3 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Jul 13, 2015, 10:11 AM EDT (14:11 UTC)
- Expired
- Jul 13, 2015, 1:15 PM EDT
- In force
- 3 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC
- Area
- Storm-based polygon
- Flood severity
- None
County Buncombe County, NC
The radar
The Greer radar (KGSP), 98 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 14:12 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
Did it verify
Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this flash flood warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.
Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.
The nearest sounding before it
Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC (KGSO), launched 12:00Z, 2.2 hours before the alert went out and 227 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 803 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -68 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1058 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 42 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 77 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 88 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.3
- Supercell composite
- 1.1
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
960
WGUS52 KGSP 131411
FFWGSP
NCC021-131715-
/O.NEW.KGSP.FF.W.0015.150713T1411Z-150713T1715Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1011 AM EDT MON JUL 13 2015
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG HAS ISSUED A
* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
NORTHEASTERN BUNCOMBE COUNTY IN WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA...
* UNTIL 115 PM EDT
* AT 1009 AM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A THUNDERSTORM PRODUCING
HEAVY RAIN OVERSPREADING THE WARNED AREA. UP TO THREE INCHES OF
RAIN HAVE FALLEN THIS MORNING OVER THE LOWER IVY RIVER BASIN.
FLASH FLOODING IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN SHORTLY.
* SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE...
WEAVERVILLE...B.R. PARKWAY-EAST ASHEVILLE TO CRAGGY GARDENS...
WARREN WILSON COLLEGE...MONTREAT...BARNARDSVILLE...BLACK
MOUNTAIN...SWANNANOA...NORTH ASHEVILLE...EAST ASHEVILLE AND B.R.
PARKWAY-CRAGGY TO LITTLE SWITZERLAND.
VERY HEAVY RAIN WILL LIKELY FLOOD LOW LYING AREAS ALONG THE IVY
RIVER ESPECIALLY ALONG ARROWOOD ROAD. FLOODING AROUND HOMES AND
BUSINESSES BETWEEN HIGHWAY 197 AND THE RIVER WILL LIKELY OCCURR.
AREAS EAST OF PAINTED FORK ROAD NEAR THE RIVER WILL ALSO BE
AFFECTED.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN VEHICLES. DO NOT DRIVE INTO AREAS WHERE
WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. ONLY A FEW INCHES OF RAPIDLY FLOWING WATER
CAN CARRY AWAY YOUR VEHICLE. TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.
&&
LAT...LON 3582 8236 3580 8234 3578 8234 3575 8233
3571 8228 3568 8229 3565 8229 3562 8227
3560 8252 3577 8259 3580 8252 3580 8247
3581 8246 3581 8241 3582 8241
$$2 follow-up statements
407
WGUS72 KGSP 131454
FFSGSP
FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1054 AM EDT MON JUL 13 2015
NCC021-131715-
/O.CON.KGSP.FF.W.0015.000000T0000Z-150713T1715Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
BUNCOMBE NC-
1054 AM EDT MON JUL 13 2015
...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 115 PM EDT FOR
NORTH CENTRAL BUNCOMBE COUNTY...
AT 1051 AM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THAT RAIN HAD DIMINISHED
ACROSS THE WARNED AREA. UP TO THREE INCHES OF RAIN HAD FALLEN
ACROSS THE LOWER IVY RIVER BASIN.
SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE...
BARNARDSVILLE.
FLOOD PRONE LOCALES IN THE AREA INCLUDE LOW LYING AREAS ALONG THE
IVY RIVER ESPECIALLY ALONG ARROWOOD ROAD. FLOODING IS ALSO POSSIBLE
BETWEEN HIGHWAY 197 AND THE RIVER AND AREAS EAST OF PAINTED FORK
ROAD NEAR THE RIVER.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PLEASE REPORT FLOOD WATER FLOWING OVER ROADS OR THREATENING
PROPERTY...OR LANDSLIDES TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE
SPARTANBURG BY CALLING TOLL FREE...1...800...2 6 7...8 1 0 1...OR BY
POSTING ON OUR FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET IT USING HASHTAG NWSGSP. YOUR
MESSAGE SHOULD DESCRIBE THE EVENT AND THE SPECIFIC LOCATION WHERE IT
OCCURRED.
&&
LAT...LON 3582 8236 3580 8234 3578 8234 3575 8233
3573 8235 3573 8240 3572 8243 3571 8249
3572 8257 3577 8259 3580 8252 3580 8247
3581 8246 3581 8241 3582 8241
$$394
WGUS72 KGSP 131611
FFSGSP
FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1211 PM EDT MON JUL 13 2015
NCC021-131620-
/O.CAN.KGSP.FF.W.0015.000000T0000Z-150713T1715Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
BUNCOMBE NC-
1211 PM EDT MON JUL 13 2015
...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR NORTH CENTRAL BUNCOMBE COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...
RAIN HAS ENDED AND ELEVATED STREAM CONDITIONS ACROSS THE IVY RIVER
BASIN WILL CONTINUE TO LOWER. NO REPORTS OF FLOODING WERE RECEIVED.
LAT...LON 3582 8236 3580 8234 3578 8234 3575 8233
3573 8235 3573 8240 3572 8243 3571 8249
3572 8257 3577 8259 3580 8252 3580 8247
3581 8246 3581 8241 3582 8241
$$What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this flash flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood warning went out at Jul 13, 9:52 AM EDT, 19 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jul 13, 9:52 AM EDT, 19 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
952 AM EDT MON JUL 13 2015
.SYNOPSIS...
THE EAST COAST WILL REMAIN UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF AN UPPER
TROUGH...WITH MULTIPLE IMPULSES MOVING THROUGH THE AREA AND GOOD
CHANCES OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORM EACH DAY THROUGH THE FIRST HALF
OF THE WEEK. A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM AND STRONG FRONT WILL PASS
THROUGH THE REGION TUESDAY...WITH STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS POSSIBLE.
AFTER THE FRONT PASSES...AN UPPER HIGH WILL DRY OUT THE FORECAST
AREA FOR THE SECOND HALF OF THE WORK WEEK.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
AS OF 945 AM EDT MONDAY...UPSLOPING FLOW ATOP THE NW FACING SLOPES
OF THE NC HIGH TERRAIN CONTINUES TO AID SHOWER DEVELOPMENT ALONG THE
TN LINE. LATEST NAM INDICATES FAVORABLE H85 WINDS THROUGH APPROX
14-15Z WHICH WOULD ALLOW FOR SUSTAINMENT OF SAID ACTIVITY.
THUS...KEPT SCATTERED/NUMEROUS POPS FOR THESE ZONES THROUGH
MORNING. OTHERWISE...CONVECTIVE DEBRIS DOWNSTREAM ACROSS THE NC
PIEDMONT IS NOT EXPECTED TO SUSTAIN...HOWEVER DID KEEP POPS A TAD
ELEVATED THROUGH MORNING TO ACCOUNT FOR CURRENT COVERAGE. BEYOND
THAT CAM GUID FAVORS A RATHER QUIET AFTERNOON WITH ONLY ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS AT BEST. SOUNDINGS HOWEVER WOULD SUGGEST THAT THE
COVERAGE COULD BE A BIT BETTER DUE TO IMPRESSIVE CAPE PROFILES FREE
FOR CONVECTION. THE WILD CARD WILL BE THE AMOUNT OF RECOVERY THAT
TAKES PLACE ALLOWING FOR THE ABOVE MENTIONED INSTABILITY TO
ESTABLISH ITSELF...THEREFORE LEFT POPS UNCHANGED AT SCATTERED LEVELS
THIS AFTERNOON. THE PRIMARY FOCUS OF THE NEAR TERM CONTINUES TO BE
POSSIBLE MCS PROPAGATION INTO THE FCST AREA TONIGHT. LATEST HRRR
HAS COME IN LINE WITH OTHER CAM GUID REGARDING TIMING/TRACK WHICH
WOULD FAVOR A STRONG/SEVERE CONVECTIVE LINE ENTERING THE NC HIGH
TERRAIN AROUND 9-10PM TONIGHT. FROM THERE IT LOOKS AS IF SOME
DECAYING IS LIKELY...HOWEVER THE ENVIRONMENT WILL STILL LENDS ITSELF
TO SOME MODERATE ELEVATED CAPE THUS WOULDNT BE SURPRISED TO SEE
COVERAGE OVER THE REGION THROUGH THE NIGHT.
PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...
UPPER HEIGHTS BEGIN TO FALL AND BECOME MORE CYCLONIC THROUGH THE
DAY AS A VIGOROUS UPSTREAM MCS PUSHES INTO THE LOWER OH VALLEY. WEAK
FLOW THROUGH THE MID LEVELS WILL ENCOMPASS THE CWFA THROUGH NOON
BEFORE BECOMING DEFINED ZONAL IN THE LOW LEVELS. THE GFS AND NAM ARE
BOTH SHOWING A VORT MINIMA CROSSING THE AREA AND CLOUD COVER SHOULD
BE LOW ENUF FOR HIGH AMOUNTS OF INSOLATION AND SFC TD MIXING. THESE
FACTORS WILL LIMIT THE CONVEC POTENTIAL ACROSS THE NON/MTNS AS
LAYERED OMEGA REMAINS CLOSE TO NEUTRAL. THUS...POPS HAVE BEEN
REDUCED TO LOW END CHANCES ACROSS THE NON/MTNS AND MAINTAINED A BIT
ABOVE NORMAL OVER THE MTNS. THE VARIOUS CAM MODELS AGREE WELL WITH
THIS SCENARIO WITH ONLY ONE OF THE ENS CAMS INDICATING A LITTLE
WIDER ACTIVITY. SOME LATE AFTERNOON STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS ARE
POSSIBLE OVER THE WEST AS DIFFLUENCE CONTINUES ATOP INCREASING 0-6
KM SHEAR WITHIN MODERATE INSTABILITY. MAX TEMPS WILL RESPOND WELL IN
DOWNSLOPE FLOW WITH HIGHS REACHING THE M90S NON/MTNS...AND U80S MTN
VALLEYS.
THERE IS A GENERAL CONSENSUS BTW THE OP MODELS OF THE OH VALLEY MCS
REACHING THE NC MTNS BTW 03Z-06Z. DEEP SHEAR LEVELS WILL CONTINUE TO
INCREASE EASTWARD AND MODEST ELCAPE VALUES SHOULD BE MAINTAINED
THROUGH MOST OF THE OVERNIGHT AND WITH THE ENERGIZED UPPER TROF
APPROACHING...CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY WILL CONTINUE THROUGH DAYBREAK.
LIKELY PRECIP CHANCES WILL BE HAD ACROSS THE MTNS WITH LOW TO MID
CHANCES ELSEWHERE. LOCALIZED HIGH AMOUNTS OF QPF ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS
THE UPSLOPE REGIONS WHERE ANCHORING STORMS MAY DEVELOP. WITH THE
GOOD DYNAMICAL ENVIRON...A FEW OF THESE STORMS COULD ALSO BECOME
QUITE STRONG TO SEVERE. THE NON/MTNS WILL EXPERIENCE MORE SCATTERED
DEVELOPMENT WITH LOCALIZED QPF AMOUNTS ON THE ORDER OF A QUARTER
INCH OF LESS.
&&
.SHORT TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...
AS OF 200 AM MONDAY...A NORTHWESTERLY ALOFT PATTERN IS EXPECTED TO
PREVAIL ACROSS OUR FORECAST AREA (FA) FOR THIS PART OF THE FORECAST
CYCLE WHICH RUNS FROM TUE THROUGH WED NIGHT...WHILE A SERIES OF
SHORT WAVES (S/W'S) RIPPLE SOUTHEASTWARD. A STRONG SHORTWAVE LOCATED
NEAR THE GREAT LAKES AT 12Z TUES WILL DROP SE TOWARD AREA REGION
WHILE A LEE TROUGH DEVELOPS NEAR OR OVER THE CAROLINA PIEDMONT
DURING THE DAY TUES. THESE TWO FEATURES COMBINED WITH THE UNUSUALLY
STRONG 30 TO 40 KT ZERO TO 6 KILOMETER COLUMN SHEAR WILL SET THE
STAGE FOR MANY STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS TUES PM AND EVEN INTO
THE OVERNIGHT. FALLING HEIGHTS WILL RESULT IN LOWER FREEZING LEVELS
WHICH WILL MAKE LARGE HAIL A GREATER POSSIBILITY. WE ARE CURRENTLY
UNDER THE ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE FOR THE MTNS TUES PM AND SLIGHT
RISK OUT OVER THE FOOTHILLS AND PIEDMONT. ALL MODES OF SEVERE ARE
POSSIBLE...DAMAGING WIND...LARGE HAIL AND EVEN A TORNADO OR TWO.
SUPERCELLS MAY DEVELOP FIRST AND PERHAPS TRANSITION INTO CLUSTERS OR
LINEAR FEATURES. THE LEE TROUGH CONVECTION WILL BE SUPPORTED BY THE
LATE PM HEATING AND THEN THE SHORTWAVE IS FORECAST TO ARRIVE AROUND
06Z WED. THEREFORE...SEVERAL HOURS OF SEVERE WX EXPECTED. THE NAM
HAS A LINE OF CONVECTION FROM CENTRAL TN TO EASTERN NC AT 06Z WED
MOVING SE.
AFTER THE CONVECTIVE LINE CROSSES...THE MAIN SHORTWAVE TROUGH AXIS
WILL SLOWLY CROSS OUR AREA DURING THE DAY WED. SOMEWHAT LOWER POPS
NEEDED WED AS THE MAIN ENERGY MOVES OUT. WED IS THE TRANSITION DAY
AS DRIER AIR IS POSED TO MOVE IN WED NIGHT FROM THE W AND NW WITH
THE UPPER RIDGE EXERTING STRENGTH INTO OUR AREA WITH ITS CENTER
BEING NEAR TX AND LA BORDER. WIND FLOW AT THE 850MB AND 700MB LEVEL
DECREASES TO 20 TO 25 KTS AT THE END OF THE DAY WED.
&&
.LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
AS OF 1235 AM MONDAY...THE MEDIUM RANGE BEGINS 12Z THURSDAY WITH THE
UPPER TROUGH MOVING OFF THE EAST COAST AND UPPER RIDGE BUILDING IN
FROM THE WEST. ON THURSDAY...THE CENTER OF THE 593DM 500MB RIDGE
WILL BE OVER EAST TEXAS AND LA AREA...THEN RETROGRADE JUST A BIT
OVER TEXAS THROUGH NEXT WEEKEND. FAIRLY DRY ATMOSPHERE THURSDAY AND
FRIDAY...THEN THE 500MB FLOW BECOMES MORE NW OVER THE WEEKEND AND
SHORTWAVES ROUNDING THE TOP OF THE RIDGE WILL AGAIN BE AFFECTING OUR
AREA. DIURNAL HEATING WITH THE RESULTING INSTABILITY COMBINED WITH
WHATEVER MOISTURE IS AVAILABLE ON THURSDAY AND FRIDAY WOULD CREATE
PM CONVECTION. MODELS HAVE A FAIRLY GOOD SHORTWAVE CROSSING VA AND
THE CAROLINAS IN THE NW FLOW LATE SATURDAY. SO BETTER CHANCES POP
ARE WARRANTED FOR THAT DAY. A BIT BETTER 500MB TROFINESS ON SUNDAY
WITH CONTINUED NW FLOW AT LEAST WEAK SHORTWAVES APPROACHING AND
REACHING OUR AREA AT THE END OF THE CURRENT FORECAST PERIOD.
MAX TEMPS AT LEAST A FEW DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH THE MEDIUM
RANGE. THERE IS SOME POTENTIAL OVER THE WEEKEND THAT ANY REMNANT MCS
DEBRIS MAY LOWER MAX TEMPS WITH INCREASED CLOUD COVER. MAX TEMPS
NEXT WEEKEND WERE BROUGHT DOWN A COUPLE DEGREES FROM PREVIOUS
FORECAST DUE TO TREND FOR MORE OF A TROUGH AND UPPER RIDGE HAVING
LESS OF AN INFLUENCE.
&&
.AVIATION /14Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
AT KCLT AND ELSEWHERE...POPS HAVE BEEN CUT BACK A BIT THIS AFTERNOON
ACROSS THE NON/MTN TERMINALS...BUT ENUF OF A CHANCE IS NOTED IN THE
CAMS FOR THE CONTINUATION OF THE PROB30 TSTMS AFT 18Z AT KCLT AS
ULVL FLOW BECOMES MORE DIFFLUENT. MORNING VSBYS SHOULD REMAIN
VFR...EXCEPT PERHAPS ACROSS THE LOCALIZED MTNS VALLEYS AND MAYBE
ARND KHKY WHERE PRECIP HAS FALLEN OVER THE PAST FEW HRS. KAVL COULD
SEE SOME LOWERING CIGS TO MVFR BUT TDD/S REMAIN TOO HIGH FOR A
SIGFNT FG THREAT THROUGH DAYBREAK. ALL SITES REMAIN VFR THROUGH THE
DAY OUTSIDE OF CONVEC. KAVL AND HKY COULD BEGIN TO SEE LOWERING
CIGS AFT 03Z WITH MCS ACTIVITY REACHING THE MTNS.
OUTLOOK...THE WEATHER PATTERN WILL BE MORE FAVORABLE FOR MAINLY
AFTERNOON/EVENING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THRU MIDWEEK.
HOWEVER...THERE COULD BE SOME ORGANIZED THUNDERSTORMS THAT MOVE
ACROSS THE REGION LATE TUESDAY NIGHT. LOW CLOUDS AND FOG COULD ALSO
DEVELOP IN THE MORNING AT PLACES THAT HAVE SHOWER ACTIVITY THE DAY
BEFORE...AND IN MTN AND RIVER VALLEYS.
CONFIDENCE TABLE...
14-20Z 20-02Z 02-08Z 08-12Z
KCLT HIGH 100% HIGH 100% HIGH 100% HIGH 89%
KGSP HIGH 100% HIGH 100% HIGH 100% HIGH 100%
KAVL HIGH 100% HIGH 100% HIGH 100% MED 74%
KHKY HIGH 100% HIGH 100% HIGH 100% HIGH 91%
KGMU HIGH 100% HIGH 100% HIGH 100% HIGH 100%
KAND HIGH 100% HIGH 100% HIGH 100% HIGH 89%
THE PERCENTAGE REFLECTS THE NUMBER OF GUIDANCE MEMBERS AGREEING
WITH THE SCHEDULED TAF ISSUANCE FLIGHT RULE CATEGORY. COMPLETE HOURLY
EXPERIMENTAL AVIATION FORECAST CONSISTENCY TABLES AND ENSEMBLE FORECASTS
ARE AVAILABLE AT THE FOLLOWING LINK: (MUST BE LOWER CASE)
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GSP/AVIATION_TABLES
&&
.GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GA...NONE.
NC...NONE.
SC...NONE.
&&
SYNOPSIS...DEO
NEAR TERM...CDG/SBK
SHORT TERM...DEO
LONG TERM...DEO
AVIATION...SBKHazardous weather outlook, Jul 13, 6:29 AM EDT, 3 hours 42 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC 629 AM EDT MON JUL 13 2015 GAZ010-017-NCZ033-048>053-058-059-062>065-140300- RABUN-HABERSHAM-AVERY-MADISON-YANCEY-MITCHELL-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-BUNCOMBE- GRAHAM-NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA- HENDERSON- 629 AM EDT MON JUL 13 2015 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST GEORGIA AND WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NOTED ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS TODAY AND TONIGHT. A FEW OF THESE STORMS MAY BECOME SEVERE WITH DAMAGING WIND AND LARGE HAIL...ESPECIALLY NEAR THE TENNESSEE BORDER. THERE WILL ALSO BE THE RISK OF SEVERAL OF THE STORMS HAVING FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING AND VERY HEAVY DOWNPOURS MAY PRESENT PROBLEMS IN POOR DRAINAGE AREAS. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY. ..TUESDAY...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE. ALL MODES OF SEVERE WEATHER APPEAR TO BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS ON TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT INCLUDING DAMAGING WIND...LARGE HAIL AND POSSIBLE TORNADOES. ..WEDNESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ..THURSDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ..FRIDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ..SATURDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ..SUNDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SKYWARN SPOTTERS ARE REQUESTED TO FORWARD ANY REPORTS OF LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...TORNADOES OR FLASH FLOODING TO OUR OFFICE. GAZ018-026-028-029-NCZ035>037-056-057-068>072-082-501>510-SCZ001>014- 019-140300- STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT-ALEXANDER-IREDELL-DAVIE-CATAWBA-ROWAN- CLEVELAND-LINCOLN-GASTON-MECKLENBURG-CABARRUS-UNION- CALDWELL MOUNTAINS-GREATER CALDWELL-BURKE MOUNTAINS-GREATER BURKE- MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS-EASTERN MCDOWELL-RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS- GREATER RUTHERFORD-POLK MOUNTAINS-EASTERN POLK-OCONEE MOUNTAINS- PICKENS MOUNTAINS-GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS-GREATER OCONEE- GREATER PICKENS-GREATER GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG-CHEROKEE-YORK- ANDERSON-ABBEVILLE-LAURENS-CHESTER-GREENWOOD- 629 AM EDT MON JUL 13 2015 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST GEORGIA...PIEDMONT NORTH CAROLINA...WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL OCCUR ACROSS THE FOOTHILLS AND PIEDMONT TODAY AND TONIGHT. A FEW OF THESE STORMS WILL BECOME QUITE STRONG AND ONE OR TWO MAY PRODUCE DAMAGING WIND AND LARGE HAIL. SEVERAL OF THE STORMS MAY PRODUCE FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING AND VERY HEAVY RAIN THAT MAY CAUSE PROBLEMS IN POOR DRAINAGE AREAS. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY. ..TUESDAY...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE. ALL MODES OF SEVERE WEATHER APPEAR TO BE POSSIBLE TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT ACROSS THE WESTERN CAROLINAS AND NORTHEAST GEORGIA INCLUDING DAMAGING WIND...LARGE HAIL AND THE POSSIBILITY OF TORNADOES. ..WEDNESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ..THURSDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ..FRIDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ..SATURDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ..SUNDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SKYWARN SPOTTERS ARE REQUESTED TO FORWARD ANY REPORTS OF LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...TORNADOES OR FLASH FLOODING TO OUR OFFICE. DEO
In the hours before
Special weather statement, Jul 13, 5:08 AM EDT, 5 hours 3 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
508 AM EDT MON JUL 13 2015
NCZ048-049-131015-
YANCEY NC-MADISON NC-
508 AM EDT MON JUL 13 2015
...A THUNDERSTORM WITH TORRENTIAL RAINFALL WILL IMPACT PORTIONS OF
NORTHEASTERN MADISON AND NORTHWESTERN YANCEY COUNTIES UNTIL 615 AM
EDT...
AT 508 AM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A THUNDERSTORM WITH
TORRENTIAL RAINFALL 10 MILES NORTHEAST OF MARSHALL. THIS STORM WAS
NEARLY STATIONARY.
VERY HEAVY RAINFALL RATES UP TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR WILL BE POSSIBLE
WITH THIS STORM.
LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
MARSHALL...MARS HILL...WOLF RIDGE...SWISS...FAUST AND ALLENSTAND.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
TORRENTIAL RAINFALL MAY FLOOD AREAS WITH POOR DRAINAGE...SUCH AS
DITCHES AND UNDERPASSES. AVOID THESE AREAS AND DO NOT CROSS FLOODED
ROADS. WATER LEVELS OF SMALL STREAMS AND RIVERS MAY ALSO RISE
RAPIDLY. SEEK HIGHER GROUND IF THREATENED BY FLOOD WATERS.
&&
LAT...LON 3581 8242 3581 8246 3580 8247 3580 8252
3578 8256 3577 8270 3600 8276 3606 8263
3603 8259 3600 8261 3599 8260 3597 8261
3595 8256 3601 8246 3607 8242 3608 8239
TIME...MOT...LOC 0908Z 180DEG 0KT 3593 8259
KRENTZThe office that day
Everything else NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 13, 5:08 AM EDT | Special Weather Statement | GSP | Madison | 67 min |
| Jul 13, 9:00 AM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | GSP | Madison | 2 hr |
| Jul 13, 9:25 AM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | GSP | Madison | 3 hr |
| Jul 13, 6:52 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | GSP | Union | 23 min |
| Jul 13, 6:59 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GSP | Avery, Burke, Caldwell, McDowell, Madison, Mitchell and 1 more | 76 min |
| Jul 13, 7:20 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | GSP | Union | 25 min |
| Jul 13, 7:29 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GSP | Buncombe, McDowell, Madison | 46 min |
| Jul 13, 7:53 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | GSP | Mecklenburg | 22 min |
Nearby
Flash Flood Warnings in North Carolina, 2015Every flash flood warning in 2015
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.