Severe Thunderstorm Warning 47, NWS Goodland, KS

363 
WWUS53 KGLD 242324
SVSGLD

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
624 PM CDT FRI APR 24 2015

KSC063-250015-
/O.CON.KGLD.SV.W.0047.000000T0000Z-150425T0015Z/
GOVE KS-
624 PM CDT FRI APR 24 2015

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 715 PM CDT
FOR SOUTHWESTERN GOVE COUNTY...

AT 624 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED OVER THE MONUMENT
ROCKS...OR 11 MILES NORTHEAST OF SCOTT STATE LAKE...MOVING NORTHEAST
AT 10 MPH.

HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND HALF DOLLAR SIZE HAIL. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND DAMAGE TO 
         ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
THE MONUMENT ROCKS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD TO
FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS.

&&

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM CDT FOR WEST CENTRAL
KANSAS.

LAT...LON 3893 10060 3885 10049 3874 10057 3870 10063
      3870 10082 3884 10081
TIME...MOT...LOC 2324Z 246DEG 7KT 3877 10074 

HAIL...1.25IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

LUNDQUIST

564 
WWUS53 KGLD 242335
SVSGLD

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
635 PM CDT FRI APR 24 2015

KSC063-250015-
/O.CON.KGLD.SV.W.0047.000000T0000Z-150425T0015Z/
GOVE KS-
635 PM CDT FRI APR 24 2015

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 715 PM CDT
FOR SOUTHWESTERN GOVE COUNTY...

AT 634 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 6 MILES EAST OF THE
MONUMENT ROCKS...OR 11 MILES NORTH OF HEALY...MOVING EAST AT 15 MPH.

HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND HALF DOLLAR SIZE HAIL. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND DAMAGE TO 
         ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES. 

THIS SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL REMAIN OVER MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF
SOUTHWESTERN GOVE COUNTY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD TO
FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS.

&&

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM CDT FOR WEST CENTRAL
KANSAS.

LAT...LON 3887 10060 3885 10049 3874 10057 3870 10063
      3870 10077 3884 10076
TIME...MOT...LOC 2334Z 261DEG 13KT 3877 10066 

HAIL...1.25IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

LUNDQUIST

240 
WWUS53 KGLD 250002
SVSGLD

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
702 PM CDT FRI APR 24 2015

KSC063-250015-
/O.CON.KGLD.SV.W.0047.000000T0000Z-150425T0015Z/
GOVE KS-
702 PM CDT FRI APR 24 2015

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 715 PM CDT
FOR SOUTH CENTRAL GOVE COUNTY...

AT 701 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 12 MILES NORTHWEST
OF SHIELDS...MOVING EAST AT 15 MPH.

HAZARD...GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL AND 60 MPH WIND GUSTS. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...PEOPLE AND ANIMALS OUTDOORS WILL BE INJURED. EXPECT HAIL 
         DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING...WINDOWS AND VEHICLES. EXPECT 
         WIND DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES. 

THIS SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL REMAIN OVER MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF SOUTH
CENTRAL GOVE COUNTY.

THIS WARNING WILL EXPIRE FIFTEEN MINUTES AFTER THE HOUR.  HOWEVER 
ANOTHER WARNING FOR THIS STORM WILL CONTINUE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD TO
FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS.

&&

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM CDT FOR WEST CENTRAL
KANSAS.

LAT...LON 3886 10058 3885 10049 3874 10057 3870 10064
      3870 10066
TIME...MOT...LOC 0001Z 262DEG 13KT 3878 10053 

HAIL...1.75IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

LUNDQUIST

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
435 PM MDT FRI APR 24 2015

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 201 PM MDT FRI APR 24 2015

AT 1PM MDT VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS
SHOWED PARTLY TO MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES FOR LOCATIONS ACROSS THE TRI
STATE AREA WEST OF HIGHWAY 83...WITH LOWER BROKEN TO OVERCAST
CONDITIONS EAST OF THE HIGHWAY AHEAD OF AN ADVANCING WARM FRONTAL
BOUNDARY. CUMULUS DEVELOPMENT WAS BEGINNING TO DEVELOP ON RADAR
AND SATELLITE IMAGERY ALONG A TROUGH/DRY LINE IN EASTERN COLORADO.
RAP AND WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWED AN UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE TROUGH
BEGINNING TO TAKE A NEGATIVE TILT INTO THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHER
HIGH PLAINS.

THE LATEST HRRR GUIDANCE WAS SHOWING CONVECTIVE INITIATION AT
20Z...ALTHOUGH CELLS ARE ALREADY BEGINNING TO DEVELOP.  NMM AND ARW
GUIDANCE IS ALSO A BIT BEHIND REALITY WITH HAVING CONVECTION DEVELOP
BETWEEN 21Z AND 00Z.  0-1 KM AND 0-3 KM HELICITY WAS NOT IMPRESSIVE
WITH WIDESPREAD VALUES UNDER 50 FOR THE FORECAST AREA...SO NOT
EXPECTING TORNADOES TO BE A WIDESPREAD THREAT THIS AFTERNOON WITH
DEVELOPING STORMS. HOWEVER...0-6 KM BULK SHEAR APPROACHING 35-40 KTS
ACROSS THE AREA IN COMBINATION WITH 1500 J/KG OF CAPE SUGGESTS A
LARGE HAIL THREAT. WITH DCAPE VALUES MOSTLY BETWEEN 400 AND 500
J/KG...ISOLATED SEVERE WIND GUSTS FROM STORMS IS POSSIBLE...BUT
EXPECTING THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON TO PRIMARILY HAVE A LARGE
HAIL THREAT. STORMS WILL GET GOING BY MID AFTERNOON AND LAST THROUGH
THE EVENING.

CLOUD COVER WILL BE PRESENT LATE THIS EVENING DUE TO A STEADY STREAM
OF MOISTURE MOVING INTO THE FORECAST AREA...HOWEVER A SHORTWAVE
RIDGE ALOFT WILL BEGIN TO FORM ACROSS THE AREA AND BRING DRIER AIR
INTO THE AREA OVERNIGHT.  LOW TEMPERATURES WILL BE SLIGHTLY WARMER
THAN NORMAL IN THE MID TO UPPER 40S.

DRY AND WARM CONDITIONS WILL BE PRESENT TOMORROW WITH THE SHORTWAVE
UPPER LEVEL RIDGE THAT WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA...ALTHOUGH DRY
WEATHER WILL BE SHORT LIVED AS ANOTHER TROUGH WITH A CUT OFF LOW
FEATURE MOVES INTO THE COLORADO FRONT RANGE AND BRINGS CHANCES FOR
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. THERE ARE SOME LOCATIONS WITH CAPE VALUES
APPROACHING 700 J/KG AND 0-6 BULK SHEAR APPROACHING 35 KTS...HOWEVER
FORECAST AREAS IN MODELS DO NOT NECESSARILY LINE UP.
THEREFORE...NOT EXPECTING A WIDE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT SATURDAY
AFTERNOON...ALTHOUGH AN ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM THREAT WILL
EXIST.

.LONG TERM...(SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 201 PM MDT FRI APR 24 2015

SATURDAY NIGHT-MONDAY...LARGE SCALE UPPER LOW CLOSES OFF JUST SOUTH
OF FOUR CORNERS REGION SATURDAY NIGHT AND MOVES ACROSS THE SOUTHERN
PLAINS THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT. A COLD FRONT WILL DROP SOUTH ACROSS THE
THE CWA LATE SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY AND STALL SOUTH AND WEST OF
OUR CWA. SOUTHERLY THEN EASTERLY FLOW WILL BRING VERY GOOD MOISTURE
ADVECTION INTO OUR CWA AS THIS UPPER LEVEL FEATURE MOVES EAST WITH
OVERRUNNING NORTH OF THE STALLED FRONTAL ZONE WHERE ELEVATED
FRONT/FRONTOGENETIC FORCING WILL BE IN PLACE. BETTER PRECIP
SIGNAL IS CURRENTLY SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY ACROSS THE
WESTERN AND SOUTHWESTERN PART OF THE CWA...WHERE I CONTINUED TREND
OF RAISING POPS. IT STILL LOOKS LIKE WE COULD SEE LIGHT PRECIP
PERSIST AT LEAST THROUGH LATE SUNDAY NIGHT BEFORE DRIER AIR BEGINS
TO ADVECT SOUTH AND SUBSIDENCE BUILDS SOUTHWEST MONDAY.

IF CURRENT SIGNAL/TREND CONTINUE I COULD SEE RAISING POPS TO
CATEGORICAL LATE SATURDAY NIGHT/SUNDAY...AND TO LIKELY CATEGORY
SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY. WHILE 40KM GUIDANCE SHOWS QPF AS FAR
EAST AS NORTON/GRAHAM THROUGH THESE PERIODS...PATTERN TENDS TO FAVOR
AREAS CLOSER TO FRONTAL ZONE/HIGHER TERRAIN IN COLORADO...SO I
KEPT LOWERS POPS NORTHEAST/EAST. IN POST FRONTAL ENVIRONMENT WITH
THICK STRATUS/LIKELY PRECIPITATION HIGH TEMPS WILL BE COOLER AND I
CONTINUED THE TREND OF LOWER HIGHS ESPECIALLY SUNDAY WHEN HIGHS
MAY STRUGGLE TO REACH THE UPPER 40S IN SOME AREAS.

MONDAY NIGHT-FRIDAY...THERE IS A SECONDARY H3 JET ROTATING THROUGH
THE NORTHERN PLAINS BEHIND THE LARGE SCALE TROUGH...AND THIS COULD
BRING ANOTHER QUICK SHOT OF LIGHT SHOWERS....OTHERWISE LARGE SCALE
RIDGING WILL BRING DRY CONDITIONS AND A WARMING TREND BACK TO THE
REGION THROUGH THURSDAY. MUCH WARMER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED BY
NEXT FRIDAY (80S) AS LEE TROUGH STRENGTHENS. WHILE THERE ISN'T A
LOT OF AGREEMENT AT THIS RANGE THE PATTERN DOES SUPPORT POSSIBLE
AFTERNOON/EVENING THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT IN THE HIGHER TERRAIN
IN COLORADO MOVING EAST INTO THE WESTERN PORTIONS OF OUR CWA...SO
SLIGHT CHANCE POPS WERE KEPT IN PLACE FRIDAY.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z SATURDAY EVENING)
ISSUED AT 430 PM MDT FRI APR 24 2015

KGLD...VFR THROUGH THE PERIOD. THROUGH 01Z OR 02Z WINDS GENERALLY
FROM THE NORTHEAST 5-10KTS BUT WITH VARIOUS OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES
FROM THUNDERSTORMS ERRATIC AND GUSTY WINDS POSSIBLE. 02Z-14Z WINDS
FROM THE WEST NEAR 10KTS WITH ONLY A FEW CLOUDS EXPECTED. 14Z-18Z
WINDS VEER TO THE NORTHWEST AROUND 12KTS WITH SKC CONDITIONS
EXPECTED. 18Z THROUGH THE REST OF THE TAF PERIOD WINDS CONTINUE TO
VEER TO THE NORTH (18Z) THEN NORTHEAST (22Z) AT 11KTS OR LESS. MAY
SEE A FEW CU DEVELOP AROUND 18Z BUT MORE LIKELY LATER IN THE
AFTERNOON AS A WEATHER DISTURBANCE APPROACHES FROM THE WEST.

KMCK...VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED FROM TAF ISSUANCE THROUGH 05Z WINDS
VARIABLE WINDS 6KTS OR LESS. 06Z-15Z MODELS HINT AT SOME LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE IN THE BOUNDARY LAYER THAT MAY BE ENOUGH TO PRODUCE A
SCATTERED TO BROKEN DECK. FOR NOW HAVE A SCATTERED DECK. WINDS
BECOMING NORTHWEST 5-10KTS. 16Z THROUGH THE REST OF THE TAF PERIOD
AM EXPECTING NORTHWEST WINDS TO VEER TO THE NORTHEAST THEN EAST-
NORTHEAST UNDER 10KTS. SHOULD SEE A BROKEN DECK OF CLOUDS AROUND
4K FT FOR MUCH OF THE PERIOD.

&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
CO...NONE.
NE...NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...MK
LONG TERM...DR
AVIATION...99

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
1053 AM MDT FRI APR 24 2015

COZ090>092-KSZ001>004-013>016-027>029-041-042-NEZ079>081-251700-
YUMA-KIT CARSON-CHEYENNE CO-CHEYENNE KS-RAWLINS-DECATUR-NORTON-
SHERMAN-THOMAS-SHERIDAN-GRAHAM-WALLACE-LOGAN-GOVE-GREELEY-WICHITA-
DUNDY-HITCHCOCK-RED WILLOW-
1053 AM MDT FRI APR 24 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL COLORADO...
EXTREME SOUTHWEST NEBRASKA AND NORTHWEST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...

ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED DURING THE
AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS. THE BEST CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS
WILL BE EAST OF THE COLORADO BORDER. SOME OF THESE STORMS COULD
BECOME SEVERE ACROSS NORTHWEST KANSAS AND FAR SOUTHWEST NEBRASKA
WITH THE BEST CHANCE FOR SEVERE WEATHER ALONG AND EAST OF HIGHWAY
83. LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS ARE THE PRIMARY THREATS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...

ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED FROM LATE SATURDAY
AFTERNOON INTO SUNDAY NIGHT. HOWEVER...THESE STORMS ARE NOT
EXPECTED TO PRODUCE WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
508 PM CDT FRI APR 24 2015

KSZ001-242230-
CHEYENNE KS-
508 PM CDT FRI APR 24 2015

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHWESTERN CHEYENNE COUNTY
UNTIL 530 PM CDT...

AT 508 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A LINE OF STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 3 MILES SOUTH OF ST.
FRANCIS TO 20 MILES WEST OF BIRD CITY...AND MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 10
MPH.

NICKEL SIZE HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
ST. FRANCIS AND WHEELER.

THESE STORMS MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO AND
TV STATIONS...AS WELL AS LOCAL CABLE TV OUTLETS...FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

LAT...LON 3957 10161 3958 10198 3976 10204 3980 10169
TIME...MOT...LOC 2208Z 328DEG 10KT 3972 10179 3969 10192

LUNDQUIST

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
414 PM MDT FRI APR 24 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0412 PM     TORNADO          11 SE LEOTI             38.37N 101.21W
04/24/2015                   WICHITA            KS   LAW ENFORCEMENT

&&

BWARREN

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
418 PM MDT FRI APR 24 2015

KSZ041-242245-
GREELEY KS-
418 PM MDT FRI APR 24 2015

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHWESTERN GREELEY COUNTY UNTIL
445 PM MDT...

AT 418 PM MDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 9
MILES NORTH OF HORACE...OR 10 MILES NORTHWEST OF TRIBUNE...MOVING
EAST AT 10 MPH.

NICKEL SIZE HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

THIS STORM WILL REMAIN OVER MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF NORTHWESTERN
GREELEY COUNTY.

THIS STORM MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO AND
TV STATIONS...AS WELL AS LOCAL CABLE TV OUTLETS...FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

LAT...LON 3852 10197 3867 10194 3867 10172 3852 10173
TIME...MOT...LOC 2218Z 268DEG 7KT 3860 10185

LUNDQUIST

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
457 PM MDT FRI APR 24 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0450 PM     HAIL             8 N TRIBUNE             38.59N 101.75W
04/24/2015  E0.88 INCH       GREELEY            KS   LAW ENFORCEMENT

&&

BWARREN

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
507 PM MDT FRI APR 24 2015

KSZ028-041-042-242330-
GREELEY KS-WICHITA KS-LOGAN KS-
507 PM MDT FRI APR 24 2015

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHEASTERN GREELEY...
SOUTHWESTERN LOGAN AND WICHITA COUNTIES UNTIL 530 PM MDT/630 PM
CDT/...

AT 507 PM MDT /607 PM CDT/...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A LINE OF
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 9 MILES WEST OF
RUSSELL SPRINGS TO 10 MILES NORTHEAST OF TRIBUNE...AND MOVING EAST AT
25 MPH.

PEA SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS OF 50 TO 55 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THESE STORMS.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
LEOTI...RUSSELL SPRINGS...SELKIRK AND MARIENTHAL.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM MDT/1100 PM CDT/ FOR
WEST CENTRAL KANSAS.

LAT...LON 3848 10172 3870 10158 3870 10148 3884 10148
      3898 10139 3890 10113 3858 10113 3834 10129
TIME...MOT...LOC 2307Z 281DEG 20KT 3889 10135 3853 10158

DR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
511 PM MDT FRI APR 24 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0511 PM     HAIL             16 SE BIRD CITY         39.59N 101.32W
04/24/2015  E0.25 INCH       RAWLINS            KS   PUBLIC

&&

BWARREN