River Flood Warning 49, NWS Fort Worth, TX

188 
WGUS84 KFWD 090105
FLSFWD
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
805 PM CDT FRI MAY 8 2015

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following areas in Texas...
 
  Cowleech Fork Sabine River At Greenville Affecting Hunt County
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas. 
Caution is urged when walking near riverbanks.
Stay tuned to NOAA All Hazards Radio for the latest river forecasts. 


&&

TXC231-090135-
/O.CAN.KFWD.FL.W.0049.000000T0000Z-150510T1048Z/
/GNVT2.1.ER.150508T1821Z.150508T2015Z.150508T2218Z.NO/
805 PM CDT FRI MAY 8 2015

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Cowleech Fork Sabine River At Greenville.
* At 0745 PM Friday the stage was 12.93 feet.
* Flood stage is 14 feet.
* Fell below flood stage at 5 PM Friday.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to near 5 feet by 
  Sunday morning.


$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
105 PM CDT FRI MAY 8 2015

.AVIATION...
/18Z TAFS/

CONCERNS...CONVECTIVE TRENDS AND MVFR CIGS.

ALL OF THE TAF SITES ARE EXPECTED TO BE IN VFR CATEGORY BY 18-19Z.
VFR CIGS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE EVENING...EXCEPT MAY DROP INTO
MVFR CATEGORY WITHIN SHOWERS/STORMS. MVFR CIGS ARE EXPECTED TO
RETURN OVERNIGHT BUT CONVECTIVE TRENDS MAY DELAY THE ONSET FROM
THE CURRENT TAF TIMING WHICH IS AROUND 05Z.

SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO
DEVELOP THROUGH THE AFTERNOON HOURS. THUNDERSTORMS MAY AFFECT THE
AIRPORTS FROM 22-23Z THROUGH 05-06Z. WE WILL BE WATCHING
CONVECTIVE EVOLUTION THIS AFTERNOON AND WILL AMEND THE TAF IF
NEEDED TO BETTER REFINE THE TIMING OF STORMS POSSIBLY AFFECTING
THE AIRPORTS. SEVERE STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH A THREAT FOR
HAIL...WINDS...HEAVY RAINFALL...AND POSSIBLY A TORNADO. AFTER A
BREAK OVERNIGHT...ANOTHER SHIELD OF RAIN IS EXPECTED TO MOVE
ACROSS THE REGION SATURDAY MORNING AND ADDITIONAL SHOWERS/STORMS
WILL BE POSSIBLE SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND NIGHT.

JLDUNN

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1202 PM CDT FRI MAY 8 2015/
ANOTHER POTENTIALLY ACTIVE WEATHER DAY IS SHAPING UP ACROSS NORTH
TEXAS. 12Z FWD SOUNDING REVEALS A VERY MOIST AND UNSTABLE
ATMOSPHERE ACROSS NORTH TEXAS. THE ATMOSPHERE REMAINS CAPPED BUT
SOME BREAKS IN THE CLOUDS ARE NOTED ON SATELLITE AND WE EXPECT THE
CAP TO BREAK MID TO LATE THIS AFTERNOON. WE ARE SENDING UP AN 18Z
SOUNDING TO ASSESS THE CAP STRENGTH.

OUR CURRENT FOCUS IS IN THE TEXAS PANHANDLE WHERE A COMPLEX OF
STORMS IS ONGOING LATE THIS MORNING. THESE STORMS ARE MOVING
NORTHEAST BUT WILL MOST LIKELY HAVE NEW DEVELOPMENT TO THE EAST
AND SOUTHEAST ON OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES. THESE STORMS/OUTFLOWS WILL
APPROACH THE NORTHWEST ZONES LATE THIS AFTERNOON. WHAT IS
CONCERNING IS THE BACKED WINDS IN THE NORTHWEST AS A RESULT OF A
WEAK SURFACE LOW WEST OF WICHITA FALLS. SURFACE BASED STORMS THAT
DEVELOP IN THIS AREA WILL HAVE A GOOD POTENTIAL TO BECOME
SUPERCELLS WITH SOME TORNADO POTENTIAL. FARTHER SOUTH AND
SOUTHEAST...STORMS SHOULD BE MORE SCATTERED IN NATURE BUT STILL
HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME SEVERE. THE BEST TIME FRAME FOR
STORMS SHOULD BE BETWEEN 4 PM AND 10 PM.

PRECIPITABLE WATER VALES REMAIN VERY HIGH SO ANY STORMS
THAT DEVELOP WILL BE VERY EFFICIENT RAIN PRODUCERS.
THEREFORE...WE WILL KEEP THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT ACROSS
THE NORTHERN ROWS OF COUNTIES WHERE HEAVY RAIN FELL YESTERDAY AND
IS EXPECTED AGAIN TODAY.

THE CURRENT FORECAST IS IN GOOD SHAPE AND WE HAVE NO PLANS FOR ANY
UPDATES AT THIS TIME.

79

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DALLAS-FT. WORTH, TX  84  71  83  70  78 /  40  50  60  60  80
WACO, TX              84  71  84  71  82 /  40  40  50  50  70
PARIS, TX             81  69  82  68  76 /  30  50  50  60  80
DENTON, TX            82  70  82  69  77 /  50  50  60  60  80
MCKINNEY, TX          82  70  82  69  77 /  40  50  60  60  80
DALLAS, TX            84  72  84  70  79 /  40  50  60  60  80
TERRELL, TX           84  72  83  70  79 /  40  40  50  60  80
CORSICANA, TX         83  72  83  71  80 /  40  40  40  40  70
TEMPLE, TX            83  71  85  71  82 /  40  30  40  40  70
MINERAL WELLS, TX     83  69  82  68  77 /  50  50  60  60  70

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH LATE TONIGHT FOR TXZ091>095-100>104.

&&

82/79

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
112 PM CDT FRI MAY 8 2015

TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-091200-
MONTAGUE-COOKE-GRAYSON-FANNIN-LAMAR-YOUNG-JACK-WISE-DENTON-COLLIN-
HUNT-DELTA-HOPKINS-STEPHENS-PALO PINTO-PARKER-TARRANT-DALLAS-
ROCKWALL-KAUFMAN-VAN ZANDT-RAINS-EASTLAND-ERATH-HOOD-SOMERVELL-
JOHNSON-ELLIS-HENDERSON-COMANCHE-MILLS-HAMILTON-BOSQUE-HILL-NAVARRO-
FREESTONE-ANDERSON-LAMPASAS-CORYELL-BELL-MCLENNAN-FALLS-LIMESTONE-
LEON-MILAM-ROBERTSON-
112 PM CDT FRI MAY 8 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING
ACROSS MUCH OF NORTH TEXAS. SIMILAR TO YESTERDAY...SEVERE
WEATHER WILL BE POSSIBLE. LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...FLASH
FLOODING...AND ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE THE THREATS.

THE GREATEST THREAT FOR SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE FROM EASTLAND TO
DALLAS TO PARIS...AND AREAS NORTHWEST OF THERE...INCLUDING FORT
WORTH...MINERAL WELLS...GAINESVILLE...BOWIE...JACKSBORO AND
BRECKENRIDGE.

THE GREATEST THREAT FOR FLASH FLOODING WILL CONTINUE TO BE ALONG
AND NORTH OF I-20 TO THE RED RIVER WHERE GROUNDS ARE ALREADY
SATURATED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS ALL OF NORTH TEXAS
SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY WITH THE BEST CHANCES FOR SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS OCCURRING ON SATURDAY AND SUNDAY.

SEVERE WEATHER IS EXPECTED BOTH SATURDAY AND SUNDAY ACROSS MUCH OF
NORTH TEXAS. THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LARGE
HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS AND ISOLATED TORNADOES. IN ADDITION...FLASH
FLOODING WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE DURING THIS TIME.

SEVERE WEATHER CHANCES DIMINISH HEADED INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS EXPECTED ACROSS NORTH TEXAS TODAY AND
TONIGHT.

JLDUNN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
305 PM CDT FRI MAY 08 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1030 PM     FLASH FLOOD      4 N VALLEY VIEW         33.54N  97.17W
05/07/2015                   COOKE              TX   FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

            *** 1 FATAL *** A 36 YO MALE DIED WHEN HIS CAR WAS SWEPT
            OFF THE ROAD BY FLOOD WATERS ON SPRING CREEK RD NEAR THE
            RAILROAD TRACKS WEST OF I-35