Alert archive / Arizona / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2015

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 28, NWS Flagstaff, AZ

June 30, 2015Coconino County, Yavapai County, Arizona

NWS Flagstaff, AZ issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jun 30, 2015, 7:28 PM MST for Coconino County, Yavapai County, Arizona. It was in force for 32 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jun 30, 2015, 7:28 PM MST (02:28 UTC)
Expired
Jun 30, 2015, 8:00 PM MST
In force
32 min
Issued by
NWS Flagstaff, AZ
Area
Storm-based polygon

Counties Coconino County, AZ, Yavapai County, AZ

The radar

The Flagstaff radar (KFSX), 113 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 02:31 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Phoenix, AZ (KPSR), launched 00:00Z, 2.5 hours before the alert went out and 200 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Phoenix, AZ at 00:00Z on 2015-07-01Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1264 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Phoenix, AZ at 00:00Z on 2015-07-01The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 37 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1264 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-205 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
2488 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
46 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
37 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
159 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.7

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Flagstaff, AZ wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jun 30, 3:51 PM MST, 3 hours 37 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 30, 3:51 PM MST, 3 hours 37 minutes before
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Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 30, 3:23 AM MST, 16 hours 5 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
323 AM MST TUE JUN 30 2015

AZZ004>018-037>040-010230-
KAIBAB PLATEAU-MARBLE AND GLEN CANYONS-GRAND CANYON COUNTRY-
COCONINO PLATEAU-YAVAPAI COUNTY MOUNTAINS-
NORTHEAST PLATEAUS AND MESAS HWY 264 NORTHWARD-CHINLE VALLEY-
CHUSKA MOUNTAINS AND DEFIANCE PLATEAU-
LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN COCONINO COUNTY-
LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN NAVAJO COUNTY-
LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN APACHE COUNTY-
WESTERN MOGOLLON RIM-EASTERN MOGOLLON RIM-WHITE MOUNTAINS-
NORTHERN GILA COUNTY-YAVAPAI COUNTY VALLEYS AND BASINS-
OAK CREEK AND SYCAMORE CANYONS-BLACK MESA AREA-
NORTHEAST PLATEAUS AND MESAS SOUTH OF HWY 264-
323 AM MST TUE JUN 30 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR APACHE...COCONINO...
NORTHERN GILA...NAVAJO...AND YAVAPAI COUNTIES IN NORTHERN
ARIZONA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL FORM OVER THE MOUNTAINS BY EARLY
AFTERNOON AND THEN MOVE WEST TO SOUTHWEST INTO THE VALLEYS.
STORMS WILL BE MOST NUMEROUS FROM THE MOGOLLON RIM SOUTHWARD. A
FEW STORMS THAT MOVE ACROSS YAVAPAI AND GILA COUNTIES COULD BECOME
SEVERE FROM MID AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING HOURS WITH WIND GUSTS
IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. AS USUAL, CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING, HEAVY
RAIN AND HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH ANY STORMS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

MONSOONAL FLOW WILL REMAIN OVER NORTHERN ARIZONA WITH A CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EACH DAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jun 30, 1:57 PM MST, 5 hours 31 minutes before
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Local storm report, Jun 30, 3:38 PM MST, 3 hours 50 minutes before
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The office that day

Everything else NWS Flagstaff, AZ issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 1, 12:42 AM MSTSpecial Weather StatementFGZYavapai33 min
Jul 1, 1:23 AM MSTSpecial Weather StatementFGZ22 min
Jul 1, 1:49 PM MSTSpecial Weather StatementFGZApache41 min
Jul 1, 2:12 PM MSTSpecial Weather StatementFGZ48 min
Jul 1, 2:17 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZCoconino28 min
Jul 1, 2:30 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZApache30 min
Jul 1, 2:36 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZCoconino24 min
Jul 1, 2:43 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZCoconino32 min
Jul 1, 3:05 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZCoconino, Navajo25 min
Jul 1, 3:12 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZCoconino48 min
Jul 1, 3:29 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZCoconino16 min
Jul 1, 3:30 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZCoconino, Navajo20 min
Jul 1, 4:15 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZNavajo30 min
Jul 1, 4:21 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZCoconino24 min
Jul 1, 4:49 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZCoconino12 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Arizona, 2015Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.