Alert archive / Georgia / Special Weather Statements in 2015

Special Weather Statement, NWS Atlanta, GA

July 14, 2015Greene County, Morgan County, Georgia

NWS Atlanta, GA issued this special weather statement at Jul 14, 2015, 9:28 PM EDT for Greene County, Morgan County, Georgia. It was in force for 32 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Jul 14, 2015, 9:28 PM EDT (01:28 UTC)
Expired: Jul 14, 2015, 10:00 PM EDT
In force: 32 min
Issued by: NWS Atlanta, GA

Counties Greene County, GA, Morgan County, GA

The radar

The Robins AFB radar (KJGX), 104 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 01:30 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

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What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Atlanta, GA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at Jul 14, 7:11 PM EDT, 2 hours 17 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 14, 7:11 PM EDT, 2 hours 17 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
711 PM EDT TUE JUL 14 2015

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 326 PM EDT TUE JUL 14 2015/

SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...
LATEST REGIONAL RADAR LOOP SHOWS ANOTHER CONVECTIVE COMPLEX GETTING
ORGANIZED ACROSS NORTH TN AND TRACKING SOUTH-SOUTHEAST. SPC HAS
PLACED MUCH OF TN IN A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH UNTIL 10 PM THIS
EVENING. HIRES RADAR MODELS ARE SHOWING BETTER AGREEMENT WITH THIS
COMPLEX PUSHING INTO FAR NORTH GA BETWEEN 5-7 PM THEN PUSHING
SOUTHWARD AND ACROSS THE ATLANTA METRO AREA BY 8-10 PM.. THEN INTO
PARTS OF CENTRAL GA BY MIDNIGHT AND CONTINUING INTO THE EARLY
WEDNESDAY MORNING HOURS. HOWEVER...DO EXPECT THE STRENGTH OF THIS
CONVECTION TO GREATLY DIMINISH AFTER MIDNIGHT AS IT PUSHES INTO
PARTS OF CENTRAL GA. BEFORE THEN... THESE STORMS COULD CONTINUE TO
BE STRONG AND POSSIBLY SEVERE THROUGH THE EVENING ACROSS NORTH
GA... AND WOULD NOT BE SURPRISED TO SEE PARTS OF NORTH GA PLACED
IN A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH BY 5-6 PM THIS EVENING. WILL HAVE
TO MONITOR THIS STORM COMPLEX CLOSELY THROUGH THE EVENING AS
INSTABILITIES REMAIN MODERATELY STRONG INTO THE EVENING. THE MAIN
STORM THREATS THROUGH AT LEAST THE EVENING CONTINUE TO BE DAMAGING
WINDS... FREQUENT LIGHTING AND POSSIBLY SOME LARGE HAIL AT TIMES.
LOCALIZED BRIEF FLOODING CANNOT BE RULED OUT AS WELL... ESPECIALLY
IF ANY TRAINING OCCURS IN THE MOUNTAINS. ALL INTEREST ACROSS NORTH
AND CENTRAL GA SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE WEATHER FOR POSSIBLE
WATCHES AND/OR WARNINGS THIS LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

MODELS ARE SHOWING SCATTERED SHOWERS AND POSSIBLY A FEW
THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING ALONG A WEAK SURFACE TROUGH THAT DIPS INTO
NORTH GA AROUND 5-7 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING. ALTHOUGH EXPECTING MAINLY
SHOWERS WITH THIS MORNING CONVECTION... CANNOT RULE OUT A FEW NON-
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN NORTH GA WEDNESDAY MORNING. THE COMBINATION
OF THE WEAK SURFACE TROUGH AND WEAK DISTURBANCES IN THE NW FLOW
ALOFT WILL HELP SPARK SCATTERED AFTERNOON AND EVENING THUNDERSTORMS
ACROSS PARTS OF NORTH AND CENTRAL GA BETWEEN 2PM AND 10PM ON
WEDNESDAY. A FEW OF THESE COULD BE SEVERE AS WELL. THIS THREAT
SHOULD END BY 10 PM WEDNESDAY EVENING.

OTHERWISE... WILL ALLOW THE HEAT ADVISORY ACROSS PARTS OF CENTRAL GA
TO EXPIRE BY 7 PM THIS EVENING... AND ANOTHER HEAT ADVISORY WILL
LIKELY BE NEEDED FOR PARTS OF FAR CENTRAL GA AGAIN WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON. WILL LET THE MIDNIGHT SHIFT HANDLE THIS. ALSO... A MAV
AND MET BLEND FOR TEMPS AND POPS LOOKED REASONABLE THROUGH THE SHORT
TERM.

39

LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
NO MAJOR CHANGES MADE TO THE EXTENDED FORECAST. A WEAK COLD FRONT
AND PREFRONTAL TROUGH WILL BE MOVING INTO/OVER THE AREA WEDNESDAY
NIGHT WITH THE MAIN UPPER TROUGH BEGINNING TO MOVE OFFSHORE THE
EAST COAST. HIGHEST POPS WILL BE SHIFTING TO CENTRAL GA WHERE SOME
POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE STORMS MAY LINGER DURING THE EVENING...
POSSIBLY THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.

OTHERWISE HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE ALOFT BUILDS SOME OVER THE AREA ON
THURSDAY WITH THE CENTER REMAINING TO THE WEST. THIS PATTERN CONTINUES
THROUGH THE WEEKEND WITH JUST SOME WEAKENING OF THE UPPER RIDGE ON MONDAY.
THIS WILL ALSO WEAKEN/DIMINISH THE NW FLOW ALOFT AND SHORT WAVE
POTENTIAL OVER THE CWA...ALLOWING FOR A VERY DIURNAL NATURE TO ANY
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

TEMPERATURES FOR THE MOST PART WILL BE A COUPLE TO A FEW DEGREES ABOVE
NORMAL DURING THE LONG TERM PERIOD.

BDL/01

&&

.AVIATION...
00Z UPDATE...
CONTINUE TO MONITOR A LINE OF STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER
FAR NORTH GEORGIA WHICH LOOKS TO ADVANCE TOWARD THE ATL AREA SITES
BY 00Z. THIS TIMING STILL LOOKS GOOD IN THE TAF AND WILL
INITIALIZE TEMPO IN 00Z SET FROM THE INITIAL LINE. LOOKS LIKE A
COUPLE HOURS LATER FOR MCN AND CSG ALTHOUGH PROSPECTS OF LINE
GETTING THERE ARE NOT AS HIGH BEFORE DISSIPATION. NEW LINE OF
STORMS LOOKS TO DEVELOP OVER CENTRAL GA WED AFTERNOON AND WILL
INCLUDE PROB30 FOR MCN AND CSG.

//ATL CONFIDENCE...00Z UPDATE...
MEDIUM ON TSRA TIMING AND WED POTENTIAL.
HIGH ON REMAINING ELEMENTS.

DEESE

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
ATHENS          74  94  72  93 /  80  30  20  10
ATLANTA         76  92  72  91 /  80  40  20  10
BLAIRSVILLE     68  89  63  86 /  50  40  10  10
CARTERSVILLE    74  93  67  91 /  80  40  20  10
COLUMBUS        77  96  75  94 /  40  40  30  30
GAINESVILLE     74  91  71  90 /  80  40  10  10
MACON           76  97  74  95 /  50  40  30  20
ROME            74  93  69  92 /  80  40  10  10
PEACHTREE CITY  74  94  70  92 /  70  40  20  20
VIDALIA         77  96  76  96 /  50  40  30  40

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR THE
FOLLOWING ZONES: BANKS...BARROW...BARTOW...CARROLL...CATOOSA...
CHATTOOGA...CHEROKEE...CLARKE...CLAYTON...COBB...COWETA...DADE...
DAWSON...DEKALB...DOUGLAS...FANNIN...FAYETTE...FLOYD...FORSYTH...
GILMER...GORDON...GWINNETT...HALL...HARALSON...HEARD...HENRY...
JACKSON...LUMPKIN...MADISON...MORGAN...MURRAY...NEWTON...NORTH
FULTON...OCONEE...OGLETHORPE...PAULDING...PICKENS...POLK...
ROCKDALE...SOUTH FULTON...TOWNS...UNION...WALKER...WALTON...
WHITE...WHITFIELD...WILKES.

HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR THE FOLLOWING
ZONES: BALDWIN...BIBB...BLECKLEY...CHATTAHOOCHEE...CRAWFORD...
CRISP...DODGE...DOOLY...EMANUEL...GLASCOCK...HANCOCK...HOUSTON...
JEFFERSON...JOHNSON...JONES...LAURENS...MACON...MARION...
MONROE...MONTGOMERY...PEACH...PULASKI...SCHLEY...STEWART...
SUMTER...TAYLOR...TELFAIR...TOOMBS...TREUTLEN...TWIGGS...
WASHINGTON...WEBSTER...WHEELER...WILCOX...WILKINSON.

&&

SHORT TERM...DEESE
LONG TERM....RW
AVIATION...DEESE

Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 14, 5:36 PM EDT, 3 hours 52 minutes before

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In the hours before

Local storm report, Jul 14, 9:08 PM EDT, 20 minutes before

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Local storm report, Jul 14, 9:17 PM EDT, 11 minutes before

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Local storm report, Jul 14, 9:26 PM EDT, 2 minutes before

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Local storm report, Jul 14, 9:27 PM EDT, 1 minute before

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Local storm report, Jul 14, 9:28 PM EDT, 0 minutes before

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Special weather statement, Jul 14, 9:28 PM EDT, 0 minutes before

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The office that day

Everything else NWS Atlanta, GA issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jul 14, 8:00 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FFC	Madison, Oglethorpe, Wilkes	45 min
Jul 14, 8:06 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FFC	Chattooga, Floyd	24 min
Jul 14, 8:12 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FFC	Barrow, Forsyth, Gwinnett, Hall, Jackson	48 min
Jul 14, 8:16 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FFC	Bartow	29 min
Jul 14, 8:17 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Clarke	28 min
Jul 14, 8:22 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FFC	Bartow, Cherokee, Cobb, Gordon, Paulding, Pickens	23 min
Jul 14, 8:23 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FFC	Clarke, Jackson, Oconee, Oglethorpe	37 min
Jul 14, 8:30 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FFC	Floyd, Polk	30 min
Jul 14, 8:32 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Forsyth	28 min
Jul 14, 8:44 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FFC	Bartow, Carroll, Cherokee, Cobb, DeKalb, Douglas and 6 more	46 min
Jul 14, 8:53 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Taliaferro, Wilkes	37 min
Jul 14, 8:55 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FFC	Morgan, Oconee, Walton	50 min
Jul 14, 9:04 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Clarke	26 min
Jul 14, 9:22 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FFC	Barrow, Clayton, Coweta, DeKalb, Fayette, Fulton and 5 more	38 min
Jul 14, 9:30 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Warren	30 min
Jul 14, 9:32 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Carroll, Cobb, Douglas, Fulton, Haralson, Paulding and 1 more	28 min
Jul 14, 9:53 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Carroll, Clayton, Cobb, Coweta, DeKalb, Douglas and 10 more	52 min
Jul 14, 10:39 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Carroll, Clayton, Coweta, Fayette, Heard, Lamar and 2 more	51 min
Jul 14, 11:24 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Bibb, Coweta, Jones, Lamar, Meriwether, Monroe and 3 more	66 min
Jul 15, 3:34 AM EDT	Heat Advisory	FFC	Bleckley, Dodge, Emanuel, Jefferson, Johnson, Laurens and 10 more	15 hr
Jul 15, 3:51 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Douglas	24 min
Jul 15, 4:12 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FFC	Clayton, Coweta, Fayette, Fulton	48 min
Jul 15, 4:54 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Wilcox	21 min
Jul 15, 4:58 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Spalding	32 min
Jul 15, 5:18 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Lamar	27 min
Jul 15, 5:22 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Chattahoochee, Stewart	38 min
Jul 15, 5:39 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Bibb	36 min
Jul 15, 5:50 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FFC	Bibb, Jones, Twiggs	40 min
Jul 15, 6:36 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Toombs	24 min
Jul 15, 7:56 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Laurens, Wheeler	34 min

Nearby

Special Weather Statements in Georgia, 2015 Every special weather statement in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.