Severe Thunderstorm Warning 287, NWS Atlanta, GA

758 
WWUS52 KFFC 152037
SVSFFC

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
437 PM EDT WED JUL 15 2015

GAC077-121-152047-
/O.CAN.KFFC.SV.W.0287.000000T0000Z-150715T2100Z/
COWETA GA-FULTON GA-
437 PM EDT WED JUL 15 2015

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN COWETA AND SOUTH
CENTRAL FULTON COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...
    
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS WEAKENED. 
THEREFORE THE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

LAT...LON 3351 8447 3343 8435 3335 8435 3335 8438
      3332 8439 3326 8450 3328 8451 3332 8452
      3333 8453 3334 8456 3336 8458 3337 8458
      3340 8461
TIME...MOT...LOC 2037Z 316DEG 21KT 3340 8449 

$$

GAC063-113-152100-
/O.CON.KFFC.SV.W.0287.000000T0000Z-150715T2100Z/
CLAYTON GA-FAYETTE GA-
437 PM EDT WED JUL 15 2015

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 500 PM EDT
FOR SOUTH CENTRAL CLAYTON AND FAYETTE COUNTIES...

AT 437 PM EDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR
FAYETTEVILLE...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND PENNY SIZE HAIL. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...EXPECT DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES. 

OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO
FAYETTEVILLE...PEACHTREE CITY...SENOIA...BROOKS...WOOLSEY...JW SMITH
RESERVOIR...INMAN...STARRS MILL AND LAKE HORTON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

IF YOU SEE WIND DAMAGE...HAIL OR FLOODING...WAIT UNTIL THE STORM HAS
PASSED...AND THEN CALL THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOLL FREE AT 1 8
6 6 7 6 3 4 4 6 6 OR TWEET US YOUR REPORT AT NWSATLANTA.

&&

LAT...LON 3351 8447 3343 8435 3335 8435 3335 8438
      3332 8439 3326 8450 3328 8451 3332 8452
      3333 8453 3334 8456 3336 8458 3337 8458
      3340 8461
TIME...MOT...LOC 2037Z 316DEG 21KT 3340 8449 

HAIL...0.75IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
337 PM EDT WED JUL 15 2015

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
CONVECTION HAS INITIATED ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE LEE SIDE TROUGH THAT
IS SLOWLY SINKING SOUTH THROUGH CENTRAL GA. THERE REMAINS AN OUTSIDE
CHANCE OF A SHOWER/TSTORM ACROSS NORTH GA BUT BY SUNSET THE CHANCES
WILL DISSIPATE. A FEW SHOWERS/TSTORMS COULD REMAIN IN THE VICINITY
OF THE TROUGH ACROSS CENTRAL GEORGIA INTO THE NIGHTTIME HOURS
TONIGHT BUT ALL PRECIP SHOULD PUSH SOUTH OF THE CWA LATE TONIGHT.
THE TROUGH HANGS AROUND CENTRAL/SOUTH GA AND THIS WILL KEEP THE
CHANCE OF SHOWERS/TSTORMS ACROSS CENTRAL GA THURSDAY. A SHORT WAVE
IS PROGGED TO MOVE INTO NORTH GA THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND THIS WILL
BRING A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS TO EXTREME NORTH GA. THERE IS A
QUESTION ABOUT THURSDAY NIGHT AS ALL MODELS PROG A SHORT WAVE MOVING
IN THE NORTHWEST FLOW AND ACROSS THE CWA THURSDAY NIGHT. WILL BE
GOING WITH A DRY FORECAST THURSDAY NIGHT BUT THIS WILL NEED TO BE
WATCHED ON SUBSEQUENT FORECAST PACKAGES. LOCAL BIAS MODELS INDICATE
GUIDANCE TEMPS RUNNING 1 TO 2 DEGREES TOO WARM AND HAVE MADE
ADJUSTMENTS.

17

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
NO MAJOR CHANGES MADE TO THE EXTENDED FORECAST. THE UPPER RIDGE
HAS NOSED BACK OVER THE AREA TO START THE EXTENDED FORECAST. A
SURFACE TROUGH OR DISSIPATING STATIONARY FRONT ACROSS CENTRAL GA
WILL CONTINUE SMALL CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THURSDAY
NIGHT.

OTHERWISE THE UPPER RIDGE CONTINUES OVER THE AREA THROUGH SUNDAY
AND BEGINS TO WEAKEN MONDAY AND EVEN MORE SO ON TUESDAY.
THIS WILL ALLOW FOR MAINLY DIURNAL AFTERNOON AND EVENING SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE AFTERNOON HOT TEMPERATURES AND HUMIDITY.

TEMPERATURES FOR THE MOST PART WILL BE A COUPLE TO AS MUCH AS 5-6
DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL DURING THE LONG TERM PERIOD.

BDL/01

&&

.AVIATION...
18Z UPDATE...
VFR THROUGH THE FORECAST. CU FIELD THIS AFTERNOON OF 3500 TO 5000
FT. THIS WILL DISSIPATE AROUND SUNSET. A FEW015 TOMORROW MORNING
WITH INITIAL LIFTING BUT SHOULD NOT BECOME A CIG. CONVECTION
SHOULD BE CONFINED TO MCN/CSG BUT BY 00Z THU THE CONVECTION WILL
BE SOUTH OF CSG/MCN. WINDS REMAINING WEST TO NORTHWEST WITH A FEW
GUSTS THIS AFTERNOON...BECOMING LIGHT NORTHWEST TONIGHT AND
THURSDAY MORNING.

//ATL CONFIDENCE...18Z UPDATE...
HIGH ON ALL ELEMENTS.

17

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
ATHENS          72  93  72  95 /  20  10  10  20
ATLANTA         72  91  74  93 /  20  10  10  20
BLAIRSVILLE     65  89  66  88 /  20  20  10  20
CARTERSVILLE    68  93  71  94 /  20  10  10  20
COLUMBUS        76  96  75  97 /  40  30  20  20
GAINESVILLE     71  91  72  92 /  20  10  10  20
MACON           74  98  74  96 /  40  30  20  20
ROME            69  94  70  95 /  20  10  10  20
PEACHTREE CITY  71  93  71  94 /  30  10  10  20
VIDALIA         76  94  76  95 /  40  40  20  30

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR THE FOLLOWING
ZONES: BLECKLEY...DODGE...EMANUEL...JEFFERSON...JOHNSON...
LAURENS...MONTGOMERY...PULASKI...TELFAIR...TOOMBS...TREUTLEN...
TWIGGS...WASHINGTON...WHEELER...WILCOX...WILKINSON.

&&

SHORT TERM...17
LONG TERM....01
AVIATION...17

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
430 AM EDT WED JUL 15 2015

GAZ001>009-011>016-019>025-027-030>039-041>062-066>076-078>086-
089>098-102>113-161000-
BALDWIN-BANKS-BARROW-BARTOW-BIBB-BLECKLEY-BUTTS-CARROLL-CATOOSA-
CHATTAHOOCHEE-CHATTOOGA-CHEROKEE-CLARKE-CLAYTON-COBB-COWETA-
CRAWFORD-CRISP-DADE-DAWSON-DEKALB-DODGE-DOOLY-DOUGLAS-EMANUEL-
FANNIN-FAYETTE-FLOYD-FORSYTH-GILMER-GLASCOCK-GORDON-GREENE-
GWINNETT-HALL-HANCOCK-HARALSON-HARRIS-HEARD-HENRY-HOUSTON-JACKSON-
JASPER-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-JONES-LAMAR-LAURENS-LUMPKIN-MACON-
MADISON-MARION-MERIWETHER-MONROE-MONTGOMERY-MORGAN-MURRAY-
MUSCOGEE-NEWTON-NORTH FULTON-OCONEE-OGLETHORPE-PAULDING-PEACH-
PICKENS-PIKE-POLK-PULASKI-PUTNAM-ROCKDALE-SCHLEY-SOUTH FULTON-
SPALDING-STEWART-SUMTER-TALBOT-TALIAFERRO-TAYLOR-TELFAIR-TOOMBS-
TOWNS-TREUTLEN-TROUP-TWIGGS-UNION-UPSON-WALKER-WALTON-WARREN-
WASHINGTON-WEBSTER-WHEELER-WHITE-WHITFIELD-WILCOX-WILKES-
WILKINSON-
430 AM EDT WED JUL 15 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH AND
CENTRAL GEORGIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...

ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED FROM COLUMBUS TO MACON
AND SOUTH THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE FROM ROME TO GAINESVILLE
AND SOUTH.

WEATHER HAZARDS EXPECTED...
DAMAGING WINDS AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING.
LARGE HAIL AND HEAVY RAINFALL WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...

STRONG THUNDERSTORMS CAN BE EXPECTED MOST AFTERNOONS INTO THE EARLY
EVENING THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY. STRONG GUSTY WINDS AND
FREQUENT LIGHTNING ARE THE PRIMARY HAZARDS. MAINLY SMALL HAIL AND
HEAVY RAINFALL WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT REQUESTED AT THIS TIME...BUT SPOTTERS
ARE ENCOURAGED TO SUBMIT REPORTS OF SEVERE WEATHER THROUGH THE WEB
BY GOING TO WEATHER.GOV/ATLANTA.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
351 PM EDT WED JUL 15 2015

GAZ043-044-152015-
SOUTH FULTON GA-DOUGLAS GA-
351 PM EDT WED JUL 15 2015

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTH FULTON AND DOUGLAS COUNTIES
UNTIL 415 PM EDT...

AT 351 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR DOUGLASVILLE...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 40 MPH.

  HAZARD...UP TO 40 MPH WIND...PEA SIZED HAIL AND FREQUENT CLOUD TO
           GROUND LIGHTNING.

  IMPACT...PEOPLE OUTDOORS SHOULD SEEK SHELTER IMMEDIATELY. EXPECT
           MINOR DAMAGE TO TREE LIMBS AND BLOWING AROUND OF
           LIGHT...UNSECURED OBJECTS. ELECTRICAL APPLIANCES SHOULD
           NOT BE USED UNLESS IN AN EMERGENCY.

SOME LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE
DOUGLASVILLE...UNION CITY...FAIRBURN...PALMETTO...CHATTAHOOCHEE HILL
COUNTRY...CHAPEL HILL...BILL ARP...WINSTON AND CAMPBELLTON.

LAT...LON 3370 8490 3379 8478 3379 8473 3380 8472
      3356 8446 3355 8446 3352 8459 3350 8461
      3350 8462 3351 8462 3351 8475
TIME...MOT...LOC 1951Z 321DEG 34KT 3369 8476