Alert archive / Georgia / Special Weather Statements in 2015

Special Weather Statement, NWS Atlanta, GA

July 4, 2015Emanuel County, Georgia

NWS Atlanta, GA issued this special weather statement at Jul 4, 2015, 3:46 PM EDT for Emanuel County, Georgia. It was in force for 29 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Jul 4, 2015, 3:46 PM EDT (19:46 UTC)
Expired: Jul 4, 2015, 4:15 PM EDT
In force: 29 min
Issued by: NWS Atlanta, GA

County Emanuel County, GA

The radar

The Robins AFB radar (KJGX), 110 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:45 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Charleston AFB, SC (KCHS), launched 12:00Z, 7.8 hours before the alert went out and 211 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 426 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -98 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 1160 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 24 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 29 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 26 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

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What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Atlanta, GA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at Jul 4, 2:53 PM EDT, 53 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 4, 2:53 PM EDT, 53 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
253 PM EDT SAT JUL 4 2015

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/...
EARLY MORNING CONVECTION ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTHERN GEORGIA HAS LED
TO A SOMEWHAT STABILIZED AIRMASS ACROSS THE METRO AREA THIS
AFTERNOON. CLEARING HAS OCCURRED AND TEMPS ARE RISING INTO THE 80S.
FURTHER SOUTH...OUTFLOW BOUNDARY FROM THE MORNING CONVECTION IS
INTERACTING WITH ONGOING STORMS. THE ATMOSPHERE WILL BE CONDUCIVE
FOR A FEW STRONG STORMS...WITH AN ISOLATED SEVERE STORM POSSIBLE.
DAMAGING WIND GUSTS WOULD BE THE PRIMARY SEVERE WEATHER THREAT.

FOR TONIGHT...NEXT WAVE OF CONVECTION IS GETTING FIRED UP ACROSS
EASTERN MS AND WESTERN AL. THE HRRR AND THE WRF SHOW THIS CLUSTER OF
STORMS APPROACHING THE AL/GA STATE LINE AROUND 00Z. BOTH THE HI-RES
MODELS WEAKEN THE ACTIVITY AS IT CROSSES THE STATE LINE...BUT THE
WRF HAS LESS COVERAGE THAN THE HRRR. NEITHER MODEL HAD A GREAT
HANDLE ON THIS MORNINGS CONVECTION...UNTIL A FEW HOURS INTO IT.
SINCE THIS WOULD BE THE TIMING THAT THE UPPER LOW AND A LARGE AREA
OF UPPER DIFFLUENCE CROSSES THE CWFA...HAVE KEPT THE POPS LIKELY
MAINLY ALONG AND WEST OF INTERSTATE 85. THE MODELS DO PROG PRECIP
DIMINISHING AFTER 06Z. THIS SEEMS REASONABLE SO HAVE DECREASED THE
POPS BETWEEN 06Z AND 12Z.

THE PATTERN DOES NOT CHANGE FOR SUNDAY...SO EXPECT ADDITIONAL
SHOWERS AND STORMS. THINK THE BEST TIMING FOR STORMS SHOULD BE IN
THE AFTERNOON.

NLISTEMAA

.LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
MAINLY ONLY TWEAKS TO THE LONG TERM BASED ON THE LASTEST
GUIDANCE.

BDL

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...
BY MONDAY...UPPER LEVEL TROUGH AXIS IS OVER THE EASTERN TWO THIRDS
OF THE AREA WITH SOME MID LEVEL DRIER AIR NOTED FOR THE NORTHERN
CWA WITH PRECIPITABLE WATER DROPPING TO 1.4 INCHES. OVERALL WOULD
EXPECT THIS TO RESULT IN A REDUCTION IN COVERAGE OF STORMS OVER
PREVIOUS DAYS AND PLAN TO CONTINUE LOWERING POPS THROUGH THE END
OF THE FORECAST. DRIER AIR CONTINUES FOR TUESDAY BEFORE ERODING
AWAY AND GIVING WAY TO A BIT OF INCREASED MOISTURE FOR THE
REMAINDER OF THE LONG TERM. WITH MID AND UPPER LEVEL RIDGE
BUILDING IN HOWEVER...UPPER LEVEL ENERGY IS MUCH REDUCED THROUGH
THE PERIOD AND DIURNALLY FAVORED CHANCE POPS LOOK SUFFICE FOR THE
GRIDS. REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST IS ON TRACK AND NO MAJOR CHANGES
ARE PLANNED.

DEESE/01

&&

.AVIATION...
18Z UPDATE...
A LULL IN CONVECTION IS EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT 3 TO 4 HOURS ACROSS
NORTHERN GA. HI-RES MODELS ARE INCREASING THE COVERAGE OF STORMS
AGAIN AFTER 00Z AS ANOTHER WAVE MOVES EAST IN THE FLOW. WINDS WILL
REMAIN ON THE WEST SIDE. MVFR CIGS AND PATCHY FOG ARE POSSIBLE
AFTER 06Z...ESPECIALLY IN THOSE AREAS THAT RECEIVED RAINFALL.

//ATL CONFIDENCE...18Z UPDATE...
MED CONFIDENCE ALL ELEMENTS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
ATHENS          69  84  69  86 /  50  60  40  50
ATLANTA         70  81  69  84 /  60  60  40  50
BLAIRSVILLE     63  76  63  79 /  60  60  50  50
CARTERSVILLE    68  80  68  84 /  70  60  40  50
COLUMBUS        72  85  71  87 /  60  60  40  50
GAINESVILLE     68  80  68  83 /  60  60  50  50
MACON           71  88  70  88 /  30  60  40  50
ROME            68  81  68  85 /  70  60  40  50
PEACHTREE CITY  69  82  69  85 /  60  60  40  50
VIDALIA         73  92  72  89 /  30  60  40  50

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING FOR THE FOLLOWING
ZONES: BANKS...BARROW...BARTOW...CARROLL...CATOOSA...CHATTOOGA...
CHEROKEE...CLARKE...CLAYTON...COBB...COWETA...DADE...DAWSON...
DEKALB...DOUGLAS...FANNIN...FAYETTE...FLOYD...FORSYTH...GILMER...
GORDON...GWINNETT...HALL...HARALSON...HEARD...HENRY...JACKSON...
LUMPKIN...MADISON...MURRAY...NEWTON...NORTH FULTON...OCONEE...
OGLETHORPE...PAULDING...PICKENS...POLK...ROCKDALE...SOUTH
FULTON...TOWNS...UNION...WALKER...WALTON...WHITE...WHITFIELD...
WILKES.

&&

SHORT TERM...NLISTEMAA
LONG TERM....BDL
AVIATION...NLISTEMAA

Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 4, 10:45 AM EDT, 5 hours 1 minute before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
1045 AM EDT SAT JUL 4 2015

GAZ001>009-011>016-019>025-027-030>039-041>062-066>076-078>086-
089>098-102>113-051000-
BALDWIN-BANKS-BARROW-BARTOW-BIBB-BLECKLEY-BUTTS-CARROLL-CATOOSA-
CHATTAHOOCHEE-CHATTOOGA-CHEROKEE-CLARKE-CLAYTON-COBB-COWETA-
CRAWFORD-CRISP-DADE-DAWSON-DEKALB-DODGE-DOOLY-DOUGLAS-EMANUEL-
FANNIN-FAYETTE-FLOYD-FORSYTH-GILMER-GLASCOCK-GORDON-GREENE-
GWINNETT-HALL-HANCOCK-HARALSON-HARRIS-HEARD-HENRY-HOUSTON-JACKSON-
JASPER-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-JONES-LAMAR-LAURENS-LUMPKIN-MACON-
MADISON-MARION-MERIWETHER-MONROE-MONTGOMERY-MORGAN-MURRAY-
MUSCOGEE-NEWTON-NORTH FULTON-OCONEE-OGLETHORPE-PAULDING-PEACH-
PICKENS-PIKE-POLK-PULASKI-PUTNAM-ROCKDALE-SCHLEY-SOUTH FULTON-
SPALDING-STEWART-SUMTER-TALBOT-TALIAFERRO-TAYLOR-TELFAIR-TOOMBS-
TOWNS-TREUTLEN-TROUP-TWIGGS-UNION-UPSON-WALKER-WALTON-WARREN-
WASHINGTON-WEBSTER-WHEELER-WHITE-WHITFIELD-WILCOX-WILKES-
WILKINSON-
1045 AM EDT SAT JUL 4 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...

...SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE...
...A FEW SEVERE STORMS ARE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON INTO EARLY TONIGHT...
...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF NORTH GEORGIA...

WEATHER HAZARDS EXPECTED...
THE MAIN HAZARDS WILL BE STRONG TO POSSIBLY DAMAGING WINDS...
FREQUENT LIGHTNING AND POSSIBLY SOME SMALL HAIL.
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE MINOR FLOODING ALONG AREA STREAMS...
CREEKS AND FLOOD PRONE LOW LYING AREAS.

DISCUSSION...
A SERIES OF UPPER DISTURBANCES WILL INTERACT WITH A MOIST AND
UNSTABLE AIR MASS TO PRODUCE SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH TONIGHT. A FEW STORMS COULD BECOME SEVERE
ANYTIME INTO EARLY EVENING...AND SHOULD GREATLY DIMINISH BY 10 PM
THIS EVENING. THE MORE FAVORABLE LOCATION FOR SEVERE STORMS WILL BE
MAINLY ACROSS PARTS OF NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL GEORGIA AS STRONG
STORMS MOVE EAST FROM ALABAMA. TRAINING OF STORMS OVER ALREADY
SATURATED GROUNDS IS LIKELY AND WILL RESULT IN MINOR FLOODING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...

THE GREATEST RISK FOR THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE SUNDAY AND MONDAY...
AND A FEW STORMS COULD BECOME SEVERE...MAINLY DURING THE
AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS. A SLIGHTLY LOWER CHANCE OF AFTERNOON
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP FOR TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY AS
WEAK HIGH PRESSURE SETTLES OVER THE DEEP SOUTH.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT REQUESTED BUT SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED
TO SUBMIT REPORTS OF SEVERE WEATHER THROUGH THE WEB BY GOING TO
WEATHER.GOV/ATLANTA.

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jul 4, 2:28 PM EDT, 1 hour 18 minutes before

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Special weather statement, Jul 4, 2:36 PM EDT, 1 hour 10 minutes before

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Special weather statement, Jul 4, 2:38 PM EDT, 1 hour 8 minutes before

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Special weather statement, Jul 4, 3:00 PM EDT, 46 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
300 PM EDT SAT JUL 4 2015

GAZ097-109-041930-
DODGE GA-LAURENS GA-
300 PM EDT SAT JUL 4 2015

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR DODGE AND LAURENS COUNTIES UNTIL
330 PM EDT...

AT 300 PM EDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS REPORTED NEAR CADWELL...OR
8 MILES EAST OF EASTMAN...MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH.

  HAZARD...WINDS UP TO 40 MPH...FREQUENT LIGHTNING AND HEAVY RAIN.

  IMPACT...PEOPLE OUTDOORS SHOULD SEEK SHELTER IMMEDIATELY. EXPECT
           MINOR DAMAGE TO TREE LIMBS AND BLOWING AROUND OF
           LIGHT...UNSECURED OBJECTS. ELECTRICAL APPLIANCES SHOULD
           NOT BE USED UNLESS IN AN EMERGENCY. LOCALIZED FLOODING IN
           LOW LYING AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS IS ALSO LIKELY.
           MOTORISTS SHOULD REMEMBER TO TURN AROUND DON'T DROWN.

SOME LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE
CADWELL...CEDAR GROVE...ROCKLEDGE...PLAINFIELD AND LOWERY.

LAT...LON 3230 8315 3248 8269 3246 8268 3243 8270
      3241 8270 3239 8272 3235 8273 3233 8275
      3231 8272 3228 8276 3227 8276 3220 8286
      3220 8288 3218 8287 3217 8289 3213 8309
TIME...MOT...LOC 1900Z 251DEG 31KT 3225 8304

Special weather statement, Jul 4, 3:29 PM EDT, 17 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
329 PM EDT SAT JUL 4 2015

GAZ086-098-112-113-042000-
MONTGOMERY GA-TOOMBS GA-TREUTLEN GA-EMANUEL GA-
329 PM EDT SAT JUL 4 2015

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR MONTGOMERY...TOOMBS...TREUTLEN
AND EMANUEL COUNTIES UNTIL 400 PM EDT...

AT 329 PM EDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS REPORTED OVER SOPERTON...
MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.

  HAZARD...WINDS UP TO 40 MPH...FREQUENT LIGHTNING AND HEAVY RAIN.

  IMPACT...PEOPLE OUTDOORS SHOULD SEEK SHELTER IMMEDIATELY. EXPECT
           MINOR DAMAGE TO TREE LIMBS AND BLOWING AROUND OF
           LIGHT...UNSECURED OBJECTS. ELECTRICAL APPLIANCES SHOULD
           NOT BE USED UNLESS IN AN EMERGENCY. LOCALIZED FLOODING IN
           LOW LYING AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS IS ALSO LIKELY.
           MOTORISTS SHOULD REMEMBER TO TURN AROUND DON'T DROWN.

SOME LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE
SWAINSBORO...SOPERTON...OAK PARK...NUNEZ...TARRYTOWN...COVENA...
GILLIS SPRINGS...BARNHILL...NORMANTOWN...LOTHAIR...ORLAND...ZAIDEE
AND KIBBEE.

LAT...LON 3226 8264 3227 8264 3228 8265 3230 8265
      3230 8270 3237 8273 3237 8272 3239 8272
      3241 8270 3243 8270 3256 8233 3230 8225
TIME...MOT...LOC 1929Z 254DEG 24KT 3236 8263

Special weather statement, Jul 4, 3:46 PM EDT, 0 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
346 PM EDT SAT JUL 4 2015

GAZ086-042015-
EMANUEL GA-
346 PM EDT SAT JUL 4 2015

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR EMANUEL COUNTY UNTIL 415 PM
EDT...

AT 346 PM EDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS REPORTED NEAR NUNEZ...OR 11
MILES SOUTH OF SWAINSBORO...MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH.

  HAZARD...WINDS UP TO 40 MPH...FREQUENT LIGHTNING AND HEAVY RAIN.

  IMPACT...PEOPLE OUTDOORS SHOULD SEEK SHELTER IMMEDIATELY. EXPECT
           MINOR DAMAGE TO TREE LIMBS AND BLOWING AROUND OF
           LIGHT...UNSECURED OBJECTS. ELECTRICAL APPLIANCES SHOULD
           NOT BE USED UNLESS IN AN EMERGENCY. LOCALIZED FLOODING IN
           LOW LYING AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS IS ALSO LIKELY.
           MOTORISTS SHOULD REMEMBER TO TURN AROUND DON'T DROWN.

SOME LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE
TWIN CITY...STILLMORE...OAK PARK...NUNEZ...LEXSY AND GEORGE L SMITH
STATE PARK.

LAT...LON 3254 8203 3256 8208 3252 8215 3248 8218
      3242 8219 3235 8225 3234 8224 3233 8236
      3242 8239 3244 8238 3245 8240 3250 8241
      3262 8204 3261 8204 3256 8203
TIME...MOT...LOC 1946Z 258DEG 18KT 3244 8231

The office that day

Everything else NWS Atlanta, GA issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jul 3, 10:26 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Chattahoochee, Harris, Muscogee	49 min
Jul 3, 10:52 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Coweta, Heard, Troup	23 min
Jul 3, 10:54 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Marion	36 min
Jul 3, 10:58 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FFC	Troup	32 min
Jul 3, 11:18 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Coweta	27 min
Jul 3, 11:23 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FFC	Coweta, Meriwether, Troup	37 min
Jul 3, 11:32 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Taylor, Upson	28 min
Jul 3, 11:42 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Jefferson	33 min
Jul 3, 11:43 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Jefferson	32 min
Jul 3, 11:44 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Clayton, Fayette	31 min
Jul 4, 12:09 AM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Macon, Schley	51 min
Jul 4, 12:10 AM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Clayton, DeKalb	35 min
Jul 4, 12:15 AM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Jefferson	30 min
Jul 4, 12:40 AM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Bleckley, Houston, Twiggs	35 min
Jul 4, 1:09 AM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Troup	36 min
Jul 4, 1:19 AM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Clarke, Greene, Hancock, Oconee, Oglethorpe, Taliaferro and 1 more	26 min
Jul 4, 1:35 AM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FFC	Troup	25 min
Jul 4, 1:37 AM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Glascock, Hancock, Jefferson, Oglethorpe, Taliaferro, Warren and 2 more	38 min
Jul 4, 1:42 AM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Harris	33 min
Jul 4, 1:51 AM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FFC	Coweta, Meriwether, Troup	24 min
Jul 4, 1:58 AM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Coweta, Heard	32 min
Jul 4, 2:18 AM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Lamar, Meriwether, Pike, Spalding	27 min
Jul 4, 2:44 AM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Henry	31 min
Jul 4, 2:50 AM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Butts, Lamar, Monroe, Talbot, Upson	40 min
Jul 4, 2:54 AM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Morgan, Newton, Rockdale, Walton	51 min
Jul 4, 6:13 AM EDT	River Flood Warning	FFC	Forsyth, Fulton	20 hr
Jul 4, 12:32 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Stewart, Webster	28 min
Jul 4, 12:58 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Stewart, Webster	32 min
Jul 4, 1:01 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Marion, Schley	29 min
Jul 4, 1:20 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Houston	25 min
Jul 4, 1:23 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Telfair	37 min
Jul 4, 1:29 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Macon	31 min
Jul 4, 1:32 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FFC	Houston, Pulaski	28 min
Jul 4, 1:35 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Webster	25 min
Jul 4, 1:39 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Schley	36 min
Jul 4, 1:45 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Dooly	30 min
Jul 4, 1:47 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Stewart	28 min
Jul 4, 1:56 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Dooly	34 min
Jul 4, 1:59 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Telfair	31 min
Jul 4, 2:01 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Bleckley	29 min
Jul 4, 2:16 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Wilcox	29 min
Jul 4, 2:19 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Stewart, Webster	26 min
Jul 4, 2:21 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Laurens	24 min
Jul 4, 2:28 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Dooly	32 min
Jul 4, 2:33 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FFC	Laurens	27 min
Jul 4, 2:36 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Dodge	24 min
Jul 4, 2:38 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Chattahoochee	37 min
Jul 4, 3:00 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Laurens	30 min
Jul 4, 3:29 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Treutlen	31 min

Nearby

Special Weather Statements in Georgia, 2015 Every special weather statement in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.