Alert archive / Georgia / Special Weather Statements in 2015

Special Weather Statement, NWS Atlanta, GA

March 31, 2015Meriwether County, Georgia

NWS Atlanta, GA issued this special weather statement at Mar 31, 2015, 8:45 PM EDT for Meriwether County, Georgia. It was in force for 30 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Mar 31, 2015, 8:45 PM EDT (00:45 UTC)
Expired: Mar 31, 2015, 9:15 PM EDT
In force: 30 min
Issued by: NWS Atlanta, GA

County Meriwether County, GA

The radar

The Atlanta radar (KFFC), 34 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:45 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Tallahassee Rgnl, FL (KTLH), launched 00:00Z, 0.8 hours before the alert went out and 308 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 141 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -135 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 1872 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 34 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 59 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 97 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

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What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Atlanta, GA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at Mar 31, 7:36 PM EDT, 1 hour 9 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Mar 31, 7:36 PM EDT, 1 hour 9 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
736 PM EDT TUE MAR 31 2015

.UPDATE...
/ISSUED 718 PM EDT TUE MAR 31 2015/

UPDATE...EXTENDED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH UNTIL 11 PM EDT.

MESOSCALE UPDATE...
SCATTERED STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUING TO TRACK
SOUTHEAST ACROSS WEST-CENTRAL GEORGIA. MULTIPLE REPORTS OF NICKEL
TO JUST OVER QUARTER SIZE HAIL HAVE OCCURRED WITH STORMS MOVING
INTO MODERATELY UNSTABLE /1000-1500 J/KG MLCAPE/ ENVIRONMENT.
JUST RECEIVED REPORT OF GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL NEAR LA GRANGE.

BASED ON THIS AND DISCUSSION WITH SPC/SURROUNDING OFFICES
(BMX)...DECIDED TO EXTEND SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH UNTIL 11 PM
EDT.

SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...
/ISSUED AT 249 PM EDT TUE MAR 31 2015/
LATEST ANALYSIS AND HIRES MODEL DATA CONTINUE TO SUPPORT THE
POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS FROM LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO
THE MID EVENING HOURS... AS AN UPPER DISTURBANCE INTERACTS WITH
INCREASING INSTABILITY AND AN OLD BOUNDARY STALLED ACROSS CENTRAL
GA. A FEW OF THUNDERSTORMS HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME SEVERE...
WITH STEEP MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES... COLD AIR ALOFT AND MID LEVEL
DRY AIR ALL SUPPORTING THE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE HAIL... STRONG
DOWNBURST WINDS AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING WITH THE STRONGER STORMS.
EXPECT THE MAIN SEVERE STORM THREAT TO BE BETWEEN 4 PM AND 10 PM
TODAY... AND GENERALLY IN AND AROUND THE WATCH AREA...WHICH MEANS
ATLANTA METRO AREA IS CLOSE... SO CANNOT RULE OUT A SEVERE STORM
BRUSHING THE DOWNTOWN ATLANTA AREA. ALL INTEREST ARE ENCOURAGED TO
CLOSELY MONITOR STORM DEVELOPMENT THROUGH THE EVENING. HAVE
UPDATED ZONES TO HEADLINE THE WATCH.

OTHERWISE... THE UPPER DISTURBANCE PUSHES EAST TONIGHT... WHICH
WILL INCREASE RIDGING OVERHEAD FOR WEDNESDAY. THIS WILL HELP
REDUCE ANY THREAT OF THUNDERSTORMS ON WEDNESDAY... EXCEPT MAYBE
DOWN ALONG THE FAR SOUTHERN REACHES IN CENTRAL GA DURING THE
AFTERNOON. WILL HOLD ONTO A LOW CHANCE NEAR COLUMBUS TO MACON AND
SOUTHWARD WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON... BUT SUSPECT THE GREATER CHANCES
WILL BE SOUTH OF THE FORECAST AREA ON WEDNESDAY. AN UPPER
DISTURBANCE APPROACHING LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT WILL WARRANT A LOW
CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE NORTHWEST ZONES
AFTER MIDNIGHT WEDNESDAY NIGHT... WITH INCREASING CHANCES INTO
THURSDAY MORNING.

A MAV AND MET BLEND ON TEMPS LOOKED GOOD THROUGH THE SHORT TERM...
SO DID NOT STRAY FAR.

39

LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
/ISSUED AT 249 PM EDT TUE MAR 31 2015/
NO CHANGES PLANNED TO EXTENDED PORTIONS. MODELS ARE IN FAIRLY
GOOD AGREEMENT WITH SOME DISCREPANCIES NOTED WITH SYSTEM FRIDAY
NIGHT INTO SATURDAY. FOR NEXT WEEK GFS BULLISH ON BRINGING GULF
MOISTURE BACK ACROSS THE AREA ON MONDAY WITH DIURNALLY DRIVEN POPS
ACROSS THE AREA ONCE AGAIN.

&&

.AVIATION...
00Z UPDATE...
BAND OF CONVECTION HAS SET UP FROM CARROLLTON TO NEAR MACON. THIS
WILL REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY FOR THE NEXT 2 TO 4 HOURS AND THEN
THERE WILL BE SOME WEAKENING AND DIMINISHING IN AREAL COVERAGE.
AT THIS TIME WILL CONFINE TSRA TO MCN. ATL/AHN AREA AND CSG SHOULD
REMAIN OUT OF THE TSRA ALTHOUGH CSG AND ATL COULD SEE SCATTERED
SHOWERS IN AND AROUND THE TAF SITES. WINDS WILL GO NEAR CALM
TONIGHT AND THEN LIGHT NORTH NORTHWEST WEDNESDAY. A BACK DOOR
FRONT WILL MOVE THRU AHN WEDNESDAY AROUND NOON...REACHING ATL/PDK
BY LATE AFTERNOON SWITCHING THE WINDS TO THE NORTHEAST. MVFR
CLOUDS ARE EXPECT TO DEVELOP FROM CSG-MCN LATE TONIGHT AND THEN
INCREASE TO VFR BY MID TO LATE MORNING.

//ATL CONFIDENCE...00Z UPDATE...
MEDIUM CONFIDENCE ON CONVECTION THIS EVENING
HIGH ON ALL REMAINING ELEMENTS

17

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
ATHENS          53  79  53  72 /  20  10  20  50
ATLANTA         55  77  57  72 /  60  20  30  50
BLAIRSVILLE     48  73  49  62 /  20  10  30  60
CARTERSVILLE    51  78  56  73 /  50  20  30  60
COLUMBUS        57  80  57  80 /  60  30  20  20
GAINESVILLE     53  76  53  67 /  30  10  30  50
MACON           56  81  54  77 /  60  20  20  40
ROME            52  78  54  74 /  60  20  30  60
PEACHTREE CITY  53  79  53  75 /  70  20  30  40
VIDALIA         59  80  58  79 /  60  20  10  30

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR THE
FOLLOWING ZONES: BARTOW...BIBB...BLECKLEY...CARROLL...
CHATTAHOOCHEE...CHATTOOGA...COWETA...CRAWFORD...CRISP...DODGE...
DOOLY...DOUGLAS...EMANUEL...FAYETTE...FLOYD...GORDON...
HARALSON...HARRIS...HEARD...HOUSTON...JOHNSON...JONES...LAMAR...
LAURENS...MACON...MARION...MERIWETHER...MONROE...MONTGOMERY...
MUSCOGEE...PAULDING...PEACH...PIKE...POLK...PULASKI...SCHLEY...
SPALDING...STEWART...SUMTER...TALBOT...TAYLOR...TELFAIR...
TOOMBS...TREUTLEN...TROUP...TWIGGS...UPSON...WEBSTER...WHEELER...
WILCOX...WILKINSON.

&&

SHORT TERM...17
LONG TERM....RW
AVIATION...17

Hazardous weather outlook, Mar 31, 11:19 AM EDT, 9 hours 26 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
1119 AM EDT TUE MAR 31 2015

GAZ001>009-011>016-019>025-027-030>039-041>062-066>076-078>086-
089>098-102>113-011530-
BALDWIN-BANKS-BARROW-BARTOW-BIBB-BLECKLEY-BUTTS-CARROLL-CATOOSA-
CHATTAHOOCHEE-CHATTOOGA-CHEROKEE-CLARKE-CLAYTON-COBB-COWETA-
CRAWFORD-CRISP-DADE-DAWSON-DEKALB-DODGE-DOOLY-DOUGLAS-EMANUEL-
FANNIN-FAYETTE-FLOYD-FORSYTH-GILMER-GLASCOCK-GORDON-GREENE-
GWINNETT-HALL-HANCOCK-HARALSON-HARRIS-HEARD-HENRY-HOUSTON-JACKSON-
JASPER-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-JONES-LAMAR-LAURENS-LUMPKIN-MACON-
MADISON-MARION-MERIWETHER-MONROE-MONTGOMERY-MORGAN-MURRAY-
MUSCOGEE-NEWTON-NORTH FULTON-OCONEE-OGLETHORPE-PAULDING-PEACH-
PICKENS-PIKE-POLK-PULASKI-PUTNAM-ROCKDALE-SCHLEY-SOUTH FULTON-
SPALDING-STEWART-SUMTER-TALBOT-TALIAFERRO-TAYLOR-TELFAIR-TOOMBS-
TOWNS-TREUTLEN-TROUP-TWIGGS-UNION-UPSON-WALKER-WALTON-WARREN-
WASHINGTON-WEBSTER-WHEELER-WHITE-WHITFIELD-WILCOX-WILKES-
WILKINSON-
1119 AM EDT TUE MAR 31 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...

..ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS POSSIBLE ACROSS PARTS OF NORTH AND
CENTRAL GEORGIA THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...

WEATHER HAZARDS EXPECTED...
STRONG DOWNBURST WINDS... LARGE HAIL AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING CAN
BE EXPECTED WITH THE STRONGER STORMS.

DISCUSSION...
AN UPPER DISTURBANCE WILL INTERACT WITH A STALLED FRONTAL BOUNDARY
AND INCREASING INSTABILITY DURING AFTERNOON HEATING TO PRODUCE
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS TODAY. A FEW STORMS COULD BECOME SEVERE...
MAINLY BETWEEN 2 PM AND 10 PM... AND GENERALLY ALONG AND WEST OF A
SUMMERVILLE TO STONE MOUNTAIN TO SWAINSBORO LINE... WHICH INCLUDES
THE ATLANTA METRO AREA.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY...
A SERIES OF UPPER DISTURBANCES COMBINED WITH MARGINAL INSTABILITY
DURING DAYTIME HEATING WILL BRING A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
EACH AFTERNOON AND EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY. STRONG GUSTY WINDS
AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH ANY THUNDERSTORMS
THAT DEVELOP.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT REQUESTED BUT SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED
TO SUBMIT REPORTS OF SEVERE WEATHER THROUGH THE WEB BY GOING TO
WEATHER.GOV/ATLANTA.

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Mar 31, 8:25 PM EDT, 20 minutes before

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Special weather statement, Mar 31, 8:30 PM EDT, 15 minutes before

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Special weather statement, Mar 31, 8:36 PM EDT, 9 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
836 PM EDT TUE MAR 31 2015

GAZ094-095-010100-
PEACH GA-HOUSTON GA-
836 PM EDT TUE MAR 31 2015

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR PEA SIZED HAIL AND 40 MPH WINDS
IN PEACH AND HOUSTON COUNTIES UNTIL 900 PM EDT...

AT 835 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR PERRY...MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH.

THIS STORM HAS THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE PEA SIZED SIZED HAIL...
FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING AND WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH AS IT
MOVES ACROSS PEACH AND HOUSTON COUNTIES THROUGH 900 PM EDT.

SOME LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE
PERRY...CLINCHFIELD... KATHLEEN...MOSS OAK...GROVANIA...
MEADOWDALE... HAYNEVILLE...HOUSTON LAKE AND SAND BED.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM EDT FOR
WEST CENTRAL GEORGIA.

LAT...LON 3243 8384 3244 8384 3244 8385 3247 8385
      3248 8387 3249 8388 3255 8385 3249 8353
      3233 8360
TIME...MOT...LOC 0035Z 289DEG 31KT 3249 8381

Local storm report, Mar 31, 8:37 PM EDT, 8 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
837 PM EDT TUE MAR 31 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0803 PM     TSTM WND DMG     2 W REDBONE CROSSROADS  32.87N  84.29W
03/31/2015                   UPSON              GA   EMERGENCY MNGR

            TREES DOWN ON TRIUNE MILL ROAD NEAR EDNA CIRCLE. CREWS
            WORKING AN ACCIDENT WITH 2 POSSIBLE INJURIES.

&&

EVENT NUMBER FFC1500177

DJN

Local storm report, Mar 31, 8:43 PM EDT, 2 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
843 PM EDT TUE MAR 31 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0645 PM     HAIL             SENOIA                  33.30N  84.55W
03/31/2015  E1.25 INCH       COWETA             GA   PUBLIC

            QUARTER TO HALF DOLLAR SIZED HAIL IN SENOIA. RELAYED TO
            NWS FFC FROM NWS GSP.

&&

EVENT NUMBER FFC1500178

DJN

Special weather statement, Mar 31, 8:45 PM EDT, 0 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
845 PM EDT TUE MAR 31 2015

GAZ066-067-010115-
TROUP GA-MERIWETHER GA-
845 PM EDT TUE MAR 31 2015

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND 50 MPH WINDS
IN TROUP AND MERIWETHER COUNTIES UNTIL 915 PM EDT...

AT 845 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM OVER HOGANSVILLE...OR 9 MILES NORTHEAST OF
LAGRANGE...MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH.

THIS STORM HAS THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE NICKEL SIZE SIZED HAIL...
FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING AND WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH AS IT
MOVES ACROSS TROUP AND MERIWETHER COUNTIES THROUGH 915 PM EDT.

SOME LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE
GREENVILLE...HOGANSVILLE...LONE OAK...GAY...SAINT MARKS...WOOSTER...
HARRISONVILLE...ALVATON...IMLAC AND ROCKY MOUNT.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM EDT FOR
WEST CENTRAL GEORGIA.

LAT...LON 3319 8499 3319 8452 3299 8454 3311 8502
TIME...MOT...LOC 0045Z 272DEG 35KT 3316 8494

The office that day

Everything else NWS Atlanta, GA issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Mar 31, 8:04 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Bibb	26 min
Mar 31, 8:13 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Bibb	32 min
Mar 31, 8:25 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Bibb, Crawford	35 min
Mar 31, 8:30 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Twiggs, Wilkinson	30 min
Mar 31, 8:36 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Houston	24 min
Mar 31, 8:41 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FFC	Bleckley, Dodge, Laurens	49 min
Mar 31, 8:59 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Houston	31 min
Mar 31, 9:16 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FFC	Bleckley, Dodge, Houston, Pulaski	44 min
Mar 31, 9:30 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Montgomery, Wheeler	30 min
Mar 31, 9:35 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Coweta, Fayette	25 min
Mar 31, 9:37 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Towns	23 min
Mar 31, 9:59 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Spalding	31 min
Mar 31, 10:07 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FFC	Montgomery, Telfair, Toombs, Wheeler	38 min
Mar 31, 10:12 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Haralson	33 min
Mar 31, 10:47 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Carroll	28 min
Mar 31, 11:55 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Spalding	35 min
Apr 1, 12:09 AM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Haralson, Paulding, Polk	51 min
Apr 1, 12:12 AM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Butts, Jasper, Lamar, Monroe	48 min
Apr 1, 1:00 AM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Carroll, Douglas, Haralson	30 min
Apr 1, 1:31 AM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Carroll, Douglas, Haralson	29 min
Apr 1, 2:00 AM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Coweta	30 min

Nearby

Special Weather Statements in Georgia, 2015 Every special weather statement in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.