River Flood Warning 10, NWS Atlanta, GA

528 
WGUS82 KFFC 042026
FLSFFC
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
326 PM EST SUN JAN 4 2015

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
GEORGIA...
 
  NOONDAY CREEK NEAR WOODSTOCK AFFECTING CHEROKEE AND COBB COUNTIES

  EUHARLEE CREEK NEAR ROCKMART AFFECTING POLK COUNTY

 
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN GEORGIA...
 
  ETOWAH RIVER NEAR DAWSONVILLE  AFFECTING DAWSON AND FORSYTH 
  COUNTIES 

  ETOWAH RIVER NEAR CANTON AFFECTING CHEROKEE COUNTY 

  BIG CEDAR CREEK NEAR CEDARTOWN AFFECTING POLK COUNTY 

  BIG CREEK NEAR CUMMING AFFECTING FORSYTH COUNTY 

  BIG CREEK NEAR ALPHARETTA AFFECTING FORSYTH AND FULTON COUNTIES 

  ALCOVY RIVER NEAR LAWRENCEVILLE AFFECTING GWINNETT AND WALTON 
  COUNTIES 

 
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN GEORGIA...
  ETOWAH RIVER NEAR EAST CANTON AFFECTING CHEROKEE COUNTY 

  LITTLE RIVER NEAR WOODSTOCK AFFECTING CHEROKEE COUNTY 

  TALLAPOOSA RIVER NEAR TALLAPOOSA AFFECTING HARALSON COUNTY 

  CEDAR CREEK NEAR CEDARTOWN AFFECTING FLOYD AND POLK COUNTIES 

  NOSES CREEK NEAR POWDER SPRINGS AFFECTING COBB COUNTY 


GAC085-117-050243-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-150105T0243Z/
/DWSG1.1.ER.150104T1139Z.150104T1545Z.150104T2043Z.NO/
326 PM EST SUN JAN 4 2015

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL THIS EVENING...THE FLOOD WARNING 
CONTINUES FOR
  THE ETOWAH RIVER NEAR DAWSONVILLE .
* UNTIL THIS EVENING.
* AT 2PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.7 FEET...AND FALLING.
* MINOR FLOODING WILL CONTINUE.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 13 FEET.
* THE RIVER WILL FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY LATE THIS 
  AFTERNOON.
* AT 14 FEET...MODERATE FLOODING BEGINS IN NORTHWEST FORSYTH 
  COUNTY. OLD FEDERAL ROAD BEGINS TO FLOOD AND NICHOLSON ROAD IS 
  CLOSED OFF TO RESIDENTS. MINOR FLOODING CONTINUES IN SOUTH DAWSON 
  COUNTY.
  

&&

LAT...LON 3441 8408 3436 8404 3435 8411 3428 8425
      3434 8427 3440 8417             

$$

GAC057-051025-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/ECTG1.1.ER.150104T1344Z.150104T1945Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
326 PM EST SUN JAN 4 2015

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ETOWAH RIVER NEAR EAST CANTON.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 2PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 20.9 FEET...AND RISING.
* MINOR FLOODING IS WILL CONTINUE.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17 FEET.
* AT 20 FEET...MINOR FLOODING CONTINUES TO EXPAND IN THE WOODLANDS 
  AND FIELDS ALONG THE RIVER GENERALLY EAST OF CANTON NEAR THE 
  INTERSTATE 575 BRIDGE. A ROCK LANDING AND GRASSY LOT BEHIND A PUMP 
  STATION OFF OF RIVERSTONE PARKWAY AND AREAS BEHIND THE BUSINESSES 
  ON OLD BALL GROUND HIGHWAY AND KEITH DRIVE ARE FLOODED WITH UP TO 
  TWO FEET OF WATER. 
  

&&

LAT...LON 3434 8427 3428 8425 3427 8436 3422 8446
      3427 8450 3433 8440             

$$

GAC057-050912-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0014.000000T0000Z-150105T0912Z/
/CNNG1.1.ER.150104T1809Z.150105T0000Z.150105T0312Z.NO/
326 PM EST SUN JAN 4 2015

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL LATE TONIGHT...THE FLOOD WARNING 
CONTINUES FOR
  THE ETOWAH RIVER NEAR CANTON.
* UNTIL LATE TONIGHT.
* AT 2PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.4 FEET...AND RISING.
* MINOR FLOODING WILL CONTINUE.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16 FEET.
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 16.8 FEET BY THIS EVENING. 
  THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE TONIGHT.
* AT 17 FEET...MINOR FLOODING CONTINUES IN THE WOODLANDS AND FIELDS
  ALONG THE RIVER UPSTREAM AND DOWNSTREAM FROM THE GAGE BY THE 
  WALASKA STREET BRIDGE. PORTIONS OF RECREATIONAL AREAS SUCH AS 
  BOLING PARK BEHIND THE CHEROKEE COUNTY HIGH SCHOOL...THE CHEROKEE 
  COUNTY FAIRGROUNDS AND THE ETOWAH RIVER GREENWAY AT HERITAGE PARK 
  WILL BE FLOODED WITH UP TO ONE FOOT OF WATER. THE PARKING LOT AT 
  BOLING PARK WILL BEGIN TO FLOOD. 
  

&&

LAT...LON 3427 8430 3422 8446 3418 8454 3424 8459


$$

GAC057-051025-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/WODG1.1.ER.150104T1232Z.150104T1915Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
326 PM EST SUN JAN 4 2015

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE LITTLE RIVER NEAR WOODSTOCK.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 2PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.9 FEET...AND STEADY.
* MINOR FLOODING WILL CONTINUE.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11 FEET.
* AT 13 FEET...MINOR FLOODING WILL CONTINUE IN THE WOODLANDS AND 
  FIELDS UPSTREAM AND DOWNSTREAM FROM THE GAGE AT OLD GEORGIA HIGHWAY
  5. A PUBLIC BOAT RAMP JUST DOWNSTREAM AND ON THE RIGHT BANK FROM 
  THE BRIDGE WILL BE UNDER 3 FEET OF WATER. PORTIONS OF THE SOUTH 
  CHEROKEE RECREATION PARK AND THE SOCCER FIELDS OFF DRUW CAMERON 
  DRIVE WILL BE UNDER TWO FEET OF WATER.
  

&&

LAT...LON 3415 8438 3410 8434 3407 8448 3414 8461
      3418 8456 3414 8447             

$$

GAC057-067-042056-
/O.CAN.KFFC.FL.W.0010.000000T0000Z-150104T2026Z/
/NOOG1.1.ER.150104T1120Z.150104T1400Z.150104T1830Z.NO/
326 PM EST SUN JAN 4 2015

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE NOONDAY CREEK NEAR WOODSTOCK.
* THIS TAKES AFFECT IMMEDIATELY.
* AT 2PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.4 FEET...AND FALLING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10 FEET.
* THE CREEK/RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL.
* AT 10 FEET...FLOOD STAGE IS REACHED. MINOR FLOODING BEGINS IN THE
  WOODLANDS AND NATURAL FLOOD PLAIN NEAR THE CREEK UPSTREAM AND 
  DOWNSTREAM FROM THE GAGE ON SHALLOWFORD ROAD. PORTIONS OF NOONDAY 
  CREEK PARK AND RESIDENTIAL BACKYARDS ON BRIDGE DRIVE WILL BEGIN TO 
  FLOOD. 
  

&&

LAT...LON 3401 8462 3408 8457 3413 8457 3412 8450
      3406 8450 3399 8456             

$$

GAC233-042056-
/O.CAN.KFFC.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-150104T2229Z/
/RKMG1.1.ER.150104T1126Z.150104T1445Z.150104T1913Z.UU/
326 PM EST SUN JAN 4 2015

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE EUHARLEE CREEK NEAR ROCKMART.
* THIS TAKES AFFECT IMMEDIATELY.
* AT 2PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 8.9 FEET...AND FALLING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9 FEET.
* THE CREEK/RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL.
* AT 9 FEET...MINOR FLOODING BEGINS ALONG THE CREEK UPSTREAM AND 
  DOWNSTREAM FROM THE GAGE ON CHURCH STREET. PORTIONS OF THE WAYSIDE 
  PARK WILL HAVE WATER A FOOT OR TWO DEEP. SECTIONS OF THE SIDEWALK 
  ALONG WATER STREET WILL BEGIN TO FLOOD. THE WATER REACHES THE 
  BOTTOM OF THE SILVER COMET TRAIL FOOT BRIDGE JUST DOWNSTREAM FROM 
  WEST ELM STREET.

&&

LAT...LON 3398 8515 3394 8511 3399 8502 3408 8498
      3408 8505 3400 8509             

$$

GAC143-051025-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/TLAG1.1.ER.150104T1500Z.150104T1900Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
326 PM EST SUN JAN 4 2015

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TALLAPOOSA RIVER NEAR TALLAPOOSA.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 2PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 18 FEET...AND RISING.
* MINOR FLOODING WILL CONTINUE.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16 FEET.
* AT 18 FEET...MINOR FLOODING CONTINUES IN THE WOODLANDS AND FIELDS
  ALONG THE RIVER UPSTREAM AND DOWNSTREAM FROM THE GAGE ON U.S. 
  HIGHWAY 78. THE FLOOD WATERS WILL BE UP TO TWO FEET DEEP IN SOME 
  LOCATIONS.
  

&&

LAT...LON 3386 8528 3384 8521 3377 8525 3371 8535
      3377 8536 3381 8531             

$$

GAC233-050132-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-150105T0132Z/
/CTWG1.1.ER.150104T1329Z.150104T1630Z.150104T1932Z.NO/
326 PM EST SUN JAN 4 2015

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL THIS EVENING...THE FLOOD WARNING 
CONTINUES FOR
  THE BIG CEDAR CREEK NEAR CEDARTOWN.
* UNTIL THIS AFTERNOON.  
* AT 2PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 15.1 FEET...AND FALLING.
* MINOR FLOODING WILL CONTINUE SHORTLY.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15 FEET.
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY THIS 
  AFTERNOON.
* AT 15 FEET...FLOOD STAGE IS REACHED. MINOR FLOODING BEGINS. WATER
  ENTERS YARDS UPSTREAM FROM CANAL STREET BRIDGE AND ALONG TANYARD 
  BRANCH. SEVERAL HOMES BEGIN TO FLOOD JUST WEST OF GEORGIA AVENUE ON
  OLD ESOM HILL LOOP.
  

&&

LAT...LON 3393 8524 3396 8529 3403 8531 3405 8525
      3399 8523 3396 8519             

$$

GAC115-233-051025-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CCDG1.1.ER.150104T1745Z.150104T1945Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
326 PM EST SUN JAN 4 2015

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CEDAR CREEK NEAR CEDARTOWN.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 2PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.1 FEET...AND RISING.
* MINOR FLOODING WILL CONTINUE.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11 FEET.
  

&&

LAT...LON 3405 8525 3403 8531 3406 8534 3413 8532
      3413 8525 3406 8527             

$$

GAC117-050239-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-150105T0239Z/
/CMGG1.1.ER.150104T0826Z.150104T1830Z.150104T2039Z.UU/
326 PM EST SUN JAN 4 2015

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL THIS EVENING...THE FLOOD WARNING 
CONTINUES FOR
  THE BIG CREEK NEAR CUMMING.
* UNTIL THIS EVENING.
* AT 2PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 8.8 FEET...AND STEADY.
* MINOR FLOODING WILL CONTINUE.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 6 FEET.
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY THIS EVENING.
* AT 8 FEET...MINOR FLOODING WILL EXPAND INTO THE NATURAL FLOOD 
  PLAIN OF THE CREEK UPSTREAM AND DOWNSTREAM FROM THE GAGE AT ATLANTA
  HIGHWAY OR GEORGIA HIGHWAY 9. MOST OF THE SIDEWALK AND BOARDWALK OF
  THE BIG CREEK GREENWAY WILL BE UNDER A FOOT OR TWO OF WATER. THE 
  AREAS UNDER THE GEORGIA 400 HIGHWAY AND MCFARLAND ROAD WILL BE 
  COVERED WITH AROUND THREE FEET OF WATER. A PORTION OF THE SIDEWALK 
  UNDER MAJORS ROAD WILL BE COVERED WITH AROUND FOUR FEET OF WATER.


&&

LAT...LON 3418 8424 3417 8420 3411 8419 3410 8420
      3410 8425 3411 8424             

$$

GAC117-121-051025-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-150106T1727Z/
/APHG1.1.ER.150104T1028Z.150105T1800Z.150106T1127Z.NO/
326 PM EST SUN JAN 4 2015

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL TUESDAY AFTERNOON...THE FLOOD WARNING
CONTINUES FOR
  THE BIG CREEK NEAR ALPHARETTA.
* UNTIL TUESDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 02PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 9 FEET...AND RISING.
* MINOR FLOODING WILL CONTINUE.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 7 FEET.
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 9.8 FEET BY TOMORROW EARLY 
  AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE TUESDAY MORNING.
* AT 10 FEET...MINOR FLOODING CONTINUES UPSTREAM AND DOWNSTREAM 
  FROM THE GAGE ON KIMBALL BRIDGE ROAD. THE FLOOD WATERS EXPAND 
  FURTHER INTO THE WOODLANDS ALONG THE CREEK...AND BEGINS TO AFFECT 
  SOME RESIDENTIAL YARDS BETWEEN CUMMING IN FORSYTH COUNTY THROUGH 
  ALPHARETTA AND ROSWELL IN NORTH FULTON COUNTY. THE BIG CREEK 
  GREENWAY IS CLOSED AND COMPLETELY FLOODED WITH UP TO 4 FEET OF 
  WATER IN SOME AREAS. 
  

&&

LAT...LON 3410 8425 3410 8420 3404 8425 3402 8430
      3404 8433 3407 8427             

$$

GAC067-051025-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/NOSG1.1.ER.150104T1630Z.150104T1930Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
326 PM EST SUN JAN 4 2015

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE NOSES CREEK NEAR POWDER SPRINGS.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 2PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.4 FEET...AND RISING.
* MINOR FLOODING WILL CONTINUE.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11 FEET.
* AT 11 FEET...FLOOD STAGE IS REACHED. MINOR FLOODING WILL OCCUR IN
  THE WOODLANDS AND THE NATURAL FLOOD PLAIN UPSTREAM AND DOWNSTREAM 
  FROM THE GAGE AT POWDER SPRINGS ROAD. A WALKWAY PARALLEL TO THE 
  CREEK ON THE RIGHT BANK WILL BE UNDER TWO FEET OF WATER.
  

&&

LAT...LON 3381 8467 3386 8469 3395 8466 3394 8458
      3386 8462 3383 8460             

$$

GAC135-297-050120-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0011.000000T0000Z-150105T0120Z/
/ALCG1.1.ER.150104T1606Z.150104T1745Z.150104T1920Z.UU/
326 PM EST SUN JAN 4 2015

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL THIS EVENING...THE FLOOD WARNING 
CONTINUES FOR
  THE ALCOVY RIVER NEAR LAWRENCEVILLE.
* UNTIL THIS AFTERNOON.
* AT 1PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.2 FEET...AND FALLING.
* MINOR FLOODING WILL CONTINUE SHORTLY.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9 FEET.
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY THIS 
  AFTERNOON.
* AT 9 FEET...FLOOD STAGE IS REACHED. MINOR FLOODING BEGINS OF THE 
  WOODLANDS UPSTREAM AND DOWNSTREAM FROM THE RIVER GAUGE AT NEW HOPE 
  ROAD.


&&

LAT...LON 3391 8394 3394 8392 3396 8388 3383 8374 3379 8379


$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
1002 AM EST SUN JAN 4 2015

.UPDATE...
LINE OF STORMS CONTINUE TO MOVE SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE SOUTHERN HALF
OF THE CWFA THIS MORNING AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT. THERE IS STILL
SOME POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS...THE BUT THE CHANCES
FOR SEVERE WEATHER ACROSS THE FFC CWFA SHOULD DECREASE THROUGH
THE EARLY AFTERNOON.

WILL GO AHEAD AND LEAVE THE FLOOD WATCH UP THROUGH 18Z. THERE ARE
SOME CREEKS AND STREAMS CONTAINED IN THE WATCH AREA THAT ARE
STILL RISING AND MAY APPROACH FLOOD STAGE BEFORE THE WATCH
EXPIRES.

VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY DOESN'T SHOW MUCH CLEARING BEHIND THE
FRONT...AND IN FACT THERE IS A GOOD DEAL OF COLD AIR STRATO CU
BACK TO THE WEST...SO DONT EXPECT MUCH CLEARING DURING THE
EVENING.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 639 AM EST SUN JAN 4 2015/

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 318 AM EST SUN JAN 4 2015/

.FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH EARLY THIS AFTERNOON NORTH GEORGIA...
.STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS POSSIBLE THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON...

SHORT TERM /TODAY THROUGH MONDAY/...

FIRST WAVE OF CONVECTION AHEAD OF ADVANCING WARM FRONT PUSHED
THROUGH LAST EVENING AND MUCH UNCERTAINTY WAS PRESENT ON HOW THIS
WOULD AFFECT ADDITIONAL CONVECTION LATER THIS MORNING. BUT WITH
DEWPOINTS IN THE MID 60S SURGING NORTHWARD IN THE WAKE OF THE WARM
FRONT...LOOKS LIKE THAT QUESTION HAS BEEN ANSWERED AS RECENT RADAR
TRENDS SHOW QUICKLY DEVELOPING CONVECTIVE LINE OVER EASTERN
ALABAMA. SURFACE BASED CAPE OF 100 J/KG HAS SURGED ALL THE WAY
INTO PORTIONS OF THE SOUTH METRO AND SHOULD CONTINUE ITS
ADVANCEMENT NORTHWARD WHILE MUCAPE HAS MADE IT INTO
TENNESSEE...SUPPORTIVE FOR AT LEAST ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS FOR ALL
AREAS OF GEORGIA THIS MORNING.

AS WOULD BE EXPECTED...BEST 0-1KM SHEAR VALUES HAVE BEEN ALONG
AND AHEAD OF WARM FRONT BUT CERTAINLY ENOUGH LEFTOVER IN
DEVELOPING UNSTABLE ENVIRONMENT TO RESULT IN A MARGINAL
ENVIRONMENT FOR SEVERE STORMS FOR THE REST OF THE MORNING. 925MB
WIND CORE OF CLOSE TO 50 KTS IS NOW MAKING ITS WAY INTO THE
SOUTHERN END OF LINE WHICH IS OF CONCERN AS WELL BASED ON THE
SETUP AND WOULD EXPECT FURTHER ENHANCEMENT OF LINE IN THE NEXT FEW
HOURS WITH POTENTIAL FOR SOME STRONG WIND GUSTS BUT ALSO THE
ENHANCED THREAT OF A QUICK SPINUP.

BEYOND THE INITIAL PUSH OF CONVECTION...SHOULD JUST SEE AN
INCREASE IN WINDS THIS AFTERNOON IN POST FRONTAL ENVIRONMENT WITH
GUSTS TO 30 KTS POSSIBLE. CLEARING SKIES BY TONIGHT AND A FAIR WX
PATTERN ANTICIPATED FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE SHORT TERM.

DEESE

LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...

EXTENDED STARTS DRY WITH HIGH PRESSURE SLIDING ACROSS THE OHIO
VALLEY WITH LONGWAVE TROUGHINESS IN PLACE OVER THE EASTERN TWO-
THIRDS OF THE COUNTRY. ANOTHER SHORTWAVE SLIDES DOWN THE BACK EDGE
OF THE TROUGH MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY...BRINGING A STRONG BUT DRY
COLD FRONT WITH IT AND USHERING IN A COLD ARCTIC AIRMASS JUST PAST
MIDWEEK. DEEP LAYER CAA BUILDS IN BEHIND THE FRONT TUESDAY EVENING
AND WE WILL START FEELING THE EFFECTS ON WEDNESDAY WITH DRASTICALLY
COOLER TEMPERATURES THAT WILL STRUGGLE TO REACH 40 ACROSS NORTH
GEORGIA. EXPECT AN EXTREMELY COLD NIGHT WEDNESDAY NIGHT/THURSDAY
MORNING WITH LOWS IN THE TEENS NORTH /SINGLE DIGITS MOUNTAINS AND
LOWER 20S SOUTH/...AND HIGHS THURSDAY REALLY SUPER COLD AND MAYBE
NOT EVEN GETTING TO FREEZING FROM THE METRO AREA NORTH...AND
REMAINING BELOW 40 JUST ABOUT EVERYWHERE. ADD TO THIS SOME BLUSTERY
WINDS BEHIND THE FRONT WITH STRONG NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT AND IT IS
VERY LIKELY THAT WE WILL NEED A WIND CHILL ADVISORY THURSDAY
MORNING...AND CANNOT RULE OUT THE POSSIBILITY OF A WARNING FOR
EXTREME NORTHERN COUNTIES. WILL SEE SOME INCREASE IN TEMPS FRIDAY
INTO THE WEEKEND BUT STILL BELOW SEASONAL NORMALS.

NEXT RAIN POTENTIAL COMES AT THE END OF THE EXTENDED WHEN OF COURSE
CONFIDENCE IS LOWER DUE TO MODEL DIFFERENCES...BUT IN GENERAL BOTH
THE GFS AND ECMWF HAVE A SHORTWAVE PUSHING ACROSS THE SOUTHERN
PLAINS WITH PRECIP PUSHING INTO THE SOUTHEAST LATE IN THE WEEKEND.
POPS WERE KEPT AT SLIGHT CHANCES FOR NOW DUE TO UNCERTAINTY. WILL
HAVE TO REFINE THIS OVER THE COMING DAYS TO FIGURE OUT TIMING OF
INCOMING PRECIP VS OVERNIGHT LOW TEMPERATURES.

TDP

HYDROLOGY...

WITH INITIAL CONVECTIVE WAVE LAST EVENING COMBINED WITH SOME
TRAINING OF ECHOS THIS MORNING...RAINFALL AMOUNTS HAVE BEEN HIGHER
THAN ANTICIPATED. HAVE GONE WITH A FLOOD WATCH THROUGH EARLY
AFTERNOON AND IN FACT HAVE ALREADY ISSUED SEVERAL FLASH FLOOD
WARNINGS WITH ADDITIONAL ISSUANCES LIKELY. STORM TOTAL RAINFALL OF
2 TO 4 INCHES NOW ANTICIPATED.

AVIATION...
12Z UPDATE...
MAIN TSRA BAND HAS CLEARED THE ATL TERMINALS AND NOW PUSHING INTO
AHN AND CSG WITH MCN NOT FAR BEHIND. HAS BEEN PRETTY CONSISTENT
WITH 15G30KT ALONG THE LEADING EDGE OF THIS ACTIVITY AND CIGS
ACTUALLY IMPROVING TO MVFR AND VFR FOR A BRIEF TIME PERIOD. THIS
SHOULD BE SHORT LIVED...ESPECIALLY FOR THE ATL SITES AS IFR BUT
MORE PREDOMINANTLY MVFR MOVES IN FOR A GOOD PORTION OF THE MORNING
AND EARLY AFTERNOON. HELD ONTO THE MVFR A LITTLE LONGER THAN
GUIDANCE BASED ON UPSTREAM OBSERVATIONS. OTHERWISE...CLEARING
SKIES FOR THE END OF THE TAF PERIOD WITH CONTINUED GUSTS INTO THE
OVERNIGHT PERIOD.

//ATL CONFIDENCE...12Z UPDATE...
MEDIUM ON MVFR DURATION.
HIGH ON REMAINING ELEMENTS.

DEESE

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
ATHENS          67  34  52  32 / 100   0   0   0
ATLANTA         65  33  49  33 / 100   5   0   0
BLAIRSVILLE     59  30  45  26 / 100   5   5   0
CARTERSVILLE    61  30  46  27 /  90  10   0   0
COLUMBUS        69  37  56  34 / 100   5   0   0
GAINESVILLE     60  33  48  32 / 100   5   0   0
MACON           70  36  56  32 / 100   5   0   0
ROME            60  30  46  25 /  70  10   0   0
PEACHTREE CITY  67  30  50  27 / 100   5   0   0
VIDALIA         74  45  59  40 / 100  20   5   0

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON FOR THE
FOLLOWING ZONES: BANKS...BARROW...BARTOW...CARROLL...CATOOSA...
CHATTOOGA...CHEROKEE...COBB...DADE...DAWSON...DEKALB...DOUGLAS...
FANNIN...FLOYD...FORSYTH...GILMER...GORDON...GWINNETT...HALL...
HARALSON...JACKSON...LUMPKIN...MURRAY...NORTH FULTON...
PAULDING...PICKENS...POLK...SOUTH FULTON...TOWNS...UNION...
WALKER...WHITE...WHITFIELD.

&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
422 AM EST SUN JAN 4 2015

GAZ001>009-011>016-019>025-027-030>039-041>062-066>076-078>086-
089>098-102>113-050930-
BALDWIN-BANKS-BARROW-BARTOW-BIBB-BLECKLEY-BUTTS-CARROLL-CATOOSA-
CHATTAHOOCHEE-CHATTOOGA-CHEROKEE-CLARKE-CLAYTON-COBB-COWETA-
CRAWFORD-CRISP-DADE-DAWSON-DEKALB-DODGE-DOOLY-DOUGLAS-EMANUEL-
FANNIN-FAYETTE-FLOYD-FORSYTH-GILMER-GLASCOCK-GORDON-GREENE-
GWINNETT-HALL-HANCOCK-HARALSON-HARRIS-HEARD-HENRY-HOUSTON-JACKSON-
JASPER-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-JONES-LAMAR-LAURENS-LUMPKIN-MACON-
MADISON-MARION-MERIWETHER-MONROE-MONTGOMERY-MORGAN-MURRAY-
MUSCOGEE-NEWTON-NORTH FULTON-OCONEE-OGLETHORPE-PAULDING-PEACH-
PICKENS-PIKE-POLK-PULASKI-PUTNAM-ROCKDALE-SCHLEY-SOUTH FULTON-
SPALDING-STEWART-SUMTER-TALBOT-TALIAFERRO-TAYLOR-TELFAIR-TOOMBS-
TOWNS-TREUTLEN-TROUP-TWIGGS-UNION-UPSON-WALKER-WALTON-WARREN-
WASHINGTON-WEBSTER-WHEELER-WHITE-WHITFIELD-WILCOX-WILKES-
WILKINSON-
422 AM EST SUN JAN 4 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL GEORGIA...EAST CENTRAL GEORGIA...NORTH CENTRAL GEORGIA...NORTHEAST GEORGIA...NORTHWEST GEORGIA...SOUTHEAST GEORGIA AND WEST CENTRAL GEORGIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...

...ISOLATED STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS ALONG WITH HEAVY RAINFALL
THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON...

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH GEORGIA THROUGH
EARLY AFTERNOON...

WEATHER HAZARDS EXPECTED...

STRONG TO POTENTIALLY DAMAGING WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED...AND
PERHAPS AN ISOLATED TORNADO.
1 TO 2 INCHES OF OF ADDITIONAL RAIN WITH STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS OF 2
TO 4 INCHES...LEADING TO MINOR FLOODING.

DISCUSSION...

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT ARE PRODUCING VERY
HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS NORTHWEST GEORGIA WITH ISOLATED AREAS OF
FLASH FLOODING. IN ADDITION...A FEW OF THE STORMS ALONG THE SQUALL
LINE THIS MORNING MAY BE STRONG TO SEVERE WITH DAMAGING WIND GUSTS
AND AN ISOLATED TORNADO THE MAIN CONCERNS. THE ACTIVITY SHOULD
SHIFT TO CENTRAL GEORGIA BY MID MORNING INTO THE EARLY AFTERNOON
BEFORE EXITING THE REGION BY LATE AFTERNOON.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...

BY MIDWEEK...A VERY COLD ARCTIC AIRMASS WILL PUSH INTO THE
SOUTHEAST. BY THURSDAY MORNING...THE COMBINATION OF VERY COLD
TEMPERATURES AND WINDS MAY LEAD TO DANGEROUSLY COLD WIND CHILLS
WITH AN ADVISORY POSSIBLE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT REQUESTED BUT SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED
TO SUBMIT REPORTS OF SEVERE WEATHER THROUGH THE WEB BY GOING TO
WEATHER.GOV/ATLANTA.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
659 AM EST SUN JAN 4 2015

GAZ079-089>091-041230-
MUSCOGEE GA-TALBOT GA-MARION GA-CHATTAHOOCHEE GA-
659 AM EST SUN JAN 4 2015

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR DIME SIZED HAIL AND 45 MPH WINDS
IN MUSCOGEE...TALBOT...MARION AND CHATTAHOOCHEE COUNTIES UNTIL 730 AM
EST...

AT 659 AM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM NEAR UPATOI
TO 6 MILES SOUTH OF FORT BENNING/LAWSON ARMY AIR FLD...AND MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH.

THESE STORMS HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE DIME SIZED SIZED HAIL...
FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING AND WIND GUSTS TO 45 MPH AS THEY
MOVE ACROSS MUSCOGEE...TALBOT...MARION AND CHATTAHOOCHEE COUNTIES
THROUGH 730 AM EST.

SOME LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THESE STORMS INCLUDE
BUENA VISTA...TALBOTTON...CUSSETA...JUNCTION CITY...GENEVA...
UPATOI...NORTH FORT BENNING...BRANTLEY...PRATTSBURG...EELBECK/WEST
FORT BENNING...BALDWINVILLE...ZELLOBEE...MARION ESTATES...
CHRISTOPHER...BOX SPRINGS...MAUK...JUNIPER...BAUGHVILLE...OLIVE
BRANCH AND PO BIDDY CROSSROADS.

CONTINUE TO MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO...WEATHER.GOV OR OTHER MEDIA
OUTLETS FOR FURTHER STATEMENTS OR POSSIBLE WARNINGS ON THESE STORMS.

LAT...LON 3223 8492 3225 8492 3226 8489 3230 8495
      3259 8475 3259 8469 3265 8469 3278 8435
      3275 8429 3272 8434 3268 8434 3268 8437
      3264 8438 3261 8441 3256 8441 3256 8445
      3254 8445 3249 8441 3226 8457 3222 8480
TIME...MOT...LOC 1159Z 251DEG 31KT 3261 8469 3226 8494

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
729 AM EST SUN JAN 04 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0625 AM     FLASH FLOOD      1 WSW ROCKMART          34.00N  85.05W
01/04/2015                   POLK               GA   OTHER FEDERAL

            THE STAGE HEIGHT ON A USGS GAGE ON EUHARLEE CREEK AT US
            HWY 278 OR WEST ELM STREET IN ROCKMART REACHED FLOOD
            STAGE OF 9 FEET. THE CREEK IS CONTINUING TO RISE SLOWLY.
            MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURING ON PORTIONS OF THE WAYSIDE
            PARK. SECTIONS OF THE SIDEWALK ALONG WATER STREET IS
            FLOODED.

&&

EVENT NUMBER FFC1500003

KFRANTZ

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
731 AM EST SUN JAN 4 2015

GAZ069-079-080-041300-
TALBOT GA-UPSON GA-TAYLOR GA-
731 AM EST SUN JAN 4 2015

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR 40 MPH WINDS AND VERY HEAVY
RAINFALL IN TALBOT...UPSON AND TAYLOR COUNTIES UNTIL 800 AM EST...

AT 731 AM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM NEAR
WOODLAND TO NEAR TALBOTTON TO JUNCTION CITY...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT
45 MPH. WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED.

RUNOFF FROM THESE STORMS MAY CAUSE MINOR FLOODING OF SMALL CREEKS
AND STREAMS...URBAN AREAS...HIGHWAYS...STREETS AND UNDERPASSES
ACROSS TALBOT...UPSON AND TAYLOR COUNTIES...INCLUDING AREAS AROUND
THOMASTON...YATESVILLE...JUNCTION CITY...LINCOLN
PARK...PRATTSBURG... CARSONVILLE...BALDWINVILLE...PO BIDDY
CROSSROADS...WESLEY CHURCH... BIG LAZER CREEK WMA...REDBONE
CROSSROADS...SALEM AND LOGTOWN.

ADDITIONALLY...COUNTRY ROADS AND FARMLANDS ALONG THE BANKS OF CREEKS
AND STREAMS ARE SUBJECT TO MINOR FLOODING.

LAT...LON 3256 8449 3276 8450 3298 8419 3289 8412
      3282 8412 3280 8414 3280 8415 3274 8418
      3267 8422
TIME...MOT...LOC 1231Z 237DEG 38KT 3276 8447 3269 8444 3259 8447

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
818 AM EST SUN JAN 4 2015

GAZ071-072-081-082-041345-
CRAWFORD GA-JONES GA-MONROE GA-BIBB GA-
818 AM EST SUN JAN 4 2015

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR 50 MPH WINDS IN CRAWFORD...
JONES...MONROE AND BIBB COUNTIES UNTIL 845 AM EST...

AT 817 AM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM CENTERED 2 MILES SOUTH OF RUSSELLVILLE MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH.

THE LEADING EDGE OF THIS LINE OF STORMS HAS EXHIBITED AREAS OF
LOCALIZED...WEAK ROTATION...BUT NOTHING STRONG ENOUGH TO INDICATE
THE PRESENCE OF A TORNADO.  STILL...THE ENVIRONMENT ALONG THIS LINE
SUGGESTS AN ENHANCED RISK OF A BRIEF...GENERALLY WEAK... TORNADO
FORMING. WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH ARE ALSO POSSIBLE AS THE LINE MOVES
ACROSS CRAWFORD...JONES...MONROE AND BIBB COUNTIES THROUGH 845 AM
EST.

SOME LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THESE STORMS INCLUDE
MACON...PAYNE...PAYNE CITY...RUSSELLVILLE...WESLEYAN...JARRELL
PLANTATION...LAKE TOBESOFKEE...ARKWRIGHT...BOLINGBROKE...LIZELLA...
PLANT SCHERER AND DAMES FERRY.

LAT...LON 3282 8402 3297 8399 3314 8371 3294 8360
      3276 8360
TIME...MOT...LOC 1317Z 243DEG 32KT 3287 8399

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
832 AM EST SUN JAN 04 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0745 AM     FLASH FLOOD      1 SW ANDERSONVILLE      34.12N  84.50W
01/04/2015                   CHEROKEE           GA   OTHER FEDERAL

            THE STAGE HEIGHT ON A USGS GAGE ON THE LITTLE RIVER AT
            WOODSTOCK REACHED FLOOD STAGE OF 11 FEET. THE CREEK IS
            CONTINUING TO RISE. MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING IN THE
            WOODLANDS AND FIELDS UPSTREAM AND DOWNSTREAM FROM THE
            GAGE AT OLD GEORGIA HWY 5. A PUBLIC BOAT RAMP JUST
            DOWNSTREAM FROM THE GAGE IS UNDER WATER. LOW LYING AREAS
            OF THE SOUTH CHEROKEE RECREATION PARK HAVE BEGUN TO
            FLOOD.

&&

EVENT NUMBER FFC1500004

KFRANTZ

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
922 AM EST SUN JAN 04 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0530 AM     TSTM WND DMG     1 SW EMBRY HILLS        33.87N  84.27W
01/04/2015                   DEKALB             GA   BROADCAST MEDIA

            A REPORT OF AROUND TEN TREES DOWN NEAR APPLEWOOD COURT
            AND BRAITHWOOD ROAD

&&

EVENT NUMBER FFC1500005

NLIST