Alert archive / Texas / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2015

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 41, NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX

April 19, 2015Fayette County, Texas

NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Apr 19, 2015, 5:13 PM CDT for Fayette County, Texas. It was in force for 47 min. 1 report came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued: Apr 19, 2015, 5:13 PM CDT (22:13 UTC)
Expired: Apr 19, 2015, 6:00 PM CDT
In force: 47 min
Issued by: NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX
Area: Storm-based polygon
Hail: 1.75 in
Wind: 50.0 mph

County Fayette County, TX

What was reported inside it

Time	Report	Where	Remark
Apr 19, 5:31 PM CDT	HAIL 1	2 N La Grange, TX

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

Did it verify

Verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow matched one storm report to this severe thunderstorm warning; the first came 18 minutes after it went out.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
Apr 19, 2:31 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Watch	SPC	7 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Corpus Christi, TX (KCRP), launched 12:00Z, 10.2 hours before the alert went out and 248 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 1640 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -115 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 867 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 51 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 95 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 83 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.3
Supercell composite: 3.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

856 
WUUS54 KEWX 192213
SVREWX
TXC149-192300-
/O.NEW.KEWX.SV.W.0041.150419T2213Z-150419T2300Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
513 PM CDT SUN APR 19 2015

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN AUSTIN SAN ANTONIO HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  CENTRAL FAYETTE COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS...

* UNTIL 600 PM CDT

* AT 512 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR LA GRANGE...
  MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH.

  HAZARD...GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL. 

  SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

  IMPACT...PEOPLE AND ANIMALS OUTDOORS WILL BE INJURED. EXPECT 
           DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING...WINDOWS AND VEHICLES. 

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  LA GRANGE...RUTERSVILLE...PLUM...MULLINS PRAIRIE AND RABBS PRAIRIE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

LAT...LON 2993 9703 2999 9699 2996 9672 2984 9679
TIME...MOT...LOC 2212Z 281DEG 17KT 2994 9698 

HAIL...1.75IN
WIND...<50MPH
 
$$

JWZ

1 follow-up statement

152 
WWUS54 KEWX 192236
SVSEWX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
536 PM CDT SUN APR 19 2015

TXC149-192300-
/O.CON.KEWX.SV.W.0041.000000T0000Z-150419T2300Z/
FAYETTE TX-
536 PM CDT SUN APR 19 2015

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 600 PM CDT
FOR EAST CENTRAL FAYETTE COUNTY...

AT 535 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR LA GRANGE... 
MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH.

HAZARD...QUARTER SIZE HAIL. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
LA GRANGE...RUTERSVILLE AND MULLINS PRAIRIE. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

LAT...LON 2990 9691 2997 9686 2996 9672 2984 9679
TIME...MOT...LOC 2235Z 281DEG 17KT 2992 9685 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...<50MPH
 
$$

JWZ

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Apr 19, 2:56 PM CDT, 2 hours 17 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Apr 19, 2:56 PM CDT, 2 hours 17 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
256 PM CDT SUN APR 19 2015

.SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT)...
TO COINCIDE WITH THE AFTERNOON FORECAST PACKAGE WE HAVE ISSUED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 81 FOR BASTROP...LEE...FAYETTE..AND
LAVACA COUNTIES. THUNDERSTORMS HAVE BEGUN TO FORM ALONG THE COLD
FRONT AND WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST. SKIES
CLEARED IN THE AREA EARLIER TODAY AND TEMPERATURES WARMED INTO THE
LOWER 80S. MOISTURE WAS STILL PLENTIFUL WITH DEW POINT
TEMPERATURES IN THE UPPER 60S AND LOW 70S. MODEL SOUNDINGS SHOW
CAPE APPROACHING 4000 J/KG AND A WEAK CAP. STEEP MIDLEVEL LAPSE
RATES AND EFFECTIVE SHEAR NEAR 35 KT WILL SUPPORT ROTATING
UPDRAFTS AND LARGE HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE. DAMAGING WINDS ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE AND WE CAN NOT RULE OUT A TORNADO.

BEYOND THE PRE-FIRST PERIOD. UPPER AIR ANALYSIS THIS MORNING
SHOWED A NEGATIVELY TILTED TROUGH EXTENDING FROM WESTERN KANSAS TO
EAST TEXAS. THE TROUGH AXIS WAS EAST OF OUR CWA WITH WEST-
NORTHWESTERLY FLOW OVER US. AT THE SURFACE A COLD FRONT EXTENDED
FROM A LOW OVER OKLAHOMA TO NEAR SAN ANGELO AND BACK TOWARD
MIDLAND. A DRYLINE EXTENDED SOUTHWARD ACROSS EDWARDS AND KINNEY
COUNTIES. WINDS ACROSS THE REGION WERE TURNING CYCLONICALLY FROM
NORTHWESTERLY TO SOUTHWESTERLY. MOISTURE WAS STILL PLENTIFUL WITH
DEW POINT TEMPERATURES IN THE MID TO UPPER 60S EAST OF THE
DRYLINE. THE UPPER LOW WILL PROGRESS TO THE EAST AND THE FLOW WILL
BECOME ZONAL ACROSS TEXAS. THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR
THUNDERSTORM THIS AFTERNOON AND IF THERE ARE ANY STORMS THEY WILL
LIKELY CONTINUE INTO THE FIRST PERIOD. CONDITIONS OVER OUR EASTERN
COUNTIES REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS...SO IF
THERE ARE ANY STORMS THEY MAY BE STRONG TO SEVERE. THE COLD FRONT
IS EXPECTED TO MOVE THROUGH OUR AREA THIS EVENING AND THIS WILL
BRING OUR RAIN CHANCES TO AN END. SKIES WILL BE CLEAR AND COOLER
AIR WILL FILTER IN. MONDAY WINDS WILL TURN FROM THE NORTH TO
NORTHEAST AS HIGH PRESSURE MOVES TO THE EAST ACROSS NORTH TEXAS.
MONDAY NIGHT WINDS WILL BEGIN TO TURN TO THE SOUTHEAST...MAINLY
ACROSS THE WEST...BEGINNING MOISTURE RETURN.

&&

.LONG TERM (TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY)...
AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL BUILD FROM TEXAS TO THE CENTRAL ROCKIES
IN RESPONSE TO A LOW DROPPING SOUTHWARD ALONG THE WEST COAST. THE
LOW LEVEL FLOW WILL BE FROM THE SOUTHEAST WITH STRONG MOISTURE
RETURN FROM THE GULF. ON TUESDAY BEFORE THE UPPER FLOW BECOMES
ANTICYCLONIC...A 250MPH 100KT JET WILL EXTEND ACROSS TEXAS. THIS
ALONG WITH THE DEEPENING LOW LEVEL MOISTURE MAY BE ENOUGH TO
PRODUCE SOME SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY WE
MAY SEE THE DRYLINE MOVE INTO OUR WESTERN AREA AND PRODUCE SOME
THUNDERSTORMS. FRIDAY AND SATURDAY A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE IN FROM
THE NORTHWEST BRINGING ANOTHER CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. SUNDAY DRIER AIR WILL RETURN FROM THE NORTH.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AUSTIN CAMP MABRY              55  74  55  77  64 /  20   0  10  20  10
AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT  54  72  52  77  62 /  20   0  10  20  10
NEW BRAUNFELS MUNI AIRPORT     55  74  54  78  64 /  20   0  10  20  20
BURNET MUNI AIRPORT            52  73  53  76  63 /  10   0  10  20  10
DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT           59  76  59  81  65 /  -   10  20  10  20
GEORGETOWN MUNI AIRPORT        52  73  53  77  63 /  20   0  10  20  10
HONDO MUNI AIRPORT             56  75  55  77  65 /  10  -   10  20  20
SAN MARCOS MUNI AIRPORT        56  73  54  77  62 /  20   0  10  20  20
LA GRANGE - FAYETTE REGIONAL   56  74  56  78  63 /  30   0  10  20  10
SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT       57  74  56  78  65 /  10  -   10  20  20
STINSON MUNI AIRPORT           58  74  56  77  65 /  10  -   10  20  20

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

MESOSCALE/AVIATION...04
SYNOPTIC/GRIDS...05
PUBLIC SERVICE/DATA COLLECTION...01

Hazardous weather outlook, Apr 19, 4:37 AM CDT, 12 hours 36 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
437 AM CDT SUN APR 19 2015

TXZ171>173-183>194-202>209-217>225-228-200945-
LLANO-BURNET-WILLIAMSON-VAL VERDE-EDWARDS-REAL-KERR-BANDERA-
GILLESPIE-KENDALL-BLANCO-HAYS-TRAVIS-BASTROP-LEE-KINNEY-UVALDE-
MEDINA-BEXAR-COMAL-GUADALUPE-CALDWELL-FAYETTE-MAVERICK-ZAVALA-
FRIO-ATASCOSA-WILSON-KARNES-GONZALES-DE WITT-LAVACA-DIMMIT-
437 AM CDT SUN APR 19 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ALONG AND EAST OF A
GEORGETOWN TO AUSTIN TO SEGUIN TO PLEASANTON LINE FOR THIS
AFTERNOON INTO EVENING. THE MAIN THREAT WILL BE LARGE HAIL AND
DAMAGING WIND GUSTS. CAN NOT RULE OUT AN ISOLATED TORNADO.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON INTO EVENING.

In the hours before

Local storm report, Apr 19, 4:21 PM CDT, 52 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
421 PM CDT SUN APR 19 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0410 PM     HAIL             ROSANKY                 29.93N  97.30W
04/19/2015  M0.75 INCH       BASTROP            TX   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

EVENT NUMBER EWX1500234

CVP

Local storm report, Apr 19, 4:24 PM CDT, 49 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
424 PM CDT SUN APR 19 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0412 PM     HAIL             1 NE TOGO               29.96N  97.21W
04/19/2015  M1.00 INCH       BASTROP            TX   STORM CHASER

&&

EVENT NUMBER EWX1500235

CVP

Local storm report, Apr 19, 4:28 PM CDT, 45 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
428 PM CDT SUN APR 19 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0424 PM     HAIL             4 SW SMITHVILLE         29.97N  97.20W
04/19/2015  M1.75 INCH       BASTROP            TX   STORM CHASER

&&

EVENT NUMBER EWX1500236

CVP

Special weather statement, Apr 19, 4:31 PM CDT, 42 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
431 PM CDT SUN APR 19 2015

TXZ194-192145-
LEE TX-
431 PM CDT SUN APR 19 2015

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR EAST CENTRAL LEE COUNTY UNTIL 445
PM CDT...

AT 429 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR
DIME BOX...OR 10 MILES NORTHEAST OF GIDDINGS...MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH.

NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

THIS STORM WILL REMAIN OVER MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF EAST CENTRAL LEE
COUNTY...INCLUDING COUNTY ROAD 125.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER...CONTACT YOUR NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT
AGENCY. THEY WILL RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
OFFICE IN AUSTIN SAN ANTONIO.

&&

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM CDT FOR
SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS.

LAT...LON 3028 9667 3025 9669 3025 9673 3023 9674
      3024 9681 3030 9683 3033 9675 3032 9674
      3032 9669 3030 9667 3030 9665
TIME...MOT...LOC 2129Z 272DEG 21KT 3026 9677

EMP

Local storm report, Apr 19, 4:47 PM CDT, 26 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
447 PM CDT SUN APR 19 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0321 PM     HAIL             NIEDERWALD              30.01N  97.74W
04/19/2015  M0.25 INCH       HAYS               TX   TRAINED SPOTTER

0325 PM     HAIL             NIEDERWALD              30.01N  97.74W
04/19/2015  M0.50 INCH       HAYS               TX   TRAINED SPOTTER

0350 PM     HAIL             2 NNE ROCKNE            30.01N  97.41W
04/19/2015  M1.75 INCH       BASTROP            TX   EMERGENCY MNGR

0400 PM     HAIL             2 ENE WATTERSON         30.00N  97.36W
04/19/2015  M1.75 INCH       BASTROP            TX   EMERGENCY MNGR

0409 PM     HAIL             3 SW UPTON              29.99N  97.30W
04/19/2015  M1.75 INCH       BASTROP            TX   TRAINED SPOTTER

0410 PM     HAIL             ROSANKY                 29.93N  97.30W
04/19/2015  M0.75 INCH       BASTROP            TX   TRAINED SPOTTER

0412 PM     HAIL             1 NE TOGO               29.96N  97.21W
04/19/2015  M1.00 INCH       BASTROP            TX   STORM CHASER

0424 PM     HAIL             4 SW SMITHVILLE         29.97N  97.20W
04/19/2015  M1.75 INCH       BASTROP            TX   STORM CHASER

&&

EVENT NUMBER EWX1500229 EWX1500230 EWX1500231 EWX1500233 EWX1500232
EWX1500234 EWX1500235 EWX1500236

CVP

Special weather statement, Apr 19, 4:49 PM CDT, 24 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
449 PM CDT SUN APR 19 2015

TXZ194-192230-
LEE TX-
449 PM CDT SUN APR 19 2015

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR EAST CENTRAL LEE COUNTY UNTIL 530
PM CDT...

AT 447 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR
DIME BOX...OR 10 MILES NORTHEAST OF GIDDINGS...MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH.

DIME SIZE HAIL AND WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

THIS STORM WILL REMAIN OVER MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF EAST CENTRAL LEE
COUNTY...INCLUDING FARM TO MARKET ROAD 141.

THIS STORM MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO AND
TV STATIONS...AS WELL AS LOCAL CABLE TV OUTLETS...FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM CDT FOR
SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS.

LAT...LON 3025 9669 3025 9672 3024 9674 3020 9674
      3017 9678 3016 9685 3017 9685 3031 9687
      3034 9676 3032 9674 3032 9669 3030 9667
      3029 9664
TIME...MOT...LOC 2147Z 261DEG 31KT 3026 9678

EMP

The office that day

Everything else NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Apr 18, 7:01 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	EWX	Llano	29 min
Apr 18, 7:09 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	EWX	Kendall	51 min
Apr 18, 7:32 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	EWX	Burnet	43 min
Apr 18, 7:35 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	EWX	Gillespie	40 min
Apr 18, 8:18 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	EWX	Blanco, Hays	27 min
Apr 18, 8:25 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	EWX	Gillespie	50 min
Apr 18, 8:44 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	EWX	Blanco, Burnet, Hays, Travis	31 min
Apr 18, 9:13 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	EWX	Travis	32 min
Apr 18, 9:20 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	EWX	Gillespie	40 min
Apr 18, 9:35 PM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	EWX	Gillespie, Kendall, Kerr	3 hr
Apr 18, 9:44 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	EWX	Bastrop, Caldwell, Lee	46 min
Apr 18, 11:25 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	EWX	Kendall	35 min
Apr 19, 9:59 AM CDT	River Flood Warning	EWX	DeWitt	36 hr
Apr 19, 2:50 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	EWX	Lee	25 min
Apr 19, 2:55 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	EWX	Lee	35 min
Apr 19, 3:24 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	EWX	Caldwell	51 min
Apr 19, 3:39 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	EWX	Bastrop	36 min
Apr 19, 3:53 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	EWX	Bastrop	37 min
Apr 19, 4:18 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	EWX	Fayette	27 min
Apr 19, 4:31 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	EWX	Lee	14 min
Apr 19, 4:43 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	EWX	Fayette	32 min
Apr 19, 4:49 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	EWX	Lee	41 min
Apr 19, 5:50 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	EWX	Fayette	40 min
Apr 19, 6:49 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	EWX	Fayette	41 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Texas, 2015 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.