Alert archive / Texas / River Flood Warnings in 2015

River Flood Warning 60, NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX

May 25, 2015Bastrop County, Fayette County, Texas

NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX issued this river flood warning at May 25, 2015, 8:59 PM CDT for Bastrop County, Fayette County, Texas. It took effect at May 25, 2015, 10:30 PM CDT. It was in force for 57 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 25, 2015, 8:59 PM CDT (01:59 UTC)
In effect from
May 25, 2015, 10:30 PM CDT
Expired
May 28, 2015, 7:00 AM CDT
In force
57 hr
Issued by
NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
Moderate

Counties Bastrop County, TX, Fayette County, TX

The radar

The Ft Hood radar (KGRK), 88 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 01:59 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Colorado River (TX) near Smithville (SMIT2). The gauge peaked at 29.68 ft at May 26, 2015, 10:00 PM CDT.

actionminormoderatemajor10203005/2605/2705/2805/29
Action stage
10 ft
Minor stage
20 ft
Moderate stage
23 ft
Major stage
28 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 08159500, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

135 
WGUS44 KEWX 260159
FLWEWX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
859 PM CDT MON MAY 25 2015

...The National Weather Service in Austin/San Antonio has issued 
 a flood warning for the... 

  Barton Creek...Colorado River...Llano River...Onion Creek...Pedernales River 
  
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

All persons with interests along the river should monitor 
the latest forecasts, and be prepared to take necessary 
precautions to protect life and property. 
 
River stage forecasts are based on observed rainfall along with 
predicted rain for the next 12 hours. If actual rainfall varies 
from forecast values, forecast river stages will vary. 
 
Do not drive automobiles through flooded areas. Remember, 18 inches 
of water or less can carry away most vehicles, including trucks. 
 
If you see flood waters or come upon a flooded roadway, remember 
to turn around and do not drown. 
 
For the latest river stages and forecasts visit our web page at 
www.srh.noaa.gov/ewx.

&&

TXC299-260229-
/O.CAN.KEWX.FL.W.0053.000000T0000Z-150526T1247Z/
/LLAT2.1.ER.150525T2106Z.150525T2200Z.150526T0038Z.NO/
859 PM CDT MON MAY 25 2015

* At  8:00 PM Monday the stage was 9.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* No flooding is currently forecast.
  The river level has fallen below flood stage.
  This will be the last forecast for this event.
  
* Impact...At 10.0 feet...Minor lowland flooding can swamp boats in the lower 
  Llano River in Kingsland..
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 11.2 feet on Jul 6 
  2002.

&& 

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:


                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 6AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    Day Time   Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat
 Llano              10   10    9.8   Mon 08 PM   6.4   5.0   4.5   4.1   3.7


&&

LAT...LON 3067 9896 3075 9896 3078 9854 3067 9843
      3060 9841 3071 9858             

$$

TXC031-261509-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0054.000000T0000Z-150526T1509Z/
/JOCT2.1.ER.150525T2242Z.150525T2350Z.150526T0309Z.NO/
859 PM CDT MON MAY 25 2015

The flood warning continues for the Pedernales River At Johnson City.
* until Tuesday morning...or until the warning is cancelled. 
* At  8:00 PM Monday the stage was 14.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 14.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage Monday night.
* Impact...At 17.0 feet...Moderate lowland flooding makes secondary roads, 
  bridges and low crossings very dangerous. Swimmers and recreationists should 
  move from the flood plain downstream in Pedernales Falls State Park. Near the 
  USGS 1:2 year flood..
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 17.7 feet on Nov 17 
  2004.

&& 

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:


                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 6AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    Day Time   Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat
 Johnson City       13   14   14.5   Mon 08 PM  11.8  11.2  11.1  10.9  10.9


&&

LAT...LON 3026 9841 3034 9841 3037 9818 3046 9809
      3041 9802 3031 9812             

$$

TXC453-261404-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0055.000000T0000Z-150526T1404Z/
/ABTT2.1.ER.150525T2136Z.150525T2245Z.150526T0204Z.NO/
859 PM CDT MON MAY 25 2015

The flood warning continues for the Barton Creek at Loop 360.
* until Tuesday morning...or until the warning is cancelled. 
* At  8:00 PM Monday the stage was 8.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* Forecast...The creek level will continue to fall to below flood stage
  Tuesday night.
* Impact...At 8.0 feet...Flow exceeds lowest sections of the banks..

&& 

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:


                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 6AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    Day Time   Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat
 Barton Ck Loop 3    8    8    8.2   Mon 08 PM   6.2   5.2   4.8   4.5   4.4


&&

LAT...LON 3028 9788 3031 9785 3027 9781 3028 9778
      3025 9774 3022 9781             

$$

TXC453-261400-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0058.000000T0000Z-150526T1400Z/
/ACRT2.1.ER.150525T2343Z.150526T0100Z.150526T0200Z.NO/
859 PM CDT MON MAY 25 2015

The flood warning continues for the Colorado River At Austin.
* until Tuesday morning...or until the warning is cancelled. 
* At  8:00 PM Monday the stage was 34.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 33.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river level will begin to fall mid Monday evening and continue
  to fall to below flood stage by early Tuesday morning.
* Impact...At 35.0 feet...Lowest homes and apartments near the Colorado River 
  and the lower part of Onion Creek are threatened. Residents should monitor 
  NOAA All Hazards Weather Radio for developing flood warnings. Livestock can be
  cut off in low areas below Austin. Lowest homes below Austin to Bastrop 
  flood..

&& 

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:


                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 6AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    Day Time   Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat
 Austin             25   33   34.1   Mon 08 PM  22.8  18.0  17.0  15.9  15.0


&&

LAT...LON 3023 9778 3030 9776 3020 9738 3014 9731
      3007 9737 3013 9743             

$$

TXC453-261959-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0056.000000T0000Z-150526T2058Z/
/ATIT2.2.ER.150526T0028Z.150526T0600Z.150526T0858Z.NO/
859 PM CDT MON MAY 25 2015

The flood warning continues for the Onion Creek At Hwy 183.
* until Tuesday afternoon...or until the warning is cancelled. 
* At  8:20 PM Monday the stage was 18.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 24.4 feet by very early
  Tuesday morning. The river will fall below flood stage Tuesday.
* Impact...At 23.0 feet...Moderate lowland flooding is well into the flood 
  plain. Richard Moya Park on Burleson Road is flooded. Water is out of banks 
  near Champions Lane, but no residential structures in neighborhoods along 
  Onion Creek are impacted at this level..
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 23.8 feet on Jun 9 
  1997.

&& 

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:


                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 6AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    Day Time   Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat
 Hwy 183            15   17   18.7   Mon 08 PM   9.5   7.7   6.6   6.4   6.2


&&

LAT...LON 3012 9781 3018 9779 3023 9759 3019 9753


$$

TXC021-261959-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0059.150526T0407Z-150527T1946Z/
/BRTT2.3.ER.150526T0407Z.150526T1200Z.150527T0746Z.NO/
859 PM CDT MON MAY 25 2015

...Forecast flooding INCREASED from Moderate to Major severity... 
The flood warning continues for the Colorado River At Bastrop.
* until Wednesday afternoon...or until the warning is cancelled. 
* At  8:45 PM Monday the stage was 19.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 23.0 feet.
* Major flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river level will rise to near 28.5 feet by Tuesday morning.
  The river will fall below flood stage by early Wednesday morning.
* Impact...At 25.0 feet...Moderate lowland flooding reaches bottomlands above 
  Bastrop near the Colorado River and Piney and Wilbarger Creek confluences. 
  Water begins to enter the city park and officials will close the park..
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 29.5 feet on Jun 14 
  1987.

&& 

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:


                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 6AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    Day Time   Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat
 Bastrop            14   23   19.9   Mon 09 PM  28.5  19.9   8.6   5.9   4.6


&&

LAT...LON 3007 9737 3014 9731 3006 9717 2999 9718


$$

TXC021-149-261959-
/O.NEW.KEWX.FL.W.0060.150526T0330Z-150528T1200Z/
/SMIT2.2.ER.150526T0330Z.150527T0600Z.150528T0000Z.NO/
859 PM CDT MON MAY 25 2015

 The National Weather Service in Austin/San Antonio has issued a 

* Flood Warning for the Colorado River Near Smithville.
* until Thursday morning...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  8:15 PM Monday the stage was 17.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river level will rise to near 24.9 feet by early Wednesday
  morning. The river will fall below flood stage by Wednesday evening.
* Impact...At 25.0 feet...Flow threatens lowest residences five miles upstream 
  at Hidden Valley Estates and three miles upstream at Doty River Estates. Roads
  and bridges near the river flood and are dangerous to motorists..
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 26.5 feet on May 25 
  1975.

&& 

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:


                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 6AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    Day Time   Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat
 Smithville         10   20   17.8   Mon 08 PM  23.8  24.3  12.9   6.7   4.3


&&

LAT...LON 2999 9718 3006 9717 2996 9686 2989 9692


$$

TXC149-261959-
/O.NEW.KEWX.FL.W.0061.150526T0413Z-150528T1912Z/
/LGRT2.2.ER.150526T0413Z.150526T1800Z.150528T0712Z.NO/
859 PM CDT MON MAY 25 2015

 The National Weather Service in Austin/San Antonio has issued a 

* Flood Warning for the Colorado River Above La Grange.
* until Thursday afternoon...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  8:31 PM Monday the stage was 22.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 26.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river level will rise to near 36.7 feet by early Tuesday
  afternoon. The river will fall below flood stage by early Thursday morning.
* Impact...At 37.0 feet...Major flooding of the Colorado River reaches lowest 
  homes in the Fritsch Auf Subdivision on the south bank of the Colorado River 
  in La Grange. Severely flooded roads and bridges near the river make travel 
  and evacuations very dangerous..

&& 

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:


                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 6AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    Day Time   Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat
 La Grange          19   26   22.7   Mon 09 PM  35.8  33.1  23.2  11.9   8.4


&&

LAT...LON 2989 9692 2996 9686 2982 9669 2976 9675


$$
8 follow-up statements
488 
WGUS84 KEWX 260815
FLSEWX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
315 AM CDT TUE MAY 26 2015

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...

  Onion Creek At Hwy 183 AFFECTING Travis County
  Colorado River At Bastrop AFFECTING Bastrop County
  Colorado River Near Smithville AFFECTING Bastrop and Fayette Counties
  Colorado River Above La Grange AFFECTING Fayette County
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

All persons with interests along the river should monitor 
the latest forecasts, and be prepared to take necessary 
precautions to protect life and property. 

River stage forecasts are based on observed rainfall along with 
predicted rain for the next 12 hours. If actual rainfall varies 
from forecast values, forecast river stages will vary. 

Do not drive automobiles through flooded areas. Remember, 18 inches 
of water or less can carry away most vehicles, including trucks. 

If you see flood waters or come upon a flooded roadway, remember 
to turn around and do not drown. 

For the latest river stages and forecasts visit our web page at 
www.srh.noaa.gov/ewx.

&&

TXC453-270034-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0056.000000T0000Z-150527T0034Z/
/ATIT2.1.ER.150526T0028Z.150526T0300Z.150526T1234Z.NO/
315 AM CDT TUE MAY 26 2015

 The flood warning continues for the Onion Creek At Hwy 183.
* At  3:00 AM Tuesday the stage was 18.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...the river will continue to fall to below flood stage by this 
  morning.
* Impact...At 17.0 feet...The 12000 block of Old San Antonio Road upstream may 
  be flooded. Neighborhoods along Onion Creek are not affected..

&&


Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:


                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 6AM 
Location           STG  STG    STG    DAY TIME   Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat
  Hwy 183           15   17   18.2   Tue 03 AM  17.5   9.4   8.0   7.5   7.1


&&

LAT...LON 3012 9781 3018 9779 3023 9759 3019 9753


$$

TXC021-270214-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0059.000000T0000Z-150527T2143Z/
/BRTT2.3.ER.150526T1001Z.150527T0000Z.150527T0943Z.NO/
315 AM CDT TUE MAY 26 2015

 The flood warning continues for the Colorado River At Bastrop.
* At  3:00 AM Tuesday the stage was 22.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 23.0 feet.
* Major flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...rise above flood stage by early this morning and continue to rise 
  to near 28.2 feet by this evening. The riverwill fall below flood stage by 
  early tomorrow.
* Impact...At 28.0 feet...Major flooding reaches lowest homes downstream above 
  Smithville in the Doty River, Pecan Shores, and Hidden Valley Estate 
  subdivisions. Low roads and bridges near the river flood and are very 
  dangerous to motorists..

&&


Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:


                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 6AM 
Location           STG  STG    STG    DAY TIME   Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat
  Bastrop           14   23   22.1   Tue 03 AM  23.9  20.3   8.9   6.2   4.8


&&

LAT...LON 3007 9737 3014 9731 3006 9717 2999 9718


$$

TXC021-149-270214-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0060.000000T0000Z-150528T1357Z/
/SMIT2.2.ER.150526T0321Z.150527T0000Z.150528T0157Z.NO/
315 AM CDT TUE MAY 26 2015

 The flood warning continues for the Colorado River Near Smithville.
* At  3:00 AM Tuesday the stage was 23.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...the river will continue rising to near 27.6 feet by this evening. 
  The river will fall below flood stage tomorrow evening.
* Impact...At 28.0 feet...Major flooding inundates homes five miles upstream in 
  Hidden Valley Estates, three miles upstream in Doty River Estates, one mile 
  upstream in Pecan Shores Estates just above Smithville and in Kirtley below 
  Smithville..

&&


Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:


                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 6AM 
Location           STG  STG    STG    DAY TIME   Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat
  Smithville        10   20   23.3   Tue 03 AM  25.4  24.2  12.6   7.2   4.9


&&

LAT...LON 2999 9718 3006 9717 2996 9686 2989 9692


$$

TXC149-270214-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0061.000000T0000Z-150528T2226Z/
/LGRT2.2.ER.150526T0802Z.150527T0000Z.150528T1026Z.NO/
315 AM CDT TUE MAY 26 2015

 The flood warning continues for the Colorado River Above La Grange.
* At  3:00 AM Tuesday the stage was 26.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 26.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...rise above flood stage by early this morning and continue to rise 
  to near 36.5 feet by this evening. The riverwill fall below flood stage by 
  Thursday morning.
* Impact...At 37.0 feet...Major flooding of the Colorado River reaches lowest 
  homes in the Fritsch Auf Subdivision on the south bank of the Colorado River 
  in La Grange. Severely flooded roads and bridges near the river make travel 
  and evacuations very dangerous..

&&


Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:


                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 6AM 
Location           STG  STG    STG    DAY TIME   Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat
  La Grange         19   26   26.0   Tue 03 AM  27.9  34.0  24.6  12.5   9.0


&&

LAT...LON 2989 9692 2996 9686 2982 9669 2976 9675


$$
129 
WGUS84 KEWX 261409
FLSEWX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
909 AM CDT TUE MAY 26 2015

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...

  Colorado River At Bastrop AFFECTING Bastrop County
  
  Colorado River Near Smithville AFFECTING Bastrop and Fayette Counties
  
  Colorado River Above La Grange AFFECTING Fayette County
  
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

All persons with interests along the river should monitor 
the latest forecasts, and be prepared to take necessary 
precautions to protect life and property. 

River stage forecasts are based on observed rainfall along with 
predicted rain for the next 12 hours. If actual rainfall varies 
from forecast values, forecast river stages will vary. 

Do not drive automobiles through flooded areas. Remember, 18 inches 
of water or less can carry away most vehicles, including trucks. 

If you see flood waters or come upon a flooded roadway, remember 
to turn around and do not drown. 

For the latest river stages and forecasts visit our web page at 
www.srh.noaa.gov/ewx.

&&

TXC021-270809-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0059.000000T0000Z-150528T0209Z/
/BRTT2.3.ER.150526T1023Z.150527T0600Z.150527T1409Z.NO/
909 AM CDT TUE MAY 26 2015

 The flood warning continues for
  the Colorado River At Bastrop.
* At  8:45 AM Tuesday the stage was 25.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 23.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Major flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...the river will continue rising to near 28.0 feet by after midnight 
  tomorrow. The river will fall below flood stage tomorrow late morning.
* Impact...At 28.0 feet...Major flooding reaches lowest homes downstream above 
  Smithville in the Doty River, Pecan Shores, and Hidden Valley Estate 
  subdivisions. Low roads and bridges near the river flood and are very 
  dangerous to motorists..

&& 

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 7AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    Day Time   Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun
 Bastrop            14   23   25.8   Tue  9 AM  25.7   9.0   5.9   4.3   3.5


&&

LAT...LON 3007 9737 3014 9731 3006 9717 2999 9718


$$

TXC021-149-270809-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0060.000000T0000Z-150528T1831Z/
/SMIT2.3.ER.150526T0321Z.150526T0705Z.150528T0631Z.NR/
909 AM CDT TUE MAY 26 2015

 The flood warning continues for
  the Colorado River Near Smithville.
* At  9:00 AM Tuesday the stage was 26.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Major flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...the river will continue rising to near 28.5 feet by this evening. 
  The river will fall below flood stage early Thursday morning.
* Impact...At 28.0 feet...Major flooding inundates homes five miles upstream in 
  Hidden Valley Estates, three miles upstream in Doty River Estates, one mile 
  upstream in Pecan Shores Estates just above Smithville and in Kirtley below 
  Smithville..

&& 

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 7AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    Day Time   Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun
 Smithville         10   20   26.0   Tue  9 AM  25.9  13.8   7.2   4.7   3.2


&&

LAT...LON 2999 9718 3006 9717 2996 9686 2989 9692


$$

TXC149-270809-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0061.000000T0000Z-150529T0400Z/
/LGRT2.3.ER.150526T0801Z.150527T0600Z.150528T1600Z.NO/
909 AM CDT TUE MAY 26 2015

 The flood warning continues for
  the Colorado River Above La Grange.
* At  9:01 AM Tuesday the stage was 30.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 26.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Major flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...the river will continue rising to near 37.2 feet by after midnight 
  tomorrow. The river will fall below flood stage late Thursday morning.
* Impact...At 37.0 feet...Major flooding of the Colorado River reaches lowest 
  homes in the Fritsch Auf Subdivision on the south bank of the Colorado River 
  in La Grange. Severely flooded roads and bridges near the river make travel 
  and evacuations very dangerous..

&& 

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 7AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    Day Time   Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun
 La Grange          19   26   30.4   Tue  9 AM  37.1  31.4  11.4   9.1   7.2


&&

LAT...LON 2989 9692 2996 9686 2982 9669 2976 9675


$$
828 
WGUS84 KEWX 261848
FLSEWX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
148 PM CDT TUE MAY 26 2015

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...

  Colorado River Near Smithville AFFECTING Bastrop and Fayette Counties
  
  Colorado River Above La Grange AFFECTING Fayette County
  
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

All persons with interests along the river should monitor 
the latest forecasts, and be prepared to take necessary 
precautions to protect life and property. 

River stage forecasts are based on observed rainfall along with 
predicted rain for the next 12 hours. If actual rainfall varies 
from forecast values, forecast river stages will vary. 

Do not drive automobiles through flooded areas. Remember, 18 inches 
of water or less can carry away most vehicles, including trucks. 

If you see flood waters or come upon a flooded roadway, remember 
to turn around and do not drown. 

For the latest river stages and forecasts visit our web page at 
www.srh.noaa.gov/ewx.

&&

TXC021-149-271248-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0060.000000T0000Z-150528T1916Z/
/SMIT2.3.ER.150526T0321Z.150526T0705Z.150528T0716Z.NR/
148 PM CDT TUE MAY 26 2015

 The flood warning continues for
  the Colorado River Near Smithville.
* At  1:40 PM Tuesday the stage was 27.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Major flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...the river will continue rising to near 28.6 feet by this evening. 
  The river will fall below flood stage early Thursday morning.
* Impact...At 28.0 feet...Major flooding inundates homes five miles upstream in 
  Hidden Valley Estates, three miles upstream in Doty River Estates, one mile 
  upstream in Pecan Shores Estates just above Smithville and in Kirtley below 
  Smithville..

&& 

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 7AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    Day Time   Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun
 Smithville         10   20   27.8   Tue  2 PM  27.2  14.1   7.2   4.8   3.5


&&

LAT...LON 2999 9718 3006 9717 2996 9686 2989 9692


$$

TXC149-271248-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0061.000000T0000Z-150529T0444Z/
/LGRT2.3.ER.150526T0801Z.150528T0600Z.150528T1644Z.NO/
148 PM CDT TUE MAY 26 2015

 The flood warning continues for
  the Colorado River Above La Grange.
* At  1:31 PM Tuesday the stage was 33.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 26.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Major flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...the river will continue rising to near 37.8 feet by early Thursday 
  morning. The river will fall below flood stage late Thursday morning.
* Impact...At 37.0 feet...Major flooding of the Colorado River reaches lowest 
  homes in the Fritsch Auf Subdivision on the south bank of the Colorado River 
  in La Grange. Severely flooded roads and bridges near the river make travel 
  and evacuations very dangerous..

&& 

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 7AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    Day Time   Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun
 La Grange          19   26   33.1   Tue  2 PM  37.0  33.1  12.9   8.7   7.1


&&

LAT...LON 2989 9692 2996 9686 2982 9669 2976 9675


$$
271 
WGUS84 KEWX 262051
FLSEWX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
351 PM CDT TUE MAY 26 2015

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Texas..
  Colorado River Near Smithville Affecting Bastrop and Fayette Counties
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

All persons with interests along the river should monitor 
the latest forecasts, and be prepared to take necessary 
precautions to protect life and property. 

River stage forecasts are based on observed rainfall along with 
predicted rain for the next 12 hours. If actual rainfall varies 
from forecast values, forecast river stages will vary. 

Do not drive automobiles through flooded areas. Remember, 18 inches 
of water or less can carry away most vehicles, including trucks. 

If you see flood waters or come upon a flooded roadway, remember 
to turn around and do not drown. 

For the latest river stages and forecasts visit our web page at 
www.srh.noaa.gov/ewx.

&&

TXC021-149-271451-
/O.CON.KEWX.FL.W.0060.000000T0000Z-150528T1916Z/
/SMIT2.3.ER.150526T0321Z.150526T0705Z.150528T0716Z.NR/
351 PM CDT TUE MAY 26 2015

The flood warning continues for the Colorado River Near Smithville.
* At  3:25 PM Tuesday the stage was 28.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* MAJOR flooding is occurring and MAJOR flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river level will rise to around 29.1 feet by early Tuesday
  evening. The level will fall slightly just below major flood category during
  the morning hours on Wednesday...then rise to crest again right at the major
  flood stage level of 28 feet by around 7 PM Wednesday. The level is then
  expected to fall below flood stage early Thursday morning.
* Impact...At 30.0 feet...Major flooding inundates homes five miles upstream in 
  Hidden Valley Estates, three miles upstream in Doty River Estates, one mile 
  upstream in Pecan Shores Estates just above Smithville and in Kirtley below 
  Smithville..

&& 

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 7AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    Day Time   Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun
 Smithville         10   20   28.4   Tue 03 PM  27.2  14.1   7.2   4.8   3.5


&&

LAT...LON 2999 9718 3006 9717 2996 9686 2989 9692


$$
517 
WGUS84 KEWX 270149
FLSEWX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
849 PM CDT TUE MAY 26 2015

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...

  Colorado River At Bastrop Affecting Bastrop County
  Colorado River Near Smithville Affecting Bastrop and Fayette Counties
  Colorado River Above La Grange Affecting Fayette County
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

All persons with interests along the river should monitor 
the latest forecasts, and be prepared to take necessary 
precautions to protect life and property. 

River stage forecasts are based on observed rainfall along with 
predicted rain for the next 12 hours. If actual rainfall varies 
from forecast values, forecast river stages will vary. 

Do not drive automobiles through flooded areas. Remember, 18 inches 
of water or less can carry away most vehicles, including trucks. 

If you see flood waters or come upon a flooded roadway, remember 
to turn around and do not drown. 

For the latest river stages and forecasts visit our web page at 
www.srh.noaa.gov/ewx.

&&

TXC021-271949-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0059.000000T0000Z-150528T0347Z/
/BRTT2.3.ER.150526T1023Z.150527T0600Z.150527T1547Z.NO/
849 PM CDT TUE MAY 26 2015

 The flood warning continues for the Colorado River At Bastrop.
* At  8:00 PM Tuesday the stage was 31.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 23.0 feet.
* Major flooding is occurring and Major flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river level will rise to around 31.8 feet by very early Wednesday
  morning then begin falling. The river will fall below flood stage late Wednesday
  morning.
* Impact...At 31.0 feet...Disastrous flooding reaches many homes between Bastrop
  and Smithville in the Doty River, Hidden Valley and Pecan Shores subdivisions.
  Roads and bridges in the flood plain are very dangerous. Livestock should be 
  moved from the flood plain.

&& 

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:


                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 6AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    Day Time   Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun
 Bastrop            14   23   31.0   Tue 08 PM  30.0   9.2   5.9   4.4   3.7


&&

LAT...LON 3007 9737 3014 9731 3006 9717 2999 9718


$$

TXC021-149-271949-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0060.000000T0000Z-150528T1952Z/
/SMIT2.3.ER.150526T0321Z.150526T0705Z.150528T0752Z.NR/
849 PM CDT TUE MAY 26 2015

 The flood warning continues for the Colorado River Near Smithville.
* At  8:25 PM Tuesday the stage was 29.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Major flooding is occurring and Major flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river level will rise to crest near 30.1 feet in the early
  morning hours on Wednesday. The river level will fall below flood stage early
  Thursday morning.
* Impact...At 30.0 feet...Major flooding inundates homes five miles upstream in 
  Hidden Valley Estates, three miles upstream in Doty River Estates, one mile 
  upstream in Pecan Shores Estates just above Smithville and in Kirtley below 
  Smithville..

&& 

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:


                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 6AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    Day Time   Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun
 Smithville         10   20   29.6   Tue 08 PM  29.8  14.5   7.1   4.7   3.2


&&

LAT...LON 2999 9718 3006 9717 2996 9686 2989 9692


$$

TXC149-271949-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0061.000000T0000Z-150529T0512Z/
/LGRT2.3.ER.150526T0801Z.150527T1800Z.150528T1712Z.NO/
849 PM CDT TUE MAY 26 2015

 The flood warning continues for the Colorado River Above La Grange.
* At  8:31 PM Tuesday the stage was 34.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 26.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Major flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river level will rise to crest near 39.5 feet by early
  afternoon on Wednesday. This is about a foot and a half above the previous
  forecast crest. The river level is expected to fall below flood stage Thursday
  early afternoon.
* Impact...At 40.0 feet...The lowest sites of a trailer park in La Grange in the
  northwest quadrant of Highway 71 and the Colorado river are threatened. Lowest
  homes in the Fritsch Auf subdivision have several feet of water in them. 
  Severely flooded roads and bridges near the river make travel and evacuations 
  dangerous..

&& 

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:


                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 6AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    Day Time   Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun
 La Grange          19   26   34.8   Tue 09 PM  38.9  33.8  12.8   8.7   6.6


&&

LAT...LON 2989 9692 2996 9686 2982 9669 2976 9675


$$
914 
WGUS84 KEWX 271346
FLSEWX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
846 AM CDT WED MAY 27 2015

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...

  Colorado River At Bastrop Affecting Bastrop County
  Colorado River Near Smithville Affecting Bastrop and Fayette Counties
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

All persons with interests along the river should monitor 
the latest forecasts, and be prepared to take necessary 
precautions to protect life and property. 

River stage forecasts are based on observed rainfall along with 
predicted rain for the next 12 hours. If actual rainfall varies 
from forecast values, forecast river stages will vary. 

Do not drive automobiles through flooded areas. Remember, 18 inches 
of water or less can carry away most vehicles, including trucks. 

If you see flood waters or come upon a flooded roadway, remember 
to turn around and do not drown. 

For the latest river stages and forecasts visit our web page at 
www.srh.noaa.gov/ewx.

&&

TXC021-280228-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0059.000000T0000Z-150528T0228Z/
/BRTT2.3.ER.150526T1023Z.150527T0000Z.150527T1428Z.NO/
846 AM CDT WED MAY 27 2015

 The flood warning continues for
  the Colorado River At Bastrop.
* At  8:00 AM Wednesday the stage was 24.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 23.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by early 
  this afternoon.
* Impact...At 25.0 feet...Moderate lowland flooding reaches bottomlands above 
  Bastrop near the Colorado River and Piney and Wilbarger Creek confluences. 
  Water begins to enter the city park and officials will close the park.

&& 

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 7AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    Day Time   Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun   Mon
 Bastrop            14   23   24.5   Wed 08 AM   9.2   6.9   5.4   4.4   4.1


&&

LAT...LON 3007 9737 3014 9731 3006 9717 2999 9718


$$

TXC021-149-280746-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0060.000000T0000Z-150528T1909Z/
/SMIT2.3.ER.150526T0321Z.150526T0705Z.150528T0709Z.NR/
846 AM CDT WED MAY 27 2015

 The flood warning continues for
  the Colorado River Near Smithville.
* At  8:35 AM Wednesday the stage was 28.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Major flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river has crested and will continue to fall to below flood 
  stage by early Thursday morning.
* Impact...At 28.0 feet...Major flooding inundates homes five miles upstream in 
  Hidden Valley Estates, three miles upstream in Doty River Estates, one mile 
  upstream in Pecan Shores Estates just above Smithville and in Kirtley below 
  Smithville..

&& 

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 7AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    Day Time   Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun   Mon
 Smithville         10   20   28.3   Wed 09 AM  15.0   8.1   5.4   3.8   3.0


&&

LAT...LON 2999 9718 3006 9717 2996 9686 2989 9692


$$
104 
WGUS84 KEWX 271934
FLSEWX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
234 PM CDT WED MAY 27 2015

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...

  Colorado River Near Smithville Affecting Bastrop and Fayette Counties
  Colorado River Above La Grange Affecting Fayette County
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

All persons with interests along the river should monitor 
the latest forecasts, and be prepared to take necessary 
precautions to protect life and property. 

River stage forecasts are based on observed rainfall along with 
predicted rain for the next 12 hours. If actual rainfall varies 
from forecast values, forecast river stages will vary. 

Do not drive automobiles through flooded areas. Remember, 18 inches 
of water or less can carry away most vehicles, including trucks. 

If you see flood waters or come upon a flooded roadway, remember 
to turn around and do not drown. 

For the latest river stages and forecasts visit our web page at 
www.srh.noaa.gov/ewx.

&&

TXC021-149-281334-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0060.000000T0000Z-150528T1557Z/
/SMIT2.3.ER.150526T0321Z.150526T0705Z.150528T0357Z.NR/
234 PM CDT WED MAY 27 2015

 The flood warning continues for
  the Colorado River Near Smithville.
* At  2:25 PM Wednesday the stage was 25.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by tonight.
* Impact...At 25.0 feet...Flow threatens lowest residences five miles upstream 
  at Hidden Valley Estates and three miles upstream at Doty River Estates. Roads
  and bridges near the river flood and are dangerous to motorists..

&& 

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 7AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    Day Time   Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun   Mon
 Smithville         10   20   25.4   Wed 02 PM  13.5   7.4   5.3   3.9   3.4


&&

LAT...LON 2999 9718 3006 9717 2996 9686 2989 9692


$$

TXC149-281334-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0061.000000T0000Z-150529T1313Z/
/LGRT2.3.ER.150526T0801Z.150528T0000Z.150529T0113Z.NO/
234 PM CDT WED MAY 27 2015

 The flood warning continues for
  the Colorado River Above La Grange.
* At  2:25 PM Wednesday the stage was 37.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 26.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Major flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 37.6 feet by this evening. 
  The river will fall below flood stage tomorrow evening.
* Impact...At 37.0 feet...Major flooding of the Colorado River reaches lowest 
  homes in the Fritsch Auf Subdivision on the south bank of the Colorado River 
  in La Grange. Severely flooded roads and bridges near the river make travel 
  and evacuations very dangerous..

&& 

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 7AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    Day Time   Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun   Mon
 La Grange          19   26   37.0   Wed 02 PM  36.1  15.3   9.8   7.6   6.3


&&

LAT...LON 2989 9692 2996 9686 2982 9669 2976 9675


$$
103 
WGUS84 KEWX 280324
FLSEWX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
1024 PM CDT WED MAY 27 2015

...The flood warning is cancelled for the following rivers in Texas...

  Colorado River Near Smithville Affecting Bastrop and Fayette Counties
  
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

All persons with interests along the river should monitor 
the latest forecasts, and be prepared to take necessary 
precautions to protect life and property. 

River stage forecasts are based on observed rainfall along with 
predicted rain for the next 12 hours. If actual rainfall varies 
from forecast values, forecast river stages will vary. 

Do not drive automobiles through flooded areas. Remember, 18 inches 
of water or less can carry away most vehicles, including trucks. 

If you see flood waters or come upon a flooded roadway, remember 
to turn around and do not drown. 

For the latest river stages and forecasts visit our web page at 
www.srh.noaa.gov/ewx.

&&

TXC021-149-280354-
/O.CAN.KEWX.FL.W.0060.000000T0000Z-150528T1557Z/
/SMIT2.3.ER.150526T0321Z.150526T0705Z.150528T0216Z.NR/
1024 PM CDT WED MAY 27 2015

The flood warning is cancelled for
  the Colorado River Near Smithville.
* At 10:10 PM Wednesday the stage was 19.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to 6.3 feet by Friday morning.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet...Minor lowland flooding reaches secondary roads and low
  water crossings near the river.

&& 

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 6AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    Day Time   Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun   Mon
 Smithville         10   20   19.2   Wed 10 PM  13.2   6.3   4.6   3.5   3.3


&&

LAT...LON 2999 9718 3006 9717 2996 9686 2989 9692


$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at May 25, 7:17 PM CDT, 1 hour 42 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 25, 7:17 PM CDT, 1 hour 42 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
717 PM CDT MON MAY 25 2015

.AVIATION.../00Z TAFS/
STORMS HAVE CLEARED ALL TAF SITES...BUT WILL INCLUDE VCTS THROUGH
01Z FOR SAT/SSF/AUS IN CASE BACKBUILDING STORMS PRODUCE A ROGUE
LIGHTNING STRIKE. A MESO LOW HAS FORMED BEHIND THIS LINE...WHICH
WILL CAUSE VARIABLE WINDS BELOW 10 KTS AT SAT/SSF/AUS FOR THE NEXT
FEW HOURS...WILL HANDLE THIS WITH AMENDMENTS IF THEY INCREASE
ABOVE 10 KTS. DRY AIR EVIDENT ON WV IMAGERY WILL HELP DRY OUT THE
MID AND UPPER LEVELS...BUT MOIST LOW LEVEL SE FLOW WILL ALLOW VFR
CIGS TO LOWER TO IFR BY 7Z AT SAT/SSF/AUS AND MVFR BY 9Z AT DRT.
MODEL GUIDANCE SUGGESTS LIFR CIGS COULD DEVELOP BETWEEN 10-14Z AT
SAT/SSF/AUS...BUT WILL REEVALUATE THIS WITH THE 06Z TAF PACKAGE.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 447 PM CDT MON MAY 25 2015/

..SIGNIFICANT FLASH FLOODING ONGOING ACROSS THE NORTHERN AND
CENTRAL PARTS OF SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS...

SHORT TERM (TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY)...
A STRONG NEGATIVELY TILTED UPPER LEVEL TROUGH HAS CAUSED A
SIGNIFICANT SEVERE WEATHER EVENT THAT HAS ALREADY PRODUCED A FEW
TORNADOES IN THE HILL COUNTRY AND WIDESPREAD FLASH FLOODING IN THE
HILL COUNTRY AND I-35 CORRIDOR IS ONGOING THIS AFTERNOON. A FLASH
FLOOD EMERGENCY HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED FOR EASTERN WILLIAMSON AND
TRAVIS COUNTIES AFTER 3 TO 5 INCHES OF RAIN FELL IN TWO HOURS. THE
PRIMARY THREAT FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS WILL CONTINUE TO BE
SIGNIFICANT FLASH AND RIVER FLOODING...WITH THE LATTER CONTINUING
INTO AT LEAST THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. RAINFALL RATES UP TO 4 INCHES
PER HOUR HAVE OCCURRED THIS AFTERNOON...BUT THESE RATES SHOULD
BEGIN TO DECREASE SLIGHTLY AS THESE STORMS CONTINUE TO MERGE INTO
A LINE OVER THE I-35 CORRIDOR FROM THE SAN ANTONIO METRO AND AREAS
NORTH BEFORE PUSHING EAST ACROSS OUR CWA. DRY AIR MOVING IN FROM
THE WEST EVIDENT ON WV IMAGERY SHOULD CONTINUE TO CAUSE PWAT
VALUES TO DECREASE AND END THE HEAVY RAINFALL THREAT FROM WEST TO
EAST AS WE MOVE INTO THE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT HOURS. THUS...THE
FLASH FLOOD WATCH HAS BEEN CANCELLED FOR OUR WESTERNMOST
COUNTIES...BUT CONTINUES FOR THE VAST MAJORITY OF SOUTH CENTRAL
TEXAS THROUGH 1 AM CDT TUESDAY.

ALTHOUGH SHEAR VALUES HAVE DECREASED SLIGHTLY FROM THE 50-55 KT
SEEN EARLIER THIS AFTERNOON IN THE HILL COUNTRY...HELICITY VALUES
ABOVE 200-300 M^2/S^2 AND LOW LCLS ALONG AND EAST OF I-35 WILL
LIKELY CONTINUE THE TORNADO THREAT FOR THIS AREA FOR AT LEAST THE
NEXT FEW HOURS. TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE WITHIN MORE DISCRETE
CELLS WITHIN THE LINE OF STORMS CURRENTLY CENTERED OVER THE I-35
CORRIDOR NORTH OF SAN ANTONIO AND EXPANDING INTO NE TX AND SE
OK. THUS...A TORNADO WATCH CONTINUES UNTIL 10 PM CDT FOR THE
EASTERN HILL COUNTRY...AND ALL COUNTIES ALONG AND NORTH OF THE
I-10 CORRIDOR AND ALONG AND EAST OF THE I-35 CORRIDOR NORTHEAST OF
THE SAN ANTONIO METRO.

DRY AIR WILL GRACIOUSLY FILL INTO THE ENTIRE CWA BY EARLY TUESDAY
MORNING...BUT ANOTHER WEAK SHORTWAVE ROTATING AROUND THE
PERSISTENT LONGWAVE TROUGH TO OUR WEST MAY TRIGGER ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS TUESDAY AFTERNOON IN THE SERRENIAS DEL BURRO THAT
MOVE INTO THE RIO GRANDE PLAINS. ELSEWHERE...AMPLE BOUNDARY LAYER
AND SOIL MOISTURE WITH DAYTIME TEMPERATURES RISING INTO THE UPPER
80S MAY STILL ALLOW FOR VERY ISOLATED AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS...BUT DRY AIR SHOULD PREVENT DEVELOPMENT. IN
ADDITION...WEAK SHORTWAVE RIDING SHOULD BEGIN TO BUILD IN BY LATE
TUESDAY NIGHT TO LIMIT OUR RAIN CHANCES.

LONG TERM (TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY)...
A BRIEF PERIOD OF SHORTWAVE RIDGING WITH RELATIVELY DRY AIR WILL
CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY...GIVING THE REGION A MUCH NEEDED
BREAK FROM THE HEAVY RAINFALL PATTERN WE HAVE BEEN IN FOR SEVERAL
WEEKS FOR A FEW DAYS. HOWEVER...WILL STILL CARRY ISOLATED
AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FOR WEDNESDAY DUE TO AMPLE
BOUNDARY LAYER MOISTURE AND SOIL MOISTURE WITH HIGHS NEARING 90
DEGREES. ANOTHER UPPER LEVEL TROUGH APPROACHES THE REGION ON
THURSDAY TO BREAK DOWN THIS RIDGE...INCREASING THE COVERAGE OF
AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...PARTICULARLY IN THE RIO
GRANDE PLAINS. MODELS GENERALLY AGREE THAT THE MAIN ENERGY FROM
THIS UPPER LEVEL TROUGH SHOULD REMAIN TO OUR NORTH...BUT ALSO
SUGGEST THAT IT WILL NOT BE VERY PROGRESSIVE AND STICK AROUND
UNTIL AT LEAST SUNDAY. CONSIDERING THAT A FEW WEAK BOUNDARIES MAY
SLIP INTO THE REGION TO PROVIDE AN ADDITIONAL FOCUS FOR
CONVECTION...RAINFALL CHANCES WILL LIKELY CONTINUE THROUGH FRIDAY
AND THE WEEKEND.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AUSTIN CAMP MABRY              81  70  88  73  89 /  80  30  20  20  20
AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT  81  70  88  73  89 /  80  30  20  20  20
NEW BRAUNFELS MUNI AIRPORT     82  71  88  73  89 /  70  30  20  20  20
BURNET MUNI AIRPORT            80  69  87  72  88 /  80  20  20  20  20
DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT           90  71  91  74  91 /  60  10  10  20  20
GEORGETOWN MUNI AIRPORT        80  70  87  71  88 /  80  30  20  20  20
HONDO MUNI AIRPORT             84  72  87  74  89 /  60  10  20  20  20
SAN MARCOS MUNI AIRPORT        81  71  87  73  89 /  70  30  20  20  20
LA GRANGE - FAYETTE REGIONAL   82  70  88  75  90 /  80  50  20  20  20
SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT       83  73  88  74  89 /  70  30  20  20  20
STINSON MUNI AIRPORT           82  73  88  74  89 /  70  30  20  20  20

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 1 AM CDT TUESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
COUNTIES: ATASCOSA...BANDERA...BASTROP...BEXAR...BLANCO...BURNET...
CALDWELL...COMAL...DE WITT...FAYETTE...GILLESPIE...GONZALES...
GUADALUPE...HAYS...KARNES...KENDALL...KERR...LAVACA...LEE...LLANO...
TRAVIS...WILLIAMSON...WILSON.

&&

MESOSCALE/AVIATION...01
SYNOPTIC/GRIDS...99
PUBLIC SERVICE/DATA COLLECTION...33
Hazardous weather outlook, May 25, 5:40 PM CDT, 3 hours 19 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
540 PM CDT MON MAY 25 2015

TXZ171>173-183>194-202>209-217>225-228-262245-
LLANO-BURNET-WILLIAMSON-VAL VERDE-EDWARDS-REAL-KERR-BANDERA-
GILLESPIE-KENDALL-BLANCO-HAYS-TRAVIS-BASTROP-LEE-KINNEY-UVALDE-
MEDINA-BEXAR-COMAL-GUADALUPE-CALDWELL-FAYETTE-MAVERICK-ZAVALA-
FRIO-ATASCOSA-WILSON-KARNES-GONZALES-DE WITT-LAVACA-DIMMIT-
540 PM CDT MON MAY 25 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM CDT TONIGHT...
...TORNADO WATCH UNTIL 10 PM CDT TODAY...

A SIGNIFICANT SEVERE WEATHER EVENT THAT HAS ALREADY PRODUCED
WIDESPREAD FLASH FLOODING...TORNADOES...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN THE
HILL COUNTRY AND I-35 CORRIDOR WILL CONTINUE INTO THE LATE
AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS. THE PRIMARY THREAT WILL CONTINUE TO
BE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL CAUSING FLASH FLOODING AND RIVER
FLOODING...BUT TORNADOES AND DAMAGING WINDS WILL STILL BE POSSIBLE
THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING ALONG AND EAST OF THE I-35 CORRIDOR.
UP TO 7 INCHES OF RAIN HAS FALLEN IN ISOLATED SPOTS WITH
WIDESPREAD 2 TO 5 INCH TOTALS IN THE NORTHERN PARTS OF SOUTH
CENTRAL TEXAS. ADDITIONAL RAIN TOTALS MAINLY EAST OF I-35 ARE
EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM 1 TO 3 INCHES WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OVER 5
INCHES POSSIBLE.

DUE TO THE MULTIPLE WEATHER THREATS AND RIVER FLOODING THREATS
ONGOING DURING THIS MEMORIAL DAY HOLIDAY...IT IS IMPERATIVE TO
STAY AWARE OF THE WEATHER SITUATION. TRAVEL IS HIGHLY DISCOURAGED
DUE TO WIDESPREAD FLASH FLOODING THAT IS NOT JUST CONFINED TO LOW
WATER CROSSINGS. IF YOU ABSOLUTELY MUST TRAVEL...KNOW BEFORE YOU
GO WHAT ROADS MAY BE EXPERIENCING FLOODING AND IF ANY ARE
ENCOUNTERED...TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN. MAKE SURE YOU ARE ABLE TO
RECEIVE WARNINGS FROM YOUR TRUSTED SOURCES VIA
RADIO...TELEVISION...OR MOBILE DEVICE. ENSURE BATTERIES ARE
CHARGED IN DEVICES THAT REQUIRE THEM.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

RIVER FLOODING WILL LIKELY CONTINUE ACROSS MUCH OF SOUTH CENTRAL
TEXAS FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS...CAUSING A SIGNIFICANT IMPACT ON
TRAVEL. ALTHOUGH WE EXPECT A BRIEF LULL IN HEAVY RAINFALL FOR
TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY...ANOTHER UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM MAY BRING
HEAVY RAINFALL TO SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS LATE THURSDAY AND LINGER
THROUGH THE WEEKEND. IT WILL BE UNLIKELY THAT THE AREA WILL BE
ABLE TO IMPROVE SUBSTANTIALLY FROM THE RECENT RAINFALL SO MORE
FLASH FLOODING POTENTIAL WILL EXIST AGAIN LATE THIS WEEK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL BE NEEDED THROUGH THIS EVENING.

In the hours before

Local storm report, May 25, 7:16 PM CDT, 1 hour 43 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
716 PM CDT MON MAY 25 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0716 PM     HEAVY RAIN       12 NE LULING            29.81N  97.51W
05/25/2015  M3.38 INCH       CALDWELL           TX   CO-OP OBSERVER

&&

EVENT NUMBER EWX1500550

CVP
Local storm report, May 25, 7:37 PM CDT, 1 hour 22 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
737 PM CDT MON MAY 25 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0735 PM     FLASH FLOOD      2 E BASTROP             30.11N  97.27W
05/25/2015                   BASTROP            TX   EMERGENCY MNGR

            A 1000 FOOT LONG DAM HOLDING WATER IN A SMALL FISHING
            LAKE RUPTURED AT BASTROP STATE PARK

&&

EVENT NUMBER EWX1500551

CVP
Local storm report, May 25, 8:00 PM CDT, 59 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
800 PM CDT MON MAY 25 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0600 PM     FLASH FLOOD      5 E ROUND ROCK          30.52N  97.59W
05/25/2015                   WILLIAMSON         TX   COCORAHS

            FOREST CREEK GOLF CLUB FLOODED. FOREST CREEK DRIVE
            CLOSED AT THE CLUB HOUSE. NUMBER 9 FAIRWAY UNDER WATER.
            6.67 INCHES OF RAIN FELL IN THE PAST 3.5 HOURS

&&

EVENT NUMBER EWX1500552

CVP
Local storm report, May 25, 8:02 PM CDT, 57 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
802 PM CDT MON MAY 25 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0715 PM     HEAVY RAIN       5 NNE LOCKHART          29.95N  97.64W
05/25/2015  M5.35 INCH       CALDWELL           TX   COCORAHS

            RAIN BEGAN AROUND 2PM AND THE WORST WAS FROM 330 TO
            7PM. 5.35 INCHES TOTAL IN THE PAST 12 HOURS

&&

EVENT NUMBER EWX1500553

CVP
Local storm report, May 25, 8:07 PM CDT, 52 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
807 PM CDT MON MAY 25 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0806 PM     FLASH FLOOD      4 SE WRIGHTSBORO        29.32N  97.51W
05/25/2015                   GONZALES           TX   DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

            FM 1116 CLOSED DUE TO FLOODING

&&

EVENT NUMBER EWX1500554

CVP
Local storm report, May 25, 8:41 PM CDT, 18 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
841 PM CDT MON MAY 25 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0838 PM     FUNNEL CLOUD     4 WSW ECLETO            29.03N  97.81W
05/25/2015                   KARNES             TX   LAW ENFORCEMENT

&&

EVENT NUMBER EWX1500555

CVP

The office that day

Everything else NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 25, 7:14 PM CDTTornado WarningEWXFayette10 min
May 25, 7:21 PM CDTTornado WarningEWXGonzales, Karnes, Wilson24 min
May 25, 7:27 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningEWXTravis19 hr
May 25, 7:27 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningEWXBastrop46 hr
May 25, 7:30 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXDeWitt, Fayette, Gonzales, Karnes, Lavaca, Wilson60 min
May 25, 7:52 PM CDTFlash Flood Warning EmergencyEWXBastrop, Caldwell, Lee, Travis, Williamson4 hr
May 25, 8:10 PM CDTTornado WarningEWXDeWitt, Karnes35 min
May 25, 8:35 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXDeWitt, Gonzales, Lavaca55 min
May 25, 8:36 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningEWXDeWitt, Karnes, Lavaca3 hr
May 25, 8:59 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningEWXFayette71 hr
May 25, 9:03 PM CDTTornado WarningEWXDeWitt, Karnes42 min
May 25, 9:19 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXDeWitt, Karnes56 min
May 25, 9:27 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXDeWitt, Lavaca48 min
May 25, 9:33 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningEWXDeWitt4 days
May 25, 10:16 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementEWXDeWitt44 min
May 25, 11:38 PM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryEWXDeWitt, Karnes, Lavaca3 hr
May 25, 11:54 PM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryEWXBlanco, Comal, Hays, Kendall3 hr
May 26, 12:03 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementEWXHays57 min
May 26, 4:10 AM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryEWXBastrop, Fayette3 hr
May 26, 4:50 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningEWXFayette3 hr

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Texas, 2015Every river flood warning in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.