River Flood Warning 23, NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX

868 
WGUS44 KEWX 240035
FLWEWX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
735 PM CDT SAT MAY 23 2015

...The National Weather Service in Austin/San Antonio has issued 
 a flood warning for the... 

  Medina River 
  
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

All persons with interests along the river should monitor 
the latest forecasts, and be prepared to take necessary 
precautions to protect life and property. 
 
River stage forecasts are based on observed rainfall along with 
predicted rain for the next 12 hours. If actual rainfall varies 
from forecast values, forecast river stages will vary. 
 
Do not drive automobiles through flooded areas. Remember, 18 inches 
of water or less can carry away most vehicles, including trucks. 
 
If you see flood waters or come upon a flooded roadway, remember 
to turn around and do not drown. 
 
For the latest river stages and forecasts visit our web page at 
www.srh.noaa.gov/ewx.

&&

TXC019-241835-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0023.150524T0034Z-150525T1300Z/
/BDAT2.2.ER.150523T2356Z.150524T0500Z.150525T0100Z.NO/
735 PM CDT SAT MAY 23 2015

...Forecast flooding increased from Minor to Moderate severity... 
The flood warning continues for the Medina River At at Bandera.
* until Monday morning...or until the warning is cancelled. 
* At  7:15 PM Saturday the stage was 13.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river level will continue rising to near 17.4 feet by early
  Sunday morning. The river level will fall below flood stage Sunday evening.
* Impact...At 17.0 feet...Moderate lowland flooding threatens the second level 
  of trailer spaces at Camp Jellystone at Highway 173 in Bandera and homes at 
  the upper end of Medina Lake. Lowest trailer sites at Camp Jellystone are 
  under several feet of water..
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 18.3 feet on Dec 21 
  1992.

&& 

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:


                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 6AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    Day Time   Sun   Mon   Tue   Wed   Thu
 at Bandera         10   13   13.9   Sat 07 PM  15.9  11.3  10.3   9.8   9.3

&&

LAT...LON 2969 9908 2975 9908 2971 9893 2956 9891
      2954 9898 2967 9900             

$$

851 
WGUS44 KEWX 240147
FLWEWX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
847 PM CDT SAT MAY 23 2015

...The National Weather Service in Austin/San Antonio has issued 
 a flood warning for the... 

  Medina River 
  
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

All persons with interests along the river should monitor 
the latest forecasts, and be prepared to take necessary 
precautions to protect life and property. 
 
River stage forecasts are based on observed rainfall along with 
predicted rain for the next 12 hours. If actual rainfall varies 
from forecast values, forecast river stages will vary. 
 
Do not drive automobiles through flooded areas. Remember, 18 inches 
of water or less can carry away most vehicles, including trucks. 
 
If you see flood waters or come upon a flooded roadway, remember 
to turn around and do not drown. 
 
For the latest river stages and forecasts visit our web page at 
www.srh.noaa.gov/ewx.

&&

TXC019-241947-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-150525T2030Z/
/BDAT2.3.ER.150523T2356Z.150524T0700Z.150525T0830Z.NO/
847 PM CDT SAT MAY 23 2015

...Forecast flooding increased from Moderate to Major severity... 
The flood warning continues for the Medina River At at Bandera.
* until Monday afternoon...or until the warning is cancelled. 
* At  8:30 PM Saturday the stage was 17.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Major flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river level will continue rising to near 24.2 feet by very
  early Sunday morning. The river level will fall below flood stage Monday morning.
* Impact...At 24.0 feet...Major flooding reaches all of the RV camp sites at 
  Camp Jellystone just below Highway 173 in Bandera. Many secondary and primary 
  roads and bridges near the Medina River are flooded and very dangerous. Lowest
  homes at the upper end of Medina Lake flood, with the severity depending on 
  the Medina Lake level..
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 24.5 feet on Jun 22 
  1997.

&& 

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:


                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 6AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    Day Time   Sun   Mon   Tue   Wed   Thu
 at Bandera         10   13   17.7   Sat 08 PM  20.2  12.4  11.6  11.0  10.3


&&

LAT...LON 2969 9908 2975 9908 2971 9893 2956 9891
      2954 9898 2967 9900             

$$

349 
WGUS84 KEWX 241344
FLSEWX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
844 AM CDT SUN MAY 24 2015

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...

  Medina River At at Bandera AFFECTING Bandera County
  
  San Antonio River Near Elmendorf AFFECTING Bexar and Wilson Counties
  
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

All persons with interests along the river should monitor 
the latest forecasts, and be prepared to take necessary 
precautions to protect life and property. 

River stage forecasts are based on observed rainfall along with 
predicted rain for the next 12 hours. If actual rainfall varies 
from forecast values, forecast river stages will vary. 

Do not drive automobiles through flooded areas. Remember, 18 inches 
of water or less can carry away most vehicles, including trucks. 

If you see flood waters or come upon a flooded roadway, remember 
to turn around and do not drown. 

For the latest river stages and forecasts visit our web page at 
www.srh.noaa.gov/ewx.

&&

TXC019-250744-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-150525T2000Z/
/BDAT2.3.ER.150523T2356Z.150524T0445Z.150525T0800Z.NO/
844 AM CDT SUN MAY 24 2015

 The flood warning continues for
  the Medina River At at Bandera.
* At  8:30 AM Sunday the stage was 18.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...the river will continue rising to near 19.1 feet by late this 
  morning. The river will fall below flood stage early tomorrow.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet...Moderate lowland flooding covers much of Jellystone RV
  park at Highway 173 in Bandera and threatens many homes at the upper end of 
  Medina Lake. Residents of flood prone areas should monitor NOAA Weather Radio 
  for developing heavy rain and flooding and prepare to evacuate as emergency 
  officials assess the threat. Roads and bridges across Bandera County are 
  severely flooded and very dangerous..

&& 

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:


                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 6AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    Day Time   Mon   Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri
 at Bandera         10   13   18.3   Sun  8 AM  19.1  12.4  11.7  11.1  10.5


&&

LAT...LON 2969 9908 2975 9908 2971 9893 2956 9891
      2954 9898 2967 9900             

$$

TXC029-493-250744-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0040.000000T0000Z-150526T0850Z/
/ELMT2.2.ER.150524T0712Z.150525T0000Z.150525T2050Z.NO/
844 AM CDT SUN MAY 24 2015

 The flood warning continues for
  the San Antonio River Near Elmendorf.
* At  8:30 AM Sunday the stage was 44.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 35.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...the river will continue rising to near 46.9 feet by this evening. 
  The river will fall below flood stage tomorrow afternoon.
* Impact...At 48.0 feet...Major flooding near Elmendorf to above Goliad State 
  Park isolates livestock, damages crops and roads, floods oil field tank 
  batteries, pump jacks, irrigation pumps, and any equipment in the flood plain.
  Flooding is widespread..

&& 

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:


                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 6AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    Day Time   Mon   Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri
 Elmendorf          33   35   44.3   Sun  8 AM        40.9  24.6  18.2  16.5


&&

LAT...LON 2919 9838 2926 9835 2920 9817 2899 9804
      2894 9813 2915 9825             

$$

615 
WGUS84 KEWX 250239
FLSEWX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
939 PM CDT SUN MAY 24 2015

...The flood warning is cancelled for the following rivers in Texas...

  Medina River At at Bandera AFFECTING Bandera County
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

All persons with interests along the river should monitor 
the latest forecasts, and be prepared to take necessary 
precautions to protect life and property. 

River stage forecasts are based on observed rainfall along with 
predicted rain for the next 12 hours. If actual rainfall varies 
from forecast values, forecast river stages will vary. 

Do not drive automobiles through flooded areas. Remember, 18 inches 
of water or less can carry away most vehicles, including trucks. 

If you see flood waters or come upon a flooded roadway, remember 
to turn around and do not drown. 

For the latest river stages and forecasts visit our web page at 
www.srh.noaa.gov/ewx.

&&

TXC019-250309-
/O.CAN.KEWX.FL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-150525T2000Z/
/BDAT2.3.ER.150523T2356Z.150524T0445Z.150524T2318Z.NO/
939 PM CDT SUN MAY 24 2015

The flood warning is cancelled for the Medina River At at Bandera.
* At  9:30 PM Sunday the stage was 11.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river level will continue to fall to 9.1 feet by Tuesday morning.
* Impact...At 12.0 feet...Water covers lowest areas of the flood plain with no 
  significant damage. Residents of mobile home parks and the upper end of Medina
  Lake should monitor NOAA Weather Radio for developing flood conditions..

&& 

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:


                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 6AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    Day Time   Mon   Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri
 at Bandera         10   13   11.6   Sun 09 PM  10.4   9.1   8.6   8.1   7.6


&&

LAT...LON 2969 9908 2975 9908 2971 9893 2956 9891
      2954 9898 2967 9900             

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
226 PM CDT SAT MAY 23 2015

.SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT)...
AN ACTIVE AND COMPLEX FORECAST IS SHAPING UP OVER SOUTH CENTRAL
TEXAS THROUGH THE WEEKEND AND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK WITH BOTH
SEVERE WEATHER AND FLASH FLOODING POSSIBLE. FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS
IN EFFECT THROUGH 7 PM ON SUNDAY.

IN ADDITION TO THE SCATTERED SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY
THAT IS ONGOING CURRENTLY ACROSS THE TEXAS HILL COUNTRY AND I-35
CORRIDOR CONVECTION HAS BEGUN ACROSS NORTHERN MEXICO AND THE BIG
BEND REGION. THIS IS THE START OF A LARGE LINEAR MCS THAT ALL OF
THE MESOSCALE MODELS SHOW MOVING ACROSS THE STATE THIS EVENING
INTO EARLY TOMORROW MORNING. THE UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE THAT HAS
BEEN SITTING OVER THE WESTERN UNITED STATES WILL MOVE TO THE EAST
AND NORTHEAST THIS AFTERNOON AND OVERNIGHT PROVIDING THE LIFT FOR
THIS MCS. THERE IS PLENTY OF MOISTURE IN PLACE WITH DEWPOINTS IN
THE LOW 70S AND PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES BETWEEN 1.75 AND 2
INCHES. THERE IS ALSO PLENTY OF INSTABILITY OVER THE AREA WITH
THE MORNING DRT AND CRP SOUNDINGS BOTH HAVING 2000 - 3000 J/KG OF
CAPE. A GOOD AMOUNT OF LOW LEVEL AND BULK SHEAR IS ALSO EVIDENT
ACCORDING TO THE MODELS. THIS MEANS THAT ALL OF THE INGREDIENTS
ARE IN PLACE FOR BOTH HEAVY RAINFALL AND SEVERE WEATHER THIS
AFTERNOON THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS INTO TOMORROW. WILL
BREAKDOWN THE THREATS AND THE TIME PERIODS IN THE REST OF THE
SHORT TERM AFD.

FOR TONIGHT...AS ALREADY DISCUSSED...THE MESOSCALE MODELS DEVELOP
A COMPLEX OF STORMS THAT WILL SWEEP ACROSS THE STATE OVERNIGHT
TONIGHT. TIMING FOR THIS CONTINUES TO GET EARLIER. THE NSSL WRF
AND ARM BOTH HAVE THE LINE APPROACHING THE I-35 CORRIDOR BY THE
LATE AFTERNOON. THE TEXAS TECH WRF AND HRRR AND NMM ALL SAY THAT
THE LINE WILL BE MOVING THROUGH THE HILL COUNTRY AND APPROACHING
THE I-35 CORRIDOR BY 9PM AND SLOWLY PUSHING EAST THROUGH THE EARLY
MORNING HOURS. BASED ON CURRENT SATELLITE TRENDS THE EARLIER
TIMING IS BEGINNING TO LOOK MORE LIKELY. MODELS ARE STILL HOLDING
ONTO 1-3 INCH RAINFALL TOTALS WITH THIS INITIAL WAVE OF
CONVECTION. THIS...ON TOP OF ADDITIONAL RAINS THAT HAVE ALREADY
FALLEN TODAY...AND THE FACT THAT SOILS ARE SATURATED WILL LEAD TO
THE THREAT OF BOTH RIVER FLOODING AND FLASH FLOODING. THE SEVERE
WEATHER THREAT WILL ALSO BE PRESENT. WHILE CONVECTION GROUPING
TOGETHER LIKE THIS TYPICAL MEANS THE THREAT FOR SEVERE WEATHER IS
A LITTLE BIT LESS...CONVECTIVE PARAMETERS ARE VERY FAVORABLE. THE
MAIN CONCERNS WILL BE FIRST DAMAGING THUNDERSTORM WINDS WITHIN
BOWING SECTIONS OF THE LINE. THE HRRR ACTUAL SUPPORTS THIS WITH
SEVERAL BOWING SECTIONS BEING SHOWN IN THE MODEL REFLECTIVITY.
THERE IS ALSO SUFFICIENT SURFACE WIND SHEAR AND HELICITY VALUES
TO RESULT IN AN ISOLATED TORNADO THREAT AS WINDS PROFILES TURN
WITH HEIGHT.

DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS IT IS IMPERATIVE THAT THOSE OUT AND
ABOUT FOR THE HOLIDAY WEEKEND...ESPECIALLY THOSE ON LOCAL RIVERS
AND LAKES...MONITOR THE WEATHER AND BE READY TO ACT SHOULD A
WARNING BE ISSUED FOR THEIR AREA. HAVE MULTIPLE WAYS TO RECEIVE
WEATHER INFORMATION...HAVE A PLAN TO SEEK SHELTER OR GET TO SAFETY
SHOULD SEVERE WEATHER OR FLOODING OCCUR...AND ALWAYS REMEMBER TO
TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.

AS WE GET INTO EARLY SUNDAY MORNING THE LINE WILL CONTINUE TO
PUSH ACROSS THE I-35 CORRIDOR INTO OUR EASTERN COUNTIES WITH
CONTINUED RISK FOR FLASH FLOODING AND SEVERE WEATHER. MODELS NOW
SHOW THE LINE MOVING OUT OF OUR CWA BY 09Z TO 12Z (4 TO 7 AM).
BEHIND THE LINE THE ATMOSPHERE WILL BE SOME WHAT WORKED OVER FROM
THE NIGHT OF STORMS. ALTHOUGH MODEL SOUNDINGS SHOW OVER 3000 J/KG
OF CAPE...SIGNIFICANT INSTABILITY...DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS
ALONG THE I-35 CORRIDOR. THE SAME SOUNDINGS SHOW SIGNIFICANT LOW
AND UPPER LEVEL DRYING OF THE ATMOSPHERE. THIS SHOULD LIMIT SHOWER
AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY SUNDAY AFTERNOON INTO THE OVERNIGHT
HOURS SUNDAYS. MESOSCALE MODELS LIKE THE ARM/NMM/NSSL WRF DO SHOW
SOME ISOLATED ACTIVITY SUNDAY AFTERNOON BUT COVERAGE SHOULD BE
LIMITED.

TO SUMMARIZE THE NEXT 24 HOURS...1 TO 4 INCHES OF RAINFALL ARE
EXPECTED WITH A LINE OF SHOWERS AND STORMS THAT WILL SLOWLY MOVE
ACROSS THE AREA THIS EVENING INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. FLASH FLOOD
WATCH IN EFFECT. THE LINE SHOULD BE PUSHING OUT OF OUR AREA
EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. THE THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WINDS
ALONG WITH AN ISOLATED TORNADO EXIST WITH THE LINE. BY TOMORROW
AFTERNOON ONLY AN ISOLATED SHOWER OR THUNDERSTORM IS EXPECTED
THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND OVERNIGHT HOURS. EVERYONE SHOULD BE
WEATHER AWARE FOR THIS WEEKEND...ESPECIALLY THOSE OUT AND ABOUT ON
AREA RIVERS AND LAKES.

&&

.LONG TERM (MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY)...
THE BREAK FROM THE SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL BE SHORT
LIVED AS ANOTHER UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE APPROACHES ON MONDAY.
THIS DISTURBANCE...CURRENTLY SEEN ON WATER VAPOR ACROSS NORTHERN
CALIFORNIA WILL ROTATE AROUND THE BASE OF THE LARGER UPPER LEVEL
TROUGH AND GIVE SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS ANOTHER SHOT OF RAIN AND
STORMS. MODELS INDICATE THAT THE BEST TIMING FOR ANOTHER WAVE OF
PRECIPITATION WILL BE FROM AROUND LUNCH TIME THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON. MODEL QPF (FROM THE GFS AND ECMWF) FOR THIS TIME PERIOD
SUGGEST ANOTHER 1 TO 2 INCHES POSSIBLE. PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES
REMAIN OVER 1.5 INCHES AS WELL. LATER SHIFTS WOULD POSSIBLE NEED
TO CONSIDER EXTENDING THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH INTO MONDAY AS
CONFIDENCE INCREASES. THE CHANCE FOR SEVERE WEATHER WILL ALSO
RETURN ON MONDAY. SPC HAS THE AREA CURRENTLY BLANKETED IN A DAY 3
SLIGHT RISK. MODEL SOUNDINGS AGAIN SHOW CAPE AND SHEAR VALUES
SUPPORTIVE OF HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS AND ISOLATED TORNADOES. STORM
MODE AND COVERAGE OF STORMS WILL DETERMINE THE OVERALL THREAT OF
TORNADOES AS CHANCES ARE BETTER WITH ISOLATED SUPERCELLS RATHER
THAN WIDESPREAD CONVECTION OR MCS STORM MODES. WILL HAVE TO
MONITOR THE THREAT FOR SEVERE WEATHER MONDAY CLOSELY. STRESSING
AGAIN...ANYONE WITH OUTDOOR PLANS FOR THE HOLIDAY NEEDS TO MAKE
SURE THEY ARE WEATHER AWARE AND HAVE A PLAN TO SEEK SHELTER SHOULD
SEVERE WEATHER DEVELOP.

THE UPPER LEVEL FLOW FOR TUESDAY IS MORE ZONAL WITH SOME SLIGHT
RIDGING FOR WEDNESDAY. THIS WILL BRING ANOTHER REDUCTION IN POP
CHANCES FOR MID-WEEK. BY THE END OF THE WEEK ANOTHER LARGE UPPER
LEVEL TROUGH SETS UP ACROSS THE WEST RETURNING THE AREA TO A
SIMILAR PATTERN THAT WE HAVE BEEN IN FOR THE LAST FEW WEEKS WITH A
LARGE UPPER TROUGH SENDING A SERIES OF DISTURBANCES ACROSS THE
AREA. RAIN CHANCES WILL BE ON THE RISE AGAIN LATE NEXT WEEK INTO
NEXT WEEKEND.

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AUSTIN CAMP MABRY              69  81  70  81  69 /  90  70  30  70  60
AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT  69  82  69  81  68 /  90  70  30  70  60
NEW BRAUNFELS MUNI AIRPORT     68  83  69  81  70 /  90  70  40  70  60
BURNET MUNI AIRPORT            67  81  69  80  67 /  90  70  30  70  40
DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT           68  90  71  89  69 /  60  30  20  50  20
GEORGETOWN MUNI AIRPORT        69  80  69  80  68 /  90  70  30  70  50
HONDO MUNI AIRPORT             68  85  70  83  69 /  90  40  30  70  40
SAN MARCOS MUNI AIRPORT        69  82  69  81  69 /  90  70  40  70  60
LA GRANGE - FAYETTE REGIONAL   71  82  71  82  71 /  80  80  60  60  60
SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT       68  84  71  82  71 /  90  60  40  70  50
STINSON MUNI AIRPORT           69  84  71  83  71 /  90  60  40  70  50

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING FOR THE FOLLOWING
COUNTIES: ATASCOSA...BANDERA...BASTROP...BEXAR...BLANCO...BURNET...
CALDWELL...COMAL...DE WITT...DIMMIT...EDWARDS...FAYETTE...FRIO...
GILLESPIE...GONZALES...GUADALUPE...HAYS...KARNES...KENDALL...KERR...
KINNEY...LAVACA...LEE...LLANO...MAVERICK...MEDINA...REAL...TRAVIS...
UVALDE...VAL VERDE...WILLIAMSON...WILSON...ZAVALA.

&&

MESOSCALE/AVIATION...10
SYNOPTIC/GRIDS...TREADWAY
PUBLIC SERVICE/DATA COLLECTION...33

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
323 PM CDT SAT MAY 23 2015

TXZ171>173-186>194-204>209-219>225-242030-
LLANO-BURNET-WILLIAMSON-KERR-BANDERA-GILLESPIE-KENDALL-BLANCO-
HAYS-TRAVIS-BASTROP-LEE-MEDINA-BEXAR-COMAL-GUADALUPE-CALDWELL-
FAYETTE-FRIO-ATASCOSA-WILSON-KARNES-GONZALES-DE WITT-LAVACA-
323 PM CDT SAT MAY 23 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS
TODAY AND TONIGHT. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS HAVE ALREADY DEVELOPED
OVER WESTERN PARTS OF SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS EARLY TODAY. THE THREAT
FOR HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BECOME WIDESPREAD LATER TODAY AS A LARGE
THUNDERSTORM COMPLEX DEVELOPS OVER TEXAS. WITH NEARLY SATURATED
SOIL CONDITIONS ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA...THERE WILL BE A HIGH
THREAT FOR FLASH FLOODING. WHILE THE HEAVIEST RAINS ARE EXPECTED
TO EXTEND FROM TONIGHT INTO SUNDAY...LOCALLY HEAVY DOWNPOURS OF 1
TO 4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE TODAY AND TONIGHT. A FEW AREA STREAMS AND
RIVERS MAY EXPERIENCE NEW RISES...ESPECIALLY OVER THE SOUTHERN
EDWARDS PLATEAU AND HILL COUNTRY THROUGH TONIGHT.

IN ADDITION TO THE FLASH FLOOD AND POSSIBLE IMPACTS ON RIVERS...
CONDITIONS ALONG THE LEAD EDGE OF THE STORM COMPLEX WILL BE ALSO
FAVORABLE FOR A FEW SEVERE STORMS...WITH DAMAGING WINDS AND
ISOLATED BRIEF TORNADOES POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH WILL CONTINUE FOR ALL OF SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS
THROUGH 7 PM CDT SUNDAY EVENING.

WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAINS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE INTO THE DAYTIME
HOURS SUNDAY WITH DECREASING POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAINFALL SUNDAY
EVENING. THE CONTINUED HEAVY RAIN THREAT INTO SUNDAY...MEANS ALL
OF THE RIVERS AND STREAMS OF SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS HAVE A POTENTIAL
TO SEE SIGNIFICANT RISES. SOME RIVERS REMAIN SWOLLEN FROM RECENT
RAINFALL. THE THREAT FOR SEVERE WINDS AND BRIEF TORNADOES WILL
ALSO CONTINUE SUNDAY...MAINLY ALONG THE LEADING EDGE OF THE
THUNDERSTORM COMPLEX.

NEW EPISODES OF HEAVY RAIN COULD OCCUR AGAIN MONDAY INTO EARLY
TUESDAY MORNING...ESPECIALLY EAST OF I-35. THE STORMS MONDAY
AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE MONDAY NIGHT WILL ALSO HAVE THE POTENTIAL
TO PRODUCE LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...AND ISOLATED TORNADOES.

WIDESPREAD RAINS FOR THE FIVE DAY PERIOD ENDING TUESDAY WILL
RANGE FROM 1 TO 4 INCHES...WHILE SOME LOCATIONS COULD RECEIVING UP
TO 6 INCHES.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED THROUGH THE HOLIDAY WEEKEND.

TXZ183>185-202-203-217-218-228-242030-
VAL VERDE-EDWARDS-REAL-KINNEY-UVALDE-MAVERICK-ZAVALA-DIMMIT-
323 PM CDT SAT MAY 23 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE RIO GRANDE PLAINS THROUGH 9
PM SATURDAY EVENING.

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS
TODAY AND TONIGHT. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS HAVE ALREADY DEVELOPED
OVER WESTERN PARTS OF SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS EARLY TODAY. THE THREAT
FOR HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BECOME WIDESPREAD LATER TODAY AS A LARGE
THUNDERSTORM COMPLEX DEVELOPS OVER TEXAS. WITH NEARLY SATURATED
SOIL CONDITIONS ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA...THERE WILL BE A HIGH
THREAT FOR FLASH FLOODING. WHILE THE HEAVIEST RAINS ARE EXPECTED
TO EXTEND FROM TONIGHT INTO SUNDAY...LOCALLY HEAVY DOWNPOURS OF 1
TO 4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE TODAY AND TONIGHT. A FEW AREA STREAMS AND
RIVERS MAY EXPERIENCE NEW RISES...ESPECIALLY OVER THE SOUTHERN
EDWARDS PLATEAU AND HILL COUNTRY THROUGH TONIGHT.

IN ADDITION TO THE FLASH FLOOD AND POSSIBLE IMPACTS ON RIVERS...
CONDITIONS ALONG THE LEAD EDGE OF THE STORM COMPLEX WILL BE ALSO
FAVORABLE FOR A FEW SEVERE STORMS...WITH DAMAGING WINDS AND
ISOLATED BRIEF TORNADOES POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH WILL CONTINUE FOR ALL OF SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS
THROUGH 7 PM CDT SUNDAY EVENING.

WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAINS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE INTO THE DAYTIME
HOURS SUNDAY WITH DECREASING POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAINFALL SUNDAY
EVENING. THE CONTINUED HEAVY RAIN THREAT INTO SUNDAY...MEANS ALL
OF THE RIVERS AND STREAMS OF SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS HAVE A POTENTIAL
TO SEE SIGNIFICANT RISES. SOME RIVERS REMAIN SWOLLEN FROM RECENT
RAINFALL. THE THREAT FOR SEVERE WINDS AND BRIEF TORNADOES WILL
ALSO CONTINUE SUNDAY...MAINLY ALONG THE LEADING EDGE OF THE
THUNDERSTORM COMPLEX.

NEW EPISODES OF HEAVY RAIN COULD OCCUR AGAIN MONDAY INTO EARLY
TUESDAY MORNING...ESPECIALLY EAST OF I-35. THE STORMS MONDAY
AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE MONDAY NIGHT WILL ALSO HAVE THE POTENTIAL
TO PRODUCE LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...AND ISOLATED TORNADOES.

WIDESPREAD RAINS FOR THE FIVE DAY PERIOD ENDING TUESDAY WILL
RANGE FROM 1 TO 4 INCHES...WHILE SOME LOCATIONS COULD RECEIVING UP
TO 6 INCHES.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED THROUGH THE HOLIDAY WEEKEND.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
527 PM CDT SAT MAY 23 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0500 PM     FLASH FLOOD      10 NW SABINAL           29.42N  99.59W
05/23/2015                   UVALDE             TX   DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

            WATER CROSSINGS FLOODED ON SH127 BETWEEN SABINAL AND
            CONCAN

&&

EVENT NUMBER EWX1500440

CVP

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
531 PM CDT SAT MAY 23 2015

TXZ203-232330-
UVALDE TX-
531 PM CDT SAT MAY 23 2015

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR UVALDE COUNTY UNTIL 630 PM CDT...

AT 531 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A LINE OF STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 8 MILES NORTH OF SABINAL TO
DABNEY...AND MOVING NORTH AT 20 MPH.

HALF INCH HAIL AND WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THESE STORMS.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
UVALDE...BLEWETT...LAGUNA...CONCAN...KNIPPA...GARNER STATE PARK...
UTOPIA...DABNEY...MONTELL...REAGAN WELLS AND CLINE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS...AND MAY
LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 10 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE
SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.

&&

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM CDT FOR SOUTH CENTRAL
TEXAS.

LAT...LON 2910 10010 2961 10010 2962 9953 2938 9941
      2938 9942
TIME...MOT...LOC 2231Z 160DEG 16KT 2944 9947 2916 10009

ZEITLER

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
534 PM CDT SAT MAY 23 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0524 PM     HEAVY RAIN       6 WNW BLANCO            30.13N  98.52W
05/23/2015  M3.42 INCH       BLANCO             TX   MESONET

            CWOP STATION

&&

EVENT NUMBER EWX1500441

CVP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
541 PM CDT SAT MAY 23 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0540 PM     FLASH FLOOD      SISTERDALE              29.97N  98.73W
05/23/2015                   KENDALL            TX   DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

            LOW WATER CROSSINGS FLOODING ON RM1376 AND RM473

&&

EVENT NUMBER EWX1500442

CVP

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
546 PM CDT SAT MAY 23 2015

TXZ189-190-205-206-232330-
KENDALL TX-BEXAR TX-BLANCO TX-COMAL TX-
546 PM CDT SAT MAY 23 2015

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR CENTRAL COMAL...NORTHEASTERN
KENDALL...SOUTHWESTERN BLANCO AND NORTH CENTRAL BEXAR COUNTIES UNTIL
630 PM CDT...

AT 545 PM CDT...THE PUBLIC REPORTED WINDS GUSTING TO NEAR 50 MPH
WITH A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR BULVERDE...OR 13 MILES SOUTHWEST OF
CANYON LAKE DAM...MOVING NORTH AT 25 MPH.

HALF INCH HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS
STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
CANYON LAKE...BULVERDE...TIMBERWOOD PARK...KENDALIA...GUADALUPE RIVER
STATE PARK...SPRING BRANCH...TWIN SISTERS AND ANHALT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 10 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE
SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.

&&

LAT...LON 3004 9830 3003 9829 2969 9828 2968 9849
      3005 9856 3007 9829
TIME...MOT...LOC 2245Z 175DEG 22KT 2977 9840

AAT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
605 PM CDT SAT MAY 23 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0550 PM     HEAVY RAIN       3 NW BANDERA            29.76N  99.11W
05/23/2015  M3.48 INCH       BANDERA            TX   COCORAHS

&&

EVENT NUMBER EWX1500443

CVP