Flash Flood Warning 141, NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX

849 
WGUS74 KEWX 271329
FFSEWX

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
829 AM CDT SAT JUN 27 2015

TXC053-271500-
/O.CON.KEWX.FF.W.0141.000000T0000Z-150627T1500Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
BURNET TX-
829 AM CDT SAT JUN 27 2015

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 AM CDT FOR
CENTRAL BURNET COUNTY...

AT 826 AM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING 
HEAVY RAIN ACROSS THE WARNED AREA. OVER FOUR INCHES OF RAIN HAVE 
FALLEN JUST EAST OF INKS LAKE STATE PARK. FLASH FLOODING IS EXPECTED 
TO BEGIN SHORTLY. SHOWERS ARE BEGINNING TO DISSIPATE AND WE WILL 
CONTINUE TO MONITOR ANY REDEVELOPMENT.

SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE...
KINGSLAND...BURNET...BERTRAM...BUCHANAN DAM...SHADY GROVE...INKS LAKE
STATE PARK...BRIGGS...JOPPA...WATSON AND MAHOMET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND NOW. ACT QUICKLY TO PROTECT YOUR LIFE.

STAY AWAY OR BE SWEPT AWAY. RIVER BANKS AND CULVERTS CAN BECOME
UNSTABLE AND UNSAFE.

TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED ROADS. MOST FLOOD
DEATHS OCCUR IN VEHICLES.

&&

LAT...LON 3101 9790 3091 9783 3079 9796 3075 9798
      3063 9842 3066 9843 3067 9843 3067 9844
      3068 9840 3070 9841 3074 9837 3075 9843
      3078 9843 3082 9839

$$

996 
WGUS74 KEWX 271410
FFSEWX

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
910 AM CDT SAT JUN 27 2015

TXC053-271418-
/O.CAN.KEWX.FF.W.0141.000000T0000Z-150627T1500Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
BURNET TX-
910 AM CDT SAT JUN 27 2015

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR CENTRAL BURNET COUNTY IS CANCELLED...

THE HEAVY RAIN HAS ENDED...AND FLOODING IS NO LONGER EXPECTED TO 
POSE A THREAT. NO FLOODING HAS BEEN REPORTED. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS ARE STILL POSSIBLE AND A FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN 
EFFECT FOR POSSIBLE MINOR FLOODING.

LAT...LON 3101 9790 3091 9783 3079 9796 3075 9798
      3063 9842 3066 9843 3067 9843 3067 9844
      3068 9840 3070 9841 3074 9837 3075 9843
      3078 9843 3082 9839

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
609 AM CDT SAT JUN 27 2015

.AVIATION...
BROKEN LINE OF CONVECTION IS SLOWLY MOVING SOUTH...BUT IS SLIGHTLY
AHEAD OF SCHEDULE WITH ACTIVITY ALREADY IMPACTING KDRT. WILL BUMP
UP THE BEGINNING OF VCTS AND TEMPO -TSRA FOR THE AUSTIN AND SAN
ANTONIO SITES 2-3 HOURS. WILL ONLY INCLUDE A 4 HOUR TEMPO GROUP
IMMEDIATELY AFTER THE ONSET OF CONVECTION CHANCES...BUT THIS MAY
NEED TO BE AMENDED LATER IN THE DAY AS SCATTERED CONVECTION
CONTINUES THROUGH TONIGHT. OTHERWISE...POSSIBLE MVFR CONDITIONS
ARE EXPECTED THIS MORNING AND THEN ONCE AGAIN TONIGHT.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 300 AM CDT SAT JUN 27 2015/

SHORT TERM (TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY)...
CLUSTERS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE CURRENTLY DROPPING
SOUTH ACROSS CENTRAL TEXAS. THESE WILL MOVE INTO THE HILL COUNTRY
AND EDWARDS PLATEAU EARLY THIS MORNING LEAVING SURFACE BOUNDARIES.
AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OVER THE WESTERN STATES AND AN UPPER LEVEL
TROUGH OVER THE EASTERN STATES FORCE A WEAK COLD FRONT INTO SOUTH
CENTRAL TEXAS TODAY. THE FRONT STALLS TONIGHT ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL
TEXAS AND THEN SLOWLY DISSIPATES AS IT MOVES BACK TO THE NORTH ON
SUNDAY. THE FRONT AND BOUNDARIES PROVIDE UPWARD FORCING FOR
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE AREA TODAY. LEFT
OVER BOUNDARIES AND THE FRONT ALLOW SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO
CONTINUE TONIGHT INTO SUNDAY. PWS AROUND 2 INCHES AND SLOW STORM
MOTIONS CONTINUE A THREAT OF LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS WITH SOME MINOR
FLOODING POSSIBLE WHERE STORMS TRAIN OVER THE SAME AREAS. CAPES
NEAR 2000 J/KG INDICATE SOME STRONG TO MARGINALLY SEVERE WIND
GUSTS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE.

LONG TERM (SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY)...
THE WESTERN RIDGE AND EASTERN TROUGH PATTERN SLOWLY DEAMPLIFIES
DURING THE WEEK. AN INVERTED TROUGH FROM MEXICO INTO SOUTHERN
TEXAS DEVELOPS EARLY IN THE WEEK TO MAINTAIN CHANCES OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY WITH GREATER COVERAGE
DURING THE DAYLIGHT HOURS DUE TO AN ENHANCED SEABREEZE. THE
INVERTED TROUGH MOVES TO THE WEST LATE IN THE WEEK AS AN UPPER
LEVEL RIDGE OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO TRIES TO CONNECT WITH THE
RIDGE IN THE WEST. EARLIER MODEL RUNS WERE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THIS
WOULD HAPPEN. HOWEVER...THE MOST RECENT RUN OF THE ECMWF GOES BACK
TO BEING SLOWER ON THE WESTWARD MOVEMENT OF THE INVERTED TROUGH.
HAVE EXTENDED SLIGHT CHANCES OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WEST TO
THE I-35 CORRIDOR FOR THURSDAY AND FRIDAY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AUSTIN CAMP MABRY              89  72  90  71  91 /  60  50  30  10  20
AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT  89  71  89  71  91 /  60  50  30  10  30
NEW BRAUNFELS MUNI AIRPORT     90  72  89  72  91 /  50  50  40  20  30
BURNET MUNI AIRPORT            88  71  89  70  91 /  60  40  10  10  20
DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT           92  73  92  73  94 /  40  40  20  10  10
GEORGETOWN MUNI AIRPORT        87  71  89  71  91 /  60  30  20  10  20
HONDO MUNI AIRPORT             89  72  89  71  90 /  40  50  30  20  20
SAN MARCOS MUNI AIRPORT        89  72  89  72  90 /  50  50  40  20  30
LA GRANGE - FAYETTE REGIONAL   89  73  89  73  90 /  40  50  40  20  30
SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT       90  74  89  73  91 /  50  50  40  20  30
STINSON MUNI AIRPORT           91  73  90  73  91 /  40  50  40  20  20

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

MESOSCALE/AVIATION...HAMPSHIRE
SYNOPTIC/GRIDS...04

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
259 AM CDT SAT JUN 27 2015

TXZ171>173-183>194-202>209-217>225-228-280800-
LLANO-BURNET-WILLIAMSON-VAL VERDE-EDWARDS-REAL-KERR-BANDERA-
GILLESPIE-KENDALL-BLANCO-HAYS-TRAVIS-BASTROP-LEE-KINNEY-UVALDE-
MEDINA-BEXAR-COMAL-GUADALUPE-CALDWELL-FAYETTE-MAVERICK-ZAVALA-
FRIO-ATASCOSA-WILSON-KARNES-GONZALES-DE WITT-LAVACA-DIMMIT-
259 AM CDT SAT JUN 27 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TODAY ACROSS MUCH
OF THE AREA. SOME OF THIS ACTIVITY COULD BE STRONG WITH SMALL HAIL
AND GUSTY WINDS. ALSO...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE A THREAT AS
STORM MOTIONS WILL BE RELATIVELY SLOW. THIS COULD LEAD TO
LOCALIZED MINOR FLOODING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

THE CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE SUNDAY WITH LOCALLY
HEAVY RAINFALL POSSIBLE. ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORM CHANCES CONTINUE
THROUGH WEDNESDAY. GUSTY WINDS AND LIGHTNING WILL BE THE MAIN
HAZARDS FROM THIS ACTIVITY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL BE POSSIBLE.