Alert archive / Missouri / Tornado Warnings in 2015
Tornado Warning 28, NWS Kansas City, MO
NWS Kansas City, MO issued this tornado warning at Jul 6, 2015, 5:27 PM CDT for Clay County, Jackson County, Ray County, Missouri. It was in force for 18 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Jul 6, 2015, 5:27 PM CDT (22:27 UTC)
- Expired
- Jul 6, 2015, 5:45 PM CDT
- In force
- 18 min
- Issued by
- NWS Kansas City, MO
- Area
- Storm-based polygon
- Tornado
- Radar indicated
- Hail
- 0.75 in
Counties Clay County, MO, Jackson County, MO, Ray County, MO
The radar
The Pleasant Hill radar (KEAX), 42 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:31 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
Did it verify
Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this tornado warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.
Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.
The watch it was issued in
The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.
| Issued | Product | Office | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 6, 3:26 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 6 hr |
The nearest sounding before it
Topeka, KS (KFOE), launched 12:00Z, 10.5 hours before the alert went out and 132 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 625 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -194 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1151 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 6 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 94 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 131 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
336
WFUS53 KEAX 062227
TOREAX
MOC047-095-177-062245-
/O.NEW.KEAX.TO.W.0028.150706T2227Z-150706T2245Z/
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
527 PM CDT MON JUL 6 2015
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TOPEKA HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
SOUTHWESTERN RAY COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI...
SOUTHEASTERN CLAY COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI...
NORTHEASTERN JACKSON COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI...
* UNTIL 545 PM CDT
* AT 527 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A
TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR MISSOURI CITY...MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.
HAZARD...TORNADO.
SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED ROTATION.
IMPACT...FLYING DEBRIS WILL BE DANGEROUS TO THOSE CAUGHT WITHOUT
SHELTER. MOBILE HOMES WILL BE DAMAGED OR DESTROYED.
DAMAGE TO ROOFS...WINDOWS AND VEHICLES WILL OCCUR. TREE
DAMAGE IS LIKELY.
* THIS DANGEROUS STORM WILL BE NEAR...
BUCKNER AND SIBLEY AROUND 535 PM CDT.
ORRICK AND LEVASY AROUND 540 PM CDT.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
TAKE COVER NOW! MOVE TO A BASEMENT OR AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST
FLOOR OF A STURDY BUILDING. AVOID WINDOWS. IF YOU ARE OUTDOORS...IN A
MOBILE HOME...OR IN A VEHICLE...MOVE TO THE CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL
SHELTER AND PROTECT YOURSELF FROM FLYING DEBRIS.
&&
LAT...LON 3913 9437 3930 9433 3932 9394 3920 9401
3919 9404 3917 9402 3915 9403 3914 9406
3914 9410 3908 9411 3907 9412
TIME...MOT...LOC 2227Z 280DEG 25KT 3921 9424
TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
HAIL...<.75IN
$$
BLAIRWhat forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this tornado warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Kansas City, MO wrote its last area forecast discussion before this tornado warning went out at Jul 6, 1:34 PM CDT, 3 hours 53 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jul 6, 1:34 PM CDT, 3 hours 53 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
134 PM CDT Mon Jul 6 2015
.SHORT TERM...(This Evening through Tuesday)
An episode of strong to severe thunderstorms is expected this
afternoon and evening across eastern Kansas and much of western
Missouri. Large hail, damaging wind gusts, and torrential rainfall
are all possible with these storms. Rainfall rates combined with
moist soil conditions will lead to a flash flood risk in any areas
that experiences heavy rain.
A Flash Flood Watch has been posted for areas along and south of a
line from St. Joseph to Kirksville.
Short term models suggest that the severe risk could move into
southwest and central Missouri by 11pm tonight, with residual showers
lingering over northern Missouri into Tuesday morning.
For the rest of Tuesday, it's difficult to determine where the effective
surface front will be located due to convective outflow, cloud cover,
and rain contamination. Therefore will will continue the higher POPS
over west central and central Missouri through Tuesday afternoon, with
much lower POPS over northern Missouri. This forecast is based on a
frontal position across the Ozarks.
Highs on Tuesday may only reach the middle 70s as a cooler northern
Plains airmass spreads into the region.
.LONG TERM...(Tuesday Night through Monday)
Regarding Tuesday night, it appears as though the bulk of the heavy
rain and flooding will occur over Oklahoma as a shortwave trough
moves in from the southwest. This rainfall will eventually spread
into central and southern Missouri Wednesday morning.
Therefore Tuesday night through Wednesday, we will focus the higher
rainfall probabilities across west central and central Missouri.
Models suggest the surface front will remain over southern Missouri
through Wednesday night, focusing the bulk of the precipitation south
of I-70. However, by Thursday and Thursday night, this front is
expected to track back to the north, bringing additional rainfall to
northern Missouri.
As we progress toward the weekend, the summertime high is expected to
build across the nation's mid section, bringing hot and dry weather
to northern and western Missouri. Look for temperatures to warm into
the 80s and possibly the lower 90s by Friday and Saturday afternoons.
&&
.AVIATION...(For the 12Z TAFS through 12Z Tuesday Morning)
Little change to ongoing forecast. VFR conditions continue early this
afternoon with gusty southerly winds. Cold front projected to arrive
at terminals between 21-00z. Increasing chances for thunderstorms
expected with cold front approach and behind frontal boundary.
Widespread rain should gradually clear terminals overnight tonight
with only a few scattered showers expected Tuesday AM. MVFR
precipitation and post-frontal conditions.
&&
.EAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...FLASH FLOOD WATCH from 7 PM CDT this evening through Wednesday
evening FOR KSZ057-060-103>105.
MO...FLASH FLOOD WATCH from 7 PM CDT this evening through Wednesday
evening FOR MOZ013>017-020>025-028>033-037>040-043>046-053-
054.
&&
SHORT TERM...CRAMER
LONG TERM...CRAMER
AVIATION...BlairHazardous weather outlook, Jul 6, 5:21 PM CDT, 6 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO 521 PM CDT MON JUL 6 2015 KSZ025-057-060-102>105-MOZ001>008-011>017-020>025-028>033-037>040- 043>046-053-054-072230- ATCHISON KS-MIAMI-LINN KS-DONIPHAN-LEAVENWORTH-WYANDOTTE-JOHNSON KS- ATCHISON MO-NODAWAY-WORTH-GENTRY-HARRISON-MERCER-PUTNAM-SCHUYLER- HOLT-ANDREW-DE KALB-DAVIESS-GRUNDY-SULLIVAN-ADAIR-BUCHANAN-CLINTON- CALDWELL-LIVINGSTON-LINN MO-MACON-PLATTE-CLAY-RAY-CARROLL-CHARITON- RANDOLPH-JACKSON-LAFAYETTE-SALINE-HOWARD-CASS-JOHNSON MO-PETTIS- COOPER-BATES-HENRY- 521 PM CDT MON JUL 6 2015 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST...NORTH CENTRAL AND WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI...AS WELL AS EXTREME EASTERN KANSAS. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO PUSH SOUTHEAST ACROSS NORTHERN MISSOURI AND EAST CENTRAL KANSAS THIS EVENING. SOME OF THESE STORMS MAY BE SEVERE WITH DAMAGING WIND GUSTS UP TO 70 MPH BEING THE MAIN POTENTIAL SEVERE WEATHER HAZARD. A FEW BRIEF TORNADOES MAY ALSO OCCUR ON THE NORTH SIDE OF ANY BOWING LINE SEGMENTS. IN ADDITION TO THE POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE STORMS...TORRENTIAL RAINFALL AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING WILL ACCOMPANY THESE STORMS. FLASH FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY OVER AREAS GENERALLY ALONG AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM ATCHISON KANSAS TO SAINT JOSEPH TO KIRKSVILLE MISSOURI. MORE DETAILED INFORMATION CAN BE ACCESSED AT... HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/EAX/HWO .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL CONTINUE TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY. THE MAIN CONCERN WITH THESE STORMS WILL BE FLASH FLOODING. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY FOR LOCATIONS SOUTH OF A LINE FROM ATCHISON KANSAS TO SAINT JOSEPH TO KIRKSVILLE MISSOURI. MORE DETAILED INFORMATION CAN BE ACCESSED AT... HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/EAX/HWO SCHAUMANN
In the hours before
Local storm report, Jul 6, 5:11 PM CDT, 16 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
511 PM CDT MON JUL 6 2015
...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0506 PM TSTM WND GST 3 NNE OAKVIEW 39.26N 94.55W
07/06/2015 E60 MPH CLAY MO PUBLIC
3 MILES NORTH OF GLADSTONE
&&
SMBLocal storm report, Jul 6, 5:13 PM CDT, 14 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
513 PM CDT MON JUL 6 2015
...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0509 PM TORNADO 1 SW LIBERTY 39.24N 94.43W
07/06/2015 CLAY MO FIRE DEPT/RESCUE
&&
SMBLocal storm report, Jul 6, 5:17 PM CDT, 10 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
517 PM CDT MON JUL 6 2015
...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0510 PM TSTM WND DMG 2 NNW GLENAIRE 39.24N 94.46W
07/06/2015 CLAY MO FIRE DEPT/RESCUE
DEBRIS REPORTED AT INTERSECTION
&&
SMBLocal storm report, Jul 6, 5:23 PM CDT, 4 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
523 PM CDT MON JUL 6 2015
...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0514 PM FLASH FLOOD 2 SSW FAIRMOUNT 39.17N 94.94W
07/06/2015 LEAVENWORTH KS TRAINED SPOTTER
SPOTTER REPORTS 2 FEET OF WATER COVERING
BRANDT ROAD EAST OF 155TH ST.
&&
SMBLocal storm report, Jul 6, 5:25 PM CDT, 2 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
525 PM CDT MON JUL 6 2015
...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0516 PM TORNADO 3 N COURTNEY 39.20N 94.39W
07/06/2015 CLAY MO PUBLIC
&&
SMBLocal storm report, Jul 6, 5:27 PM CDT, 0 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
527 PM CDT MON JUL 6 2015
...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0525 PM TORNADO 1 N CLEARVIEW CITY 38.96N 95.00W
07/06/2015 JOHNSON KS EMERGENCY MNGR
SPOTTER OBSERVED WEST OF DE SOTO ON K10.
&&
SMBThe office that day
Everything else NWS Kansas City, MO issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 6, 3:44 AM CDT | Flash Flood Watch | EAX | Adair, Bates, Buchanan, Caldwell, Carroll, Cass and 21 more | 60 hr |
| Jul 6, 9:40 AM CDT | River Flood Warning | EAX | Cass, Henry, Johnson | 71 hr |
| Jul 6, 9:40 AM CDT | River Flood Warning | EAX | Bates, Cass, Henry | 3 days |
| Jul 6, 10:21 AM CDT | River Flood Warning | EAX | Clay, Jackson, Lafayette, Platte, Ray | 70 hr |
| Jul 6, 10:21 AM CDT | River Flood Warning | EAX | Carroll, Lafayette, Saline | 4 days |
| Jul 6, 10:21 AM CDT | River Flood Warning | EAX | Carroll, Chariton, Saline | 5 days |
| Jul 6, 1:53 PM CDT | Areal Flood Advisory | EAX | Gentry, Worth | 3 hr |
| Jul 6, 2:26 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | EAX | Harrison | 34 min |
| Jul 6, 2:44 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | EAX | Andrew | 31 min |
| Jul 6, 2:55 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EAX | Andrew, Buchanan, Clinton, DeKalb | 50 min |
| Jul 6, 3:19 PM CDT | Areal Flood Advisory | EAX | Andrew, Buchanan | 2 hr |
| Jul 6, 3:52 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EAX | Buchanan, Platte | 38 min |
| Jul 6, 4:02 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | EAX | Platte | 13 min |
| Jul 6, 4:18 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EAX | Clay, Platte | 57 min |
| Jul 6, 4:29 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | EAX | Buchanan, Clay, Clinton, Platte | 4 hr |
| Jul 6, 4:51 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EAX | Clay, Jackson, Platte | 39 min |
| Jul 6, 4:55 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | EAX | Clay | 20 min |
| Jul 6, 4:58 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | EAX | Clay, Jackson, Platte | 4 hr |
| Jul 6, 5:09 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | EAX | Clay, Jackson | 21 min |
| Jul 6, 5:36 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | EAX | Jackson | 24 min |
| Jul 6, 5:45 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EAX | Jackson, Lafayette, Ray | 30 min |
| Jul 6, 5:59 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EAX | Cass, Jackson | 46 min |
| Jul 6, 6:15 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EAX | Carroll, Lafayette, Ray | 45 min |
| Jul 6, 6:51 PM CDT | Areal Flood Advisory | EAX | Caldwell, Cass, Jackson, Lafayette, Ray | 4 hr |
Nearby
Tornado Warnings in Missouri, 2015Every tornado warning in 2015Tornadoes in 2015
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.