Alert archive / Missouri / River Flood Warnings in 2015
River Flood Warning 236, NWS Kansas City, MO
NWS Kansas City, MO issued this river flood warning at Jul 16, 2015, 3:09 AM CDT for Atchison County, Holt County, Missouri. It took effect at Jul 16, 2015, 6:36 AM CDT. It was in force for 31 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Jul 16, 2015, 3:09 AM CDT (08:09 UTC)
- In effect from
- Jul 16, 2015, 6:36 AM CDT
- Expired
- Jul 17, 2015, 1:19 PM CDT
- In force
- 31 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Kansas City, MO
- Area
- Storm-based polygon
- Flood severity
- Minor
Counties Atchison County, MO, Holt County, MO
The radar
The Omaha radar (KOAX), 136 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 08:11 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The river
Written for the forecast point Tarkio River near Fairfax (FFXM7). The gauge peaked at 24.59 ft at Jul 16, 2015, 7:00 PM CDT.
- Action stage
- 12 ft
- Minor stage
- 17 ft
- Moderate stage
- 18 ft
- Major stage
- 25 ft
This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests
Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 06813000, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
836
WGUS43 KEAX 160809
FLWEAX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
309 AM CDT THU JUL 16 2015
...The National Weather Service in Pleasant Hill Mo has issued a
flood warning for the following rivers in Missouri...
Tarkio River at Fairfax affecting Atchison and Holt Counties.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Do not drive through flowing water. Nearly half of all flood
fatalities are vehicle related. As little as 6 inches of water may
cause you to lose control of your vehicle. Two feet of water will
carry most vehicles away.This product along with additional weather
and stream information is available at www.weather.gov/kc/.
&&
MOC005-087-170809-
/O.NEW.KEAX.FL.W.0236.150716T1354Z-150717T1819Z/
/FFXM7.1.ER.150716T1354Z.150716T1600Z.150716T1819Z.NO/
309 AM CDT THU JUL 16 2015
The National Weather Service in Pleasant Hill Mo has issued a
* Flood Warning for
The Tarkio River at Fairfax.
* from this morning to Friday afternoon.
* At 2:15 AM Thursday the stage was 7.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by this morning and continue to
rise to near 17.6 feet by late this morning. The river will fall
below flood stage by this afternoon.
* At 17.0 feet...Low-lying farm fields begin to flood.
&&
Latest
Location FS Stage Day/Time Forecast
Tarkio River
Fairfax 17 7.5 Thu 02 AM 17.6 late this morning
&&
LAT...LON 4044 9543 4044 9534 4018 9538 4019 9546
$$6 follow-up statements
153
WGUS43 KEAX 161137
FLWEAX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
637 AM CDT THU JUL 16 2015
...Forecast flooding changed from Minor to Moderate severity for the
following rivers in Missouri...
102 River at Maryville affecting Andrew and Nodaway Counties.
Tarkio River at Fairfax affecting Atchison and Holt Counties.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Do not drive through flowing water. Nearly half of all flood
fatalities are vehicle related. As little as 6 inches of water may
cause you to lose control of your vehicle. Two feet of water will
carry most vehicles away.This product along with additional weather
and stream information is available at www.weather.gov/kc/.
&&
MOC003-147-171137-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0234.150716T1232Z-150718T1741Z/
/MYVM7.2.ER.150716T1232Z.150716T2200Z.150717T1741Z.UU/
637 AM CDT THU JUL 16 2015
...Forecast flooding increased from Minor to Moderate severity...
The Flood Warning continues for
The 102 River at Maryville.
* until Saturday afternoon.
* At 6:30 AM Thursday the stage was 16.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by this morning and continue to
rise to near 24.3 feet by late this afternoon. The river will fall
below flood stage by early Friday afternoon.
* At 18.0 feet...The east bank of the river floods. Water also
approaches the village of Arkoe.
&&
Latest
Location FS Stage Day/Time Forecast
102 River
Maryville 18 16.0 Thu 06 AM 24.3 late this afternoon
&&
LAT...LON 4057 9477 4013 9478 4013 9488 4057 9488
$$
MOC005-087-171136-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0236.150716T1136Z-150718T0106Z/
/FFXM7.2.ER.150716T1012Z.150716T1800Z.150717T0106Z.NO/
637 AM CDT THU JUL 16 2015
...Observed flooding increased from Minor to Moderate severity...
The Flood Warning continues for
The Tarkio River at Fairfax.
* from this morning to Friday evening.
* At 6:15 AM Thursday the stage was 19.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 23.1 feet by this
afternoon. The river will fall below flood stage this evening.
* At 19.0 feet...Flooding begins in the vicinity of Corning.
* At 18.0 feet...U.S. Highway 59 north of Fairfax begins to flood.
* At 17.0 feet...Low-lying farm fields begin to flood.
&&
Latest
Location FS Stage Day/Time Forecast
Tarkio River
Fairfax 17 19.5 Thu 06 AM 23.1 this afternoon
&&
LAT...LON 4044 9543 4044 9534 4018 9538 4019 9546
$$179
WGUS43 KEAX 161205
FLWEAX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
705 AM CDT THU JUL 16 2015
...Forecast flooding changed from Moderate to Major severity for the
following rivers in Missouri...
Tarkio River at Fairfax affecting Atchison and Holt Counties.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Do not drive through flowing water. Nearly half of all flood
fatalities are vehicle related. As little as 6 inches of water may
cause you to lose control of your vehicle. Two feet of water will
carry most vehicles away.This product along with additional weather
and stream information is available at www.weather.gov/kc/.
&&
MOC005-087-171205-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0236.000000T0000Z-150718T2050Z/
/FFXM7.3.ER.150716T1012Z.150716T1800Z.150717T2050Z.NR/
705 AM CDT THU JUL 16 2015
...Forecast flooding increased from Moderate to Major severity...
The Flood Warning continues for
The Tarkio River at Fairfax.
* At 6:15 AM Thursday the stage was 19.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Major flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 27.0 feet by this
afternoon. The river will fall below flood stage Friday afternoon.
* At 25.6 feet...Flood waters will reach the intersection of State
Highway J and U.S. Highway 59 on the west side of Fairfax.
* At 25.0 feet...Levees in the vicinity of Fairfax are overtopped.
Flooding of farmland along with homesteads and roads occurs.
* At 19.0 feet...Flooding begins in the vicinity of Corning.
* At 18.0 feet...U.S. Highway 59 north of Fairfax begins to flood.
* At 17.0 feet...Low-lying farm fields begin to flood.
&&
Latest
Location FS Stage Day/Time Forecast
Tarkio River
Fairfax 17 19.5 Thu 06 AM 27.0 this afternoon
&&
LAT...LON 4044 9543 4044 9534 4018 9538 4019 9546
$$523
WGUS83 KEAX 161500
FLSEAX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
1000 AM CDT THU JUL 16 2015
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in
Missouri...
102 River at Maryville affecting Andrew and Nodaway Counties.
102 River at Rosendale affecting Andrew and Buchanan Counties.
Nodaway River near Burlington Junction affecting Andrew...Holt and
Nodaway Counties.
Tarkio River at Fairfax affecting Atchison and Holt Counties.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Do not drive through flowing water. Nearly half of all flood
fatalities are vehicle related. As little as 6 inches of water may
cause you to lose control of your vehicle. Two feet of water will
carry most vehicles away.This product along with additional weather
and stream information is available at www.weather.gov/kc/.
&&
MOC003-147-171500-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0234.150716T1456Z-150719T0139Z/
/MYVM7.2.ER.150716T1436Z.150717T0000Z.150718T0139Z.UU/
1000 AM CDT THU JUL 16 2015
The Flood Warning continues for
The 102 River at Maryville.
* until Saturday evening.
* At 9:30 AM Thursday the stage was 17.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by late this morning and continue
to rise to near 25.5 feet by this evening. The river will fall
below flood stage by Friday evening.
* At 18.0 feet...The east bank of the river floods. Water also
approaches the village of Arkoe.
&&
Latest
Location FS Stage Day/Time Forecast
102 River
Maryville 18 17.9 Thu 09 AM 25.5 this evening
&&
LAT...LON 4057 9477 4013 9478 4013 9488 4057 9488
$$
MOC003-021-171500-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0237.000000T0000Z-150719T1035Z/
/RSDM7.2.ER.000000T0000Z.150717T0600Z.150718T1035Z.NO/
1000 AM CDT THU JUL 16 2015
The Flood Warning continues for
The 102 River at Rosendale.
* until late Saturday night.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is forecast to have a maximum value of 21.6
feet early Friday morning.
* At 20.0 feet...State Route 48 is flooded on the east and west sides
of town which prevents travel in or out of town.
* At 19.0 feet...State Route 48 on the east and west sides of
Rosendale is under water.
* At 18.0 feet...State Route 48 on the east side of Rosendale is
overtopped by flood waters.
* At 13.0 feet...Lowland agricultural flooding begins.
&&
Latest
Location FS Stage Day/Time Forecast
102 River
Rosendale 18 16.6 Thu 06 AM 21.6 early Friday morning
&&
LAT...LON 4013 9488 4013 9478 3977 9471 3977 9480 4004 9486
$$
MOC003-087-147-171500-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0235.000000T0000Z-150718T0739Z/
/BRLM7.1.ER.150716T1553Z.150717T0000Z.150717T0739Z.UU/
1000 AM CDT THU JUL 16 2015
The Flood Warning continues for
The Nodaway River near Burlington Junction.
* until late Friday night.
* At 7:45 AM Thursday the stage was 20.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 23.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by late this morning and continue
to rise to near 26.2 feet by this evening. The river will fall
below flood stage by early Friday morning.
* At 25.0 feet...Fifty-thousand acres of farmland are flooded.
* At 24.4 feet...Twenty-three thousand acres of farmland are flooded.
* At 23.0 feet...The river begins to flood farm fields.
&&
Latest
Location FS Stage Day/Time Forecast
Nodaway River
Burlington Jun 23 20.3 Thu 08 AM 26.2 this evening
&&
LAT...LON 4058 9507 4058 9500 4018 9503 4018 9512 4044 9512
$$
MOC005-087-171500-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0236.000000T0000Z-150718T1529Z/
/FFXM7.3.ER.150716T1012Z.150716T1800Z.150717T1529Z.NR/
1000 AM CDT THU JUL 16 2015
The Flood Warning continues for
The Tarkio River at Fairfax.
* until Saturday morning.
* At 9:15 AM Thursday the stage was 22.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Major flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 27.1 feet by this
afternoon. The river will fall below flood stage late Friday
morning.
* At 25.6 feet...Flood waters will reach the intersection of State
Highway J and U.S. Highway 59 on the west side of Fairfax.
* At 25.0 feet...Levees in the vicinity of Fairfax are overtopped.
Flooding of farmland along with homesteads and roads occurs.
* At 19.0 feet...Flooding begins in the vicinity of Corning.
* At 18.0 feet...U.S. Highway 59 north of Fairfax begins to flood.
* At 17.0 feet...Low-lying farm fields begin to flood.
&&
Latest
Location FS Stage Day/Time Forecast
Tarkio River
Fairfax 17 22.0 Thu 09 AM 27.1 this afternoon
&&
LAT...LON 4044 9543 4044 9534 4018 9538 4019 9546
$$421
WGUS83 KEAX 161918
FLSEAX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
218 PM CDT THU JUL 16 2015
...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following river in
Missouri...
Nodaway River near Burlington Junction affecting Andrew...Holt and
Nodaway Counties.
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in
Missouri...
102 River at Maryville affecting Andrew and Nodaway Counties.
Platte River near Agency affecting Buchanan County.
Platte River At Sharps Station affecting Platte County.
Platte River near Platte City affecting Platte County.
Tarkio River at Fairfax affecting Atchison and Holt Counties.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Do not drive through flowing water. Nearly half of all flood
fatalities are vehicle related. As little as 6 inches of water may
cause you to lose control of your vehicle. Two feet of water will
carry most vehicles away.This product along with additional weather
and stream information is available at www.weather.gov/kc/.
&&
MOC003-147-171918-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0234.000000T0000Z-150718T2227Z/
/MYVM7.2.ER.150716T1446Z.150717T0600Z.150717T2227Z.UU/
218 PM CDT THU JUL 16 2015
The Flood Warning continues for
The 102 River at Maryville.
* until Saturday afternoon.
* At 1:30 PM Thursday the stage was 20.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 23.6 feet by
early Friday morning. The river will fall below flood stage Friday
afternoon.
* At 18.0 feet...The east bank of the river floods. Water also
approaches the village of Arkoe.
&&
Latest
Location FS Stage Day/Time Forecast
102 River
Maryville 18 20.1 Thu 01 PM 23.6 early Friday morning
&&
LAT...LON 4057 9477 4013 9478 4013 9488 4057 9488
$$
MOC003-087-147-161948-
/O.CAN.KEAX.FL.W.0235.000000T0000Z-150718T0739Z/
/BRLM7.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
218 PM CDT THU JUL 16 2015
The Flood Warning is cancelled for
The Nodaway River near Burlington Junction.
* At 1:45 PM Thursday the stage was 21.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 23.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river crested below flood stage at 22.0 feet. The
river will continue to fall to 17.8 feet by Friday morning.
&&
Latest
Location FS Stage Day/Time Forecast
Nodaway River
Burlington Jun 23 21.9 Thu 02 PM 21.5 this evening
&&
LAT...LON 4058 9507 4058 9500 4018 9503 4018 9512 4044 9512
$$
MOC021-171917-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0243.150716T1931Z-150721T1227Z/
/AGYM7.2.ER.150716T1931Z.150719T0000Z.150720T1227Z.NO/
218 PM CDT THU JUL 16 2015
The Flood Warning continues for
The Platte River near Agency.
* until Tuesday morning.
* At 1:30 PM Thursday the stage was 19.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by this afternoon and continue to
rise to near 28.0 feet by Saturday evening. The river will fall
below flood stage by Monday morning.
* At 25.0 feet...Flooding begins at the east border of Agency.
* At 20.0 feet...Low-lying areas east of Agency begin to flood.
&&
Latest
Location FS Stage Day/Time Forecast
Platte River
Agency 20 19.4 Thu 01 PM 28.0 Saturday evening
&&
LAT...LON 3977 9480 3977 9471 3951 9464 3941 9464 3941 9472
$$
MOC165-171917-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0244.150718T0600Z-150723T0255Z/
/SSTM7.2.ER.150718T0600Z.150721T0600Z.150722T0255Z.NO/
218 PM CDT THU JUL 16 2015
The Flood Warning continues for
The Platte River At Sharps Station.
* from late Friday night to Wednesday evening.
* At 1:30 PM Thursday the stage was 14.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 26.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by early Saturday morning and
continue to rise to near 30.3 feet by early Tuesday morning. The
river will fall below flood stage by Tuesday before midnight.
* At 29.0 feet...Backwater from the Platte River floods Highway KK
along the Little Platte River at the location 0.2 miles east of
Highway B.
* At 26.0 feet...Low-lying rural land along the river begins to
flood.
&&
Latest
Location FS Stage Day/Time Forecast
Platte River
Sharps Station 26 14.7 Thu 01 PM 30.3 early Tuesday morning
&&
LAT...LON 3941 9474 3941 9464 3935 9476 3939 9479
$$
MOC165-171917-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0245.000000T0000Z-150723T1724Z/
/PLCM7.2.ER.150718T0412Z.150721T1200Z.150722T1724Z.UU/
218 PM CDT THU JUL 16 2015
The Flood Warning continues for
The Platte River near Platte City.
* until Thursday July 23.
* At 10:52 AM Thursday the stage was 9.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by Friday before midnight and
continue to rise to near 26.7 feet by Tuesday morning. The river
will fall below flood stage by early Wednesday afternoon.
* At 25.0 feet...Water overtops 1st Street in Tracy, Missouri.
* At 22.0 feet...Flooding occurs at Humphreys Access Area which is
located 5 miles downstream from Platte City. 300 acres of pasture
are also flooded.
* At 20.0 feet...Cropland near State Highway 92 near Platte City
begins to flood.
&&
Latest
Location FS Stage Day/Time Forecast
Platte River
Platte City 20 9.2 Thu 11 AM 26.7 Tuesday morning
&&
LAT...LON 3939 9479 3935 9476 3927 9481 3929 9484 3933 9483
$$
MOC005-087-171917-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0236.000000T0000Z-150718T1428Z/
/FFXM7.3.ER.150716T1012Z.150717T0000Z.150717T1428Z.NO/
218 PM CDT THU JUL 16 2015
The Flood Warning continues for
The Tarkio River at Fairfax.
* until Saturday morning.
* At 1:15 PM Thursday the stage was 23.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Major flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 25.4 feet by this
evening. The river will fall below flood stage late Friday morning.
* At 25.0 feet...Levees in the vicinity of Fairfax are overtopped.
Flooding of farmland along with homesteads and roads occurs.
* At 19.0 feet...Flooding begins in the vicinity of Corning.
* At 18.0 feet...U.S. Highway 59 north of Fairfax begins to flood.
* At 17.0 feet...Low-lying farm fields begin to flood.
&&
Latest
Location FS Stage Day/Time Forecast
Tarkio River
Fairfax 17 23.4 Thu 01 PM 25.4 this evening
&&
LAT...LON 4044 9543 4044 9534 4018 9538 4019 9546
$$769
WGUS83 KEAX 170325
FLSEAX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
1025 PM CDT THU JUL 16 2015
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in
Missouri...Kansas...
102 River at Maryville affecting Andrew and Nodaway Counties.
102 River at Rosendale affecting Andrew and Buchanan Counties.
Grand River near Pattonsburg affecting Daviess and Gentry Counties.
Grand River near Gallatin affecting Daviess and Livingston Counties.
Grand River near Chillicothe affecting Linn and Livingston Counties.
Grand River near Sumner affecting Livingston...Carroll...Chariton
and Linn Counties.
Missouri River at St Joseph affecting Doniphan...Andrew and Buchanan
Counties.
Missouri River at Napoleon affecting Jackson...Lafayette and Ray
Counties.
Missouri River at Waverly affecting Carroll...Lafayette and Saline
Counties.
Missouri River At Miami affecting Carroll...Chariton and Saline
Counties.
Platte River near Agency affecting Buchanan County.
Platte River At Sharps Station affecting Platte County.
Platte River near Platte City affecting Platte County.
Tarkio River at Fairfax affecting Atchison and Holt Counties.
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in
Missouri...
Grand River near Brunswick affecting Carroll and Chariton Counties.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Do not drive through flowing water. Nearly half of all flood
fatalities are vehicle related. As little as 6 inches of water may
cause you to lose control of your vehicle. Two feet of water will
carry most vehicles away.This product along with additional weather
and stream information is available at www.weather.gov/kc/.
&&
MOC003-147-180325-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0234.000000T0000Z-150718T1741Z/
/MYVM7.1.ER.150716T1446Z.150716T2245Z.150717T1741Z.UU/
1025 PM CDT THU JUL 16 2015
The Flood Warning continues for
The 102 River at Maryville.
* until Saturday afternoon.
* At 9:30 PM Thursday the stage was 20.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 20.8 feet by
early Friday morning. The river will fall below flood stage early
Friday afternoon.
* At 18.0 feet...The east bank of the river floods. Water also
approaches the village of Arkoe.
&&
Latest
Location FS Stage Day/Time Forecast
102 River
Maryville 18 20.5 Thu 09 PM 20.8 early Friday morning
&&
LAT...LON 4057 9477 4013 9478 4013 9488 4057 9488
$$
MOC003-021-180324-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0237.000000T0000Z-150719T0648Z/
/RSDM7.2.ER.000000T0000Z.150717T0600Z.150718T0648Z.NO/
1025 PM CDT THU JUL 16 2015
The Flood Warning continues for
The 102 River at Rosendale.
* until late Saturday night.
* At 9:54 PM Thursday the stage was 21.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 21.6 feet by
early Friday morning. The river will fall below flood stage early
Saturday morning.
* At 20.0 feet...State Route 48 is flooded on the east and west sides
of town which prevents travel in or out of town.
* At 19.0 feet...State Route 48 on the east and west sides of
Rosendale is under water.
* At 18.0 feet...State Route 48 on the east side of Rosendale is
overtopped by flood waters.
* At 13.0 feet...Lowland agricultural flooding begins.
&&
Latest
Location FS Stage Day/Time Forecast
102 River
Rosendale 18 21.0 Thu 10 PM 21.6 early Friday morning
&&
LAT...LON 4013 9488 4013 9478 3977 9471 3977 9480 4004 9486
$$
MOC061-075-180324-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0238.150717T0330Z-150719T0835Z/
/PATM7.3.ER.150717T0330Z.150717T1800Z.150718T0835Z.NO/
1025 PM CDT THU JUL 16 2015
The Flood Warning continues for
The Grand River near Pattonsburg.
* until late Saturday night.
* At 9:30 PM Thursday the stage was 23.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* Major flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by tonight and continue to rise
to near 32.3 feet by early Friday afternoon. The river will fall
below flood stage by Saturday morning.
* At 32.0 feet...The business section of old town of Pattonsburg
begins to flood.
* At 30.0 feet...Nearly all agricultural land and secondary roads in
the Grand River floodplain flood.
* At 25.0 feet...Low-lying farmland begins to flood.
&&
Latest
Location FS Stage Day/Time Forecast
Grand River
Pattonsburg 25 23.0 Thu 09 PM 32.3 early Friday afternoon
&&
LAT...LON 4004 9400 3996 9410 4014 9445 4020 9433
$$
MOC061-117-180324-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0239.150717T1420Z-150719T1132Z/
/GAZM7.1.ER.150717T1420Z.150718T0000Z.150718T1132Z.NO/
1025 PM CDT THU JUL 16 2015
The Flood Warning continues for
The Grand River near Gallatin.
* from Friday morning to Sunday morning.
* At 9:45 PM Thursday the stage was 20.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 26.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by late Friday morning and
continue to rise to near 28.0 feet by Friday evening. The river
will fall below flood stage by Saturday morning.
* At 26.0 feet...Low-lying woodlands and farmland along the river
flood.
&&
Latest
Location FS Stage Day/Time Forecast
Grand River
Gallatin 26 20.5 Thu 10 PM 28.0 Friday evening
&&
LAT...LON 3996 9410 4004 9399 3983 9363 3974 9367
$$
MOC115-117-180324-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0240.150717T1108Z-150720T0943Z/
/CHZM7.2.ER.150717T1108Z.150718T1200Z.150719T0943Z.NO/
1025 PM CDT THU JUL 16 2015
The Flood Warning continues for
The Grand River near Chillicothe.
* from Friday morning to late Sunday night.
* At 9:45 PM Thursday the stage was 15.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by Friday morning and continue to
rise to near 29.0 feet by Saturday morning. The river will fall
below flood stage by Sunday morning.
* At 28.0 feet...Rural roads are under water.
* At 24.0 feet...Low-lying cropland floods.
&&
Latest
Location FS Stage Day/Time Forecast
Grand River
Chillicothe 24 15.0 Thu 10 PM 29.0 Saturday morning
&&
LAT...LON 3983 9363 3978 9343 3967 9343 3974 9367
$$
MOC033-041-115-117-180324-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0241.150717T1357Z-150721T1304Z/
/SNZM7.2.ER.150717T1357Z.150718T1800Z.150720T1304Z.NO/
1025 PM CDT THU JUL 16 2015
The Flood Warning continues for
The Grand River near Sumner.
* from Friday morning to Tuesday morning.
* At 9:45 PM Thursday the stage was 14.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 26.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by Friday morning and continue to
rise to near 33.0 feet by early Saturday afternoon. The river will
fall below flood stage by Monday morning.
* At 28.0 feet...Rural roads are under water.
* At 26.0 feet...Rural land adjacent to the river is flooded.
* At 23.0 feet...Bottomland 1 to 2 miles south of the gage begins to
flood.
&&
Latest
Location FS Stage Day/Time Forecast
Grand River
Sumner 26 14.6 Thu 10 PM 33.0 early Saturday
afternoon
&&
LAT...LON 3967 9343 3978 9343 3970 9327 3953 9321 3951 9330
$$
MOC033-041-180324-
/O.CON.KEAX.FL.W.0242.150718T1900Z-150721T2247Z/
/BRNM7.1.ER.150718T1900Z.150719T1200Z.150720T2247Z.UU/
1025 PM CDT THU JUL 16 2015
The Flood Warning continues for
The Grand River near Brunswick.
* from Saturday afternoon to Tuesday afternoon.
* At 4:26 PM Thursday the stage was 9.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by early Saturday afternoon and
continue to rise to near 20.0 feet by Sunday morning. The river
will fall below flood stage by Monday afternoon.
* At 19.0 feet...Flooding of low-lying areas occurs along the west
bank of the Grand River near the U.S. Highway 24 bridge about 1
mile west of Brunswick.
&&
Latest
Location FS Stage Day/Time Forecast
Grand River
Brunswick 19 9.9 Thu 04 PM 20.0 Sunday morning
&&
LAT...LON 3951 9330 3953 9321 3938 9307 3938 9313 3945 9327
$$
KSC043-MOC003-021-180324-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0249.150717T1400Z-150719T0345Z/
/SJSM7.1.ER.150717T1400Z.150718T0000Z.150718T0345Z.NO/
1025 PM CDT THU JUL 16 2015
The Flood Warning continues for
The Missouri River at St Joseph.
* from Friday morning to Saturday evening.
* At 9:30 PM Thursday the stage was 15.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by late Friday morning and
continue to rise to near 17.5 feet by Friday evening. The river
will fall below flood stage by Friday before midnight.
* At 17.0 feet...Lowland flooding upstream and downstream from St.
Joseph occurs.
&&
Latest
Location FS Stage Day/Time Forecast
Missouri River
St Joseph 17 15.0 Thu 09 PM 17.5 Friday evening
&&
LAT...LON 3991 9501 3990 9489 3975 9483 3964 9488 3970 9505
$$
MOC095-107-177-180324-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0246.150718T1017Z-150720T0447Z/
/NAPM7.1.ER.150718T1017Z.150718T1800Z.150719T0447Z.UU/
1025 PM CDT THU JUL 16 2015
The Flood Warning continues for
The Missouri River at Napoleon.
* from late Friday night to Sunday evening.
* At 10:00 PM Thursday the stage was 12.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by Saturday morning and continue
to rise to near 17.5 feet by early Saturday afternoon. The river
will fall below flood stage by Saturday before midnight.
* At 17.0 feet...Low-lying areas unprotected by levees begin to
flood.
&&
Latest
Location FS Stage Day/Time Forecast
Missouri River
Napoleon 17 12.7 Thu 10 PM 17.5 early Saturday
afternoon
&&
LAT...LON 3916 9415 3922 9417 3925 9386 3918 9384 3911 9405
$$
MOC033-107-195-180324-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0247.150718T1930Z-150720T1500Z/
/WVYM7.1.ER.150718T1930Z.150719T0600Z.150719T1500Z.NO/
1025 PM CDT THU JUL 16 2015
The Flood Warning continues for
The Missouri River at Waverly.
* from Saturday afternoon to Monday morning.
* At 9:30 PM Thursday the stage was 16.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by early Saturday afternoon and
continue to rise to near 20.4 feet by early Sunday morning. The
river will fall below flood stage by late Sunday morning.
&&
Latest
Location FS Stage Day/Time Forecast
Missouri River
Waverly 20 16.2 Thu 09 PM 20.4 early Sunday morning
&&
LAT...LON 3925 9386 3933 9331 3928 9327 3922 9330 3918 9384
$$
MOC033-041-195-180324-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0248.150718T2100Z-150721T0300Z/
/MIAM7.1.ER.150718T2100Z.150719T1200Z.150720T0300Z.NO/
1025 PM CDT THU JUL 16 2015
The Flood Warning continues for
The Missouri River At Miami.
* from Saturday afternoon to Monday evening.
* At 7:04 PM Thursday the stage was 14.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by Saturday afternoon and
continue to rise to near 19.0 feet by Sunday morning. The river
will fall below flood stage by Sunday before midnight.
* At 18.0 feet...Low-lying rural areas outside of levees begin to
flood.
&&
Latest
Location FS Stage Day/Time Forecast
Missouri River
Miami 18 14.6 Thu 07 PM 19.0 Sunday morning
&&
LAT...LON 3933 9331 3943 9319 3938 9307 3928 9327
$$
MOC021-180324-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0243.000000T0000Z-150721T0452Z/
/AGYM7.2.ER.150716T1858Z.150719T0000Z.150720T0452Z.NO/
1025 PM CDT THU JUL 16 2015
The Flood Warning continues for
The Platte River near Agency.
* until Monday evening.
* At 9:30 PM Thursday the stage was 24.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 27.5 feet by
Saturday evening. The river will fall below flood stage Sunday
before midnight.
* At 25.0 feet...Flooding begins at the east border of Agency.
* At 20.0 feet...Low-lying areas east of Agency begin to flood.
&&
Latest
Location FS Stage Day/Time Forecast
Platte River
Agency 20 24.2 Thu 09 PM 27.5 Saturday evening
&&
LAT...LON 3977 9480 3977 9471 3951 9464 3941 9464 3941 9472
$$
MOC165-180324-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0244.150718T1536Z-150722T1915Z/
/SSTM7.2.ER.150718T1536Z.150720T1800Z.150721T1915Z.NO/
1025 PM CDT THU JUL 16 2015
The Flood Warning continues for
The Platte River At Sharps Station.
* from Saturday morning to Wednesday afternoon.
* At 9:30 PM Thursday the stage was 15.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 26.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by late Saturday morning and
continue to rise to near 30.0 feet by early Monday afternoon. The
river will fall below flood stage by early Tuesday afternoon.
* At 29.0 feet...Backwater from the Platte River floods Highway KK
along the Little Platte River at the location 0.2 miles east of
Highway B.
* At 26.0 feet...Low-lying rural land along the river begins to
flood.
&&
Latest
Location FS Stage Day/Time Forecast
Platte River
Sharps Station 26 15.8 Thu 09 PM 30.0 early Monday afternoon
&&
LAT...LON 3941 9474 3941 9464 3935 9476 3939 9479
$$
MOC165-180324-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0245.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/PLCM7.2.ER.150718T0412Z.150721T1200Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
1025 PM CDT THU JUL 16 2015
The Flood Warning continues for
The Platte River near Platte City.
* until further notice.
* At 10:52 AM Thursday the stage was 9.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by Friday before midnight and
continue to rise to near 26.7 feet by Tuesday morning.
* At 25.0 feet...Water overtops 1st Street in Tracy, Missouri.
* At 22.0 feet...Flooding occurs at Humphreys Access Area which is
located 5 miles downstream from Platte City. 300 acres of pasture
are also flooded.
* At 20.0 feet...Cropland near State Highway 92 near Platte City
begins to flood.
&&
Latest
Location FS Stage Day/Time Forecast
Platte River
Platte City 20 9.2 Thu 11 AM 26.7 Tuesday morning
&&
LAT...LON 3939 9479 3935 9476 3927 9481 3929 9484 3933 9483
$$
MOC005-087-180324-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0236.000000T0000Z-150718T1533Z/
/FFXM7.2.ER.150716T1012Z.150717T0030Z.150717T1533Z.NO/
1025 PM CDT THU JUL 16 2015
The Flood Warning continues for
The Tarkio River at Fairfax.
* until Saturday morning.
* At 9:15 PM Thursday the stage was 23.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 23.8 feet by
early Friday morning. The river will fall below flood stage late
Friday morning.
* At 19.0 feet...Flooding begins in the vicinity of Corning.
* At 18.0 feet...U.S. Highway 59 north of Fairfax begins to flood.
* At 17.0 feet...Low-lying farm fields begin to flood.
&&
Latest
Location FS Stage Day/Time Forecast
Tarkio River
Fairfax 17 23.7 Thu 09 PM 23.8 early Friday morning
&&
LAT...LON 4044 9543 4044 9534 4018 9538 4019 9546
$$162
WGUS83 KEAX 171437
FLSEAX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
937 AM CDT FRI JUL 17 2015
...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in
Missouri...
102 River at Maryville affecting Andrew and Nodaway Counties.
Tarkio River at Fairfax affecting Atchison and Holt Counties.
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in
Missouri...Kansas...
102 River at Rosendale affecting Andrew and Buchanan Counties.
Missouri River at St Joseph affecting Doniphan...Andrew and Buchanan
Counties.
Missouri River at Napoleon affecting Jackson...Lafayette and Ray
Counties.
Missouri River at Waverly affecting Carroll...Lafayette and Saline
Counties.
Missouri River At Miami affecting Carroll...Chariton and Saline
Counties.
Platte River near Agency affecting Buchanan County.
Platte River At Sharps Station affecting Platte County.
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in
Missouri...
Platte River near Platte City affecting Platte County.
.(***Optional - Describe the hydrometeorological cause of flooding
and future rainfall forecast. This section must be preceded by a
single dot WITH NO SPACE BETWEEN DOT AND FIRST WORD.Remove this
section and leading dot if you do not wish to include this section in
the product.***)
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Do not drive through flowing water. Nearly half of all flood
fatalities are vehicle related. As little as 6 inches of water may
cause you to lose control of your vehicle. Two feet of water will
carry most vehicles away.This product along with additional weather
and stream information is available at www.weather.gov/kc/.
&&
MOC003-147-171507-
/O.CAN.KEAX.FL.W.0234.000000T0000Z-150718T1741Z/
/MYVM7.1.ER.150716T1446Z.150716T2245Z.150717T1318Z.UU/
937 AM CDT FRI JUL 17 2015
The Flood Warning is cancelled for
The 102 River at Maryville.
* At 9:30 AM Friday the stage was 16.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Fell below flood stage at 8:18 AM Friday.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to 9.2 feet by Saturday
morning.
&&
Latest
Location FS Stage Day/Time Forecast
102 River
Maryville 18 16.8 Fri 09 AM 16.6 this afternoon
&&
LAT...LON 4057 9477 4013 9478 4013 9488 4057 9488
$$
MOC003-021-181436-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0237.000000T0000Z-150719T0424Z/
/RSDM7.2.ER.000000T0000Z.150717T1800Z.150718T0424Z.NO/
937 AM CDT FRI JUL 17 2015
The Flood Warning continues for
The 102 River at Rosendale.
* until Saturday evening.
* At 9:54 PM Thursday the stage was 21.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 21.4 feet by this
afternoon. The river will fall below flood stage tonight.
* At 20.0 feet...State Route 48 is flooded on the east and west sides
of town which prevents travel in or out of town.
* At 19.0 feet...State Route 48 on the east and west sides of
Rosendale is under water.
* At 18.0 feet...State Route 48 on the east side of Rosendale is
overtopped by flood waters.
* At 13.0 feet...Lowland agricultural flooding begins.
&&
Latest
Location FS Stage Day/Time Forecast
102 River
Rosendale 18 21.0 Thu 10 PM 21.4 this afternoon
&&
LAT...LON 4013 9488 4013 9478 3977 9471 3977 9480 4004 9486
$$
KSC043-MOC003-021-181436-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0249.000000T0000Z-150719T0210Z/
/SJSM7.1.ER.150717T1442Z.150718T0000Z.150718T0210Z.NO/
937 AM CDT FRI JUL 17 2015
The Flood Warning continues for
The Missouri River at St Joseph.
* until Saturday evening.
* At 8:30 AM Friday the stage was 16.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by late this morning and continue
to rise to near 17.4 feet by this evening. The river will fall
below flood stage by tonight.
* At 17.0 feet...Lowland flooding upstream and downstream from St.
Joseph occurs.
&&
Latest
Location FS Stage Day/Time Forecast
Missouri River
St Joseph 17 16.9 Fri 08 AM 17.4 this evening
&&
LAT...LON 3991 9501 3990 9489 3975 9483 3964 9488 3970 9505
$$
MOC095-107-177-181436-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0246.150718T1017Z-150720T0200Z/
/NAPM7.1.ER.150718T1017Z.150718T1800Z.150719T0200Z.UU/
937 AM CDT FRI JUL 17 2015
The Flood Warning continues for
The Missouri River at Napoleon.
* from late tonight to Sunday evening.
* At 9:00 AM Friday the stage was 13.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by Saturday morning and continue
to rise to near 17.5 feet by early Saturday afternoon. The river
will fall below flood stage by Saturday before midnight.
* At 17.0 feet...Low-lying areas unprotected by levees begin to
flood.
&&
Latest
Location FS Stage Day/Time Forecast
Missouri River
Napoleon 17 13.2 Fri 09 AM 17.5 early Saturday
afternoon
&&
LAT...LON 3916 9415 3922 9417 3925 9386 3918 9384 3911 9405
$$
MOC033-107-195-181436-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0247.150718T1930Z-150720T1200Z/
/WVYM7.1.ER.150718T1930Z.150719T0000Z.150719T1200Z.NO/
937 AM CDT FRI JUL 17 2015
The Flood Warning continues for
The Missouri River at Waverly.
* from Saturday afternoon to Monday morning.
* At 8:30 AM Friday the stage was 16.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by early Saturday afternoon and
continue to rise to near 20.3 feet by Saturday evening. The river
will fall below flood stage by Sunday morning.
&&
Latest
Location FS Stage Day/Time Forecast
Missouri River
Waverly 20 16.0 Fri 08 AM 20.3 Saturday evening
&&
LAT...LON 3925 9386 3933 9331 3928 9327 3922 9330 3918 9384
$$
MOC033-041-195-181436-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0248.150718T2100Z-150720T2300Z/
/MIAM7.1.ER.150718T2100Z.150719T0600Z.150719T2300Z.NO/
937 AM CDT FRI JUL 17 2015
The Flood Warning continues for
The Missouri River At Miami.
* from Saturday afternoon to Monday evening.
* At 7:53 AM Friday the stage was 14.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by Saturday afternoon and
continue to rise to near 18.9 feet by early Sunday morning. The
river will fall below flood stage by Sunday evening.
* At 18.0 feet...Low-lying rural areas outside of levees begin to
flood.
&&
Latest
Location FS Stage Day/Time Forecast
Missouri River
Miami 18 14.1 Fri 08 AM 18.9 early Sunday morning
&&
LAT...LON 3933 9331 3943 9319 3938 9307 3928 9327
$$
MOC021-181436-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0243.000000T0000Z-150721T0025Z/
/AGYM7.2.ER.150716T1858Z.150718T1800Z.150720T0025Z.NO/
937 AM CDT FRI JUL 17 2015
The Flood Warning continues for
The Platte River near Agency.
* until Monday evening.
* At 8:30 AM Friday the stage was 25.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 27.4 feet by
early Saturday afternoon. The river will fall below flood stage
Sunday evening.
* At 25.0 feet...Flooding begins at the east border of Agency.
* At 20.0 feet...Low-lying areas east of Agency begin to flood.
&&
Latest
Location FS Stage Day/Time Forecast
Platte River
Agency 20 25.0 Fri 08 AM 27.4 early Saturday
afternoon
&&
LAT...LON 3977 9480 3977 9471 3951 9464 3941 9464 3941 9472
$$
MOC165-181436-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0244.150717T1800Z-150722T1552Z/
/SSTM7.2.ER.150717T1800Z.150720T1800Z.150721T1552Z.NO/
937 AM CDT FRI JUL 17 2015
The Flood Warning continues for
The Platte River At Sharps Station.
* from this afternoon to Wednesday morning.
* At 8:30 AM Friday the stage was 25.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 26.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by this afternoon and continue to
rise to near 29.7 feet by early Monday afternoon. The river will
fall below flood stage by late Tuesday morning.
* At 29.0 feet...Backwater from the Platte River floods Highway KK
along the Little Platte River at the location 0.2 miles east of
Highway B.
* At 26.0 feet...Low-lying rural land along the river begins to
flood.
&&
Latest
Location FS Stage Day/Time Forecast
Platte River
Sharps Station 26 25.2 Fri 08 AM 29.7 early Monday afternoon
&&
LAT...LON 3941 9474 3941 9464 3935 9476 3939 9479
$$
MOC165-181436-
/O.CON.KEAX.FL.W.0245.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/PLCM7.2.ER.150717T2248Z.150721T1200Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
937 AM CDT FRI JUL 17 2015
The Flood Warning continues for
The Platte River near Platte City.
* until further notice.
* At 8:22 AM Friday the stage was 17.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by late this afternoon and
continue to rise to near 26.7 feet by Tuesday morning.
* At 25.0 feet...Water overtops 1st Street in Tracy, Missouri.
* At 22.0 feet...Flooding occurs at Humphreys Access Area which is
located 5 miles downstream from Platte City. 300 acres of pasture
are also flooded.
* At 20.0 feet...Cropland near State Highway 92 near Platte City
begins to flood.
&&
Latest
Location FS Stage Day/Time Forecast
Platte River
Platte City 20 17.3 Fri 08 AM 26.7 Tuesday morning
&&
LAT...LON 3939 9479 3935 9476 3927 9481 3929 9484 3933 9483
$$
MOC005-087-171507-
/O.CAN.KEAX.FL.W.0236.000000T0000Z-150718T1533Z/
/FFXM7.2.ER.150716T1012Z.150717T0030Z.150717T1327Z.NO/
937 AM CDT FRI JUL 17 2015
The Flood Warning is cancelled for
The Tarkio River at Fairfax.
* At 9:15 AM Friday the stage was 16.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Fell below flood stage at 8:27 AM Friday.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to 9.7 feet by Saturday
morning.
&&
Latest
Location FS Stage Day/Time Forecast
Tarkio River
Fairfax 17 16.2 Fri 09 AM 14.1 this afternoon
&&
LAT...LON 4044 9543 4044 9534 4018 9538 4019 9546
$$What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Kansas City, MO wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Jul 16, 12:48 AM CDT, 2 hours 21 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jul 16, 12:48 AM CDT, 2 hours 21 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
1248 AM CDT THU JUL 16 2015
.UPDATE...
Issued at 1202 AM CDT WED JUL 15 2015
Quick update late this evening to account for latest radar trends. In
collaboration with adjacent offices and National Centers
(WPC/NESDIS)...have elected to hoist a short-fused flash flood watch
across far northern Missouri. Frontal boundary at this hour remains
draped across far western Missouri...and a strengthening
southwesterly low-level jet leading to strong low-level convergence
and theta-e moisture advection along/north of feature. Storms so far
have quickly morphed from a severe threat into a flash flood threat
with upstream radar trends suggesting a developing
training/backbuilding scenario across southeast NE/southern IA/ and
northern Missouri. Looking at latest SPC meso page...PWAT values are
in excess of 2" across these areas...with experimental layered PW
satellite product showing a healthy feed of tropical moisture from
Hurricane Dolores from the eastern Pacific. Furthermore...700-400
DPVA charts from SPC shows a weak amplitude shortwave approaching
this hour from western NE/northwest KS. Coupled with low-level
frontal boundary convergence...overall consensus is flash flood
threat will continue to increase through the early AM.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 401 PM CDT WED JUL 15 2015
This evening - Tonight:
The main concern in the short term is the potential for severe
weather this evening in which large hail, damaging winds and a few
tornadoes will be possible mainly west of I-35. However, this
afternoon's showers and thunderstorms may limit that potential.
Models have not been handling the evolving situation well this
afternoon and currently would suggest temperatures in the upper 80s
to mid 90s across western Missouri and eastern Kansas. Temperatures
however remain in the the upper 70s and lower 80s which has limited
instability. That being said, 40-50kts of 0-6KM shear is analyzed
across extreme northwestern Missouri however instability is
significantly lower than models suggest but still a modest 1000-
1500J/Kg of MLCAPE. Further south across southeast Kansas a cu deck
has developed in an area of extreme instability but weak shear.
these will be the two areas to monitor for storm development.
However, it is the northern area that will have the potential for
severe storms. If storms do develop it will occur on the backside of
current storms across north central Kansas where temperatures have
warmed into the lower 90s and dewpoints have risen under WAA. If
these thunderstorms do develop with the good shear over those areas,
it is possible for supercells to develop and move into northwestern
Missouri. It is these storms that would be capable of damaging winds
large hail and possibly a tornado.
Otherwise, later tonight, a wave is expected to eject out the
western Plains and move into the area as a 40-50KT LLJ develops and
noses into southeastern Nebraska/southwest Iowa. An overnight MCS is
expected to develop mainly north of the area however, the southern
periphery f that complex will bring showers and thunderstorms to
northern Missouri.
Tomorrow through Tomorrow night:
Once the overnight MCS clears the area tomorrow morning,
temperatures are expected to warm quickly into the upper 80s to mid
90s. This will lead to strong instability during the day tomorrow.
This will allow for the possibility of thunderstorm development on
any outflow that could trigger storm. Shear is expected to be weak
so storms main be more pulse-like in nature. However, isolated
severe storms may be possible with damaging winds and large hail.
Thursday night a LLJ is again expected to develop and models suggest
the possibility of additional thunderstorm development as an upper
level shortwave traverses the area.
Friday through Saturday:
This period should remain relatively dry as the upper level ridge
builds north into the area and the storm track should shift north of
the area. The best chance for thunderstorm activity would be extreme
northern Missouri. Also, with the ridge building across the area,
highs should warm into the low to perhaps mid 90s.
Sunday - Wednesday:
An upper trough will dig southward into the Plains and Upper Midwest
pushing a cold front into the area. Scattered showers and
thunderstorms will develop along this front during the day. This
front is expected to be slow mover and not exit the area until
Monday morning. Conditions look mainly dry beyond Monday morning as
an upper level ridge looks to build back over the area by midweek.
&&
.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Thursday Night)
Issued at 1247 AM CDT THU JUL 16 2015
Convective activity overnight looks to remain near the Iowa-Missouri
border and is thus not expected to affect the KC terminals through
the morning hours. However, the KSTJ terminal farther north may have
some storms to deal with, so have included VCTS for part of the
morning hours. Later today winds get a little gusty as boundary
layer mixing kicks in with a fleeting chance for more thunderstorm
development Thursday evening, though specific confidence in storms
for Thursday night is rather low.
&&
.EAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
MO...FLASH FLOOD WATCH until 10 AM CDT this morning for MOZ001>008-
011>017.
&&
UPDATE...32
DISCUSSION...73
AVIATION...CutterHazardous weather outlook, Jul 15, 5:03 AM CDT, 22 hours 6 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO 503 AM CDT WED JUL 15 2015 KSZ025-057-060-102>105-MOZ001>008-011>017-020>025-028>033-037>040- 043>046-053-054-161015- ATCHISON KS-MIAMI-LINN KS-DONIPHAN-LEAVENWORTH-WYANDOTTE-JOHNSON KS- ATCHISON MO-NODAWAY-WORTH-GENTRY-HARRISON-MERCER-PUTNAM-SCHUYLER- HOLT-ANDREW-DE KALB-DAVIESS-GRUNDY-SULLIVAN-ADAIR-BUCHANAN-CLINTON- CALDWELL-LIVINGSTON-LINN MO-MACON-PLATTE-CLAY-RAY-CARROLL-CHARITON- RANDOLPH-JACKSON-LAFAYETTE-SALINE-HOWARD-CASS-JOHNSON MO-PETTIS- COOPER-BATES-HENRY- 503 AM CDT WED JUL 15 2015 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST...NORTH CENTRAL AND WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI...AS WELL AS EXTREME EASTERN KANSAS. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT THERE IS A CHANCE FOR ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS TODAY AND TONIGHT ACROSS FAR NORTHWEST MISSOURI AND NORTHEAST KANSAS. LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH ANY SEVERE ACTIVITY. WARM AND HUMID CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TODAY...WITH AFTERNOON HEAT INDEX VALUES REACHING IN THE UPPER 90 TO LOWER 100 DEGREE RANGE. MORE DETAILED INFORMATION CAN BE ACCESSED AT... HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/EAX/HWO .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY WARM AND HUMID CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE RIGHT THROUGH THE UPCOMING WEEKEND. HEAT INDEX VALUES WILL REACH THE UPPER 90 TO LOWER 100 DEGREE RANGE MOST AFTERNOONS. MORE DETAILED INFORMATION CAN BE ACCESSED AT... HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/EAX/HWO
In the hours before
Local storm report, Jul 16, 2:00 AM CDT, 1 hour 9 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
200 AM CDT THU JUL 16 2015
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0154 AM FLASH FLOOD 2 WSW ARKOE 40.24N 94.87W
07/16/2015 NODAWAY MO LAW ENFORCEMENT
REPORT OF WATER OVER THE ROADWAY NEAR HWY 71 AND DEGASE
FEED, MAKING IT IMPASSIBLE
&&
LGLocal storm report, Jul 16, 2:05 AM CDT, 1 hour 4 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
205 AM CDT THU JUL 16 2015
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0154 AM FLASH FLOOD 1 SE MAYSVILLE 39.87N 94.35W
07/16/2015 DEKALB MO LAW ENFORCEMENT
REPORT OF CORN STALKS OVER ROUTE A DUE TO FLOWING WATER,
MAKING TRAVEL DIFFICULT
&&
LGLocal storm report, Jul 16, 2:28 AM CDT, 41 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
228 AM CDT THU JUL 16 2015
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0227 AM FLASH FLOOD 1 W STANBERRY 40.22N 94.55W
07/16/2015 GENTRY MO LAW ENFORCEMENT
WATER FLOWING OVER US HWY 136, MAKING IT IMPASSABLE
&&
LGLocal storm report, Jul 16, 2:29 AM CDT, 40 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
229 AM CDT THU JUL 16 2015
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0227 AM FLASH FLOOD 1 SSE STANBERRY 40.20N 94.53W
07/16/2015 GENTRY MO LAW ENFORCEMENT
WATER FLOWING OVER US HWY 169, MAKING IT IMPASSABLE
&&
LGLocal storm report, Jul 16, 2:30 AM CDT, 39 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
230 AM CDT THU JUL 16 2015
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0227 AM HEAVY RAIN STANBERRY 40.22N 94.54W
07/16/2015 M8.00 INCH GENTRY MO LAW ENFORCEMENT
REPORT RELAYED TO LAW ENFORCEMENT OF 8 INCHES OF RAIN
MEASURED OVER A THREE AND A HALF HOUR PERIOD
&&
LGLocal storm report, Jul 16, 3:07 AM CDT, 2 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
307 AM CDT THU JUL 16 2015
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0200 AM FLASH FLOOD MARYVILLE 40.34N 94.87W
07/16/2015 NODAWAY MO PUBLIC
WATER FLOWING OVER THE ROAD IN A RESIDENTAL NEIGHBORHOOD.
PICTURES SUBMITTED VIA FB.
&&
LGThe office that day
Everything else NWS Kansas City, MO issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 15, 10:01 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | EAX | Holt | 44 min |
| Jul 15, 10:36 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | EAX | Holt | 39 min |
| Jul 15, 10:40 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EAX | Andrew, Holt, Nodaway | 35 min |
| Jul 15, 10:55 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | EAX | Gentry, Worth | 35 min |
| Jul 15, 10:56 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | EAX | Andrew | 34 min |
| Jul 15, 11:01 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EAX | Andrew, DeKalb, Gentry | 33 min |
| Jul 15, 11:02 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EAX | Gentry, Worth | 43 min |
| Jul 15, 11:16 PM CDT | Areal Flood Advisory | EAX | Andrew, Atchison, DeKalb, Gentry, Holt, Nodaway | 6 hr |
| Jul 15, 11:41 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | EAX | Andrew, DeKalb, Gentry, Holt, Nodaway | 10 hr |
| Jul 15, 11:43 PM CDT | Flash Flood Watch | EAX | Adair, Andrew, Atchison, Daviess, DeKalb, Gentry and 9 more | 10 hr |
| Jul 15, 11:45 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | EAX | Gentry | 30 min |
| Jul 16, 12:01 AM CDT | Special Weather Statement | EAX | Nodaway | 29 min |
| Jul 16, 12:14 AM CDT | Special Weather Statement | EAX | Atchison | 31 min |
| Jul 16, 12:18 AM CDT | Areal Flood Advisory | EAX | Atchison, Gentry, Nodaway, Worth | 5 hr |
| Jul 16, 12:33 AM CDT | Special Weather Statement | EAX | Gentry | 42 min |
| Jul 16, 1:19 AM CDT | Special Weather Statement | EAX | Gentry | 41 min |
| Jul 16, 1:39 AM CDT | Special Weather Statement | EAX | Nodaway | 21 min |
| Jul 16, 1:54 AM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | EAX | Atchison, Gentry, Nodaway, Worth | 8 hr |
| Jul 16, 2:20 AM CDT | River Flood Warning | EAX | Andrew, Nodaway | 7 days |
| Jul 16, 2:20 AM CDT | River Flood Warning | EAX | Andrew, Holt, Nodaway | 7 days |
| Jul 16, 4:36 AM CDT | River Flood Warning | EAX | Andrew, Buchanan | 3 days |
| Jul 16, 5:09 AM CDT | Areal Flood Advisory | EAX | Andrew, Atchison, Holt | 4 hr |
| Jul 16, 6:47 AM CDT | Areal Flood Advisory | EAX | Mercer, Putnam, Sullivan | 4 hr |
| Jul 16, 8:33 AM CDT | River Flood Warning | EAX | Daviess, Gentry | 3 days |
| Jul 16, 8:33 AM CDT | River Flood Warning | EAX | Daviess, Livingston | 3 days |
| Jul 16, 8:33 AM CDT | River Flood Warning | EAX | Linn, Livingston | 5 days |
| Jul 16, 8:33 AM CDT | River Flood Warning | EAX | Carroll, Chariton, Linn, Livingston | 7 days |
| Jul 16, 9:24 AM CDT | River Flood Warning | EAX | Carroll, Chariton | 7 days |
| Jul 16, 9:43 AM CDT | River Flood Warning | EAX | Buchanan | 5 days |
| Jul 16, 9:43 AM CDT | River Flood Warning | EAX | Platte | 10 days |
| Jul 16, 9:43 AM CDT | River Flood Warning | EAX | Platte | 7 days |
| Jul 16, 9:44 AM CDT | Areal Flood Warning | EAX | Andrew, Atchison, DeKalb, Gentry, Holt, Nodaway and 1 more | 6 hr |
| Jul 16, 10:23 AM CDT | River Flood Warning | EAX | Jackson, Lafayette, Ray | 4 days |
| Jul 16, 10:23 AM CDT | River Flood Warning | EAX | Carroll, Lafayette, Saline | 6 days |
| Jul 16, 10:23 AM CDT | River Flood Warning | EAX | Carroll, Chariton, Saline | 7 days |
| Jul 16, 3:46 PM CDT | Heat Advisory | EAX | Adair, Andrew, Atchison, Bates, Buchanan, Caldwell and 31 more | 53 hr |
| Jul 16, 3:56 PM CDT | River Flood Warning | EAX | Andrew, Buchanan | 55 hr |
| Jul 16, 4:20 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | EAX | Adair | 40 min |
| Jul 16, 4:34 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EAX | Adair, Putnam, Schuyler, Sullivan | 41 min |
| Jul 16, 5:15 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | EAX | Adair | 45 min |
| Jul 16, 5:26 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EAX | Adair, Macon | 34 min |
| Jul 16, 5:43 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EAX | Adair, Macon | 32 min |
Nearby
River Flood Warnings in Missouri, 2015Every river flood warning in 2015
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.