Alert archive / Missouri / River Flood Warnings in 2015
River Flood Warning 154, NWS Kansas City, MO
NWS Kansas City, MO issued this river flood warning at Jun 15, 2015, 3:29 PM CDT for Andrew County, Buchanan County, Missouri. It took effect at Jun 15, 2015, 9:47 PM CDT. It was in force for 55 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Jun 15, 2015, 3:29 PM CDT (20:29 UTC)
- In effect from
- Jun 15, 2015, 9:47 PM CDT
- Expired
- Jun 18, 2015, 4:36 AM CDT
- In force
- 55 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Kansas City, MO
- Area
- Storm-based polygon
- Flood severity
- Moderate
Counties Andrew County, MO, Buchanan County, MO
The radar
The Pleasant Hill radar (KEAX), 140 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:33 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The river
Written for the forecast point 102 River at Rosendale (RSDM7).
- Action stage
- 13 ft
- Minor stage
- 18 ft
- Moderate stage
- 18.11 ft
- Major stage
- 23 ft
This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests
Stage from the USGS instantaneous record, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
668
WGUS43 KEAX 152029
FLWEAX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
329 PM CDT MON JUN 15 2015
...The National Weather Service in Pleasant Hill Mo has issued a
flood warning for the following rivers in Missouri...
102 River at Maryville affecting Andrew and Nodaway Counties.
102 River at Rosendale affecting Andrew and Buchanan Counties.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Do not drive through flowing water. Nearly half of all flood
fatalities are vehicle related. As little as 6 inches of water may
cause you to lose control of your vehicle. Two feet of water will
carry most vehicles away.This product along with additional weather
and stream information is available at www.weather.gov/kc/.
&&
MOC003-147-162029-
/O.NEW.KEAX.FL.W.0153.150615T2244Z-150617T1648Z/
/MYVM7.1.ER.150615T2244Z.150616T0600Z.150616T1648Z.UU/
329 PM CDT MON JUN 15 2015
The National Weather Service in Pleasant Hill Mo has issued a
* Flood Warning for
The 102 River at Maryville.
* until Wednesday morning.
* At 2:30 PM Monday the stage was 17.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by late this afternoon and
continue to rise to near 19.0 feet by early Tuesday morning. The
river will fall below flood stage by late Tuesday morning.
* At 18.0 feet...The east bank of the river floods. Water also
approaches the village of Arkoe.
&&
Latest
Location FS Stage Day/Time Forecast
102 River
Maryville 18 17.2 Mon 02 PM 19.0 early Tuesday morning
&&
LAT...LON 4057 9477 4013 9478 4013 9488 4057 9488
$$
MOC003-021-162028-
/O.NEW.KEAX.FL.W.0154.150616T1004Z-150618T0936Z/
/RSDM7.2.ER.150616T1004Z.150616T1800Z.150617T0936Z.NO/
329 PM CDT MON JUN 15 2015
The National Weather Service in Pleasant Hill Mo has issued a
* Flood Warning for
The 102 River at Rosendale.
* from late tonight to late Wednesday night.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is forecast to have a maximum value of 20.0
feet early Tuesday afternoon.
* At 20.0 feet...State Route 48 is flooded on the east and west sides
of town which prevents travel in or out of town.
* At 19.0 feet...State Route 48 on the east and west sides of
Rosendale is under water.
* At 18.0 feet...State Route 48 on the east side of Rosendale is
overtopped by flood waters.
* At 13.0 feet...Lowland agricultural flooding begins.
&&
Latest
Location FS Stage Day/Time Forecast
102 River
Rosendale 18 20.0 early Tuesday
afternoon
&&
LAT...LON 4013 9488 4013 9478 3977 9471 3977 9480 4004 9486
$$5 follow-up statements
973
WGUS83 KEAX 160247
FLSEAX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
947 PM CDT MON JUN 15 2015
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in
Missouri...
102 River at Maryville affecting Andrew and Nodaway Counties.
102 River at Rosendale affecting Andrew and Buchanan Counties.
Platte River near Agency affecting Buchanan County.
Platte River At Sharps Station affecting Platte County.
Platte River near Platte City affecting Platte County.
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in
Missouri...Kansas...
Grand River near Sumner affecting Livingston...Carroll...Chariton
and Linn Counties.
Grand River near Brunswick affecting Carroll and Chariton Counties.
Missouri River at St Joseph affecting Doniphan...Andrew and
Buchanan Counties.
Missouri River at Atchison affecting Atchison...Buchanan and Platte
Counties.
Missouri River at Sibley affecting Clay...Jackson and Ray Counties.
Missouri River at Napoleon affecting Jackson...Lafayette and Ray
Counties.
Missouri River at Waverly affecting Carroll...Lafayette and Saline
Counties.
Missouri River At Miami affecting Carroll...Chariton and Saline
Counties.
Missouri River at Glasgow affecting Chariton...Howard and Saline
Counties.
Missouri River at Boonville affecting Cooper and Howard Counties.
Tarkio River at Fairfax affecting Atchison and Holt Counties.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Do not drive through flowing water. Nearly half of all flood
fatalities are vehicle related. As little as 6 inches of water may
cause you to lose control of your vehicle. Two feet of water will
carry most vehicles away.This product along with additional weather
and stream information is available at www.weather.gov/kc/.
&&
MOC003-147-170247-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0153.000000T0000Z-150617T2140Z/
/MYVM7.1.ER.150615T2112Z.150616T0600Z.150616T2140Z.UU/
947 PM CDT MON JUN 15 2015
The Flood Warning continues for
The 102 River at Maryville.
* until Wednesday afternoon.
* At 9:30 PM Monday the stage was 20.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 21.0 feet by
early Tuesday morning. The river will fall below flood stage
Tuesday afternoon.
* At 18.0 feet...The east bank of the river floods. Water also
approaches the village of Arkoe.
&&
Latest
Location FS Stage Day/Time Forecast
102 River
Maryville 18 20.0 Mon 09 PM 21.0 early Tuesday morning
&&
LAT...LON 4057 9477 4013 9478 4013 9488 4057 9488
$$
MOC003-021-170246-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0154.150616T0247Z-150618T0936Z/
/RSDM7.2.ER.150616T0207Z.150616T1200Z.150617T0936Z.NO/
947 PM CDT MON JUN 15 2015
The Flood Warning continues for
The 102 River at Rosendale.
* from this evening to late Wednesday night.
* At 7:55 PM Monday the stage was 17.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by tonight and continue to rise
to near 20.3 feet by Tuesday morning. The river will fall below
flood stage by Wednesday morning.
* At 20.0 feet...State Route 48 is flooded on the east and west sides
of town which prevents travel in or out of town.
* At 19.0 feet...State Route 48 on the east and west sides of
Rosendale is under water.
* At 18.0 feet...State Route 48 on the east side of Rosendale is
overtopped by flood waters.
* At 13.0 feet...Lowland agricultural flooding begins.
&&
Latest
Location FS Stage Day/Time Forecast
102 River
Rosendale 18 17.4 Mon 08 PM 20.3 Tuesday morning
&&
LAT...LON 4013 9488 4013 9478 3977 9471 3977 9480 4004 9486
$$
MOC033-041-115-117-170246-
/O.CON.KEAX.FL.W.0129.000000T0000Z-150620T0100Z/
/SNZM7.2.ER.150612T2151Z.150617T0000Z.150619T0100Z.NO/
947 PM CDT MON JUN 15 2015
The Flood Warning continues for
The Grand River near Sumner.
* until Friday evening.
* At 8:45 PM Monday the stage was 24.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 26.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by Tuesday morning and continue
to rise to near 31.0 feet by Tuesday evening. The river will fall
below flood stage by Thursday evening.
* At 28.0 feet...Rural roads are under water.
* At 26.0 feet...Rural land adjacent to the river is flooded.
* At 23.0 feet...Bottomland 1 to 2 miles south of the gage begins to
flood.
&&
Latest
Location FS Stage Day/Time Forecast
Grand River
Sumner 26 24.0 Mon 09 PM 31.0 Tuesday evening
&&
LAT...LON 3967 9343 3978 9343 3970 9327 3953 9321 3951 9330
$$
MOC033-041-170246-
/O.CON.KEAX.FL.W.0130.000000T0000Z-150621T1338Z/
/BRNM7.1.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.150620T1338Z.UU/
947 PM CDT MON JUN 15 2015
The Flood Warning continues for
The Grand River near Brunswick.
* until Sunday morning.
* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is forecast to have a maximum value of 22.1
feet early Thursday afternoon.
* At 22.0 feet...Low-lying areas along the east bank of the Grand
River near the U.S. Highway 24 bridge begin to flood.
* At 19.0 feet...Flooding of low-lying areas occurs along the west
bank of the Grand River near the U.S. Highway 24 bridge about 1
mile west of Brunswick.
&&
Latest
Location FS Stage Day/Time Forecast
Grand River
Brunswick 19 22.1 early Thursday
afternoon
&&
LAT...LON 3951 9330 3953 9321 3938 9307 3938 9313 3945 9327
$$
KSC043-MOC003-021-170246-
/O.CON.KEAX.FL.W.0131.000000T0000Z-150620T0210Z/
/SJSM7.2.ER.150612T0439Z.150613T0345Z.150619T0210Z.NO/
947 PM CDT MON JUN 15 2015
The Flood Warning continues for
The Missouri River at St Joseph.
* until Friday evening.
* At 9:30 PM Monday the stage was 17.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by tonight and continue to rise
to near 20.4 feet by early Wednesday afternoon. The river will fall
below flood stage by Thursday before midnight.
* At 19.0 feet...Backwater from the Missouri River floods property
along the Nodaway river at Nodaway, Missouri.
* At 17.0 feet...Lowland flooding upstream and downstream from St.
Joseph occurs.
&&
Latest
Location FS Stage Day/Time Forecast
Missouri River
St Joseph 17 17.0 Mon 09 PM 20.4 early Wednesday
afternoon
&&
LAT...LON 3991 9501 3990 9489 3975 9483 3964 9488 3970 9505
$$
KSC005-MOC021-165-170246-
/O.CON.KEAX.FL.W.0132.000000T0000Z-150619T2300Z/
/ATCK1.1.ER.150616T1800Z.000000T0000Z.150618T2300Z.NO/
947 PM CDT MON JUN 15 2015
The Flood Warning continues for
The Missouri River at Atchison.
* until Friday evening.
* Flood stage is 22.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is forecast to have a maximum value of 23.4
feet Wednesday evening.
* At 22.0 feet...Low-lying areas on the Missouri side of the river
begin to flood.
&&
Latest
Location FS Stage Day/Time Forecast
Missouri River
Atchison 22 23.4 Wednesday evening
&&
LAT...LON 3970 9505 3964 9488 3942 9493 3942 9508 3958 9516
$$
MOC047-095-177-170246-
/O.CON.KEAX.FL.W.0134.000000T0000Z-150620T2125Z/
/SBEM7.1.ER.150612T2146Z.150614T1413Z.150619T2125Z.NO/
947 PM CDT MON JUN 15 2015
The Flood Warning continues for
The Missouri River at Sibley.
* until Saturday afternoon.
* At 5:19 PM Monday the stage was 23.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 22.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 24.9 feet by
early Thursday morning. The river will fall below flood stage
Friday afternoon.
* At 22.0 feet...Low-lying rural areas along the river and outside of
levee protection flood.
&&
Latest
Location FS Stage Day/Time Forecast
Missouri River
Sibley 22 23.8 Mon 05 PM 24.9 early Thursday morning
&&
LAT...LON 3925 9431 3922 9417 3916 9415 3918 9420 3918 9432
$$
MOC095-107-177-170246-
/O.CON.KEAX.FL.W.0135.000000T0000Z-150621T0700Z/
/NAPM7.1.ER.150612T1417Z.150614T0415Z.150620T0700Z.UU/
947 PM CDT MON JUN 15 2015
The Flood Warning continues for
The Missouri River at Napoleon.
* until late Saturday night.
* At 9:00 PM Monday the stage was 20.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 21.2 feet by
early Thursday morning. The river will fall below flood stage early
Saturday morning.
* At 17.0 feet...Low-lying areas unprotected by levees begin to
flood.
&&
Latest
Location FS Stage Day/Time Forecast
Missouri River
Napoleon 17 20.2 Mon 09 PM 21.2 early Thursday morning
&&
LAT...LON 3916 9415 3922 9417 3925 9386 3918 9384 3911 9405
$$
MOC033-107-195-170246-
/O.CON.KEAX.FL.W.0097.000000T0000Z-150621T1900Z/
/WVYM7.2.ER.150604T0345Z.150607T1545Z.150620T1900Z.NR/
947 PM CDT MON JUN 15 2015
The Flood Warning continues for
The Missouri River at Waverly.
* until Sunday afternoon.
* At 9:30 PM Monday the stage was 23.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 24.2 feet by
early Thursday morning. The river will fall below flood stage early
Saturday afternoon.
* At 23.5 feet...Rural areas along the river which are not protected
by levees flood.
&&
Latest
Location FS Stage Day/Time Forecast
Missouri River
Waverly 20 23.9 Mon 09 PM 24.2 early Thursday morning
&&
LAT...LON 3925 9386 3933 9331 3928 9327 3922 9330 3918 9384
$$
MOC033-041-195-170246-
/O.CON.KEAX.FL.W.0098.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MIAM7.2.ER.150604T0658Z.150607T2304Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
947 PM CDT MON JUN 15 2015
The Flood Warning continues for
The Missouri River At Miami.
* until further notice.
* At 8:02 PM Monday the stage was 24.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to a stage of 21.9 feet
by Wednesday morning.
* At 18.0 feet...Low-lying rural areas outside of levees begin to
flood.
&&
Latest
Location FS Stage Day/Time Forecast
Missouri River
Miami 18 24.0 Mon 08 PM 23.3 early Thursday
afternoon
&&
LAT...LON 3933 9331 3943 9319 3938 9307 3928 9327
$$
MOC041-089-195-170246-
/O.CON.KEAX.FL.W.0136.000000T0000Z-150621T2024Z/
/GLZM7.2.ER.150613T1345Z.150615T0815Z.150620T2024Z.UU/
947 PM CDT MON JUN 15 2015
The Flood Warning continues for
The Missouri River at Glasgow.
* until Sunday afternoon.
* At 9:30 PM Monday the stage was 29.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by
Saturday afternoon.
* At 27.0 feet...Many agricultural levees are overtopped. Widespread
flooding of rural areas occurs. Secondary roads and homes behind
levees may be inundated.
* At 25.0 feet...Farmland along the river floods.
&&
Latest
Location FS Stage Day/Time Forecast
Missouri River
Glasgow 25 29.4 Mon 09 PM 28.8 early Tuesday morning
&&
LAT...LON 3935 9314 3939 9305 3924 9279 3906 9287 3907 9296
$$
MOC053-089-170246-
/O.CON.KEAX.FL.W.0137.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/BOZM7.1.ER.150613T1833Z.150615T1445Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
947 PM CDT MON JUN 15 2015
The Flood Warning continues for
The Missouri River at Boonville.
* until further notice.
* At 9:30 PM Monday the stage was 26.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 21.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 26.2 feet by
early Tuesday morning then begin falling.
* At 25.0 feet...Numerous farm levees are overtopped. Flooding of
agricultural land and secondary roads occurs.
* At 21.0 feet...Low-lying rural areas along the river flood.
&&
Latest
Location FS Stage Day/Time Forecast
Missouri River
Boonville 21 26.1 Mon 09 PM 26.2 early Tuesday morning
&&
LAT...LON 3908 9297 3902 9255 3894 9259 3896 9286 3903 9298
$$
MOC021-170246-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0139.000000T0000Z-150619T1415Z/
/AGYM7.2.ER.150612T0624Z.150614T0430Z.150618T1415Z.NO/
947 PM CDT MON JUN 15 2015
The Flood Warning continues for
The Platte River near Agency.
* until Friday morning.
* At 9:30 PM Monday the stage was 25.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 27.1 feet by
early Wednesday morning. The river will fall below flood stage late
Thursday morning.
* At 25.0 feet...Flooding begins at the east border of Agency.
* At 20.0 feet...Low-lying areas east of Agency begin to flood.
&&
Latest
Location FS Stage Day/Time Forecast
Platte River
Agency 20 25.1 Mon 09 PM 27.1 early Wednesday
morning
&&
LAT...LON 3977 9480 3977 9471 3951 9464 3941 9464 3941 9472
$$
MOC165-170246-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0140.000000T0000Z-150621T0534Z/
/SSTM7.2.ER.150612T2323Z.150617T0600Z.150620T0534Z.NO/
947 PM CDT MON JUN 15 2015
The Flood Warning continues for
The Platte River At Sharps Station.
* until late Saturday night.
* At 9:30 PM Monday the stage was 30.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 26.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 30.8 feet by
early Wednesday morning. The river will fall below flood stage
early Saturday morning.
* At 30.5 feet...Interurban Road floods about 1.5 miles southeast of
Sharps Station.
* At 29.0 feet...Backwater from the Platte River floods Highway KK
along the Little Platte River at the location 0.2 miles east of
Highway B.
* At 26.0 feet...Low-lying rural land along the river begins to
flood.
&&
Latest
Location FS Stage Day/Time Forecast
Platte River
Sharps Station 26 30.4 Mon 09 PM 30.8 early Wednesday
morning
&&
LAT...LON 3941 9474 3941 9464 3935 9476 3939 9479
$$
MOC165-170246-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0141.000000T0000Z-150621T1125Z/
/PLCM7.2.ER.150613T0604Z.150617T1200Z.150620T1125Z.UU/
947 PM CDT MON JUN 15 2015
The Flood Warning continues for
The Platte River near Platte City.
* until Sunday morning.
* At 7:58 PM Monday the stage was 23.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 25.3 feet by
Wednesday morning. The river will fall below flood stage Saturday
morning.
* At 25.0 feet...Water overtops 1st Street in Tracy, Missouri.
* At 22.0 feet...Flooding occurs at Humphreys Access Area which is
located 5 miles downstream from Platte City. 300 acres of pasture
are also flooded.
* At 20.0 feet...Cropland near State Highway 92 near Platte City
begins to flood.
&&
Latest
Location FS Stage Day/Time Forecast
Platte River
Platte City 20 23.5 Mon 08 PM 25.3 Wednesday morning
&&
LAT...LON 3939 9479 3935 9476 3927 9481 3929 9484 3933 9483
$$
MOC005-087-170246-
/O.CON.KEAX.FL.W.0155.000000T0000Z-150617T1708Z/
/FFXM7.2.ER.150615T2059Z.150616T0600Z.150616T1708Z.NO/
947 PM CDT MON JUN 15 2015
The Flood Warning continues for
The Tarkio River at Fairfax.
* until Wednesday afternoon.
* At 9:15 PM Monday the stage was 22.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 23.6 feet by
early Tuesday morning. The river will fall below flood stage early
Tuesday afternoon.
* At 19.0 feet...Flooding begins in the vicinity of Corning.
* At 18.0 feet...U.S. Highway 59 north of Fairfax begins to flood.
* At 17.0 feet...Low-lying farm fields begin to flood.
&&
Latest
Location FS Stage Day/Time Forecast
Tarkio River
Fairfax 17 22.8 Mon 09 PM 23.6 early Tuesday morning
&&
LAT...LON 4044 9543 4044 9534 4018 9538 4019 9546
$$175
WGUS83 KEAX 160626
FLSEAX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
126 AM CDT TUE JUN 16 2015
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in
Missouri...
102 River at Maryville affecting Andrew and Nodaway Counties.
Tarkio River at Fairfax affecting Atchison and Holt Counties.
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in
Missouri...
102 River at Rosendale affecting Andrew and Buchanan Counties.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Do not drive through flowing water. Nearly half of all flood
fatalities are vehicle related. As little as 6 inches of water may
cause you to lose control of your vehicle. Two feet of water will
carry most vehicles away.This product along with additional weather
and stream information is available at www.weather.gov/kc/.
&&
MOC003-147-170626-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0153.000000T0000Z-150618T0634Z/
/MYVM7.1.ER.150615T2112Z.150616T1200Z.150617T0634Z.UU/
126 AM CDT TUE JUN 16 2015
The Flood Warning continues for
The 102 River at Maryville.
* until late Wednesday night.
* At 12:30 AM Tuesday the stage was 21.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 22.4 feet by this
morning. The river will fall below flood stage early Wednesday
morning.
* At 18.0 feet...The east bank of the river floods. Water also
approaches the village of Arkoe.
&&
Latest
Location FS Stage Day/Time Forecast
102 River
Maryville 18 21.9 Tue 12 AM 22.4 this morning
&&
LAT...LON 4057 9477 4013 9478 4013 9488 4057 9488
$$
MOC003-021-170625-
/O.CON.KEAX.FL.W.0154.000000T0000Z-150618T0936Z/
/RSDM7.2.ER.150616T0321Z.150616T1200Z.150617T0936Z.NO/
126 AM CDT TUE JUN 16 2015
The Flood Warning continues for
The 102 River at Rosendale.
* until late Wednesday night.
* At 7:55 PM Monday the stage was 17.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise to rise to near 20.3 feet early this morning. The river will
fall below flood stage by Wednesday morning.
* At 20.0 feet...State Route 48 is flooded on the east and west sides
of town which prevents travel in or out of town.
* At 19.0 feet...State Route 48 on the east and west sides of
Rosendale is under water.
* At 18.0 feet...State Route 48 on the east side of Rosendale is
overtopped by flood waters.
* At 13.0 feet...Lowland agricultural flooding begins.
&&
Latest
Location FS Stage Day/Time Forecast
102 River
Rosendale 18 17.4 Mon 08 PM 20.3 this morning
&&
LAT...LON 4013 9488 4013 9478 3977 9471 3977 9480 4004 9486
$$
MOC005-087-170625-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0155.000000T0000Z-150617T1825Z/
/FFXM7.2.ER.150615T2059Z.150616T0500Z.150616T1825Z.NO/
126 AM CDT TUE JUN 16 2015
The Flood Warning continues for
The Tarkio River at Fairfax.
* until Wednesday afternoon.
* At 12:15 AM Tuesday the stage was 23.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will fall to below flood stage by
this afternoon.
* At 19.0 feet...Flooding begins in the vicinity of Corning.
* At 18.0 feet...U.S. Highway 59 north of Fairfax begins to flood.
* At 17.0 feet...Low-lying farm fields begin to flood.
&&
Latest
Location FS Stage Day/Time Forecast
Tarkio River
Fairfax 17 23.7 Tue 12 AM 22.1 this morning
&&
LAT...LON 4044 9543 4044 9534 4018 9538 4019 9546
$$910
WGUS83 KEAX 161431
FLSEAX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
931 AM CDT TUE JUN 16 2015
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in
Missouri...
102 River at Maryville affecting Andrew and Nodaway Counties.
102 River at Rosendale affecting Andrew and Buchanan Counties.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Do not drive through flowing water. Nearly half of all flood
fatalities are vehicle related. As little as 6 inches of water may
cause you to lose control of your vehicle. Two feet of water will
carry most vehicles away.This product along with additional weather
and stream information is available at www.weather.gov/kc/.
&&
MOC003-147-171431-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0153.000000T0000Z-150618T1221Z/
/MYVM7.2.ER.150615T2112Z.150616T1115Z.150617T1221Z.UU/
931 AM CDT TUE JUN 16 2015
The Flood Warning continues for
The 102 River at Maryville.
* until Thursday morning.
* At 8:30 AM Tuesday the stage was 23.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by
Wednesday morning.
* At 18.0 feet...The east bank of the river floods. Water also
approaches the village of Arkoe.
&&
Latest
Location FS Stage Day/Time Forecast
102 River
Maryville 18 23.2 Tue 08 AM 22.4 this afternoon
&&
LAT...LON 4057 9477 4013 9478 4013 9488 4057 9488
$$
MOC003-021-171430-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0154.000000T0000Z-150618T1115Z/
/RSDM7.2.ER.150616T0410Z.150616T1221Z.150617T1115Z.NO/
931 AM CDT TUE JUN 16 2015
The Flood Warning continues for
The 102 River at Rosendale.
* until Thursday morning.
* At 7:21 AM Tuesday the stage was 19.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by
Wednesday morning.
* At 20.0 feet...State Route 48 is flooded on the east and west sides
of town which prevents travel in or out of town.
* At 19.0 feet...State Route 48 on the east and west sides of
Rosendale is under water.
* At 18.0 feet...State Route 48 on the east side of Rosendale is
overtopped by flood waters.
* At 13.0 feet...Lowland agricultural flooding begins.
&&
Latest
Location FS Stage Day/Time Forecast
102 River
Rosendale 18 19.6 Tue 07 AM 19.6 this afternoon
&&
LAT...LON 4013 9488 4013 9478 3977 9471 3977 9480 4004 9486
$$782
WGUS83 KEAX 170222
FLSEAX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
922 PM CDT TUE JUN 16 2015
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in
Missouri...Kansas...
102 River at Rosendale affecting Andrew and Buchanan Counties.
Grand River near Sumner affecting Livingston...Carroll...Chariton
and Linn Counties.
Missouri River at St Joseph affecting Doniphan...Andrew and Buchanan
Counties.
Missouri River at Atchison affecting Atchison...Buchanan and Platte
Counties.
Missouri River at Leavenworth affecting Leavenworth and Platte
Counties.
Missouri River at Sibley affecting Clay...Jackson and Ray Counties.
Missouri River at Napoleon affecting Jackson...Lafayette and Ray
Counties.
Missouri River at Waverly affecting Carroll...Lafayette and Saline
Counties.
Missouri River at Boonville affecting Cooper and Howard Counties.
Platte River near Agency affecting Buchanan County.
Platte River At Sharps Station affecting Platte County.
Platte River near Platte City affecting Platte County.
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in
Missouri...
Grand River near Brunswick affecting Carroll and Chariton Counties.
Missouri River At Miami affecting Carroll...Chariton and Saline
Counties.
Missouri River at Glasgow affecting Chariton...Howard and Saline
Counties.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Do not drive through flowing water. Nearly half of all flood
fatalities are vehicle related. As little as 6 inches of water may
cause you to lose control of your vehicle. Two feet of water will
carry most vehicles away.This product along with additional weather
and stream information is available at www.weather.gov/kc/.
&&
MOC003-021-180222-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0154.000000T0000Z-150618T0709Z/
/RSDM7.2.ER.150616T0410Z.150617T0116Z.150617T0709Z.NO/
922 PM CDT TUE JUN 16 2015
The Flood Warning continues for
The 102 River at Rosendale.
* until late Wednesday night.
* At 8:16 PM Tuesday the stage was 21.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by
early Wednesday morning.
* At 20.0 feet...State Route 48 is flooded on the east and west sides
of town which prevents travel in or out of town.
* At 19.0 feet...State Route 48 on the east and west sides of
Rosendale is under water.
* At 18.0 feet...State Route 48 on the east side of Rosendale is
overtopped by flood waters.
* At 13.0 feet...Lowland agricultural flooding begins.
&&
Latest
Location FS Stage Day/Time Forecast
102 River
Rosendale 18 21.1 Tue 08 PM 18.6 early Wednesday
morning
&&
LAT...LON 4013 9488 4013 9478 3977 9471 3977 9480 4004 9486
$$
MOC033-041-115-117-180222-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0129.000000T0000Z-150619T2308Z/
/SNZM7.2.ER.150612T2151Z.150617T1800Z.150618T2308Z.NO/
922 PM CDT TUE JUN 16 2015
The Flood Warning continues for
The Grand River near Sumner.
* until Friday evening.
* At 8:45 PM Tuesday the stage was 30.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 26.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 30.6 feet by
early Wednesday afternoon. The river will fall below flood stage
Thursday evening.
* At 28.0 feet...Rural roads are under water.
* At 26.0 feet...Rural land adjacent to the river is flooded.
* At 23.0 feet...Bottomland 1 to 2 miles south of the gage begins to
flood.
&&
Latest
Location FS Stage Day/Time Forecast
Grand River
Sumner 26 30.2 Tue 09 PM 30.6 early Wednesday
afternoon
&&
LAT...LON 3967 9343 3978 9343 3970 9327 3953 9321 3951 9330
$$
MOC033-041-180221-
/O.CON.KEAX.FL.W.0130.000000T0000Z-150620T1840Z/
/BRNM7.1.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.150619T1840Z.UU/
922 PM CDT TUE JUN 16 2015
The Flood Warning continues for
The Grand River near Brunswick.
* until Saturday afternoon.
* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is forecast to have a maximum value of 21.6
feet early Thursday morning.
* At 19.0 feet...Flooding of low-lying areas occurs along the west
bank of the Grand River near the U.S. Highway 24 bridge about 1
mile west of Brunswick.
&&
Latest
Location FS Stage Day/Time Forecast
Grand River
Brunswick 19 21.6 early Thursday morning
&&
LAT...LON 3951 9330 3953 9321 3938 9307 3938 9313 3945 9327
$$
KSC043-MOC003-021-180221-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0131.000000T0000Z-150619T2034Z/
/SJSM7.2.ER.150612T0439Z.150613T0345Z.150618T2034Z.NO/
922 PM CDT TUE JUN 16 2015
The Flood Warning continues for
The Missouri River at St Joseph.
* until Friday afternoon.
* At 8:30 PM Tuesday the stage was 21.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 21.3 feet by
early Wednesday morning. The river will fall below flood stage
Thursday afternoon.
* At 21.0 feet...Riverfront Park in St. Joseph begins to flood.
* At 19.0 feet...Backwater from the Missouri River floods property
along the Nodaway river at Nodaway, Missouri.
* At 17.0 feet...Lowland flooding upstream and downstream from St.
Joseph occurs.
&&
Latest
Location FS Stage Day/Time Forecast
Missouri River
St Joseph 17 21.0 Tue 08 PM 21.3 early Wednesday
morning
&&
LAT...LON 3991 9501 3990 9489 3975 9483 3964 9488 3970 9505
$$
KSC005-MOC021-165-180221-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0132.000000T0000Z-150619T1600Z/
/ATCK1.1.ER.150616T1745Z.150617T1200Z.150618T1600Z.NO/
922 PM CDT TUE JUN 16 2015
The Flood Warning continues for
The Missouri River at Atchison.
* until Friday morning.
* At 10:43 AM Tuesday the stage was 21.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 22.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by this afternoon and continue to
rise to near 24.0 feet by Wednesday morning. The river will fall
below flood stage by late Thursday morning.
* At 22.0 feet...Low-lying areas on the Missouri side of the river
begin to flood.
&&
Latest
Location FS Stage Day/Time Forecast
Missouri River
Atchison 22 21.7 Tue 11 AM 24.0 Wednesday morning
&&
LAT...LON 3970 9505 3964 9488 3942 9493 3942 9508 3958 9516
$$
KSC103-MOC165-180221-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0157.150617T0800Z-150619T0000Z/
/LEVK1.1.ER.150617T0800Z.150617T1800Z.150618T0000Z.NO/
922 PM CDT TUE JUN 16 2015
The Flood Warning continues for
The Missouri River at Leavenworth.
* from late tonight to Thursday evening.
* At 9:00 PM Tuesday the stage was 19.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by Wednesday morning and continue
to rise to near 20.3 feet by early Wednesday afternoon. The river
will fall below flood stage by Wednesday evening.
* At 20.0 feet...Lowland flooding occurs along the east and west
banks of the river.
&&
Latest
Location FS Stage Day/Time Forecast
Missouri River
Leavenworth 20 19.3 Tue 09 PM 20.3 early Wednesday
afternoon
&&
LAT...LON 3942 9508 3942 9492 3918 9460 3913 9460 3918 9484
$$
MOC047-095-177-180221-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0134.000000T0000Z-150620T1700Z/
/SBEM7.1.ER.150612T2146Z.150614T1413Z.150619T1700Z.NO/
922 PM CDT TUE JUN 16 2015
The Flood Warning continues for
The Missouri River at Sibley.
* until Saturday afternoon.
* At 7:35 AM Tuesday the stage was 22.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 22.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 25.2 feet by
Wednesday evening. The river will fall below flood stage early
Friday afternoon.
* At 22.0 feet...Low-lying rural areas along the river and outside of
levee protection flood.
&&
Latest
Location FS Stage Day/Time Forecast
Missouri River
Sibley 22 22.9 Tue 08 AM 25.2 Wednesday evening
&&
LAT...LON 3925 9431 3922 9417 3916 9415 3918 9420 3918 9432
$$
MOC095-107-177-180221-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0135.000000T0000Z-150621T0959Z/
/NAPM7.1.ER.150612T1417Z.150614T0415Z.150620T0959Z.UU/
922 PM CDT TUE JUN 16 2015
The Flood Warning continues for
The Missouri River at Napoleon.
* until late Saturday night.
* At 9:00 PM Tuesday the stage was 19.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 21.5 feet by
Wednesday evening. The river will fall below flood stage Saturday
morning.
* At 17.0 feet...Low-lying areas unprotected by levees begin to
flood.
&&
Latest
Location FS Stage Day/Time Forecast
Missouri River
Napoleon 17 19.7 Tue 09 PM 21.5 Wednesday evening
&&
LAT...LON 3916 9415 3922 9417 3925 9386 3918 9384 3911 9405
$$
MOC033-107-195-180221-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0097.000000T0000Z-150622T0000Z/
/WVYM7.2.ER.150604T0345Z.150607T1545Z.150621T0000Z.NR/
922 PM CDT TUE JUN 16 2015
The Flood Warning continues for
The Missouri River at Waverly.
* until Sunday evening.
* At 8:30 PM Tuesday the stage was 22.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 24.4 feet by
Thursday morning. The river will fall below flood stage Saturday
evening.
* At 23.5 feet...Rural areas along the river which are not protected
by levees flood.
&&
Latest
Location FS Stage Day/Time Forecast
Missouri River
Waverly 20 22.9 Tue 08 PM 24.4 Thursday morning
&&
LAT...LON 3925 9386 3933 9331 3928 9327 3922 9330 3918 9384
$$
MOC033-041-195-180221-
/O.CON.KEAX.FL.W.0098.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MIAM7.2.ER.150604T0658Z.150607T2304Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
922 PM CDT TUE JUN 16 2015
The Flood Warning continues for
The Missouri River At Miami.
* until further notice.
* At 7:12 PM Tuesday the stage was 22.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* At 18.0 feet...Low-lying rural areas outside of levees begin to
flood.
&&
Latest
Location FS Stage Day/Time Forecast
Missouri River
Miami 18 22.5 Tue 07 PM 23.4 early Thursday
afternoon
&&
LAT...LON 3933 9331 3943 9319 3938 9307 3928 9327
$$
MOC041-089-195-180221-
/O.CON.KEAX.FL.W.0136.000000T0000Z-150621T1030Z/
/GLZM7.2.ER.150613T1345Z.150615T0815Z.150620T1030Z.UU/
922 PM CDT TUE JUN 16 2015
The Flood Warning continues for
The Missouri River at Glasgow.
* until late Saturday night.
* At 8:30 PM Tuesday the stage was 27.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 28.2 feet by
early Thursday afternoon. The river will fall below flood stage
Saturday morning.
* At 27.0 feet...Many agricultural levees are overtopped. Widespread
flooding of rural areas occurs. Secondary roads and homes behind
levees may be inundated.
* At 25.0 feet...Farmland along the river floods.
&&
Latest
Location FS Stage Day/Time Forecast
Missouri River
Glasgow 25 27.9 Tue 08 PM 28.2 early Thursday
afternoon
&&
LAT...LON 3935 9314 3939 9305 3924 9279 3906 9287 3907 9296
$$
MOC053-089-180221-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0137.000000T0000Z-150622T0400Z/
/BOZM7.1.ER.150613T1833Z.150615T1445Z.150621T0400Z.NO/
922 PM CDT TUE JUN 16 2015
The Flood Warning continues for
The Missouri River at Boonville.
* until Sunday evening.
* At 8:30 PM Tuesday the stage was 25.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 21.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 25.1 feet by
early Friday morning. The river will fall below flood stage
Saturday before midnight.
* At 25.0 feet...Numerous farm levees are overtopped. Flooding of
agricultural land and secondary roads occurs.
* At 21.0 feet...Low-lying rural areas along the river flood.
&&
Latest
Location FS Stage Day/Time Forecast
Missouri River
Boonville 21 25.0 Tue 08 PM 25.1 early Friday morning
&&
LAT...LON 3908 9297 3902 9255 3894 9259 3896 9286 3903 9298
$$
MOC021-180221-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0139.000000T0000Z-150619T0600Z/
/AGYM7.2.ER.150612T0624Z.150614T0430Z.150618T0600Z.NO/
922 PM CDT TUE JUN 16 2015
The Flood Warning continues for
The Platte River near Agency.
* until late Thursday night.
* At 8:30 PM Tuesday the stage was 25.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 26.0 feet by
early Wednesday morning. The river will fall below flood stage
early Thursday morning.
* At 25.0 feet...Flooding begins at the east border of Agency.
* At 20.0 feet...Low-lying areas east of Agency begin to flood.
&&
Latest
Location FS Stage Day/Time Forecast
Platte River
Agency 20 25.9 Tue 08 PM 26.0 early Wednesday
morning
&&
LAT...LON 3977 9480 3977 9471 3951 9464 3941 9464 3941 9472
$$
MOC165-180221-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0140.000000T0000Z-150621T1214Z/
/SSTM7.2.ER.150612T2323Z.150616T2030Z.150620T1214Z.NO/
922 PM CDT TUE JUN 16 2015
The Flood Warning continues for
The Platte River At Sharps Station.
* until Sunday morning.
* At 8:30 PM Tuesday the stage was 30.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 26.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by
Saturday morning.
* At 30.5 feet...Interurban Road floods about 1.5 miles southeast of
Sharps Station.
* At 29.0 feet...Backwater from the Platte River floods Highway KK
along the Little Platte River at the location 0.2 miles east of
Highway B.
* At 26.0 feet...Low-lying rural land along the river begins to
flood.
&&
Latest
Location FS Stage Day/Time Forecast
Platte River
Sharps Station 26 30.8 Tue 08 PM 30.8 early Wednesday
morning
&&
LAT...LON 3941 9474 3941 9464 3935 9476 3939 9479
$$
MOC165-180221-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0141.000000T0000Z-150621T1431Z/
/PLCM7.2.ER.150613T0604Z.150617T0600Z.150620T1431Z.UU/
922 PM CDT TUE JUN 16 2015
The Flood Warning continues for
The Platte River near Platte City.
* until Sunday morning.
* At 5:48 PM Tuesday the stage was 24.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 25.0 feet by
early Wednesday morning. The river will fall below flood stage late
Saturday morning.
* At 25.0 feet...Water overtops 1st Street in Tracy, Missouri.
* At 22.0 feet...Flooding occurs at Humphreys Access Area which is
located 5 miles downstream from Platte City. 300 acres of pasture
are also flooded.
* At 20.0 feet...Cropland near State Highway 92 near Platte City
begins to flood.
&&
Latest
Location FS Stage Day/Time Forecast
Platte River
Platte City 20 24.9 Tue 06 PM 25.0 early Wednesday
morning
&&
LAT...LON 3939 9479 3935 9476 3927 9481 3929 9484 3933 9483
$$824
WGUS83 KEAX 171121
FLSEAX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
621 AM CDT WED JUN 17 2015
...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in
Missouri...
102 River at Rosendale affecting Andrew and Buchanan Counties.
&&
MOC003-021-171151-
/O.CAN.KEAX.FL.W.0154.000000T0000Z-150618T0709Z/
/RSDM7.2.ER.150616T0410Z.150617T0116Z.150617T0749Z.NO/
621 AM CDT WED JUN 17 2015
The Flood Warning is cancelled for
The 102 River at Rosendale.
* At 6:15 AM Wednesday the stage was estimated at 16.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Fell below flood stage at 2:49 AM Wednesday.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to 8.2 feet by Thursday
morning.
* At 20.0 feet...State Route 48 is flooded on the east and west sides
of town which prevents travel in or out of town.
* At 19.0 feet...State Route 48 on the east and west sides of
Rosendale is under water.
* At 18.0 feet...State Route 48 on the east side of Rosendale is
overtopped by flood waters.
* At 13.0 feet...Lowland agricultural flooding begins.
&&
Latest
Location FS Stage Day/Time Forecast
102 River
Rosendale 18 16.4 Wed 06 AM 15.5 this morning
&&
LAT...LON 4013 9488 4013 9478 3977 9471 3977 9480 4004 9486
$$What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Kansas City, MO wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Jun 15, 12:20 PM CDT, 3 hours 9 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jun 15, 12:20 PM CDT, 3 hours 9 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO 1220 PM CDT Mon Jun 15 2015 .UPDATE... Issued at 1110 AM CDT MON JUN 15 2015 A couple of boundaries across the forecast area making for a somewhat tricky forecast for the rest of today into tonight. Main cold front draped across central Iowa southwestward into southeast Nebraska with another weaker boundary extending from east central Kansas into the Kansas City metro area. Large area of precipitation over eastern Nebraska and Iowa should slowly sag south into northwest Missouri this afternoon along with the frontal boundary. With copious amounts of low level moisture already in place it will not take much diurnal heating for showers and thunderstorms to form. Although some areas could remain dry this afternoon and evening broadbrush of likely PoPs still looks good as it will be tough to pinpoint any one location for rainfall. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 326 AM CDT MON JUN 15 2015 A weak surface front was situated from southern Kansas through northwest Missouri. Persistent ridging over the southeast has allowed a steady stream of deep moisture to stream into the area ahead of this front. This deep moisture is noted on the 00Z/15 TOP sounding with an observed precipitable water value around 1.8" and only modest mid-level drying sandwiched between rich low-level and upper-level moisture. A weak upper-level system will track across the area today and help to push the front a bit further to the south. With such a humid/ tropical airmass in place, (precipitable water values are 2 to 3 standard deviations above normal) any subtle lifting mechanism will produce a shower or thunderstorm. And with the front in the area, it's likely that there will be a greater coverage of precipitation today and tonight than the previous few days. Additionally, the high precipitable water/tropical airmass will lead to extremely efficient rainfall making storms. There were several reports from Sunday evening of over an inch of rain in less than hour. Forecast soundings suggest precipitable water values may be in the 2" to 2.25" range this evening. Still, the pattern is nebulous and there isn't a great deal of confidence on a widespread area of heavy enough rainfall for flash flooding. Rather, a localized flash flood threat will persist through at least today and tonight. While instability and shear will be limited, the low LCL environment and probable outflow boundaries my result in a limited/isolated severe risk. High pressure will move across the Northern Plains and Upper Midwest Tuesday. This may bring a brief respite in the precipitation chances across northern Missouri. But across the southern two-thirds of the forecast area, the chances for scattered showers and storms will persist with locally heavy rain remaining possible. The focus then really shifts to potential remnant tropical system moving northward around the southeastern upper ridge. Models vary significantly in the timing of this system with the NAM nearly 48 hours faster than the GFS and the ECMWF. The GEM is also faster than the GFS and ECMWF but the later two models are in pretty good agreement. And they all depict a similar track even if the timing is out of sync. That track is to bring it into our southern and southeastern zones at some point later this week. This would likely be a focus for major rainfall and potentially some severe weather. So this system will need to be watched closely as it moves ashore and north toward the forecast area. && .AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Tuesday Afternoon) Issued at 1219 PM CDT MON JUN 15 2015 An abundance of moisture in the lower levels of the atmosphere combined with a frontal boundary moving into northwest Missouri will keep clouds along with scattered showers and thunderstorms in the forecast through tomorrow morning. Have seen some diurnal improvements in the ceilings and visibilities this morning however with moisture in place see no reason MVFR and IFR conditions will not return tonight. Confidence not high on placement and timing for convection near the TAF sites so will continue with VCTS into the early evening. && .EAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... KS...NONE. MO...NONE. && UPDATE...Mitchell DISCUSSION...CDB AVIATION...Mitchell
Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 15, 5:14 AM CDT, 10 hours 15 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO 514 AM CDT MON JUN 15 2015 KSZ025-057-060-102>105-MOZ001>008-011>017-020>025-028>033-037>040- 043>046-053-054-161015- ATCHISON KS-MIAMI-LINN KS-DONIPHAN-LEAVENWORTH-WYANDOTTE-JOHNSON KS- ATCHISON MO-NODAWAY-WORTH-GENTRY-HARRISON-MERCER-PUTNAM-SCHUYLER- HOLT-ANDREW-DE KALB-DAVIESS-GRUNDY-SULLIVAN-ADAIR-BUCHANAN-CLINTON- CALDWELL-LIVINGSTON-LINN MO-MACON-PLATTE-CLAY-RAY-CARROLL-CHARITON- RANDOLPH-JACKSON-LAFAYETTE-SALINE-HOWARD-CASS-JOHNSON MO-PETTIS- COOPER-BATES-HENRY- 514 AM CDT MON JUN 15 2015 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST...NORTH CENTRAL AND WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI...AS WELL AS EXTREME EASTERN KANSAS. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE TODAY AND TONIGHT BUT THE THREAT OF SEVERE WEATHER IS LOW. MORE DETAILED INFORMATION CAN BE ACCESSED AT... HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/EAX/HWO .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK. HEAVY RAINFALL IS A POSSIBILITY LATER IN THE WEEK. MORE DETAILED INFORMATION CAN BE ACCESSED AT... HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/EAX/HWO
The office that day
Everything else NWS Kansas City, MO issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 14, 7:24 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | EAX | Howard | 51 min |
| Jun 14, 9:55 PM CDT | River Flood Warning | EAX | Cooper | 42 hr |
| Jun 15, 8:50 AM CDT | River Flood Warning | EAX | Linn, Livingston | 4 days |
| Jun 15, 9:40 AM CDT | River Flood Warning | EAX | Cass, Henry, Johnson | 66 hr |
| Jun 15, 9:40 AM CDT | River Flood Warning | EAX | Howard | 54 hr |
| Jun 15, 9:52 AM CDT | River Flood Warning | EAX | Johnson, Pettis | 61 hr |
| Jun 15, 9:52 AM CDT | River Flood Warning | EAX | Cooper, Saline | 5 days |
| Jun 15, 2:54 PM CDT | Areal Flood Advisory | EAX | Jackson | 3 hr |
| Jun 15, 3:29 PM CDT | River Flood Warning | EAX | Andrew, Nodaway | 44 hr |
| Jun 15, 4:29 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | EAX | Caldwell, Carroll, Clay, Clinton, Daviess, Grundy and 2 more | 6 hr |
| Jun 15, 4:36 PM CDT | Areal Flood Advisory | EAX | Clay, Jackson, Platte | 3 hr |
| Jun 15, 4:54 PM CDT | Areal Flood Warning | EAX | Bates, Cass | 6 hr |
| Jun 15, 5:05 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | EAX | Linn, Livingston, Sullivan | 6 hr |
| Jun 15, 5:30 PM CDT | Areal Flood Advisory | EAX | Adair | 3 hr |
| Jun 15, 5:47 PM CDT | River Flood Warning | EAX | Atchison, Holt | 37 hr |
| Jun 15, 6:07 PM CDT | Areal Flood Advisory | EAX | Adair, Chariton, Linn, Macon, Randolph, Sullivan | 3 hr |
Nearby
River Flood Warnings in Missouri, 2015Every river flood warning in 2015
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.