River Flood Warning 64, NWS Quad Cities, IA

978 
WGUS83 KDVN 271604
FLSDVN


FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
1004 AM CST FRI NOV 27 2015

Recent heavy rainfall is resulting in flooding on the North Skunk River
near Sigourney...the English River at Kalona...the Wapsipinicon River 
near De Witt...the Iowa River at Marengo. 

River forecasts include past precipitation and forecast rainfall for
the next 48 hours.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If you encounter a flooded roadway, turn around and find an 
alternate route. Turn around, don't drown.

&&

IAC045-163-280804-
/O.EXT.KDVN.FL.W.0065.151127T1559Z-151130T0936Z/
/DEWI4.1.ER.151127T1555Z.151128T0000Z.151128T2136Z.NO/
1004 AM CST FRI NOV 27 2015

...Flood Warning now in effect until Saturday...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Wapsipinicon River near De Witt 4S.
* Until Saturday.
* At 9:30 AM Friday the stage was 11.0 feet...and rising.
* Flood stage is 11 feet.
* No flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage this morning...and continue 
  rising to 11.4 feet this evening. Fall below flood stage Saturday.
* Impact...At 11.5 feet...Water affects homes along old U.S. Highway
  61. The river is bank full in most areas.

&&

LAT...LON 4200 9090 4185 9090 4171 9080 4169 9035
      4177 9033 4184 9071             

$$

IAC095-280803-
/O.EXT.KDVN.FL.W.0064.151127T1930Z-151201T0300Z/
/MROI4.1.ER.151127T1930Z.151128T1200Z.151129T1500Z.NO/
1004 AM CST FRI NOV 27 2015

...Flood Warning now in effect until Sunday morning...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Iowa River at Marengo.
* Until Sunday morning.
* At 9:00 AM Friday the stage was 13.8 feet...and rising.
* Flood stage is 14 feet.
* No flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage today...and continue rising to 
  14.5 feet Saturday morning. Fall below flood stage Sunday morning.
* Impact...At 14.0 feet...Water affects low-lying agricultural land 
  along the river.

&&

LAT...LON 4182 9230 4176 9197 4175 9183 4182 9183
      4187 9230                       

$$

IAC103-183-280803-
/O.EXT.KDVN.FL.W.0062.000000T0000Z-151201T0148Z/
/KALI4.2.ER.151127T0405Z.151128T0600Z.151129T1348Z.NO/
1004 AM CST FRI NOV 27 2015

...Flood Warning now in effect until Sunday morning...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The English River at Kalona.
* Until Sunday morning.
* At 9:00 AM Friday the stage was 17.0 feet...and rising.
* Flood stage is 14 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring.
* Forecast...Rise to 17.8 feet Saturday morning. Fall below flood 
  stage Sunday morning.
* Impact...At 17.0 feet...Water begins going over several county 
  roads, including 13th St, Kiwi Ave, Orange Ave and Poplar Ave.

&&

LAT...LON 4151 9194 4148 9194 4144 9173 4146 9152
      4152 9153                       

$$

IAC107-280803-
/O.EXT.KDVN.FL.W.0063.000000T0000Z-151201T0651Z/
/SIGI4.1.ER.151127T0752Z.151128T0000Z.151129T1851Z.NO/
1004 AM CST FRI NOV 27 2015

...Flood Warning now in effect until Sunday...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The North Skunk River near Sigourney.
* Until Sunday.
* At 9:30 AM Friday the stage was 17.3 feet...and rising.
* Flood stage is 16 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Forecast...Rise to 17.8 feet this evening. Fall below flood stage 
  Sunday.
* Impact...At 16.0 feet...Water affects agricultural land, some 
  county roads, and farm houses.

&&

LAT...LON 4124 9206 4126 9201 4131 9213 4134 9240
      4129 9240                       

$$

NICHOLS

853 
WGUS83 KDVN 280007
FLSDVN


FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
607 PM CST FRI NOV 27 2015

River forecasts include past precipitation and forecast rainfall for
the next 48 hours.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If you encounter a flooded roadway, turn around and find an 
alternate route. Turn around, don't drown.

&&

IAC095-280037-
/O.CAN.KDVN.FL.W.0064.000000T0000Z-151201T0300Z/
/MROI4.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
607 PM CST FRI NOV 27 2015

...Flood Warning is cancelled...

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Iowa River at Marengo.
* At  5:00 PM Friday the stage was 13.8 feet...and falling.
* Flood stage is  14 feet.
* No flooding is occurring...and no flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Fall to 13.7 feet Sunday morning.
* Impact...At  11.0 feet...Water affects the lowest agricultural land
  along the river.

&&

LAT...LON 4182 9230 4176 9197 4175 9183 4182 9183
      4187 9230                       

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
354 AM CST FRI NOV 27 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
ISSUED AT 330 AM CST FRI NOV 27 2015

SFC PRESSURE CONTINUES TO SLIDE EASTWARD THROUGH ILLINOIS INTO
INDIANA WHICH HAS CAUSED SFC WINDS TO TURN AROUND TO THE NORTH.
THIS HAS RESULTED IN COLD AIR ADVECTION AT THE SFC AND UP TO
ABOUT 900MB. HOWEVER...AN INVERSION IS STILL PRESENT AS WINDS ARE
SOUTHWESTERLY ABOVE THIS LEVEL WITH 850MB TEMPS ABOVE 0C.
THEREFORE...PRECIP HAS BEEN PLAIN RAIN THROUGH THE NIGHT. THE ONLY
AREAS WHERE SFC TEMPS ARE NEAR FREEZING ARE ACROSS BUCHANAN AND
DELAWARE COUNTIES BUT IT LOOKS LIKE ONLY SOME PATCHY
DRIZZLE/FREEZING DRIZZLE IS POSSIBLE THERE OVER THE NEXT FEW
HOURS. ELSEWHERE...ANY AREAS OF LIGHT TO MODERATE RAIN SHOULD
DIMINISH OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS ALONG WITH A ZONE OF 850-700MB
FRONTOGENESIS.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY AND TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 330 AM CST FRI NOV 27 2015

TODAY...COLD AIR ADVECTION VIA NORTHERLY SFC WINDS WILL HOLD HIGH
TEMPS SIMILAR TO THE CURRENT TEMPS. EXPECTING A TEMP RANGE FROM
THE LOWER 30S ACROSS THE NW CWA TO THE LOWER 40S OVER THE SE. MAIN
850-700MB FRONTOGENETIC BAND OF RAIN WILL MOVE EASTWARD OUT OF SE
IOWA/NE MISSOURI/W ILLINOIS EARLY THIS MORNING. FOR THIS
REASON...POPS WILL DECREASE FROM NW TO SE DURING THIS TIME.

AREAS ALONG AND NORTH OF AN IOWA CITY IOWA TO FREEPORT ILLINOIS
LINE MAY RECEIVE A BRIEF MIX OF LIGHT RAIN/FREEZING DRIZZLE/SLEET
WHERE TEMPS ARE NEAR FREEZING THROUGH 8 OR 9 AM CST. ALTHOUGH
NOTHING SIGNIFICANT IS ANTICIPATED AS PRECIP SHOULD REMAIN
PATCHY/BRIEF.

TONIGHT...BAROCLINIC ZONE TAKES ON A WEST TO EAST ORIENTATION
ACROSS THE SOUTHERN CWA WHERE SLIGHT CHANCE POPS ARE IN THE
FORECAST TONIGHT INTO EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. 700MB WINDS ARE
FORECAST TO INCREASE OUT OF THE SW PROVIDING SOME ISENTROPIC LIFT
ON THE 300/305 K SFC AND POSSIBLY LIGHT PRECIP. FORECAST
SOUNDINGS SHOW MUCH COLDER TEMPS FROM THE SFC TO 850MB...MOSTLY
BELOW 0C SUPPORTING THE CHANCE FOR SOME MIXED LIGHT FREEZING
RAIN/SLEET. WITH SFC TEMPS NEAR TO SLIGHTLY BELOW FREEZING THERE
COULD BE SOME LIGHT ICING ON UNTREATED SURFACES.

THE 00Z/11.27 NMM-EAST AND 06Z/11.27 NAM ARE MORE AGGRESSIVE WITH
THIS SCENARIO UNFOLDING COMPARED TO OTHER MODELS...SOMETHING THE DAY
SHIFT WILL HAVE TO EVALUATE AFTER THE 12Z/11.27 MODEL RUNS. UTTECH

.LONG TERM...(SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 330 AM CST FRI NOV 27 2015

THE MAIN FORECAST ISSUES IN THE LONG TERM PERIOD INVOLVE PRECIP TYPE
AND COVERAGE...ESPECIALLY MONDAY INTO TUESDAY...AND HYDRO
CONCERNS...WHICH ARE DISCUSSED IN SECTION BELOW.

ON SATURDAY...EXPECT BELOW NORMAL AFTERNOON HIGHS IN THE 35-40F
RANGE. WEAK ISENTROPIC LIFT MAY SUPPORT SOME VERY LIGHT PRECIP IN
THE EXTREME SOUTH SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY...BUT THE MAIN PRECIP
EVENT WILL LIKELY HOLD OFF UNTIL LATE SUNDAY OR MONDAY. THE 27/00Z
GFS IS THE MOST AGGRESSIVE AMONG THE OPERATIONAL MODEL GUIDANCE IN
DEVELOPING PRECIP BEFORE 12Z MONDAY BUT HAVE KEPT POPS AOB 40
PERCENT FOR THAT PERIOD. THERMAL PROFILES AND SURFACE TEMPS INDICATE
SOME POTENTIAL FOR FREEZING RAIN LATE SUNDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY MONDAY
MORNING.

THE MAIN SURFACE CYCLONE AND UPPER LOW ARE EXPECTED TO LIFT NORTH
THROUGH THE FORECAST AREA MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT WITH HIGH CHANCE
TO LIKELY POPS REASONABLE AT THIS TIME. THERE WILL AGAIN BE THE
POTENTIAL FOR PERIODS OF MIXED PRECIPITATION...WITH THE FINER
DETAILS TO BE HAMMERED OUT AS WE GET CLOSER TO THE EVENT. RAIN
SHOULD BE THE MAIN P-TYPE DURING THE DAY MONDAY WITH HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO MID 40S...AHEAD OF A POSSIBLE WINTRY MIX MONDAY NIGHT
INTO TUESDAY.

PRECIPITATION SHOULD BE ENDING TUESDAY ACROSS THE NORTH FOLLOWED BY
SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL HIGH TEMPS AND DRY CONDITIONS FOR WEDNESDAY
AND THURSDAY.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z FRIDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1138 PM CST THU NOV 26 2015

EXPECT FAIRLY WIDESPREAD MVFR CONDITIONS THROUGH MUCH OF FRIDAY.
SOME AREAS OF IFR WILL BE FOUND OVERNIGHT INTO EARLY FRIDAY AM
WITH THE RAIN BEFORE IT ENDS. COULD SEE A BRIEF LIGHT WINTRY MIX
AT KDBQ AND KCID ON TAIL END OF RAIN SHIELD BEFORE IT ENDS EARLY
FRI AM. HAVE CONTINUED TO SIDE TOWARD VARIOUS GUIDANCE INCLUDING
LAMP AND SREF WITH AT LEAST PARTIAL CLEARING AND RETURN OF VFR
CIGS BY LATER FRIDAY INTO EARLY FRIDAY EVENING. WINDS WILL BECOME
GUSTY FROM THE NORTH AT ROUGHLY 15-25 KTS OVERNIGHT THROUGH MUCH
OF FRIDAY BEFORE DIMINISHING TO AROUND 10 KTS OR LESS BY FRIDAY
EVENING.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
ISSUED AT 238 AM CST FRI NOV 27 2015

THE LONG DURATION RAINFALL EVENT IS WINDING DOWN THIS MORNING WITH
RAINFALL REPORTS COMING IN ABOUT AS EXPECTED IN THE 1-2 INCH
RANGE...LOCALLY HIGHER. THIS RECENT RAIN...ON TOP OF FAIRLY
SATURATED SOILS...IS RESULTING IN RISES ON MANY AREA RIVERS. FLOOD
WARNINGS CONTINUE FOR THE ENGLISH RIVER AT KALONA AND THE NORTH
SKUNK RIVER NEAR SIGOURNEY. HAVE ISSUED A NEW FLOOD WARNING FOR
KALONA AS THE STAGE HAS NOW RISEN ABOVE MODERATE FLOOD STAGE.
SIGOURNEY ALSO TOPPED MINOR FLOOD STAGE EARLY THIS MORNING. SEVERAL
POINTS ALONG THE IOWA RIVER...AND THE WAPSI NEAR DEWITT...ARE
FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE FROM LATER TONIGHT INTO THE
WEEKEND. WILL HOLD OFF ISSUING FLOOD WARNINGS FOR THESE POINTS TO
AWAIT NEW MORNING FORECASTS BASED ON ACTUAL QPF.

&&

.DVN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IA...NONE.
IL...NONE.
MO...NONE.
&&

SYNOPSIS...UTTECH
SHORT TERM...UTTECH
LONG TERM...RP KINNEY
AVIATION...05
HYDROLOGY...RP KINNEY

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
435 AM CST FRI NOV 27 2015

IAZ040>042-051>054-063>068-076>078-087>089-098-099-ILZ001-002-007-
009-015>018-024>026-034-035-MOZ009-010-281200-
BUCHANAN-DELAWARE-DUBUQUE-BENTON-LINN-JONES-JACKSON-IOWA-JOHNSON-
CEDAR-CLINTON-MUSCATINE-SCOTT-KEOKUK-WASHINGTON-LOUISA-JEFFERSON-
HENRY IA-DES MOINES-VAN BUREN-LEE-JO DAVIESS-STEPHENSON-CARROLL-
WHITESIDE-ROCK ISLAND-HENRY IL-BUREAU-PUTNAM-MERCER-HENDERSON-
WARREN-HANCOCK-MCDONOUGH-SCOTLAND-CLARK-
435 AM CST FRI NOV 27 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL
ILLINOIS...NORTHWEST ILLINOIS...WEST CENTRAL ILLINOIS...EAST
CENTRAL IOWA...NORTHEAST IOWA...SOUTHEAST IOWA AND NORTHEAST
MISSOURI.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

LIGHT FREEZING RAIN/DRIZZLE/SLEET...IS POSSIBLE TONIGHT MOSTLY
SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 80. THIS MAY RESULT IN A LIGHT GLAZE ON
UNTREATED SURFACES...EVEN IF PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS REMAIN AT OR
BELOW 0.01 INCHES.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

RECENT HEAVY RAINFALL ON TOP OF FAIRLY SATURATED SOIL HAS PRODUCED
RISES ON MANY AREA RIVERS. PORTIONS OF THE IOWA...SKUNK...AND WAPSI
BASINS ARE EITHER ABOVE FLOOD STAGE...OR FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE
FLOOD STAGE THROUGH THE WEEKEND. THOSE WITH INTERESTS ALONG RIVERS
SHOULD PAY ATTENTION TO FUTURE FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

THE MOST FAVORED PERIOD FOR MORE PRECIPITATION IS LATE SUNDAY NIGHT
INTO TUESDAY...AND ESPECIALLY MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT. EXPECT
PERIODS OF RAIN AS WELL AS A WINTRY MIX AT TIMES. DETAILS ON
TIMING/AMOUNTS/PRECIPITATION TYPE WILL BE REFINED OVER THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY OR TONIGHT.

UTTECH/RP KINNEY

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
1126 PM CST THU NOV 26 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1125 PM     HEAVY RAIN       ROCK ISLAND             41.48N 90.58W
11/26/2015  M2.20 INCH       ROCK ISLAND        IL   BROADCAST MEDIA

            TOTAL RAINFALL SO FAR.

&&

RP KINNEY

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
1158 PM CST THU NOV 26 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1157 PM     HEAVY RAIN       DAVENPORT MUNICIPAL AIR 41.62N 90.58W
11/26/2015  M2.03 INCH       SCOTT              IA   OFFICIAL NWS OBS

            DAILY RAINFALL.

&&

MCCLURE

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
127 AM CST FRI NOV 27 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0126 AM     HEAVY RAIN       W BELLE PLAINE          41.90N 92.28W
11/27/2015  M1.30 INCH       BENTON             IA   TRAINED SPOTTER

            STORM TOTAL RAINFALL.

&&

RP KINNEY

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
424 AM CST FRI NOV 27 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0415 AM     HEAVY RAIN       WNW PARNELL             41.58N 92.01W
11/27/2015  M2.15 INCH       IOWA               IA   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
441 AM CST FRI NOV 27 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1200 AM     HEAVY RAIN       DUBUQUE REGIONAL AIRPOR 42.40N 90.72W
11/27/2015  M1.39 INCH       DUBUQUE            IA   ASOS

            RECORD DAILY MAXIMUM RAINFALL FOR NOVEMBER 26. PREVIOUS
            RECORD 1.35 INCHES SET IN 1965.

1200 AM     HEAVY RAIN       MOLINE QUAD-CITY AIRPOR 41.45N 90.50W
11/27/2015  M1.82 INCH       ROCK ISLAND        IL   ASOS

            RECORD DAILY MAXIMUM RAINFALL FOR NOVEMBER 26. PREVIOUS
            RECORD WAS 0.91 INCHES SET IN 1965.

&&