Alert archive / Iowa / River Flood Warnings in 2015

River Flood Warning 63, NWS Quad Cities, IA

November 26, 2015Keokuk County, Iowa

NWS Quad Cities, IA issued this river flood warning at Nov 26, 2015, 9:51 PM CST for Keokuk County, Iowa. It took effect at Nov 27, 2015, 4:02 AM CST. It was in force for 3 days.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Nov 26, 2015, 9:51 PM CST (03:51 UTC)
In effect from
Nov 27, 2015, 4:02 AM CST
Expired
Nov 30, 2015, 1:00 PM CST
In force
3 days
Issued by
NWS Quad Cities, IA
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
Minor

County Keokuk County, IA

The radar

The Quad Cities radar (KDVN), 138 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 03:53 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point North Skunk River near Sigourney (SIGI4).

Action stage
14.5 ft
Minor stage
16 ft
Moderate stage
18 ft
Major stage
21 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 05472500, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

258 
WGUS43 KDVN 270351
FLWDVN


BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
951 PM CST THU NOV 26 2015

.Heavy rainfall will result in flooding on the North Skunk River
near Sigourney. 

River forecasts include past precipitation and forecast rainfall for
the next 48 hours.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If you encounter a flooded roadway, turn around and find an 
alternate route. Turn around, don't drown.

&&

IAC107-271551-
/O.NEW.KDVN.FL.W.0063.151127T1424Z-151130T1900Z/
/SIGI4.1.ER.151127T1424Z.151128T0600Z.151129T0700Z.NO/
951 PM CST THU NOV 26 2015

...Flood Warning in effect until Sunday morning...

The National Weather Service in Quad Cities has issued a
* Flood Warning for
  The North Skunk River near Sigourney.
* Until Sunday morning.
* At  9:30 PM Thursday the stage was 13.5 feet...And rising.
* Flood stage is  16 feet.
* No flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage Friday morning...and continue 
  rising to 16.8 feet Saturday morning. Fall below flood stage 
  Sunday morning.
* Impact...At  16.0 feet...Water affects agricultural land, some 
  county roads, and farm houses.

&&

LAT...LON 4124 9206 4126 9201 4131 9213 4134 9240
      4129 9240                       

$$
12 follow-up statements
278 
WGUS83 KDVN 271005
FLSDVN


FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
405 AM CST FRI NOV 27 2015

.Recent heavy rainfall is resulting in flooding on the North Skunk River
near Sigourney and the English River at Kalona.

River forecasts include past precipitation and forecast rainfall for
the next 48 hours.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If you encounter a flooded roadway, turn around and find an 
alternate route. Turn around, don't drown.

&&

IAC103-183-280205-
/O.CON.KDVN.FL.W.0062.000000T0000Z-151201T0345Z/
/KALI4.2.ER.151127T0405Z.151127T1800Z.151129T1545Z.NO/
405 AM CST FRI NOV 27 2015

...Flood Warning remains in effect until Sunday morning...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The English River at Kalona.
* Until Sunday morning.
* At 3:00 AM Friday the stage was 16.1 feet...and rising.
* Flood stage is 14 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring.
* Forecast...Rise to 16.6 feet today. Fall below flood stage Sunday 
  morning.
* Impact...At 16.0 feet...Moderate Flood Stage. Water begins 
  approaching several county roads. Agricultural land near the river
  is flooding.

&&

LAT...LON 4151 9194 4148 9194 4144 9173 4146 9152
      4152 9153                       

$$

IAC107-280205-
/O.EXT.KDVN.FL.W.0063.151127T1002Z-151130T1900Z/
/SIGI4.1.ER.151127T0752Z.151128T0000Z.151129T0700Z.NO/
405 AM CST FRI NOV 27 2015

...Flood Warning now in effect until Sunday morning...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The North Skunk River near Sigourney.
* Until Sunday morning.
* At 3:30 AM Friday the stage was 16.4 feet...and rising.
* Flood stage is 16 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Forecast...Rise to 16.8 feet this evening. Fall below flood stage 
  Sunday morning.
* Impact...At 16.0 feet...Water affects agricultural land, some 
  county roads, and farm houses.

&&

LAT...LON 4124 9206 4126 9201 4131 9213 4134 9240
      4129 9240                       

$$
RP Kinney
978 
WGUS83 KDVN 271604
FLSDVN


FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
1004 AM CST FRI NOV 27 2015

Recent heavy rainfall is resulting in flooding on the North Skunk River
near Sigourney...the English River at Kalona...the Wapsipinicon River 
near De Witt...the Iowa River at Marengo. 

River forecasts include past precipitation and forecast rainfall for
the next 48 hours.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If you encounter a flooded roadway, turn around and find an 
alternate route. Turn around, don't drown.

&&

IAC045-163-280804-
/O.EXT.KDVN.FL.W.0065.151127T1559Z-151130T0936Z/
/DEWI4.1.ER.151127T1555Z.151128T0000Z.151128T2136Z.NO/
1004 AM CST FRI NOV 27 2015

...Flood Warning now in effect until Saturday...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Wapsipinicon River near De Witt 4S.
* Until Saturday.
* At 9:30 AM Friday the stage was 11.0 feet...and rising.
* Flood stage is 11 feet.
* No flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage this morning...and continue 
  rising to 11.4 feet this evening. Fall below flood stage Saturday.
* Impact...At 11.5 feet...Water affects homes along old U.S. Highway
  61. The river is bank full in most areas.

&&

LAT...LON 4200 9090 4185 9090 4171 9080 4169 9035
      4177 9033 4184 9071             

$$

IAC095-280803-
/O.EXT.KDVN.FL.W.0064.151127T1930Z-151201T0300Z/
/MROI4.1.ER.151127T1930Z.151128T1200Z.151129T1500Z.NO/
1004 AM CST FRI NOV 27 2015

...Flood Warning now in effect until Sunday morning...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Iowa River at Marengo.
* Until Sunday morning.
* At 9:00 AM Friday the stage was 13.8 feet...and rising.
* Flood stage is 14 feet.
* No flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage today...and continue rising to 
  14.5 feet Saturday morning. Fall below flood stage Sunday morning.
* Impact...At 14.0 feet...Water affects low-lying agricultural land 
  along the river.

&&

LAT...LON 4182 9230 4176 9197 4175 9183 4182 9183
      4187 9230                       

$$

IAC103-183-280803-
/O.EXT.KDVN.FL.W.0062.000000T0000Z-151201T0148Z/
/KALI4.2.ER.151127T0405Z.151128T0600Z.151129T1348Z.NO/
1004 AM CST FRI NOV 27 2015

...Flood Warning now in effect until Sunday morning...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The English River at Kalona.
* Until Sunday morning.
* At 9:00 AM Friday the stage was 17.0 feet...and rising.
* Flood stage is 14 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring.
* Forecast...Rise to 17.8 feet Saturday morning. Fall below flood 
  stage Sunday morning.
* Impact...At 17.0 feet...Water begins going over several county 
  roads, including 13th St, Kiwi Ave, Orange Ave and Poplar Ave.

&&

LAT...LON 4151 9194 4148 9194 4144 9173 4146 9152
      4152 9153                       

$$

IAC107-280803-
/O.EXT.KDVN.FL.W.0063.000000T0000Z-151201T0651Z/
/SIGI4.1.ER.151127T0752Z.151128T0000Z.151129T1851Z.NO/
1004 AM CST FRI NOV 27 2015

...Flood Warning now in effect until Sunday...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The North Skunk River near Sigourney.
* Until Sunday.
* At 9:30 AM Friday the stage was 17.3 feet...and rising.
* Flood stage is 16 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Forecast...Rise to 17.8 feet this evening. Fall below flood stage 
  Sunday.
* Impact...At 16.0 feet...Water affects agricultural land, some 
  county roads, and farm houses.

&&

LAT...LON 4124 9206 4126 9201 4131 9213 4134 9240
      4129 9240                       

$$

NICHOLS
525 
WGUS43 KDVN 272117
FLWDVN


BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
317 PM CST FRI NOV 27 2015

...Forecast flooding changed from Minor to Moderate severity for the
following rivers in Iowa...

  North Skunk River near Sigourney affecting Keokuk County

Recent heavy rainfall is resulting in flooding on the North Skunk River
near Sigourney.

River forecasts include past precipitation and forecast rainfall for
the next 48 hours.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If you encounter a flooded roadway, turn around and find an 
alternate route. Turn around, don't drown.

&&

IAC107-280917-
/O.CON.KDVN.FL.W.0063.000000T0000Z-151201T0651Z/
/SIGI4.2.ER.151127T0752Z.151128T0600Z.151129T1851Z.NO/
317 PM CST FRI NOV 27 2015

...Forecast flooding increased from Minor to Moderate severity...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The North Skunk River near Sigourney.
* Until Sunday.
* At 2:30 PM Friday the stage was 18.1 feet...And rising.
* Flood stage is 16 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring.
* Forecast...Rise to 18.6 feet Saturday morning. Fall below flood 
  stage Sunday.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet...Water affects most agricultural land near 
  Sigourney.

&&

LAT...LON 4124 9206 4126 9201 4131 9213 4134 9240
      4129 9240                       

$$

Nichols
207 
WGUS83 KDVN 280331
FLSDVN


FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
931 PM CST FRI NOV 27 2015

.Recent heavy rainfall is resulting in flooding on portions of the
Iowa...English...North Skunk and Des Moines Rivers. 

River forecasts include past precipitation and forecast rainfall for
the next 48 hours.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If you encounter a flooded roadway, turn around and find an 
alternate route. Turn around, don't drown.

&&

IAC103-115-183-281931-
/O.EXT.KDVN.FL.W.0067.000000T0000Z-151201T0000Z/
/LNTI4.1.ER.151127T2340Z.151129T0000Z.151129T1200Z.NO/
931 PM CST FRI NOV 27 2015

...Flood Warning now in effect until Sunday morning...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Iowa River near Lone Tree.
* Until Sunday morning.
* At  9:00 PM Friday the stage was 15.1 feet...and rising.
* Flood stage is  15 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Forecast...Rise to 15.5 feet Saturday evening. Fall below flood 
  stage Sunday morning.
* Impact...At  15.0 feet...Water affects low lying roads.

&&

LAT...LON 4140 9151 4133 9142 4136 9138 4149 9147
      4148 9155                       

$$

IAC103-183-281931-
/O.EXT.KDVN.FL.W.0062.000000T0000Z-151130T1600Z/
/KALI4.2.ER.151127T0405Z.151127T2230Z.151129T0400Z.NO/
931 PM CST FRI NOV 27 2015

...Flood Warning now in effect until Saturday evening...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The English River at Kalona.
* Until Saturday evening.
* At  9:00 PM Friday the stage was 16.8 feet...and falling.
* Flood stage is  14 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring.
* Forecast...Fall below flood stage Saturday evening.

&&

LAT...LON 4151 9194 4148 9194 4144 9173 4146 9152
      4152 9153                       

$$

IAC107-281931-
/O.EXT.KDVN.FL.W.0063.000000T0000Z-151201T0200Z/
/SIGI4.2.ER.151127T0752Z.151128T0200Z.151129T1400Z.NO/
931 PM CST FRI NOV 27 2015

...Flood Warning now in effect until Sunday morning...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The North Skunk River near Sigourney.
* Until Sunday morning.
* At  8:30 PM Friday the stage was 18.5 feet...and steady.
* Flood stage is  16 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring.
* Recent activity...The river is cresting. 
* Forecast...Remain nearly steady around 18.5 feet through Saturday morning then
  begin falling. Fall below flood stage Sunday morning.
* Impact...At  18.0 feet...Water affects most agricultural land near 
  Sigourney.

&&

LAT...LON 4124 9206 4126 9201 4131 9213 4134 9240
      4129 9240                       

$$

IAC111-MOC045-281931-
/O.EXT.KDVN.FL.W.0066.000000T0000Z-151130T1549Z/
/SFLM7.1.ER.151127T1831Z.151128T0600Z.151129T0349Z.NO/
931 PM CST FRI NOV 27 2015

...Flood Warning now in effect until Saturday evening...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Des Moines River at St Francisville.
* Until Saturday evening.
* At  8:15 PM Friday the stage was 19.8 feet...and rising.
* Flood stage is  18 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Forecast...Rise to 20.0 feet Saturday morning. Fall below flood 
  stage Saturday evening.
* Impact...At  20.0 feet...The St. Francisville boat ramp is under 
  water.

&&

LAT...LON 4061 9172 4061 9185 4035 9147 4040 9139
      4069 9172                       

$$
678 
WGUS83 KDVN 281030
FLSDVN


FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
430 AM CST SAT NOV 28 2015

.Recent heavy rainfall is resulting in minor to moderate flooding
on a number of rivers in eastern Iowa and northwest Illinois.

River forecasts include past precipitation and forecast rainfall for
the next 48 hours.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If you encounter a flooded roadway, turn around and find an 
alternate route. Turn around, don't drown.

&&

IAC045-163-290230-
/O.EXT.KDVN.FL.W.0065.000000T0000Z-151130T1400Z/
/DEWI4.2.ER.000000T0000Z.151128T1200Z.151129T0200Z.NO/
430 AM CST SAT NOV 28 2015

...Flood Warning now in effect until this evening...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Wapsipinicon River near De Witt 4S.
* Until this evening.
* At 3:30 AM Saturday the stage was 11.4 feet...and nearly steady.
* Flood stage is 11 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise to 11.5 feet this morning. Fall below flood stage 
  this evening.
* Impact...At 11.5 feet...Water affects homes along old U.S. Highway
  61. The river is bank full in most areas.

&&

LAT...LON 4200 9090 4185 9090 4171 9080 4169 9035
      4177 9033 4184 9071             

$$

IAC103-115-183-290230-
/O.CON.KDVN.FL.W.0067.000000T0000Z-151201T0000Z/
/LNTI4.1.ER.151127T2340Z.151129T0000Z.151129T1200Z.NO/
430 AM CST SAT NOV 28 2015

...Flood Warning remains in effect until Sunday morning...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Iowa River near Lone Tree.
* Until Sunday morning.
* At 4:00 AM Saturday the stage was 15.3 feet...and rising.
* Flood stage is 15 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Forecast...Rise to 15.5 feet this evening. Fall below flood stage 
  Sunday morning.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet...Water affects low lying roads.

&&

LAT...LON 4140 9151 4133 9142 4136 9138 4149 9147
      4148 9155                       

$$

IAC115-290229-
/O.EXT.KDVN.FL.W.0068.151128T1537Z-151202T0600Z/
/WAPI4.1.ER.151128T1537Z.151129T1200Z.151130T1800Z.NO/
430 AM CST SAT NOV 28 2015

...Flood Warning now in effect until Monday...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Iowa River at Wapello.
* Until Monday.
* At 4:00 AM Saturday the stage was 19.5 feet...and rising.
* Flood stage is 20 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage this morning...and continue 
  rising to 20.9 feet Sunday morning. Fall below flood stage Monday.

&&

LAT...LON 4111 9117 4119 9111 4125 9127
      4122 9130                                 

$$

IAC103-183-290229-
/O.CON.KDVN.FL.W.0062.000000T0000Z-151130T1600Z/
/KALI4.2.ER.151127T0405Z.151127T2230Z.151129T0400Z.NO/
430 AM CST SAT NOV 28 2015

...Flood Warning remains in effect until this evening...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The English River at Kalona.
* Until this evening.
* At 4:00 AM Saturday the stage was 16.4 feet...and falling.
* Flood stage is 14 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring.
* Forecast...Fall below flood stage this evening.
* Impact...At 16.0 feet...Moderate Flood Stage. Water begins 
  approaching several county roads. Agricultural land near the river
  is flooding.

&&

LAT...LON 4151 9194 4148 9194 4144 9173 4146 9152
      4152 9153                       

$$

IAC107-290229-
/O.EXT.KDVN.FL.W.0063.000000T0000Z-151130T1128Z/
/SIGI4.2.ER.151127T0752Z.151128T0200Z.151128T2328Z.NO/
430 AM CST SAT NOV 28 2015

...Flood Warning now in effect until today...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The North Skunk River near Sigourney.
* Until today.
* At 3:30 AM Saturday the stage was 17.7 feet...and falling.
* Flood stage is 16 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Forecast...Fall below flood stage today.
* Impact...At 16.0 feet...Water affects agricultural land, some 
  county roads, and farm houses.

&&

LAT...LON 4124 9206 4126 9201 4131 9213 4134 9240
      4129 9240                       

$$

IAC111-MOC045-290229-
/O.EXT.KDVN.FL.W.0066.000000T0000Z-151130T1234Z/
/SFLM7.1.ER.151127T1831Z.151128T0530Z.151129T0034Z.NO/
430 AM CST SAT NOV 28 2015

...Flood Warning now in effect until this evening...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Des Moines River at St Francisville.
* Until this evening.
* At 3:15 AM Saturday the stage was 19.5 feet...and falling.
* Flood stage is 18 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Forecast...Fall below flood stage this evening.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet...Flooding occurs over the lower river 
  banks.

&&

LAT...LON 4061 9172 4061 9185 4035 9147 4040 9139
      4069 9172                       

$$

ILC073-161-195-290229-
/O.CON.KDVN.FL.W.0069.151128T1200Z-151202T0900Z/
/JOSI2.1.ER.151128T1200Z.151129T0600Z.151130T2100Z.NO/
430 AM CST SAT NOV 28 2015

...Flood Warning remains in effect until Monday...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Rock River near Joslin.
* Until Monday.
* At 3:30 AM Saturday the stage was 11.4 feet...and rising.
* Flood stage is 12 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage this morning...and continue 
  rising to 13.2 feet Sunday morning. Fall below flood stage Monday.
* Impact...At 13.0 feet...Flooding of unprotected agricultural land 
  occurs. Water also affects Lundeens Landing Campground.

&&

LAT...LON 4152 9032 4148 9027 4163 8999 4169 9002


$$

RP Kinney
786 
WGUS83 KDVN 281650
FLSDVN


FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
1050 AM CST SAT NOV 28 2015

.Recent heavy rainfall is resulting in minor to moderate flooding
on a number of rivers in eastern Iowa and northwest Illinois.

River forecasts include past precipitation and forecast rainfall for
the next 48 hours.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If you encounter a flooded roadway, turn around and find an 
alternate route. Turn around, don't drown.

&&

IAC045-163-290850-
/O.EXT.KDVN.FL.W.0065.000000T0000Z-151130T1500Z/
/DEWI4.2.ER.000000T0000Z.151128T1145Z.151129T0300Z.NO/
1050 AM CST SAT NOV 28 2015

...Flood Warning now in effect until this evening...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Wapsipinicon River near De Witt 4S.
* Until this evening.
* At 10:30 AM Saturday the stage was 11.4 feet...and steady.
* Flood stage is  11 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Forecast...Fall below flood stage this evening.
* Impact...At  11.5 feet...Water affects homes along old U.S. Highway
  61. The river is bank full in most areas.

&&

LAT...LON 4200 9090 4185 9090 4171 9080 4169 9035
      4177 9033 4184 9071             

$$

IAC103-115-183-290850-
/O.CON.KDVN.FL.W.0067.000000T0000Z-151201T0000Z/
/LNTI4.1.ER.151127T2340Z.151129T0000Z.151129T1200Z.NO/
1050 AM CST SAT NOV 28 2015

...Flood Warning remains in effect until Sunday morning...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Iowa River near Lone Tree.
* Until Sunday morning.
* At 10:00 AM Saturday the stage was 15.4 feet...and rising.
* Flood stage is  15 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Forecast...Rise to 15.5 feet this evening. Fall below flood stage 
  Sunday morning.
* Impact...At  15.0 feet...Water affects low lying roads.

&&

LAT...LON 4140 9151 4133 9142 4136 9138 4149 9147
      4148 9155                       

$$

IAC115-290849-
/O.EXT.KDVN.FL.W.0068.000000T0000Z-151202T0000Z/
/WAPI4.1.ER.151128T2000Z.151129T1200Z.151130T1200Z.NO/
1050 AM CST SAT NOV 28 2015

...Flood Warning now in effect until Monday morning...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Iowa River at Wapello.
* Until Monday morning.
* At 10:00 AM Saturday the stage was 19.8 feet...and rising.
* Flood stage is  20 feet.
* No flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage this afternoon...and continue
  rising to 20.5 feet Sunday morning. Fall below flood stage
  Monday morning.

&&

LAT...LON 4111 9117 4119 9111 4125 9127
      4122 9130                                 

$$

IAC103-183-290849-
/O.CON.KDVN.FL.W.0062.000000T0000Z-151130T1600Z/
/KALI4.2.ER.151127T0405Z.151127T2230Z.151129T0400Z.NO/
1050 AM CST SAT NOV 28 2015

...Flood Warning remains in effect until this evening...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The English River at Kalona.
* Until this evening.
* At 10:00 AM Saturday the stage was 16.4 feet...and steady.
* Flood stage is  14 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring.
* Forecast...Fall below flood stage this evening.
* Impact...At  16.0 feet...Moderate Flood Stage. Water begins 
  approaching several county roads. Agricultural land near the river
  is flooding.

&&

LAT...LON 4151 9194 4148 9194 4144 9173 4146 9152
      4152 9153                       

$$

IAC107-290849-
/O.EXT.KDVN.FL.W.0063.000000T0000Z-151130T1630Z/
/SIGI4.2.ER.151127T0752Z.151128T0200Z.151129T0430Z.NO/
1050 AM CST SAT NOV 28 2015

...Flood Warning now in effect until this evening...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The North Skunk River near Sigourney.
* Until this evening.
* At  9:30 AM Saturday the stage was 16.8 feet...and falling.
* Flood stage is  16 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Forecast...Fall below flood stage this evening.
* Impact...At  16.0 feet...Water affects agricultural land, some 
  county roads, and farm houses.

&&

LAT...LON 4124 9206 4126 9201 4131 9213 4134 9240
      4129 9240                       

$$

IAC111-MOC045-290849-
/O.EXT.KDVN.FL.W.0066.000000T0000Z-151130T0900Z/
/SFLM7.1.ER.151127T1831Z.151128T0530Z.151128T2100Z.NO/
1050 AM CST SAT NOV 28 2015

...Flood Warning now in effect until today...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Des Moines River at St Francisville.
* Until today.
* At 10:15 AM Saturday the stage was 18.6 feet...and falling.
* Flood stage is  18 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Forecast...Fall below flood stage late this afternoon.
* Impact...At  18.0 feet...Flooding occurs over the lower river 
  banks.

&&

LAT...LON 4061 9172 4061 9185 4035 9147 4040 9139
      4069 9172                       

$$

ILC073-161-195-290849-
/O.EXT.KDVN.FL.W.0069.000000T0000Z-151202T0800Z/
/JOSI2.1.ER.151128T1653Z.151129T0600Z.151130T2000Z.NO/
1050 AM CST SAT NOV 28 2015

...Flood Warning now in effect until Monday...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Rock River near Joslin.
* Until Monday.
* At  9:30 AM Saturday the stage was 11.8 feet...and rising.
* Flood stage is  12 feet.
* No flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage this afternoon...and continue 
  rising to 12.9 feet Sunday morning. Fall below flood stage Monday.
* Impact...At  13.0 feet...Flooding of unprotected agricultural land 
  occurs. Water also affects Lundeens Landing Campground.

&&

LAT...LON 4152 9032 4148 9027 4163 8999 4169 9002


$$

HAASE
699 
WGUS83 KDVN 290306
FLSDVN


FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
906 PM CST SAT NOV 28 2015


River forecasts include past precipitation and forecast rainfall for
the next 48 hours.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If you encounter a flooded roadway, turn around and find an 
alternate route. Turn around, don't drown.

&&

IAC045-163-291906-
/O.EXT.KDVN.FL.W.0065.000000T0000Z-151130T1645Z/
/DEWI4.2.ER.000000T0000Z.151128T1145Z.151129T0445Z.NO/
906 PM CST SAT NOV 28 2015

...Flood Warning now in effect until this evening...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Wapsipinicon River near De Witt 4S.
* Until this evening.
* At 8:30 PM Saturday the stage was 11.2 feet...and falling.
* Flood stage is 11 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Forecast...Fall below flood stage this evening.
* Impact...At 11.0 feet...Water affects County Road E63 north of the
  river near Toronto and affects the lowest roads in Buena Vista.

&&

LAT...LON 4200 9090 4185 9090 4171 9080 4169 9035
      4177 9033 4184 9071             

$$

IAC103-115-183-291906-
/O.EXT.KDVN.FL.W.0067.000000T0000Z-151201T0824Z/
/LNTI4.1.ER.151127T2340Z.151129T1200Z.151129T2024Z.NO/
906 PM CST SAT NOV 28 2015

...Flood Warning now in effect until Sunday...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Iowa River near Lone Tree.
* Until Sunday.
* At 8:00 PM Saturday the stage was 15.4 feet...and steady.
* Flood stage is 15 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Forecast...Rise to 15.6 feet Sunday morning. Fall below flood stage
  Sunday.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet...Water affects low lying roads.

&&

LAT...LON 4140 9151 4133 9142 4136 9138 4149 9147
      4148 9155                       

$$

IAC115-291906-
/O.EXT.KDVN.FL.W.0068.000000T0000Z-151202T0600Z/
/WAPI4.1.ER.000000T0000Z.151129T1800Z.151130T1800Z.NO/
906 PM CST SAT NOV 28 2015

...Flood Warning now in effect until Monday...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Iowa River at Wapello.
* Until Monday.
* At 8:00 PM Saturday the stage was 20.1 feet...and steady.
* Flood stage is 20 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Forecast...Rise to 20.4 feet Sunday. Fall below flood stage Monday.

&&

LAT...LON 4111 9117 4119 9111 4125 9127
      4122 9130                                 

$$

IAC103-183-291906-
/O.EXT.KDVN.FL.W.0062.000000T0000Z-151201T0000Z/
/KALI4.2.ER.151127T0405Z.151127T2230Z.151129T1200Z.NO/
906 PM CST SAT NOV 28 2015

...Flood Warning now in effect until Sunday morning...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The English River at Kalona.
* Until Sunday morning.
* At 8:00 PM Saturday the stage was 16.3 feet...and falling.
* Flood stage is 14 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring.
* Forecast...Fall below flood stage Sunday morning.
* Impact...At 16.0 feet...Moderate Flood Stage. Water begins 
  approaching several county roads. Agricultural land near the river
  is flooding.

&&

LAT...LON 4151 9194 4148 9194 4144 9173 4146 9152
      4152 9153                       

$$

IAC107-291906-
/O.EXT.KDVN.FL.W.0063.000000T0000Z-151130T1616Z/
/SIGI4.2.ER.151127T0752Z.151128T0200Z.151129T0416Z.NO/
906 PM CST SAT NOV 28 2015

...Flood Warning now in effect until this evening...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The North Skunk River near Sigourney.
* Until this evening.
* At 8:30 PM Saturday the stage was 16.3 feet...and steady.
* Flood stage is 16 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Forecast...Fall below flood stage this evening.
* Impact...At 16.0 feet...Water affects agricultural land, some 
  county roads, and farm houses.

&&

LAT...LON 4124 9206 4126 9201 4131 9213 4134 9240
      4129 9240                       

$$

ILC073-161-195-291905-
/O.EXT.KDVN.FL.W.0069.000000T0000Z-151202T1200Z/
/JOSI2.1.ER.000000T0000Z.151129T1800Z.151201T0000Z.NO/
906 PM CST SAT NOV 28 2015

...Flood Warning now in effect until Monday evening...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Rock River near Joslin.
* Until Monday evening.
* At 8:30 PM Saturday the stage was 12.1 feet...and rising.
* Flood stage is 12 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Forecast...Rise to 12.5 feet Sunday. Fall below flood stage Monday 
  evening.
* Impact...At 12.5 feet...Water affects some summer cottages along 
  the river.

&&

LAT...LON 4152 9032 4148 9027 4163 8999 4169 9002


$$

Nichols
208 
WGUS83 KDVN 291029
FLSDVN


FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
429 AM CST SUN NOV 29 2015

River forecasts include past precipitation and forecast rainfall for
the next 48 hours.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If you encounter a flooded roadway, turn around and find an 
alternate route. Turn around, don't drown.

&&

IAC103-115-183-300229-
/O.EXT.KDVN.FL.W.0067.000000T0000Z-151201T0421Z/
/LNTI4.1.ER.151127T2340Z.151129T1200Z.151129T1621Z.NO/
429 AM CST SUN NOV 29 2015

...Flood Warning now in effect until this morning...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Iowa River near Lone Tree.
* Until this morning.
* At 4:00 AM Sunday the stage was 15.2 feet...and falling.
* Flood stage is 15 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Forecast...Fall below flood stage this afternoon.

&&

LAT...LON 4140 9151 4133 9142 4136 9138 4149 9147
      4148 9155                       

$$

IAC115-300229-
/O.EXT.KDVN.FL.W.0068.000000T0000Z-151201T1930Z/
/WAPI4.1.ER.000000T0000Z.151129T1800Z.151130T0730Z.NO/
429 AM CST SUN NOV 29 2015

...Flood Warning now in effect until Monday morning...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Iowa River at Wapello.
* Until Monday morning.
* At 4:00 AM Sunday the stage was 20.1 feet...and slowly falling.
* Flood stage is 20 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Forecast...Fall below flood stage Monday morning.

&&

LAT...LON 4111 9117 4119 9111 4125 9127
      4122 9130                                 

$$

IAC103-183-300229-
/O.EXT.KDVN.FL.W.0062.000000T0000Z-151201T0359Z/
/KALI4.2.ER.151127T0405Z.151127T2230Z.151129T1559Z.NO/
429 AM CST SUN NOV 29 2015

...Flood Warning now in effect until this morning...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The English River at Kalona.
* Until this morning.
* At 4:00 AM Sunday the stage was 15.8 feet...and falling.
* Flood stage is 14 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Forecast...Fall below flood stage today.

&&

LAT...LON 4151 9194 4148 9194 4144 9173 4146 9152
      4152 9153                       

$$

IAC107-300228-
/O.EXT.KDVN.FL.W.0063.000000T0000Z-151201T0916Z/
/SIGI4.2.ER.151127T0752Z.151128T0200Z.151129T2116Z.NO/
429 AM CST SUN NOV 29 2015

...Flood Warning now in effect until today...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The North Skunk River near Sigourney.
* Until today.
* At 3:30 AM Sunday the stage was 16.4 feet...and nearly steady.
* Flood stage is 16 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Forecast...Fall below flood stage today.

&&

LAT...LON 4124 9206 4126 9201 4131 9213 4134 9240
      4129 9240                       

$$

ILC073-161-195-300228-
/O.CON.KDVN.FL.W.0069.000000T0000Z-151202T1200Z/
/JOSI2.1.ER.000000T0000Z.151129T1800Z.151201T0000Z.NO/
429 AM CST SUN NOV 29 2015

...Flood Warning remains in effect until Monday evening...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Rock River near Joslin.
* Until Monday evening.
* At 3:30 AM Sunday the stage was 12.3 feet...and rising.
* Flood stage is 12 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Forecast...Rise to 12.5 feet today. Fall below flood stage Monday 
  evening.
* Impact...At 12.5 feet...Water affects some summer cottages along 
  the river.

&&

LAT...LON 4152 9032 4148 9027 4163 8999 4169 9002


$$

RP Kinney
042 
WGUS83 KDVN 291653
FLSDVN


FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
1053 AM CST SUN NOV 29 2015

.UPDATED FORECASTS FOR THE IOWA...ENGLISH...SKUNK AND ROCK RIVERS.

River forecasts include past precipitation and forecast rainfall for
the next 48 hours.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If you encounter a flooded roadway, turn around and find an 
alternate route. Turn around, don't drown.

&&

IAC103-115-183-291723-
/O.CAN.KDVN.FL.W.0067.000000T0000Z-151201T0421Z/
/LNTI4.1.ER.151127T2340Z.151129T1215Z.151129T1526Z.NO/
1053 AM CST SUN NOV 29 2015

...Flood Warning is cancelled...

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Iowa River near Lone Tree.
* At 10:00 AM Sunday the stage was 14.9 feet...and falling.
* Flood stage is  15 feet.
* Fell below flood stage at  9:26 AM Sunday.
* No flooding is occurring...and no flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Fall to 14.1 feet Monday morning.

&&

LAT...LON 4140 9151 4133 9142 4136 9138 4149 9147
      4148 9155                       

$$

IAC115-300853-
/O.EXT.KDVN.FL.W.0068.000000T0000Z-151201T0500Z/
/WAPI4.1.ER.000000T0000Z.151129T1230Z.151129T1700Z.NO/
1053 AM CST SUN NOV 29 2015

...Flood Warning now in effect until this morning...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Iowa River at Wapello.
* Until this morning.
* At 10:00 AM Sunday the stage was 20.0 feet...and falling.
* Flood stage is  20 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Forecast...Fall below flood stage by noon.


&&

LAT...LON 4111 9117 4119 9111 4125 9127
      4122 9130                                 

$$

IAC103-183-300853-
/O.EXT.KDVN.FL.W.0062.000000T0000Z-151201T0717Z/
/KALI4.2.ER.151127T0405Z.151127T2230Z.151129T1917Z.NO/
1053 AM CST SUN NOV 29 2015

...Flood Warning now in effect until today...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The English River at Kalona.
* Until today.
* At 10:00 AM Sunday the stage was 15.0 feet...and falling rapidly.
* Flood stage is  14 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Forecast...Fall below flood stage this afternoon.
* Impact...At  14.0 feet...Minor Flood Stage. Agricultural land along
  the river begins to flood.

&&

LAT...LON 4151 9194 4148 9194 4144 9173 4146 9152
      4152 9153                       

$$

IAC107-300853-
/O.EXT.KDVN.FL.W.0063.000000T0000Z-151202T0336Z/
/SIGI4.2.ER.151127T0752Z.151128T0200Z.151130T1536Z.NO/
1053 AM CST SUN NOV 29 2015

...Flood Warning now in effect until Monday morning...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The North Skunk River near Sigourney.
* Until Monday morning.
* At 10:30 AM Sunday the stage was 16.6 feet...and rising.
* Flood stage is  16 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Forecast...Rise to 16.7 feet today. Fall below flood stage Monday 
  morning.
* Impact...At  16.0 feet...Water affects agricultural land, some 
  county roads, and farm houses.

&&

LAT...LON 4124 9206 4126 9201 4131 9213 4134 9240
      4129 9240                       

$$

ILC073-161-195-300853-
/O.EXT.KDVN.FL.W.0069.000000T0000Z-151201T2100Z/
/JOSI2.1.ER.000000T0000Z.151129T1315Z.151130T0900Z.NO/
1053 AM CST SUN NOV 29 2015

...Flood Warning now in effect until Monday morning...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Rock River near Joslin.
* Until Monday morning.
* At  9:30 AM Sunday the stage was 12.3 feet...and steady.
* Flood stage is  12 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Forecast...Steady at 12.3 feet through early this afternoon then
  begin falling. Fall below flood stage Monday morning.
* Impact...At  12.0 feet...Water affects low lying agricultural land.

&&

LAT...LON 4152 9032 4148 9027 4163 8999 4169 9002


$$

HAASE
203 
WGUS83 KDVN 300139
FLSDVN


FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
739 PM CST SUN NOV 29 2015


River forecasts include past precipitation and forecast rainfall for
the next 48 hours.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If you encounter a flooded roadway, turn around and find an 
alternate route. Turn around, don't drown.

&&

IAC107-301739-
/O.EXT.KDVN.FL.W.0063.000000T0000Z-151202T0224Z/
/SIGI4.2.ER.151127T0752Z.151128T0200Z.151130T1424Z.NO/
739 PM CST SUN NOV 29 2015

...Flood Warning now in effect until Monday morning...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The North Skunk River near Sigourney.
* Until Monday morning.
* At 7:30 PM Sunday the stage was 16.6 feet...and steady.
* Flood stage is  16 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Forecast...Fall below flood stage Monday morning.
* Impact...At 16.0 feet...Water affects agricultural land, some 
  county roads, and farm houses.

&&

LAT...LON 4124 9206 4126 9201 4131 9213 4134 9240
      4129 9240                       

$$

ILC073-161-195-301739-
/O.EXT.KDVN.FL.W.0069.000000T0000Z-151202T0000Z/
/JOSI2.1.ER.000000T0000Z.151129T1315Z.151130T1200Z.NO/
739 PM CST SUN NOV 29 2015

...Flood Warning now in effect until Monday morning...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Rock River near Joslin.
* Until Monday morning.
* At 6:30 PM Sunday the stage was 12.2 feet...and falling.
* Flood stage is 12 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Forecast...Fall below flood stage Monday morning.
* Impact...At 12.0 feet...Water affects low lying agricultural land.

&&

LAT...LON 4152 9032 4148 9027 4163 8999 4169 9002


$$

Nichols
523 
WGUS83 KDVN 300841
FLSDVN


FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
241 AM CST MON NOV 30 2015

River forecasts include past precipitation and forecast rainfall for
the next 48 hours.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If you encounter a flooded roadway, turn around and find an 
alternate route. Turn around, don't drown.

&&

IAC107-010041-
/O.EXT.KDVN.FL.W.0063.000000T0000Z-151202T0000Z/
/SIGI4.2.ER.151127T0752Z.151128T0200Z.151130T1200Z.NO/
241 AM CST MON NOV 30 2015

...Flood Warning now in effect until this morning...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The North Skunk River near Sigourney.
* Until this morning.
* At 2:30 AM Monday the stage was 16.2 feet...and falling.
* Flood stage is 16 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Forecast...Fall below flood stage this morning.

&&

LAT...LON 4124 9206 4126 9201 4131 9213 4134 9240
      4129 9240                       

$$

ILC073-161-195-010041-
/O.CON.KDVN.FL.W.0069.000000T0000Z-151202T0000Z/
/JOSI2.1.ER.000000T0000Z.151129T1315Z.151130T1200Z.NO/
241 AM CST MON NOV 30 2015

...Flood Warning remains in effect until this morning...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Rock River near Joslin.
* Until this morning.
* At 1:30 AM Monday the stage was 12.2 feet...and falling.
* Flood stage is 12 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Forecast...Fall below flood stage this morning.

&&

LAT...LON 4152 9032 4148 9027 4163 8999 4169 9002


$$
RP Kinney
617 
WGUS83 KDVN 301634
FLSDVN


FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
1033 AM CST MON NOV 30 2015

.THE NORTH SKUNK RIVER HAS FALLEN BELOW FLOOD STAGE.

River forecasts include past precipitation and forecast rainfall for
the next 48 hours.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If you encounter a flooded roadway, turn around and find an 
alternate route. Turn around, don't drown.

&&

IAC107-301703-
/O.CAN.KDVN.FL.W.0063.000000T0000Z-151202T0000Z/
/SIGI4.2.ER.151127T0752Z.151128T0200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1033 AM CST MON NOV 30 2015

...Flood Warning is cancelled...

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The North Skunk River near Sigourney.
* At  9:30 AM Monday the stage was 14.4 feet...and falling.
* Flood stage is  16 feet.
* No flooding is occurring...and no flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Crested below flood stage at 15.6 feet. fall to 13.6 
  feet Tuesday morning.
* Impact...At  14.0 feet...Water affects some lower agricultural land
  along the river.

&&

LAT...LON 4124 9206 4126 9201 4131 9213 4134 9240
      4129 9240                       

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Quad Cities, IA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Nov 26, 5:55 PM CST, 3 hours 56 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Nov 26, 5:55 PM CST, 3 hours 56 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
555 PM CST THU NOV 26 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
ISSUED AT 310 PM CST THU NOV 26 2015

12Z UA ANALYSIS HAS A STRONG 850MB COLD FRONT FROM EASTERN LAKE SUPERIOR
INTO WESTERN KANSAS. AHEAD OF THE 850MB COLD FRONT...A STRONG LLJ WAS
PULLING MOISTURE NORTH FROM THE GULF OF MEXICO. RADAR TRENDS THROUGH
MID AFTERNOON SHOW THE MAIN RAIN SHIELD EXPANDING ACROSS THE MIDWEST.

18Z SFC DATA INDICATED THE COLD FRONT RAN FROM FAR EASTERN LAKE SUPERIOR
TO KMKC...AND THEN INTO SOUTHWEST OKLAHOMA. A QUICK 10 DEGREE TEMPERATURE
DROP OCCURS BEHIND THE FRONT. DEW POINTS AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT WERE
IN THE 50S. BEHIND THE COLD FRONT...DEW POINTS QUICKLY DROPPED INTO
THE 30S WITH TEENS AND 20S ACROSS THE NORTHERN AND CENTRAL PLAINS.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 310 PM CST THU NOV 26 2015

THE RAIN SHIELD CONTINUES TO EXPAND ACROSS THE AREA AS FORCING FROM
THE NEXT UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE BEGINS MOVING INTO THE AREA.
LIGHTNING DATA HAS ONE LONE IN CLOUD FLASH IN NORTHERN MISSOURI.

SO...THROUGH SUNSET...RAIN WILL BECOME WIDESPREAD ACROSS THE AREA
AND THERE MIGHT BE A RUMBLE OR TWO OF THUNDER GENERALLY SOUTH OF A
KIRK TO KGBG LINE. THE COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE MOVING EAST AND
SHOULD BE ROUGHLY ALONG A KFEP TO KCOU LINE AN HOUR AFTER SUNSET.

AFTER SUNSET...WIDESPREAD RAIN WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE AREA WITH
THE RAIN SLOWLY ENDING ACROSS THE NORTHWEST HALF OF THE AREA AFTER
MIDNIGHT. THE QUESTION THEN TURNS TO WHETHER OR NOT THERE BE ANY
SNOW...SLEET...OR FREEZING RAIN BEFORE IT ENDS IN THE NORTHWEST
THIRD OF THE AREA. THE POSSIBILITY DOES EXIST THAT THE RAIN MAY END
PRIOR TO IT GETTING COLD ENOUGH TO INDUCE A MIX.

THERMAL PROFILES SUGGEST THE POSSIBILITY OF A MIX OR A COMPLETE
CHANGE OVER WEST OF A MANCHESTER TO BELLE PLAINE LINE JUST PRIOR TO
THE PRECIPITATION ENDING AFTER MIDNIGHT. THE GROUND HAS SOAKED UP A
CONSIDERABLE AMOUNT OF HEAT THE PREVIOUS 2 DAYS SO THE SNOW SHOULD
MELT ON CONTACT. AT THE VERY WORST THERE MAY BE A SLIGHT HUE OF
WHITE ON GRASSY OR ELEVATED SURFACES. TAKING CURRENT ROAD PAVEMENT
TEMPERATURES AND APPLYING A GROSS LINEAR REGRESSION TO THEM...
PAVEMENT TEMPERATURES SHOULD REMAIN ABOVE FREEZING LATE TONIGHT AND
EARLY FRIDAY MORNING.

.LONG TERM...(FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 310 PM CST THU NOV 26 2015

...MOSTLY NEAR SEASONABLE TEMPERATURES WITH LIGHT PRECIPITATION EVENT
OF MOSTLY RAIN ON MONDAY.

LONG TERM FORECAST CONFIDENCE ASSESSMENT...GOOD OR SLIGHTLY ABOVE AVERAGE
CONFIDENCE WITH SOME CONCERN OF A WINTRY MIX MONDAY NW SECTIONS WITH
NEXT SYSTEM MAIN ISSUE. DIURNAL TEMPERATURES SHOULD BE WITHIN 3 DEGREES
MOST LOCATIONS FOR DAYS 2 THOUGH 7.

OVERVIEW...INITIALIZATION AND VERIFICATION AT 18Z IS GOOD ON LARGE SCALE
BUT AS OFTEN THE CASE TOO MOIST IN BL WITH LARGE OF QPF FIELDS IN AREAL
COVERAGE. RUN TO RUN CONSISTENCY SUGGESTS AT LEAST 80/20 MIX OF MORE
CONSISTENT HI-RES ECMWF TO GFS WITH ALSO MORE ACCURATE QPF AND LOW
LEVEL THERMAL FIELDS.

FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY SOUTH AND MOSTLY CLEAR TO
CLEAR NORTH AND DRY WITH WEAK HIGH PRESSURE. TEMPERATURES MID 30S TO
LOWER 40S FOR HIGHS ON SATURDAY AND SUNDAY AND MINS MOSTLY IN THE 20S
WITH SOME UPPER TEENS POSSIBLE IN FAR NORTH SECTIONS. SATURDAY AND SUNDAY
MORNING.

SUNDAY NIGHT...INCREASING CLOUDS WITH LOWS MOSTLY LATE EVENING TO EARLY
OVERNIGHT HOURS AND THEN INCREASING AS SE WINDS KICK IN. MINS MID 20
FAR NORTH TO LOWER 30S SOUTH WITH LIGHT PRECIPITATION OF RAIN AND POSSIBLY
SOME BRIEF FREEZING RAIN INITIALLY MOSTLY AFTER MIDNIGHT. LITTLE OR
NO ICE ISSUES SUGGESTED ATTM.

MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...AREA OF LIGHT PRECIPITATION WITH AMOUNTS AOB
.25 OF AN INCH MOST LOCATIONS. SHOULD FALL MOSTLY AS RAIN WITH POSSIBLY
SOME SNOW/SLEET.FREEZING RAIN POSSIBLE IN THE NW 1/3 FOR LATER SHIFTS
TO ASSESS. SURFACE TO PASS NW OF AREA NOT FAVORABLE FOR SIGNIFICANT
ICE ISSUE WITH GOOD WAA AS EVENT OCCURS.

TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL AND MOSTLY FAIR AND
DRY WITH HIGHS MOSTLY IN THE 30S. LOWS MOSTLY UPPER TEENS TO UPPER 20S.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z FRIDAY EVENING)
ISSUED AT 543 PM CST THU NOV 26 2015

GENERALLY EXPECT WIDESPREAD MVFR CONDITIONS FOR MUCH OF THE TAF
CYCLE. THERE WILL BE SOME AREAS OF IFR TO LOCALIZED LIFR IN
RAIN THROUGH THIS EVENING. THE RAIN WILL TAPER OFF FROM WEST TO
EAST OVERNIGHT... BUT BEFORE DOING SO IT MAY MIX WITH OR CHANGE TO
A BRIEF PERIOD OF SLEET OR SNOW PRIOR TO ENDING... ESPECIALLY AT
KCID AND KDBQ. LATER ON FRIDAY MAY SEE SOME PARTIAL CLEARING AND
RETURN OF VFR CONDITIONS DURING THE AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL BE
NORTHWEST TO NORTH AND TURN GUSTY AT 15-25 KTS FOR MUCH OF THE
TAF CYCLE.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
ISSUED AT 310 PM CST THU NOV 26 2015

LONG DURATION RAINFALL EVENT NOW UNFOLDING AND LASTING INTO FRIDAY
MORNING TO BRING RAINFALL AMOUNTS FROM 1 TO 2 PLUS INCHES ACROSS THE
AREA. WITH LITTLE OR NO SNOWPACK ON THE GROUND...BUT FAIRLY SATURATED
SOILS...A SIGNIFICANT PERCENTAGE OF THIS STEADY RAIN COULD GO STRAIGHT
INTO RUNOFF. RIVER FORECASTS SUGGEST MANY AREA RIVERS SHOULD MAKE
BANKFULL WITH SOME REACHING FLOOD STAGE WITH RAIN TOTALS NEAR 2
INCHES. THE MOST SUSCEPTIBLE WOULD BE...THE IOWA RIVER AT MARENGO...ENGLISH
RIVER AT KALONA COULD MAKE FLOOD STAGE BY THE WEEKEND. WILL CONTINUE
TO HOLD OFF ANY EARLY ISSUANCE OF RIVER FLOOD WARNINGS FOR NOW TO BETTER
SEE HOW RAINFALL AND AMOUNT POTENTIAL WILL LAY OUT OVER THE NEXT 6-12
HRS.

&&

.DVN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IA...NONE.
IL...NONE.
MO...NONE.
&&

SYNOPSIS...08
SHORT TERM...08
LONG TERM...NICHOLS
AVIATION...05
Hazardous weather outlook, Nov 26, 4:09 AM CST, 17 hours 42 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
409 AM CST THU NOV 26 2015

IAZ040>042-051>054-063>068-076>078-087>089-098-099-ILZ001-002-007-
009-015>018-024>026-034-035-MOZ009-010-271015-
BUCHANAN-DELAWARE-DUBUQUE-BENTON-LINN-JONES-JACKSON-IOWA-JOHNSON-
CEDAR-CLINTON-MUSCATINE-SCOTT-KEOKUK-WASHINGTON-LOUISA-JEFFERSON-
HENRY IA-DES MOINES-VAN BUREN-LEE-JO DAVIESS-STEPHENSON-CARROLL-
WHITESIDE-ROCK ISLAND-HENRY IL-BUREAU-PUTNAM-MERCER-HENDERSON-
WARREN-HANCOCK-MCDONOUGH-SCOTLAND-CLARK-
409 AM CST THU NOV 26 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL
ILLINOIS...NORTHWEST ILLINOIS...WEST CENTRAL ILLINOIS...EAST
CENTRAL IOWA...NORTHEAST IOWA...SOUTHEAST IOWA AND NORTHEAST
MISSOURI.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A SLOW MOVING STORM SYSTEM WILL PRODUCE WIDESPREAD RAIN ACROSS THE
OUTLOOK AREA TODAY AND TONIGHT. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES
ARE EXPECTED...WHICH MAY LEAD TO PONDING WATER IN LOW LYING AREAS
AND MINOR FLOODING ALONG SMALL STREAMS. THE PRECIPITATION MAY
CHANGE OVER TO A LIGHT WINTRY MIX OF SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN OVER
PORTIONS OF EASTERN IOWA TOWARD DAWN FRIDAY...BUT NO ACCUMULATION
IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

WITH THE FORECAST RAINFALL...SOME RIVERS COULD RISE TO NEAR OR
ABOVE FLOOD STAGE. THOSE WITH INTERESTS ALONG RIVERS SHOULD PAY
ATTENTION TO FUTURE FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR A WINTRY MIX OF PRECIPITATION SATURDAY
NIGHT...SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY NIGHT ACROSS THE AREA. AT THIS
TIME...CONFIDENCE IS LOW IN THIS OCCURRING. HOWEVER...WITH THE
BUSY TRAVEL WEEKEND UPCOMING...PLEASE PAY ATTENTION TO FUTURE
FORECASTS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY OR TONIGHT.

SHEETS/GIBBS

In the hours before

Local storm report, Nov 26, 4:00 PM CST, 5 hours 51 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
400 PM CST THU NOV 26 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0358 PM     HEAVY RAIN       1 WNW MORRISON          41.81N 89.98W
11/26/2015  M1.20 INCH       WHITESIDE          IL   TRAINED SPOTTER

            MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINFALL AT THIS TIME.

&&

HAASE
Local storm report, Nov 26, 7:08 PM CST, 2 hours 43 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
708 PM CST THU NOV 26 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0707 PM     HEAVY RAIN       2 SSW LADORA            41.73N 92.20W
11/26/2015  M1.50 INCH       IOWA               IA   TRAINED SPOTTER

            STORM TOTAL SO FAR.

&&

MCCLURE
Local storm report, Nov 26, 7:19 PM CST, 2 hours 32 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
719 PM CST THU NOV 26 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0719 PM     HEAVY RAIN       WNW PARNELL             41.58N 92.01W
11/26/2015  M1.45 INCH       IOWA               IA   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

DC
Local storm report, Nov 26, 9:18 PM CST, 33 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
918 PM CST THU NOV 26 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0916 PM     HEAVY RAIN       2 NNW MUSCATINE         41.44N 91.08W
11/26/2015  M1.60 INCH       MUSCATINE          IA   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

DC
Local storm report, Nov 26, 9:27 PM CST, 24 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
927 PM CST THU NOV 26 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0925 PM     HEAVY RAIN       1 SSW CORDOVA           41.67N 90.33W
11/26/2015  M1.50 INCH       ROCK ISLAND        IL   TRAINED SPOTTER

            STILL RAINING

&&

DC

The office that day

Everything else NWS Quad Cities, IA issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Nov 26, 8:24 PM CSTRiver Flood WarningDVNJohnson, Washington4 days
Nov 27, 5:12 AM CSTRiver Flood WarningDVNIowa5 days
Nov 27, 5:18 AM CSTRiver Flood WarningDVNClinton, Scott3 days
Nov 27, 1:38 PM CSTRiver Flood WarningDVNLee3 days
Nov 27, 3:13 PM CSTRiver Flood WarningDVNJohnson, Louisa, Washington4 days

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Iowa, 2015Every river flood warning in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.