Alert archive / Minnesota / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2015

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 99, NWS Duluth, MN

August 12, 2015Crow Wing County, Minnesota

NWS Duluth, MN issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Aug 12, 2015, 9:14 PM CDT for Crow Wing County, Minnesota. It was in force for 16 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued: Aug 12, 2015, 9:14 PM CDT (02:14 UTC)
Expired: Aug 12, 2015, 9:30 PM CDT
In force: 16 min
Issued by: NWS Duluth, MN
Area: Storm-based polygon
Hail: 2.0 in
Wind: 60.0 mph

County Crow Wing County, MN

The radar

The Duluth radar (KDLH), 147 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 02:17 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
Aug 12, 3:33 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Watch	SPC	9 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Minneapolis, MN (KMPX), launched 00:00Z, 2.2 hours before the alert went out and 185 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 183 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -142 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 1528 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 37 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 53 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 81 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.3

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Duluth, MN wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Aug 12, 7:22 PM CDT, 1 hour 52 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Aug 12, 7:22 PM CDT, 1 hour 52 minutes before

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Hazardous weather outlook, Aug 12, 3:51 PM CDT, 5 hours 23 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
351 PM CDT WED AUG 12 2015

MNZ010>012-018>021-025-026-033>038-WIZ001>004-006>009-131200-
KOOCHICHING-NORTHERN ST. LOUIS-NORTHERN COOK/NORTHERN LAKE-
NORTHERN ITASCA-CENTRAL ST. LOUIS-SOUTHERN LAKE/LAKESHORE-
SOUTHERN COOK/LAKESHORE-NORTHERN CASS-SOUTHERN ITASCA-
SOUTHERN CASS-CROW WING-NORTHERN AITKIN-SOUTHERN AITKIN-
CARLTON/SOUTHERN ST. LOUIS-PINE-DOUGLAS-BAYFIELD-ASHLAND-IRON-
BURNETT-WASHBURN-SAWYER-PRICE-
351 PM CDT WED AUG 12 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST
MINNESOTA AND NORTHWEST WISCONSIN.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED LATE THIS
AFTERNOON AND INTO EARLY THURSDAY AS A TROUGH BOUNDARY MOVES OUT
OF CANADA AND NORTHWEST MINNESOTA INTO THE NORTHLAND. STRONG TO
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE NORTHLAND THROUGH
TONIGHT. THE GREATEST RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER IS ACROSS PARTS OF
NORTH CENTRAL AND CENTRAL MINNESOTA...WHICH IS WHERE A SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS EVENING. STORMS
COULD BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...AND
HEAVY RAIN. LOCALIZED FLOODING IS POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

THERE COULD BE LINGERING STORMS ACROSS NORTHWEST WISCONSIN EARLY
THURSDAY.

THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS NORTHEAST MINNESOTA AND
NORTHWEST WISCONSIN THURSDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY FRIDAY.

A COLD FRONT COULD BRING THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH NORTHEAST MINNESOTA
AND NORTHWEST WISCONSIN SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY.

THERE WILL BE PERIODIC CHANCES OF THUNDERSTORMS EARLY NEXT WEEK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTERS MAY BE NEEDED THROUGH TONIGHT...ESPECIALLY
ACROSS PARTS OF NORTH CENTRAL AND CENTRAL MINNESOTA...WHICH HAS
THE THE GREATEST RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER. SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED
TO REPORT HAIL...GUSTY WINDS...AND RAINFALL WITH ANY
THUNDERSTORMS.

LSZ121-140>148-131200-
BAYFIELD TO OAK POINT WI-GRAND PORTAGE TO GRAND MARAIS MN-
GRAND MARAIS TO TACONITE HARBOR MN-
TACONITE HARBOR TO SILVER BAY HARBOR MN-
SILVER BAY HARBOR TO TWO HARBORS MN-TWO HARBORS TO DULUTH MN-
DULUTH MN TO PORT WING WI-PORT WING TO SAND ISLAND WI-
SAND ISLAND TO BAYFIELD WI-OAK POINT TO SAXON HARBOR WI-
351 PM CDT WED AUG 12 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE NEARSHORE
WATERS OF WESTERN LAKE SUPERIOR.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS WESTERN LAKE SUPERIOR TONIGHT
INTO EARLY THURSDAY. SOME STORMS COULD BE STRONG TO SEVERE AND
CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LARGE HAIL AND STRONG GUSTS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS WESTERN LAKE SUPERIOR THURSDAY
NIGHT AND EARLY FRIDAY...SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY...AS WELL AS
MONDAY AND TUESDAY.

GROCHOCINSKI

MORE INFORMATION MAY BE OBTAINED AT THE FOLLOWING WEB ADDRESS:
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/DULUTH (ALL LOWER CASE)

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Aug 12, 6:17 PM CDT, 2 hours 57 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
617 PM CDT WED AUG 12 2015

MNZ025-033-122345-
SOUTH CASS-NORTH CASS-
617 PM CDT WED AUG 12 2015

...ROBUST THUNDERSTORM APPROACHING CASS COUNTY...

AT 615 PM CDT...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WERE ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM
10 MILES SOUTHEAST OF LAVINIA TO 9 MILES SOUTHWEST OF LAKE GEORGE...
AND MOVING SOUTH AT 50 MPH.

WIND GUSTS UP TO 55 MPH...NICKEL SIZE HAIL...HEAVY DOWNPOURS...AND
NEARLY CONTINUOUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING CAN BE EXPECTED WITH
THESE STORMS. A WARNING MAY BE NEEDED IN THE FUTURE IF THE CORE OF
THE STORM TRACKS FURTHER TO THE EAST.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
WALKER...HACKENSACK...LEECH LAKE...CASS LAKE...OSHAWA...WILKINSON...
TEN MILE LAKE...WHIPHOLT...PHEASANT LAKE...BREVIK AND WEBB LAKE.

SEEK SHELTER INSIDE A STURDY BUILDING AND AWAY FROM WINDOWS UNTIL
THESE STORMS PASS.

IF YOU ARE ON OR NEAR ONE OF THE MANY AREA LAKES...GET OFF OF THE
WATER IMMEDIATELY AND SEEK SHELTER ON SHORE INSIDE A STURDY BUILDING.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM CDT FOR
NORTH CENTRAL MINNESOTA.

LAT...LON 4680 9479 4680 9466 4740 9467 4741 9448
      4706 9419 4668 9478
TIME...MOT...LOC 2315Z 337DEG 44KT 4743 9463 4710 9515

MCLOVIN

Local storm report, Aug 12, 8:26 PM CDT, 48 minutes before

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Special weather statement, Aug 12, 8:39 PM CDT, 35 minutes before

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Local storm report, Aug 12, 8:57 PM CDT, 17 minutes before

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Local storm report, Aug 12, 9:09 PM CDT, 5 minutes before

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The office that day

Everything else NWS Duluth, MN issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Aug 12, 7:29 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DLH	Cass, Crow Wing	46 min
Aug 12, 8:15 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DLH	Cass, Crow Wing	60 min
Aug 12, 8:39 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	DLH	Koochiching	21 min
Aug 12, 9:38 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	DLH	Koochiching	22 min
Aug 12, 10:23 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	DLH	Koochiching	22 min
Aug 12, 10:45 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	DLH	Koochiching	15 min
Aug 12, 10:49 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DLH	Koochiching	26 min
Aug 12, 11:04 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DLH	Koochiching, Saint Louis	41 min
Aug 12, 11:20 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DLH	Koochiching	25 min
Aug 12, 11:35 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DLH	Koochiching, Saint Louis	40 min
Aug 12, 11:41 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	DLH	Cass	19 min
Aug 12, 11:56 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	DLH	Cass	34 min
Aug 13, 12:15 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	DLH	Saint Louis	30 min
Aug 13, 12:31 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	DLH	Cass	14 min
Aug 13, 12:45 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	DLH	Saint Louis	30 min
Aug 13, 12:47 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	DLH	Crow Wing	28 min
Aug 13, 1:11 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	DLH	Saint Louis	34 min
Aug 13, 1:12 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	DLH	Crow Wing	18 min
Aug 13, 1:30 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	DLH	Crow Wing	15 min
Aug 13, 1:46 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	DLH	Crow Wing	29 min
Aug 13, 4:16 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	DLH	Pine	14 min
Aug 13, 4:57 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	DLH	Pine	18 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Minnesota, 2015 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.