Alert archive / Kansas / Special Weather Statements in 2015

Special Weather Statement, NWS Dodge City, KS

November 4, 20154 counties in Kansas

NWS Dodge City, KS issued this special weather statement at Nov 4, 2015, 10:33 PM CST for 4 counties in Kansas. It was in force for 42 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Nov 4, 2015, 10:33 PM CST (04:33 UTC)
Expired: Nov 4, 2015, 11:15 PM CST
In force: 42 min
Issued by: NWS Dodge City, KS

Counties Edwards County, KS, Ford County, KS, Kiowa County, KS, Pawnee County, KS

The radar

The Dodge City radar (KDDC), 51 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 04:37 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Dodge City, (KDDC), launched 00:00Z, 4.6 hours before the alert went out and 45 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL: 946 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 72 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 169 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 255 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

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What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Dodge City, KS wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at Nov 4, 5:28 PM CST, 5 hours 5 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Nov 4, 5:28 PM CST, 5 hours 5 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
528 PM CST WED NOV 4 2015

...Updated for Aviation...

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH Thursday)
ISSUED AT 318 PM CST WED NOV 4 2015

A changing synoptic scale pattern will influence the short term
weather. Some of the more interesting aspects of the next couple of
days will be convective chances tonight, and how expansive freezing
temperatures may be on Thursday night.

For tonight, the models indicate cyclogenesis increasing across
northeast colorado and expanding northeast into south central
Nebraska. This will help drag a pre frontal trough in advance of a
pacific Cold front across western Kansas through the overnight
hours. NAM fields support around 1000 J/kg MUCAPE along the developing
convective line most of which is packed in the 0-3 and 0-1km layer.
With strong 30-40 knots relative flow, a possible qlcs line may be
highly sheared with severe wind potential. However, the environment
could be too highly sheared to allow sustained updrafts as the
convective allowing models have been backing off convection east of
the ks/co line area, with exception of the HRRR. Any storms and
showers that are ale to move into central Kansas would clear the
area overnight. The Pacific front morning in with expanding high
pressure during the day Thursday should lend to more fall like highs
for Thursday afternoon as well as a chance for freezing temperatures
in the far west and frost elsewhere.

.LONG TERM...(Thursday NIGHT THROUGH Wednesday)
ISSUED AT 318 PM CST WED NOV 4 2015

High pressure expanding across the Central Plains into the weekend
will likely bring lighter surface winds with time and more
widespread threat for from and freezing temperatures by Saturday
morning. Slow moderation toward highs in the 60s to around 70 are
likely into early next week.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z Thursday EVENING)
ISSUED AT 520 PM CST WED NOV 4 2015

A strong upper level wave will push across western Kansas
overnight with a possibility of strong to severe thunderstorms
forming a line with strong winds the main threat near 40-50kt.
Storms should be near GCK by 03-04Z, DDC by 05-06Z, and HYS by
06-08Z and last for an hour or two. Expect south winds of 18-28kt
shifting slowly to the southwest and decreasing late. Could have
some MVFR cigs in storms.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DDC  51  65  35  60 /  30  10  10   0
GCK  47  59  34  59 /  20  10  10   0
EHA  45  60  35  58 /  30  10  10   0
LBL  49  64  36  61 /  20  10  10   0
HYS  52  64  35  59 /  20  20  10   0
P28  57  74  40  62 /  20  20  10   0

&&

.DDC Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...Russell
LONG TERM...Russell
AVIATION...Kruse

Hazardous weather outlook, Nov 4, 3:27 PM CST, 7 hours 6 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
327 PM CST WED NOV 4 2015

KSZ030-031-043>046-061>066-074>081-084>090-052130-
TREGO-ELLIS-SCOTT-LANE-NESS-RUSH-HAMILTON-KEARNY-FINNEY-HODGEMAN-
PAWNEE-STAFFORD-STANTON-GRANT-HASKELL-GRAY-FORD-EDWARDS-KIOWA-
PRATT-MORTON-STEVENS-SEWARD-MEADE-CLARK-COMANCHE-BARBER-
327 PM CST WED NOV 4 2015 /227 PM MST WED NOV 4 2015/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL...SOUTH
CENTRAL...SOUTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

DISCUSSION...ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 9 PM NEAR THE COLORADO
LINE COULD DEVELOP INTO A LINE BEFORE WEAKENING AS THEY APPROACH
THE HIGHWAY 283 CORRIDOR. STRONG GUSTY WINDS TO 60 MPH ARE THE
PRIMARY THREAT.

WEATHER HAZARDS EXPECTED...

  LIMITED TORNADO RISK.
  LIMITED HAIL RISK.
  LIMITED THUNDERSTORM WIND DAMAGE RISK.
  LIMITED LIGHTNING RISK.
  ELEVATED NON THUNDERSTORM WIND RISK.
  LIMITED FIRE WEATHER RISK.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

HAZARDS WEATHER RISK...

  THURSDAY...
  SIGNIFICANT FROST RISK.

  FRIDAY...
  SIGNIFICANT FROST AND OR FREEZE RISK.

  SATURDAY...
  EXTREME FROST AND OR FREEZE RISK.

  SUNDAY...
  LIMITED NON THUNDERSTORM WIND RISK.

  MONDAY...
  NO HAZARDS.

  TUESDAY...
  NO HAZARDS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED LATER TONIGHT.

&&

FOR MORE DETAILS VISIT OUR WEBPAGE HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/DDC/EHWO

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Nov 4, 9:02 PM CST, 1 hour 31 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
902 PM CST WED NOV 4 2015

KSZ086-087-050345-
SEWARD KS-MEADE KS-
902 PM CST WED NOV 4 2015

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR EASTERN SEWARD AND MEADE COUNTIES
UNTIL 945 PM CST...

AT 902 PM CST...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A LINE OF STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 8 MILES SOUTHEAST OF
SUBLETTE TO 7 MILES SOUTHEAST OF LIBERAL...AND MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH.

WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
LIBERAL...MEADE...FOWLER...KISMET...MISSLER...MEADE STATE PARK...
HAYNE AND PLAINS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 15 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE
SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.

&&

LAT...LON 3700 10095 3738 10082 3737 10065 3747 10063
      3747 10011 3700 10016
TIME...MOT...LOC 0302Z 275DEG 37KT 3737 10077 3694 10088

RUSSELL

Local storm report, Nov 4, 9:24 PM CST, 1 hour 9 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
924 PM CST WED NOV 04 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0911 PM     TSTM WND GST     4 NW PIERCEVILLE        37.93N 100.72W
11/04/2015  M53 MPH          FINNEY             KS   ASOS

            THIS WAS AT THE GARDEN CITY REGIONAL AIRPORT.

&&

LEE

Special weather statement, Nov 4, 9:30 PM CST, 1 hour 3 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
930 PM CST WED NOV 4 2015

KSZ044-045-063-064-077-078-050430-
FORD KS-FINNEY KS-GRAY KS-NESS KS-LANE KS-HODGEMAN KS-
930 PM CST WED NOV 4 2015

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHEASTERN FINNEY...GRAY...
FORD...LANE...NESS AND HODGEMAN COUNTIES UNTIL 1030 PM CST...

AT 928 PM CST...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A LINE OF STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM SHIELDS TO 7 MILES SOUTH OF
MONTEZUMA...AND MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH.

OCCASIONAL WIND GUSTS OF 50 TO 55 MPH HAVE BEEN PERSISTENT WITH
THESE STORMS.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
DODGE CITY...CIMARRON...NESS CITY...DIGHTON...MONTEZUMA...JETMORE...
BUCKLIN...SPEARVILLE...BAZINE...INGALLS...RANSOM...FORD...HANSTON...
ENSIGN...UTICA...ALAMOTA...CHARLESTON...BROWNELL...WRIGHT AND
KINGSDOWN.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 15 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE
SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.

&&

LAT...LON 3868 9964 3748 9964 3749 10059 3867 10059
TIME...MOT...LOC 0328Z 248DEG 35KT 3862 10044 3749 10049

RUSSELL

Special weather statement, Nov 4, 9:54 PM CST, 39 minutes before

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Local storm report, Nov 4, 10:03 PM CST, 30 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
1003 PM CST WED NOV 04 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0915 PM     TSTM WND DMG     LIBERAL                 37.04N 100.94W
11/04/2015                   SEWARD             KS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            A LARGE TREE WAS BLOWN DOWN INTO THE STREET.

&&

FKRUSE

Special weather statement, Nov 4, 10:33 PM CST, 0 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
1033 PM CST WED NOV 4 2015

KSZ064-065-078>080-050515-
FORD KS-EDWARDS KS-KIOWA KS-PAWNEE KS-HODGEMAN KS-
1033 PM CST WED NOV 4 2015

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR EASTERN FORD...CENTRAL PAWNEE...
EDWARDS...EASTERN HODGEMAN AND NORTHWESTERN KIOWA COUNTIES UNTIL 1115
PM CST...

AT 1032 PM CST...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A LINE OF STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 3 MILES WEST OF BURDETT TO
3 MILES SOUTHWEST OF MINNEOLA...AND MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH.

WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
GRAY...LARNED...KINSLEY...BUCKLIN...GREENSBURG...SPEARVILLE...
LEWIS...MULLINVILLE...BURDETT...FORD...HANSTON...OFFERLE...
GARFIELD...ROZEL...WRIGHT...KINGSDOWN...SANFORD...FRIZELL...
CENTERVIEW AND BELLEFONT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 15 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE
SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.

&&

LAT...LON 3824 9908 3749 9929 3751 10008 3823 9965
TIME...MOT...LOC 0432Z 277DEG 12KT 3820 9959 3741 10008

RUSSELL

The office that day

Everything else NWS Dodge City, KS issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Nov 4, 7:16 PM CST	Special Weather Statement	DDC	Morton, Stevens	59 min
Nov 4, 7:45 PM CST	Special Weather Statement	DDC	Grant, Hamilton, Kearny	45 min
Nov 4, 8:15 PM CST	Special Weather Statement	DDC	Seward, Stevens	45 min
Nov 4, 8:41 PM CST	Special Weather Statement	DDC	Finney, Gray, Haskell, Lane, Scott	49 min
Nov 4, 9:02 PM CST	Special Weather Statement	DDC	Meade, Seward	43 min
Nov 4, 9:30 PM CST	Special Weather Statement	DDC	Ford, Gray, Hodgeman, Lane, Ness	60 min
Nov 4, 9:43 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Ford, Gray	47 min
Nov 4, 9:54 PM CST	Special Weather Statement	DDC	Clark, Meade	51 min
Nov 5, 4:02 AM CST	Frost Advisory	DDC	Clark, Edwards, Ford, Gray, Hodgeman, Kiowa and 5 more	28 hr
Nov 5, 4:02 AM CST	Freeze Watch	DDC	Finney, Grant, Hamilton, Haskell, Kearny, Lane and 4 more	9 hr
Nov 5, 1:02 PM CST	Freeze Warning	DDC	Finney, Grant, Hamilton, Haskell, Kearny, Lane and 4 more	19 hr

Nearby

Special Weather Statements in Kansas, 2015 Every special weather statement in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.