Special Weather Statement, NWS Buffalo, NY

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
722 PM EST FRI JAN 9 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
A SIGNIFICANT LAKE EFFECT SNOW EVENT WILL CONTINUE EAST OF LAKES
ERIE AND ONTARIO THROUGH SATURDAY...WITH THE HEAVIEST SNOWS BRIEFLY
LIFTING A LITTLE FURTHER NORTH FOR A PERIOD THIS EVENING...THEN
SETTLING SOUTHWARD AGAIN OVERNIGHT. TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS BY SATURDAY
MORNING COULD BE 2 TO 3 FEET EAST OF LAKE ERIE...WITH 3 TO 5 FEET
QUITE POSSIBLE EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO. THE LAKE SNOWS WILL SHIFT BACK
NORTHWARD AND GRADUALLY WEAKEN SATURDAY...THOUGH ADDITIONAL
ACCUMULATIONS WILL STILL BE LIKELY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL THEN BUILD
INTO THE REGION FOR THE END OF THE WEEKEND AND FINALLY BRING AN END
TO THE LAKE EFFECT SNOWS.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY/...
AS OF 00Z...THE LAKE ERIE LAKE SNOWS HAVE SHIFTED A LITTLE FURTHER
NORTHWARD AS ANTICIPATED...LIKELY IN RESPONSE TO A FEATURE NOTED IN
SATELLITE IMAGERY CURRENTLY PASSING ACROSS EASTERN LAKE ERIE/WESTERN
LAKE ONTARIO. WAS BECOMING A LITTLE CONCERNED AT POINTS OVER THE
PAST HOUR TO HOUR AND A HALF GIVEN HOW QUICKLY THE BAND WAS LIFTING
NORTH...BUT THAT NORTHWARD DRIFT HAS LARGELY STALLED OVER THE PAST
LITTLE WHILE...LEAVING THE NORTHERN FRINGES OF THE BAND JUST GRAZING
ROUTE 20...OR THE ROUGH BORDER BETWEEN THE NORTHERN AND SOUTHERN
HALVES OF ERIE COUNTY. BASED ON THIS...UPSTREAM RADAR TRENDS...AND
THE LATEST MESOSCALE GUIDANCE...EXPECT THE BAND TO REMAIN IN ROUGHLY
ITS CURRENT LOCATION THROUGH ABOUT 03Z WITH PERHAPS SOME MINOR
WOBBLES...BEFORE DRIFTING BACK SOUTHWARD AGAIN LATER THIS EVENING IN
RESPONSE TO A SUBTLE VEERING OF THE LOW LEVEL FLOW. THROUGH THIS
EVENING...SNOWFALL RATES OF UP TO 3 INCHES PER HOUR WILL BE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE HEAVIEST PART OF THE BAND...WHICH WILL HAMMER THE MORE
DISTANT BUFFALO SOUTHTOWNS FROM EVANS AND HAMBURG OVER TO EAST
AURORA THROUGH THE MID TO LATE EVENING HOURS...BEFORE RECEDING BACK
SOUTHWARD.

MEANWHILE OFF OUR OTHER LAKE...AN EQUALLY /IF NOT MORE IMPRESSIVE AT
TIMES/ SINGLE BAND HAS ALSO LIFTED A BIT FURTHER NORTHWARD...AND IS
NOW ANCHORED FROM SOUTHERN JEFFERSON COUNTY JUST SOUTH OF WATERTOWN
EASTWARD INTO NORTH CENTRAL LEWIS COUNTY...WITH SNOWFALL RATES OF 3
INCHES OR MORE PER HOUR LIKELY STILL ONGOING ACROSS THE TUG AND
OTHER AREAS OF HIGHER TERRAIN. THIS BAND WILL PROBABLY ALSO LIFT
JUST A LITTLE FURTHER NORTHWARD BEFORE STALLING OUT THIS EVENING...
BEFORE HEADING BACK SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE TUG HILL OVERNIGHT IN
RESPONSE TO THE AFOREMENTIONED EXPECTED VEERING OF THE LOW LEVEL
FLOW.

WITH ALL OF THE ABOVE IN MIND...HAVE UPDATED THE FORECAST TO KEEP IT
IN LINE WITH RADAR AND EXPECTED FORECAST TRENDS FOR THE REST OF THE
EVENING...AS WELL AS TIGHTEN UP THE LOCATIONS OF THE BANDS SOME.
OTHERWISE THERE HAS BEEN NO REAL CHANGE TO THE PREVIOUS FORECAST...T
HE LATE AFTERNOON NEAR TERM DISCUSSION FOLLOWS BELOW IN ITS
ENTIRETY.

HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL CONTINUE TO BE THE FORECAST FOCUS
DURING THE NEAR TERM PERIOD.

AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL REMAIN OVER THE GREAT LAKES AND
NORTHEAST REGION AS SEVERAL UPSTREAM SHORTWAVES PASS THROUGH THE
BASE OF THE TROUGH THROUGH SATURDAY. COLD AIR WILL CONTINUE TO
DEEPEN ACROSS THE LOWER LAKES REGION WITH THE CORE OF THE COLDEST
AIR ARRIVING BY DAYBREAK SATURDAY WITH 850 MB TEMPERATURES
FORECAST IN THE -22C TO -24C RANGE.

AS FOR THE SPECIFICS...

OFF LAKE ERIE...REGIONAL RADARS SHOWING STILL RATHER DISORGANIZED
LAKE EFFECT EAST OF THE LAKE...EXTENDING AS FAR EAST AS SOUTHERN
LIVINGSTON AND ALLEGANY COUNTIES. WE CONTINUE TO EXPECT THAT THE
LAKE SNOWS WILL BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED TONIGHT AS THE WEST
SOUTHWEST WINDS ALONG THE LONG FETCH OF THE LAKE BECOME BETTER
ALIGNED. OVER-LAKE INSTABILITY STILL IMPRESSIVE WITH EQUILIBRIUM
LEVELS UP TO AROUND 9K FEET...ALTHOUGH PROFILES DO SHOW HEIGHTS
GRADUALLY LOWERING OVERNIGHT. SNOWFALL RATES UP TO 3 INCHES PER HOUR
WILL STILL BE POSSIBLE...BUT AS THE NIGHT WEARS ON THE INTENSITY OF
THE LAKE SNOWS SHOULD START TO WANE A BIT. THE HEAVIEST SNOW SHOULD
STILL FOCUS ON SOUTHERN ERIE...WYOMING...CHAUTAUQUA AND CATTARAUGUS
COUNTIES. THE STRONG WIND FIELDS WILL BRING SOME DECENT ACCUMULATING
SNOWS OVER INTO LIVINGSTON AND ALLEGANY COUNTIES.

LATEST MESO-SCALE MODELS ARE SHOWING THAT ROUTE 20 WILL BE A
CRITICAL DIVIDING LINE BETWEEN HEAVY SNOW AND LITTLE IF ANY SNOW.
THERE LOOKS TO BE A BRIEF WINDOW TONIGHT WHEN SOME SIGNIFICANT SNOW
COULD NUDGE NORTH OF ROUTE 20 THEN OSCILLATE BACK SOUTH THROUGH
DAYBREAK. AT THIS POINT...WILL KEEP THE HEAVY SNOW THREAT OUT OF
NORTHERN ERIE COUNTY...BUT IF A CONSOLIDATED BAND BEGINS TO LIFT
NORTH AN ADDITIONAL HEAVY SNOW THREAT WILL NEED TO BE ADDED TO FAR
SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF NORTHERN ERIE COUNTY...BUT STILL SOUTH OF THE
BUFFALO METRO AREA.

THE LOW LEVEL FLOW WILL BACK DURING THE DAY SATURDAY BRINGING WHAT
SHOULD BE A SIGNIFICANT LAKE BAND NORTHWARD THROUGH THE DAY. THIS
BAND WILL PUSH INTO NORTHERN ERIE AND GENESEE COUNTY BY MID DAY AND
REMAIN THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AS THE LOW LEVEL FLOW REMAINS SOUTHWEST
FOR A SEVERAL HOUR PERIOD...WITH PROBABLE SNOWFALL RATES OF AN
INCH OR POSSIBLE MORE PER HOUR. A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY WILL
BE ISSUED FOR THIS TIME FRAME. WARNING SNOWFALL AMOUNTS ARE NOT
OUT OF THE QUESTION...BUT WITH LOWERING EQUILIBRIUM HEIGHTS NOT AS
CONFIDENT IN WARNING AMOUNTS AT THIS TIME.

OFF LAKE ONTARIO...REGIONAL RADARS SHOWING AN IMPRESSIVE LAKE PLUME
EVOLVING JUST SOUTH OF WATERTOWN...SOUTH INTO THE NORTHERN
PORTION OF THE TUG HILL. THIS LAKE BAND WILL REMAIN INTENSE
THROUGH SATURDAY WITH SNOWFALL RATES OF 3 TO 5 INCHES PER HOUR
LIKELY AS OVER-LAKE INSTABILITY REMAINS EXTREME WITH EQUILIBRIUM
LEVEL UP TO 12K FEET. THE HEAVIEST PORTION OF THE BAND WILL
OSCILLATE SOME AND MAY NUDGE AT TIMES INTO WATERTOWN...BUT FOR
THE MOST PART THE HEAVIEST SNOW WILL FOCUS ACROSS THE TUG HILL. A
DEFINITE NORTHWARD MOVEMENT TO THE LAKE BAND WILL TAKE PLACE BY
SATURDAY AFTERNOON AS THE LOW LEVEL FLOW BACKS TO THE SOUTHWEST.

WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO BE AN ISSUE THROUGH SATURDAY WITH GUSTS OF
35 TO 40 MPH POSSIBLE AT TIMES. THIS WILL CREATE PROBLEMS FROM
BLOWING SNOW ACROSS THE ENTIRE AREA.

TEMPERATURES TONIGHT WITHIN THE DEEPENING COLD AIRMASS WILL FALL
BACK INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS OUTSIDE OF THESE LAKE BANDS. WITH
WINDS STILL GUSTY WIND CHILLS WILL AGAIN DROP TOWARDS DANGEROUSLY
LOW READINGS...WHERE VALUES MAY NEAR 15 BELOW ZERO AT TIMES.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...
PROLONGED LAKE EFFECT EVENT WILL COME TO CONCLUSION SATURDAY NIGHT.
RISING HEIGHTS ALOFT WITH A SURFACE HIGH NOSING INTO SOUTHERN NEW
YORK WILL HELP TO LOWER THE CAPPING INVERSION LEVEL AND INTRUDE MORE
DRY AIR. STEERING FLOW ENDS UP ON A 240 DIRECTION OR SO BY SATURDAY
NIGHT. THE LAKE ERIE BAND WILL DRIFT NORTH ACROSS THE BUFFALO METRO
AREA BY SATURDAY NIGHT...AND THE LAKE ONTARIO BAND WILL END UP
ACROSS THE WATERTOWN AREA. AS THE LAKE PARAMETERS BECOME LESS
FAVORABLE TOWARD AND AFTER MIDNIGHT...EXPECT THE BANDS WILL SLOWLY
DISSIPATE.

A SHARP SHORT WAVE TROUGH WILL THEN PIVOT ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA
ON MONDAY...BRING A BRIEF PERIOD OF STRONG QG FORCING ACROSS THE
FORECAST AREA. EXPECT A WIDESPREAD LIGHT SNOWFALL DURING THE DAY
MONDAY AS THIS WAVE APPROACHES AND PASSES UPSTATE NEW YORK. SNOWFALL
AMOUNTS FOR THIS GENERAL SNOW EVENT WILL BE AROUND A COUPLE TO A FEW
INCHES FOR MUCH OF THE FORECAST AREA. HIGH TEMPERATURES ON MONDAY
WILL MAINLY BE IN THE MID 20S ACROSS AS THIS RELATIVELY MILD AIR
STAYS IN PLACE AHEAD OF THE SHORTWAVE.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
SHALLOW COLD AIR MASS WILL SETTLE ACROSS THE REGION TUESDAY BEHIND
THE MONDAY NIGHT SHORTWAVE PASSAGE...WITH A SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE
CENTERED OVER UPSTATE NEW YORK BY TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
HAVE LOWERED TEMPERATURES CONSIDERABLY FOR TUESDAY / TUESDAY NIGHT
WITH THIS FORECAST UPDATE. HIGH TEMPERATURES ON TUESDAY MAY STRUGGLE
TO GET OUT OF THE SINGLE DIGITS...AND LOWS TEMPERATURES TUESDAY
NIGHT IN THE NORTH COUNTRY WILL LIKELY DIP INTO THE TEENS BELOW
ZERO. THIS CONSIDERABLE COOL DOWN ON TUESDAY WILL THANKFULLY BE
SHORT LIVED...AS HIGH TEMPERATURES CLIMB BACK TO AROUND THE FREEZING
MARK BY THE END OF THE WEEK. FROM TUESDAY ON...THE WEATHER WILL BE
FAIRLY QUIET WITH NOT MUCH TO SPEAK OF IN TERMS OF PRECIPITATION
CHANCES...AS BENIGN FLOW AND DRIER AIR REMAIN IN PLACE.

&&

.AVIATION /01Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD...BANDS OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL CONTINUE OFF
LAKES ERIE AND ONTARIO WITH VLIFR TO IFR CONDITIONS FOUND WITHIN
THEIR CORES.

OFF LAKE ERIE...THE MAIN LAKE SNOW BAND WILL LARGELY REMAIN SITUATED
BETWEEN KBUF AND KJHW THROUGH TONIGHT...BEFORE LIFTING NORTHEASTWARD
ACROSS THE KBUF TERMINAL DURING SATURDAY.

OFF LAKE ONTARIO...THE MAIN LAKE BAND COULD BRIEFLY CLIP KART
BETWEEN THROUGH THE MID TO LATE EVENING HOURS...OTHERWISE IT SHOULD
REMAIN LARGELY SOUTH OF THE TERMINAL THROUGH THE NIGHT...BEFORE
LIFTING NORTHWARD ACROSS KART DURING SATURDAY.

OUTSIDE OF THE MAIN LAKE BANDS...EXPECT GENERAL VFR CONDITIONS TO
PREVAIL...WITH REDUCTIONS TO MVFR POSSIBLE IN BLOWING SNOW OR
SCATTERED LIGHTER SNOW SHOWERS.

OUTLOOK...
SUNDAY...MAINLY VFR WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS EAST OF LAKE
ONTARIO AND LOCAL MVFR.
MONDAY...MVFR WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW.
TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY...VFR.

&&

.MARINE...
AS OF EARLY EVENING...HAVE DROPPED THE GALE WARNINGS FOR EASTERN
LAKE ERIE AND WESTERN LAKE ONTARIO...WHILE THESE HAVE BEEN EXTENDED
A BIT LONGER FOR THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE LAKE...
WHERE THE LATEST GUIDANCE SUGGESTS THAT SOME GALES MAY LINGER UNTIL
LATER THIS EVENING.

AFTER THE GALES...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LEVEL WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE ON THE LAKES THROUGH MOST OF THE WEEKEND.

THE STRONG WINDS ALONG WITH VERY COLD TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO
PRODUCE HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY INTO THE EARLY OVERNIGHT HOURS. A HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY WARNING WILL CONTINUE ON BOTH LAKES TONIGHT.

SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES WILL CONTINUE ON THE NIAGARA RIVER THROUGH AT
LEAST SATURDAY.

&&

.BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NY...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING UNTIL 6 PM EST SATURDAY FOR
     NYZ006>008-012-085.
     LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY UNTIL 10 AM EST SATURDAY FOR NYZ013-
     021.
     LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING UNTIL 1 PM EST SATURDAY FOR NYZ019-
     020.
     LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY FROM 10 AM SATURDAY TO 1 AM EST
     SUNDAY FOR NYZ010-011.
     WIND CHILL ADVISORY FROM 1 AM TO 8 AM EST SATURDAY FOR NYZ010-
     011.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM EST SATURDAY FOR LEZ020.
         HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING UNTIL 4 AM EST SATURDAY FOR
         LEZ040-041.
         SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 4 AM EST SUNDAY FOR LEZ040-041.
         SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM EST SATURDAY FOR
         LOZ030.
         HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING UNTIL 4 AM EST SATURDAY FOR
         LOZ042>045-062>065.
         SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 4 AM EST SUNDAY FOR LOZ042.
         GALE WARNING UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR LOZ043>045-
         063>065.

&&

SYNOPSIS...JJR/TMA
NEAR TERM...JJR/TMA
SHORT TERM...CHURCH
LONG TERM...CHURCH
AVIATION...JJR/TMA
MARINE...JJR/TMA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
912 PM EST FRI JAN 9 2015

NYZ006>008-012-085-110215-
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-WYOMING-SOUTHERN ERIE-
912 PM EST FRI JAN 9 2015

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST SATURDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN AND NORTH
CENTRAL NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ001>005-014-110215-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-ONTARIO-
912 PM EST FRI JAN 9 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN AND NORTH
CENTRAL NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ013-021-110215-
LIVINGSTON-ALLEGANY-
912 PM EST FRI JAN 9 2015

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST SATURDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ019-020-110215-
CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-
912 PM EST FRI JAN 9 2015

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST SATURDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ010-110215-
NORTHERN ERIE-
912 PM EST FRI JAN 9 2015

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST SATURDAY...
...WIND CHILL ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 8 AM EST SATURDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING.
   WIND CHILL ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING.
   WIND CHILL ADVISORY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ011-110215-
GENESEE-
912 PM EST FRI JAN 9 2015

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 8 AM EST SATURDAY...
...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 4 PM EST
SATURDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WIND CHILL ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WIND CHILL ADVISORY.
   LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

LEZ020-LOZ030-SLZ022-024-110215-
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-LOWER NIAGARA RIVER-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM CAPE VINCENT TO OGDENSBURG-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM OGDENSBURG TO SAINT REGIS-
912 PM EST FRI JAN 9 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ERIE...LAKE
ONTARIO AND SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

LEZ040-041-LOZ042-062-110215-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
912 PM EST FRI JAN 9 2015

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST SATURDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ERIE AND LAKE
ONTARIO.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

LOZ043>045-063>065-110215-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER-
912 PM EST FRI JAN 9 2015

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST SATURDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ONTARIO.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING.
   GALE WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
608 PM EST FRI JAN 9 2015

NYZ007-008-100030-
JEFFERSON NY-LEWIS NY-
608 PM EST FRI JAN 9 2015

...HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW CONTINUES EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO...

* AT 600 PM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
  A LAKE EFFECT SNOW BAND CAPABLE OF PRODUCING SNOWFALL RATES OF UP
  TO 3 INCHES PER HOUR...AND VISIBILITY NEAR ZERO. THIS LAKE EFFECT
  SNOW BAND WAS LOCATED FROM ADAMS CENTER TO COPENHAGEN AND CROGHAN.
  THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW BAND WILL DRIFT A FEW MILES FARTHER NORTH
  THROUGH MID EVENING WITH THE NORTHERN EDGE OF THE BAND IMPACTING
  AREAS FROM WATERTOWN TO FORT DRUM AND HARRISVILLE.

* SOME LOCATIONS AFFECTED BY THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW BAND INCLUDE...
  HENDERSON HARBOR...
  ADAMS CENTER...
  COPENHAGEN...
  CROGHAN...

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 81 BETWEEN EXITS 41 AND 48.

TRAVEL ACROSS THE AREA WILL BE EXTREMELY DIFFICULT OR EVEN IMPOSSIBLE
DUE TO THE VERY HEAVY SNOWFALL PRODUCING NEAR ZERO VISIBILITY AND
DEEP SNOW COVER ON ROADWAYS. TRAVEL IS NOT RECOMMENDED.

IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...BE PREPARED BY HAVING AN EMERGENCY KIT...EXTRA
BLANKETS AND WARM CLOTHING IN THE EVENT THAT YOUR VEHICLE HAS
MECHANICAL PROBLEMS OR GETS STUCK. MAKE SURE YOU HAVE A FULLY CHARGED
CELL PHONE.

LAT...LON 4374 7622 4380 7624 4384 7631 4387 7630
      4392 7636 4388 7645 4390 7645 4393 7637
      4388 7629 4390 7620 4387 7621 4390 7614
      4394 7615 4398 7622 4416 7529 4410 7516
      4384 7513

HITCHCOCK

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
625 PM EST FRI JAN 9 2015

NYZ010-012-013-019-020-085-100030-
CATTARAUGUS NY-CHAUTAUQUA NY-ERIE NY-LIVINGSTON NY-WYOMING NY-
625 PM EST FRI JAN 9 2015

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW CONTINUES TO DRIFT NORTH...

* AT 611 PM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
  A LAKE EFFECT SNOW BAND CAPABLE OF PRODUCING SNOWFALL RATES OF UP
  TO 3 INCHES PER HOUR...AND VISIBILITY OF NEAR ZERO AT TIMES.
  THIS LAKE EFFECT SNOW BAND WAS LOCATED FROM DUNKIRK AND ANGOLA TO
  BOSTON...EAST AURORA...AND BENNINGTON. THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW BAND
  WILL CONTINUE TO DRIFT A LITTLE FARTHER NORTH THROUGH MID EVENING
  WITH HEAVY SNOW FROM HAMBURG TO ORCHARD PARK AND EAST AURORA. THE
  NORTHERN EDGE OF THE BAND MAY BEGIN TO BRUSH LACKAWANNA...WEST
  SENECA...AND MARILLA.

THE EASTERN END OF THE BAND WILL ALSO BRING BRIEF BURSTS OF HEAVY
SNOW TO LIVINGSTON COUNTY FROM GENESEO TO AVON.

* SOME LOCATIONS AFFECTED BY THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW BAND INCLUDE...
  ORCHARD PARK...
  NORTH BOSTON...
  HAMBURG...
  EAST AURORA...
  ANGOLA...
  BENNINGTON...
  WYOMING...
  GENESEO...

TRAVEL ACROSS THE AREA WILL BE EXTREMELY DIFFICULT OR EVEN IMPOSSIBLE
DUE TO THE VERY HEAVY SNOWFALL PRODUCING NEAR ZERO VISIBILITY AND
DEEP SNOW COVER ON ROADWAYS. TRAVEL IS NOT RECOMMENDED.

IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...BE PREPARED BY HAVING AN EMERGENCY KIT...EXTRA
BLANKETS AND WARM CLOTHING IN THE EVENT THAT YOUR VEHICLE HAS
MECHANICAL PROBLEMS OR GETS STUCK. MAKE SURE YOU HAVE A FULLY CHARGED
CELL PHONE.

LAT...LON 4250 7936 4256 7916 4270 7906 4278 7886
      4281 7887 4286 7797 4284 7763 4266 7764
      4254 7819 4240 7948

HITCHCOCK

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
741 PM EST FRI JAN 9 2015

NYZ010-012-019-020-085-100215-
CATTARAUGUS NY-CHAUTAUQUA NY-ERIE NY-WYOMING NY-
741 PM EST FRI JAN 9 2015

...HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW CONTINUES EAST OF LAKE ERIE...

* AT 737 PM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
  A LAKE EFFECT SNOW BAND CAPABLE OF PRODUCING SNOWFALL RATES OF UP
  TO 3 INCHES PER HOUR...AND VISIBILITY NEAR ZERO AT TIMES. THIS
  LAKE EFFECT SNOW BAND WAS LOCATED FROM SILVER CREEK AND ANGOLA TO
  HAMBURG...EAST AURORA...BENNINGTON...AND WYOMING. THIS BAND OF
  LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY THROUGH MID EVENING.

* SOME LOCATIONS AFFECTED BY THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW BAND INCLUDE...
  BOSTON...
  COLDEN...
  EAST AURORA...
  MARILLA...
  BENNINGTON...
  JAVA CENTER...
  WYOMING...

TRAVEL ACROSS THE AREA WILL BE EXTREMELY DIFFICULT OR EVEN IMPOSSIBLE
DUE TO THE VERY HEAVY SNOWFALL PRODUCING NEAR ZERO VISIBILITY AND
DEEP SNOW COVER ON ROADWAYS. TRAVEL IS NOT RECOMMENDED.

IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...BE PREPARED BY HAVING AN EMERGENCY KIT...EXTRA
BLANKETS AND WARM CLOTHING IN THE EVENT THAT YOUR VEHICLE HAS
MECHANICAL PROBLEMS OR GETS STUCK. MAKE SURE YOU HAVE A FULLY CHARGED
CELL PHONE.

LAT...LON 4250 7936 4256 7916 4261 7913 4265 7907
      4270 7906 4274 7892 4278 7886 4280 7886
      4285 7856 4287 7796 4263 7822 4243 7943
      4246 7943

HITCHCOCK

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
746 PM EST FRI JAN 9 2015

NYZ007-008-100215-
JEFFERSON NY-LEWIS NY-
746 PM EST FRI JAN 9 2015

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL CONTINUE EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO...

* AT 740 PM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
  A LAKE EFFECT SNOW BAND CAPABLE OF PRODUCING SNOWFALL RATES UP TO
  3 INCHES PER HOUR...AND VISIBILITY NEAR ZERO AT TIMES. THIS LAKE
  EFFECT SNOW BAND WAS LOCATED FROM MANNSVILLE TO BARNES CORNERS AND
  CROGHAN. SOMEWHAT LIGHTER LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL ALSO IMPACT AREAS
  FARTHER NORTH FROM WATERTOWN TO FORT DRUM. THIS BAND OF LAKE
  EFFECT SNOW WILL CONTINUE TO WOBBLE NORTH AND SOUTH BY SEVERAL
  MILES THROUGH MID EVENING.

* SOME LOCATIONS AFFECTED BY THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW BAND INCLUDE...
  MANNSVILLE...
  BARNES CORNERS...
  CROGHAN...

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 81 BETWEEN EXITS 40 AND 47.

TRAVEL ACROSS THE AREA WILL BE EXTREMELY DIFFICULT OR EVEN IMPOSSIBLE
DUE TO THE VERY HEAVY SNOWFALL PRODUCING NEAR ZERO VISIBILITY AND
DEEP SNOW COVER ON ROADWAYS. TRAVEL IS NOT RECOMMENDED.

IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...BE PREPARED BY HAVING AN EMERGENCY KIT...EXTRA
BLANKETS AND WARM CLOTHING IN THE EVENT THAT YOUR VEHICLE HAS
MECHANICAL PROBLEMS OR GETS STUCK. MAKE SURE YOU HAVE A FULLY CHARGED
CELL PHONE.

LAT...LON 4369 7562 4373 7622 4380 7624 4384 7631
      4387 7630 4392 7636 4388 7643 4393 7642
      4393 7637 4388 7629 4391 7621 4387 7621
      4390 7614 4396 7618 4396 7629 4410 7517
      4377 7512

HITCHCOCK

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
928 PM EST FRI JAN 9 2015

NYZ010-012-019-085-100400-
CHAUTAUQUA NY-ERIE NY-WYOMING NY-
928 PM EST FRI JAN 9 2015

...INTENSE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL CONTINUE EAST OF LAKE ERIE...

* AT 922 PM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  LAKE EFFECT SNOW BAND CAPABLE OF PRODUCING SNOWFALL RATES OF 4
  INCHES PER HOUR...AND VISIBILITY NEAR ZERO AT TIMES. THIS LAKE
  EFFECT SNOW BAND WAS LOCATED FROM ANGOLA TO HAMBURG...EAST
  AURORA...MARILLA...AND BENNINGTON. THE BAND IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN
  NEARLY STATIONARY THROUGH LATE EVENING BEFORE STARTING TO MOVE
  SOUTH BY AROUND MIDNIGHT.

* SOME LOCATIONS AFFECTED BY THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW BAND INCLUDE...
  NORTH BOSTON...
  ORCHARD PARK...
  EAST AURORA AND ELMA...
  MARILLA...
  COWLESVILLE...
  BENNINGTON...

TRAVEL ACROSS THE AREA WILL BE EXTREMELY DIFFICULT OR EVEN IMPOSSIBLE
DUE TO THE VERY HEAVY SNOWFALL PRODUCING NEAR ZERO VISIBILITY AND
DEEP SNOW COVER ON ROADWAYS. TRAVEL IS NOT RECOMMENDED.

IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...BE PREPARED BY HAVING AN EMERGENCY KIT...EXTRA
BLANKETS AND WARM CLOTHING IN THE EVENT THAT YOUR VEHICLE HAS
MECHANICAL PROBLEMS OR GETS STUCK. MAKE SURE YOU HAVE A FULLY CHARGED
CELL PHONE.

LAT...LON 4250 7936 4255 7924 4256 7916 4261 7913
      4265 7907 4270 7906 4274 7892 4278 7886
      4280 7886 4287 7861 4285 7795 4244 7943
      4246 7943

HITCHCOCK

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
946 PM EST FRI JAN 9 2015

NYZ006>008-100400-
JEFFERSON NY-LEWIS NY-OSWEGO NY-
946 PM EST FRI JAN 9 2015

...HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL CONTINUE EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO...

* AT 942 PM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  LAKE EFFECT SNOW BAND CAPABLE OF PRODUCING SNOWFALL RATES OF 3
  INCHES PER HOUR...AND VISIBILITY NEAR ZERO AT TIMES. THIS LAKE
  EFFECT SNOW BAND WAS LOCATED FROM SANDY CREEK AND MANNSVILLE EAST
  ACROSS THE CENTRAL TUG HILL PLATEAU. THIS BAND OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW
  IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY THROUGH LATE EVENING.

* SOME LOCATIONS AFFECTED BY THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW BAND INCLUDE...
  BARNES CORNERS...
  SANDY CREEK...
  MANNSVILLE...
  MARTINSBURG...

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 81 BETWEEN EXITS 37 AND 41.

TRAVEL ACROSS THE AREA WILL BE EXTREMELY DIFFICULT OR EVEN IMPOSSIBLE
DUE TO THE VERY HEAVY SNOWFALL PRODUCING NEAR ZERO VISIBILITY AND
DEEP SNOW COVER ON ROADWAYS. TRAVEL IS NOT RECOMMENDED.

IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...BE PREPARED BY HAVING AN EMERGENCY KIT...EXTRA
BLANKETS AND WARM CLOTHING IN THE EVENT THAT YOUR VEHICLE HAS
MECHANICAL PROBLEMS OR GETS STUCK. MAKE SURE YOU HAVE A FULLY CHARGED
CELL PHONE.

LAT...LON 4367 7533 4357 7622 4368 7621 4379 7623
      4394 7537 4382 7519

HITCHCOCK