Alert archive / New York / Lake Effect Snow Advisories in 2015

Lake Effect Snow Advisory 8, NWS Buffalo, NY

January 10, 2015Erie County, Wyoming County, New York

NWS Buffalo, NY issued this lake effect snow advisory at Jan 10, 2015, 3:39 AM EST for Erie County, Wyoming County, New York. It took effect at Jan 10, 2015, 6:11 AM EST. It was in force for 12 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jan 10, 2015, 3:39 AM EST (08:39 UTC)
In effect from
Jan 10, 2015, 6:11 AM EST
Expired
Jan 10, 2015, 6:00 PM EST
In force
12 hr
Issued by
NWS Buffalo, NY

Counties Erie County, NY, Wyoming County, NY

The radar

The Buffalo radar (KBUF), 31 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 08:41 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Buffalo Intl Airport, NY (KBUF), launched 00:00Z, 8.7 hours before the alert went out and 27 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Buffalo Intl Airport, NY at 00:00Z on 2015-01-10Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Buffalo Intl Airport, NY at 00:00Z on 2015-01-10The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 61 square meters per square second.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1186 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
49 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
61 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
23 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

230 
WWUS41 KBUF 100839
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
339 AM EST SAT JAN 10 2015

NYZ010-101645-
/O.CAN.KBUF.LE.W.0003.000000T0000Z-150110T2100Z/
/O.NEW.KBUF.LE.Y.0008.150110T1500Z-150110T2300Z/
/O.EXT.KBUF.WC.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-150110T1500Z/
NORTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...BUFFALO
339 AM EST SAT JAN 10 2015

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS
MORNING...
...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IS REPLACED BY A LAKE EFFECT SNOW
ADVISORY WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 6 PM THIS
EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT
SNOW ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO
6 PM EST THIS EVENING. THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING HAS BEEN
CANCELLED. 

* LOCATIONS...NORTHERN ERIE COUNTY. 

* TIMING...WIND CHILL ADVISORY THROUGH THIS MORNING. LAKE EFFECT
  SNOW ADVISORY LATE THIS MORNING THROUGH EARLY EVENING.

* ACCUMULATIONS...AN ADDITIONAL 2 TO 4 INCHES.

* SNOWFALL RATES...AN INCH AN HOUR.

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH PRODUCING
  BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW.

* VISIBILITIES...BELOW A HALF MILE.

* WIND CHILL VALUES...AS LOW AS 15 BELOW.

* IMPACTS...BITTERLY COLD WIND CHILLS WILL RESULT IN DANGEROUS
  CONDITIONS FOR EXPOSED SKIN TONIGHT AND SATURDAY MORNING. LAKE
  EFFECT SNOW BANDS WILL PRODUCE DIFFICULT TRAVEL AT TIMES WITH
  POOR VISIBILITY AND SNOW COVER ON ROADS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS.

A WIND CHILL ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN STRONG WIND WILL COMBINE
WITH COLD TEMPERATURES TO CREATE DANGEROUSLY COLD CONDITIONS FOR
EXPOSED SKIN. THE WIND WILL MAKE IT FEEL LIKE IT IS 15 DEGREES
BELOW ZERO OR COLDER FOR A PERIOD OF SEVERAL HOURS. IF YOU WILL
BE OUTDOORS USE COMMON SENSE AND DRESS WARMLY...MAKING SURE THAT
ALL EXPOSED SKIN IS COVERED. IF POSSIBLE...AVOID PROLONGED
EXPOSURE TO THE COLD TO PREVENT FROSTBITE AND HYPOTHERMIA.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

REPORT SNOW ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...POSTING
TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG
BUFWX

&&

$$

NYZ011-101500-
/O.CAN.KBUF.LE.Y.0007.150110T1500Z-150110T2100Z/
/O.EXT.KBUF.WC.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-150110T1500Z/
GENESEE-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...BATAVIA
339 AM EST SAT JAN 10 2015

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS
MORNING...
...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE LAKE
EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY. 

* LOCATIONS...GENESEE COUNTY. 

* TIMING...THROUGH THIS MORNING.

* WIND CHILL VALUES...AS LOW AS 15 BELOW.

* IMPACTS...BITTERLY COLD WIND CHILLS WILL RESULT IN DANGEROUS
  CONDITIONS FOR EXPOSED SKIN THROUGH THIS MORNING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND CHILL ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN STRONG WIND WILL COMBINE
WITH COLD TEMPERATURES TO CREATE DANGEROUSLY COLD CONDITIONS FOR
EXPOSED SKIN. THE WIND WILL MAKE IT FEEL LIKE IT IS 15 DEGREES
BELOW ZERO OR COLDER FOR A PERIOD OF SEVERAL HOURS. IF YOU WILL
BE OUTDOORS USE COMMON SENSE AND DRESS WARMLY...MAKING SURE THAT
ALL EXPOSED SKIN IS COVERED. IF POSSIBLE...AVOID PROLONGED
EXPOSURE TO THE COLD TO PREVENT FROSTBITE AND HYPOTHERMIA.

&&

$$

NYZ013-021-101500-
/O.CAN.KBUF.LE.Y.0007.000000T0000Z-150110T1500Z/
/O.EXB.KBUF.WC.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-150110T1500Z/
LIVINGSTON-ALLEGANY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GENESEO...WELLSVILLE
339 AM EST SAT JAN 10 2015

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING...
...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A WIND CHILL
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING. THE
LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 

* LOCATIONS...LIVINGSTON AND ALLEGANY COUNTIES.

* TIMING...THROUGH LATE THIS MORNING.

* WIND CHILL VALUES...AS LOW AS 15 BELOW ZERO.

* IMPACTS...BITTERLY COLD WIND CHILLS WILL RESULT IN DANGEROUS
  CONDITIONS FOR EXPOSED SKIN THROUGH THIS MORNING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND CHILL ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN STRONG WIND WILL COMBINE
WITH COLD TEMPERATURES TO CREATE DANGEROUSLY COLD CONDITIONS FOR
EXPOSED SKIN. THE WIND WILL MAKE IT FEEL LIKE IT IS 15 DEGREES
BELOW ZERO OR COLDER FOR A PERIOD OF SEVERAL HOURS. IF YOU WILL
BE OUTDOORS USE COMMON SENSE AND DRESS WARMLY...MAKING SURE THAT
ALL EXPOSED SKIN IS COVERED. IF POSSIBLE...AVOID PROLONGED
EXPOSURE TO THE COLD TO PREVENT FROSTBITE AND HYPOTHERMIA.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

&&

$$

NYZ012-085-101645-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0003.000000T0000Z-150110T2300Z/
WYOMING-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WARSAW...ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
339 AM EST SAT JAN 10 2015

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

* LOCATIONS...WYOMING AND SOUTHERN ERIE COUNTIES.

* TIMING...THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING.

* WINDS...WEST 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH PRODUCING BLOWING
  AND DRIFTING SNOW.

* ACCUMULATIONS...AN ADDITIONAL 5 TO 8 INCHES TODAY WITH STORM
  TOTALS OF 2 TO 3 FEET IN THE MOST PERSISTENT BANDS.

* SNOWFALL RATES...1 TO 2 INCHES AN HOUR.

* WIND CHILLS...AS LOW AS 15 BELOW ZERO.

* VISIBILITIES...BELOW A QUARTER MILE AT TIMES.

* IMPACTS...LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW WILL CREATE
  DIFFICULT TRAVEL CONDITIONS TODAY. BITTERLY COLD WIND CHILLS WILL
  RESULT IN DANGEROUS CONDITIONS FOR EXPOSED SKIN TONIGHT AND
  SATURDAY MORNING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU LOSE POWER AND PLAN ON RUNNING A GENERATOR...MAKE SURE
THAT THE GENERATOR IS LOCATED OUTDOORS AND IS PROPERLY
VENTILATED. SPACE HEATERS SHOULD ALSO BE PROPERLY VENTILATED AND
USED ONLY IF THEY ARE OPERATING PROPERLY. MAKE SURE SNOW DOES NOT
BLOCK EXHAUSTS AND FRESH AIR INTAKES FOR HIGH EFFICIENCY FURNACES
AND WATER HEATERS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

REPORT SNOW ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...POSTING
TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG
BUFWX

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

NYZ019-020-101645-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0003.000000T0000Z-150110T1800Z/
CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN
339 AM EST SAT JAN 10 2015

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

* LOCATIONS...NORTHERN AND WESTERN SECTIONS OF CHAUTAUQUA COUNTY
  AND FAR NORTHWESTERN PORTIONS OF CATTARAUGUS COUNTY.

* TIMING...THROUGH EARLY THIS AFTERNOON.

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH.

* ACCUMULATIONS...AN ADDITIONAL 2 TO 4 INCHES THIS MORNING WITH STORM
  TOTALS OF 2 TO 3 FEET IN THE MOST PERSISTENT BANDS.

* SNOWFALL RATES...1 TO 2 INCHES AN HOUR.

* WIND CHILL VALUES...AS LOW AS 20 BELOW ZERO.

* VISIBILITIES...AS LOW AS A QUARTER MILE AT TIMES.

* IMPACTS...HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW WILL CREATE
  DIFFICULT TRAVEL CONDITIONS. BITTERLY COLD WIND CHILLS WILL
  RESULT IN DANGEROUS CONDITIONS FOR EXPOSED SKIN TONIGHT AND
  SATURDAY MORNING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU LOSE POWER AND PLAN ON RUNNING A GENERATOR...MAKE SURE
THAT THE GENERATOR IS LOCATED OUTDOORS AND IS PROPERLY
VENTILATED. SPACE HEATERS SHOULD ALSO BE PROPERLY VENTILATED AND
USED ONLY IF THEY ARE OPERATING PROPERLY. MAKE SURE SNOW DOES NOT
BLOCK EXHAUSTS AND FRESH AIR INTAKES FOR HIGH EFFICIENCY FURNACES
AND WATER HEATERS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

REPORT SNOW ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...POSTING
TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG
BUFWX

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

NYZ006>008-101645-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0003.000000T0000Z-150110T2300Z/
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OSWEGO...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
339 AM EST SAT JAN 10 2015

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

* LOCATIONS...OSWEGO...JEFFERSON AND LEWIS COUNTIES...MAINLY 
  ACROSS CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN JEFFERSON COUNTY...NORTHERN LEWIS 
  COUNTY AND EXTREME NORTHERN OSWEGO COUNTY. 

* TIMING...THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING.

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH PRODUCING 
  BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. 

* ACCUMULATIONS...STORM TOTALS OF 3 TO 5 FEET IN THE MOST 
  PERSISTENT BANDS. 

* SNOWFALL RATES...3 INCHES AN HOUR AT TIMES.

* VISIBILITIES...NEAR ZERO AT TIMES.

* IMPACTS...VERY HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW WILL 
  CREATE EXTREMELY DIFFICULT TRAVEL CONDITIONS WITH NEAR ZERO 
  VISIBILITY AND DEEP SNOW COVER ON ROADS. SOME ROADS MAY BECOME 
  NEARLY IMPASSABLE AT TIMES. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...BE PREPARED 
  FOR SEVERE WINTER DRIVING CONDITIONS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU LOSE POWER AND PLAN ON RUNNING A GENERATOR...MAKE SURE
THAT THE GENERATOR IS LOCATED OUTDOORS AND IS PROPERLY
VENTILATED. SPACE HEATERS SHOULD ALSO BE PROPERLY VENTILATED AND
USED ONLY IF THEY ARE OPERATING PROPERLY. MAKE SURE SNOW DOES NOT
BLOCK EXHAUSTS AND FRESH AIR INTAKES FOR HIGH EFFICIENCY FURNACES
AND WATER HEATERS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

REPORT SNOW ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...POSTING
TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG
BUFWX

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

NYZ001-002-101500-
/O.EXB.KBUF.WC.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-150110T1500Z/
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA
339 AM EST SAT JAN 10 2015

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A WIND CHILL
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING. 

* LOCATIONS...NIAGARA AND ORLEANS COUNTIES

* TIMING...THROUGH LATE THIS MORNING.

* WINDS...15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH.

* WIND CHILL VALUES...AS LOW AS 15 BELOW.

* IMPACTS...BITTERLY COLD WIND CHILLS WILL RESULT IN DANGEROUS
  CONDITIONS FOR EXPOSED SKIN TONIGHT AND SATURDAY MORNING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND CHILL ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN STRONG WIND WILL COMBINE
WITH COLD TEMPERATURES TO CREATE DANGEROUSLY COLD CONDITIONS FOR
EXPOSED SKIN. THE WIND WILL MAKE IT FEEL LIKE IT IS 15 DEGREES
BELOW ZERO OR COLDER FOR A PERIOD OF SEVERAL HOURS. IF YOU WILL
BE OUTDOORS USE COMMON SENSE AND DRESS WARMLY...MAKING SURE THAT
ALL EXPOSED SKIN IS COVERED. IF POSSIBLE...AVOID PROLONGED
EXPOSURE TO THE COLD TO PREVENT FROSTBITE AND HYPOTHERMIA.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

&&

$$

APFFEL
5 follow-up statements
875 
WWUS41 KBUF 101111
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
611 AM EST SAT JAN 10 2015

NYZ012-101915-
/O.CAN.KBUF.LE.W.0003.000000T0000Z-150110T2300Z/
/O.EXB.KBUF.LE.Y.0008.150110T1111Z-150110T2300Z/
/O.EXA.KBUF.WC.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-150110T1500Z/
WYOMING-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...WARSAW
611 AM EST SAT JAN 10 2015

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING...
...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IS REPLACED BY A LAKE EFFECT SNOW
ADVISORY WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT
SNOW ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING. A
WIND CHILL ADVISORY HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED. THIS WIND CHILL
ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING. THE LAKE
EFFECT SNOW WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 

* LOCATIONS...WYOMING COUNTY.

* TIMING...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING.
  WIND CHILL ADVISORY THROUGH THIS MORNING.

* WINDS...WEST 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH PRODUCING 
  BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. 

* ACCUMULATIONS...AN ADDITIONAL 3 TO 5 INCHES TODAY WITH STORM
  TOTALS OF 2 TO 3 FEET IN THE MOST PERSISTENT BANDS.

* SNOWFALL RATES...AN INCH AN HOUR.

* WIND CHILLS...AS LOW AS 15 BELOW ZERO.

* VISIBILITIES...BELOW A QUARTER MILE AT TIMES.

* IMPACTS...LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW WILL CREATE
  DIFFICULT TRAVEL CONDITIONS TODAY. BITTERLY COLD WIND CHILLS
  WILL RESULT IN DANGEROUS CONDITIONS FOR EXPOSED SKIN THIS
  MORNING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS.

A WIND CHILL ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN STRONG WIND WILL COMBINE
WITH COLD TEMPERATURES TO CREATE DANGEROUSLY COLD CONDITIONS FOR
EXPOSED SKIN. THE WIND WILL MAKE IT FEEL LIKE IT IS 15 DEGREES
BELOW ZERO OR COLDER FOR A PERIOD OF SEVERAL HOURS. IF YOU WILL
BE OUTDOORS USE COMMON SENSE AND DRESS WARMLY...MAKING SURE THAT
ALL EXPOSED SKIN IS COVERED. IF POSSIBLE...AVOID PROLONGED
EXPOSURE TO THE COLD TO PREVENT FROSTBITE AND HYPOTHERMIA.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

&&

$$

NYZ019-020-101500-
/O.CAN.KBUF.LE.W.0003.000000T0000Z-150110T1800Z/
/O.EXA.KBUF.WC.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-150110T1500Z/
CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN
611 AM EST SAT JAN 10 2015

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING...
...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A WIND CHILL
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING. THE
LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 

* LOCATIONS...CHAUTAUQUA AND CATTARAUGUS COUNTY.

* TIMING...THROUGH THIS MORNING.

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH.

* WIND CHILL VALUES...AS LOW AS 20 BELOW ZERO.

* IMPACTS...BITTERLY COLD WIND CHILLS WILL RESULT IN DANGEROUS
  CONDITIONS FOR EXPOSED SKIN THIS MORNING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND CHILL ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN STRONG WIND WILL COMBINE
WITH COLD TEMPERATURES TO CREATE DANGEROUSLY COLD CONDITIONS FOR
EXPOSED SKIN. THE WIND WILL MAKE IT FEEL LIKE IT IS 15 DEGREES
BELOW ZERO OR COLDER FOR A PERIOD OF SEVERAL HOURS. IF YOU WILL
BE OUTDOORS USE COMMON SENSE AND DRESS WARMLY...MAKING SURE THAT
ALL EXPOSED SKIN IS COVERED. IF POSSIBLE...AVOID PROLONGED
EXPOSURE TO THE COLD TO PREVENT FROSTBITE AND HYPOTHERMIA.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

&&

$$

NYZ006-101215-
/O.CAN.KBUF.LE.W.0003.000000T0000Z-150110T2300Z/
OSWEGO-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...OSWEGO
611 AM EST SAT JAN 10 2015

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE LAKE
EFFECT SNOW WARNING. 

HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW HAS LIFTED NORTH OF OSWEGO COUNTY WITH ANY
ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATION EXPECTED TO BE LIGHT.

$$

NYZ085-101915-
/O.EXA.KBUF.WC.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-150110T1500Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0003.000000T0000Z-150110T2300Z/
SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
611 AM EST SAT JAN 10 2015

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING...
...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A WIND CHILL
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING. 

* LOCATIONS...SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF ERIE COUNTY.

* TIMING...THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING.

* WINDS...WEST 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH PRODUCING 
  BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. 

* ACCUMULATIONS...AN ADDITIONAL 5 TO 8 INCHES TODAY WITH STORM 
  TOTALS OF 2 TO 3 FEET IN THE MOST PERSISTENT BANDS. 

* SNOWFALL RATES...1 TO 2 INCHES AN HOUR.

* WIND CHILLS...AS LOW AS 15 BELOW ZERO.

* VISIBILITIES...BELOW A QUARTER MILE AT TIMES.

* IMPACTS...LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW WILL CREATE VERY
  DIFFICULT TRAVEL CONDITIONS TODAY. BITTERLY COLD WIND CHILLS
  WILL RESULT IN DANGEROUS CONDITIONS FOR EXPOSED SKIN THIS MORNING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU LOSE POWER AND PLAN ON RUNNING A GENERATOR...MAKE SURE
THAT THE GENERATOR IS LOCATED OUTDOORS AND IS PROPERLY
VENTILATED. SPACE HEATERS SHOULD ALSO BE PROPERLY VENTILATED AND
USED ONLY IF THEY ARE OPERATING PROPERLY. MAKE SURE SNOW DOES NOT
BLOCK EXHAUSTS AND FRESH AIR INTAKES FOR HIGH EFFICIENCY FURNACES
AND WATER HEATERS.

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS.

A WIND CHILL ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN STRONG WIND WILL COMBINE
WITH COLD TEMPERATURES TO CREATE DANGEROUSLY COLD CONDITIONS FOR
EXPOSED SKIN. THE WIND WILL MAKE IT FEEL LIKE IT IS 15 DEGREES
BELOW ZERO OR COLDER FOR A PERIOD OF SEVERAL HOURS. IF YOU WILL
BE OUTDOORS USE COMMON SENSE AND DRESS WARMLY...MAKING SURE THAT
ALL EXPOSED SKIN IS COVERED. IF POSSIBLE...AVOID PROLONGED
EXPOSURE TO THE COLD TO PREVENT FROSTBITE AND HYPOTHERMIA.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

&&

$$

NYZ007-008-101915-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0003.000000T0000Z-150110T2300Z/
JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
611 AM EST SAT JAN 10 2015

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

* LOCATIONS...JEFFERSON COUNTY AND NORTHERN PORTIONS OF LEWIS
  COUNTY. GREATEST AMOUNTS WILL BE IN SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF
  JEFFERSON COUNTY AND ON THE TUG HILL PLATEAU.

* TIMING...THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING.

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH PRODUCING 
  BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. 

* ACCUMULATIONS...ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATION OF 8 TO 16 INCHES IN
  MOST PERSISTENT SNOWS TODAY...WITH STORM TOTALS OF 3 TO 5 FEET
  IN THE MOST PERSISTENT BANDS.

* SNOWFALL RATES...3 INCHES AN HOUR AT TIMES.

* VISIBILITIES...NEAR ZERO AT TIMES.

* IMPACTS...VERY HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW WILL 
  CREATE EXTREMELY DIFFICULT TRAVEL CONDITIONS WITH NEAR ZERO 
  VISIBILITY AND DEEP SNOW COVER ON ROADS. SOME ROADS MAY BECOME 
  NEARLY IMPASSABLE AT TIMES. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...BE PREPARED 
  FOR SEVERE WINTER DRIVING CONDITIONS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU LOSE POWER AND PLAN ON RUNNING A GENERATOR...MAKE SURE
THAT THE GENERATOR IS LOCATED OUTDOORS AND IS PROPERLY
VENTILATED. SPACE HEATERS SHOULD ALSO BE PROPERLY VENTILATED AND
USED ONLY IF THEY ARE OPERATING PROPERLY. MAKE SURE SNOW DOES NOT
BLOCK EXHAUSTS AND FRESH AIR INTAKES FOR HIGH EFFICIENCY FURNACES
AND WATER HEATERS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

REPORT SNOW ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...POSTING
TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG
BUFWX

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

NYZ010-101915-
/O.CON.KBUF.WC.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-150110T1500Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.Y.0008.150110T1500Z-150110T2300Z/
NORTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...BUFFALO
611 AM EST SAT JAN 10 2015

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS
MORNING...
...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS
MORNING TO 6 PM EST THIS EVENING...

* LOCATIONS...NORTHERN ERIE COUNTY.

* TIMING...WIND CHILL ADVISORY THROUGH THIS MORNING. LAKE EFFECT 
  SNOW ADVISORY LATE THIS MORNING THROUGH EARLY EVENING. 

* ACCUMULATIONS...AN ADDITIONAL 3 TO 5 INCHES TODAY.

* SNOWFALL RATES...AN INCH AN HOUR.

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH PRODUCING 
  BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. 

* VISIBILITIES...BELOW A QUARTER MILE AT TIMES.

* WIND CHILL VALUES...AS LOW AS 15 BELOW.

* IMPACTS...BITTERLY COLD WIND CHILLS WILL RESULT IN DANGEROUS
  CONDITIONS FOR EXPOSED SKIN THIS MORNING. LAKE EFFECT SNOW
  BANDS WILL PRODUCE DIFFICULT TRAVEL AT TIMES WITH POOR
  VISIBILITY AND SNOW COVER ON ROADS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS.

A WIND CHILL ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN STRONG WIND WILL COMBINE
WITH COLD TEMPERATURES TO CREATE DANGEROUSLY COLD CONDITIONS FOR
EXPOSED SKIN. THE WIND WILL MAKE IT FEEL LIKE IT IS 15 DEGREES
BELOW ZERO OR COLDER FOR A PERIOD OF SEVERAL HOURS. IF YOU WILL
BE OUTDOORS USE COMMON SENSE AND DRESS WARMLY...MAKING SURE THAT
ALL EXPOSED SKIN IS COVERED. IF POSSIBLE...AVOID PROLONGED
EXPOSURE TO THE COLD TO PREVENT FROSTBITE AND HYPOTHERMIA.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

REPORT SNOW ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...POSTING
TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG
BUFWX

&&

$$

NYZ001-002-011-013-021-101500-
/O.CON.KBUF.WC.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-150110T1500Z/
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-GENESEE-LIVINGSTON-ALLEGANY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA...BATAVIA...
GENESEO...WELLSVILLE
611 AM EST SAT JAN 10 2015

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS
MORNING...

* LOCATIONS...NIAGARA...ORLEANS...GENESEE...LIVINGSTON...AND
  ALLEGANY COUNTIES.

* TIMING...THROUGH LATE THIS MORNING.

* WINDS...15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH.

* WIND CHILL VALUES...AS LOW AS 15 BELOW.

* IMPACTS...BITTERLY COLD WIND CHILLS WILL RESULT IN DANGEROUS
  CONDITIONS FOR EXPOSED SKIN THIS MORNING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND CHILL ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN STRONG WIND WILL COMBINE
WITH COLD TEMPERATURES TO CREATE DANGEROUSLY COLD CONDITIONS FOR
EXPOSED SKIN. THE WIND WILL MAKE IT FEEL LIKE IT IS 15 DEGREES
BELOW ZERO OR COLDER FOR A PERIOD OF SEVERAL HOURS. IF YOU WILL
BE OUTDOORS USE COMMON SENSE AND DRESS WARMLY...MAKING SURE THAT
ALL EXPOSED SKIN IS COVERED. IF POSSIBLE...AVOID PROLONGED
EXPOSURE TO THE COLD TO PREVENT FROSTBITE AND HYPOTHERMIA.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

&&

$$

APFFEL
566 
WWUS41 KBUF 101509
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1009 AM EST SAT JAN 10 2015

NYZ085-102300-
/O.EXP.KBUF.WC.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-150110T1500Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0003.000000T0000Z-150110T2300Z/
SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
1009 AM EST SAT JAN 10 2015

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
EVENING...
...WIND CHILL ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED...

* LOCATIONS...SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF ERIE COUNTY.

* TIMING...THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING.

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH.

* ACCUMULATIONS...2 TO 4 INCHES IN THE MOST PERSISTENT LAKE 
  SNOWS TODAY.

* SNOWFALL RATES...UP TO AN INCH PER HOUR.

* VISIBILITIES...AS LOW AS A QUARTER MILE AT TIMES.

* IMPACTS...LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW WILL CREATE VERY
  DIFFICULT TRAVEL CONDITIONS TODAY. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU LOSE POWER AND PLAN ON RUNNING A GENERATOR...MAKE SURE
THAT THE GENERATOR IS LOCATED OUTDOORS AND IS PROPERLY
VENTILATED. SPACE HEATERS SHOULD ALSO BE PROPERLY VENTILATED AND
USED ONLY IF THEY ARE OPERATING PROPERLY. MAKE SURE SNOW DOES NOT
BLOCK EXHAUSTS AND FRESH AIR INTAKES FOR HIGH EFFICIENCY FURNACES
AND WATER HEATERS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

NYZ010-102300-
/O.EXP.KBUF.WC.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-150110T1500Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-150110T2300Z/
NORTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...BUFFALO
1009 AM EST SAT JAN 10 2015

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST
THIS EVENING...
...WIND CHILL ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED...

* LOCATIONS...NORTHERN ERIE COUNTY.

* TIMING...THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING.

* ACCUMULATIONS...3 TO 6 INCHES IN THE MOST PERSISTENT LAKE SNOWS
  TODAY.

* SNOWFALL RATES...UP TO AN INCH PER HOUR.

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH.

* VISIBILITIES...AS LOW AS A QUARTER MILE AT TIMES.

* IMPACTS...LAKE EFFECT SNOW BANDS WILL PRODUCE DIFFICULT TRAVEL
  AT TIMES WITH POOR VISIBILITY AND SNOW COVER ON ROADS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

REPORT SNOW ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...POSTING
TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG
BUFWX

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

NYZ012-102300-
/O.EXP.KBUF.WC.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-150110T1500Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-150110T2300Z/
WYOMING-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...WARSAW
1009 AM EST SAT JAN 10 2015

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST
THIS EVENING...
...WIND CHILL ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED...

* LOCATIONS...WYOMING COUNTY.

* TIMING...THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING.

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH.

* ACCUMULATIONS...UP TO 2 INCHES IN THE MOST PERSISTENT LAKE 
  SNOWS TODAY.

* SNOWFALL RATES...UP TO AN INCH PER HOUR.

* VISIBILITIES...AS LOW AS A QUARTER MILE AT TIMES.

* IMPACTS...LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW WILL CREATE
  DIFFICULT TRAVEL CONDITIONS TODAY. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

&&

$$

NYZ001-002-011-013-019>021-101615-
/O.EXP.KBUF.WC.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-150110T1500Z/
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-GENESEE-LIVINGSTON-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-
ALLEGANY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA...BATAVIA...
GENESEO...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...WELLSVILLE
1009 AM EST SAT JAN 10 2015

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED...

$$

NYZ007-008-102300-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0003.000000T0000Z-150110T2300Z/
JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
1009 AM EST SAT JAN 10 2015

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

* LOCATIONS...JEFFERSON COUNTY AND NORTHERN PORTIONS OF LEWIS 
  COUNTY. GREATEST AMOUNTS WILL BE IN SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF 
  JEFFERSON COUNTY AND ON THE TUG HILL PLATEAU. 

* TIMING...THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING.

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH.

* ACCUMULATIONS...4 TO 7 INCHES IN THE MOST PERSISTENT LAKE 
  SNOWS TODAY.

* SNOWFALL RATES...3 INCHES AN HOUR AT TIMES.

* VISIBILITIES...AS LOW AS A QUARTER MILE AT TIMES.

* IMPACTS...VERY HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW WILL 
  CREATE EXTREMELY DIFFICULT TRAVEL CONDITIONS WITH NEAR ZERO 
  VISIBILITY AND DEEP SNOW COVER ON ROADS. SOME ROADS MAY BECOME 
  NEARLY IMPASSABLE AT TIMES. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...BE PREPARED 
  FOR SEVERE WINTER DRIVING CONDITIONS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU LOSE POWER AND PLAN ON RUNNING A GENERATOR...MAKE SURE
THAT THE GENERATOR IS LOCATED OUTDOORS AND IS PROPERLY
VENTILATED. SPACE HEATERS SHOULD ALSO BE PROPERLY VENTILATED AND
USED ONLY IF THEY ARE OPERATING PROPERLY. MAKE SURE SNOW DOES NOT
BLOCK EXHAUSTS AND FRESH AIR INTAKES FOR HIGH EFFICIENCY FURNACES
AND WATER HEATERS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

REPORT SNOW ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...POSTING
TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG
BUFWX

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

TMA
536 
WWUS41 KBUF 101631
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1131 AM EST SAT JAN 10 2015

NYZ085-101745-
/O.CAN.KBUF.LE.W.0003.000000T0000Z-150110T2300Z/
SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
1131 AM EST SAT JAN 10 2015

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE LAKE
EFFECT SNOW WARNING. 

THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW BAND WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE NORTH.

$$

NYZ012-101745-
/O.CAN.KBUF.LE.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-150110T2300Z/
WYOMING-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...WARSAW
1131 AM EST SAT JAN 10 2015

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE LAKE
EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY. 

THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW BAND WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE NORTH.

$$

NYZ007-008-102300-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0003.000000T0000Z-150110T2300Z/
JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
1131 AM EST SAT JAN 10 2015

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

* LOCATIONS...JEFFERSON COUNTY AND NORTHERN PORTIONS OF LEWIS 
  COUNTY. GREATEST AMOUNTS WILL BE IN SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF 
  JEFFERSON COUNTY AND ON THE TUG HILL PLATEAU. 

* TIMING...THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING.

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH.

* ACCUMULATIONS...3 TO 6 INCHES IN THE MOST PERSISTENT LAKE 
  SNOWS TODAY.

* SNOWFALL RATES...UP TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR.

* VISIBILITIES...AS LOW AS A QUARTER MILE AT TIMES.

* IMPACTS...HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW WILL CREATE
  EXTREMELY DIFFICULT TRAVEL CONDITIONS WITH NEAR ZERO VISIBILITY
  AND DEEP SNOW COVER ON ROADS. SOME ROADS MAY BECOME NEARLY
  IMPASSABLE AT TIMES. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...BE PREPARED FOR SEVERE
  WINTER DRIVING CONDITIONS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU LOSE POWER AND PLAN ON RUNNING A GENERATOR...MAKE SURE
THAT THE GENERATOR IS LOCATED OUTDOORS AND IS PROPERLY
VENTILATED. SPACE HEATERS SHOULD ALSO BE PROPERLY VENTILATED AND
USED ONLY IF THEY ARE OPERATING PROPERLY. MAKE SURE SNOW DOES NOT
BLOCK EXHAUSTS AND FRESH AIR INTAKES FOR HIGH EFFICIENCY FURNACES
AND WATER HEATERS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

REPORT SNOW ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...POSTING
TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG
BUFWX

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

NYZ010-102300-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-150110T2300Z/
NORTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...BUFFALO
1131 AM EST SAT JAN 10 2015

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST
THIS EVENING...

* LOCATIONS...NORTHERN ERIE COUNTY.

* TIMING...THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING.

* ACCUMULATIONS...3 TO 6 INCHES IN THE MOST PERSISTENT LAKE SNOWS
  TODAY.

* SNOWFALL RATES...UP TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR.

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH.

* VISIBILITIES...AS LOW AS A QUARTER MILE AT TIMES.

* IMPACTS...LAKE EFFECT SNOW BANDS WILL PRODUCE DIFFICULT TRAVEL
  WITH POOR VISIBILITY AND SNOW COVER ON ROADS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

REPORT SNOW ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...POSTING
TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG
BUFWX

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

TMA
431 
WWUS41 KBUF 102046
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
346 PM EST SAT JAN 10 2015

NYZ008-102200-
/O.CAN.KBUF.LE.W.0003.000000T0000Z-150110T2300Z/
LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...LOWVILLE
346 PM EST SAT JAN 10 2015

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE LAKE
EFFECT SNOW WARNING. 

THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW BAND WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE NORTH.

$$

NYZ007-110500-
/O.EXT.KBUF.LE.W.0003.000000T0000Z-150111T0600Z/
JEFFERSON-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...WATERTOWN
346 PM EST SAT JAN 10 2015

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST SUNDAY...

* LOCATIONS...JEFFERSON COUNTY.

* TIMING...THROUGH OVERNIGHT TONIGHT.

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH.

* ACCUMULATIONS...5 TO 10 INCHES TONIGHT.

* SNOWFALL RATES...UP TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR.

* VISIBILITIES...AS LOW AS A QUARTER MILE AT TIMES.

* IMPACTS...HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW WILL CREATE 
  EXTREMELY DIFFICULT TRAVEL CONDITIONS WITH NEAR ZERO 
  VISIBILITY AND DEEP SNOW COVER ON ROADS. SOME ROADS MAY BECOME 
  NEARLY IMPASSABLE AT TIMES. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...BE PREPARED 
  FOR SEVERE WINTER DRIVING CONDITIONS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU LOSE POWER AND PLAN ON RUNNING A GENERATOR...MAKE SURE
THAT THE GENERATOR IS LOCATED OUTDOORS AND IS PROPERLY
VENTILATED. SPACE HEATERS SHOULD ALSO BE PROPERLY VENTILATED AND
USED ONLY IF THEY ARE OPERATING PROPERLY. MAKE SURE SNOW DOES NOT
BLOCK EXHAUSTS AND FRESH AIR INTAKES FOR HIGH EFFICIENCY FURNACES
AND WATER HEATERS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

REPORT SNOW ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...POSTING
TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG
BUFWX

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

NYZ010-102300-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-150110T2300Z/
NORTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...BUFFALO
346 PM EST SAT JAN 10 2015

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST
THIS EVENING...

* LOCATIONS...NORTHERN ERIE COUNTY.

* TIMING...THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING.

* ACCUMULATIONS...2 TO 4 INCHES THIS EVENING IN THE MOST
  PERSISTENT SNOWS ACROSS GRAND ISLAND...TONAWANDA AND AMHERST.

* SNOWFALL RATES...1 TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR.

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH.

* VISIBILITIES...AS LOW AS A QUARTER MILE AT TIMES.

* IMPACTS...LAKE EFFECT SNOW BANDS WILL PRODUCE DIFFICULT TRAVEL 
  WITH POOR VISIBILITY AND SNOW COVER ON ROADS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

REPORT SNOW ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...POSTING
TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG
BUFWX

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

TMA
734 
WWUS41 KBUF 102305
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
605 PM EST SAT JAN 10 2015

NYZ010-110015-
/O.EXP.KBUF.LE.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-150110T2300Z/
NORTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...BUFFALO
605 PM EST SAT JAN 10 2015

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED...

LINGERING LAKE SNOWS HAVE WEAKENED DRAMATICALLY SINCE EARLIER THIS
AFTERNOON...THEREFORE THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY HAS BEEN
ALLOWED TO EXPIRE. 

$$

NYZ007-110600-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0003.000000T0000Z-150111T0600Z/
JEFFERSON-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...WATERTOWN
605 PM EST SAT JAN 10 2015

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST
SUNDAY...

* LOCATIONS...JEFFERSON COUNTY.

* TIMING...THROUGH 1 AM EST SUNDAY.

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH.

* ACCUMULATIONS...4 TO 7 INCHES IN THE MOST PERSISTENT LAKE SNOWS.

* VISIBILITIES...AS LOW AS A HALF MILE AT TIMES.

* IMPACTS...CONTINUED LAKE EFFECT SNOW WITH BLOWING AND DRIFTING
  SNOW WILL CREATE DIFFICULT TRAVEL CONDITIONS WITH NEAR ZERO
  VISIBILITIES AND DEEP SNOW COVER ON ROADS. SOME ROADS MAY BECOME
  NEARLY IMPASSABLE AT TIMES. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...BE PREPARED FOR
  SEVERE WINTER DRIVING CONDITIONS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU LOSE POWER AND PLAN ON RUNNING A GENERATOR...MAKE SURE
THAT THE GENERATOR IS LOCATED OUTDOORS AND IS PROPERLY
VENTILATED. SPACE HEATERS SHOULD ALSO BE PROPERLY VENTILATED AND
USED ONLY IF THEY ARE OPERATING PROPERLY. MAKE SURE SNOW DOES NOT
BLOCK EXHAUSTS AND FRESH AIR INTAKES FOR HIGH EFFICIENCY FURNACES
AND WATER HEATERS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

REPORT SNOW ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...POSTING
TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG
BUFWX

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

JJR/TMA

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this lake effect snow advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Buffalo, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this lake effect snow advisory went out at Jan 9, 11:52 PM EST, 3 hours 47 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jan 9, 11:52 PM EST, 3 hours 47 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1152 PM EST FRI JAN 9 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
A SIGNIFICANT LAKE EFFECT SNOW EVENT WILL CONTINUE EAST OF LAKES
ERIE AND ONTARIO THROUGH SATURDAY...WITH THE HEAVIEST SNOWS SETTLING
A LITTLE FURTHER SOUTHWARD AGAIN OVERNIGHT. TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS BY
SATURDAY MORNING WILL LIKELY BE 2 TO 3 FEET EAST OF LAKE ERIE...WITH
4 TO 6 FEET QUITE POSSIBLE EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO. THE LAKE SNOWS WILL
SHIFT BACK NORTHWARD AND GRADUALLY WEAKEN SATURDAY...THOUGH
ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS WILL STILL BE LIKELY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL
THEN BUILD INTO THE REGION FOR THE END OF THE WEEKEND AND FINALLY
BRING AN END TO THE LAKE EFFECT SNOWS.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY/...
AS OF 03Z...THE LAKE ERIE LAKE SNOWS MANAGED TO EDGE JUST A HAIR
FURTHER NORTHWARD SINCE THE PREVIOUS UPDATE...WITH INTENSE SNOWFALL
RATES OF AS HIGH AS 3 TO 4 INCHES AN HOUR REACHING INTO MARILLA
AND PORTIONS OF ELMA. THIS NORTHWARD SHIFT BY JUST A FEW MILES WAS
ENOUGH TO NECESSITATE THE ISSUANCE OF A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING
FOR NORTHERN ERIE COUNTY TO COVER THE NORTHERNMOST EXTENSION OF
THE BAND...WHICH WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT ELMA/MARILLA FOR A FEW
MORE HOURS BEFORE DROPPING SOUTH OF THE AREA AGAIN AFTER MIDNIGHT
AS WINDS VEER...WITH THIS SOUTHWARD SHIFT ALREADY STARTING TO
BECOME NOTICEABLE IN RECENT RADAR IMAGERY. WHILE THIS NEW WARNING
IS IN EFFECT THROUGH MUCH OF SATURDAY...IT SHOULD BE STRESSED THAT
THE BUFFALO AREA AND THE REST OF ITS CENTRAL AND EASTERN SUBURBS
WILL NOT BE AFFECTED UNTIL THE BAND LIFTS NORTHWARD WHILE SLOWLY
WEAKENING DURING SATURDAY.

OTHERWISE...THE REMAINING LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNINGS OFF LAKE ERIE
STILL LOOK TO BE IN EXCELLENT SHAPE...AS THE STILL-INTENSE BAND WILL
GRADUALLY SLIP BACK SOUTHWARD OVERNIGHT WITH THE PASSAGE OF A MID
LEVEL SHORTWAVE AND SUBSEQUENT VEERING OF THE LOW LEVEL FLOW. EXPECT
SNOWFALL RATES OF 3 TO 4 INCHES PER HOUR TO CONTINUE IN THE CORE OF
THE BAND FOR AT LEAST A FEW MORE HOURS...BEFORE DIMINISHING SOME
OVERNIGHT AS THE BAND WEAKENS A BIT FOLLOWING THE SHORTWAVE PASSAGE.
ALL OF THIS HAS NECESSITATED THE RAISING OF SNOW TOTALS WITHIN THE
HARDEST HIT AREAS DOWNWIND OF LAKE ERIE...WITH AS MUCH AS 2 FEET
FALLING WITHIN THE MOST PERSISTENT SNOWS BY TOMORROW MORNING.

MEANWHILE OFF OUR OTHER LAKE...AN EQUALLY IMPRESSIVE SINGLE BAND
/ALSO WITH SNOWFALL RATES OF 3 INCHES OR MORE PER HOUR/ CONTINUES
ACROSS THE TUG HILL REGION...WITH THIS HAVING REORGANIZED AND
SLIPPED A LITTLE FURTHER SOUTH AGAIN SINCE EARLIER THIS EVENING.
THIS BAND WILL CONTINUE TO POUND THIS SAME GENERAL AREA WHILE
PERHAPS SINKING JUST A LITTLE FURTHER SOUTHWARD OVERNIGHT...WITH
ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 2 FEET LIKELY WHERE THE LAKE SNOWS
ARE MOST PERSISTENT...LIKELY RAISING EVENTUAL STORM TOTALS TO THE 4
TO 6 FOOT RANGE IN THE HARDEST HIT AREAS.

THAT IS ALL FOR NOW...THE LATE AFTERNOON NEAR TERM DISCUSSION
FOLLOWS BELOW IN ITS ENTIRETY.

HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL CONTINUE TO BE THE FORECAST FOCUS
DURING THE NEAR TERM PERIOD.

AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL REMAIN OVER THE GREAT LAKES AND
NORTHEAST REGION AS SEVERAL UPSTREAM SHORTWAVES PASS THROUGH THE
BASE OF THE TROUGH THROUGH SATURDAY. COLD AIR WILL CONTINUE TO
DEEPEN ACROSS THE LOWER LAKES REGION WITH THE CORE OF THE COLDEST
AIR ARRIVING BY DAYBREAK SATURDAY WITH 850 MB TEMPERATURES
FORECAST IN THE -22C TO -24C RANGE.

AS FOR THE SPECIFICS...

OFF LAKE ERIE...REGIONAL RADARS SHOWING STILL RATHER DISORGANIZED
LAKE EFFECT EAST OF THE LAKE...EXTENDING AS FAR EAST AS SOUTHERN
LIVINGSTON AND ALLEGANY COUNTIES. WE CONTINUE TO EXPECT THAT THE
LAKE SNOWS WILL BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED TONIGHT AS THE WEST
SOUTHWEST WINDS ALONG THE LONG FETCH OF THE LAKE BECOME BETTER
ALIGNED. OVER-LAKE INSTABILITY STILL IMPRESSIVE WITH EQUILIBRIUM
LEVELS UP TO AROUND 9K FEET...ALTHOUGH PROFILES DO SHOW HEIGHTS
GRADUALLY LOWERING OVERNIGHT. SNOWFALL RATES UP TO 3 INCHES PER HOUR
WILL STILL BE POSSIBLE...BUT AS THE NIGHT WEARS ON THE INTENSITY OF
THE LAKE SNOWS SHOULD START TO WANE A BIT. THE HEAVIEST SNOW SHOULD
STILL FOCUS ON SOUTHERN ERIE...WYOMING...CHAUTAUQUA AND CATTARAUGUS
COUNTIES. THE STRONG WIND FIELDS WILL BRING SOME DECENT ACCUMULATING
SNOWS OVER INTO LIVINGSTON AND ALLEGANY COUNTIES.

LATEST MESO-SCALE MODELS ARE SHOWING THAT ROUTE 20 WILL BE A
CRITICAL DIVIDING LINE BETWEEN HEAVY SNOW AND LITTLE IF ANY SNOW.
THERE LOOKS TO BE A BRIEF WINDOW TONIGHT WHEN SOME SIGNIFICANT SNOW
COULD NUDGE NORTH OF ROUTE 20 THEN OSCILLATE BACK SOUTH THROUGH
DAYBREAK. AT THIS POINT...WILL KEEP THE HEAVY SNOW THREAT OUT OF
NORTHERN ERIE COUNTY...BUT IF A CONSOLIDATED BAND BEGINS TO LIFT
NORTH AN ADDITIONAL HEAVY SNOW THREAT WILL NEED TO BE ADDED TO FAR
SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF NORTHERN ERIE COUNTY...BUT STILL SOUTH OF THE
BUFFALO METRO AREA.

THE LOW LEVEL FLOW WILL BACK DURING THE DAY SATURDAY BRINGING WHAT
SHOULD BE A SIGNIFICANT LAKE BAND NORTHWARD THROUGH THE DAY. THIS
BAND WILL PUSH INTO NORTHERN ERIE AND GENESEE COUNTY BY MID DAY AND
REMAIN THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AS THE LOW LEVEL FLOW REMAINS SOUTHWEST
FOR A SEVERAL HOUR PERIOD...WITH PROBABLE SNOWFALL RATES OF AN
INCH OR POSSIBLE MORE PER HOUR. A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY WILL
BE ISSUED FOR THIS TIME FRAME. WARNING SNOWFALL AMOUNTS ARE NOT
OUT OF THE QUESTION...BUT WITH LOWERING EQUILIBRIUM HEIGHTS NOT AS
CONFIDENT IN WARNING AMOUNTS AT THIS TIME.

OFF LAKE ONTARIO...REGIONAL RADARS SHOWING AN IMPRESSIVE LAKE PLUME
EVOLVING JUST SOUTH OF WATERTOWN...SOUTH INTO THE NORTHERN
PORTION OF THE TUG HILL. THIS LAKE BAND WILL REMAIN INTENSE
THROUGH SATURDAY WITH SNOWFALL RATES OF 3 TO 5 INCHES PER HOUR
LIKELY AS OVER-LAKE INSTABILITY REMAINS EXTREME WITH EQUILIBRIUM
LEVEL UP TO 12K FEET. THE HEAVIEST PORTION OF THE BAND WILL
OSCILLATE SOME AND MAY NUDGE AT TIMES INTO WATERTOWN...BUT FOR
THE MOST PART THE HEAVIEST SNOW WILL FOCUS ACROSS THE TUG HILL. A
DEFINITE NORTHWARD MOVEMENT TO THE LAKE BAND WILL TAKE PLACE BY
SATURDAY AFTERNOON AS THE LOW LEVEL FLOW BACKS TO THE SOUTHWEST.

WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO BE AN ISSUE THROUGH SATURDAY WITH GUSTS OF
35 TO 40 MPH POSSIBLE AT TIMES. THIS WILL CREATE PROBLEMS FROM
BLOWING SNOW ACROSS THE ENTIRE AREA.

TEMPERATURES TONIGHT WITHIN THE DEEPENING COLD AIRMASS WILL FALL
BACK INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS OUTSIDE OF THESE LAKE BANDS. WITH
WINDS STILL GUSTY WIND CHILLS WILL AGAIN DROP TOWARDS DANGEROUSLY
LOW READINGS...WHERE VALUES MAY NEAR 15 BELOW ZERO AT TIMES.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...
PROLONGED LAKE EFFECT EVENT WILL COME TO CONCLUSION SATURDAY NIGHT.
RISING HEIGHTS ALOFT WITH A SURFACE HIGH NOSING INTO SOUTHERN NEW
YORK WILL HELP TO LOWER THE CAPPING INVERSION LEVEL AND INTRUDE MORE
DRY AIR. STEERING FLOW ENDS UP ON A 240 DIRECTION OR SO BY SATURDAY
NIGHT. THE LAKE ERIE BAND WILL DRIFT NORTH ACROSS THE BUFFALO METRO
AREA BY SATURDAY NIGHT...AND THE LAKE ONTARIO BAND WILL END UP
ACROSS THE WATERTOWN AREA. AS THE LAKE PARAMETERS BECOME LESS
FAVORABLE TOWARD AND AFTER MIDNIGHT...EXPECT THE BANDS WILL SLOWLY
DISSIPATE.

A SHARP SHORT WAVE TROUGH WILL THEN PIVOT ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA
ON MONDAY...BRING A BRIEF PERIOD OF STRONG QG FORCING ACROSS THE
FORECAST AREA. EXPECT A WIDESPREAD LIGHT SNOWFALL DURING THE DAY
MONDAY AS THIS WAVE APPROACHES AND PASSES UPSTATE NEW YORK. SNOWFALL
AMOUNTS FOR THIS GENERAL SNOW EVENT WILL BE AROUND A COUPLE TO A FEW
INCHES FOR MUCH OF THE FORECAST AREA. HIGH TEMPERATURES ON MONDAY
WILL MAINLY BE IN THE MID 20S ACROSS AS THIS RELATIVELY MILD AIR
STAYS IN PLACE AHEAD OF THE SHORTWAVE.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
SHALLOW COLD AIR MASS WILL SETTLE ACROSS THE REGION TUESDAY BEHIND
THE MONDAY NIGHT SHORTWAVE PASSAGE...WITH A SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE
CENTERED OVER UPSTATE NEW YORK BY TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
HAVE LOWERED TEMPERATURES CONSIDERABLY FOR TUESDAY / TUESDAY NIGHT
WITH THIS FORECAST UPDATE. HIGH TEMPERATURES ON TUESDAY MAY STRUGGLE
TO GET OUT OF THE SINGLE DIGITS...AND LOWS TEMPERATURES TUESDAY
NIGHT IN THE NORTH COUNTRY WILL LIKELY DIP INTO THE TEENS BELOW
ZERO. THIS CONSIDERABLE COOL DOWN ON TUESDAY WILL THANKFULLY BE
SHORT LIVED...AS HIGH TEMPERATURES CLIMB BACK TO AROUND THE FREEZING
MARK BY THE END OF THE WEEK. FROM TUESDAY ON...THE WEATHER WILL BE
FAIRLY QUIET WITH NOT MUCH TO SPEAK OF IN TERMS OF PRECIPITATION
CHANCES...AS BENIGN FLOW AND DRIER AIR REMAIN IN PLACE.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
THROUGH SATURDAY...BANDS OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL CONTINUE OFF LAKES
ERIE AND ONTARIO WITH VLIFR TO IFR CONDITIONS FOUND WITHIN THEIR
CORES.

OFF LAKE ERIE...THE MAIN LAKE SNOW BAND WILL LARGELY REMAIN SITUATED
BETWEEN KBUF AND KJHW OVERNIGHT...BEFORE LIFTING NORTHEASTWARD
ACROSS THE KBUF TERMINAL DURING SATURDAY. THIS STATED...SOME BRIEF
REDUCTIONS TO MVFR/IFR COULD STILL AFFECT KJHW FOR A TIME OVERNIGHT.

OFF LAKE ONTARIO...THE MAIN LAKE BAND SHOULD REMAIN LARGELY SOUTH
OF THE KART TERMINAL OVERNIGHT...BEFORE LIFTING NORTHWARD ACROSS
KART DURING SATURDAY.

OUTSIDE OF THE MAIN LAKE BANDS...EXPECT GENERAL VFR CONDITIONS TO
PREVAIL THROUGH SATURDAY...WITH REDUCTIONS TO MVFR POSSIBLE IN
BLOWING SNOW OR SCATTERED LIGHTER SNOW SHOWERS.

SATURDAY NIGHT...ANY LINGERING LAKE SNOWS AND ATTENDANT REDUCTIONS
NORTHEAST OF THE LAKES SHOULD COME TO AN END...WITH VFR OTHERWISE
PREVAILING.

OUTLOOK...
SUNDAY...MAINLY VFR WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS EAST OF LAKE
ONTARIO AND LOCAL MVFR.
MONDAY...MVFR WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW.
TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY...VFR.

&&

.MARINE...
AS OF 03Z...HAVE DROPPED THE REMAINING GALE WARNINGS FOR CENTRAL
AND EASTERN LAKE ONTARIO. IN THEIR PLACE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
LEVEL WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ON THE LAKES THROUGH MOST OF
THE WEEKEND.

THE STRONG WINDS ALONG WITH VERY COLD TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO
PRODUCE HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY INTO THE EARLY OVERNIGHT HOURS. A HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY WARNING WILL CONTINUE ON BOTH LAKES TONIGHT.

SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES WILL CONTINUE ON THE NIAGARA RIVER THROUGH AT
LEAST SATURDAY.

&&

.BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NY...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING UNTIL 6 PM EST SATURDAY FOR
     NYZ006>008-012-085.
     LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY UNTIL 10 AM EST SATURDAY FOR NYZ013-
     021.
     LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING UNTIL 1 PM EST SATURDAY FOR NYZ019-
     020.
     LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING UNTIL 4 PM EST SATURDAY FOR NYZ010.
     WIND CHILL ADVISORY UNTIL 8 AM EST SATURDAY FOR NYZ010-011.
     LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY FROM 10 AM TO 4 PM EST SATURDAY FOR
     NYZ011.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM EST SATURDAY FOR LEZ020.
         HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING UNTIL 4 AM EST SATURDAY FOR
         LEZ040-041.
         SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 4 AM EST SUNDAY FOR LEZ040-041.
         SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM EST SATURDAY FOR
         LOZ030.
         HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING UNTIL 4 AM EST SATURDAY FOR
         LOZ042>045-062>065.
         SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 4 AM EST SUNDAY FOR LOZ042.
         SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST SUNDAY FOR LOZ043>045.

&&

SYNOPSIS...JJR/TMA
NEAR TERM...JJR/TMA
SHORT TERM...CHURCH
LONG TERM...CHURCH
AVIATION...JJR/TMA
MARINE...JJR/TMA
Hazardous weather outlook, Jan 9, 11:02 PM EST, 4 hours 37 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1102 PM EST FRI JAN 9 2015

NYZ006>008-012-085-110415-
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-WYOMING-SOUTHERN ERIE-
1102 PM EST FRI JAN 9 2015

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST SATURDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN AND NORTH
CENTRAL NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ001>005-014-110415-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-ONTARIO-
1102 PM EST FRI JAN 9 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN AND NORTH
CENTRAL NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ013-021-110415-
LIVINGSTON-ALLEGANY-
1102 PM EST FRI JAN 9 2015

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST SATURDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ019-020-110415-
CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-
1102 PM EST FRI JAN 9 2015

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST SATURDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ010-110415-
NORTHERN ERIE-
1102 PM EST FRI JAN 9 2015

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST SATURDAY...
...WIND CHILL ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EST SATURDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING.
   WIND CHILL ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING.
   WIND CHILL ADVISORY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ011-110415-
GENESEE-
1102 PM EST FRI JAN 9 2015

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EST SATURDAY...
...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 4 PM EST
SATURDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WIND CHILL ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WIND CHILL ADVISORY.
   LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

LEZ020-LOZ030-SLZ022-024-110415-
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-LOWER NIAGARA RIVER-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM CAPE VINCENT TO OGDENSBURG-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM OGDENSBURG TO SAINT REGIS-
1102 PM EST FRI JAN 9 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ERIE...LAKE
ONTARIO AND SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

LEZ040-041-LOZ042>045-062>065-110415-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER-
1102 PM EST FRI JAN 9 2015

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST SATURDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ERIE AND LAKE
ONTARIO.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

JJR

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jan 9, 9:46 PM EST, 5 hours 53 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
946 PM EST FRI JAN 9 2015

NYZ006>008-100400-
JEFFERSON NY-LEWIS NY-OSWEGO NY-
946 PM EST FRI JAN 9 2015

...HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL CONTINUE EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO...

* AT 942 PM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  LAKE EFFECT SNOW BAND CAPABLE OF PRODUCING SNOWFALL RATES OF 3
  INCHES PER HOUR...AND VISIBILITY NEAR ZERO AT TIMES. THIS LAKE
  EFFECT SNOW BAND WAS LOCATED FROM SANDY CREEK AND MANNSVILLE EAST
  ACROSS THE CENTRAL TUG HILL PLATEAU. THIS BAND OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW
  IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY THROUGH LATE EVENING.

* SOME LOCATIONS AFFECTED BY THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW BAND INCLUDE...
  BARNES CORNERS...
  SANDY CREEK...
  MANNSVILLE...
  MARTINSBURG...

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 81 BETWEEN EXITS 37 AND 41.

TRAVEL ACROSS THE AREA WILL BE EXTREMELY DIFFICULT OR EVEN IMPOSSIBLE
DUE TO THE VERY HEAVY SNOWFALL PRODUCING NEAR ZERO VISIBILITY AND
DEEP SNOW COVER ON ROADWAYS. TRAVEL IS NOT RECOMMENDED.

IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...BE PREPARED BY HAVING AN EMERGENCY KIT...EXTRA
BLANKETS AND WARM CLOTHING IN THE EVENT THAT YOUR VEHICLE HAS
MECHANICAL PROBLEMS OR GETS STUCK. MAKE SURE YOU HAVE A FULLY CHARGED
CELL PHONE.

LAT...LON 4367 7533 4357 7622 4368 7621 4379 7623
      4394 7537 4382 7519

HITCHCOCK
Special weather statement, Jan 9, 11:00 PM EST, 4 hours 39 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1100 PM EST FRI JAN 9 2015

NYZ006>008-100530-
JEFFERSON NY-LEWIS NY-OSWEGO NY-
1100 PM EST FRI JAN 9 2015

...INTENSE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL CONTINUE EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO...

* AT 1052 PM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  LAKE EFFECT SNOW BAND CAPABLE OF PRODUCING SNOWFALL RATES OF 4
  INCHES PER HOUR OR MORE...AND VISIBILITY NEAR ZERO AT TIMES.
  THIS LAKE EFFECT SNOW BAND WAS LOCATED FROM SANDY CREEK AND ADAMS
  EAST ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND NORTHERN TUG HILL.

* SOME LOCATIONS AFFECTED BY THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW BAND INCLUDE...
  SANDY CREEK...
  ADAMS...
  BARNES CORNERS...
  MANNSVILLE...

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 81 BETWEEN EXITS 37 AND 41.

TRAVEL ACROSS THE AREA WILL BE EXTREMELY DIFFICULT OR EVEN IMPOSSIBLE
DUE TO THE VERY HEAVY SNOWFALL PRODUCING NEAR ZERO VISIBILITY AND
DEEP SNOW COVER ON ROADWAYS. TRAVEL IS NOT RECOMMENDED.

IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...BE PREPARED BY HAVING AN EMERGENCY KIT...EXTRA
BLANKETS AND WARM CLOTHING IN THE EVENT THAT YOUR VEHICLE HAS
MECHANICAL PROBLEMS OR GETS STUCK. MAKE SURE YOU HAVE A FULLY CHARGED
CELL PHONE.

LAT...LON 4365 7527 4360 7620 4361 7621 4373 7622
      4382 7626 4398 7534 4385 7516

HITCHCOCK
Special weather statement, Jan 9, 11:04 PM EST, 4 hours 35 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1104 PM EST FRI JAN 9 2015

NYZ010-012-019-020-085-100530-
CATTARAUGUS NY-CHAUTAUQUA NY-ERIE NY-WYOMING NY-
1104 PM EST FRI JAN 9 2015

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW DRIFTING SLOWLY SOUTH...

* AT 1059 PM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  LAKE EFFECT SNOW BAND CAPABLE OF PRODUCING SNOWFALL RATES OF 4
  INCHES PER HOUR OR MORE...AND VISIBILITY NEAR ZERO AT TIMES.
  THIS LAKE EFFECT SNOW BAND WAS LOCATED FROM DUNKIRK TO ANGOLA...
  BOSTON...AND EAST AURORA. THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW BAND WILL CONTINUE
  TO DRIFT SLOWLY SOUTH THROUGH THE MIDNIGHT HOUR. THE BAND WILL
  ALSO MOVE ONSHORE ALONG ALL OF THE CHAUTAUQUA COUNTY SHORELINE
  WITH RAPIDLY DETERIORATING CONDITIONS FROM DUNKIRK TO THE
  PENNSYLVANIA STATE LINE.

* SOME LOCATIONS AFFECTED BY THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW BAND INCLUDE...
  COLDEN AND WEST FALLS...
  EAST AURORA...
  BOSTON...
  DUNKIRK...
  GOWANDA...
  JAVA...
  BENNINGTON...

TRAVEL ACROSS THE AREA WILL BE EXTREMELY DIFFICULT OR EVEN IMPOSSIBLE
DUE TO THE VERY HEAVY SNOWFALL PRODUCING NEAR ZERO VISIBILITY AND
DEEP SNOW COVER ON ROADWAYS. TRAVEL IS NOT RECOMMENDED.

IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...BE PREPARED BY HAVING AN EMERGENCY KIT...EXTRA
BLANKETS AND WARM CLOTHING IN THE EVENT THAT YOUR VEHICLE HAS
MECHANICAL PROBLEMS OR GETS STUCK. MAKE SURE YOU HAVE A FULLY CHARGED
CELL PHONE.

LAT...LON 4235 7961 4242 7946 4246 7943 4250 7936
      4255 7924 4256 7916 4259 7914 4265 7907
      4268 7906 4283 7848 4285 7799 4264 7811
      4232 7965

HITCHCOCK
Special weather statement, Jan 10, 12:25 AM EST, 3 hours 14 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1225 AM EST SAT JAN 10 2015

NYZ010-012-019-020-085-100645-
CATTARAUGUS NY-CHAUTAUQUA NY-ERIE NY-WYOMING NY-
1225 AM EST SAT JAN 10 2015

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT THE AREA...

* AT 1224 AM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  LAKE EFFECT SNOW BAND CAPABLE OF PRODUCING SNOWFALL RATES OF 4
  INCHES PER HOUR OR MORE...AND VISIBILITY NEAR ZERO AT TIMES.
  THIS LAKE EFFECT SNOW BAND WAS LOCATED FROM DUNKIRK AND ANGOLA INLAND
  TOWARDS BOSTON AND EAST AURORA AND ACROSS THE HILLS OF WYOMING COUNTY.
  THIS BAND OF SNOW WILL ALSO BRUSH BY THE LAKE ERIE SHORELINE FROM THE
  PENNSYLVANIA STATE LINE NORTHEASTWARD. EXPECT THE BAND TO SLOWLY MOVE
  SOUTHWARD THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.

* THE STRONG WINDS WILL COMBINE WITH THE INTENSE COLD TO PRODUCE
  DANGEROUS WIND CHILL VALUES DOWN TO MINUS 15 DEGREES.

TRAVEL ACROSS THE AREA WILL BE EXTREMELY DIFFICULT OR EVEN IMPOSSIBLE
DUE TO THE VERY HEAVY SNOWFALL PRODUCING NEAR ZERO VISIBILITY AND
DEEP SNOW COVER ON ROADWAYS. TRAVEL IS NOT RECOMMENDED.

IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...BE PREPARED BY HAVING AN EMERGENCY KIT...EXTRA
BLANKETS AND WARM CLOTHING IN THE EVENT THAT YOUR VEHICLE HAS
MECHANICAL PROBLEMS OR GETS STUCK. MAKE SURE YOU HAVE A FULLY CHARGED
CELL PHONE.

LAT...LON 4235 7961 4242 7945 4245 7944 4250 7936
      4255 7923 4256 7916 4265 7907 4268 7906
      4283 7848 4285 7799 4264 7811 4233 7963

THOMAS
Special weather statement, Jan 10, 12:32 AM EST, 3 hours 7 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1232 AM EST SAT JAN 10 2015

NYZ006>008-100830-
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OSWEGO...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
1232 AM EST SAT JAN 10 2015

...INTENSE LAKE EFFECT SNOW THIS EARLY MORNING...

AT 1240 AM A BAND OF INTENSE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WAS CARRIED INLAND
FROM LAKE ONTARIO...TO AREAS ACROSS SOUTHERN JEFFERSON...FAR
NORTHERN OSWEGO AND LEWIS COUNTIES.

THE NORTHERN EDGE OF THIS SNOW BAND IS FROM HENDERSON HARBOR TO
ADAMS CENTER TO COPENHAGEN. ON THE SOUTH SIDE THE SNOW BAND WAS
FROM SANDY CREEK TO FAR NORTHERN OSCEOLA TO TURIN. A FEW LIGHTER
SNOW SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE JUST TO THE NORTH OF THIS SNOW BAND
ACROSS CENTRAL JEFFERSON COUNTY THIS MORNING.

WITHIN THE SNOW BAND EXPECT SNOWFALL RATES THAT WILL EXCEED 4
INCHES PER HOUR...NEAR ZERO VISIBILITIES AND DEEP SNOW COVERED
ROADS. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL EXTREMELY DIFFICULT AND NEARLY
IMPOSSIBLE THROUGH THE SNOW BAND.

EXPECT THIS SNOWBAND TO REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY THROUGH MUCH OF
THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.

THOMAS

The office that day

Everything else NWS Buffalo, NY issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jan 9, 7:41 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementBUFErie, Wyoming94 min
Jan 9, 7:46 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementBUFLewis89 min
Jan 9, 9:28 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementBUFErie92 min
Jan 9, 9:46 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementBUFLewis74 min
Jan 9, 11:00 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementBUFLewis90 min
Jan 9, 11:04 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementBUFErie, Wyoming86 min
Jan 10, 12:25 AM ESTSpecial Weather StatementBUFErie, Wyoming80 min
Jan 10, 10:56 AM ESTSpecial Weather StatementBUFErie49 min
Jan 10, 12:07 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementBUFErie53 min
Jan 10, 1:04 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementBUFErie56 min
Jan 10, 2:11 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementBUFNiagara79 min
Jan 10, 2:40 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementBUFNiagara50 min

Nearby

Lake Effect Snow Advisories in New York, 2015Every lake effect snow advisory in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.