Small Craft Advisory 160, NWS Buffalo, NY

025 
WHUS71 KBUF 271423
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
923 AM EST SUN DEC 27 2015

LOZ042-272230-
/O.EXA.KBUF.SC.Y.0160.151227T1700Z-151228T2300Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.A.0008.151228T2300Z-151229T1200Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
923 AM EST SUN DEC 27 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST MONDAY...
...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY EVENING THROUGH
TUESDAY MORNING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST MONDAY.

* WINDS...NORTH 15 TO 20 KNOTS TODAY THROUGH MONDAY. EAST TO 35
  KNOTS MONDAY EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING.

* WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET TODAY THROUGH MONDAY. 7 TO 10 FEET MONDAY
  EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO
47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING
AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ043-044-272230-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0160.151227T1700Z-151228T2300Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
923 AM EST SUN DEC 27 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST MONDAY...

* WINDS...NORTH 15 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...3 TO 6 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ062-272230-
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.A.0008.151228T2300Z-151229T1200Z/
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
923 AM EST SUN DEC 27 2015

...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY EVENING THROUGH
TUESDAY MORNING...

* WINDS...EAST TO 35 KNOTS.

* WAVES...8 TO 11 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO
47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING
AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS.

&&

$$

HITCHCOCK

196 
WHUS71 KBUF 272042
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
342 PM EST SUN DEC 27 2015

LEZ040-041-280445-
/O.EXB.KBUF.SC.Y.0160.000000T0000Z-151229T1200Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
342 PM EST SUN DEC 27 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST TUESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST TUESDAY.

* WINDS...NORTH TO NORTHEAST 15 TO 25 KNOTS TONIGHT AND MONDAY.
  NORTHEAST TO 30 KNOTS MONDAY NIGHT.

* WAVES...3 TO 6 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO
47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING
AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ043-044-280445-
/O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0160.000000T0000Z-151229T1200Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
342 PM EST SUN DEC 27 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST TUESDAY...

* WINDS...NORTH TO NORTHEAST 15 TO 25 KNOTS TONIGHT AND MONDAY.
  NORTHEAST TO 30 KNOTS MONDAY NIGHT.

* WAVES...3 TO 6 FEET TONIGHT AND MONDAY. 6 TO 9 FEET MONDAY
  NIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ042-280445-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0160.000000T0000Z-151228T2300Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.A.0008.151228T2300Z-151229T1200Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
342 PM EST SUN DEC 27 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST MONDAY...
...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY EVENING THROUGH
TUESDAY MORNING...

* WINDS...NORTH TO NORTHEAST 15 TO 25 KNOTS TONIGHT AND MONDAY.
  NORTHEAST TO 35 KNOTS MONDAY NIGHT.

* WAVES...3 TO 6 FEET TONIGHT AND MONDAY. 7 TO 10 FEET MONDAY
  NIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO
47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING
AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ062-280445-
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.A.0008.151228T2300Z-151229T1200Z/
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
342 PM EST SUN DEC 27 2015

...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY EVENING THROUGH
TUESDAY MORNING...

* WINDS...EAST TO 35 KNOTS.

* WAVES...10 TO 13 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO
47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING
AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS.

&&

$$

HITCHCOCK

450 
WHUS71 KBUF 280233
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
933 PM EST SUN DEC 27 2015

LOZ042-281100-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0160.000000T0000Z-151228T2300Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.A.0008.151228T2300Z-151229T1200Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
933 PM EST SUN DEC 27 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST MONDAY...
...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY EVENING THROUGH
TUESDAY MORNING...

* WINDS...NORTH TO NORTHEAST 15 TO 25 KNOTS TONIGHT BECOMING EAST
  TO 30 KNOTS MONDAY. EAST TO 35 KNOTS MONDAY NIGHT.

* WAVES...3 TO 6 FEET TONIGHT BUILDING TO 5 TO 8 FEET MONDAY...AND
  TO 6 TO 10 FEET MONDAY NIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO
47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING
AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ043-044-281100-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0160.000000T0000Z-151229T1200Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
933 PM EST SUN DEC 27 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST
TUESDAY...

* WINDS...NORTH TO NORTHEAST 15 TO 25 KNOTS TONIGHT AND MONDAY.
  EAST TO 30 KNOTS MONDAY NIGHT.

* WAVES...4 TO 7 FEET TONIGHT AND MONDAY. 5 TO 9 FEET MONDAY
  NIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ040-041-281100-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0160.000000T0000Z-151229T1200Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
933 PM EST SUN DEC 27 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST
TUESDAY...

* WINDS...NORTH TO NORTHEAST 15 TO 25 KNOTS TONIGHT AND MONDAY.
  EAST TO SOUTHEAST TO 30 KNOTS MONDAY NIGHT.

* WAVES...3 TO 6 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO
47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING
AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ062-281100-
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.A.0008.151228T2300Z-151229T1200Z/
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
933 PM EST SUN DEC 27 2015

...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY EVENING THROUGH
TUESDAY MORNING...

* WINDS...EAST TO 35 KNOTS.

* WAVES...AS HIGH AS 10 TO 13 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO
47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING
AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS.

&&

$$

HITCHCOCK/JJR/WOOD

274 
WHUS71 KBUF 280917
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
417 AM EST MON DEC 28 2015

LOZ042-281730-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0160.000000T0000Z-151228T2300Z/
/O.UPG.KBUF.GL.A.0008.151228T2300Z-151229T1200Z/
/O.NEW.KBUF.GL.W.0026.151228T2300Z-151229T1200Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
417 AM EST MON DEC 28 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
EVENING...
...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM EST
TUESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A GALE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM EST
TUESDAY. THE GALE WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

* WINDS...EAST TO 35 KNOTS.

* WAVES...7 TO 10 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ040-041-281730-
/O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0160.000000T0000Z-151229T0600Z/
/O.NEW.KBUF.GL.W.0026.151229T0600Z-151229T1200Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
417 AM EST MON DEC 28 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST TUESDAY...
...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 7 AM EST TUESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A GALE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 7 AM EST TUESDAY.

* WINDS...SOUTHEAST TO 35 KNOTS.

* WAVES...3 TO 6 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO
47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING
AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ062-281730-
/O.UPG.KBUF.GL.A.0008.151228T2300Z-151229T1200Z/
/O.NEW.KBUF.GL.W.0026.151228T2300Z-151229T1200Z/
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
417 AM EST MON DEC 28 2015

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM EST
TUESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A GALE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM EST
TUESDAY. THE GALE WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

* WINDS...EAST TO 35 KNOTS.

* WAVES...10 TO 13 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ043-044-281730-
/O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0160.000000T0000Z-151229T1500Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
417 AM EST MON DEC 28 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST TUESDAY...

* WINDS...EAST TO 30 KNOTS.

* WAVES...7 TO 10 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

737 
WHUS71 KBUF 281143
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
643 AM EST MON DEC 28 2015

LOZ042-281945-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0160.000000T0000Z-151228T2300Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0026.151228T2300Z-151229T1200Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
643 AM EST MON DEC 28 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
EVENING...
...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM
EST TUESDAY...

* WINDS...EAST TO 35 KNOTS.

* WAVES...7 TO 10 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ040-041-281945-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0160.000000T0000Z-151229T0600Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0026.151229T0600Z-151229T1200Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
643 AM EST MON DEC 28 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST
TUESDAY...
...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 7 AM EST TUESDAY...

* WINDS...SOUTHEAST TO 35 KNOTS.

* WAVES...3 TO 6 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO
47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING
AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ062-281945-
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0026.151228T2300Z-151229T1200Z/
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
643 AM EST MON DEC 28 2015

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM
EST TUESDAY...

* WINDS...EAST TO 35 KNOTS.

* WAVES...10 TO 13 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ045-281945-
/O.EXB.KBUF.SC.Y.0160.151229T0600Z-151229T1500Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
643 AM EST MON DEC 28 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 10 AM EST
TUESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 10 AM EST TUESDAY.

* WINDS...SOUTHEAST 15 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ043-044-281945-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0160.000000T0000Z-151229T1500Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
643 AM EST MON DEC 28 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST
TUESDAY...

* WINDS...EAST TO 30 KNOTS.

* WAVES...7 TO 10 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

781 
WHUS71 KBUF 281454
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
954 AM EST MON DEC 28 2015

LOZ042-282300-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0160.000000T0000Z-151228T2300Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0026.151228T2300Z-151229T1200Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
954 AM EST MON DEC 28 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
EVENING...
...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM
EST TUESDAY...

* WINDS...NORTHEAST 15 TO 25 KNOTS TODAY INCREASING TO EAST TO 35
  KNOTS THIS EVENING.

* WAVES...7 TO 10 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ040-041-282300-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0160.000000T0000Z-151229T0600Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0026.151229T0600Z-151229T1200Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
954 AM EST MON DEC 28 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST
TUESDAY...
...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 7 AM EST TUESDAY...

* WINDS...NORTHEAST 15 TO 25 KNOTS TODAY INCREASING TO SOUTHEAST
  TO 35 KNOTS TONIGHT.

* WAVES...3 TO 6 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO
47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING
AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ062-282300-
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0026.151228T2300Z-151229T1200Z/
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
954 AM EST MON DEC 28 2015

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM
EST TUESDAY...

* WINDS...EAST TO 35 KNOTS.

* WAVES...10 TO 13 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ043-044-282300-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0160.000000T0000Z-151229T1500Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
954 AM EST MON DEC 28 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST
TUESDAY...

* WINDS...EAST TO 30 KNOTS.

* WAVES...7 TO 10 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ045-282300-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0160.151229T0600Z-151229T1500Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
954 AM EST MON DEC 28 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 10 AM EST
TUESDAY...

* WINDS...SOUTHEAST 15 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

239 
WHUS71 KBUF 290235
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
935 PM EST MON DEC 28 2015

LEZ040-041-291045-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0160.000000T0000Z-151229T0600Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0026.151229T0600Z-151229T1200Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
935 PM EST MON DEC 28 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST
TUESDAY...
...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 7 AM EST TUESDAY...

* WINDS...NORTHEAST 15 TO 25 KNOTS TODAY INCREASING TO SOUTHEAST 
  TO 35 KNOTS TONIGHT.

* WAVES...3 TO 6 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO
47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING
AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ042-062-291045-
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0026.000000T0000Z-151229T1200Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
935 PM EST MON DEC 28 2015

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST TUESDAY...

* WINDS...EAST TO 35 KNOTS.

* WAVES...10 TO 13 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ043-044-291045-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0160.000000T0000Z-151229T1500Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
935 PM EST MON DEC 28 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST
TUESDAY...

* WINDS...EAST TO 30 KNOTS.

* WAVES...7 TO 10 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ045-291045-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0160.151229T0600Z-151229T1500Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
935 PM EST MON DEC 28 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 10 AM EST
TUESDAY...

* WINDS...SOUTHEAST 15 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

HITCHCOCK

808 
WHUS71 KBUF 290844
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
344 AM EST TUE DEC 29 2015

LOZ042-291645-
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0026.000000T0000Z-151229T1200Z/
/O.NEW.KBUF.SC.Y.0161.151229T1200Z-151229T1800Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
344 AM EST TUE DEC 29 2015

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST THIS MORNING...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM THIS MORNING TO 1 PM
EST THIS AFTERNOON...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM THIS MORNING TO 1 PM EST
THIS AFTERNOON.

* WINDS...SOUTHEAST TO 35 KNOTS.

* WAVES...7 TO 10 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ040-041-291645-
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0026.000000T0000Z-151229T1200Z/
/O.NEW.KBUF.SC.Y.0161.151229T1200Z-151230T1200Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
344 AM EST TUE DEC 29 2015

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST THIS MORNING...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM THIS MORNING TO 7 AM
EST WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM THIS MORNING TO 7 AM EST
WEDNESDAY.

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST TO 35 KNOTS.

* WAVES...3 TO 6 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO
47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING
AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ062-291200-
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0026.000000T0000Z-151229T1200Z/
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
344 AM EST TUE DEC 29 2015

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST THIS MORNING...

* WINDS...EAST TO 35 KNOTS.

* WAVES...9 TO 12 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ043-044-291500-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0160.000000T0000Z-151229T1500Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
344 AM EST TUE DEC 29 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS
MORNING...

* WINDS...SOUTHEAST TO 30 KNOTS.

* WAVES...6 TO 9 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ045-291500-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0160.000000T0000Z-151229T1500Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
344 AM EST TUE DEC 29 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS
MORNING...

* WINDS...EAST 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES...1 TO 3 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

219 
WHUS71 KBUF 291139
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
639 AM EST TUE DEC 29 2015

LOZ042-291800-
/O.CAN.KBUF.GL.W.0026.000000T0000Z-151229T1200Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0161.151229T1200Z-151229T1800Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
639 AM EST TUE DEC 29 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...
...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE GALE
WARNING.

* WINDS...SOUTHEAST 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES...5 TO 8 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ040-041-291945-
/O.CAN.KBUF.GL.W.0026.000000T0000Z-151229T1200Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0161.151229T1200Z-151230T1200Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
639 AM EST TUE DEC 29 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST
WEDNESDAY...
...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE GALE
WARNING.

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES...3 TO 6 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ062-291245-
/O.CAN.KBUF.GL.W.0026.000000T0000Z-151229T1200Z/
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
639 AM EST TUE DEC 29 2015

...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE GALE
WARNING.

$$

LOZ043-044-291500-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0160.000000T0000Z-151229T1500Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
639 AM EST TUE DEC 29 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS
MORNING...

* WINDS...SOUTHEAST 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES...4 TO 7 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ045-291500-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0160.000000T0000Z-151229T1500Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
639 AM EST TUE DEC 29 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS
MORNING...

* WINDS...EAST 5 TO 15 KNOTS.

* WAVES...1 TO 3 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

THOMAS

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1152 PM EST SAT DEC 26 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
A WAVE OF LOW PRESSURE MOVING ALONG A STRONG FRONTAL ZONE WILL BRING
WIDESPREAD RAIN TO THE REGION OVERNIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY ALONG WITH LOW
CLOUDS AND FOG. THE RAIN WILL TAPER OFF LATE SUNDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE
BRIEFLY BUILDS INTO SOUTHEAST CANADA. ANOTHER AREA OF LOW PRESSURE
WILL THEN BRING A MESSY WINTRY MIX TO THE AREA LATE MONDAY AND
MONDAY NIGHT BEFORE TEMPERATURES WARM ABOVE FREEZING AND
PRECIPITATION CHANGES TO RAIN TUESDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY/...
WIDESPREAD STEADY RAIN OVER THE WESTERN COUNTIES AT 05Z WILL
SPREAD EAST OVERNIGHT AND CONTINUE INTO THE DAY SUNDAY. THIS RAIN
WILL BE SUPPORTED BY STRONG DEEP LAYER ASCENT AS SEVERAL STRONG
FORCING MECHANISMS WORK COOPERATIVELY TOGETHER. PERSISTENT DPVA
AHEAD OF A TROUGH OVER THE UPPER MIDWEST WILL PROVIDE SOME
ASCENT...WHILE A STRONG MID LEVEL FRONTAL ZONE SETS UP OVER THE
LOWER LAKES AND PRODUCES A ZONE OF STRONG FRONTOGENESIS AND
DEFORMATION. A STRONG WAVE OF LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE ALONG THE
FRONT AND ENHANCE THE FRONTOGENESIS AS A DIFFERENTIAL TEMPERATURE
ADVECTION REGIME DEVELOPS ACROSS THE FRONTAL ZONE. A 60+ KNOT LOW
LEVEL JET WILL FURTHER ENHANCE THE FRONTAL ZONE THROUGH EXTRA
CONVERGENCE AND ISENTROPIC ASCENT. FINALLY...THE AREA WILL BE IN
THE RIGHT ENTRANCE REGION OF A VERY STRONG 200+ KNOT UPPER LEVEL
JET OVER SOUTHEAST CANADA...PROVIDING WELL DEVELOPED UPPER LEVEL
DIVERGENCE ATOP THE ABUNDANT LOW/MID LEVEL FORCING.

EXPECT THE HEAVIEST RAIN TO FALL IN ASSOCIATION WITH TWO OF THE MORE
IMPORTANT FORCING MECHANISMS. FIRST...STRONG CONVERGENCE WILL
DEVELOP ON THE NOSE OF THE 60+ KNOT LOW LEVEL JET. THIS WILL CROSS
FROM WESTERN NY THIS EVENING TO NORTH CENTRAL NY BY 06Z. LATE
TONIGHT AND SUNDAY MORNING...A SECOND PERIOD OF HEAVIER RAINFALL MAY
OCCUR NEAR THE PASSAGE OF THE FRONTAL WAVE AS FRONTOGENESIS AND
DEFORMATION MAXIMIZE ACROSS THE FRONTAL ZONE.

FINALLY FROM MIDDAY SUNDAY THROUGH THE AFTERNOON THE MODERATE TO
HEAVY RAIN WILL TAPER OFF TO A STEADY LIGHT RAIN AND DRIZZLE AS THE
SURFACE BOUNDARY PUSHES SOUTH ACROSS THE REGION AND LOW LEVEL FLOW
BECOMES NORTHERLY AND UPSLOPE. ENOUGH COLD AIR MAY ARRIVE BEFORE THE
END OF THE PRECIP TO CHANGE THE RAIN OVER TO SOME LIGHT/WET SNOW
ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO...BUT DO NOT EXPECT
ANY ACCUMULATION.

MODEL GUIDANCE IS REASONABLY CLUSTERED AROUND A COMMON SOLUTION WITH
RESPECT TO RAIN TOTALS AND PLACEMENT OF HEAVIER AMOUNTS. EXPECT A
SOLID 1-1.25 INCHES OF RAIN FROM TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY...WITH THE
AXIS OF HEAVIEST RAIN LIKELY TO FALL FROM LAKE ERIE ACROSS BUFFALO
AND ROCHESTER INTO CENTRAL NY GIVEN THE LOCATION OF THE STALLED MID
LEVEL BOUNDARY. THE SHOWALTER INDEX BRIEFLY APPROACHES ZERO
TONIGHT...AND THIS COULD POTENTIALLY ALLOW FOR SOME ELEVATED
CONVECTION AND SPOTTY THUNDER.

TEMPERATURES WILL BE NON-DIURNAL AND DRIVEN BY LOW LEVEL TEMPERATURE
ADVECTION. EXPECT TEMPS TO RISE INTO THE LOWER 50S ACROSS WESTERN NY
LATE TONIGHT ESPECIALLY SOUTH OF BUFFALO...WITH MID TO UPPER 40S
ELSEWHERE AND LOWER 40S NORTH COUNTRY. THESE TEMPERATURES WILL BE THE
HIGHS FOR SUNDAY...OCCURRING EARLY IN THE MORNING BEFORE TEMPS FALL
FROM LATE MORNING THROUGH THE AFTERNOON FOLLOWING THE SURFACE
FRONTAL PASSAGE. TEMPERATURES WILL DROP INTO THE UPPER 30S BY 6PM IN
MOST AREAS...WITH LOW TO MID 30S ACROSS THE NORTH COUNTRY.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/...
...WINTRY MIX STORM SYSTEM EXPECTED MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
TUESDAY...

PRECIPITATION WILL BE DIMINISH FROM NORTH TO SOUTH AT THE START OF
THE PERIOD AS STRONG ARCTIC HIGH PRESSURE WILL PUSH THE BAROCLINIC
BOUNDARY AND ASSOCIATED MOISTURE SOUTHWARD. THERE MAY BE A FEW RAIN
SHOWERS EARLY SUNDAY NIGHT...ESPECIALLY CLOSER TO THE FRONT WHICH
WILL BE NEAR THE NEW YORK/PENNSYLVANIA LINE. DEVELOPING NORTHERLY
FLOW AND COLD AIR ADVECTION BEHIND THE FRONT WILL MAINTAIN A MOIST
UPSLOPE FLOW KEEPING PLENTY OF CLOUD COVER ALONG WITH PERHAPS SOME
LINGERING DRIZZLE/FREEZING DRIZZLE/FLURRIES THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT.
TEMPERATURES SUNDAY NIGHT WILL COOL INTO 20S WITHIN THE COLD AIR
ADVECTION AND SOME CLEARING...WHILE THE WARMER LAKE WILL KEEP THE
IMMEDIATE LAKESHORE IN THE LOWER 30S. THE NORTH COUNTRY MAY BE ABLE
TO DROP INTO THE TEENS WITH ENOUGH CLEARING.

MONDAY WILL START OUT DRY AS THE ARCTIC HIGH SHIFTS TO NEAR HUDSON
BAY. THIS SHALLOW ARCTIC AIRMASS MAY GENERATE A FEW LAKE EFFECT
FLURRIES SOUTH OF LAKE ONTARIO MONDAY MORNING...BUT LACKING IN COLD
AIR DEPTH THIS ACTIVITY SHOULD BE VERY LIMITED. THE COLD AIR
ADVECTION REGIME WILL HOLD TEMPERATURES MONDAY IN THE UPPER 20S TO
LOWER 30S.

THE FIRST MAJOR CHALLENGE TO THE FORECAST IS THE ONSET OF
PRECIPITATION. WITH THE SURFACE LOW IN THE MID MISSISSIPPI VALLEY
MONDAY AFTERNOON AND THE HUDSON BAY HIGH DRIVING DRY AIR INTO THE
FORECAST AREA...IT MAY TAKE A BIT FOR THE PRECIPITATION TO START.
THE 12Z MODEL SUITE SHOWING A LITTLE SLOWER SOLUTION THAN YESTERDAY
BUT ON THE WHOLE IT LOOKS LIKE THE PRECIPITATION SHOULD START SOUTH
OF THE NEW YORK STATE THRUWAY BY LATE MONDAY AFTERNOON. MODEL
SOUNDINGS STILL HAVE A FAIR AMOUNT OF DRY AIR IN THE MID LEVELS SO
THERE IS STILL SOME UNCERTAINTY WITH THIS START TIME. HOWEVER...AS
THE LOW CONTINUES TO MOVE NORTH THE MOISTURE BEGINS TO ADVANCE AND
PRECIPITATION SHOULD OVERSPREAD THE ENTIRE AREA BETWEEN 00Z AND
06Z MONDAY NIGHT.

THE SECOND MAJOR FORECAST CHALLENGE IS THE PRECIPITATION TYPE. MOST
MODELS SOUNDINGS MONDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY TUESDAY SUGGEST A DEEP
ENOUGH WARM NOSE WILL WORK INTO AREAS SOUTH OF THE THRUWAY FOR A
PERIOD OF FREEZING RAIN WITH SURFACE TEMPERATURES AT OR BELOW
FREEZING. NORTH OF THIS AREA NEARLY ALL SOUNDINGS SUGGEST A PERIOD
OF ACCUMULATING SNOW/SLEET.

SURFACE WARM FRONT LIFTS ACROSS THE AREA TUESDAY WITH ICE/SNOW
CHANGING OVER TO ALL RAIN FROM SOUTH TO NORTH. THE WARM FRONT MAY
BE DRIVEN NORTHWARD ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA A LITTLE EARLIER THAN
THE MODELS SUGGEST BASED ON THE STRENGTH OF THE LOW LEVEL JET. GIVEN
THIS AND THE POTENTIAL FOR A MID LEVEL DRY SLOT TO PUSH IN MORE
QUICKLY AS THE SYSTEM OCCLUDES LEAVES A HIGH DEGREE OF UNCERTAINTY
AS TO HOW MUCH SNOW/FREEZING RAIN THE AREA WILL SEE MONDAY NIGHT AND
EARLY TUESDAY.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
COOLING TREND EXPECTED TO TAKE PLACE THE LONG TERM PERIOD AS THE
LONGWAVE TROUGH WHICH HAS BEEN PERSISTENT OVER WESTERN NORTH AMERICA
THIS DECEMBER FINALLY MOVES SLOWLY EAST ALLOWING FOR AN INFLUX OF
COLDER AIR TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES. THE PERIOD SHOULD
START OUT DRY AS RIDGING PASSES ACROSS THE REGION WEDNESDAY...BUT A
STRONG SHORTWAVE AND ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT PASSING THROUGH THE GREAT
LAKES REGION MAY TRIGGER A FEW MIXED RAIN/SNOW SHOWERS LATE
WEDNESDAY WITH SNOW SOWERS A BETTER POSSIBILITY WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

THURSDAY AND FRIDAY...COLD AIR ADVECTION WITHIN THE BASE OF THE
LONGWAVE TROUGH DROPS 850 MB TEMPERATURES DOWN TO -8C TO -12C. AS
WESTERLY FLOW OVER THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES COOLS NEW YEARS EVE/NEW
YEARS DAY LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL AGAIN BECOME POSSIBLE. SURFACE
TEMPERATURES MAY REMAIN MARGINAL ENOUGH THURSDAY TO ALLOW FOR SOME
LAKE EFFECT RAIN...ESPECIALLY AT LOWER ELEVATIONS AND NEAR THE LAKE
SHORELINE.

THE OVERALL COOLING TREND DURING THE PERIOD WILL SEE HIGH
TEMPERATURES START IN THE 40S WEDNESDAY...BEFORE COLD AIR ADVECTION
TAKES OUR HIGHS BACK DOWN INTO THE 30S FOR FRIDAY AND SATURDAY.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
MVFR TO IFR CIGS AND WIDESPREAD STEADY RAIN OVER THE WRN COUNTIES AT
05Z WILL SPREAD EAST DURING THE OVERNIGHT AS A WAVE OF LOW
PRESSURE WILL MOVE NORTHEAST ACROSS THE LOWER GREAT LAKES. THERE
MAY BE A FEW EMBEDDED PERIODS OF MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINFALL WHICH
PRODUCE AREAS OF MVFR VSBY. CIGS WILL CONTINUE TO DETERIORATE IN
THE PROCESS...WITH IFR CIGS EXPECTED AT ALL TAF SITES BY DAYBREAK.

ALONG WITH THE LOWERING CIGS AND WIDESPREAD RAIN...THERE MAY BE A
PERIOD OF LOW LEVEL WIND SHEAR TONIGHT AS A STRONG 60 KNOT LOW LEVEL
JET WILL CROSS THE AREA.

LATE TONIGHT THROUGH MID AFTERNOON SUNDAY...THE WAVE OF LOW PRESSURE
WILL MOVE TO NEW ENGLAND...WITH A TRAILING STRONG FRONTAL ZONE
SAGGING SOUTH ACROSS OUR AREA. ABUNDANT LOW LEVEL MOISTURE AND A
STEEP LOW LEVEL FRONTAL INVERSION WILL SET THE STAGE FOR WIDESPREAD
LOW STRATUS AND FOG LATER TONIGHT THROUGH EARLY TO MID AFTERNOON
SUNDAY. EXPECT IFR CIGS/VSBY JUST ABOUT EVERYWHERE DURING THIS
PERIOD WITH SOME POTENTIAL FOR CONDITIONS DROPPING TO NEAR AIRFIELD
MINIMUMS AT TIMES.

LATER SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING...CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE AS THE
FRONT AND DEEPER MOISTURE MOVE WELL SOUTHEAST OF THE AREA. THE RAIN
WILL TAPER OFF AND CIGS WILL IMPROVE TO MVFR FROM NORTHWEST TO
SOUTHEAST LATE SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

OUTLOOK...
MONDAY...VFR.
MONDAY NIGHT...DETERIORATING TO MVFR/IFR WITH A WINTRY MIX
DEVELOPING.
TUESDAY...MVFR/IFR WITH A WINTRY MIX CHANGING TO RAIN.
WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY...MAINLY VFR.

&&

.MARINE...
WINDS HAVE SUBSIDED BELOW SCA LEVELS ACROSS THE WESTERN HALF OF
LAKE ONTARIO...SO ALL FLAGS HAVE BEEN DROPPED FOR THE OVERNIGHT.

A WAVE OF LOW PRESSURE WILL CROSS THE LOWER LAKES SUNDAY MORNING.
NORTHERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE SOME BEHIND THIS WAVE SUNDAY
AFTERNOON AND EVENING BRINGING CHOPPY CONDITIONS TO THE SOUTH
SHORE OF LAKE ONTARIO...BUT WINDS AND WAVES ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN
JUST BELOW SMALL CRAFT CRITERIA.

A MODERATELY STRONG AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL THEN MOVE INTO THE
WESTERN LAKES MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY. INCREASING EASTERLY WINDS
AHEAD OF THIS SYSTEM WILL LIKELY BRING ANOTHER ROUND OF SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORIES TO BOTH LAKES LATE MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN WILL CROSS THE REGION TONIGHT AND SUNDAY
MORNING AS A STRONG FRONTAL ZONE DEVELOPS ACROSS THE AREA WITH A
WAVE OF LOW PRESSURE MOVING ALONG IT. BASIN AVERAGE RAINFALL IS
EXPECTED TO PEAK AT AROUND 1.25 INCHES FROM TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY.
THESE RAIN AMOUNTS WILL BRING SIGNIFICANT RISES ON AREA CREEKS AND
RIVERS...WITH THE SHARPER RISES ON THE FAST RESPONDING BUFFALO AREA
CREEKS.

CURRENT FORECAST RAINFALL SUGGESTS THAT WHILE THERE WILL BE SHARP
RISES...CREEKS WILL REMAIN WITHIN THEIR BANKS WITH 1.25 INCHES OF
RAIN. WE RAN SOME CONTINGENCY FORECASTS USING THE CHIPS SYSTEM FOR
THE BUFFALO AREA CREEKS...AND THE HYDROLOGIC MODEL SUGGESTS IT WOULD
TAKE ABOUT 1.75 INCHES OF RAIN TO BRING THESE CREEKS TO MINOR FLOOD.

WITH THE FORECAST RAIN AMOUNT ABOUT A HALF INCH BELOW WHAT WOULD
PUSH CREEKS INTO FLOOD...NO FLOOD WATCH IS NECESSARY AT THIS TIME.
THE HEAVY RAIN MAY PRODUCE SOME MINOR PONDING OF WATER IN TYPICAL
LOW LYING AREAS AND BRING HIGH WATER ON SMALL CREEKS...BUT NO
MEANINGFUL FLOODING IS EXPECTED.

&&

.BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NY...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...HITCHCOCK/RSH
NEAR TERM...HITCHCOCK/RSH
SHORT TERM...TMA
LONG TERM...TMA
AVIATION...HITCHCOCK/RSH
MARINE...HITCHCOCK/RSH
HYDROLOGY...HITCHCOCK

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
339 PM EST SAT DEC 26 2015

NYZ006>008-272045-
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
339 PM EST SAT DEC 26 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PERIODS OF MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN WILL CROSS REGION FROM LATE THIS
EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 1.25 INCHES ARE
EXPECTED. THIS AMOUNT OF RAIN WILL RESULT IN RISES ON STREAMS AND
RIVERS AND SOME PONDING OF WATER IN POOR DRAINAGE AREAS...BUT NO
SIGNIFICANT FLOODING IS EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

PERIODS OF MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN WILL CROSS REGION FROM LATE THIS
EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 1.25 INCHES ARE
EXPECTED. THIS AMOUNT OF RAIN WILL RESULT IN RISES ON STREAMS AND
RIVERS AND SOME PONDING OF WATER IN POOR DRAINAGE AREAS...BUT NO
SIGNIFICANT FLOODING IS EXPECTED.

CONFIDENCE IS INCREASING THAT A WINTER STORM WILL IMPACT THE
REGION FROM LATE MONDAY INTO TUESDAY. THIS STORM IS LIKELY TO
BRING A WINTRY MIX OF SNOW...SLEET...FREEZING RAIN...AND RAIN.
FORECAST TRENDS SUGGEST THAT PRECIPITATION WILL BEGIN AS SNOW
MONDAY EVENING ACROSS THE NORTH COUNTRY...THEN CHANGE TO SLEET AND
FREEZING RAIN OVERNIGHT BEFORE CHANGING TO RAIN BY MIDDAY TUESDAY.
SOME ACCUMULATIONS OF SNOW AND ICE ARE LIKELY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ001>005-010>014-019>021-085-272045-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-
WYOMING-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-
SOUTHERN ERIE-
339 PM EST SAT DEC 26 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL NEW YORK
AND WESTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PERIODS OF MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN WILL CROSS REGION FROM LATE THIS
EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 1.25 INCHES ARE
EXPECTED. THIS AMOUNT OF RAIN WILL RESULT IN RISES ON STREAMS AND
RIVERS AND SOME PONDING OF WATER IN POOR DRAINAGE AREAS...BUT NO
SIGNIFICANT FLOODING IS EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

PERIODS OF MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN WILL CROSS REGION FROM LATE THIS
EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 1.25 INCHES ARE
EXPECTED. THIS AMOUNT OF RAIN WILL RESULT IN RISES ON STREAMS AND
RIVERS AND SOME PONDING OF WATER IN POOR DRAINAGE AREAS...BUT NO
SIGNIFICANT FLOODING IS EXPECTED.

CONFIDENCE IS INCREASING THAT A WINTER STORM WILL IMPACT THE
REGION FROM LATE MONDAY INTO TUESDAY MORNING. THIS STORM IS
LIKELY TO BE A WINTRY MIX OF SLEET...FREEZING RAIN...AND RAIN.
FORECAST TRENDS SUGGEST PRECIPITATION WILL FALL MAINLY AS SLEET
AND FREEZING RAIN MONDAY NIGHT...POSSIBLY STARTING AS A BRIEF
PERIOD OF SNOW MAINLY EAST OF ROCHESTER. PRECIPITATION WILL THEN
CHANGE TO ALL RAIN TUESDAY MORNING AS TEMPERATURES WARM. SOME ICE
ACCUMULATION IS LIKELY PRIOR TO TEMPERATURES WARMING ABOVE
FREEZING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

LEZ020-040-041-LOZ030-042>045-062>065-SLZ022-024-272045-
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
LOWER NIAGARA RIVER-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM CAPE VINCENT TO OGDENSBURG-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM OGDENSBURG TO SAINT REGIS-
339 PM EST SAT DEC 26 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE NEW YORK WATERS OF LAKE
ERIE...LAKE ONTARIO...AND THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

HITCHCOCK