Alert archive / New York / Gale Watches in 2015
Gale Watch 8, NWS Buffalo, NY
NWS Buffalo, NY issued this gale watch at Dec 27, 2015, 4:01 AM EST. It took effect at Dec 28, 2015, 6:00 PM EST. It was in force for .
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Dec 27, 2015, 4:01 AM EST (09:01 UTC)
- In effect from
- Dec 28, 2015, 6:00 PM EST
- Expired
- Dec 28, 2015, 4:17 AM EST
- In force
- Issued by
- NWS Buffalo, NY
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
943 WHUS71 KBUF 270901 MWWBUF URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 401 AM EST SUN DEC 27 2015 LOZ043-044-271715- /O.NEW.KBUF.SC.Y.0160.151227T1700Z-151228T2300Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY- 401 AM EST SUN DEC 27 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 6 PM EST MONDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 6 PM EST MONDAY. * WINDS...NORTH 20 TO 25 KNOTS. * WAVES...3 TO 6 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LOZ042-062-271715- /O.NEW.KBUF.GL.A.0008.151228T2300Z-151229T1200Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH- LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH- 401 AM EST SUN DEC 27 2015 ...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A GALE WATCH... WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING. * WINDS...EAST TO 35 KNOTS. * WAVES...8 TO 11 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER ALTERING THEIR PLANS. && $$
4 follow-up statements
025 WHUS71 KBUF 271423 MWWBUF URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 923 AM EST SUN DEC 27 2015 LOZ042-272230- /O.EXA.KBUF.SC.Y.0160.151227T1700Z-151228T2300Z/ /O.CON.KBUF.GL.A.0008.151228T2300Z-151229T1200Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH- 923 AM EST SUN DEC 27 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST MONDAY... ...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST MONDAY. * WINDS...NORTH 15 TO 20 KNOTS TODAY THROUGH MONDAY. EAST TO 35 KNOTS MONDAY EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING. * WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET TODAY THROUGH MONDAY. 7 TO 10 FEET MONDAY EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER ALTERING THEIR PLANS. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LOZ043-044-272230- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0160.151227T1700Z-151228T2300Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY- 923 AM EST SUN DEC 27 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST MONDAY... * WINDS...NORTH 15 TO 25 KNOTS. * WAVES...3 TO 6 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LOZ062-272230- /O.CON.KBUF.GL.A.0008.151228T2300Z-151229T1200Z/ LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH- 923 AM EST SUN DEC 27 2015 ...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING... * WINDS...EAST TO 35 KNOTS. * WAVES...8 TO 11 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER ALTERING THEIR PLANS. && $$ HITCHCOCK
196 WHUS71 KBUF 272042 MWWBUF URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 342 PM EST SUN DEC 27 2015 LEZ040-041-280445- /O.EXB.KBUF.SC.Y.0160.000000T0000Z-151229T1200Z/ LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK- LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO- 342 PM EST SUN DEC 27 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST TUESDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST TUESDAY. * WINDS...NORTH TO NORTHEAST 15 TO 25 KNOTS TONIGHT AND MONDAY. NORTHEAST TO 30 KNOTS MONDAY NIGHT. * WAVES...3 TO 6 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER ALTERING THEIR PLANS. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LOZ043-044-280445- /O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0160.000000T0000Z-151229T1200Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY- 342 PM EST SUN DEC 27 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST TUESDAY... * WINDS...NORTH TO NORTHEAST 15 TO 25 KNOTS TONIGHT AND MONDAY. NORTHEAST TO 30 KNOTS MONDAY NIGHT. * WAVES...3 TO 6 FEET TONIGHT AND MONDAY. 6 TO 9 FEET MONDAY NIGHT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LOZ042-280445- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0160.000000T0000Z-151228T2300Z/ /O.CON.KBUF.GL.A.0008.151228T2300Z-151229T1200Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH- 342 PM EST SUN DEC 27 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST MONDAY... ...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING... * WINDS...NORTH TO NORTHEAST 15 TO 25 KNOTS TONIGHT AND MONDAY. NORTHEAST TO 35 KNOTS MONDAY NIGHT. * WAVES...3 TO 6 FEET TONIGHT AND MONDAY. 7 TO 10 FEET MONDAY NIGHT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER ALTERING THEIR PLANS. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LOZ062-280445- /O.CON.KBUF.GL.A.0008.151228T2300Z-151229T1200Z/ LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH- 342 PM EST SUN DEC 27 2015 ...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING... * WINDS...EAST TO 35 KNOTS. * WAVES...10 TO 13 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER ALTERING THEIR PLANS. && $$ HITCHCOCK
450 WHUS71 KBUF 280233 MWWBUF URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 933 PM EST SUN DEC 27 2015 LOZ042-281100- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0160.000000T0000Z-151228T2300Z/ /O.CON.KBUF.GL.A.0008.151228T2300Z-151229T1200Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH- 933 PM EST SUN DEC 27 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST MONDAY... ...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING... * WINDS...NORTH TO NORTHEAST 15 TO 25 KNOTS TONIGHT BECOMING EAST TO 30 KNOTS MONDAY. EAST TO 35 KNOTS MONDAY NIGHT. * WAVES...3 TO 6 FEET TONIGHT BUILDING TO 5 TO 8 FEET MONDAY...AND TO 6 TO 10 FEET MONDAY NIGHT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER ALTERING THEIR PLANS. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LOZ043-044-281100- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0160.000000T0000Z-151229T1200Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY- 933 PM EST SUN DEC 27 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST TUESDAY... * WINDS...NORTH TO NORTHEAST 15 TO 25 KNOTS TONIGHT AND MONDAY. EAST TO 30 KNOTS MONDAY NIGHT. * WAVES...4 TO 7 FEET TONIGHT AND MONDAY. 5 TO 9 FEET MONDAY NIGHT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LEZ040-041-281100- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0160.000000T0000Z-151229T1200Z/ LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK- LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO- 933 PM EST SUN DEC 27 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST TUESDAY... * WINDS...NORTH TO NORTHEAST 15 TO 25 KNOTS TONIGHT AND MONDAY. EAST TO SOUTHEAST TO 30 KNOTS MONDAY NIGHT. * WAVES...3 TO 6 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER ALTERING THEIR PLANS. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LOZ062-281100- /O.CON.KBUF.GL.A.0008.151228T2300Z-151229T1200Z/ LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH- 933 PM EST SUN DEC 27 2015 ...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING... * WINDS...EAST TO 35 KNOTS. * WAVES...AS HIGH AS 10 TO 13 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER ALTERING THEIR PLANS. && $$ HITCHCOCK/JJR/WOOD
274 WHUS71 KBUF 280917 MWWBUF URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 417 AM EST MON DEC 28 2015 LOZ042-281730- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0160.000000T0000Z-151228T2300Z/ /O.UPG.KBUF.GL.A.0008.151228T2300Z-151229T1200Z/ /O.NEW.KBUF.GL.W.0026.151228T2300Z-151229T1200Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH- 417 AM EST MON DEC 28 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING... ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM EST TUESDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A GALE WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM EST TUESDAY. THE GALE WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. * WINDS...EAST TO 35 KNOTS. * WAVES...7 TO 10 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LEZ040-041-281730- /O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0160.000000T0000Z-151229T0600Z/ /O.NEW.KBUF.GL.W.0026.151229T0600Z-151229T1200Z/ LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK- LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO- 417 AM EST MON DEC 28 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST TUESDAY... ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 7 AM EST TUESDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A GALE WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 7 AM EST TUESDAY. * WINDS...SOUTHEAST TO 35 KNOTS. * WAVES...3 TO 6 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER ALTERING THEIR PLANS. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS. && $$ LOZ062-281730- /O.UPG.KBUF.GL.A.0008.151228T2300Z-151229T1200Z/ /O.NEW.KBUF.GL.W.0026.151228T2300Z-151229T1200Z/ LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH- 417 AM EST MON DEC 28 2015 ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM EST TUESDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A GALE WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM EST TUESDAY. THE GALE WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. * WINDS...EAST TO 35 KNOTS. * WAVES...10 TO 13 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS. && $$ LOZ043-044-281730- /O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0160.000000T0000Z-151229T1500Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY- 417 AM EST MON DEC 28 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST TUESDAY... * WINDS...EAST TO 30 KNOTS. * WAVES...7 TO 10 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this gale watch went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Buffalo, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this gale watch went out at Dec 26, 11:52 PM EST, 4 hours 9 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Dec 26, 11:52 PM EST, 4 hours 9 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 1152 PM EST SAT DEC 26 2015 .SYNOPSIS... A WAVE OF LOW PRESSURE MOVING ALONG A STRONG FRONTAL ZONE WILL BRING WIDESPREAD RAIN TO THE REGION OVERNIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY ALONG WITH LOW CLOUDS AND FOG. THE RAIN WILL TAPER OFF LATE SUNDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE BRIEFLY BUILDS INTO SOUTHEAST CANADA. ANOTHER AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL THEN BRING A MESSY WINTRY MIX TO THE AREA LATE MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT BEFORE TEMPERATURES WARM ABOVE FREEZING AND PRECIPITATION CHANGES TO RAIN TUESDAY. && .NEAR TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY/... WIDESPREAD STEADY RAIN OVER THE WESTERN COUNTIES AT 05Z WILL SPREAD EAST OVERNIGHT AND CONTINUE INTO THE DAY SUNDAY. THIS RAIN WILL BE SUPPORTED BY STRONG DEEP LAYER ASCENT AS SEVERAL STRONG FORCING MECHANISMS WORK COOPERATIVELY TOGETHER. PERSISTENT DPVA AHEAD OF A TROUGH OVER THE UPPER MIDWEST WILL PROVIDE SOME ASCENT...WHILE A STRONG MID LEVEL FRONTAL ZONE SETS UP OVER THE LOWER LAKES AND PRODUCES A ZONE OF STRONG FRONTOGENESIS AND DEFORMATION. A STRONG WAVE OF LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE ALONG THE FRONT AND ENHANCE THE FRONTOGENESIS AS A DIFFERENTIAL TEMPERATURE ADVECTION REGIME DEVELOPS ACROSS THE FRONTAL ZONE. A 60+ KNOT LOW LEVEL JET WILL FURTHER ENHANCE THE FRONTAL ZONE THROUGH EXTRA CONVERGENCE AND ISENTROPIC ASCENT. FINALLY...THE AREA WILL BE IN THE RIGHT ENTRANCE REGION OF A VERY STRONG 200+ KNOT UPPER LEVEL JET OVER SOUTHEAST CANADA...PROVIDING WELL DEVELOPED UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE ATOP THE ABUNDANT LOW/MID LEVEL FORCING. EXPECT THE HEAVIEST RAIN TO FALL IN ASSOCIATION WITH TWO OF THE MORE IMPORTANT FORCING MECHANISMS. FIRST...STRONG CONVERGENCE WILL DEVELOP ON THE NOSE OF THE 60+ KNOT LOW LEVEL JET. THIS WILL CROSS FROM WESTERN NY THIS EVENING TO NORTH CENTRAL NY BY 06Z. LATE TONIGHT AND SUNDAY MORNING...A SECOND PERIOD OF HEAVIER RAINFALL MAY OCCUR NEAR THE PASSAGE OF THE FRONTAL WAVE AS FRONTOGENESIS AND DEFORMATION MAXIMIZE ACROSS THE FRONTAL ZONE. FINALLY FROM MIDDAY SUNDAY THROUGH THE AFTERNOON THE MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN WILL TAPER OFF TO A STEADY LIGHT RAIN AND DRIZZLE AS THE SURFACE BOUNDARY PUSHES SOUTH ACROSS THE REGION AND LOW LEVEL FLOW BECOMES NORTHERLY AND UPSLOPE. ENOUGH COLD AIR MAY ARRIVE BEFORE THE END OF THE PRECIP TO CHANGE THE RAIN OVER TO SOME LIGHT/WET SNOW ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO...BUT DO NOT EXPECT ANY ACCUMULATION. MODEL GUIDANCE IS REASONABLY CLUSTERED AROUND A COMMON SOLUTION WITH RESPECT TO RAIN TOTALS AND PLACEMENT OF HEAVIER AMOUNTS. EXPECT A SOLID 1-1.25 INCHES OF RAIN FROM TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY...WITH THE AXIS OF HEAVIEST RAIN LIKELY TO FALL FROM LAKE ERIE ACROSS BUFFALO AND ROCHESTER INTO CENTRAL NY GIVEN THE LOCATION OF THE STALLED MID LEVEL BOUNDARY. THE SHOWALTER INDEX BRIEFLY APPROACHES ZERO TONIGHT...AND THIS COULD POTENTIALLY ALLOW FOR SOME ELEVATED CONVECTION AND SPOTTY THUNDER. TEMPERATURES WILL BE NON-DIURNAL AND DRIVEN BY LOW LEVEL TEMPERATURE ADVECTION. EXPECT TEMPS TO RISE INTO THE LOWER 50S ACROSS WESTERN NY LATE TONIGHT ESPECIALLY SOUTH OF BUFFALO...WITH MID TO UPPER 40S ELSEWHERE AND LOWER 40S NORTH COUNTRY. THESE TEMPERATURES WILL BE THE HIGHS FOR SUNDAY...OCCURRING EARLY IN THE MORNING BEFORE TEMPS FALL FROM LATE MORNING THROUGH THE AFTERNOON FOLLOWING THE SURFACE FRONTAL PASSAGE. TEMPERATURES WILL DROP INTO THE UPPER 30S BY 6PM IN MOST AREAS...WITH LOW TO MID 30S ACROSS THE NORTH COUNTRY. && .SHORT TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/... ...WINTRY MIX STORM SYSTEM EXPECTED MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY... PRECIPITATION WILL BE DIMINISH FROM NORTH TO SOUTH AT THE START OF THE PERIOD AS STRONG ARCTIC HIGH PRESSURE WILL PUSH THE BAROCLINIC BOUNDARY AND ASSOCIATED MOISTURE SOUTHWARD. THERE MAY BE A FEW RAIN SHOWERS EARLY SUNDAY NIGHT...ESPECIALLY CLOSER TO THE FRONT WHICH WILL BE NEAR THE NEW YORK/PENNSYLVANIA LINE. DEVELOPING NORTHERLY FLOW AND COLD AIR ADVECTION BEHIND THE FRONT WILL MAINTAIN A MOIST UPSLOPE FLOW KEEPING PLENTY OF CLOUD COVER ALONG WITH PERHAPS SOME LINGERING DRIZZLE/FREEZING DRIZZLE/FLURRIES THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT. TEMPERATURES SUNDAY NIGHT WILL COOL INTO 20S WITHIN THE COLD AIR ADVECTION AND SOME CLEARING...WHILE THE WARMER LAKE WILL KEEP THE IMMEDIATE LAKESHORE IN THE LOWER 30S. THE NORTH COUNTRY MAY BE ABLE TO DROP INTO THE TEENS WITH ENOUGH CLEARING. MONDAY WILL START OUT DRY AS THE ARCTIC HIGH SHIFTS TO NEAR HUDSON BAY. THIS SHALLOW ARCTIC AIRMASS MAY GENERATE A FEW LAKE EFFECT FLURRIES SOUTH OF LAKE ONTARIO MONDAY MORNING...BUT LACKING IN COLD AIR DEPTH THIS ACTIVITY SHOULD BE VERY LIMITED. THE COLD AIR ADVECTION REGIME WILL HOLD TEMPERATURES MONDAY IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 30S. THE FIRST MAJOR CHALLENGE TO THE FORECAST IS THE ONSET OF PRECIPITATION. WITH THE SURFACE LOW IN THE MID MISSISSIPPI VALLEY MONDAY AFTERNOON AND THE HUDSON BAY HIGH DRIVING DRY AIR INTO THE FORECAST AREA...IT MAY TAKE A BIT FOR THE PRECIPITATION TO START. THE 12Z MODEL SUITE SHOWING A LITTLE SLOWER SOLUTION THAN YESTERDAY BUT ON THE WHOLE IT LOOKS LIKE THE PRECIPITATION SHOULD START SOUTH OF THE NEW YORK STATE THRUWAY BY LATE MONDAY AFTERNOON. MODEL SOUNDINGS STILL HAVE A FAIR AMOUNT OF DRY AIR IN THE MID LEVELS SO THERE IS STILL SOME UNCERTAINTY WITH THIS START TIME. HOWEVER...AS THE LOW CONTINUES TO MOVE NORTH THE MOISTURE BEGINS TO ADVANCE AND PRECIPITATION SHOULD OVERSPREAD THE ENTIRE AREA BETWEEN 00Z AND 06Z MONDAY NIGHT. THE SECOND MAJOR FORECAST CHALLENGE IS THE PRECIPITATION TYPE. MOST MODELS SOUNDINGS MONDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY TUESDAY SUGGEST A DEEP ENOUGH WARM NOSE WILL WORK INTO AREAS SOUTH OF THE THRUWAY FOR A PERIOD OF FREEZING RAIN WITH SURFACE TEMPERATURES AT OR BELOW FREEZING. NORTH OF THIS AREA NEARLY ALL SOUNDINGS SUGGEST A PERIOD OF ACCUMULATING SNOW/SLEET. SURFACE WARM FRONT LIFTS ACROSS THE AREA TUESDAY WITH ICE/SNOW CHANGING OVER TO ALL RAIN FROM SOUTH TO NORTH. THE WARM FRONT MAY BE DRIVEN NORTHWARD ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA A LITTLE EARLIER THAN THE MODELS SUGGEST BASED ON THE STRENGTH OF THE LOW LEVEL JET. GIVEN THIS AND THE POTENTIAL FOR A MID LEVEL DRY SLOT TO PUSH IN MORE QUICKLY AS THE SYSTEM OCCLUDES LEAVES A HIGH DEGREE OF UNCERTAINTY AS TO HOW MUCH SNOW/FREEZING RAIN THE AREA WILL SEE MONDAY NIGHT AND EARLY TUESDAY. && .LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/... COOLING TREND EXPECTED TO TAKE PLACE THE LONG TERM PERIOD AS THE LONGWAVE TROUGH WHICH HAS BEEN PERSISTENT OVER WESTERN NORTH AMERICA THIS DECEMBER FINALLY MOVES SLOWLY EAST ALLOWING FOR AN INFLUX OF COLDER AIR TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES. THE PERIOD SHOULD START OUT DRY AS RIDGING PASSES ACROSS THE REGION WEDNESDAY...BUT A STRONG SHORTWAVE AND ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT PASSING THROUGH THE GREAT LAKES REGION MAY TRIGGER A FEW MIXED RAIN/SNOW SHOWERS LATE WEDNESDAY WITH SNOW SOWERS A BETTER POSSIBILITY WEDNESDAY NIGHT. THURSDAY AND FRIDAY...COLD AIR ADVECTION WITHIN THE BASE OF THE LONGWAVE TROUGH DROPS 850 MB TEMPERATURES DOWN TO -8C TO -12C. AS WESTERLY FLOW OVER THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES COOLS NEW YEARS EVE/NEW YEARS DAY LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL AGAIN BECOME POSSIBLE. SURFACE TEMPERATURES MAY REMAIN MARGINAL ENOUGH THURSDAY TO ALLOW FOR SOME LAKE EFFECT RAIN...ESPECIALLY AT LOWER ELEVATIONS AND NEAR THE LAKE SHORELINE. THE OVERALL COOLING TREND DURING THE PERIOD WILL SEE HIGH TEMPERATURES START IN THE 40S WEDNESDAY...BEFORE COLD AIR ADVECTION TAKES OUR HIGHS BACK DOWN INTO THE 30S FOR FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. && .AVIATION /06Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/... MVFR TO IFR CIGS AND WIDESPREAD STEADY RAIN OVER THE WRN COUNTIES AT 05Z WILL SPREAD EAST DURING THE OVERNIGHT AS A WAVE OF LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE NORTHEAST ACROSS THE LOWER GREAT LAKES. THERE MAY BE A FEW EMBEDDED PERIODS OF MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINFALL WHICH PRODUCE AREAS OF MVFR VSBY. CIGS WILL CONTINUE TO DETERIORATE IN THE PROCESS...WITH IFR CIGS EXPECTED AT ALL TAF SITES BY DAYBREAK. ALONG WITH THE LOWERING CIGS AND WIDESPREAD RAIN...THERE MAY BE A PERIOD OF LOW LEVEL WIND SHEAR TONIGHT AS A STRONG 60 KNOT LOW LEVEL JET WILL CROSS THE AREA. LATE TONIGHT THROUGH MID AFTERNOON SUNDAY...THE WAVE OF LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE TO NEW ENGLAND...WITH A TRAILING STRONG FRONTAL ZONE SAGGING SOUTH ACROSS OUR AREA. ABUNDANT LOW LEVEL MOISTURE AND A STEEP LOW LEVEL FRONTAL INVERSION WILL SET THE STAGE FOR WIDESPREAD LOW STRATUS AND FOG LATER TONIGHT THROUGH EARLY TO MID AFTERNOON SUNDAY. EXPECT IFR CIGS/VSBY JUST ABOUT EVERYWHERE DURING THIS PERIOD WITH SOME POTENTIAL FOR CONDITIONS DROPPING TO NEAR AIRFIELD MINIMUMS AT TIMES. LATER SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING...CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE AS THE FRONT AND DEEPER MOISTURE MOVE WELL SOUTHEAST OF THE AREA. THE RAIN WILL TAPER OFF AND CIGS WILL IMPROVE TO MVFR FROM NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST LATE SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. OUTLOOK... MONDAY...VFR. MONDAY NIGHT...DETERIORATING TO MVFR/IFR WITH A WINTRY MIX DEVELOPING. TUESDAY...MVFR/IFR WITH A WINTRY MIX CHANGING TO RAIN. WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY...MAINLY VFR. && .MARINE... WINDS HAVE SUBSIDED BELOW SCA LEVELS ACROSS THE WESTERN HALF OF LAKE ONTARIO...SO ALL FLAGS HAVE BEEN DROPPED FOR THE OVERNIGHT. A WAVE OF LOW PRESSURE WILL CROSS THE LOWER LAKES SUNDAY MORNING. NORTHERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE SOME BEHIND THIS WAVE SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING BRINGING CHOPPY CONDITIONS TO THE SOUTH SHORE OF LAKE ONTARIO...BUT WINDS AND WAVES ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN JUST BELOW SMALL CRAFT CRITERIA. A MODERATELY STRONG AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL THEN MOVE INTO THE WESTERN LAKES MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY. INCREASING EASTERLY WINDS AHEAD OF THIS SYSTEM WILL LIKELY BRING ANOTHER ROUND OF SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES TO BOTH LAKES LATE MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY. && .HYDROLOGY... MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN WILL CROSS THE REGION TONIGHT AND SUNDAY MORNING AS A STRONG FRONTAL ZONE DEVELOPS ACROSS THE AREA WITH A WAVE OF LOW PRESSURE MOVING ALONG IT. BASIN AVERAGE RAINFALL IS EXPECTED TO PEAK AT AROUND 1.25 INCHES FROM TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY. THESE RAIN AMOUNTS WILL BRING SIGNIFICANT RISES ON AREA CREEKS AND RIVERS...WITH THE SHARPER RISES ON THE FAST RESPONDING BUFFALO AREA CREEKS. CURRENT FORECAST RAINFALL SUGGESTS THAT WHILE THERE WILL BE SHARP RISES...CREEKS WILL REMAIN WITHIN THEIR BANKS WITH 1.25 INCHES OF RAIN. WE RAN SOME CONTINGENCY FORECASTS USING THE CHIPS SYSTEM FOR THE BUFFALO AREA CREEKS...AND THE HYDROLOGIC MODEL SUGGESTS IT WOULD TAKE ABOUT 1.75 INCHES OF RAIN TO BRING THESE CREEKS TO MINOR FLOOD. WITH THE FORECAST RAIN AMOUNT ABOUT A HALF INCH BELOW WHAT WOULD PUSH CREEKS INTO FLOOD...NO FLOOD WATCH IS NECESSARY AT THIS TIME. THE HEAVY RAIN MAY PRODUCE SOME MINOR PONDING OF WATER IN TYPICAL LOW LYING AREAS AND BRING HIGH WATER ON SMALL CREEKS...BUT NO MEANINGFUL FLOODING IS EXPECTED. && .BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NY...NONE. MARINE...NONE. && SYNOPSIS...HITCHCOCK/RSH NEAR TERM...HITCHCOCK/RSH SHORT TERM...TMA LONG TERM...TMA AVIATION...HITCHCOCK/RSH MARINE...HITCHCOCK/RSH HYDROLOGY...HITCHCOCK
Hazardous weather outlook, Dec 26, 3:39 PM EST, 12 hours 22 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 339 PM EST SAT DEC 26 2015 NYZ006>008-272045- OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS- 339 PM EST SAT DEC 26 2015 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL NEW YORK. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. PERIODS OF MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN WILL CROSS REGION FROM LATE THIS EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 1.25 INCHES ARE EXPECTED. THIS AMOUNT OF RAIN WILL RESULT IN RISES ON STREAMS AND RIVERS AND SOME PONDING OF WATER IN POOR DRAINAGE AREAS...BUT NO SIGNIFICANT FLOODING IS EXPECTED. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. PERIODS OF MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN WILL CROSS REGION FROM LATE THIS EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 1.25 INCHES ARE EXPECTED. THIS AMOUNT OF RAIN WILL RESULT IN RISES ON STREAMS AND RIVERS AND SOME PONDING OF WATER IN POOR DRAINAGE AREAS...BUT NO SIGNIFICANT FLOODING IS EXPECTED. CONFIDENCE IS INCREASING THAT A WINTER STORM WILL IMPACT THE REGION FROM LATE MONDAY INTO TUESDAY. THIS STORM IS LIKELY TO BRING A WINTRY MIX OF SNOW...SLEET...FREEZING RAIN...AND RAIN. FORECAST TRENDS SUGGEST THAT PRECIPITATION WILL BEGIN AS SNOW MONDAY EVENING ACROSS THE NORTH COUNTRY...THEN CHANGE TO SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN OVERNIGHT BEFORE CHANGING TO RAIN BY MIDDAY TUESDAY. SOME ACCUMULATIONS OF SNOW AND ICE ARE LIKELY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES... AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF NYZ001>005-010>014-019>021-085-272045- NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE- WYOMING-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY- SOUTHERN ERIE- 339 PM EST SAT DEC 26 2015 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL NEW YORK AND WESTERN NEW YORK. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. PERIODS OF MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN WILL CROSS REGION FROM LATE THIS EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 1.25 INCHES ARE EXPECTED. THIS AMOUNT OF RAIN WILL RESULT IN RISES ON STREAMS AND RIVERS AND SOME PONDING OF WATER IN POOR DRAINAGE AREAS...BUT NO SIGNIFICANT FLOODING IS EXPECTED. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. PERIODS OF MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN WILL CROSS REGION FROM LATE THIS EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 1.25 INCHES ARE EXPECTED. THIS AMOUNT OF RAIN WILL RESULT IN RISES ON STREAMS AND RIVERS AND SOME PONDING OF WATER IN POOR DRAINAGE AREAS...BUT NO SIGNIFICANT FLOODING IS EXPECTED. CONFIDENCE IS INCREASING THAT A WINTER STORM WILL IMPACT THE REGION FROM LATE MONDAY INTO TUESDAY MORNING. THIS STORM IS LIKELY TO BE A WINTRY MIX OF SLEET...FREEZING RAIN...AND RAIN. FORECAST TRENDS SUGGEST PRECIPITATION WILL FALL MAINLY AS SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN MONDAY NIGHT...POSSIBLY STARTING AS A BRIEF PERIOD OF SNOW MAINLY EAST OF ROCHESTER. PRECIPITATION WILL THEN CHANGE TO ALL RAIN TUESDAY MORNING AS TEMPERATURES WARM. SOME ICE ACCUMULATION IS LIKELY PRIOR TO TEMPERATURES WARMING ABOVE FREEZING. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES... AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF LEZ020-040-041-LOZ030-042>045-062>065-SLZ022-024-272045- UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR- LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK- LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO- LOWER NIAGARA RIVER- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER- LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH- LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY- LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY- LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER- SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM CAPE VINCENT TO OGDENSBURG- SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM OGDENSBURG TO SAINT REGIS- 339 PM EST SAT DEC 26 2015 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE NEW YORK WATERS OF LAKE ERIE...LAKE ONTARIO...AND THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES... AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF HITCHCOCK
The office that day
Everything else NWS Buffalo, NY issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 4:01 AM EST | Small Craft Advisory | BUF | 54 hr | |
| Dec 27, 3:46 PM EST | Winter Weather Advisory | BUF | Allegany, Cattaraugus, Cayuga, Chautauqua, Erie, Genesee and 10 more | 54 hr |
| Dec 27, 3:48 PM EST | Wind Advisory | BUF | Allegany, Cattaraugus, Chautauqua, Erie, Livingston, Wyoming | 39 hr |
Nearby
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.