Severe Thunderstorm Warning 54, NWS Buffalo, NY

721 
WWUS51 KBUF 102138
SVSBUF

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
538 PM EDT MON AUG 10 2015

NYC029-037-121-102200-
/O.CON.KBUF.SV.W.0054.000000T0000Z-150810T2200Z/
GENESEE NY-ERIE NY-WYOMING NY-
538 PM EDT MON AUG 10 2015

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 600 PM EDT
FOR SOUTHWESTERN GENESEE...EAST CENTRAL ERIE AND NORTHWESTERN WYOMING
COUNTIES...

AT 537 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE
OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60
MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED OVER WALES CENTER...OR NEAR EAST
AURORA...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
DARIEN LAKES STATE PARK...MARILLA...PEMBROKE...BENNINGTON...AKRON...
ALDEN...ATTICA AND VARYSBURG.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCE DAMAGING WINDS...DESTRUCTIVE HAIL...
DEADLY LIGHTNING AND VERY HEAVY RAIN. FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN
INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF YOUR HOME OR BUSINESS. HEAVY
RAINS FLOOD ROADS QUICKLY SO DO NOT DRIVE INTO AREAS WHERE WATER
COVERS THE ROAD.

&&

LAT...LON 4265 7863 4302 7850 4290 7813 4258 7844
TIME...MOT...LOC 2137Z 205DEG 28KT 4277 7849 

$$

CHURCH

903 
WWUS51 KBUF 102153
SVSBUF

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
553 PM EDT MON AUG 10 2015

NYC029-037-121-102202-
/O.EXP.KBUF.SV.W.0054.000000T0000Z-150810T2200Z/
GENESEE NY-ERIE NY-WYOMING NY-
553 PM EDT MON AUG 10 2015

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHWESTERN GENESEE...EAST
CENTRAL ERIE AND NORTHWESTERN WYOMING COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT 600 PM
EDT...
        
THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS WEAKENED BELOW SEVERE LIMITS
AND EXITED THE WARNED AREA. THEREFORE THE WARNING WILL BE ALLOWED TO
EXPIRE.

LAT...LON 4265 7863 4302 7850 4290 7813 4258 7844
TIME...MOT...LOC 2151Z 205DEG 28KT 4277 7849 

$$

CHURCH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
408 PM EDT MON AUG 10 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE OVER THE OHIO VALLEY WILL TRACK NORTHEAST
ACROSS WESTERN AND CENTRAL NEW YORK TONIGHT. THIS WILL GENERATE
WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...SOME OF WHICH WILL INCLUDE
HEAVY RAIN. CHANCES OF SHOWERS WILL LINGER TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY
WITH BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES AS AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH SLOWLY
CROSSES THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES. SURFACE RIDGING SHOULD BRING DRY
WEATHER THURSDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY/...
REGIONAL RADARS EARLY THIS EVENING DISPLAY WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS EXTENDING FROM EASTERN MICHIGAN SOUTH
INTO OHIO AND NORTHEAST ACROSS LAKE ERIE TO TORONTO. THESE HAVE
FORMED AHEAD OF DEVELOPING LOW PRESSURE AND ITS LEADING LOW LEVEL
JET NEAR THE WESTERN END OF LAKE ERIE AND A ROBUST SHORTWAVE
PRESSING INTO THE OHIO VALLEY. SOUTHERNLY FLOW AHEAD OF THE
SURFACE LOW IS TRANSPORTING A VERY MOIST AIRMASS WITH PWATS TO 1.8
INCHES NORTH ACROSS THE OHIO VALLEY INTO WESTERN NEW YORK. THIS
WILL BE THE AIRMASS WHICH BRINGS A SOAKING BUT MAINLY BENEFICIAL
RAIN TO WESTERN AND NORTH-CENTRAL NEW YORK INTO TONIGHT. MORE
LOCALLY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EXTEND ALONG AN INSTABILITY
AND CONVERGENCE AXIS FROM JAMESTOWN TO ROCHESTER AND SOUTH OF LAKE
ONTARIO TOWARD SYRACUSE. SOME OF THIS ACTIVITY HAS ALREADY
PRODUCED VERY HEAVY RAIN IN SLOW MOVING/BACKBUILDING CELLS EAST OF
ROCHESTER. MORE ON THIS BELOW.

FORECAST MODELS SHIFT THE VERY MOIST AIRMASS FROM THE OHIO VALLEY
EAST OVER NEW YORK INTO TONIGHT. THERE IS POTENTIAL FOR PWATS TO
RISE TOWARD 2 INCHES AS THE LOW THE LOW LEVEL JET
STRENGTHENS...GEFS ENSEMBLE ANOMALIES INDICATE THESE LEVELS WOULD
BE 2-3 SD ABOVE NORMAL. THE ELEVATED PWATS ALONG WITH NAM BUFKIT
PROFILES SHOWING INCREASING WARM CLOUD DEPTHS AND SHORT MBE
VECTORS ALL POINT TOWARD THE ENHANCED RISK FOR HEAVY RAIN THIS
INTO TONIGHT. QPF THROUGH TONIGHT AVERAGES 1-1.5 INCHES REGIONWIDE
WITH LOCALLY 2 OR MORE INCHES POSSIBLE IN TRAINING CELLS. WHILE
ONE AND THREE HOUR FLASH FLOOD GUIDANCE VALUES ARE GREATER THAN
THAT...THERE REMAINS THE RISK FOR ISOLATED FLASH FLOOD ISSUES.

ANOTHER RISK THIS EVENING IS POTENTIAL FOR SOME ISOLATED STRONG
TO SEVERE CELLS DEVELOPING THIS IS CONFINED TO THE SOUTHERN TIER
WHERE BULK WIND SHEAR OF 20-30 KTS IS PRESENT PER RECENT
MESOANALYSIS. SPC MAINTAINS A MARGINAL RISK FOR SEVERE WEATHER
HERE WITH THE MAIN THREAT BEING POSSIBLE DAMAGING WINDS.

TONIGHT...WIDESPREAD RAINFALL...HEAVY AT TIMES...IS EXPECTED AS THE
PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED SURFACE LOW...LEADING LOW LEVEL JET AND HIGH
PWAT AREA TRACK ACROSS WESTERN AND CENTRAL NEW YORK AHEAD OF A
SHARPENING MID-LEVEL TROUGH. THE CORE OF THE LOW LEVEL JET AND
LARGEST MOISTURE TRANSPORT VECTORS ARE FORECAST TO TRACK ACROSS THE
FINGER LAKES INTO THE NORTH COUNTY WHERE THE HIGHEST RAINFALL TOTALS
SHOULD BE OBSERVED. IN ADDITION TO THE RAINFALL THE SOAKING RAINS
WILL LIKELY CONTRIBUTE TO PATCHY FOG OVERNIGHT AND KEEP MILD
TEMPERATURES OVERNIGHT. LOWS WILL ONLY SLIP BACK INTO THE LOW TO MID
60S.

ON TUESDAY THE DEEPENING SURFACE LOW AND NEWLY FORMED SOUTHWARD
EXTENDING COLD FRONT WILL QUICKLY EXIT EAST OF CENTRAL AND NORTHERN
NEW YORK. LINGERING WRAP AROUND MOISTURE AND UPSLOPE FLOW WITH
COOLING TEMPERATURES ALOFT WILL KEEP CHANCES OF SHOWERS AND AN
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM IN THE FORECAST. COVERAGE WILL BE MUCH LOWER
THAN THE WIDESPREAD RAINS COMING THIS EVENING. WEAK COLD AIR
ADVECTION WILL HELP CAP AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES NEAR THE MID 70S.
WIDESPREAD CLOUD COVER IN THE MORNING SHOULD DEVELOP SOME BREAKS IN
THE AFTERNOON AS MOISTURE PROFILES THIN.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
TUESDAY MORNING A SURFACE LOW WILL BE FOUND NEAR THE VICINITY OF THE
HEADWATERS OF THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER...WITH THE GFS THE FASTEST
WITH THE TRACK OF THE LOW...PLACING THE CENTER OF THE LOW NEAR THE
ONTARIO/QUEBEC BORDER. THE NAM/CANADIAN/ECMWF ARE ALL SLOWER WITH
THE STORM SYSTEM...LEAVING THE LOW AND ITS ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT
OVER CENTRAL NEW YORK TO START THE TIME PERIOD. A CONSENSUS OF THESE
MODELS WILL LEAD TO ONGOING RAIN SHOWERS/EMBEDDED THUNDER TO START
THE DAY OVER OUR EASTERN ZONES...WHILE ACROSS WNY LIGHTER AND MORE
SCATTERED IN NATURE RAIN SHOWERS WILL BE FOUND WITH A SECOND
SHORTWAVE BRINGING THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH AXIS TOWARDS THE EASTERN
GREAT LAKES REGION. AS THIS SECONDARY SHORTWAVE PASSES THE REGION
TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND OVERNIGHT EXPECT AN INCREASE IN SHOWER
ACTIVITY WITH AGAIN LIKELY POPS PLACE OVER MUCH OF THE BUFFALO CWA.
THOUGH INSTABILITY WILL NOT BE AS GREAT AS MONDAY THERE WILL REMAIN
A FAIR AMOUNT...WITH SBCAPE VALUES AROUND 500 J/KG LEADING TO
ISOLATED POSSIBILITY FOR A THUNDERSTORM.

THIS SECONDARY SHORTWAVE WILL ALSO BRING MUCH COOLER AIR ALOFT WITH
TEMPERATURES AT 850 HPA DROPPING TO AROUND 8C BY WEDNESDAY MORNING.
THERE WILL CONTINUE TO BE LOW CHANCE POSSIBILITIES FOR SHOWERS
TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. IN ADDITION TO THE SYNOPTIC
SHOWERS...LAKE EFFECT RAIN SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE SOUTHEAST OF THE
GREAT LAKES TUESDAY NIGHT AND INTO WEDNESDAY.

UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL REMAIN OVER EASTERN CANADA
AND THE NORTHEAST U.S. WEDNESDAY NIGHT...THOUGH AT THE SURFACE AN
AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL PUSH TOWARDS OUR REGION FROM THE CENTRAL
GREAT LAKES REGION. THIS AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRING A DRIER
AIRMASS AND BRING A REDUCTION TO THE AMOUNT OF SHOWERS.

TEMPERATURES TUESDAY WILL BE COOLER...WITH HIGHS IN THE LOW TO MID
70S...AND THEN NOTICEABLY COOLER WEDNESDAY WITH HIGHS ONLY IN THE
MID TO UPPER 60S.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
FOR THURSDAY AND CONTINUING TOWARDS THE BEGINNING PART OF THE
WEEKEND BROAD TROUGHING WANTS TO STAY IN PLACE NEAR HUDSON BAY.
THIS WILL KEEP TEMPERATURES OVERALL SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL WITH
SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL CHANCES OF PRECIPITATION.

MORE SPECIFICALLY...ON THURSDAY RISING HEIGHTS BEHIND A DEPARTING
UPPER-LEVEL LOW WILL ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO MODERATE SOME... BUT
STILL STAY SLIGHTLY COOLER THAN NORMAL. THURSDAY ALSO HAS THE BEST
CHANCE OF STAYING DRY. BY FRIDAY A SHORTWAVE PASSING TO OUR NORTH
SHOULD FORCE A SLOW-MOVING COLD FRONTAL BOUNDARY INTO THE FORECAST
AREA BEFORE STALLING OUT FRIDAY NIGHT. THIS WILL BRING PRECIPITATION
CHANCES BACK INTO THE FORECAST FOR FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT. SATURDAY
WILL TREND TOWARDS DRIER BEHIND THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY THOUGH WITH THE
SURFACE HIGH STILL REMAINING WELL TO OUR WEST OVER THE WESTERN GREAT
LAKES REGION AND UPPER LEVEL TROUGH STILL NEARBY CANNOT RULE OUT A
POSSIBLE SHOWER OR TWO TO START THE WEEKEND. SUNDAY BOTH THE 00Z GFS
AND ECMWF BRING AN AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE AT THE SURFACE AND RIDGING
ALOFT TOWARDS THE REGION. THIS WILL CREATE A MOSTLY SUNNY SKY TO
CLOSE OUT THE WEEKEND WITH SEASONABLE TEMPERATURES.

&&

.AVIATION /20Z MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
AN AXIS OF -SHRA/-TSRA EXTENDS FROM KERI NORTHEAST TO KROC AT 20Z.
EXPECT TEMPO MVFR/IFR WITHIN THIS ACTIVITY AS IT TRACKS OVER/NEAR THE
TERMINALS. VFR CONDITIONS OUTSIDE OF SHRA/TSRA WILL GRADUALLY
DETERIORATE FROM THE SOUTHWEST THIS EVENING AS INCREASING LOW
LEVEL MOISTURE AND LARGE SCALE LIFT LEADS TO WIDESPREAD SHOWERS
AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS APPROACHING FROM THE OHIO VALLEY THIS
EVENING.

THE WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL FEATURE
POCKETS OF HEAVY RAIN WHICH WILL LOWER CIGS TO IFR LEVELS TONIGHT
WITH PATCHY FOG POSSIBLY REDUCING VIS. THE WIDESPREAD RAIN WILL
PIVOT EAST OVERNIGHT AND TAPER TO VCSH FROM WEST TO EAST TOWARD 12Z.
A RETURN TO VFR IS EXPECTED TOMORROW AFTER DAYBREAK BUT LINGERING
MOISTURE AND A MID-LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES WILL
KEEP CHANCES FOR SHOWERS INTO THE AFTERNOON.

OUTLOOK...
TUESDAY NIGHT...MVFR IN SCATTERED SHOWERS.
WEDNESDAY...MVFR WITH LAKE EFFECT CLOUDS AND A CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
THURSDAY...VFR.
FRIDAY...MAINLY VFR. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS LATE.
SATURDAY...MAINLY VFR EXPECTED.

&&

.MARINE...
A DEVELOPING LOW PRESSURE NEAR THE WEST END OF LAKE ERIE WILL PUSH
EAST TONIGHT BRINGING WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO THE
EASTERN GREAT LAKES THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. WINDS AND WAVES
SHOULD REMAIN BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LEVELS.

WINDS WILL FRESHEN IN THE WAKE OF THE EXITING SFC LOW ON TUESDAY AND
ESPECIALLY TUESDAY NIGHT. THIS WILL MAY LEAD TO A PERIOD WHEN SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORIES COULD BE NEEDED.

&&

.BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NY...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...SMITH
NEAR TERM...SMITH
SHORT TERM...APFFEL
LONG TERM...APFFEL
AVIATION...SMITH
MARINE...SMITH

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
433 AM EDT MON AUG 10 2015

NYZ001>008-010>014-019>021-085-110845-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-WYOMING-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-CHAUTAUQUA-
CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE-
433 AM EDT MON AUG 10 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WESTERN AND NORTH CENTRAL NEW
YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BECOME INCREASINGLY LIKELY THROUGH
THE AFTERNOON HOURS...WITH A PERIOD OF RAIN SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS CROSSING BUFFALO'S CWA THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. A
GENERAL INCH OF RAINFALL IS LIKELY THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING...WITH
EMBEDDED HEAVIER THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING ADDITIONAL RAINFALL. THE
THREAT FOR FLOODING IS LOWERED DUE TO THE RECENT DRY
SPELL...HOWEVER THERE IS STILL A LOW THREAT FOR SOME LOCALIZED
FLASH FLOODING THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

LEZ020-040-041-LOZ030-042>045-062>065-SLZ022-024-110845-
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
LOWER NIAGARA RIVER-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM CAPE VINCENT TO OGDENSBURG-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM OGDENSBURG TO SAINT REGIS-
433 AM EDT MON AUG 10 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE NEW YORK WATERS OF LAKE
ERIE...LAKE ONTARIO...AND THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
222 PM EDT MON AUG 10 2015

NYZ003-004-101930-
MONROE-WAYNE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROCHESTER...NEWARK
222 PM EDT MON AUG 10 2015

...AN AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT MONROE AND
WAYNE COUNTY THIS AFTERNOON...

AN AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL SLOWLY MOVE NORTHEAST
ACROSS MONROE AND WAYNE COUNTY THIS AFTERNOON. THESE STORMS WILL
BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING SMALL HAIL...GUSTY WINDS IN EXCESS OF 30
MPH AND TORRENTIAL DOWNPOURS. RAINFALL RATES IN EXCESS OF AN INCH
PER HOUR WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THESES STORMS WHICH WILL PRODUCE
PONDING OF WATER ON AREA ROADS AND MAY CAUSE SOME POOR DRAINAGE
FLOODING. DRIVERS ARE REMINDED TO NOT DRIVE THERE VEHICLE THROUGH
ANY FLOODED ROADWAYS.

AR

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
324 PM EDT MON AUG 10 2015

NYZ007-008-102015-
LEWIS-JEFFERSON-
324 PM EDT MON AUG 10 2015

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT WEST CENTRAL LEWIS AND
SOUTHEASTERN JEFFERSON COUNTIES...

AT 323 PM EDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS NEAR BARNES CORNERS...OR 14
MILES SOUTH OF WATERTOWN...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
FORT DRUM...BARNES CORNERS...DENMARK...BLACK RIVER...LORRAINE...
COPENHAGEN...HARRISBURG...CASTORLAND...WORTH AND RECTOR.

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY CAUSE
LOCALIZED FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.

LAT...LON 4367 7574 4370 7576 4370 7583 4377 7597
      4404 7578 4385 7546
TIME...MOT...LOC 1923Z 218DEG 22KT 4377 7584

APFFEL

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
356 PM EDT MON AUG 10 2015

NYZ003-102045-
MONROE-
356 PM EDT MON AUG 10 2015

...HEAVY RAIN HEADING FOR THE ROCHESTER METRO AREA...

AT 353 PM EDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM PRODUCING HEAVY RAINS WAS OVER
CHILI...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH. THIS STORM WILL BRING HEAVY RAIN
TO ROCHESTER AND VICINITY BETWEEN 400 PM AND 500 PM. EXPECT AROUND
AN INCH OF RAIN...WITH LOCALLY HEAVIER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE.

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY CAUSE
LOCALIZED FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.

LAT...LON 4312 7791 4313 7791 4314 7792 4334 7786
      4332 7771 4332 7772 4323 7755 4323 7753
      4325 7751 4326 7745 4327 7743 4327 7739
      4306 7738
TIME...MOT...LOC 1953Z 236DEG 18KT 4311 7773

APFFEL

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
443 PM EDT MON AUG 10 2015

NYZ004-014-102130-
ONTARIO-WAYNE-
443 PM EDT MON AUG 10 2015

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT NORTHEASTERN ONTARIO AND
SOUTHWESTERN WAYNE COUNTIES...

AT 441 PM EDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS OVER NEWARK MOVING EAST AT
20 MPH.

WINDS IN EXCESS OF 30 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
NEWARK...LYONS...PALMYRA...CLIFTON SPRINGS...CLYDE...PHELPS...ROSE...
MANCHESTER...MACEDON AND SHORTSVILLE.

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 90 BETWEEN EXITS 43 AND 42.

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY CAUSE
LOCALIZED FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 15 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE
SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.

LAT...LON 4296 7728 4308 7730 4316 7687 4302 7685
      4301 7696 4295 7697
TIME...MOT...LOC 2041Z 261DEG 16KT 4304 7715

REYNOLDS

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
515 PM EDT MON AUG 10 2015

NYZ010-012-085-102200-
NORTHERN ERIE-SOUTHERN ERIE-WYOMING-
515 PM EDT MON AUG 10 2015

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT SOUTHWESTERN GENESEE...EASTERN
ERIE...NORTHEASTERN CATTARAUGUS AND NORTHWESTERN WYOMING COUNTIES...

AT 515 PM EDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS NEAR COLDEN...OR 10 MILES
SOUTH OF EAST AURORA...MOVING NORTH AT 35 MPH.

WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH AND DIME SIZE HAIL ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS
STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
EAST AURORA...ELMA...MARILLA...BENNINGTON...COLDEN...ALDEN...
ATTICA...CHAFFEE...EAST CONCORD AND VARYSBURG.

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY CAUSE
LOCALIZED FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 15 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE
SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.

LAT...LON 4257 7874 4296 7863 4291 7846 4287 7846
      4287 7833 4283 7820 4253 7848 4252 7853
TIME...MOT...LOC 2115Z 202DEG 31KT 4262 7858

CHURCH